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Nipocalimab Dose Selection in Generalized Myasthenia Gravis 尼波卡利单抗治疗广泛性重症肌无力的剂量选择。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70109
Belén Valenzuela, Martine Neyens, Yaowei Zhu, Sindhu Ramchandren, Anne-Gaëlle Dosne, Jocelyn H. Leu, Ruben Faelens, Leona E. Ling, Juan-José Pérez-Ruixo

Nipocalimab is a fully human immunoglobulin G (IgG)1 monoclonal antibody (mAb) designed to selectively block the IgG binding site of neonatal fragment crystallizable receptor (FcRn) to inhibit IgG recycling and decrease circulating IgG, including pathogenic IgG autoantibodies (such as antiacetylcholine receptor, anti-muscle-specific kinase, and anti-low-density lipoprotein-related protein 4 antibodies in generalized myasthenia gravis [gMG]). A mechanistic model, integrating serum nipocalimab concentrations, FcRn occupancy, and total serum IgG data from five phase 1 studies in healthy adult participants and one phase 2 (Vivacity-MG) study in adult participants with gMG, was developed. The relationship between total serum IgG reduction and placebo-corrected MG-Activities of Daily Living score change from baseline in participants with gMG was also characterized. Nipocalimab exhibited nonlinear target (FcRn)-mediated disposition, causing rapid, reversible, and concentration-dependent FcRn occupancy and IgG reduction (up to 85%) in healthy participants and participants with gMG. The PK of nipocalimab after a single intravenous (IV) administration is consistent with that after repeated IV administrations, with no accumulation following every 2 weeks (Q2W) dosing. The PK of nipocalimab and its effect on IgG reduction were similar between healthy participants and participants with gMG. Model-based simulations indicated that the IV dose of 15 mg/kg Q2W, starting 2 weeks after a 30 mg/kg IV loading dose, was the lowest Q2W maintenance dose predicted to achieve the target of 70% median of the average change in IgG reduction in participants with gMG and was the recommended dose for the pivotal phase 3 Vivacity-MG3 study in a gMG population.

Nipocalimab是一种全人源免疫球蛋白G (IgG)1单克隆抗体(mAb),可选择性阻断新生儿片段结晶受体(FcRn) IgG结合位点,抑制IgG再循环,减少循环IgG,包括致病性IgG自身抗体(如抗乙酰胆碱受体、抗肌肉特异性激酶、抗低密度脂蛋白相关蛋白4抗体)。我们建立了一个机制模型,整合了5项健康成人受试者的1期研究、1项成人gMG患者的2期研究(vivaci - mg)的血清尼波卡利单抗浓度、FcRn占用率和血清总IgG数据。gMG患者的血清总IgG降低与安慰剂校正的MG-Activities of Daily Living评分从基线变化之间的关系也被描述。Nipocalimab表现出非线性靶标(FcRn)介导的处理,在健康参与者和gMG参与者中引起快速、可逆和浓度依赖性的FcRn占用和IgG降低(高达85%)。单次静脉(IV)给药后nipocalimab的PK与多次静脉给药后的PK一致,每2周(Q2W)给药后无积累。尼波卡利单抗的PK值及其对IgG降低的影响在健康受试者和gMG受试者之间相似。基于模型的模拟表明,在静脉注射30mg /kg剂量2周后,15mg /kg Q2W的静脉注射剂量是gMG患者IgG减少平均变化中位数达到70%目标的最低Q2W维持剂量,也是关键3期vivaci - mg3研究中gMG人群的推荐剂量。
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引用次数: 0
QPRapp: A Web-Based Platform for PK/PD Simulations and Early Feasibility Analysis QPRapp:基于web的PK/PD模拟与早期可行性分析平台。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70107
Saroj Dhakal, Yorgos M. Psarellis, Nikhil Pillai, Panteleimon D. Mavroudis

