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Case Study: The Importance of Integrated Flow Assurance Modelling for Carbon Capture and Storage CCS Project 案例研究:综合流量保证模型对碳捕集与封存CCS项目的重要性
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31536-ms
Mohd Uzair Zakaria, Wan Mahsuri Wan Hashim, Nik Fauziah Nik Omar, Rohaizad M Norpiah, M. A. Abu Bakar, Wan Amni Wan Mohamad
A gas field located offshore Malaysia will be developed with carbon capture technology which will recover the remaining amount of hydrocarbon from CO2 rich permeate stream and subsequently concentrate the amount of CO2 to higher purity. The separated high concentration CO2 will be compressed, transported to storage site and injected to store the CO2 safely in a sub-surface geological formation which is a depleted gas field. One of the key success criteria for the CCS development is to be able to inject the CO2 to the reservoir for permanent storage from early to end of injection life. Typically, the battery limit of interface between the subsurface and surface engineer is the surface ITHP whereby the initial prediction was based on stand-alone sub-surface well modelling. A validation exercise was conducted using surface well modelling, including a sensitivity of three main Equation of State (EOS) being considered i.e., GERG-2008, PR 1978 and Advanced PR 1978, to allow the range of pressure drop to be translated to the ITHP number to be quantified. It is acknowledged that impurities within the CO2 stream have strong effect on phase behaviour and physical property predictions. The CO2 composition under study is >95mol% with a mixture of impurities. In addition, ambient temperature has also been found to influence pressure drop prediction. A similar approach is extended for pipeline study. Subsequently, the result provides a clear picture to develop a basis for facility design pressure. The integrated approach of flow assurance between wells and pipeline is important as this was found to affect the CO2 source pressure and design of the surface facility. This paper explains how the study was conducted during conceptual engineering stage and can serve as a reference to other CCS projects.
位于马来西亚近海的一个天然气田将采用碳捕集技术进行开发,该技术将从富含二氧化碳的渗透流中回收剩余的碳氢化合物,随后将二氧化碳浓缩到更高的纯度。分离出来的高浓度二氧化碳将被压缩,运输到储存地点并注入,将二氧化碳安全储存在地下地质地层中,这是一个枯竭的气田。CCS开发成功的关键标准之一是能够将二氧化碳注入储层,并从注入寿命的早期到结束进行永久储存。通常,地下工程师和地面工程师之间的界面限制是地面ITHP,因此最初的预测是基于独立的地下井建模。利用地面井模型进行验证,包括考虑三个主要状态方程(EOS)的灵敏度,即geg -2008、PR 1978和Advanced PR 1978,以便将压降范围转换为可量化的ITHP数。人们承认,二氧化碳流中的杂质对相行为和物理性质的预测有很强的影响。所研究的二氧化碳成分大于95mol%,含有杂质混合物。此外,环境温度也会影响压降的预测。将类似的方法扩展到管道研究中。随后,结果提供了一个清晰的画面,为设施设计压力提供了基础。井和管道之间的流动保证的综合方法非常重要,因为这影响到CO2源压力和地面设施的设计。本文解释了该研究是如何在概念工程阶段进行的,可以作为其他CCS项目的参考。
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引用次数: 2
A Literature Review on Site Suitability and Structural Hydrodynamic Viability for Artificial Reefs Purposes 人工鱼礁选址适宜性和结构水动力可行性的文献综述
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31494-ms
Anas Khaled Alsheikh, N. Zawawi, M. S. Liew, L. E. Shawn, I. Toloue, K. U. Danyaro, Nurshazlyn M. Aszemi
In Malaysia, over 400 oil and gas platforms are in operation. In every life cycle of a platform, it undergoes decommissioning. The most used method is by relocating the asset to an onshore fabrication facility. The alternative to onshore decommissioning is by reefing structures in-situ or ex-situ basis. to achieve the environmental assurance of a successful decommissioning by reefing, two domains of parameters were overviewed. the study involved hydrodynamic simulation of platforms. The first domain is in relations to the site to determine its suitability against hosting marine life and thriving coral formulation (Site Suitability). the other domain is in relations to the structure's physical and hydrodynamic properties (structural viability). Site suitability is governed by water depth and current velocity. Structural viability is governed by two sub-domains, one is where dimensions and complexity of the structure are assessed using dimensionality analysis. And the other is its hydrodynamic properties (Vortex Shedding Frequency, Pressure, Wake Region indices).
