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Computer Implementation of the Dykstra-Parsons Method of Waterflood Calculation Dykstra-Parsons注水计算方法的计算机实现
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207151-ms
P. Lekia
One of the challenges of the petroleum industry is achieving maximum recovery from oil reservoirs. The natural energy of the reservoir, primary recoveries in most cases do not exceed 20%. To improve recovery, secondary recovery techniques are employed. With secondary recovery techniques such as waterflooding, an incremental recovery ranging from 15 to 25% can be achieved. Several theories and methods have been developed for predicting waterflood performance. The Dykstra-Parson technique stands as the most widely used of these methods. The authors developed a discrete, analytical solution from which the vertical coverage, water-oil ratio, cumulative oil produced, cumulative water produced and injected, and the time required for injection was determined. Reznik et al extended the work of Dykstra and Parson to include exact, analytical, continuous solutions, with explicit solutions for time, constant injection pressure, and constant overall injection rate conditions, property time, real or process time, with the assumption of piston-like displacement. This work presents a computer implementation to compare the results of the Dykstra and Parson method, and the Reznik et al extension. A user-friendly graphical user interface executable application has been developed for both methods using Python 3. The application provides an interactive GUI output for graphs and tables with the python matplotlib module, and Pandastable. The GUI was built with Tkinter and converted to an executable desktop application using Pyinstaller and the Nullsoft Scriptable Install System, to serve as a hands-on tool for petroleum engineers and the industry. The results of the program for both methods gave a close match with that obtained from the simulation performed with Flow (Open Porous Media). The results provided more insight into the underlying principles and applications of the methods.
石油工业面临的挑战之一是实现油藏的最大采收率。储层的自然能量,在大多数情况下,一次采收率不超过20%。为了提高采收率,采用了二次采收率技术。采用水驱等二次采收率技术,可实现15%至25%的增量采收率。目前已经发展了几种预测注水动态的理论和方法。Dykstra-Parson技术是这些方法中应用最广泛的。作者开发了一个离散的解析解,根据该解可以确定垂向覆盖面积、水油比、累计产油量、累计产油量和注入水量以及注入所需时间。Reznik等人扩展了Dykstra和Parson的工作,包括精确的、解析的、连续的解,具有时间、恒定注射压力、恒定总注射速率条件、属性时间、实际或过程时间的显式解,并假设活塞式位移。这项工作提出了一个计算机实现来比较Dykstra和Parson方法的结果,以及Reznik等人的扩展。使用Python 3为这两种方法开发了一个用户友好的图形用户界面可执行应用程序。该应用程序使用python matplotlib模块和Pandastable为图形和表格提供交互式GUI输出。GUI是用Tkinter构建的,并使用Pyinstaller和Nullsoft Scriptable Install System转换为可执行的桌面应用程序,作为石油工程师和行业的动手工具。两种方法的程序计算结果与Flow(开放多孔介质)的模拟结果非常接近。结果对这些方法的基本原理和应用提供了更多的见解。
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引用次数: 1
A Suitable Model for Assessing the Integrity of Subsea Control Modules SCMs for Re-Use after Decommissioning 海底控制模块SCMs退役后再使用完整性评估的合适模型
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207205-ms
Erica Root, J. Andrawus, I. Iyalla
This paper proposes a model for assessing Subsea Control Module (SCM) integrity for re-use after decommissioning. The SCM is one of the most failure-prone components in subsea oil and gas developments, and although a relatively inexpensive component in a Subsea Production System (SPS), the failure of an SCM can require production to be ceased, significantly impacting project economics. The re-use of decommissioned SCMs could improve the economics of subsea oil and gas projects by reducing design and manufacturing lead times, improving production availability, and enabling the economic exploitation of both marginal and mature fields. Insights gained through relevant literature, industry standards, and subsea industry experts led to the development of the Integrity Assessment Model for Decommissioned Subsea Control Modules proposed in this paper. The model is based on an Integrity Assessment process as well as a Risk-Based Compatibility Assessment. Discussions include a background of the SCM and common failures, the economics of SCM re-use, and Applications for the re-use of SCMs. The Integrity Assessment Model is described in detail, as well as the benefits and limitations. Areas of future research in support of subsea equipment re-use are identified, including improvements to reliability databases for subsea equipment, and the creation of a quantitative metric describing subsea equipment integrity.