Quantitative pharmacology research application (QPRapp) is a web-based, interactive, and easy to use Shiny for Python interface, which facilitates evaluation of dose-exposure relationships, pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) assessment of small and large molecules, and calculation of target occupancy for mono-, bi-, and tri-specific molecules. The dashboard sidebar offers a streamlined approach that incorporates multiple inputs, with various drop-down options to conduct respective simulations. The user can specify the type of molecule (small or large), number of model's compartments (one or two), and for large molecules, the number of drug's targets (one, two, or three). Additionally, the user can choose among the four indirect response PD models and execute the corresponding PK/PD simulations for small molecules. The platform application allows users to easily export simulated scenarios as CSV files for further analysis. Boasting features such as target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) and early feasibility analysis (EFA) for multi-specific molecules, this application can assist project teams with limited computational expertise in applying model-informed drug development (MIDD) during the early stages of drug discovery and development.

定量药理学研究应用程序(QPRapp)是一个基于web的、交互式的、易于使用的Shiny for Python界面,它有助于评估剂量-暴露关系,小分子和大分子的药代动力学/药效学(PK/PD)评估,以及计算单、双、三特异性分子的目标占用。仪表板侧边栏提供了一种简化的方法,它包含多个输入,并带有各种下拉选项来进行各自的模拟。用户可以指定分子的类型(小分子或大分子),模型室的数量(一个或两个),对于大分子,药物靶标的数量(一个、两个或三个)。此外,用户可以在四种间接响应PD模型中进行选择,并对小分子进行相应的PK/PD模拟。该平台应用程序允许用户轻松地将模拟场景导出为CSV文件,以便进行进一步分析。该应用程序具有目标介导的药物处置(TMDD)和多特异性分子的早期可行性分析(EFA)等功能,可以帮助项目团队在药物发现和开发的早期阶段应用基于模型的药物开发(MIDD)。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling and Simulation Identifies Endocytosis Uptake Rate and Fraction Unbound as Important Predictors of Oligonucleotide Pharmacokinetics 模型和模拟确定内吞摄取速率和未结合分数是寡核苷酸药代动力学的重要预测因子。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70108
Felix Stader, Abdallah Derbalah, Adriana Zyla, Cong Liu, Iain Gardner, Armin Sepp

Therapeutic oligonucleotides (TOs) represent an emerging modality, which offers a promising alternative treatment option, particularly for intracellular targets. The two types of TOs, antisense oligonucleotides (ASO) and small interfering RNAs (siRNAs), distribute highly into tissues, especially into the liver and the kidneys. However, molecular processes at the cellular level such as the uptake into the cell, endosomal escape, binding to the target mRNA, and redistribution back to the systemic circulation are not well characterized because experimental data and assays are lacking. We developed a whole-body PBPK model for TOs and verified the predictive performance against clinically observed data for three ASOs and five siRNAs. The predicted concentration-time profiles were in accordance with the clinically observed data for all investigated TOs, and all pharmacokinetic parameters were predicted within twofold. Sensitivity analysis with the evaluated PBPK model revealed that the endocytosis uptake rate and the fraction unbound in plasma impact the peak concentration (Cmax), time to Cmax (tmax), and the area under the curve (AUC) of a subcutaneously administered ASO, whereas the redistribution rate and the nuclease clearance had minor to no impact. The mathematical model can guide the development of required in vitro assays for key parameters to better understand the pharmacokinetics of TOs. PBPK models, parameterized with reliable in vitro data, could be used in the future to predict the pharmacokinetics in special populations with limited clinical data to ensure a safe and effective therapy.