在马来西亚,有400多个石油和天然气平台在运行。在平台的每个生命周期中,都会经历退役。最常用的方法是将资产重新安置到陆上制造设施。陆上退役的替代方案是通过就地或移地的方式对结构进行珊瑚礁化。为了实现珊瑚礁成功退役的环境保证,概述了两个参数域。该研究涉及平台的水动力模拟。第一个领域与场地有关,以确定其对海洋生物和繁荣珊瑚的适宜性(场地适宜性)。另一个领域与结构的物理和水动力特性(结构可行性)有关。场地的适宜性由水深和流速决定。结构可行性由两个子领域控制,一个是使用维数分析来评估结构的维数和复杂性。二是其水动力特性(旋涡脱落频率、压力、尾迹区指标)。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Approach in Implementing Hydrate Management Strategies in Deepwater Gas Developments 在深水天然气开发中实施水合物管理战略的综合方法
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31582-ms
A. Anuar, Rohaizad M Norpiah
Hydrates have been a constant threat to subsea deepwater operations. Partial or total hydrate blockages usually occur after shutdown of a host facility, which invariably affects the resumption of production. The complexities of subsea production systems and extensiveness of deepwater fields present challenges in implementing hydrate management strategies. In the past, erroneous and ad-hoc strategies were implemented due to a lack of flow assurance (FA) awareness and understanding, resulting in production deferment caused by frequent hydrate formation/ blockages. Hydrate inhibition based on Mono-Ethylene Glycol (MEG) and Methanol (MeOH), if not properly understood and managed may lead to significant increases in a field's annual operating expenditure (OPEX). PETRONAS has gained a fair amount of experience in dealing with hydrates. The approaches taken in mitigating hydrate related issues in subsea developments have been exemplary and it is beneficial to be shared across the fraternities. These approaches will be discussed in detail throughout the article based on case studies from two subsea field developments: Field D Deepwater Gas Development and BG Gas Flowline at Field C
水合物一直是水下深水作业的威胁。部分或全部水合物堵塞通常发生在主机设施关闭后,这必然会影响到生产的恢复。水下生产系统的复杂性和深水油田的广泛性为实施水合物管理策略提出了挑战。过去,由于缺乏对流动保证(FA)的认识和理解,实施了错误的临时策略,导致频繁的水合物形成/堵塞导致生产延迟。基于单乙二醇(MEG)和甲醇(MeOH)的水合物抑制,如果不能正确理解和管理,可能会导致油田的年度运营支出(OPEX)大幅增加。马来西亚国家石油公司在处理水合物方面积累了相当多的经验。在海底开发中,减少水合物相关问题的方法已经成为典范,这些方法在各大公司之间共享是有益的。本文将基于两个海底油田开发的案例研究详细讨论这些方法:field D深水天然气开发和field C的BG天然气管线
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the Impact of Corrosion on Gas Wells Past its Design Life 了解腐蚀对超过设计寿命的气井的影响
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31456-ms
Hanani Zaidil, Sim-Siong Wong
Field X produces dry gas from a carbonate reservoir with moderate aquifer support consisting of 16 wells most of which were drilled between 1986 to 1987. Up until 2021, these wells would have been in service for approximately 35 years, past its theoretical design life. Based on production forecast, the field is expected to continue producing for another 10 to 18 years. In view of the prolonged life extension, there is a need to review the integrity status of the well to ensure safe production until the end of field life. Wellhead preventive maintenance are conducted on a six-monthly basis to assure safety critical equipment (SCE) functionality and performance. Maintenance data collected since 2008 provides a good view on surface and subsurface valve integrity. In recent years, observations on external corrosion have received some attention. At the same time, there were efforts in determining and verifying the corrosion rates for production tubing, wellhead and x-mas tree. For well tubing and production casing, load based assumptions were used to estimate the minimum allowable tubular thickness to establish a basis for remaining life estimates. To verify the remaining life estimates, in 2019, a multi-finger caliper log was ran across the tubing of Well B to measure actual metal loss around the pipe. A magnetic log was also run in Well B in the same year to obtain quantitative measurement of remaining metal thickness in 13-3/8", 9-5/8" and 7" tubing. The observations from these exercises indicate that calculated estimates are more conservative as they do not account for the impact of the highly dynamic conditions downhole. While logging provided an independent view of the condition of the tubing and casing, no inspection of the x-mas tree cavity was carried out. An opportunity to close this gap and obtain information on the internal condition of the x-mas tree body is presented to Field X with the abandonment campaign on two idle wells in quarter three of 2021. The x-mas tree was retrieved, and internal inspection was conducted. The same is done for retrieved tubing from the abandoned wells. This study and its findings will enhance understanding on well design life, especially for vintage wells of over 30 years and provide assurance that wells are safe to produce.
