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Moving the needle for oncology dose optimization: A call for action 推动肿瘤剂量优化:行动呼吁。
IF 3.5 3区 医学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13157
Karthik Venkatakrishnan, Priya Jayachandran, Shirley K. Seo, Piet H. van der Graaf, John A. Wagner, Neeraj Gupta

Project Optimus is a major FDA initiative aimed at ensuring dose optimization in oncology drug development, moving away from the maximum tolerated dose paradigm and prospectively characterizing dose–response for efficacy and safety for patient-focused maximization of benefit versus risk.1-3 Mitigating toxicities and enhancing overall benefit versus risk of oncology therapies necessitates dose optimization with commitment to evaluation of innovative dosing paradigms including individualized approaches, where appropriate. This requires the quantitative integration of pharmacological mechanism of action, efficacy, and safety in the context of associated population variability. The problem of dose optimization in the context of mechanism of action, cancer pathophysiology, and associated population variability sits neatly at the intersection of translational/ precision medicine and quantitative clinical pharmacology and is important to approach with a patient-focused mindset.

Forums convened on the topic of oncology dose optimization largely engage scientific leaders primarily working on oncology research and development, and cancer medicine. These include workshops organized by Friends of Cancer Research (FOCR),4 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO),5, 6 American Association for Cancer Research (AACR),7, 8 and the International Society of Pharmacometrics (ISoP)9 in partnership with the US Food and Drugs Administration (FDA). Of note, some of these efforts have yielded seminal publications1, 2, 10-13 and White Papers14 offering initial recommendations, including availability of a Draft FDA guidance on the topic.15 We posited that the American Society for Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics (ASCPT) – as a premier scientific and professional organization for clinical pharmacology and translational medicine – is optimally positioned to host a discussion of opportunities for our constituent disciplines (e.g., translational science, clinical pharmacology, pharmacometrics) to synergistically address this problem with a multi-disciplinary approach. To this end, a session was convened at the 2023 ASCPT Annual Meeting bringing together representative scientific leaders from the three scientific journals of the Society – Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics (CPT), Clinical and Translational Science (CTS), and CPT: Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology (PSP). These scientific leaders, as at-large representatives of the disciplines of clinical pharmacology and translational medicine, were invited to bring forward their opinions and participate in a fireside chat to identify opportunities for moving the oncology dose optimization needle. This enabled engagement of a broad group of experts without requiring pri