治疗性寡核苷酸(TOs)代表了一种新兴的模式,它提供了一种有希望的替代治疗选择,特别是对于细胞内靶点。反义寡核苷酸(ASO)和小干扰rna (sirna)这两种TOs在组织中高度分布,特别是在肝脏和肾脏中。然而,由于缺乏实验数据和分析,细胞水平的分子过程,如进入细胞、内体逃逸、与靶mRNA结合以及再分配回体循环等,并没有很好地表征。我们开发了TOs的全身PBPK模型,并根据3种aso和5种sirna的临床观察数据验证了其预测性能。预测的浓度-时间曲线与所有研究TOs的临床观察数据一致,所有药代动力学参数的预测都在2倍以内。采用评价的PBPK模型进行敏感性分析,结果表明:血浆中未结合的酶解分数和内吞摄取率对皮下注射ASO的峰值浓度(Cmax)、到达Cmax的时间(tmax)和曲线下面积(AUC)有影响,而再分布率和核酸酶清除率则有轻微或无影响。该数学模型可以指导关键参数的体外测定,更好地了解TOs的药代动力学。采用可靠的体外数据参数化PBPK模型,未来可用于在临床数据有限的特殊人群中预测药代动力学,以确保安全有效的治疗。
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引用次数: 0
Response to “Enhance Multistate Models With Clinically Meaningful Graphs” 对“用临床有意义的图形增强多状态模型”的回应。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70111
Moustafa M. A. Ibrahim, Maria C. Kjellsson, Mats O. Karlsson

We thank Dr. Grevel for his interest in our article [1] and appreciate the opportunity to further clarify and elaborate on aspects of our analysis.

First, however, we would like to address a few apparent misunderstandings in Dr. Grevel's commentary [2]. Contrary to his assertion, the dataset we analyzed was not limited to the ten-year component of the FDPS. As detailed in the Data section of our article, the analysis also incorporated long-term follow-up data, which is further described in reference [3].

Dr. Grevel also noted that our model did not account for time-dependent hazards within transient states. However, our model does indeed incorporate such a feature, as the hazard functions for all transient states include time-varying age in a Gompertz-Makeham component.

Regarding the dependence of transitions on prior states, Dr. Grevel suggested that our model omits potential pathway-dependent transitions. While such modeling considerations can be appropriate when patients may reach a transient state via multiple distinct routes, this is not applicable in our case. In our model, there is no heterogeneity in the upstream pathways leading to any of the transient states.

Dr. Grevel notes the absence of certain figures that resemble those in a previous publication he co-authored [4]. One such figure corresponds closely to our figure 2. However, in our presentation, each trajectory is shown in a separate panel, enabling a clearer depiction of the agreement between model predictions and observed data. Also, Dr. Grevel would like us to display the sojourn times of the subjects in the study, which is not possible in our case due to the interval censoring. Finally, Dr. Grevel wondered whether the model could predict in which state a patient with a certain set of apparently significant covariates will most likely be, for example, 10 years after being assigned to one of the two intervention groups. This is already available in figure 2, which includes the model simulation of the probabilities of the different states over the whole study and follow-up period under the observed study design and covariates.