X油田的干气产自一个碳酸盐岩储层,该储层具有中等含水层支撑,由16口井组成,其中大部分井是在1986年至1987年间钻探的。到2021年,这些井将服役约35年,超过其理论设计寿命。根据产量预测,该油田预计将继续生产10至18年。鉴于寿命延长,有必要审查井的完整性状态,以确保安全生产,直到油田寿命结束。井口预防性维护每六个月进行一次,以确保安全关键设备(SCE)的功能和性能。自2008年以来收集的维护数据可以很好地了解地面和地下阀门的完整性。近年来,外界腐蚀的观察得到了一定的重视。与此同时,还努力确定和验证生产油管、井口和采油树的腐蚀速率。对于油井油管和生产套管,采用基于载荷的假设来估算最小允许管厚,从而为剩余寿命估算奠定基础。为了验证剩余寿命估计,在2019年,对B井的油管进行了多指井径测井,以测量管道周围的实际金属损失量。同年,B井也进行了磁测井,以定量测量13-3/8”、9-5/8”和7”油管的剩余金属厚度。从这些练习中观察到的结果表明,计算出的估计更为保守,因为它们没有考虑到井下高动态条件的影响。虽然测井提供了油管和套管状况的独立视图,但没有对x-mas采油树腔进行检查。通过在2021年第三季度对两口闲置井进行弃井作业,X油田有机会缩小这一差距,并获得关于X -mas树体内部状况的信息。取出圣诞树,进行内部检查。从废弃井中回收的油管也是如此。这项研究及其结果将提高人们对油井设计寿命的理解,特别是对于超过30年的老井,并为井的安全生产提供保证。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges on Building Representative 3D Static Models under Subsurface Uncertainties for a Giant Carbonate Field in Central Luconia, Offshore Sarawak Sarawak海上Luconia中部巨型碳酸盐岩油田在地下不确定性下建立具有代表性的三维静态模型的挑战
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31341-ms
P. Chongrueanglap, W. Siriwattanakajorn, M. K. Hamdan, K. Poret, Thanutpong Soontornnateepat, Sirichai Mahamat, Khuananong Wongpaet, Y. P. Cheong
This paper focuses on the challenges in building representative 3D static models under all subsurface uncertainties for a green field. The case study is based on a giant carbonate gas field, appraised with a few partially penetrated wells in Central Luconia province, offshore Sarawak, Malaysia. With very limited hard data for reservoir characterization, knowledge from Central Luconia literature and nearby field analogues had to be used together with the 3D seismic data. Standard geostatistical methodology was used to integrate the subsurface interpretations and to capture the identified subsurface uncertainties, i.e., structural framework, fluid contacts, facies distribution, petrophysical interpretations, saturation function, permeability prediction etc. Some of the key challenges, findings and results are listed below; How to quantify a long list of subsurface uncertainties with a manageable number of 3D static models? Full factorial design was used together with expert knowledge to limit the total number of uncertainties. How to quantify the structural uncertainty and the challenge in building geocellular grid for carbonate platform and pinnacle buildup? Even with very limited core data, the lithofacies interpretation was completed and incorporate 3D seismic data as representative 3D trend for distributing the expected carbonate facies. It is a massive challenge in characterizing the petrophysical properties for carbonate reservoirs, as heterogeneity (both primary and secondary processes) can be difficult to predict. Similar porosity seen in seismic inversion might have different flow behavior in permeability. Sub-seismic geological features like flooding surfaces might be acting as vertical baffles, which must be modelled as an important element of the geostatistical models. Reservoir characterization and uncertainty quantification will allow an improved understanding of the reservoir, and the results will guide the data acquisition program in subsequent appraisal campaign. This case study will enrich the knowledge within the Central Luconia carbonate province, and a discovery in a mature basin is still a massive challenge for reservoir characterization under uncertainties.