2, 3, 14, 30-33 通过整合模型开发生命周期、贝叶斯试验设计以及整个开发过程中的学习与确认思维,该框架可用于前瞻性地指导剂量优化。作为非肿瘤学家研究肿瘤学难题的主要优势之一是能够将其他治疗领域的类似原则和成功案例转化为肿瘤学。这些例子有助于丰富解决长期问题的整体方法。一个明显的相关例子是艾滋病药物的发现。20 世纪 80 年代,艾滋病确诊后的平均预期寿命约为一年。到 20 世纪 90 年代初,艾滋病已成为 25 至 44 岁美国人的主要死因。在许多方面,与癌症一样,拯救生命的紧迫性和控制疫情的治疗需求推动了创新和发现。发现阶段的开始确实导致了一些不成熟的剂量--齐多夫定最初以 200 毫克 q4h 的剂量进行研究并获得批准,这导致了严重的贫血和中性粒细胞减少症。然而,通过临床试验对剂量进行更多的微调,最终确定了目前每天两次、每次 300 毫克的剂量方案。一路走来,HIV 感染在很大程度上被视为一种慢性疾病,患者的预期寿命接近正常,生活质量也大大提高。其中一些进步包括对抗逆转录病毒药物的药理机制有了更深入和持续的了解,开发出了更先进的诊断方法,早期生物标志物也得到了认可。当这些方法同时使用时,就会产生一种高度集成的先进方法来解决紧迫的公共卫生问题。肿瘤学领域目前面临的最大挑战之一是如何操作的问题。无论在哪个疾病领域,从一开始就进行适当的前瞻性剂量测定、专注于广泛的战略以及早期生物标志物工作都会带来巨大的益处。有几个例子,如降低血压、降低 HbA1c 和降低低密度脂蛋白胆固醇,已经得到了广泛的研究,并与相关结果密切相关,因此它们现在都被视为替代终点。因此,在早期阶段探索生物标志物可能是一个极其重要的投资领域,具有获得高回报率的潜力。肿瘤学是制药研发领域的一个主要治疗领域,其治疗方式多种多样,精准医疗取得了爆炸性的进展。肿瘤学药物开发涉及多维度优化,其中剂量是多个维度之一(图 4),需要以 "证据整体性 "的思维方式生成相互关联和迭代的证据。在针对具有不同分子足迹的癌症开发量身定制的精准药物时,剂量选择不能采用 "一刀切 "的方法。肿瘤分子特征和宿主免疫表型的多样性是发现和开发适合所有患者的精准肿瘤疗法的重要考虑因素。生物标志物科学和转化信息学的进步使得深入分析不同患者群体的癌症生物学和免疫学多样性成为可能,机器学习和人工智能的应用也在迅速兴起,以利用这些多模态多维数据。这些数据是开发下一代 QSP 平台的宝贵输入,可将其无缝集成到临床药物开发中,以确定临床反应和剂量要求差异的生物学决定因素。从我们 2023 年 ASCPT 调查的结果可以看出,约 60% 的调查对象并不认为随机剂量范围评估在所有情况下都是剂量优化的必要条件。26, 46-48 在 "证据的整体性 "方法中,通过建模和模拟,以机制知情的方式整合多种方法和数据源,通过一致性获得信心,从而证实证据。在开发新型治疗模式(如多特异性生物制剂和细胞疗法)时,这种整体综合方法至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
A novel Bayesian generative approach for estimating tumor dynamics from published studies 从已发表的研究中估算肿瘤动态的新型贝叶斯生成方法。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13163
Arya Pourzanjani, Saurabh Modi, Jamie Connarn, Xinwen Zhang, Vijay Upreti, Chih-Wei Lin, Khamir Mehta

Tumor growth inhibition (TGI) modeling attempts to describe the time course changes in tumor size for patients undergoing cancer therapy. TGI models present several advantages over traditional exposure–response models that are based explicitly on clinical end points and have become a popular tool in the pharmacometrics community. Unfortunately, the data required to fit TGI models, namely longitudinal tumor measurements, are sparse or often not available in literature or publicly accessible databases. On the contrary, common end points such as progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) are directly derived from longitudinal tumor measurements and are routinely published. To this end, a Bayesian generative model relating underlying tumor dynamics to summary PFS and ORR data is introduced to learn TGI model parameters using only published summary data. The parameterized model can describe the tumor dynamics, quantify treatment effect, and account for differences in the study population. The utility of this model is shown by applying it to several published studies, and learned parameters are combined to simulate an in silico trial of a novel combination therapy in a novel setting.

肿瘤生长抑制(TGI)模型试图描述接受癌症治疗的患者肿瘤大小的时间变化过程。与明确基于临床终点的传统暴露-反应模型相比,TGI 模型具有多项优势,并已成为药物计量学界的热门工具。遗憾的是,拟合 TGI 模型所需的数据,即肿瘤纵向测量数据,在文献或可公开访问的数据库中非常稀少或往往无法获得。相反,无进展生存期(PFS)和客观反应率(ORR)等常见终点则是直接从纵向肿瘤测量数据中得出的,并定期公布。为此,我们引入了一种贝叶斯生成模型,该模型将潜在的肿瘤动态与 PFS 和 ORR 的汇总数据联系起来,仅使用已公布的汇总数据来学习 TGI 模型参数。参数化模型可以描述肿瘤动态、量化治疗效果并考虑研究人群的差异。通过将该模型应用于几项已发表的研究,展示了该模型的实用性,并将学习到的参数结合起来,模拟了一种新型联合疗法在新环境下的硅学试验。
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引用次数: 0
Item performance of the scale for the assessment and rating of ataxia in rare and ultra-rare genetic ataxias 罕见和超罕见遗传性共济失调症共济失调评估和评级量表的项目性能。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13162
Alzahra Hamdan, Andrew C. Hooker, Xiaomei Chen, Andreas Traschütz, Rebecca Schüle, ARCA Study Group, EVIDENCE-RND consortium, Matthis Synofzik, Mats O. Karlsson

The Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA) is widely used for assessing the severity and progression of genetic cerebellar ataxias. SARA is now considered a primary end point in several ataxia treatment trials, but its underlying composite item measurement model has not yet been tested. This work aimed to evaluate the composite properties of SARA and its items using item response theory (IRT) and to demonstrate its applicability across even ultra-rare genetic ataxias. Leveraging SARA subscores data from 1932 visits from 990 patients of the Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCA) registry, we assessed the performance of SARA using IRT methodology. The item characteristics were evaluated over the ataxia severity range of the entire ataxia population as well as the assessment validity across 115 genetic ARCA subpopulations. A unidimensional IRT model was able to describe SARA item data, indicating that SARA captures one single latent variable. All items had high discrimination values (1.5–2.9) indicating the effectiveness of the SARA in differentiating between subjects with different disease statuses. Each item contributed between 7% and 28% of the total assessment informativeness. There was no evidence for differences between the 115 genetic ARCA subpopulations in SARA applicability. These results show the good discrimination ability of SARA with all of its items adding informational value. The IRT framework provides a thorough description of SARA on the item level, and facilitates its utilization as a clinical outcome assessment in upcoming longitudinal natural history or treatment trials, across a large number of ataxias, including ultra-rare ones.

共济失调评估和评级量表(SARA)被广泛用于评估遗传性小脑性共济失调的严重程度和进展情况。目前,SARA 被认为是几项共济失调治疗试验的主要终点,但其基本的复合项目测量模型尚未经过测试。这项工作旨在利用项目反应理论(IRT)评估 SARA 及其项目的综合属性,并证明其适用于甚至是超罕见的遗传性共济失调。我们利用常染色体隐性遗传小脑性共济失调症(ARCA)登记处 990 名患者 1932 次就诊的 SARA 次评分数据,采用 IRT 方法评估了 SARA 的性能。我们评估了整个共济失调人群共济失调严重程度范围内的项目特征,以及 115 个遗传性 ARCA 亚群的评估有效性。单维 IRT 模型能够描述 SARA 的项目数据,这表明 SARA 抓住了一个单一的潜在变量。所有项目都具有较高的区分度值(1.5-2.9),表明 SARA 能够有效区分不同疾病状态的受试者。每个项目占总评估信息量的 7% 至 28%。没有证据表明 115 个遗传 ARCA 亚群在 SARA 适用性方面存在差异。这些结果表明,SARA 具有良好的分辨能力,其所有项目都能增加信息价值。IRT 框架提供了对 SARA 在项目层面上的全面描述,有助于将其用作即将开展的纵向自然史或治疗试验中的临床结果评估,适用于大量的共济失调,包括超罕见的共济失调。
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引用次数: 0
Population pharmacokinetics of imetelstat, a first-in-class oligonucleotide telomerase inhibitor 第一类寡核苷酸端粒酶抑制剂伊美司他的群体药代动力学。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13160
Mario González-Sales, Ashley L. Lennox, Fei Huang, Chandra Pamulapati, Ying Wan, Libo Sun, Tymara Berry, Melissa Kelly Behrs, Faye Feller, Peter N. Morcos

