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Competitive Evaluation of Malaysia Enhanced Profitability Terms with Southeast Asia Fiscal Terms 马来西亚增强型盈利条件与东南亚财政条件的竞争评估
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22162-ms
Choong Heng Lim, T. Dharmadji, Azrin Kassim, Muhammad Usman Ul Haq Sethi, Muhammad Kamran Qureshi
Malaysia has introduced a shallow-water enhanced profitability term (EPT) production sharing contract (PSC) in the year 2021 to reward a PSC contractor with equitable returns reflecting the business risk and the opportunity to accelerate development and monetization. This study evaluates the attractiveness of the EPT against several fiscal terms adopted in southeast Asia, including Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and Myanmar. This paper established an offshore shallow-water field development analogue project with a total production volume of 68 MMbbl, capital expenditure (Capex) of USD 530 million, predevelopment operating expenditure (Opex) of USD 36 million, variable Opex of USD 12.5/bbl, floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) rental of USD 61 million/year, and abandonment capital of USD 101 million. High, base, and low scenarios are considered for oil price per barrel as USD 70, 60, and 50, respectively, and production volume scenarios as 78, 68, and 58 MMbbl, respectively. These values with certain fiscal assumptions are input into a fiscal model engine for economic indicators [net present value (NPV), rate of return (ROR), and payback], revenue take, after-tax cashflow, and variables sensitivity calculations to evaluate base, optimistic, and pessimistic cases. In the base case, the attractiveness order of countries based on a higher-positive NPV at 10% and ROR are Malaysia EPT (NPV at 10% = USD 198 million, ROR = 30.4%), Indonesia PSC (2017) (NPV at 10% = USD 149 million, ROR = 28.3%), and Thailand Royalty and Tax (R/T; 1991) (NPV at 10% = USD 32 million, ROR = 14.5%). In the optimistic case, the NPVs at 10% are improved, ranging from Thailand (+271%), Myanmar (+247%), Malaysia (+151%), and Indonesia and Vietnam (+141%) as compared to the base case. In the pessimistic case, all the fiscal terms are unfeasible for ROR at 10%. Myanmar PSC (1993) yields above 10% ROR only when the production is at the base or high scenario with oil price at USD 70/bbl. Vietnam PSC (2013) is unfeasible for positive NPV at 10% even with high oil price under various taxes, including the windfall profit tax. Indonesia has a better NPV at 10% at a low oil price because of the progressive split that subsidizes the operator. Oil price and production volume are the top two sensitive variables except for Vietnam, where capital is the highest. The contractor take is higher in Malaysia, followed by Indonesia, Thailand, Myanmar, and Vietnam at base and high oil price. When the oil price is low, Indonesia generated a higher contractor take than Malaysia. Malaysia EPT is the only fiscal regime that can generate a contractor take that is higher than government take and stagnant around 55% against the 40% in Indonesia. In conclusion, Malaysia EPT provides a better investment return when the oil price is USD 60/bbl and above, while Indonesia gross split is more profitable when the oil price is low. This study provides insights on the potential investment returns
