Critical Care Medicine最新文献

Objectives: To assess the impact of different methods of calculating Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores using electronic health record data on the incidence, outcomes, agreement, and predictive validity of Sepsis-3 criteria.

Design: Retrospective observational study.

Setting: Five Massachusetts hospitals.

Patients: Hospitalized adults, 2015 to 2022.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: We defined sepsis as a suspected infection (culture obtained and antibiotic administered) with a concurrent increase in SOFA score by greater than or equal to 2 points (Sepsis-3 criteria). Our reference SOFA implementation strategy imputed normal values for missing data, used Pa o2 /F io2 ratios for respiratory scores, and assumed normal baseline SOFA scores for community-onset sepsis. We then implemented SOFA scores using different missing data imputation strategies (averaging worst values from preceding and following days vs. carrying forward nonmissing values), imputing respiratory scores using Sp o2 /F io2 ratios, and incorporating comorbidities and prehospital laboratory data into baseline SOFA scores. Among 1,064,459 hospitalizations, 297,512 (27.9%) had suspected infection and 141,052 (13.3%) had sepsis with an in-hospital mortality rate of 10.3% using the reference SOFA method. The percentage of patients missing SOFA components for at least 1 day in the infection window was highest for Pa o2 /F io2 ratios (98.6%), followed by Sp o2 /F io2 ratios (73.5%), bilirubin (68.5%), and Glasgow Coma Scale scores (57.2%). Different missing data imputation strategies yielded near-perfect agreement in identifying sepsis (kappa 0.99). However, using Sp o2 /F io2 imputations yielded higher sepsis incidence (18.3%), lower mortality (8.1%), and slightly lower predictive validity for mortality (area under the receiver operating curves [AUROC] 0.76 vs. 0.78). For community-onset sepsis, incorporating comorbidities and historical laboratory data into baseline SOFA score estimates yielded lower sepsis incidence (6.9% vs. 11.6%), higher mortality (13.4% vs. 9.6%), and higher predictive validity (AUROC 0.79 vs. 0.75) relative to the reference SOFA implementation.

Conclusions: Common variations in calculating respiratory and baseline SOFA scores, but not in handling missing data, lead to substantial differences in observed incidence, mortality, agreement, and predictive validity of Sepsis-3 criteria.

Objectives: To clarify the mechanistic basis for the success or failure of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF).

Design: We created digital twins based on mechanistic computational models of individual patients with AHRF.

Setting: Interdisciplinary Collaboration in Systems Medicine Research Network.

Subjects: We used individual patient data from 30 moderate-to-severe AHRF patients who had failed high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy and subsequently underwent a trial of NIV.

Interventions: Using the digital twins, we evaluated lung mechanics, quantified the separate contributions of external support and patient respiratory effort to lung injury indices, and investigated their relative impact on NIV success or failure.

Measurements and main results: In digital twins of patients who successfully completed/failed NIV, after 2 hours of the trial the mean (sd) of the change in total lung stress was -10.9 (6.2)/-0.35 (3.38) cm H2O, mechanical power -13.4 (12.2)/-1.0 (5.4) J/min, and total lung strain 0.02 (0.24)/0.16 (0.30). In the digital twins, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) produced by HFNC was similar to that set during NIV. In digital twins of patients who failed NIV vs. those who succeeded, intrinsic PEEP was 3.5 (0.6) vs. 2.3 (0.8) cm H2O, inspiratory pressure support was 8.3 (5.9) vs. 22.3 (7.2) cm H2O, and tidal volume was 10.9 (1.2) vs. 9.4 (1.8) mL/kg. In digital twins, successful NIV increased respiratory system compliance +25.0 (16.4) mL/cm H2O, lowered inspiratory muscle pressure -9.7 (9.6) cm H2O, and reduced the contribution of patient spontaneous breathing to total driving pressure by 57.0%.

Conclusions: In digital twins of AHRF patients, successful NIV improved lung mechanics, lowering respiratory effort and indices associated with lung injury. NIV failed in patients for whom only low levels of positive inspiratory pressure support could be applied without risking patient self-inflicted lung injury due to excessive tidal volumes.

Critical care trials evaluate the effect of interventions in patients with diverse personal histories and causes of illness, often under the umbrella of heterogeneous clinical syndromes, such as sepsis or acute respiratory distress syndrome. Given this variation, it is reasonable to expect that the effect of treatment on outcomes may differ for individuals with variable characteristics. However, in randomized controlled trials, efficacy is typically assessed by the average treatment effect (ATE), which quantifies the average effect of the intervention on the outcome in the study population. Importantly, the ATE may hide variations of the treatment's effect on a clinical outcome across levels of patient characteristics, which may erroneously lead to the conclusion that an intervention does not work overall when it may in fact benefit certain patients. In this review, we describe methodological approaches for assessing heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE), including expert-derived subgrouping, data-driven subgrouping, baseline risk modeling, treatment effect modeling, and individual treatment rule estimation. Next, we outline how insights from HTE analyses can be incorporated into the design of clinical trials. Finally, we propose a research agenda for advancing the field and bringing HTE approaches to the bedside.

Objective: Quantify hypotension burden using high-resolution continuous arterial blood pressure (ABP) data and determine its association with outcome after pediatric cardiac arrest.

Design: Retrospective observational study.

Setting: Academic PICU.

Patients: Children 18 years old or younger admitted with in-of-hospital or out-of-hospital cardiac arrest who had invasive ABP monitoring during postcardiac arrest care.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: High-resolution continuous ABP was analyzed up to 24 hours after the return of circulation (ROC). Hypotension burden was the time-normalized integral area between mean arterial pressure (MAP) and fifth percentile MAP for age. The primary outcome was unfavorable neurologic status (pediatric cerebral performance category ≥ 3 with change from baseline) at hospital discharge. Mann-Whitney U tests compared hypotension burden, duration, and magnitude between favorable and unfavorable patients. Multivariable logistic regression determined the association of unfavorable outcomes with hypotension burden, duration, and magnitude at various percentile thresholds from the 5th through 50th percentile for age. Of 140 patients (median age 53 [interquartile range 11-146] mo, 61% male); 63% had unfavorable outcomes. Monitoring duration was 21 (7-24) hours. Using a MAP threshold at the fifth percentile for age, the median hypotension burden was 0.01 (0-0.11) mm Hg-hours per hour, greater for patients with unfavorable compared with favorable outcomes (0 [0-0.02] vs. 0.02 [0-0.27] mm Hg-hr per hour, p < 0.001). Hypotension duration and magnitude were greater for unfavorable compared with favorable patients (0.03 [0-0.77] vs. 0.71 [0-5.01]%, p = 0.003; and 0.16 [0-1.99] vs. 2 [0-4.02] mm Hg, p = 0.001). On logistic regression, a 1-point increase in hypotension burden below the fifth percentile for age (equivalent to 1 mm Hg-hr of burden per hour of recording) was associated with increased odds of unfavorable outcome (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 14.8; 95% CI, 1.1-200; p = 0.040). At MAP thresholds of 10th-50th percentiles for age, MAP burden below the threshold was greater in unfavorable compared with favorable patients in a dose-dependent manner.

Conclusions: High-resolution continuous ABP data can be used to quantify hypotension burden after pediatric cardiac arrest. The burden, duration, and magnitude of hypotension are associated with unfavorable neurologic outcomes.