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Improving the Local Research Capacity through the Industry-Academia Collaboration in Kazakhstan 在哈萨克斯坦通过产学研合作提高本地研究能力
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/205977-ms
Murat Syzdykov, Zhassulan Dairov, J. Miskimins
Kazakhstan has set a lofty goal of becoming one of the world's top 30 developed countries by 2050. This can be accomplished by growing up well-versed, competent, and forward-thinking human capital. We previously discussed curriculum, courses, internships, and student development as part of the World Economic Forum (WEF) pilot project supported by Chevron, Eni, and Shell (Sponsors) to strengthen oil and gas human capital in Kazakhstan (SPE-195903 and SPE-201272). During regular visits, the WEF sponsors and Colorado School of Mines (Mines) could assess the Satbayev University (SU) PE department and underlined the importance of faculty growth. Academic workshops on topics such as course and syllabus design, student assessment, and ABET accreditation standards have been held both offline and online. Meanwhile, to advance the PE program, faculty research capacity must be globally competitive. To begin, the Kazakhstani government distributed visiting scholarship awards on behalf of the supporting World Bank in 2018. Shell Kazakhstan took the initiative and co-funded two PhD candidates so they could perform their research experiments at Pennsylvania State University (PennState). In addition, Mines has gone above and beyond the WEF scope by offering two fully-funded PhD scholarships to exceptional SU faculty. Through the newly constituted Industry-Advisory Board (IAB), the WEF Sponsors emphasized strong contact with the industry, which assisted in identifying a few research topics. These discussions resulted in formulation of four research proposals that were submitted to the Ministry of Education and Science Grants in 2020 and are being co-funded by Sponsors. This collaboration has yielded the approval of two projects by the State. Finally, under the auspices of the IAB meetings, the PE department has been offered opportunity to collaborate with the national KazMunayGas on the company-related project. While academic cooperation is well-known, research and its outcomes are even more critical in today's fast-changing environment. Universities must quickly adapt to industry best practices while remaining committed to their global mission of contributing to national growth and human potential. This paper discusses effective approaches for industry-academia collaboration.
哈萨克斯坦制定了到2050年跻身世界30强发达国家的宏伟目标。这可以通过培养精通、有能力、有远见的人力资本来实现。作为雪佛龙、埃尼和壳牌(赞助商)支持的世界经济论坛(WEF)试点项目(SPE-195903和SPE-201272)的一部分,我们之前讨论了课程、课程、实习和学生发展,以加强哈萨克斯坦的石油和天然气人力资本。在定期访问期间,世界经济论坛的赞助商和科罗拉多矿业学院(Mines)可以评估萨特巴耶夫大学(SU)的体育系,并强调教师队伍发展的重要性。关于课程和教学大纲设计、学生评估和ABET认证标准等主题的学术研讨会已经在线下和线上举行。同时,为了推进体育项目,教师的研究能力必须具有全球竞争力。首先,哈萨克斯坦政府代表世界银行在2018年发放了访问奖学金。壳牌哈萨克斯坦公司采取主动,共同资助了两名博士候选人,使他们能够在宾夕法尼亚州立大学进行研究实验。此外,Mines已经超越了世界经济论坛的范围,为优秀的SU教师提供了两项全额博士奖学金。通过新成立的行业咨询委员会(IAB),世界经济论坛的发起人强调了与行业的密切联系,这有助于确定一些研究课题。这些讨论最终形成了四项研究提案,这些提案于2020年提交给了教育和科学基金部,并由赞助商共同资助。这次合作获得了国家批准的两个项目。最后,在IAB会议的主持下,体育部有机会与国家KazMunayGas就公司相关项目进行合作。虽然学术合作是众所周知的,但在当今瞬息万变的环境中,研究及其成果更为重要。大学必须迅速适应行业最佳实践,同时继续致力于为国家增长和人类潜力做出贡献的全球使命。本文探讨了产学研合作的有效途径。
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引用次数: 0
Social Risk Management as a Response to Increasing International Pressure for Social Performance 社会风险管理作为对社会绩效日益增长的国际压力的回应
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206240-ms
J. D. Borbor, K. Cranenburgh, C. Luca
In the past decades, financial institutions have led the way for companies to adhere to international standards for social performance. The journey began in the Industrial Revolution, when negative societal business impacts rapidly escalated, which led people to demand for their management. Initially focused on working conditions, impacts on the environment soon started to gain notice. Halfway through the 20th century, a combination of oil spills and mass media attention generated enough public pressure for the United States to sign the first piece of legislation requiring the environmental impact assessment. With this law and its replication abroad, however, came the concern with social impacts as well. Both environmental and social performance expectations soon spread internationally and, by the 1980s, multilateral financial institutions, most prominently the World Bank, incorporated such considerations into their investment and lending practices, which is the source of all such international standards today. These standards require the establishment of a social management system to integrate risk and impact management processes and stakeholder engagement activities. Given the challenge of implementing these requirements, a social risk management development framework is proposed to bring together the extensive and multidisciplinary demands of effective social performance. Five development areas are proposed: governance, social policy, tools, resourcing and capacity, and knowledge sharing. This is an important step to take today as it is expected that the next decades will see these international demands increase, possibly by ever increasing governmental regulation.