本文重点讨论了在所有地下不确定因素下建立具有代表性的绿地三维静态模型所面临的挑战。该案例研究基于一个巨大的碳酸盐岩气田,对位于马来西亚Sarawak海上的Central Luconia省的几口部分钻透的井进行了评价。由于储层表征的硬数据非常有限,因此必须将Central Luconia文献和附近油田的类似数据与三维地震数据结合使用。采用标准地统计学方法对地下解释进行整合,并捕获已识别的地下不确定性,即构造格架、流体接触、相分布、岩石物理解释、饱和度函数、渗透率预测等。下面列出了一些关键的挑战、发现和结果;如何用可管理的3D静态模型量化一长串地下不确定性?全因子设计结合专家知识来限制不确定因素的总数。如何量化碳酸盐岩台地和尖峰构造地胞网的结构不确定性和挑战?即使岩心资料非常有限,也完成了岩相解释,并将三维地震资料作为预测碳酸盐岩相分布的代表性三维趋势。由于非均质性(原生和次生过程)难以预测,因此对碳酸盐岩储层的岩石物理性质进行表征是一个巨大的挑战。在地震反演中发现的相似孔隙度在渗透率上可能具有不同的流动特性。次地震地质特征,如洪水表面,可能会起到垂直挡板的作用,这必须作为地质统计模型的一个重要元素来建模。储层表征和不确定性量化将有助于提高对储层的了解,其结果将指导后续评价活动中的数据采集程序。该案例研究将丰富中Luconia碳酸盐岩省的知识,在不确定的情况下,在成熟盆地中发现储层仍然是一个巨大的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Single Trip Sand Control and Cementing System 单趟防砂和固井系统
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31431-ms
Nicholas Moses, E. Ismayilov, Edwin Newn, Emmanuel Mogga, Chunlei Zou, Jeremie Poizat, Gordon Milne, I. Sanni, Stewart Thomson, Blayne Haubrich
The operator of field S initiated a project with a key objective to unlock and increase oil recovery while maximizing the economical oil ultimate recovery and maintaining a daily production with a ceiling unit development cost. The targeted sandstone reservoirs are shallow with unconsolidated formation which require active sand control. To achieve the objectives, a Single Trip Sand Control and Cementing System was developed by the service provider utilizing existing proven technology which was adapted to be a fit for purpose solution. The main driver in developing the single trip system was operational simplicity. The high-level procedure of the system is: Drill open hole from surface to target depth in a single run. Make up lower completion assembly and production casing and run to target depth. In the same trip, set production packer and release service string. Gravel pack the lower completion or install as a stand-alone screens completion and cement the production casing in place before pulling out of hole. Once the single trip system was designed and developed, a detailed system integration testing was carried out to ensure that the technology performed as expected. The turnaround time from design to execution was reduced tremendously by utilizing existing proven technology with minimal modification required. From there, 2 wells were identified for a pilot technology trial where this novel system was implemented. The execution of these 2 wells was successful with the expected learning curve of implementing a new system. One of the key findings were the robustness of the system as it was applied in a well with higher than normal doglegs, highly deviated shallow reservoir and the sand screens were run through extended open hole shale sections which would have been cased off in a conventional completion approach. Additionally, the single trip approach allows for further optimization with multi-skilling personnel, and this led to an improved operational efficiency. Post well completion, the 2 wells have been successfully put on production and are producing sand free. This unconventional approach can unlock more marginal reserves that were previously not feasible to be developed economically.
S油田的运营商启动了一个项目,其主要目标是解锁和提高采收率,同时最大限度地提高经济原油最终采收率,并在单位开发成本上限的情况下保持日产量。目标砂岩储层为浅层松散地层,需要积极防砂。为了实现这一目标,服务提供商利用现有的成熟技术开发了一套单趟防砂和固井系统,并对其进行了调整,以适应特定的解决方案。开发单趟下入系统的主要动力是操作简单。该系统的高级流程为:单趟钻从地面到目标深度的裸眼。组装下部完井组合和生产套管,下入目标深度。在同一趟下入中,坐封生产封隔器并释放服务管柱。砾石充填下部完井或作为独立筛管完井安装,并在出井前将生产套管固井到位。一旦设计和开发了单趟下入系统,就会进行详细的系统集成测试,以确保该技术达到预期效果。从设计到执行的周转时间通过利用现有的经过验证的技术而大大减少了所需的修改。在此基础上,确定了两口井进行技术试验,并实施了该系统。这两口井的作业都取得了成功,并达到了实施新系统的预期学习曲线。其中一个重要发现是该系统的稳健性,因为它适用于比普通狗腿井高、大斜度的浅层油藏,并且防砂筛管下入了常规完井方法下入的大裸眼页岩段。此外,单趟下入的方法允许多技能人员进一步优化,从而提高了作业效率。完井后,这两口井已成功投产,并开始无砂生产。这种非常规的方法可以释放更多的边际储量,而这些储量以前是不可行的,无法进行经济开发。
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引用次数: 0
Flow Assurance Testing with Re-Livened Oil: A Cost-Effective Analogue for Live Oil 再活油的流动保证测试:一种具有成本效益的模拟活油
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31416-ms
