Critical Care Medicine最新文献

Objective: We aimed to examine how the predicted 1-year survival and its prognostic certainty evolve during the first two weeks of ICU admission.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Setting: Two academic medical centers in The Netherlands. External validation in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database from a tertiary medical center in the United States.

Patients: Patients with active hematologic malignancies admitted to the ICU.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: Separate prediction models for 1-year survival were developed using data available at day 1, 7, and 14 after ICU admission for 555, 181, and 94 ICU admissions resulting in an area under the receiver operating characteristics curves of 0.71, 0.67, and 0.66, respectively. At the individual patient level, prognostic certainty quantified by entropy increased meaningfully (entropy decrease > 0.25) in 2% of patients between day 1 and day 7 (in an additional 12% certainty increased because of death) and in 14% of patients between day 7 and day 14 (in an additional 18% because of death). Among patients alive on day 1, 2% of patients with an "uncertain" and 10% with a "poor" initial prognosis had shifted to a more favorable category by day 7. Of the patients alive and still in the ICU on day 7, 31% of patients with an "uncertain" and 16% with a "poor" prognosis had shifted to a more favorable category by day 14. Results in the external validation cohort were comparable.

Conclusions: In patients with hematologic malignancies admitted to the ICU, prognostic certainty about long-term survival increased little during in the first 2 weeks of ICU admission, aside from increases in prognostic certainty due to early mortality. Despite the use of rich ICU datasets and different state-of-the-art modeling strategies, overall model performance was modest, suggesting that prognosis in this population is largely driven by disease-related and patient-specific factors beyond the ICU course.

Objective: The Pao2/Fio2 (PF) ratio is widely used as an assessment of respiratory failure in guiding ventilation strategies and prognostication in critically ill patients. However, given that it mandates invasive arterial access, the Spo2/Fio2 (SF) ratio has been suggested as a noninvasive and readily accessible alternative. What are the best ways to convert SF and PF ratios in critically ill patients, in terms of their diagnostic/prognostic accuracy and clinical utility?

Data sources: We comprehensively searched databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane library) to identify relevant studies.

Study selection: Any observational studies that compared the SF to PF ratio in critically ill patients. We assessed individual study risk of bias (ROB) using the revised QUADAS II tool.

Data extraction: We included 45 observational studies, ranging from 61 to 141,000 measurements.

Data synthesis: SF to PF imputation was less accurate when the Spo2 was equal to or greater than 97%. Otherwise, all studies were able to establish strong correlational relationships between SF and PF ratios, but there was no clear best equation. Based on ease of use, size, generalizability and methodology, we were able to prioritize four equations (one linear, one logarithmic linear, and two nonlinear). All four equations showed strong correlation between SF and PF ratios, with the linear equation being easiest to apply. The SF ratio also correlated well with clinical outcomes when compared with the PF ratio, both as an individual value and as part of a comprehensive score, with more discriminating performance in some cases.

Conclusions: SF and PF ratios demonstrate good correlation, and may have similar prognostic value. Although there is no clear optimal method to convert SF to PF ratios, linear equations show acceptable correlation and are most easily applied at the bedside.

Objective: Acute pancreatitis (AP) complicated by disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is associated with high mortality. Although recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin (rTM) is commonly used in clinical practice, its association with outcomes in AP has not been established.

Design: A nationwide, propensity score-matched, retrospective cohort study.

Setting: The Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination national inpatient database.

Patients: Adult patients hospitalized with AP and DIC between July 2010 and March 2022, who survived at least 3 days. Patients were divided into those receiving rTM within three days of admission and those who did not. Propensity score matching compared in-hospital mortality.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: The analysis included 10,238 patients with AP and DIC, of whom 2,001 (19.5%) received rTM and 8,237 (80.5%) did not. Propensity score matching yielded 1,868 well-balanced pairs. In-hospital mortality was lower in the rTM group (15.5% [290/1,868]) compared with the non-rTM group (19.7% [368/1,868]; risk difference: -4.2%, 95% CI, -6.6% to -1.7%; risk ratio: 0.79, 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.91).

Conclusions: Administration of rTM in patients with AP complicated by DIC was associated with lower in-hospital mortality.