在过去的几十年里,金融机构一直在引领企业遵守社会绩效的国际标准。这段旅程始于工业革命,当时企业对社会的负面影响迅速升级,导致人们对企业的管理提出了要求。最初关注的是工作条件,但对环境的影响很快开始引起人们的注意。20世纪中期,石油泄漏和大众媒体的关注共同产生了足够的公众压力,迫使美国签署了第一项要求进行环境影响评估的立法。然而,随着这项法律及其在国外的复制,人们也开始关注其社会影响。对环境和社会表现的期望很快在国际上传播开来,到1980年代,多边金融机构,最突出的是世界银行,将这些考虑纳入其投资和贷款做法,这是今天所有这些国际标准的来源。这些标准要求建立社会管理体系,以整合风险和影响管理流程以及利益相关者参与活动。鉴于实施这些要求的挑战,提出了一个社会风险管理发展框架,以汇集有效社会绩效的广泛和多学科需求。提出了五个发展领域:治理、社会政策、工具、资源和能力以及知识共享。这是今天要迈出的重要一步,因为预计未来几十年,这些国际需求将会增加,可能会通过不断增加的政府监管来实现。
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引用次数: 0
Business-Oriented Reserves and Resource Management - Experiences from a Merger 以业务为导向的储备与资源管理——一次合并的经验
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206322-ms
T. Dose, Gunar Kachel
In May 2019, the merger between Wintershall GmbH and DEA Deutsche Erdoel AG was closed, which was the start of Wintershall Dea.This paper provides detailed insight into managing reserves and resource information during this merger. After merger, three resource management activities required attention: (i) combining existing resources reporting, (ii) defining a lean but effective resources management and control system, and (iii) ensuring readiness for Initial Public Offering (IPO) by establishing an external independent evaluation of resources ("external resource audit"). This paper describes objectives, challenges and solutions on reserves and resources reporting of the new company. The merged reserves and resources database of the previous year's reports had to consider audits from two different reporting systems in parallel to four different external auditors.With priorities defined by status of external auditing, operatorship and asset share a common database was derived and could immediately be used for financial transactions such as the issuance of an inaugural bond. The new system for internal reporting of petroleum resources provides a fit-for-purpose approach, such as a consistent interpretation of commerciality criteria or definition of resources sub-classes.Particular attention was paid to synergies with respect to business planning, strategic portfolio analysis, and a link to technology & innovation. By defining specific attributes and sub-processes, the portfolio can be analyzed systematically. This provides additional insights and ensures synergies with business planning, strategic planning as well as internal technology initiatives. A systematic resource control system is defined focusing on internal review, external and internal audits as well as synergetic use of project reviews. Moreover, a feedback loop for continuous improvement of reservoir management allows attending to important audit observations. The external resource audit to ensure IPO readiness was structured to assign tasks for head office, business units and auditing company.The sequence of events from introduction to assets to reconciliation of differences between auditor and company was set-up, executed and monitored.Focus was on the definition of a structured but agile approach for external independent evaluation of all reserves and contingent resources.