A. R. Farrell, Andrew C. Ewing, D. Frigo, G. Graham
It is widely accepted that live crude oil samples provide the most field representative fluids when investigating asphaltenes and paraffin wax problems in laboratory testing. However, this approach is limited by availability of live samples and the potential that samples collected during drilling will be insufficiently representative due to contamination. This paper demonstrates that re-livened oil comprising dead oil and just 1 or 2 solvents can be an acceptable replacement where live oil of sufficient quality is not available. We outline a best-of-both approach: using readily available dead oil but replacing the volatile ends with components that reproduce much of the solvating and phase behaviour of live oil, and where they differ from it, they do so in a predictable manner, which can be readily modelled using an equation of state (EoS) simulator. This avoids the expense and time required to restore the oil to a precise replica of live fluid while still generating laboratory data to increase confidence in predictions for the actual live oil composition generated by the EoS software. Illustrative examples are given to demonstrate different ways in which re-livened oil can be designed to mimic key features of live oil behaviour, and any differences can be modelled. Wax appearance measurements were made for re-livened oil and used to calibrate an EoS model. When used to simulate data for a live oil, the calibrated model gave excellent agreement with field data. Subsequently, deposition tests were carried out with re-livened oil and used to qualify a wax inhibitor for subsea application. Measurement of the Asphaltenes Onset Pressure (AOP) for re-livened oil was used to tune the EoS model for the analogous live oil, yielding predictions of the asphaltenes precipitation envelope (APE) that were consistent with those obtained using the live oil. This illustrates that live oil may not always be necessary to obtain a reliable APE, especially when the only live oil samples are of questionable quality. Solubility theory was applied to the selection of conditions for asphaltenes flow-loop deposition, wherein a precipitant is added to dead oil to induce deposition. This approach can determine both the identity and correct proportion of a suitable precipitant to simulate conditions close to the bubble point where deposition commonly occurs. Our work shows how experimental results (both laboratory and field) were used to validate the methodology presented here. The findings of our work will lead to significant cost-savings in performing both flow assurance risk assessments and inhibitor qualification. Rather than going to the significant expense and operational difficulty and risk of collecting and transporting live samples, such screenings can be performed on re-livened fluids that are both field representative and cost-effective.
当在实验室测试中研究沥青质和石蜡问题时,人们普遍认为活原油样品提供了最具现场代表性的流体。然而,这种方法受到活体样品可用性的限制,并且在钻井过程中收集的样品可能由于污染而不具有足够的代表性。本文表明,在没有足够质量的活油的情况下,由死油和1或2种溶剂组成的再活油可以作为可接受的替代品。我们概述了一种两全其美的方法:使用现成的死油,但用能够重现活油的大部分溶剂化和相行为的成分代替挥发性末端,并且在它们不同的地方,它们以一种可预测的方式进行,这可以很容易地使用状态方程(EoS)模拟器进行建模。这避免了将油还原为活液的精确复制品所需的费用和时间,同时仍然生成实验室数据,以提高EoS软件生成的实际活油成分预测的可信度。举例说明了不同的方法,可以设计再生油来模拟活油行为的关键特征,并且可以对任何差异进行建模。蜡的外观测量用于重新活化的油,并用于校准EoS模型。当用于模拟实际油田数据时,校正后的模型与现场数据吻合良好。随后,对重新活化过的原油进行了沉积测试,并验证了蜡抑制剂是否适合海底应用。通过测量再活油的沥青质起始压力(AOP)来调整类似活油的EoS模型,得出的沥青质沉淀包络线(APE)预测结果与使用活油获得的结果一致。这说明,获得可靠的APE可能并不总是需要活油,特别是当唯一的活油样品质量有问题时。将溶解度理论应用于沥青质流环沉积条件的选择,其中在死油中添加沉淀剂以诱导沉积。这种方法可以确定一种合适的沉淀剂的特性和正确的比例,以模拟气泡点附近通常发生沉积的条件。我们的工作展示了如何使用实验结果(实验室和现场)来验证本文提出的方法。我们的研究结果将大大节省流量保证风险评估和抑制剂鉴定的成本。这种筛检可以在重新活化的流体上进行,既具有现场代表性,又具有成本效益,而不需要花费大量的费用、操作难度和风险来收集和运输活样品。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Analytics for Gas Turbine Driven Trains to Achieve Optimum Performance, Economics and Greenhouse Gas Emissions 燃气轮机驱动列车的预测分析,以实现最佳性能,经济和温室气体排放
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31489-ms