本文提出了一个评估水下控制模块(SCM)完整性的模型,以便在退役后重新使用。SCM是海底油气开发中最容易发生故障的部件之一,尽管它是海底生产系统(SPS)中相对便宜的部件,但SCM的故障可能会导致生产停止,从而严重影响项目的经济效益。通过减少设计和制造周期,提高生产可用性,并实现边际和成熟油田的经济开发,退役scm的再利用可以提高海底油气项目的经济效益。通过相关文献、行业标准和海底行业专家的见解,本文提出了退役海底控制模块完整性评估模型。该模型基于完整性评估过程以及基于风险的兼容性评估。讨论包括SCM的背景和常见的故障,SCM重用的经济学,以及SCM重用的应用程序。详细描述了完整性评估模型,以及其优点和局限性。确定了支持海底设备重复使用的未来研究领域,包括改进海底设备的可靠性数据库,以及创建描述海底设备完整性的定量指标。
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引用次数: 0
Pressures and Pressure Derivatives of a Vertical Well Located Within Two Inclined Faults: Case Study of Basic Angles and Unequal Well Distances from Faults 位于两个倾斜断层内的直井的压力和压力导数:基本角度和与断层的井距不等的案例研究
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207138-ms
M. Ojah, S. Adewole
Pressure transient analysis has been used to evaluate performance of a vertical well located within two intersecting sealing faults. The nature and types of boundary affect productivity in bounded reservoirs. Well performance is strongly affected by well location with respect to the boundary, be it single, paired and parallel or paired and inclined. The goal of this research was to study pressure behavior as well as performance of a vertical well located within two intersecting sealing faults inclined at various angles θ and at unequal distances to faults. Unlike similar works previously carried out, this work can be used to study or predict pressure distribution of a well in a wedge system located at unequal distances to faults. Using the concept of images, the study proposed new models for estimating distances between image well(s) and active well. These models were applied in the solution to the dimensionless diffusivity equation to characterize pressure transient behavior of a well located at unequal distances to the inclined faults. These pressures and pressure derivatives were computed from the total pressure drop expression summing all the image wells by the principle of superposition. The MATLAB, Python and Excel software were deployed to compute all the dimensionless pressures for the different well designs. The results obtained show that 1) the proposed models give accurate estimation of active well distances to image wells; 2) the models show that the distance between the active and image wells d0,i increases for the range of values of angles 0°< θ0,i ≤ 180° and decreases for the range 180° < θ0,i < 360°; 3) the relationship between unequal well distances and productivity has a maximum point; 4) beyond this point, the well ceases to be productive and; 5) this maximum point is at equal distances of the well from both faults, in this case, 15 ft. Larger magnitudes of dimensionless pressure derivatives would indicate higher oil production for any well design and inclination of the boundaries. Worthy of future works are similar studies on 1) horizontal wells and 2) mixed boundaries, that is, one sealing fault and one constant pressure boundary.
采用压力瞬态分析方法对位于两个相交密封断层内的一口直井进行了性能评价。边界的性质和类型影响有界储层的产能。无论是单井、成对井、平行井还是成对井、倾斜井,井的性能都受到井位相对于边界的强烈影响。本研究的目的是研究位于两个不同角度θ相交的封闭断层内的直井的压力行为和性能,这些断层与断层的距离不等。与之前进行的类似工作不同,该工作可用于研究或预测位于与断层不等距离的楔形系统中的井的压力分布。利用图像的概念,该研究提出了估计图像井与活动井之间距离的新模型。将这些模型应用于求解无量纲扩散方程,以表征位于倾斜断层不等距离的井的压力瞬态行为。这些压力和压力导数是根据叠加原理由所有图像井的总压降表达式计算得到的。使用MATLAB、Python和Excel软件计算不同井设计的所有无量纲压力。结果表明:1)该模型能较准确地估计成像井的活动井距;2)模型表明,在0°< θ0,i≤180°范围内,活动井d1,i与像井之间的距离增大,在180°< θ0,i < 360°范围内,活动井d1,i与像井之间的距离减小;3)不均匀井距与产能的关系存在极大值点;4)超过这一点,井就停止生产;5)该最大值与两个断层的距离相等,在本例中为15英尺。对于任何井设计和边界倾角而言,较大的无因次压力导数值都意味着较高的产油量。1)水平井和2)混合边界(即一个封闭断层和一个定压边界)的类似研究值得今后开展。
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引用次数: 0
Project 80KOPD: A Geologist's Perspective to a Successful Production Ramp-Up Effort. 80KOPD项目:地质学家对成功增产工作的看法。
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207123-ms
Valentine Ihebuzor