2019年5月,Wintershall GmbH和DEA Deutsche Erdoel AG的合并完成,这是Wintershall DEA的开始。本文提供了详细的见解,管理储备和资源信息,在此合并。合并后,需要注意三项资源管理活动:(i)合并现有资源报告,(ii)定义精简但有效的资源管理和控制系统,以及(iii)通过建立外部独立的资源评估(“外部资源审计”)确保首次公开发行(IPO)的准备工作。本文描述了新公司储量和资源报告的目标、挑战和解决方案。前一年报告的合并储备和资源数据库必须同时考虑来自两个不同报告系统和四个不同外聘审计员的审计。根据外部审计、经营和资产分享的状况确定优先次序后,建立了一个共同数据库,可立即用于诸如发行首期债券等金融交易。石油资源内部报告的新制度提供了一种适合目的的办法,例如对商业标准或资源子类定义的一致解释。特别注意在业务规划、战略组合分析以及与技术和创新的联系方面的协同作用。通过定义特定的属性和子过程,可以系统地分析项目组合。这提供了额外的见解,并确保与业务规划,战略规划以及内部技术计划的协同作用。确定了一个系统的资源控制系统,重点是内部审查、外部和内部审计以及协同利用项目审查。此外,水库管理的持续改进的反馈循环允许出席重要的审计意见。外部资源审计以确保IPO准备就绪,并为总部、业务部门和审计公司分配任务。从引入资产到调整审计师和公司之间的差异,一系列事件被建立、执行和监控。重点是确定一种结构化但灵活的方法,以便对所有储量和临时资源进行外部独立评价。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Chemical Injection to Mitigate Wax Deposition in Unconventional Wells 注入化学剂缓解非常规井结蜡效果评价
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206206-ms
Rafael M. D. Rosa, Arthur B. Soprana, V. Girardi, Fernando M. Villagra
This work presents a numerical assessment of chemical inhibitor injection to mitigate wax deposition in unconventional wells. The goal of this study is to simulate the deposition of wax under several operational conditions and later optimize the chemical inhibitor injection position, using two different types of numerical simulations. A transient one-dimensional multiphase flow simulator - ALFAsim, with a dedicated wax model, was used to predict flow conditions such pressure, temperature, holdup and flow pattern profiles, as well the position and rates that wax accumulates. The results from the 1D simulation were then used as boundary conditions in a 3D CFD simulator, which aimed to assess how long it would take to a satisfactory homogenization of the inhibitor with the flow and what would be the minimum depth for the injector should be installed. In this work, a 1D multiphase flow simulator with wax deposition model was used to identify on which operational conditions (flow rates and environmental temperatures) an unconventional well would start to present wax deposition on its tubing walls. After defining the susceptible region where the paraffin could deposit, it was important to verify if the inhibitor would be well homogenized with the stream when reaching this region. For that, a 3D CFD simulation was performed, using information obtained directly from the 1D simulator as boundary conditions. The CFD model was capable to show the mixing evolution of the inhibitor with the stream and it was possible to determine the minimum distance where the injector should be placed to guarantee such homogeneity. A real well was selected to provide comparisons between field observations and simulated data, in order to validate the model assumptions and accuracy.
本文介绍了在非常规井中注入化学抑制剂以减少蜡沉积的数值评估。本研究的目的是通过两种不同类型的数值模拟,模拟几种操作条件下蜡的沉积,然后优化化学抑制剂的注入位置。采用瞬态一维多相流模拟器ALFAsim,并建立了专用的蜡模型,用于预测流体条件,如压力、温度、含率和流型分布,以及蜡积聚的位置和速率。1D模拟的结果随后被用作3D CFD模拟器的边界条件,目的是评估需要多长时间才能使抑制剂与流体达到满意的均匀化,以及应该安装注入器的最小深度是多少。在这项工作中,使用带有蜡沉积模型的1D多相流模拟器来识别非常规井在何种操作条件下(流速和环境温度)会开始在油管壁上出现蜡沉积。在确定了石蜡可能沉积的敏感区域后,重要的是要验证抑制剂在到达该区域时是否与流体均匀。为此,利用直接从一维模拟器获取的信息作为边界条件,进行了三维CFD仿真。CFD模型能够显示缓蚀剂与流体的混合演变,并且可以确定为保证这种均匀性,应该放置注入器的最小距离。为了验证模型的假设和准确性,研究人员选择了一口真实的井,将现场观测数据与模拟数据进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
Solid Fast-Track Evaluation Methodology: Supporting the Decision-Making Process in the Development of Mature Assets 可靠的快速评估方法:支持成熟资产开发中的决策过程
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206378-ms
Rubén Dario Gutiérrez Bedoya, C. Fonseca, Michelle Alba Naranjo Leon
As most oilfields in Ecuador are approaching to the end of the service contracts under an advanced degree of maturity, it was imperative to implement a fast-track integrated methodology that supports the decisionmaking process during assets' evaluation. This practice aimed to identify new business opportunities and assure the rehabilitation of brownfields. These fields became a target for investors willing to intervene in new joint ventures with moderate risk to boost production and returns. The methodology is prepared to overcome specific challenges such as severe reservoir pressure depletion, harsh water management issues, facilities constraints and integrity. All this while keeping economics and safe operational standards. This process is divided into five stages: First, the diagnosis of field challenges and associated risks, so that review the current status of subsurface and surface aspects. Then, the following three parallel phases