马来西亚于2021年推出了一项浅水增强盈利期限(EPT)生产分成合同(PSC),以奖励PSC承包商公平的回报,以反映业务风险和加速开发和货币化的机会。本研究对比东南亚国家(包括印度尼西亚、越南、泰国和缅甸)采用的几种财政术语,评估了EPT的吸引力。本文建立了一个海上浅水油田开发模拟项目,总产量为6800万桶,资本支出(Capex)为5.3亿美元,开发前运营支出(Opex)为3600万美元,可变Opex为12.5美元/桶,浮式生产储卸(FPSO)租金为6100万美元/年,废弃资本为1.01亿美元。油价分别为每桶70美元、60美元和50美元,产量分别为7800万桶、68万桶和5800万桶。这些具有特定财政假设的值被输入到财政模型引擎中,用于经济指标[净现值(NPV)、回报率(ROR)和回报]、收入、税后现金流和变量敏感性计算,以评估基本、乐观和悲观情况。在基本情况下,NPV为10%和ROR较高的国家的吸引力顺序是马来西亚EPT (NPV为10% = 1.98亿美元,ROR = 30.4%),印度尼西亚PSC(2017年)(NPV为10% = 1.49亿美元,ROR = 28.3%)和泰国特许权使用费和税收(R/T;(净现值10% = 3200万美元,ROR = 14.5%)。在乐观情况下,与基本情况相比,10%的净现值有所改善,包括泰国(+271%)、缅甸(+247%)、马来西亚(+151%)、印度尼西亚和越南(+141%)。在悲观的情况下,所有的财政条款对于10%的ROR都是不可行的。缅甸PSC(1993)只有在石油价格为70美元/桶的基础或高情景下,其收益率才会超过10%。越南PSC(2013)即使在各种税收(包括暴利税)下的高油价下,也无法实现10%的正净现值。在低油价的情况下,印尼的净现值为10%,因为渐进式分拆补贴了运营商。除了资本最高的越南,油价和产量是最敏感的两个变量。马来西亚的承包商收入较高,其次是印度尼西亚、泰国、缅甸和越南,原因是基地和高油价。当油价处于低位时,印尼的承包商收入高于马来西亚。马来西亚的EPT是唯一一个能够产生高于政府收入的承包商收入的财政体制,并且停滞在55%左右,而印度尼西亚为40%。综上所述,当油价在60美元/桶及以上时,马来西亚EPT具有更好的投资回报,而印度尼西亚的毛分割在油价较低时更有利可图。本研究提供了新的EPT财政条款对潜在投资回报的见解。油价反弹时的吸引力和潜在利润率上升,为其他东南亚国家的财政条款铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Case Study: Single Well Design Targeting Three Water Bearing Formations 案例研究:针对三个含水地层的单井设计
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-21971-ms
Hamad Al-Qattan, Emad Al-Jassam, Magdy Mansour, Mahmoud Morcey
Designing an onshore pilot well to be drilled and functioning as water disposal well targeting one of three potential formations to test and evaluate their injectivity. Based on evaluation results, an alternative new and deeper formation will be selected to dispose the unwanted associated produced water, instead of the current shallow formation that is considered as a natural aquifer by authorities. The well is designed to reach the first target in a deviated angle after which evaluation of the barefoot injectivity testing will begin. The decision whether to continue drilling to a secondary target or complete the well depends heavily on the injectivity testing results. The deviated angle of drilling will be dropped to reach a vertical position for the secondary target upon which the last liner will be run and perforated, then the formation testing will be conducted. In case of encounterg failure in the second injectivity testing, drilling to the deepest target will continue and final barefoot testing will be performed. A final optimal design for the pilot disposal well is intended to meet the reservoir and geological team with minimal drilling risks. The distance between this well and the other deep offset wells was the main challenge where the planned total depth was never reached in the disposal location. Also, the design was tailored to accommodate the drilling sections with the separation and long intervals between the targets. Furthermore, the uncertainty of the deepest formation fluid in addition to the uncertainties of formations pressure and formations fracture pressure were a big dispute while preparing the drilling fluids programs particularly across the target in which a water based mud was used as drilling fluid not to damage the formations nor to jeopardize the results of the injectivity tests. The pilot disposal well is drilled successfully penetrating two targets without the need to drill to the third formation. Hence, the new formation that will be used to dispose of the produced but unwanted water is defined after the reservoir team have evaluated the two injectivity tests. The results of the injectivity evaluation also provided the required number of wells that can handle all the expected produced water, and provided the required upgrade for the surface facilities to accommodate the injection pressure. This unique challenging well design, combining slanted and vertical trajectories, can be utilized whenever the budget is limited to one well, while you have multiple different targets to explore. Moreover, a specialized environmental impact study, conducted by independent contractor, confirms that there was no harm from the injected water to the groundwater.