Production ramp-up can be a tricky exercise, with a repertoire of challenges and surprises, which can threaten the proposed percentage of success. These challenges largely stem from paucity of data, change in reservoir dynamics, impact of unauthorized third-party activities and the compliment of skill sets/experience in the team. In addition, reservoir models are in some cases, ineffective tools for reservoir management and prediction. This is especially true in assets that are heavily bunkered by crude oil thieves and in geologically complex reservoirs with very few wells. Therefore, models must be updated with recent data and new understanding, to remain useful and accurate. Of great importance to a successful production ramp-up effort is assembling an integrated team of experienced sub-surface professionals and field executors. Unfortunately, in some teams and companies, the position and opinions of Geologists are often overlooked, resulting in mixed outcomes. Geologists do not only think in "millions of years" but can add value and contribute significantly to the overall project objective. This paper explores and explains the role of a geologist, as part of an integrated asset management team, in the successful ramp-up of production from 45KOPD to about 80KOPD, without drilling a single well or executing any rig activity. It also showcases some work methodologies adopted in the evaluation of candidate wells and the power inherent in adopting an integrated subsurface approach.
生产提升是一项棘手的工作,充满挑战和意外,这可能会威胁到计划的成功率。这些挑战主要源于数据的缺乏、油藏动态的变化、未经授权的第三方活动的影响以及团队技能/经验的不足。此外,油藏模型在某些情况下并不是油藏管理和预测的有效工具。对于那些原油储量丰富的资产,以及油井数量很少的地质复杂油藏,情况尤其如此。因此,必须用最新的数据和新的理解来更新模型,以保持有用和准确。组建一支由经验丰富的地下专业人员和现场执行人员组成的综合团队,对于成功提高产量至关重要。不幸的是,在一些团队和公司中,地质学家的立场和观点经常被忽视,导致结果好坏参半。地质学家不仅考虑“数百万年”,而且可以为整个项目目标增加价值并做出重大贡献。本文探讨并解释了地质学家作为综合资产管理团队的一部分,在没有钻一口井或执行任何钻机活动的情况下,将产量从45KOPD成功提高到80KOPD的过程中所起的作用。它还展示了候选井评估中采用的一些工作方法,以及采用综合地下方法的内在力量。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Use of Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Pressure Gradient and Flow Regimes in Multiphase Flow in Horizontal Pipes 研究利用机器学习模型预测水平管道多相流的压力梯度和流型
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/208410-ms
Isemin. A. Isemin, King-Akanimo B. Nkundu
During multiphase flow, there is a variation of the physical distribution of the phases within the conduit leading to different flow regimes and consequently variation in the pressure gradient along with the flow regime, hence flow parameter is of vital importance in the prediction of flow regime and pressure gradient in multiphase flow. Analytical solutions and empirical correlations have been developed to predict the flow regime and the pressure gradient respectively. However, in this study, we seek to use supervised machine learning to make predictions taking parameters such as relative phase volume, bulk fluid flow rates, individual phase flow rates, conduit diameters, inclination, phase densities and temperature as input to the model. The data representing these parameters can be regularly updated to reflect the flow conditions in the well. The flow is composed of water, oil and air at different temperatures. The machine learning models used are Logistic Regression, Decision Trees and Principal Component Analysis. The first two is supervised and are tuned for accuracy dependent on pressure gauge readings while the third seeks to determine the parameters of greatest influence on the predicted output, the flow regime and pressure gradient. The model is constrained to learning and making predictions for fluid production through the tubing only. The trained model shows promise for application in the industry as it allows for automation of systems used to control flow and affords a more comprehensive approach to mitigating flow problems in pipeline systems and flow systems in oilfields.