are focused on the study of reservoir architecture, dynamics and performance. Finally, the remaining potential of the asset is assessed by integrating action plans to take advantage of current facilities capacities. This workflow was implemented for the evaluation of three assets: Asset 1: Mature field with a secondary gas cap where its current reservoir pressure is 800 psia (initial pressure 4,200 psia). The asset was evaluated in fifteen (15) days resulting in an integrated solution with 14 activities: conversions to injectors, water source, upsizing, reactivations, change zone, and new wells. The results presented an incremental recovery factor of 6% (by 2028) with an expected production peak of 3,500 BOPD (by 2021). Asset 2: A field producing from two main reservoirs with harsh water management issues under a non-monitored waterflooding scheme with challenging sweet spots identification was evaluated in 10 days, resulting in a redevelopment plan considering: production losses optimization, sixteen (16) activities: workovers, dual completions, new wells, reentry, shut-in, and conversion to water injectors. This evaluation delivered an incremental recovery factor of 10% (by 2029). Asset 3: Producing for around one-hundred (100) years with 3,000 wells drilled. There was a lack of pressure support and facilities and well completions integrity. The fast-track assessment focused on production optimization lasted fifteen (15) days, resulting in one-hundred eighteen (118) wells for reactivation representing an additional recovery factor of 3% (by 2029). This work supported the process for contract's renegotiation and assets' acquisition. This integrated methodology aimed to maximize the assets' value while considering the involved shareholders' needs. Each asset was analysed in an integrated and collaborative manner through the propper resources identification and the usage of the latest technology and workflows. High-resolution reservoir simulation, complex python scripts, and a chemical processes simu
由于厄瓜多尔的大多数油田都已接近服务合同的末期,因此必须实施一种快速综合方法,以支持资产评估过程中的决策过程。这种做法旨在确定新的商业机会,并确保棕地的恢复。这些油田成为投资者的投资目标,投资者愿意介入风险适中的新合资企业,以提高产量和回报。该方法旨在克服一些具体的挑战,如严重的油藏压力枯竭、苛刻的水管理问题、设施限制和完整性。所有这些都是在保持经济和安全运营标准的同时进行的。该过程分为五个阶段:首先,诊断现场挑战和相关风险,从而回顾地下和地面方面的现状。然后,在接下来的三个平行阶段重点研究储层构型、动力学和动态。最后,通过综合行动计划来评估资产的剩余潜力,以利用现有设施的能力。资产1:具有二次气顶的成熟油田,当前储层压力为800 psia(初始压力为4200 psia)。在15天内对该资产进行了评估,得出了一个包含14个活动的综合解决方案:注入器转换、水源、放大、再激活、更换层和新井。结果表明,到2028年,采收率将增加6%,预计到2021年,产量将达到3500桶/天。资产2:在无监控的水驱方案下,一个油田的两个主要油藏存在严重的水管理问题,在10天内评估了具有挑战性的甜点识别,得出了一个重新开发计划,考虑了生产损失优化、16项活动:修井、双完井、新井、再入、关井和转换为注水井。该评估结果表明,到2029年,采收率将增加10%。资产3:钻探3000口井,可开采100年左右。缺乏压力支持、设施和完井完整性。以生产优化为重点的快速通道评估持续了15天,结果有118口井重新启动,到2029年,采收率将提高3%。这项工作为合同的重新谈判和资产的获取提供了支持。这种综合方法旨在最大化资产价值,同时考虑相关股东的需求。通过适当的资源识别和使用最新技术和工作流程,以集成和协作的方式分析每个资产。利用高分辨率油藏模拟、复杂python脚本和化学过程模拟器进行了深入评估,并达到了预期的效果。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient Deep Learning-Based Workflow Incorporating a Reduced Physics Model for Subsurface Imaging in Unconventional Reservoirs 结合简化物理模型的高效深度学习工作流程用于非常规油藏地下成像
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206065-ms
Tsubasa Onishi, Hongquan Chen, A. Datta-Gupta, Srikanta Mishra
We present a novel deep learning-based workflow incorporating a reduced physics model that can efficiently visualize well drainage volume and pressure front propagation in unconventional reservoirs in near real-time. The visualizations can be readily used for qualitative and quantitative characterization and forecasting of unconventional reservoirs. Our aim is to develop an efficient workflow that allows us to ‘see’ within the subsurface given measured data, such as production data. The most simplistic way to achieve the goal will be to merely train a deep learning-based regression model where the input consists of some measured data, and the output is a subsurface image, such as pressure field. However, the high output dimension that corresponds to spatio-temporal steps makes the training inefficient. To address this challenge, an autoencoder network is applied to discover lower dimensional latent variables that represent high dimensional output images. In our approach, the regression model is trained to predict latent variables, instead of directly constructing an image. In the prediction step, the trained regression model first predicts latent variables given measured data, then the latent variables will be used as inputs of the trained decoder to