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

我们感谢Grevel博士对我们的文章b[1]的兴趣,并感谢有机会进一步澄清和阐述我们分析的各个方面。然而,首先,我们想澄清一下格雷维尔博士评论b[2]中一些明显的误解。与他的断言相反,我们分析的数据集并不局限于FDPS的十年组成部分。正如我们文章的数据部分所详述的那样,该分析还纳入了长期随访数据,这在参考文献bbb中有进一步描述。Grevel还指出,我们的模型没有考虑瞬态中随时间变化的危险。然而,我们的模型确实包含了这样一个特征,因为所有瞬态的危险函数都包含了Gompertz-Makeham分量中的时变年龄。关于转换对先前状态的依赖,Grevel博士建议我们的模型忽略了潜在的通路依赖转换。虽然当患者可能通过多种不同的途径达到短暂状态时,这样的建模考虑可能是合适的,但这不适用于我们的情况。在我们的模型中,上游途径没有异质性,导致任何一种瞬态。格雷维尔指出,在他之前与人合著的一篇文章b[4]中,缺少与之相似的某些数字。其中一个图形与我们的图2非常相似。然而,在我们的报告中,每条轨迹都显示在一个单独的面板中,从而能够更清晰地描述模型预测和观测数据之间的一致性。此外,格雷维尔博士希望我们显示研究对象的逗留时间,由于间隔审查,这在我们的情况下是不可能的。最后,格雷维尔博士想知道,该模型是否能够预测,例如,在被分配到两个干预组之一的10年后,具有一组明显显著的协变量的患者最有可能处于哪种状态。这已经在图2中得到,其中包括在观察到的研究设计和协变量下,对整个研究和随访期间不同状态的概率的模型模拟。作者声明无利益冲突。
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引用次数: 0
Enhance Multistate Models With Clinically Meaningful Graphs 用临床有意义的图形增强多状态模型。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70110
Joachim Grevel
<p>It is a laudable effort to reanalyze historic datasets with improved methods as do Ibrahim et al. [<span>1</span>] with a quarter century-old study on diabetes prevention [<span>2</span>]. They state that the new analysis reduced potential bias in the original results by accounting for competing risks and by respecting the interval-censored nature of the data collection. This commentary does not focus on the lack of evidence that bias was indeed avoided. It asks instead the question of whether the new analysis presented meaningful and clinically interesting results.</p><p>Coming from a similar training background as the authors [<span>1</span>], I know the temptation to use time-proven and familiar software and to tweak the methods until the top-down, data-driven model fits. In the current analysis [<span>1</span>], NONMEM was applied to estimate rate parameters and covariate influences that govern the probabilities (P1, P2, P3, P4, and P5) for a subject to reside in any of the 5 possible states of a multistate model (figure 1 [<span>1</span>]).</p><p>Over the decades, some of us pharmacometric modelers have formed a community that has become rather insensitive to the physiologic meaning of the parameters we estimate (while others underwent the arduous work to build physiologically meaningful models). Consequently, we are content with models that are “fit-for-purpose”.</p><p>In that vein, the authors [<span>1</span>] show that the chosen final model fits the data (figures 2 and 4) and that 95% confidence intervals support the choice of significant covariates (figure 3). The question remains whether the results are meaningful and clinically interesting.</p><p>The model set-up (equations 10 through 15 [<span>1</span>]) follows the Markovian assumption that a transition into a future state depends only on the current state and not on the time spent in the current state nor on transitions from previous states. As with any longitudinal clinical data, the time already spent in a certain non-absorbing state should influence the hazard rates of future transitions. Thus, the multistate model should, in my opinion, be analyzed as a semi-Markov process.</p><p>I miss a presentation (as, e.g., in figure 5 of [<span>3</span>]) where all 5 state occupancy probabilities are displayed simultaneously at all times after the start of the study. I also think that a statistical hypothesis test should demonstrate how the intervention influences the time spent in certain passages of interest involving more than two neighboring states (as, e.g., in figure 6 of [<span>3</span>]). Finally, I wonder whether the model can actually predict in which state a patient with a certain set of apparently significant covariates (baseline BMI, HbA1c, insulin sensitivity, sex and age) will most likely be, for example, 10 years after being assigned to one of the two intervention groups.</p><p>Such displays and tests would in my eyes be more meaningful and clinically interesting than a
这是一个值得称赞的努力,用改进的方法重新分析历史数据集,正如Ibrahim等人用四分之一世纪前的糖尿病预防研究所做的那样。他们指出,新的分析通过考虑竞争风险和尊重数据收集的间隔审查性质,减少了原始结果中的潜在偏差。这篇评论并不关注缺乏证据证明确实避免了偏见。相反,它提出的问题是,新的分析是否提出了有意义和临床有趣的结果。与作者[1]有着相似的培训背景,我知道使用经过时间验证和熟悉的软件并调整方法直到自上而下的数据驱动模型适合的诱惑。在当前的分析[1]中,NONMEM被用于估计控制概率(P1, P2, P3, P4和P5)的速率参数和协变量影响,以确定受试者处于多状态模型的5种可能状态中的任何一种(图1[1])。几十年来,我们中的一些药物计量建模者已经形成了一个社区,对我们估计的参数的生理意义变得相当不敏感(而其他人则经历了艰巨的工作来建立有生理意义的模型)。因此,我们满足于“适合目的”的模型。在这种情况下,作者[1]表明所选择的最终模型符合数据(图2和4),95%的置信区间支持重要协变量的选择(图3)。问题仍然是这些结果是否有意义,在临床上是否有趣。模型设置(公式10到15[1])遵循马尔可夫假设,即过渡到未来状态仅取决于当前状态,而不取决于在当前状态中花费的时间,也不取决于从以前状态的过渡。与任何纵向临床数据一样,已经处于某种非吸收状态的时间应该会影响未来转变的危险率。因此,在我看来,多状态模型应该作为半马尔可夫过程来分析。我错过了一个演示(例如,b[3]的图5),在研究开始后的任何时候都同时显示所有5个状态的占用概率。我还认为,统计假设检验应该证明干预如何影响在涉及两个以上相邻状态的某些感兴趣的段落中花费的时间(例如,b[3]的图6)。最后,我想知道这个模型是否真的可以预测,例如,在被分配到两个干预组之一的10年后,具有一组明显显著的协变量(基线BMI、HbA1c、胰岛素敏感性、性别和年龄)的患者最有可能处于哪种状态。在我看来,这样的展示和测试比“开发的模型[…]表明生活方式的改变显著降低了患糖尿病和死亡的风险”的声明更有意义,也更有临床意义。也许作者会找时间制作一些展示,向读者展示他们声称的风险降低。作者声明无利益冲突。
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引用次数: 0
Rosuvastatin PBPK Modeling: Incorporating Liver Concentrations and Effects of Ethnicity, Genetic Polymorphisms, Lactone Formation, DDI and Pregnancy 瑞舒伐他汀PBPK模型:结合肝脏浓度和种族、遗传多态性、内酯形成、DDI和妊娠的影响。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70097
Ankit Balhara, Robert H. Weber, Jashvant D. Unadkat