在多相流动过程中,由于管道内相的物性分布会发生变化,导致不同的流型,从而导致压力梯度随流型的变化,因此流动参数在多相流流型和压力梯度的预测中至关重要。分析解和经验关系式分别用于预测流态和压力梯度。然而,在本研究中,我们试图使用监督机器学习来进行预测,将相对相体积、总体流体流速、单个相流速、管道直径、倾角、相密度和温度等参数作为模型的输入。代表这些参数的数据可以定期更新,以反映井中的流动状况。流体由不同温度的水、油和空气组成。使用的机器学习模型是逻辑回归、决策树和主成分分析。前两种方法是有监督的,并根据压力表读数调整精度,而第三种方法旨在确定对预测输出、流态和压力梯度影响最大的参数。该模型仅限于学习和预测通过油管的流体产量。经过训练的模型显示出在行业中的应用前景,因为它允许用于控制流量的系统自动化,并提供更全面的方法来减轻管道系统和油田流动系统中的流量问题。
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引用次数: 1
Efficient Wellbore Optimization Through Rock Property Analysis and Evaluation 通过岩石性质分析与评价进行高效井筒优化
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207111-ms
Joshua Oluwayomi Ogunrinde
There are numerous problems encountered during drilling such as wellbore instability, drilling mud weight estimation, as well as selecting good casing and bit for the drilling operations. It is therefore important to understand and accurately determine the strength of the rock in order to avoid these common drilling problems which are mostly encountered during well operations. It is of paramount importance to determine uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) from core and sonic log data so as to accurately predict rock strength for better well planning. In this work, we were able to obtain a correlation to determine UCS from data obtained from ten (10) wells in different locations in onshore Niger Delta using the regression analysis method. The correlation of UCS versus Poisson's ratio gave R2 value of 90.0%. The R2- value tending towards one (1) indicates that this model can be reliably used to predict ND-UCS and the p<0.05 shows that there is significant relationship between ND-UCS and Poisson's ratio. The model was validated with an entirely different well data and it predicted over 89% rock UCS data when compared to the actual rock UCS data. This study also provides an understanding of the variation in UCS and Poisson's ratio with depth for effective rock property analysis and evaluation. These correlations will help well engineers to make informed decisions on rock strength predictions during well planning and operations as well as manage wellbore stability optimally.
在钻井过程中会遇到许多问题,如井筒不稳定、钻井泥浆重量估计以及为钻井作业选择良好的套管和钻头等。因此,了解和准确确定岩石的强度是非常重要的,以避免在钻井作业中经常遇到的这些常见的钻井问题。从岩心和声波测井数据中确定岩石的单轴抗压强度(UCS),以便准确预测岩石强度,从而更好地规划井眼。在这项工作中,我们能够利用回归分析方法,从尼日尔三角洲陆上不同位置的10口井的数据中获得相关性,以确定UCS。UCS与泊松比的相关R2值为90.0%。R2-值趋于1(1)表明该模型可以可靠地预测ND-UCS, p<0.05表明ND-UCS与泊松比之间存在显著关系。该模型用完全不同的井数据进行了验证,与实际岩石UCS数据相比,该模型预测的岩石UCS数据超过89%。该研究还为有效的岩石性质分析和评价提供了UCS和泊松比随深度变化的认识。这些相关性将帮助工程师在井规划和作业过程中做出明智的岩石强度预测决策,并最佳地管理井筒稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Oil Polluted Soil Remediation Techniques Using a Complete Molecules Destruction Formulated Reagent 基于完全分子破坏配方试剂的石油污染土壤修复技术
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207107-ms
Celestine A. Udie, F. Faithpraise, Agnes Anuka, E. Ana
Crude oil pollution is a serious threat to both humans and agricultural trends in all ramifications. The effects include suffocation of humans, plants and other useful organisms in the polluted area. The resultant effect is that it is cost effective and provides an aerated soil environment for enough nutrient distribution. This research designed an effective reagent that has ability to destroy the crude oil molecules in the soil and reviewed highlights for crude oil molecule conversion into soil nutrient. The formulation is based on the principle of complete destruction or combustion of hydrocarbons (crude oil) molecules. The Reagent is called hydrocarbons polluted area sludge solution. The advantage is that the polluted soil is remediated and it is restored after the application of the reagent, with increase in its original fertility. The reagent was applied on a soil polluted by crude oil around Warri Refinery and the result showed a complete destruction of the sludge molecules. It converted the sludge molecules into organic salt, hydride and water molecules. It was equally used on samples sludge from Ogoni polluted area and the result was successful. The sludge was completely destroyed and converted into organic salts and acids. Soil and water samples around the polluted area analysis result revealed that contaminated soil and water were restored. It has been confirmed that the reagent has the ability to destroy sludge molecules in soil, effectively clean and restore the soil with added fertility.