设计一口陆上试验井,作为水处理井,针对三个潜在地层中的一个进行测试和评估其注入能力。根据评估结果,将选择一个新的、更深的地层来处理不需要的伴生采出水,而不是目前被当局认为是天然含水层的浅层地层。该井的设计目标是在一个斜角到达第一个目标,之后将开始赤脚注入测试的评估。决定是继续钻探到第二个目标还是完成井在很大程度上取决于注入性测试结果。将钻井斜角降至第二目标的垂直位置,在此位置下入最后一尾尾管并射孔,然后进行地层测试。如果在第二次注入测试中遇到失败,将继续钻至最深的目标,并进行最后的赤脚测试。试验处置井的最终优化设计旨在以最小的钻井风险满足油藏和地质团队。这口井与其他深邻井之间的距离是主要的挑战,因为在处置地点,计划的总深度从未达到。此外,该设计还针对目标之间的分离和长间隔的钻井段进行了定制。此外,除了地层压力和地层破裂压力的不确定性外,最深层地层流体的不确定性在准备钻井液方案时也是一个很大的争议,特别是在使用水基泥浆作为钻井液的目标层中,为了不破坏地层,也不影响注入测试的结果。试验处理井成功钻穿了两个目标,而无需钻到第三层。因此,在油藏团队评估了两次注入性测试后,将确定用于处理产出但不需要的水的新地层。注入能力评估的结果还提供了能够处理所有预期产出水的所需井数,并为地面设施提供了必要的升级,以适应注入压力。这种独特的具有挑战性的井设计,结合了斜井和垂直轨迹,可以在预算有限的情况下使用,同时你有多个不同的目标需要勘探。此外,由独立承包商进行的一项专门的环境影响研究证实,注入水对地下水没有危害。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of NMR Permeability Transform and Application to a Source Rock Reservoir 某烃源岩储层核磁共振渗透率变换优化及应用
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22195-ea
Jin-Hong Chen, Stacey M Althaus, M. Boudjatit
Permeability is a fundamentally important property of reservoir rocks that governs the flow of the reservoir fluids and production rates. Many methods have been developed to estimate permeability, including well established and documented laboratory measurements on whole core and plugs, analysis of formation test data, and analysis of production. Obtaining permeability from nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) T1 or T2 has proven to be a cost effective method that can provide continuous permeability along a wellbore. This method uses a transform function on NMR well log data to calculate permeability. An accurate NMR permeability transform requires calibration to fit local data of a specific field based on measured data from representative cores from the field. The general form of the permeability transform developed for conventional sandstone and carbonate reservoirs does not work well for extremely tight reservoirs such as source rocks. Here we show a generic optimization method to find the optimal permeability transform for any tight reservoirs using NMR log data and laboratory measured permeability data from samples at selected depth of the logged well. This optimization method is applied to a source rock well and a permeability transform was obtained. The transform is a function of the movable fluid in the rock and logarithm mean of the NMR relaxation time. The permeability calculated from the transform is comparable to measured permeability from core samples.
渗透率是储层岩石的一项重要性质,它决定着储层流体的流动和产量。目前已经开发了许多估算渗透率的方法,包括对整个岩心和桥塞的实验室测量、地层测试数据分析和生产分析。通过核磁共振(NMR) T1或T2获得渗透率已被证明是一种经济有效的方法,可以沿井筒提供连续的渗透率。该方法利用核磁共振测井资料的变换函数计算渗透率。一个精确的核磁共振渗透率变换需要标定以拟合特定区域的局部数据,该数据是基于该区域代表性岩心的实测数据。常规砂岩和碳酸盐岩储层渗透率转化的一般形式不适用于烃源岩等极致密储层。在这里,我们展示了一种通用的优化方法,利用核磁共振测井数据和实验室测量的渗透率数据,在选定的测井井深度找到任何致密储层的最佳渗透率变换。将该优化方法应用于某烃源岩井,得到了渗透率的变换。该变换是岩石中可动流体和核磁共振弛豫时间的对数平均值的函数。通过变换计算的渗透率与岩心样品的实测渗透率相当。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities and Challenges of Steam Generation Using Renewable Energy for Enhanced Oil Recovery Applications: Concepts Overview 利用可再生能源蒸汽发电提高采收率的机遇与挑战:概念概述
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22370-ms
Idris Al Siyabi, Aiman Al Shukaili, M. Al Ajmi, R. Mujaini, Moosa Al Amri, A. Al Ghufaili, Marwa Al Harrasi, Bader Al Ma'Mari
Steam generation for the Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) using steam injection is considered as one of critical production process in heavy oil industry. It requires a massive amount of thermal energy to generate one ton of steam. The conventional steam generation processes use natural gas as fuel where high amount of emissions is released to ambient. The recent cost reductions of the energy generated by the renewable energy attracts organizations to adopt it. Different technologies such as PV, CSP, electric heaters and thermal energy storage can be integrated to generate steam using the renewable resources of solar and wind. The study explores the different potential of adopting such technologies and the challenges associated with them where the mismatch between the supply and the demand of energy is the main challenge and could be mitigated through storage solutions and the consideration of hybrid system with the conventional steam generation.