Rosuvastatin (RSV), a potent HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor, is widely used for the management of hyperlipidemia and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Its absorption and disposition are primarily transporter-mediated, involving intestinal absorption by OATP2B1 and efflux by BCRP; hepatic uptake by OATP1B1, OATP1B3, OATP2B1, and NTCP; and biliary excretion by BCRP and MRP2. Given its minimal metabolism, RSV serves as a model substrate for transporter-based drug absorption, disposition, and DDI studies. We developed and verified a PBPK model of RSV using a middle-out approach, incorporating extensive in vitro and in vivo data. The model was verified with > 75 datasets, including plasma and hepatic RSV concentrations from PET imaging studies. The model successfully captured RSV PK profiles in the Caucasian, Chinese, Malay, Japanese, and Korean populations. It also accurately captured the interconversion of RSV and RSV-lactone, changes in RSV PK due to OATP1B1 and BCRP polymorphisms, and DDI with rifampin or cyclosporine. Sensitivity analyses revealed that reduced hepatic OATP1B1 activity and/or intestinal BCRP efflux are likely determinants of altered RSV PK in the third trimester. Compared to previous models, our model extensively incorporates genetic polymorphisms, ethnic variability, reversible metabolism to the lactone, DDI, and pregnancy, allowing its use in the future to facilitate RSV dose optimization in multiple populations, including pregnant individuals.