Siva Kumaran Chidambram, Jinyong Tan, Mohd Amaluddin Yusoff, June Janesby Roy Jihok
The current gas turbine performance monitoring infrastructure in Shell Malaysia yields inaccuracies of ±15% with no links towards emissions and fuel economics. This has resulted in severe limitations towards the ability to improve greenhouse gas (GHG) performance and generate value. This paper describes a novel, data centric approach to derive meaningful insights and economics/carbon savings from existing data on Plant Information (PI) and SMART CONNECT, a Shell in house performance management IT tool. This project applies advanced analytics techniques based on historical data, supplemented by engineering performance models to derive robust outcomes. First, gas turbine and compressor modelling principles are programmed in Python and validated with engineering software such as UNISIM based on available operating data via PI. This yields a multivariate dataset tabulating the historical efficiency, power and fuel gas consumption of the fleet. The model is then utilized in a mathematical optimization algorithm and the optimized data used for training and validation of a Random Forest Regressor model. The performance model in Python is able to achieve accuracies of <1% absolute error when validated with UMSFM on the key performance parameters. Through parametric optimization, the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the gas turbine and compressor powers is reduced to 0.55MW2 from its original 4.94MW2. The Heat Rate, Shaft Power, and gas generator exit pressures are also identified as the variables most correlated with efficiency. Lastly, the trained machine learning model demonstrated agreement with the dataset during testing, with a R2 value of 0.86 reflecting a strong correlation. With a predictive digital model in place, production programmers can accurately identify the key levers to optimize the machine operating point for optimum fuel gas consumption. Optimizing Gumusut Kakap's high pressure compressors can yield 62,400 USD in savings per annum from increased sales gas and and 880 tCO2e per annum of reduction in GHG emissions, for every 1% increase in efficiency. This approach is a novel concept, leveraging on expertise from both engineering and data science to enhance equipment performance, and can be replicated towards other types of equipment to achieve efficiency, economic and emissions improvements at scale.
壳牌马来西亚目前的燃气轮机性能监测基础设施的误差为±15%,与排放和燃油经济性无关。这导致了对改善温室气体(GHG)性能和创造价值的能力的严重限制。本文描述了一种新颖的、以数据为中心的方法,可以从工厂信息(PI)和SMART CONNECT(壳牌内部绩效管理IT工具)的现有数据中获得有意义的见解和经济/碳节约。该项目采用基于历史数据的高级分析技术,辅以工程性能模型,以获得可靠的结果。首先,用Python编写燃气轮机和压缩机建模原理,并根据PI提供的运行数据,使用UNISIM等工程软件进行验证。这产生了一个多变量数据集,其中列出了车队的历史效率、功率和燃料气体消耗。然后将该模型用于数学优化算法,并将优化后的数据用于随机森林回归模型的训练和验证。当使用UMSFM对关键性能参数进行验证时,Python中的性能模型能够实现<1%绝对误差的精度。通过参数优化,燃气轮机与压气机功率的均方误差(MSE)由原来的4.94MW2降至0.55MW2。热率、轴功率和燃气发生器出口压力也被确定为与效率最相关的变量。最后,经过训练的机器学习模型在测试过程中与数据集一致,R2值为0.86,反映出很强的相关性。有了预测性数字模型,生产编程人员可以准确地识别关键杠杆,以优化机器的工作点,以实现最佳的燃料气体消耗。优化Gumusut Kakap的高压压缩机,每提高1%的效率,每年可通过增加销售气体节省62,400美元,每年可减少880吨二氧化碳当量的温室气体排放。这种方法是一种新颖的概念,利用工程和数据科学的专业知识来提高设备性能,并且可以复制到其他类型的设备上,以实现大规模的效率、经济和排放改善。
{"title":"Predictive Analytics for Gas Turbine Driven Trains to Achieve Optimum Performance, Economics and Greenhouse Gas Emissions","authors":"Siva Kumaran Chidambram, Jinyong Tan, Mohd Amaluddin Yusoff, June Janesby Roy Jihok","doi":"10.4043/31489-ms","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4043/31489-ms","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The current gas turbine performance monitoring infrastructure in Shell Malaysia yields inaccuracies of ±15% with no links towards emissions and fuel economics. This has resulted in severe limitations towards the ability to improve greenhouse gas (GHG) performance and generate value. This paper describes a novel, data centric approach to derive meaningful insights and economics/carbon savings from existing data on Plant Information (PI) and SMART CONNECT, a Shell in house performance management IT tool.