注汽提高采收率的蒸汽发生是稠油工业的关键生产工艺之一。它需要大量的热能来产生一吨蒸汽。传统的蒸汽产生过程使用天然气作为燃料,大量的排放物被释放到环境中。最近由可再生能源产生的能源的成本降低吸引组织采用它。不同的技术,如光伏、CSP、电加热器和热能储存可以集成到一起,利用太阳能和风能等可再生资源产生蒸汽。该研究探讨了采用这些技术的不同潜力以及与之相关的挑战,其中能源供需之间的不匹配是主要挑战,可以通过存储解决方案和考虑混合系统与传统蒸汽发电来缓解。
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引用次数: 0
Higher-Order Derivatives of Production Rate and Convolutional Neural Network for Production Forecasts 产量预测的高阶导数与卷积神经网络
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22486-ms
Syed Tabish Haider, T. Patzek
In recent years, many machine-learning models have been developed to predict future production of oil in gas in "shales". Long-short term memory (LSTM), the most widely used model, relies on the long-term production history for a reasonably accurate production forecast. All analytical and machine learning models, including LSTM, fail miserably in the absence of long production history. Our goal is to present a novel method of production forecasting using only 24 months of production data. The first and secondorder derivatives of the distance traveled give speed and acceleration to describe the trajectory and dynamics of a moving vehicle. Similarly, higher-order derivatives of hydrocarbon/water production rate vs. time uncover hidden patterns and fluctuations in a well that act as differential markers of its future recovery factor (RF). In this paper, we couple production data and their higher-order derivatives with other known parameters for a well, i.e., well length and initial production. The time-series data are passed into a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with two hidden layers of 16 nodes each, and one output layer. The model is trained to predict recovery factor (RF) in the 10th year of production. We analyze the first 24 months of production data for the Barnett (1500), Marcellus (800), Haynesville (800), and Eagle Ford (1000) shale wells. All wells have a minimum pressure interference time of 34 months. The production rate vs. time and its first, second, and third-order derivatives are coupled with the well length and initial production rate, and the data are normalized with their respective maxima. For the Barnett wells, the CNN model predicts recovery factors in their 10th year of production with an average accuracy of 90%. For the Marcellus, Haynesville, and Eagle Ford wells, the prediction accuracy in the 8th year of production is 89%, 92%, and 91%, respectively. Further, we divide the wells into three groups (A, B, C) depending on the range of their recovery factor (A:RF=0-0.3, B:RF=0.3-0.6, and C:RF=0.6-0.9). We show that the clusters of wells grouped by their RFs strongly correlate with the distribution of the higher-order de rivatives of production from these wells. Thus, we posit that the detailed production history and its derivatives are the most important variables that define distributions of maximum recoverable hydrocarbon from a source rock. Our novel method uses only 24 months of production data to predict future recovery factor with an outstanding average accuracy of 90%. We show that the higher-order derivatives of high-resolution production data available from the operators could be an excellent tool for well screening and predicting future production with reasonable accuracy.