Imetelstat is a novel, first-in-class, oligonucleotide telomerase inhibitor in development for the treatment of hematologic malignancies including lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes and myelofibrosis. A nonlinear mixed-effects model was developed to characterize the population pharmacokinetics of imetelstat and identify and quantify covariates that contribute to its pharmacokinetic variability. The model was developed using plasma concentrations from 7 clinical studies including 424 patients with solid tumors or hematologic malignancies who received single-agent imetelstat via intravenous infusion at various dose levels (0.4–11.7 mg/kg) and schedules (every week to every 4 weeks). Covariate analysis included factors related to demographics, disease, laboratory results, renal and hepatic function, and antidrug antibodies. Imetelstat was described by a two-compartment, nonlinear disposition model with saturable binding/distribution and dose- and time-dependent elimination from the central compartment. Theory-based allometric scaling for body weight was included in disposition parameters. The final covariates included sex, time, malignancy, and dose on clearance; malignancy and sex on volume of the central compartment; and malignancy and spleen volume on concentration of target. Clearance in females was modestly lower, resulting in nonclinically relevant increases in predicted exposure relative to males. No effects on imetelstat pharmacokinetics were identified for mild-to-moderate hepatic or renal impairment, age, race, and antidrug antibody status. All model parameters were estimated with adequate precision (relative standard error < 29%). Visual predictive checks confirmed the capacity of the model to describe the data. The analysis supports the imetelstat body-weight–based dosing approach and lack of need for dose individualizations for imetelstat-treated patients.

依美司他是一种新型、同类首创的寡核苷酸端粒酶抑制剂,目前正在开发用于治疗血液系统恶性肿瘤,包括风险较低的骨髓增生异常综合征和骨髓纤维化。我们建立了一个非线性混合效应模型来描述伊美司他的群体药代动力学特征,并识别和量化导致其药代动力学变异的协变量。该模型是利用 7 项临床研究的血浆浓度建立的,包括 424 名实体瘤或血液系统恶性肿瘤患者,他们通过静脉输注以不同的剂量水平(0.4-11.7 mg/kg)和时间安排(每周至每 4 周)接受了单药依美司他。协变量分析包括与人口统计学、疾病、实验室结果、肝肾功能和抗药抗体相关的因素。依美司他由一个两室非线性处置模型来描述,该模型具有饱和结合/分布以及从中心室消除的剂量和时间依赖性。处置参数中包括基于理论的体重异速比例。最终的协变量包括:性别、时间、恶性程度和剂量对清除率的影响;恶性程度和性别对中心区容积的影响;恶性程度和脾脏容积对目标物浓度的影响。女性的清除率略低,因此与男性相比,预测暴露量的增加与临床无关。未发现轻度至中度肝肾功能损害、年龄、种族和抗药抗体状态对伊美司坦药代动力学有影响。所有模型参数的估算都具有足够的精确度(相对标准误差
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative systems pharmacology modeling of tumor heterogeneity in response to BH3-mimetics using virtual tumors calibrated with cell viability assays 利用经细胞活力测定校准的虚拟肿瘤,建立肿瘤对 BH3-模拟物反应异质性的定量系统药理学模型。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13158
Thibaud Derippe, Sylvain Fouliard, Xavier Decleves, Donald E. Mager

Both primary and acquired resistance mechanisms that involve intra-tumoral cell heterogeneity limit the use of BH3-mimetics to trigger tumor cell apoptosis. This article proposes a new quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP)-based methodology in which cell viability assays are used to calibrate virtual tumors (VTs) made of virtual cells whose fate is determined by simulations from an apoptosis QSP model. VTs representing SU-DHL-4 and KARPAS-422 cell lines were calibrated using in vitro data involving venetoclax (anti-BCL2), A-1155463 (anti-BCLXL), and/or A-1210477 (anti-MCL1). The calibrated VTs provide insights into the combination of several BH3-mimetics, such as the distinction between cells eliminated by at least one of the drugs (monotherapies) from the cells eliminated by a pharmacological combination only. Calibrated VTs can also be used as initial conditions in an agent-based model (ABM) framework, and a minimal ABM was developed to bridge in vitro SU-DHL-4 cell viability results to tumor growth inhibition experiments in mice.