generate a subsurface image. In addition, fast marching-method (FMM)-based rapid simulation workflow which transforms original 2D or 3D problems into 1D problems is used in place of full-physics simulation to efficiently generate datasets for training. The capability of the FMM-based rapid simulation allows us to generate sufficient datasets within realistic simulation times, even for field scale applications. We first demonstrate the proposed approach using a simple illustrative example. Next, the approach is applied to a field scale reservoir model built after the publicly available data on the Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site-I (HFTS-I), which is sufficiently complex to demonstrate the power and efficacy of the approach. We will further demonstrate the utility of the approach to account for subsurface uncertainty. Our approach, for the first time, allows data-driven visualization of unconventional well drainage volume in 3D. The novelty of our approach is the framework which combines the strengths of deep learning-based models and the FMM-based rapid simulation. The workflow has flexibility to incorporate various spatial and temporal data types.
我们提出了一种新的基于深度学习的工作流程,该流程结合了简化的物理模型,可以近乎实时地有效地可视化非常规油藏的井排量和压力前传播。可视化技术可以很容易地用于非常规储层的定性和定量表征和预测。我们的目标是开发一种高效的工作流程,使我们能够“看到”地下给定的测量数据,例如生产数据。实现这一目标的最简单的方法是仅仅训练一个基于深度学习的回归模型,其中输入由一些测量数据组成,输出是地下图像,例如压力场。然而,对应于时空阶跃的高输出维数使得训练效率低下。为了解决这一挑战,应用自编码器网络来发现代表高维输出图像的低维潜在变量。在我们的方法中,回归模型被训练来预测潜在变量,而不是直接构建图像。在预测步骤中,训练后的回归模型首先预测给定测量数据的潜在变量,然后将潜在变量作为训练后的解码器的输入来生成地下图像。此外,采用基于快速进步法(fast marching-method, FMM)的快速仿真工作流,将原来的二维或三维问题转化为一维问题,代替全物理仿真,高效生成训练数据集。基于fmm的快速模拟功能使我们能够在现实的模拟时间内生成足够的数据集,即使是现场规模的应用。我们首先使用一个简单的说明性示例来演示所提出的方法。接下来,将该方法应用于一个现场规模的油藏模型,该模型是根据水力压裂试验场i (htfs - i)上的公开数据建立的,该模型非常复杂,足以证明该方法的有效性。我们将进一步证明该方法在解释地下不确定性方面的实用性。我们的方法首次实现了非常规井排液量的三维数据可视化。该方法的新颖之处在于该框架结合了基于深度学习的模型和基于fmm的快速仿真的优势。工作流可以灵活地合并各种空间和时间数据类型。
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引用次数: 1
The Fall and Rise of Oilfield Ethics 油田伦理的兴衰
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206176-ms
A. Dahroug, K. O'Connell
The oilfield is in many ways the backbone of the world economy. Historically economic recessions and booms were linked directly or indirectly to the oil price, itself governed by supply and demand. Since the start of this industry, it has experienced multiple scandals and major accidents that have affected its path to date. In 2001 the Enron scandal of poor accounting practices shook the entire stock market, and it contributed to the complete recession in the same year. Not too long after, a supermajor revealed in 2004 a reserves accounting error that surprised the world. In 2010 the Deepwater Horizon blow out known as the "Macondo Incident" caused serious damage to the environment and significant fines to be paid in compensation due to poor engineering practice. Incidents like these arise concurrent with times of high demand and are instructive as we study their causes and effects on the oil industry and therefore the global economy. Areas of study for this paper include reserves/production estimation as well as ethical considerations for the oil industry at large. Our study is based on the review of uncertainty in both the subsurface and surface parts of oil and gas production. We refer to the previous classifications of uncertainty for the subsurface part and focus on the uncertainty currently existing within the surface production system. Current surface production monitoring methods are discussed. We propose a more automated process to reduce the current uncertainty about hydrocarbon production. Artificial intelligence applicability in the surface production system is investigated. Additionally, in this paper we review the previously mentioned poor practices and accidents briefly and use them to guide our suggestions about preventive actions to avoid future wrongdoing and incidents. We attempt to provide an objective for oilfield ethics and advocate for a unified oilfield industry code of ethics. However due to the large diversity that exists in the wide range of oilfield disciplines, a single code of ethics may not be applicable. Accordingly, we propose a guideline that may be used by different parts of the oilfield industry to develop an application-specific code of ethics. It is hoped that this guideline will guard against the gaps that may foster errors that affect the oilfield industry and global markets.