近年来,人们开发了许多机器学习模型来预测“页岩”中天然气的未来产量。长短期记忆(LSTM)是应用最广泛的模型,它依赖于长期的生产历史来进行较为准确的产量预测。所有的分析和机器学习模型,包括LSTM,在缺乏长期生产历史的情况下都失败得很惨。我们的目标是提出一种仅使用24个月生产数据进行生产预测的新方法。行驶距离的一阶和二阶导数给出了速度和加速度,用以描述移动车辆的轨迹和动力学。同样,油气/水产量随时间的高阶导数揭示了井中隐藏的模式和波动,作为其未来采收率(RF)的差异标志。在本文中,我们将生产数据及其高阶导数与井的其他已知参数(即井长和初始产量)相结合。时间序列数据被传递到卷积神经网络(CNN)中,该网络有两个隐藏层,每个隐藏层有16个节点,还有一个输出层。该模型经过训练,可以预测第10年的采收率(RF)。我们分析了Barnett(1500口)、Marcellus(800口)、Haynesville(800口)和Eagle Ford(1000口)页岩井前24个月的产量数据。所有井的最小压力干扰时间为34个月。产量与时间的关系及其一、二、三阶导数与井长和初始产量相结合,并使用各自的最大值对数据进行归一化处理。对于Barnett井,CNN模型预测其生产第10年的采收率,平均准确率为90%。对于Marcellus、Haynesville和Eagle Ford井,在生产第8年的预测精度分别为89%、92%和91%。此外,我们根据采收率(A:RF=0-0.3, B:RF=0.3-0.6, C:RF=0.6-0.9)的范围将井分为三组(A, B, C)。研究表明,按RFs分组的井簇与这些井的高阶产量分布密切相关。因此,我们认为详细的生产历史及其衍生物是确定烃源岩最大可采烃分布的最重要变量。我们的新方法仅使用24个月的生产数据就可以预测未来的采收率,平均精度达到90%。研究表明,运营商提供的高分辨率生产数据的高阶导数可以成为筛井和预测未来产量的绝佳工具,并且具有合理的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Longest 9 5/8? Casing Cementing in ERD Well, A Worldwide-Record 最长的9又5/8?ERD井套管固井,创世界纪录
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22082-ms
Alejandro De la Cruz Sasso, Hussien Alzaki, Rodny Masoud Zuleta, Nawaf Saud AlShammari
The efficient placement of cement as a verified barrier above a distinct permeable zone in any oil and gas well is a constant challenge faced by the industry. Absence of isolation behind the casing represents a deficiency to the required well integrity barriers. A compromised well barrier may result in casing corrosion, leaks, and eventually sustained casing pressure which might lead the loss of the asset and/or endanger the safety or workers and/or the environment. Ultimately, a compromised barrier implies compromised well integrity. Fluid displacement in ERD wells is different from conventional wells and the job conditions pose additional challenges. To ensure adequate cement placement in this ultra-ERD well, several challenges had to be addressed. Hence, an optimized cement placement method that focused on ECD management to prevent induced loss circulation included maintaining fluids displacement regimes, fluid density, and hydraulic friction hierarchy. Moreover, casing centralization was imperative. Limiting casing string movement once the string deployed successfully to bottom equally added to the challenge. A system's approach was utilized to achieve the level of optimization desired. Slurry rheology and fluid loss control were adjusted. A pumping schedulethat ensured that optimum displacement efficiencies were achieved in line with the designed rheology was used. The impact of pump rates on downhole ECD regimes were equally evaluated and confirmed to be fit-for-purpose. Mud conditioning prior to the cement displacement and spacer wettability were also of paramount importance. A centralizer spacing resulting in >70% stand-off was utilized. These optimized practices represented the results of 3D modeling used to understand the fluid dynamics, and its distribution under the influence of a horizontal static pipe. This work also presented a comprehensive sensitivity analysis not only on the effects of thermal thinning on fluid rheology, but also on gravitational forces acting on the fluids in an ERD well. After execution, a combination of cement bond logs, ultrasonic measurements, and advanced interpretation techniques were used to evaluate the cement bond quality. The logs showed an improved cement bonding with minimal to no channeling, and excellent radial cement coverage. As global hydrocarbon resources become harder to reach, ERD wells maybe required to access such subsurface targets. Adequate cementing well integrity is crucial to assuring the long-term integrity of such wells for the economic life of the assets. The practices implemented in this case history will contribute to expanding the tools and techniques available to engineers to achieving excellent barrier isolation in such wells.