瑞舒伐他汀(RSV)是一种有效的HMG-CoA还原酶抑制剂,广泛用于治疗高脂血症和预防心血管疾病。其吸收和处置主要是转运蛋白介导的,包括OATP2B1的肠道吸收和BCRP的外排;OATP1B1、OATP1B3、OATP2B1和NTCP的肝摄取;BCRP和MRP2对胆汁排泄的影响。鉴于其最低的代谢,RSV可作为基于转运体的药物吸收、处置和DDI研究的模型底物。我们使用中间方法开发并验证了RSV的PBPK模型,并结合了大量的体外和体内数据。该模型用bbbb75数据集进行了验证,包括PET成像研究的血浆和肝脏RSV浓度。该模型成功捕获了高加索人、中国人、马来人、日本人和韩国人的RSV PK谱。它还准确地捕获了RSV与RSV-内酯的相互转化,由于OATP1B1和BCRP多态性引起的RSV PK的变化,以及利福平或环孢素的DDI。敏感性分析显示,肝脏OATP1B1活性降低和/或肠道BCRP外排可能是妊娠晚期RSV PK改变的决定因素。与以前的模型相比,我们的模型广泛地纳入了遗传多态性、种族差异、内酯可逆代谢、DDI和妊娠,允许其在未来用于促进包括怀孕个体在内的多个人群的RSV剂量优化。
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引用次数: 0
Model-Informed Drug Development for Ligelizumab in Patients With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria 慢性自发性荨麻疹患者利利珠单抗的模型知情药物开发。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70098
Andrzej Bienczak, Aurelie Gautier, Eva Hua, Yan Ji, Emil Scosyrev, Serge Smeets, Thomas Severin, Anton Drollmann, Manmath Patekar, Marina Savelieva

Model-informed drug development (MIDD) has been increasingly applied to guide decision-making, ameliorate efficiency, and enhance the likelihood of successful trials. The development of ligelizumab, a humanized anti-IgE monoclonal antibody, in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) illustrated how MIDD can be applied to support central aspects of drug development, such as dose selection and trial design, pediatric drug development and extrapolation, generation of evidence to support potential labeling, optimizing treatment outcomes, and enhancing patient access. In this manuscript, we provide an overview of the key modeling and simulation analyses that were part of the MIDD approach for the development of ligelizumab in CSU and how they were staggered around the availability of interim and final data from the Phase 2 and Phase 3 studies. Furthermore, we present details of the non-linear mixed-effects models characterizing the population pharmacokinetics and exposure-response relationship of ligelizumab for efficacy in adolescent and adult patients with CSU.

基于模型的药物开发(MIDD)已越来越多地应用于指导决策、改善效率和提高试验成功的可能性。慢性自发性荨麻疹(CSU)的人源抗ige单克隆抗体ligelizumab的开发说明了MIDD如何应用于支持药物开发的核心方面,例如剂量选择和试验设计,儿科药物开发和外推,生成支持潜在标记的证据,优化治疗结果,以及增强患者可及性。在本文中,我们概述了lielizumab在CSU中开发的MIDD方法的关键建模和仿真分析,以及它们如何围绕2期和3期研究的中期和最终数据的可用性进行交错。此外,我们详细介绍了非线性混合效应模型,描述了利利珠单抗对青少年和成人CSU患者疗效的群体药代动力学和暴露-反应关系。
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引用次数: 0
Population Pharmacokinetic Model of Pegbing in Healthy Subjects and Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Pegbing在健康人群和慢性乙型肝炎患者中的人群药代动力学模型。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70104
Weizhe Jian, Yalin Yin, Rong Chen, Pingyao Luo, Tianyu Wang, Jianbo Gu, Zhengfang Du, Lei Cai, Tianyu Bao, Junsheng Xue, Ruoyi He, Tianyan Zhou

Pegbing (peginterferon alpha-2b) is a polyethylene glycol-modified interferon α-2b injection that has demonstrated favorable efficacy and safety profiles in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to develop a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model of Pegbing in both healthy subjects and CHB patients and to investigate the influence of covariates on its pharmacokinetic behavior. Pharmacokinetic data were obtained from a Phase I trial in healthy volunteers and a Phase II trial in CHB patients. A one-compartment model with a target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) component incorporating IFN receptor downregulation was established to describe the pooled data from 28 healthy subjects and 39 CHB patients. Physiologically reasonable parameters were estimated, providing a good description and prediction of the model. Furthermore, the final PopPK model was externally validated using an independent dataset of 115 CHB patients. In the covariate analysis, health status (healthy v.s. CHB) was a significant covariate, affecting the Pegbing absorption rate, creatinine clearance was associated with clearance, and body weight affected the volume of distribution. Compared with healthy subjects, CHB patients exhibited a consistent area under the curve (AUC) but a higher Cmax. A PopPK model of Pegbing in both healthy volunteers and CHB patients was successfully established. Based on the model simulation, covariate-based dose adjustment is unnecessary for CHB patients with normal renal function.