\u0000 This project applies advanced analytics techniques based on historical data, supplemented by engineering performance models to derive robust outcomes. First, gas turbine and compressor modelling principles are programmed in Python and validated with engineering software such as UNISIM based on available operating data via PI. This yields a multivariate dataset tabulating the historical efficiency, power and fuel gas consumption of the fleet. The model is then utilized in a mathematical optimization algorithm and the optimized data used for training and validation of a Random Forest Regressor model.\u0000 The performance model in Python is able to achieve accuracies of <1% absolute error when validated with UMSFM on the key performance parameters. Through parametric optimization, the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the gas turbine and compressor powers is reduced to 0.55MW2 from its original 4.94MW2. The Heat Rate, Shaft Power, and gas generator exit pressures are also identified as the variables most correlated with efficiency. Lastly, the trained machine learning model demonstrated agreement with the dataset during testing, with a R2 value of 0.86 reflecting a strong correlation.\u0000 With a predictive digital model in place, production programmers can accurately identify the key levers to optimize the machine operating point for optimum fuel gas consumption. Optimizing Gumusut Kakap's high pressure compressors can yield 62,400 USD in savings per annum from increased sales gas and and 880 tCO2e per annum of reduction in GHG emissions, for every 1% increase in efficiency. This approach is a novel concept, leveraging on expertise from both engineering and data science to enhance equipment performance, and can be replicated towards other types of equipment to achieve efficiency, economic and emissions improvements at scale.","PeriodicalId":11011,"journal":{"name":"Day 3 Thu, March 24, 2022","volume":"61 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80605350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Field X, Central Luconia, Offshore Sarawak, Malaysia, Early Appraisal Stage Reservoir Characterization 马来西亚海上Sarawak, Central Luconia油田X,早期评价阶段储层表征
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31515-ms
K. Poret, A. Saller, P. Henglai, K. Laitrakull, P. Chongrueanglap, W. Siriwattanakajorn, Platt Chris
Miocene carbonates have been producing gas in Central Luconia for more than 30 years (Warrlich et al., 2019). Approximately 65 TCF of recoverable gas have been discovered to date in these build-ups (Scherer, 1980; Mahmud and Saleh, 1999; Khazali et al., 2013; Kosa et al., 2015; Warrlich et al., 2019). One of the most recent carbonate discoveries in this region, Field X, is in its early-stage of reservoir characterization. Depositional and facies models have been created with newly acquired data from LL-C appraisal well. Tectonics, accommodation, and sea level contributed to the overall shape and deposition of the carbonate buildup. One appraisal well, LL-C was drilled and penetrated a thick carbonate section on the structure. With the available data, facies and conceptual depositional models were created using well logs, sidewall cores, conventional cores, cuttings, seismic, and an extensive literature review. At the time of this study, core laboratory analyses were not yet completed. The reservoir is separated into five zones based on well log, core, and seismic data. A precursory facies model was completed using only photographs from the sidewall cores acquired in all five zones of the structure and photographs from conventional core acquired in the upper reservoir interval. Five facies were identified: Coral, Packstone, Wackestone, Mudstone, and Cemented Margin. The data acquired in LL-C illustrates the complexity of carbonate reservoirs and the need to acquire core early in the appraisal of carbonate reservoirs.