在任何一口油气井中,有效地将水泥作为一个经过验证的屏障放置在特定的可渗透层上,是油气行业面临的一个长期挑战。没有在套管后面进行隔离,意味着没有达到所需的井完整性屏障。损坏的井眼屏障可能会导致套管腐蚀、泄漏,最终导致套管压力持续,这可能会导致资产损失,并危及工人和环境的安全。最终,屏障受损意味着井的完整性受损。ERD井的流体驱替与常规井不同,作业条件也带来了额外的挑战。为了确保在这口超erd井中有足够的固井,必须解决几个挑战。因此,优化的固井方法侧重于ECD管理,以防止漏失循环,包括维持流体驱替状态、流体密度和水力摩擦等级。此外,套管扶正势在必行。一旦套管成功下入井底,限制套管的移动也同样增加了挑战。系统的方法被用来达到期望的优化水平。调整了浆液的流变性和滤失控制。采用了符合设计流变性的最佳驱替效率的泵送计划。对泵速对井下ECD的影响进行了同样的评估,并确认了其效果。水泥驱替前的泥浆调理和隔离剂的润湿性也是至关重要的。扶正器间距达到了bbb70 %。这些优化实践代表了用于了解流体动力学的三维建模结果,以及在水平静态管道影响下的流体动力学分布。这项工作不仅对热稀释对流体流变性的影响进行了全面的敏感性分析,而且对ERD井中作用于流体的重力也进行了全面的敏感性分析。施工后,结合水泥胶结测井、超声波测量和先进的解释技术来评估水泥胶结质量。测井数据显示,水泥胶结得到了改善,几乎没有窜流,并且具有良好的径向水泥覆盖。随着全球油气资源越来越难以开采,ERD井可能需要进入这些地下目标。足够的固井完整性对于确保此类井在资产的经济寿命内的长期完整性至关重要。在此案例中实施的实践将有助于扩展工程师可用的工具和技术,以在此类井中实现出色的隔离。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of Temperature Profile Modelling on the Accuracy of Hydraulic Parameters Estimation Effect of Temperature Profile Change Due to Continuous Drillstring Rotation 温度剖面建模对水力参数估计精度的影响钻柱连续旋转引起的温度剖面变化的影响
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22030-ea
A. Zherelyev, J. B. Molster
ERD wells are widely used by operators in the MENA region to maximize reservoir contact, lower cost per barrel accessed, and to be able to access far away drill targets from fewer drill centers (wellhead platforms, islands, drill pads). ERD wells and associated required technological well construction approaches by nature are typically non-standard. ERD well construction require very exact and detailed engineering analysis and methodologies to be applied in order to develop suitable and accurate drilling designs that closely matches to the actual conditions. During drilling of ERD wells, a ME operator observed that the static geothermal gradient and subsequent modelling of dynamic flow temperature did not match actual downhole temperatures, hence modifications were required to the temperature profile to match the simulation of OBM drilling fluid ECD (Equivalent Circulating Density) to actual ECD measurements from the ECD pressure sub in the BHA. This temperature effect arises from the several factors, mainly in the sub-surface environment. The resulting mud temperature is significantly higher than static temperature and this has a high impact on mud rheology, resulting pressure losses and hole cleaning. Failure to model correctly can result in mud losses or loss of horizontal section because the ECD gets above formation fracture gradient, to low flowrates for effective hole cleaning due to excessive standpipe pressures, and other problems. This paper presents how hydraulics were modelled to match actual data (rheology, ECD, SPP, BHA, Flowrate, ROP, RPM etc) in one of the longest ERD wells ever drilled. In response to the challenges faced by a ME operator to improve the quality of hydraulic modelling and drilling design, a global Oil and Gas service company and a ME operator jointly explored the approaches for simulating Effective Temperature Profile on the giant offshore oil field, calibrated and verified it along hole with application for providing accurate estimation of hydraulic parameters. The workflow starts from analysis of actual temperature readings in upper sections of the well then uses it for simulating of Effective Temperature Profile in the reservoir section. Then simulated Effective Temperature Profile is imported to the simulation tool for proper drilling design.