涉及瘤内细胞异质性的原发性和获得性耐药机制限制了BH3-模拟物引发肿瘤细胞凋亡的使用。本文提出了一种基于定量系统药理学(QSP)的新方法,即利用细胞活力测定来校准由虚拟细胞组成的虚拟肿瘤(VT),虚拟细胞的命运由凋亡QSP模型模拟决定。代表 SU-DHL-4 和 KARPAS-422 细胞系的 VTs 是利用涉及 venetoclax(抗 BCL2)、A-1155463(抗 BCLXL)和/或 A-1210477(抗 MCL1)的体外数据进行校准的。经过校准的 VTs 可以帮助我们深入了解几种 BH3 拟效药的联合作用,例如区分被至少一种药物(单一疗法)消除的细胞和仅被药物组合消除的细胞。校准的VTs还可用作基于代理的模型(ABM)框架的初始条件,并开发了一个最小的ABM,将体外SU-DHL-4细胞活力结果与小鼠肿瘤生长抑制实验联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Elucidating nonlinear pharmacokinetics of telmisartan: Integration of target-mediated drug disposition and OATP1B3-mediated hepatic uptake in a physiologically based model 阐明替米沙坦的非线性药代动力学:将靶点介导的药物处置和 OATP1B3 介导的肝摄取整合到基于生理学的模型中。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13154
Toshiaki Tsuchitani, Atsuko Tomaru, Yasunori Aoki, Naoki Ishiguro, Yasuhiro Tsuda, Yuichi Sugiyama

Telmisartan, a selective inhibitor of angiotensin II receptor type 1 (AT1), demonstrates nonlinear pharmacokinetics (PK) when orally administered in ascending doses to healthy volunteers, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. This study presents a physiologically based pharmacokinetic model integrated with target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD-PBPK model) to explore the mechanism of its nonlinear PK. We employed the Cluster-Gauss Newton method for top-down analysis, estimating the in vivo Km,OATP1B3 (Michaelis–Menten constant for telmisartan hepatic uptake via Organic Anion Transporting Polypeptide 1B3) to be 2.0–5.7 nM. This range is significantly lower than the reported in vitro value of 810 nM, obtained in 0.3% human serum albumin (HSA) conditions. Further validation was achieved through in vitro assessment in plated human hepatocytes with 4.5% HSA, showing a Km of 4.5 nM. These results underscore the importance of albumin-mediated uptake effect for the hepatic uptake of telmisartan. Our TMDD-PBPK model, developed through a “middle-out” approach, underwent sensitivity analysis to identify key factors in the nonlinear PK of telmisartan. We found that the nonlinearity in the area under the concentration–time curve (AUC) and/or maximum concentration (Cmax) of telmisartan is sensitive to Km,OATP1B3 across all dosages. Additionally, the dissociation constant (Kd) for telmisartan binding to the AT1 receptor, along with its receptor abundance, notably influences PK at lower doses (below 20 mg). In conclusion, the nonlinear PK of telmisartan appears primarily driven by hepatic uptake saturation across all dose ranges and by AT1-receptor binding saturation, notably at lower doses.