油田在很多方面都是世界经济的支柱。从历史上看,经济衰退和繁荣与油价直接或间接相关,而油价本身受供求关系支配。自该行业成立以来,它经历了多次丑闻和重大事故,影响了它迄今为止的发展道路。2001年,低劣的会计行为引发的安然丑闻震撼了整个股市,并导致了同年的全面衰退。不久之后,一家石油巨头在2004年披露了一个令世界震惊的储量会计错误。2010年,被称为“马孔多事件”的“深水地平线”钻井平台的爆炸对环境造成了严重破坏,由于糟糕的工程实践,需要支付巨额罚款作为赔偿。此类事件与高需求时期同时发生,对于我们研究它们对石油工业乃至全球经济的原因和影响具有指导意义。本文的研究领域包括储量/产量估计以及整个石油工业的道德考虑。我们的研究是基于对石油和天然气生产的地下和地面部分的不确定性的回顾。我们参考了以前对地下部分的不确定性分类,重点关注目前存在于地面生产系统中的不确定性。讨论了目前地面生产监测方法。我们提出了一个更自动化的过程,以减少目前碳氢化合物生产的不确定性。研究了人工智能在地面生产系统中的适用性。此外,在本文中,我们简要回顾了前面提到的不良做法和事故,并用它们来指导我们的预防措施建议,以避免未来的不法行为和事故。我们试图为油田伦理提供一个目标,并倡导统一的油田行业道德规范。然而,由于广泛的油田学科存在着巨大的多样性,单一的道德准则可能不适用。因此,我们提出了一项指导方针,可用于油田行业的不同部分,以制定特定应用的道德准则。希望该指南能够防止可能产生影响油田工业和全球市场的错误的差距。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated Workflow for Reserves Evaluation in the U.S. Permian Basin Based on SPEE Monograph 3 基于SPEE的美国二叠纪盆地储量评价集成工作流
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206362-ms
Xiaoyang Xia, Eric T. Nelson, Daniel J Olds, L. Connor, He Zhang
In 2011, the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (SPEE) published Monograph 3 as an industry guideline for reserves evaluation of unconventionals, especially for probabilistic approaches. This paper illustrates the workflow recommended by Monograph 3. The authors also point out some dilemmas one may encounter when applying the guidelines. Finally, the authors suggest remedies to mitigate limitations and improve the utility of the approach. This case study includes about 300 producing shale wells in the Permian Basin. Referring to Monograph 3, analogous wells were identified based on location, geology, drilling-and-completion (D&C) technology; Technically Recoverable Resources (TRRs) of these analogous wells were then evaluated by Decline Curve Analysis (DCA). Next, five type-wells were developed with different statistical characteristics. Lastly, a number of drilling opportunities were identified and, consequently, a Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to develop a statistical distribution for undeveloped locations in each type-well area. The authors demonstrated the use of probit plots and demonstrated the binning strategy, which could best represent the study area. The authors tuned the binning strategy based on multiple yardsticks, including median values of normalized TRRs per lateral length, slopes of the distribution lines in lognormal plots, ratios of P10 over P90, and well counts in each type-well category in addition to other variables. The binning trials were based on different geographic areas, producing reservoirs, and operators, and included the relatively new concept of a "learning curve" introduced by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) 2018 Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS). To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this paper represents the first published case study to factor in the "learning curves" method. This paper automated the illustrated workflow through coded database queries or manipulation, which resulted in high efficiencies for multiple trials on binning strategy. The demonstrated case study illustrates valid decision-making processes based on data analytics. The case study further identifies methods to eliminate bias, and present independent objective reserves evaluations. Most of the challenges and situations herein are not fully addressed in Monograph 3 and are not documented in the regulations of the U.S. Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) or in the PRMS guidelines. While there may be differing approaches, and some analysts may prefer alternate methods, the authors believe that the items presented herein will benefit many who are starting to incorporate Monograph 3 in their work process. The authors hope that this paper will encourage additional discussion in our industry.