中新世碳酸盐已经在中央卢科尼亚生产了30多年的天然气(Warrlich et al., 2019)。迄今为止,在这些堆积中已发现约65万亿立方英尺的可采天然气(Scherer, 1980;Mahmud and Saleh, 1999;Khazali et al., 2013;Kosa et al., 2015;Warrlich et al., 2019)。该地区最近发现的碳酸盐岩之一X油田正处于储层表征的早期阶段。利用LL-C评价井新获得的资料建立了沉积相模型。构造、调节和海平面对碳酸盐堆积的整体形状和沉积有影响。其中一口评价井LL-C在该构造上钻穿了一层较厚的碳酸盐岩剖面。根据现有数据,通过测井、侧壁岩心、常规岩心、岩屑、地震和广泛的文献回顾,建立了相和概念沉积模型。在本研究进行时,核心实验室分析尚未完成。根据测井、岩心和地震数据,将储层划分为五个区域。仅使用在该构造的所有五个区域获得的侧壁岩心照片和在上部储层段获得的常规岩心照片,就完成了前兆相模型。确定了五种相:珊瑚相、包岩相、瓦克岩相、泥岩相和胶结边缘相。LL-C储层获得的数据说明了碳酸盐岩储层的复杂性以及在碳酸盐岩储层评价中早期获取岩心的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Effective Mono Ethylene Glycol Meg Injection Optimisation at Offshore Gas Platform Facility: A Novel Case Study for Hydrate Control During Summer and Winter Operation 海上天然气平台设施有效单乙二醇Meg注入优化:夏季和冬季作业水合物控制的新案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.4043/31393-ms
Salu A. Samusideen, Mohammed Abdo Alwani, A. Kurdi
The objective of this paper is to show five innovative options of operating the hydrate inhibition system which aims to eliminate future wet natural gas production limitations and optimize capital and operation expenses during a 25-year life cycle period. Mono-Ethylene Glycol (MEG) is injected in wet natural gas trunk lines from an offshore gas field, as a means of hydrate inhibition during the winter season. The used MEG is supposed to be recovered in MEG Regeneration Unit (MRU) at onshore gas plant, where the wet natural gas is further processed. The MRU often faces challenges in producing to achieve specified MEG purity, which consequently results in injecting a diluted solution of MEG into the offshore systems, and thereby lowering the maximum allowable production capacity of wet natural gas. This paper describes the study in five different options. Option 1 represents the current operating scenario of maintaining the existing system with MRU in service, while option 2 explores shutting down MRU at onshore gas plant, and pumping fresh MEG during winter days from the gas plant to the offshore platforms. Option 3 explores shutting down MRU at the gas plant and pumping fresh MEG during winter days, but from a Beach Valve Station (BVS) at an onshore location. Option 4 explores maintaining the existing system with MRU in service and upgrade the storage tanks to address the unsteady state nature of rich MEG flow. Option 5 explores pumping lean MEG during winter days from the gas plant, storing rich MEG in tanks for MEG regeneration and reclaiming MEG through the existing system during the summer including storing lean MEG in tanks for winter usage. The evaluation has shown that options 2 and 3 can easily meet the required hydrate depression specification during winter period, at far lower MEG injection rates and at a substantially lower life cycle cost (LCC) compared to option 1. The evaluation also showed that options 4 and 5 will ensure MRU operation not interrupted due to low-low levels in MEG storage tanks and will maintain high purity MEG in the trunk lines, which is different from option 1. In conclusion, option 5 has the lowest LCC which is the most economically attractive option.
本文的目的是展示五种操作水合物抑制系统的创新选择,旨在消除未来湿法天然气生产的限制,并在25年的生命周期内优化资本和运营成本。在冬季,将单乙二醇(MEG)注入海上气田的湿天然气干线中,作为水合物抑制的一种手段。使用过的MEG应该在陆上天然气厂的MEG再生装置(MRU)中回收,在那里湿天然气被进一步处理。为了达到特定的MEG纯度,MRU在生产中经常面临挑战,这导致将稀释的MEG溶液注入海上系统,从而降低了湿式天然气的最大允许生产能力。本文从五个不同的选项来描述研究。方案1代表了当前的运行方案,即在MRU服务的情况下维持现有系统,而方案2则探讨了关闭陆上天然气厂的MRU,并在冬季从天然气厂向海上平台泵送新的MEG。选项3是关闭天然气厂的MRU,在冬季从岸上的海滩阀门站(BVS)泵送新鲜MEG。选项4探索在MRU服役的情况下维持现有系统,并升级储罐,以解决富MEG流的非稳态特性。方案5探讨了在冬季从燃气厂抽出稀MEG,将富含MEG储存在储罐中进行MEG再生,并在夏季通过现有系统回收MEG,包括将稀MEG储存在储罐中以供冬季使用。评估结果表明,与方案1相比,方案2和方案3可以在较低的MEG注入速率和较低的生命周期成本(LCC)下轻松满足冬季所需的水合物抑制规格。评估还表明,与方案1不同,方案4和方案5将确保MRU的运行不会因MEG储罐中的低水平而中断,并将在干线中保持高纯度的MEG。综上所述,方案5具有最低的LCC,这是最具经济吸引力的方案。
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引用次数: 0
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