替米沙坦是血管紧张素 II 1 型受体(AT1)的一种选择性抑制剂,健康志愿者口服给药剂量递增时会表现出非线性药代动力学(PK),但其潜在机制仍不清楚。本研究提出了一种基于生理学的药代动力学模型,该模型集成了靶向介导的药物处置(TMDD-PBPK 模型),以探索其非线性 PK 的机制。我们采用聚类-高斯牛顿法(Cluster-Gauss Newton method)进行自上而下的分析,估计体内Km,OATP1B3(替米沙坦通过有机阴离子转运多肽1B3肝脏摄取的Michaelis-Menten常数)为2.0-5.7 nM。这一范围明显低于在 0.3% 人血清白蛋白(HSA)条件下获得的 810 nM 体外值。通过在含有 4.5% HSA 的培养人肝细胞中进行体外评估,进一步验证了这一结果,结果显示 Km 为 4.5 nM。这些结果强调了白蛋白介导的吸收效应对肝脏吸收替米沙坦的重要性。我们的TMDD-PBPK模型是通过 "中出 "法建立的,并进行了敏感性分析,以确定替米沙坦非线性PK的关键因素。我们发现,在所有剂量下,替米沙坦的浓度-时间曲线下面积(AUC)和/或最大浓度(Cmax)的非线性对Km,OATP1B3都很敏感。此外,替米沙坦与AT1受体结合的解离常数(Kd)及其受体丰度也会显著影响低剂量(20毫克以下)的PK。总之,在所有剂量范围内,替米沙坦的非线性 PK 似乎主要受肝脏摄取饱和度和 AT1 受体结合饱和度的驱动,尤其是在低剂量时。
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引用次数: 0
Preclinical side effect prediction through pathway engineering of protein interaction network models 通过蛋白质相互作用网络模型的路径工程进行临床前副作用预测。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-12 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13150
Mohammadali Alidoost, Jennifer L. Wilson

Modeling tools aim to predict potential drug side effects, although they suffer from imperfect performance. Specifically, protein–protein interaction models predict drug effects from proteins surrounding drug targets, but they tend to overpredict drug phenotypes and require well-defined pathway phenotypes. In this study, we used PathFX, a protein–protein interaction tool, to predict side effects for active ingredient-side effect pairs extracted from drug labels. We observed limited performance and defined new pathway phenotypes using pathway engineering strategies. We defined new pathway phenotypes using a network-based and gene expression-based approach. Overall, we discovered a trade-off between sensitivity and specificity values and demonstrated a way to limit overprediction for side effects with sufficient true positive examples. We compared our predictions to animal models and demonstrated similar performance metrics, suggesting that protein–protein interaction models do not need perfect evaluation metrics to be useful. Pathway engineering, through the inclusion of true positive examples and omics measurements, emerges as a promising approach to enhance the utility of protein interaction network models for drug effect prediction.

建模工具旨在预测潜在的药物副作用,但它们的性能并不完美。具体来说,蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用模型可以从药物靶点周围的蛋白质预测药物效应,但它们往往对药物表型预测过高,而且需要定义明确的通路表型。在这项研究中,我们使用了蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用工具 PathFX 来预测从药物标签中提取的有效成分-副作用对的副作用。我们发现该工具的性能有限,因此采用通路工程策略定义了新的通路表型。我们使用基于网络和基因表达的方法定义了新的通路表型。总之,我们发现了灵敏度和特异性值之间的权衡,并展示了一种方法,可以通过足够多的真实阳性实例来限制对副作用的过度预测。我们将预测结果与动物模型进行了比较,结果显示两者的性能指标相似,这表明蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用模型并不需要完美的评估指标就能发挥作用。通过纳入真正的阳性实例和 Omics 测量,通路工程有望成为提高蛋白质相互作用网络模型在药物效应预测中的实用性的一种方法。
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引用次数: 0
Population pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of nasal glucagon in patients with type 1 or 2 diabetes 1 型或 2 型糖尿病患者鼻用胰高血糖素的群体药代动力学和药效学。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-12 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13153
Douglas E. James, Tong Shen, Jeanne S. Geiser, Parag Garhyan, Emmanuel Chigutsa