原油污染对人类和农业发展都是一个严重的威胁。其影响包括使受污染地区的人类、植物和其他有用生物窒息。由此产生的效果是,它是经济有效的,并提供了一个通风的土壤环境,以获得足够的养分分布。本研究设计了一种能有效破坏土壤中原油分子的试剂,综述了原油分子转化为土壤养分的研究热点。该配方基于碳氢化合物(原油)分子完全破坏或燃烧的原理。该试剂称为碳氢化合物污染区污泥溶液。其优点是对污染土壤进行了修复,施用药剂后土壤得到恢复,土壤原有肥力有所提高。将该试剂应用于Warri炼油厂附近被原油污染的土壤,结果表明污泥分子完全被破坏。它将污泥分子转化为有机盐、氢化物和水分子。将该方法应用于奥戈尼污染地区的污泥样品,取得了良好的效果。污泥被完全破坏并转化为有机盐和有机酸。污染区周围土壤和水样分析结果显示,污染土壤和水得到了恢复。经证实,该试剂具有破坏土壤中污泥分子的能力,能有效清洁和恢复土壤,增加肥力。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment and Optimization of Waterflooding Performance in a Hydrocarbon Reservoir 某油藏水驱效果评价与优化
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207114-ms
Miracle Imwonsa Osatemple, A. Adeniyi, A. Giwa
In order to properly meet up with the ever-increasing demand for petroleum products worldwide, it has become increasingly necessary to produce oil and gas fields more economically and efficiently. Waterflooding is currently the most widely used secondary recovery method to improve oil recovery after primary depletion. A crucial component required to conduct an efficient waterflooding operation is an optimal production setting, most especially with respect to the amount of water involved. This research work has been carried out to develop a model that can be used to maximize oil recovery and minimize water production with the least amount and number of waterflood variables in order to minimize the secondary recovery investment cost. The gradient-based approach to optimize the production and net present value (NPV) from a waterflood reservoir using the flow rates or bottom hole pressures of the production wells as the controlling factors with the use of smart well technology was applied. In this approach, a variant of the optimal switching time technique was used in the optimization process to equalize the arrival times of the waterfront at multiple producers, thereby increasing the cumulative oil production. The optimization procedure involved maximizing the objective function (NPV) by adjusting a set of manipulated variables (flow rates). The optimal pressure profile of the waterflood scenario that gave the maximum NPV was obtained as the solution to the waterflood problem. The proposed optimization methodology was applied to a waterflood process carried out on a reservoir field developed by a five-spot recovery design in the Niger Delta area of Nigeria, which was used as a case study. The forward run was carried out with a commercial reservoir oil simulator. The results of the waterflood optimization revealed that an increase in the net present value of up to 9.7% and an increase in cumulative production of up to 30% from the base case could be achieved.