聚乙二醇干扰素(peg -干扰素α-2b)是一种聚乙二醇修饰的干扰素α-2b注射剂,在治疗慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)中显示出良好的疗效和安全性。本研究旨在建立Pegbing在健康受试者和慢性乙型肝炎患者中的群体药代动力学(PopPK)模型,并探讨协变量对其药代动力学行为的影响。药代动力学数据来自健康志愿者的I期试验和慢性乙型肝炎患者的II期试验。我们建立了一个包含IFN受体下调的靶介导药物处置(TMDD)成分的单室模型来描述来自28名健康受试者和39名慢性乙型脑病患者的汇总数据。估计了生理上合理的参数,为模型提供了良好的描述和预测。此外,使用115例CHB患者的独立数据集对最终的PopPK模型进行了外部验证。在协变量分析中,健康状态(健康vs . CHB)是影响Pegbing吸收率的显著协变量,肌酐清除率与清除率相关,体重影响分布容积。与健康受试者相比,慢性乙型肝炎患者曲线下面积(AUC)一致,但Cmax较高。成功建立了健康志愿者和慢性乙型肝炎患者的Pegbing PopPK模型。根据模型模拟,对于肾功能正常的CHB患者,不需要协变量为基础的剂量调整。
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引用次数: 0
A Bayesian Approach to Compare Accumulating Survival Data From Clinical Practice With RCT Data: A Case Study in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients 贝叶斯方法比较临床实践积累的生存数据与RCT数据:一个非小细胞肺癌患者的案例研究。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70075
Marjon V. Verschueren, Daniel V. Verschueren, Ewoudt M. W. van de Garde, Lourens T. Bloem

Survival outcomes observed in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) may not always be generalizable to clinical practice. Evaluating whether treatment outcomes in clinical practice are similar to those in RCTs shortly after a new medicine is introduced is important for making informed decisions. Therefore, we aimed to develop a Bayesian model that compares survival data from clinical practice that accumulates over time with static survival data from RCTs, thereby providing rapid and easily interpretable results that can inform clinical and policy-related decision-making. We developed a Bayesian survival model that sequentially updates estimates as new data become available. We designed the model to incorporate static RCT data with accumulating clinical practice data. We used sequential hypothesis testing with Bayes factors to assess the strength of the evidence for different hazard ratio (HR) thresholds (i.e., ranging from HR > 1.0 to > 2.0 and HR < 0.5 to < 1.0). We applied the model to two datasets comprising survival data from clinical practice and an RCT for lung cancer patients treated with pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy (dataset 1) and pembrolizumab monotherapy (dataset 2). For dataset 1, the posterior model checks showed a misfit between the model and the data after 15 months, potentially due to channeling bias. The model fit should be improved before reliable estimates can be obtained. For dataset 2, the model estimated precise HRs 10 months before the end of data accumulation. Sequential hypothesis testing with Bayes factors provided easily interpretable results, with very strong evidence for an HR > 1.0 and strong evidence for an HR > 1.2. In conclusion, provided the posterior check shows an acceptable model fit, our Bayesian survival model with sequential hypothesis testing using Bayes factors can provide rapid and easily interpretable results for decision-making.