The objective was to characterize the pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of glucagon after injectable or nasal administration and confirm the appropriate therapeutic dose of nasal glucagon (NG) for adult patients. Six clinical studies with PK and five clinical studies with PD (glucose) data were included in the analysis. Doses ranging from 0.5 to 6 mg NG, and 0.5 to 1 mg injectable glucagon were studied. A total of 6284 glucagon and 7130 glucose concentrations from 265 individuals (patients and healthy participants) were available. Population PK/PD modeling was performed using NONMEM. Glucagon exposure and glucose response were simulated for patients administered various doses of NG to confirm the optimal dose. Glucagon PK was well-described with a single compartment disposition with first-order absorption and elimination processes. Bioavailability of NG relative to injectable glucagon was 16%. Exposure–response modeling revealed that lower baseline glucose was associated with higher maximum drug effect. The carry-over effect from prior insulin administration was incorporated into the model through a time-dependent increase in elimination rate of glucose. Simulations showed that more than 99% of hypoglycemic adult patients would experience treatment success, defined as an increase in blood glucose to ≥70 mg/dL or an increase of ≥20 mg/dL from nadir within 30 min after administration of NG 3 mg. The population PK/PD model adequately described the PK and PD profiles of glucagon after nasal administration. Modeling and simulations confirmed that NG 3 mg is the most appropriate dose for rescue treatment during hypoglycemia emergencies.

目的是描述注射或鼻腔给药后胰高血糖素的药代动力学 (PK) 和药效学 (PD),并确认鼻腔胰高血糖素 (NG) 对成年患者的适当治疗剂量。分析包括六项临床研究的 PK 数据和五项临床研究的 PD(葡萄糖)数据。研究剂量为 0.5 至 6 毫克鼻用胰高血糖素和 0.5 至 1 毫克注射用胰高血糖素。共有来自 265 人(患者和健康参与者)的 6284 次胰高血糖素和 7130 次葡萄糖浓度数据。使用 NONMEM 建立了人群 PK/PD 模型。模拟了不同剂量 NG 患者的胰高血糖素暴露和葡萄糖反应,以确定最佳剂量。胰高血糖素的 PK 具有良好的描述,即具有一阶吸收和消除过程的单室处置。相对于注射用胰高血糖素,NG 的生物利用率为 16%。暴露-反应模型显示,基线血糖越低,最大药效越高。该模型通过随时间变化的葡萄糖消除率的增加,将先前胰岛素用药的带入效应纳入其中。模拟结果表明,99% 以上的低血糖成人患者都能获得治疗成功,即在服用 3 毫克 NG 后的 30 分钟内,血糖升至≥70 毫克/分升,或从最低点升高≥20 毫克/分升。群体 PK/PD 模型充分描述了鼻腔给药后胰高血糖素的 PK 和 PD 曲线。建模和模拟证实,NG 3 毫克是低血糖紧急情况下进行抢救治疗的最合适剂量。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the landscape of parameter identifiability methods: A workflow recommendation for model development 参数可识别性方法的导航:模型开发工作流程建议。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13148
Martijn van Noort, Martijn Ruppert, Joost DeJongh, Eleonora Marostica, Rolien Bosch, Emir Mešić, Nelleke Snelder

In pharmacometric modeling, it is often important to know whether the data is sufficiently rich to identify the parameters of a proposed model. While it may be possible to assess this based on the results of a model fit, it is often difficult to disentangle identifiability issues from other model fitting and numerical problems. Furthermore, it can be of value to ascertain identifiability beforehand. This paper compares four methods for parameter identifiability, namely Differential Algebra for Identifiability of SYstems (DAISY), the sensitivity matrix method (SMM), Aliasing, and the Fisher information matrix method (FIMM). We discuss the characteristics of the methods and apply them to a set of applications, consisting of frequently used PK model structures, with suitable dosing regimens and sampling times. These applications were selected to validate the methods and demonstrate their usefulness. While traditional identifiability analysis provides a categorical result [PLoS One, 6, 2011, e27755; CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol, 8, 2019, 259; Bioinformatics, 30, 2014, 1440], we argue that in practice a continuous scale better reflects the limitations on the data and is more informative. The methods were generally consistent in their evaluation of the applications. The Fisher information matrix method seemed to provide the most consistent answers. All methods provided information on the parameters that were unidentifiable. Some of the results were unexpected, indicating identifiability issues where none were foreseen, but could be explained upon further analysis. This illustrated the usefulness of identifiability assessment.