中东和北非地区的运营商广泛使用ERD井,以最大限度地扩大油藏接触面积,降低每桶成本,并且能够从较少的钻井中心(井口平台、岛屿、钻井平台)进入较远的钻井目标。从本质上讲,ERD井和相关的技术井施工方法通常是非标准的。ERD井的施工需要非常精确和详细的工程分析和方法,以便开发出与实际条件密切匹配的合适和准确的钻井设计。在ERD井的钻井过程中,一家ME运营商发现静态地热梯度和随后的动态流动温度模型与实际井下温度不匹配,因此需要对温度剖面进行修改,以使OBM钻井液ECD(等效循环密度)的模拟与BHA中ECD压力接头的实际ECD测量结果相匹配。这种温度效应是由几个因素引起的,主要是地下环境。由此产生的泥浆温度明显高于静态温度,这对泥浆流变性有很大影响,导致压力损失和井眼清洁。如果模型不正确,由于ECD高于地层破裂梯度,可能会导致泥浆漏失或水平段漏失,由于立管压力过大,可能会导致流量过低,无法有效清洗井眼,以及其他问题。本文介绍了如何在有史以来最长的一口ERD井中建立水力学模型,以匹配实际数据(流变学、ECD、SPP、BHA、流量、ROP、RPM等)。针对某ME作业者在提高水力建模和钻井设计质量方面面临的挑战,某全球油气服务公司与某ME作业者共同探索了大型海上油田有效温度剖面的模拟方法,并随井进行了标定和验证,为水力参数的准确估算提供了依据。该工作流程从分析上部井段的实际温度读数开始,然后将其用于模拟储层段的有效温度剖面。然后将模拟的有效温度曲线导入仿真工具,进行合理的钻井设计。
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引用次数: 0
Extended Elastic Impedance and its Application in Prediction of Reservoir and Fluid Properties for Late Messinian Reservoir, Onshore Nile Delta Egypt 扩展弹性阻抗及其在埃及尼罗河三角洲晚墨西尼亚油藏储层和流体性质预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-21923-ms
Mahmoud Eloribi, Hytham Raslan
The study area is situated within the eastern portion of the Nile Delta. As the Mediterranean Sea "dried up" during the Messinian extensive erosion process resulted in the formation of large canyons and valleys which cut into the underlying Qawasim and Sidi Salim Formations, but the number of such incised valleys may have been limited. The entrenched valleys became filled predominantly with sandstone as sea levels frequently rose and dropped in the late Miocene to early Pliocene. The marine influence on deposition during the late Messinian became strong toward the end of the Miocene when thick marine shale separated the sand bodies. Late Messinian reservoir within the study area exhibits a good quality reservoir for gas and condensate accumulation. The target reservoir section consists of structural and stratigraphic elements that control the gas presence and the GWC. Late Messinian reservoir has a lot of heterogeneity and ambiguity for the attributes and amplitude interpretation, so the DHI within the study area has pitfalls and uncertainty to determine the hydrocarbon prospects, which caused the drilling of several dry wells. For lithology and pore fluid prediction, several hypotheses and approaches had been proposed. Amplitude versus offset (AVO) modeling and analysis for the wells log and seismic angle gathers data results in non-unique output, whereas several AVO classes were found for the gas sand within the study area. The AVO analysis for gas sand of the late Messinian reservoir could be Class II and Class IIp, while the wet sand is Class I. Following the first discovery within the study area, Extended Elastic Impedance (EEI) inversion was carried out for the Late Messinian reservoir for better identification and delineation of the reservoir boundaries and to determine the pore fluid content. During this study, several iterations have been made to determine the most appropriate chi angles to illuminate the presence of both reservoir and borehole content. The EEI inversion results show a strong correlation between a certain chi angle and the presence of gas. Maps for the late Messinian reservoir have been produced to illuminate the gas sand presence, which matches the results of the drilled wells. The technique has been so successful, as there are unexplored EEI anomalies that have a gas signature within the fault downthrown area. These EEI anomalies had been tested with encouraging results of a gas-bearing sand reservoir, as the EEI anomaly had been predicted correctly. This paper discusses the methodology involved, the calibration, and the selection of the appropriate chi angles for the Late Messinian Reservoir within the study area.