随机对照试验(rct)中观察到的生存结果可能并不总是适用于临床实践。在引进一种新药后,评估临床实践中的治疗结果是否与随机对照试验中的相似,对于做出明智的决定非常重要。因此,我们旨在建立一个贝叶斯模型,将临床实践中积累的生存数据与随机对照试验中的静态生存数据进行比较,从而提供快速且易于解释的结果,为临床和政策相关决策提供信息。我们开发了一个贝叶斯生存模型,随着新数据的出现,它会依次更新估计。我们设计的模型结合了静态RCT数据和累积的临床实践数据。我们使用贝叶斯因子的序贯假设检验来评估不同风险比(HR)阈值的证据强度(即,从HR >.0到>.0和HR 1.0,以及HR >.2的强证据)。综上所述,如果后验检验显示模型拟合可接受,我们的贝叶斯生存模型使用贝叶斯因子进行序贯假设检验,可以为决策提供快速且易于解释的结果。
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引用次数: 0
A Combined Modeling Approach to Predict the Effect of Gastric Emptying Delay on the Pharmacokinetics of Small Molecules 预测胃排空延迟对小分子药代动力学影响的联合建模方法。
IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70101
Maria M. Posada, Karen B. Schneck, Bridget L. Morse, Luc R. A. Rougee, Lai San Tham, Jessica F. Rehmel, Brian Thompson, Stephen D. Stamatis, Stephen D. Hall, Gemma L. Dickinson

Dulaglutide, a long-acting glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist, is approved for improving glycemic control and reducing cardiovascular risks in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This research investigates the effect of dulaglutide on gastric emptying and its impact on the pharmacokinetics (PK) of orally administered molecules utilizing a combination of population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) and physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling approaches. In clinical studies, the gastric emptying delay (GED) was evaluated in healthy participants and patients with T2DM at various dose levels of dulaglutide. A PopPK model estimated the exposure-dependent delay in gastric emptying, which was then input into the orally administered small molecule PBPK models. These PBPK models, informed by internal clinical studies and publicly available data, quantified the effect of dulaglutide-induced GED on the area under the curve (AUC), maximum concentration (Cmax), and time to maximum concentration (tmax) of the co-administered drugs. The modeling approach was verified for reproducing observed GED-mediated drug–drug interactions (DDIs) at low doses of dulaglutide and to predict DDIs at a 4.5 mg dulaglutide dose. The clinical studies demonstrated that the 1.5 mg dulaglutide dose has no clinically relevant effect on the pharmacokinetics of small molecules, and the modeling led to a similar conclusion at 4.5 mg dulaglutide. This work demonstrates that modeling approaches can be used to predict potential GLP-1-mediated DDIs related to gastric emptying delay, increasing the efficiency of the clinical pharmacology programs.

Dulaglutide是一种长效胰高血糖素样肽-1 (GLP-1)受体激动剂,被批准用于改善2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者的血糖控制和降低心血管风险。本研究利用群体药代动力学(PopPK)和基于生理的药代动力学(PBPK)建模方法,研究了杜拉鲁肽对胃排空的影响及其对口服给药分子药代动力学(PK)的影响。在临床研究中,对健康参与者和T2DM患者在不同剂量的杜拉鲁肽下的胃排空延迟(GED)进行了评估。PopPK模型估计了胃排空的暴露依赖性延迟,然后将其输入口服小分子PBPK模型。这些PBPK模型根据内部临床研究和公开数据,量化了杜拉鲁肽诱导的GED对共同给药药物的曲线下面积(AUC)、最大浓度(Cmax)和达到最大浓度时间(tmax)的影响。该建模方法在低剂量杜拉鲁肽下重现了观察到的ged介导的药物-药物相互作用(ddi),并预测了4.5 mg杜拉鲁肽剂量下的ddi。临床研究表明,1.5 mg杜拉鲁肽剂量对小分子药代动力学无临床相关影响,而4.5 mg杜拉鲁肽的模型也得出类似结论。这项工作表明,建模方法可用于预测与胃排空延迟相关的glp -1介导的潜在ddi,从而提高临床药理学计划的效率。
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引用次数: 0
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CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
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