2011年,石油评价工程师协会(SPEE)发布了第3篇专论,作为非常规油气储量评价的行业指南,特别是概率方法。本文阐述了专论3推荐的工作流程。作者还指出了在应用指南时可能遇到的一些困境。最后,作者提出补救措施,以减轻局限性和提高该方法的效用。本案例研究包括二叠纪盆地约300口生产页岩井。参考专论3,根据位置、地质、钻完井(D&C)技术确定了类似井;然后利用递减曲线分析(DCA)对这些类似井的技术可采资源(TRRs)进行评价。其次,开发了具有不同统计特征的5口类型井。最后,确定了一些钻井机会,并进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,以建立每个类型井区未开发位置的统计分布。作者演示了最能代表研究区域的概率图和分箱策略的使用。作者根据多个标准调整了分组策略,包括每个横向长度的归一化trr的中位数、对数正态图中分布线的斜率、P10 / P90的比率、每种类型井类别的井数以及其他变量。分组试验基于不同的地理区域、生产油藏和作业者,并包括石油工程师协会(SPE) 2018年石油资源管理系统(PRMS)引入的相对较新的“学习曲线”概念。据作者所知,这篇论文是第一个将“学习曲线”方法考虑在内的公开案例研究。本文通过编码数据库查询或操作实现了图示工作流的自动化,从而提高了分组策略多次试验的效率。演示的案例研究说明了基于数据分析的有效决策过程。案例研究进一步确定了消除偏见的方法,并提出了独立客观的储量评估。这里的大多数挑战和情况没有在专论3中得到充分解决,也没有在美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的法规或PRMS指南中记录。虽然可能会有不同的方法,并且一些分析人员可能更喜欢替代方法,但作者认为,这里提出的项目将使许多开始将Monograph 3纳入其工作过程的人受益。作者希望这篇文章能在我们的行业中引起更多的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
The True Market Value of a Good Petroleum Engineer: A Technical Perspective 一名优秀石油工程师的真正市场价值:技术视角
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206272-ms
A. Michael
Defined by SPE as the application of basic and engineering sciences to the finding, development, and recovery of oil, gas and other resources from wells, petroleum engineering (PE) has been throughout the years falsely thought of as an amalgamation of other disciplines applied to the exploration and recovery of hydrocarbons. Integrating all PE subdisciplines in a manner efficient for teaching and learning is essential for securing the abundance of well-rounded market-attractive professionals. This paper discusses advantages individuals with PE background experience should exhibit in their employment in the oil and gas industry and academia. There is no point for students in going to school for a degree that will not hand them a competitive edge within their discipline. For graduate PEs, the job market is dependent on the quality of their respective academic programs and by extension to the quality of the teaching faculty. A steady oil and gas job market may not necessarily warrant robust employment opportunities, particularly straight after graduation. In a discipline like PE, where almost everything that matters takes place thousands of feet underground, apportioning credit for successes or responsibility for failures is itself a challenge. Decreases in student enrollments in PE programs reported by various universities during times of low oil and gas prices poses questions about the future of the PEs discipline, despite the steady demand for oil and gas in the world's energy mix. Academic programs interested in facilitating a smooth transition of their graduates into the industry should work in conjunction with practitioners to provide the correct balance between theory and practice in their coursework ensuring that once employment opportunities are created, they get filled with candidates of relevant education and training. PE degree-holding candidates should be the natural first choice for PE positions. This means that their educational and professional backgrounds should be providing them with an undisputed advantage which places them a leg above candidates from other disciplines. For instance, for a well completions job opening, there should not be a better alternative than a good PE specialized in well completions. If every PE graduate comes out of his or her program with a skillset which is superior to that of his or her competition, he or she will be the preferred choice for an oil and gas job.