为了满足世界范围内对石油产品日益增长的需求,提高油气田开采的经济性和高效性已成为当务之急。水驱是目前应用最广泛的提高一次衰竭后采收率的二次采油方法。进行高效水驱作业所需的一个关键组成部分是最佳的生产环境,尤其是涉及到的水量。本研究的目的是建立一种以最少数量的水驱变量实现最大采收率和最小出水量的模型,从而最大限度地降低二次采收率投资成本。利用智能井技术,以生产井的流量或井底压力为控制因素,采用基于梯度的方法来优化水驱油藏的产量和净现值(NPV)。在该方法中,优化过程中使用了一种最优切换时间技术的变体,以平衡多个生产商的滨水到达时间,从而增加累积产油量。优化过程包括通过调整一组操纵变量(流量)来最大化目标函数(NPV)。得到了最大净现值的注水方案的最优压力剖面,作为注水问题的解决方案。将提出的优化方法应用于尼日利亚尼日尔三角洲地区一个采用5点采油设计的油藏的注水过程,并将其作为案例研究。在商用油藏油模拟器上进行了预演。注水优化的结果表明,与基本情况相比,净现值可提高9.7%,累计产量可提高30%。
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引用次数: 0
Eco-Toxicity of 2-Di Methylamino Ethylmethacrylate 2-DMAEM as a Commercial Kinetic Hydrate Inhibitor KHI 2-二甲氨基甲基丙烯酸乙酯2-DMAEM作为商业动态水合物抑制剂KHI的生态毒性
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207156-ms
Virtue Urunwo Elechi, S. S. Ikiensikimama, J. Ajienka, O. Akaranta, O. Okon, D. Chris
Gas hydrates are known impediments to flow. Mitigation of gas hydrates in deep offshore with accessibility issues is by chemical injection. This paper considers the effect of 2-Di(methylamino) ethylmethacrylate (2-DMAEM) a kinetic gas hydrate inhibitor and a Local Inhibitor (LI) on Clarias gariepinus, a marine organism. The assessment was done using Random Complete Block Design (RCBD), a standard method of toxicity testing. Its effect was compared to that of a local Inhibitor (LI). The test carried out showed that at the end of the exposure period, 2-DMAEM caused 100% mortality in concentrations of 10 and 100ml/L and had significant differences in water parameters across the row as concentration increased. The LI caused 0% mortality in same concentration ranges and had no significant differences as concentrations increased across the row. 2-DMAEM should be discarded as an inhibitor given its inherent danger while LI should be harnessed and developed as gas hydrate inhibitor.
天然气水合物是已知的流动障碍。缓解深海天然气水合物的可达性问题是通过化学注入。本文研究了2-二(甲氨基)甲基丙烯酸乙酯(2-DMAEM)一种动态气体水合物抑制剂和一种局部抑制剂(LI)对海洋生物加里平Clarias gariepinus的影响。评估采用随机完全区组设计(RCBD),这是一种标准的毒性测试方法。并与局部抑制剂(LI)进行了比较。试验结果表明,在暴露期结束时,浓度为10和100ml/L的2-DMAEM造成100%的死亡率,并且随着浓度的增加,水体参数在行间存在显著差异。在相同的浓度范围内,LI的死亡率为0%,随浓度的增加无显著差异。考虑到2-DMAEM的固有危险,应该放弃作为抑制剂的作用,而LI应该作为天然气水合物抑制剂加以利用和开发。
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引用次数: 0
An Approach to Estimating Reserve Volumes by Discounting Unauthorized Production Via Crude Oil Theft 一种通过原油盗窃对未授权生产进行贴现来估算储量的方法
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207110-ms
Valentine Ihebuzor, O. Onyeneke, A. Adebari, Obasi Ogbonnaya
Reserves are typically estimated and re-validated throughout the life of a producing field. The accuracy of this estimation is based on the availability of relevant and current data from that reservoir or field and other factors. There are several methods for estimating reserves, but the choice of which method is to be applied is often based on the data available per time. However, these methods are known to be associated with varying degrees of uncertainties arising from quality of data, the assumptions adopted and the experience of the evaluator. The biggest uncertainty in reserve estimation lies in the inability of the commonly available methods to estimate and discount the huge volumes lost due to unauthorized production by third parties, through crude oil theft, illegal bunkering activities, and spills. This leads to the gross overestimation of reserves and the economic viability of an asset, especially in onshore and shallow offshore assets where such illegal activities are typical and rampant. This paper showcases an approach of estimating reserves, through the integration of multidisciplinary data, which enables the estimation and discounting of crude oil volumes lost due to illegal production from a reservoir.
储量通常在生产油田的整个生命周期内进行估计和重新验证。这种估计的准确性取决于该油藏或油田的相关和当前数据的可用性以及其他因素。估计储量有几种方法,但选择哪一种方法通常是基于每次可用的数据。然而,众所周知,这些方法与数据质量、所采用的假设和评价者的经验所产生的不同程度的不确定性有关。储量估算中最大的不确定性在于,通常可用的方法无法估算和贴现由于第三方未经授权生产(如原油盗窃、非法加油活动和泄漏)而造成的巨大损失。这导致了对储量和资产经济可行性的严重高估,特别是在此类非法活动典型和猖獗的陆上和浅海资产中。本文展示了一种估算储量的方法,该方法通过整合多学科数据,可以估算和贴现由于油藏非法开采而损失的原油量。
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引用次数: 0
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