在药效计量学建模中,了解数据是否足够丰富以确定拟议模型的参数往往非常重要。虽然可以根据模型拟合结果进行评估,但通常很难将可识别性问题与其他模型拟合和数值问题区分开来。此外,事先确定可识别性也很有价值。本文比较了四种参数可识别性方法,即系统可识别性微分代数法(DAISY)、灵敏度矩阵法(SMM)、差分法(Aliasing)和费雪信息矩阵法(FIMM)。我们讨论了这些方法的特点,并将它们应用于一系列应用中,这些应用包括常用的 PK 模型结构、合适的给药方案和采样时间。选择这些应用是为了验证这些方法并证明它们的实用性。虽然传统的可识别性分析提供的是分类结果[PLoS One,6,2011,e27755;CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol,8,2019,259;Bioinformatics,30,2014,1440],但我们认为,在实践中,连续量表能更好地反映数据的局限性,信息量更大。这些方法对应用的评价基本一致。费雪信息矩阵法似乎提供了最一致的答案。所有方法都提供了无法识别的参数信息。有些结果出乎意料,表明在没有预见到的情况下出现了可识别性问题,但在进一步分 析后可以得到解释。这说明可识别性评估是有用的。
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引用次数: 0
Two new user-friendly methods to assess pharmacometric parameter identifiability on categorical and continuous scales 两种新的用户友好型方法,用于评估分类和连续量表的药物计量参数可识别性。
IF 3.1 3区 医学 Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13147
Martijn van Noort, Martijn Ruppert

Parameter identifiability methods assess whether the parameters of a model are uniquely determined by the observations. While the success of a model fit can provide some information on this, it can be valuable to determine identifiability before any fit has been attempted, or to separate identifiability from other issues. Two concepts that lean themselves well for identifiability analysis and have been underutilized are the sensitivity matrix (SM) and the Fisher information matrix (FIM). This paper presents two newly developed methods, one based on the SM and one based on the FIM. Both methods can assess local identifiability for a wide set of models, can be used with limited effort, and are freely available. The methods require the proposed model in the form of a set of differential equations, the parameter values, and the study design as input. They can be used a priori, as they do not need observed values or a successful model fit. Traditional methods provide a single categorical (yes/no) answer to the question of identifiability. In many cases, this is not very informative, and identifiability depends on study design (e.g., dose levels or observation times) and parameter values. Indicators on a continuous scale characterizing the level of identifiability would provide more detailed and relevant information, for example, to guide model development. Our two methods provide both categorical and continuous indicators. Both methods indicate which parameter combinations are difficult to identify by calculating the directions in parameter space that are least identifiable. The methods were validated with an example problem.

参数可识别性方法评估模型参数是否由观测数据唯一确定。虽然模型拟合的成功与否可以提供一些相关信息,但在尝试任何拟合之前确定可识别性,或将可识别性与其他问题区分开来,还是很有价值的。灵敏度矩阵(SM)和费雪信息矩阵(FIM)这两个概念非常适合可识别性分析,但一直未得到充分利用。本文介绍了两种新开发的方法,一种基于 SM,另一种基于 FIM。这两种方法都能评估各种模型的局部可识别性,只需有限的努力就能使用,而且免费提供。这两种方法都要求输入微分方程组形式的拟议模型、参数值和研究设计。这些方法不需要观测值或成功的模型拟合,因此可以先验使用。传统方法对可识别性问题提供单一的分类(是/否)答案。在许多情况下,这种方法信息量不大,可识别性取决于研究设计(如剂量水平或观察时间)和参数值。表征可识别性水平的连续量表指标将提供更详细、更相关的信息,例如用于指导模型开发。我们的两种方法既提供了分类指标,也提供了连续指标。这两种方法都通过计算参数空间中最难识别的方向,指出哪些参数组合难以识别。这些方法通过一个示例问题进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
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CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
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