石油工程(PE)被SPE定义为将基础科学和工程科学应用于石油、天然气和其他油井资源的发现、开发和回收,多年来一直被错误地认为是应用于碳氢化合物勘探和开采的其他学科的融合。以一种有效的教学方式整合所有体育分支学科对于确保丰富的全面发展的市场吸引力的专业人才至关重要。本文论述了具有体育背景经验的个人在油气行业和学术界就业时应表现出的优势。对于学生来说,去学校攻读一个不能让他们在自己的学科领域获得竞争优势的学位是没有意义的。对于体育专业毕业生来说,就业市场取决于他们各自学术课程的质量,进而也取决于教师的质量。石油和天然气行业稳定的就业市场不一定能保证就业机会,尤其是在毕业后。在体育这样的学科中,几乎所有重要的事情都发生在数千英尺的地下,为成功分配荣誉或为失败承担责任本身就是一个挑战。尽管世界能源结构对石油和天然气的需求稳定,但据多所大学报告,在石油和天然气价格低迷时期,体育专业的学生入学人数减少,这给体育学科的未来带来了疑问。有兴趣促进毕业生顺利过渡到行业的学术课程应该与从业者合作,在课程中提供理论和实践之间的正确平衡,确保一旦创造就业机会,他们就会得到相关教育和培训的候选人。拥有体育学位的考生自然是体育岗位的首选。这意味着他们的教育和专业背景应该为他们提供无可争议的优势,使他们比其他学科的候选人更有优势。例如,对于一个完井作业,没有比专业的完井PE更好的选择了。如果每个体育专业的毕业生都拥有比竞争对手更优秀的技能,那么他或她将成为油气行业工作的首选。
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引用次数: 1
Connection Recipes: Exploring Optimum Connection Practices through a Data-Driven Approach 连接食谱:通过数据驱动的方法探索最佳连接实践
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.2118/206026-ms
Rahmat Ashari, Owen Sorensen, P. Ashok, E. van Oort, M. Isbell, Koda Chovanetz, Nicole Foster
Although numerous studies have investigated how shocks and vibrations contribute to bottomhole assembly (BHA) failures during hole-making, very few have explicitly focused on shock and vibrational behaviors during drillpipe connections. This study adopts a data-driven approach to explore various connection practices and their associated shocks and vibrations, aiming to propose optimum "connection recipes" that minimize negative drillstring impacts during connections. This study utilized data from surface sensors as well as downhole accelerometers and gyroscopes installed both at a downhole sub and the bit. In total, 520 connections from 5 lateral sections were studied. Several quality checks and corrections were performed to ensure synchronization between surface and downhole data. The analyses focused on two connection phases specifically: going off-bottom and going back to bottom. The presence of stick-slip events and high magnitudes of both maximum and root mean squared (RMS) radial accelerations were examined together with the associated surface drilling parameters. Various visualization approaches were performed to help demonstrate the vibration and shock behaviors resulting from different going off-bottom and going back to bottom practices. The analyses showed that restarting surface rotational speed at low values (≤ 40 RPM) risks inducing stick-slip events when going back to bottom. When the surface RPM was increased sufficiently, a notable reduction in RMS radial acceleration was observed. Maximum radial acceleration magnitude was highest before WOB application, which could be mitigated by immediate WOB re-application. Appreciable variation in the maximum radial acceleration was apparent when restarting at low (≤ 15 klbf) WOB values. When going off-bottom, drilling off should be accompanied by a reduction in the surface rotational speed to avoid a jump in the maximum radial acceleration values. This work provides suggestions on how to execute better connections. Since the impacts of shocks and vibrations during connections have previously been largely overlooked, this study fills a knowledge gap to help establish better practices and automation routines to improve the lifespan of the bit and downhole tools.
尽管有大量研究调查了冲击和振动是如何导致井下钻具组合(BHA)在造孔过程中失效的,但很少有研究明确关注钻杆连接过程中的冲击和振动行为。该研究采用数据驱动的方法来探索各种连接方法及其相关的冲击和振动,旨在提出最佳的“连接配方”,以最大限度地减少连接过程中对钻柱的负面影响。该研究利用了安装在井下短节和钻头上的地面传感器、井下加速度计和陀螺仪的数据。总共研究了5个侧截面的520个连接。为了确保地面和井下数据的同步,进行了多次质量检查和校正。分析主要集中在两个连接阶段:离开底部和回到底部。粘滑事件的存在以及最大和均方根径向加速度(RMS)的高震级与相关的地面钻井参数一起进行了检查。采用了各种可视化方法来帮助演示不同的离底和回底操作所产生的振动和冲击行为。分析表明,在较低的转速(≤40 RPM)下重新启动地面转速,有可能在回底时引发粘滑事件。当表面转速充分增加时,RMS径向加速度显著降低。施加钻压前径向加速度最大,可以通过立即再次施加钻压来缓解。在低WOB值(≤15 klbf)下重新启动时,最大径向加速度明显变化。当钻离井底时,应降低地面转速,以避免最大径向加速度值的跳跃。这项工作为如何执行更好的连接提供了建议。由于之前在连接过程中冲击和振动的影响在很大程度上被忽视,该研究填补了知识空白,帮助建立更好的实践和自动化程序,以提高钻头和井下工具的使用寿命。
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引用次数: 2
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