研究区域位于尼罗河三角洲的东部。随着地中海在墨西尼亚时期的“干涸”,广泛的侵蚀过程导致了大型峡谷和山谷的形成,这些峡谷和山谷切入了下面的卡瓦西姆和西迪萨利姆地层,但这种切割的山谷的数量可能有限。在中新世晚期到上新世早期,随着海平面的频繁上升和下降,盘踞的山谷主要被砂岩填满。中新世末期,厚海相页岩将砂体隔开,晚墨西尼亚期海相对沉积的影响增强。研究区内晚墨西旦期储层具有良好的气凝析成藏条件。目标储层段由控制天然气存在和GWC的构造和地层元素组成。由于晚墨西统储层属性和振幅解释存在较大的非均质性和模糊性,因此研究区内的DHI在确定油气远景方面存在一定的缺陷和不确定性,导致了多口干井的钻探。在岩性和孔隙流体预测方面,提出了几种假设和方法。对测井和地震角度数据进行振幅相对偏移量(AVO)建模和分析,得出了非唯一的输出结果,而在研究区域内的含气砂岩中发现了多个AVO类别。研究区首次发现后,为了更好地识别和圈定储层边界,确定孔隙流体含量,对晚墨西尼亚期储层进行了扩展弹性阻抗(EEI)反演。在这项研究中,已经进行了几次迭代,以确定最合适的chi角,以阐明储层和井眼内容物的存在。EEI反演结果表明,一定的chi角与气体的存在有很强的相关性。绘制了晚墨西尼亚油藏的地图,以阐明气砂的存在,这与钻井的结果相吻合。该技术非常成功,因为在断层下倾区域存在未勘探的EEI异常,这些异常具有气体特征。对这些EEI异常进行了测试,并获得了令人鼓舞的含气砂岩储层结果,因为EEI异常的预测是正确的。本文讨论了研究区内晚墨西尼亚期储层的测量方法、标定及合适角的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Data Driven Intelligent Modeling to Estimate Adsorption of Methane Gas in Shales 数据驱动智能建模估算页岩中甲烷气体吸附
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22101-ms
S. Kalam, S. Abu-Khamsin, Mohammad Rasheed Khan, Asiya Abbasi, Abdul Asad, Rizwan Ahmed Khan
Artificial intelligence is a smart tool widely used in Petroleum engineering. Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is an artificial intelligence technique that is a hybrid between Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and fuzzy logic. In this paper, both ANN and ANFIS were applied to propose a new methodology based on intelligent algorithms to predict adsorption of methane gas in shale. Feed-Forward Neural Network and subtractive clustering were applied to correlate adsorption with several parameters. These include temperature, pressure, moisture content, and total organic content (TOC). A real data set collected from the literature, which includes about 350 data points, was used in the development of a new empirical correlation. The set was divided into a 70:30 ratio for training and testing, respectively. The average absolute percentage error, correlation coefficient, and mean squared error were considered in the error metrics to obtain the best possible model. The results show that methane adsorption can be efficiently correlated with the inputs using both machine learning tools. Using ANN, the correlation coefficient for both testing and training data was more than 99%. A detailed sensitivity analysis for the ANN model is also provided in this paper.
人工智能是石油工程中广泛应用的智能工具。自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)是人工神经网络与模糊逻辑相结合的一种人工智能技术。本文将人工神经网络和人工神经网络相结合,提出了一种基于智能算法预测页岩中甲烷气体吸附的新方法。采用前馈神经网络和减法聚类分析了吸附与多个参数的关系。这些参数包括温度、压力、水分含量和总有机含量(TOC)。从文献中收集的真实数据集,其中包括约350个数据点,用于开发新的经验相关性。该集合被分成70:30的比例,分别用于训练和测试。在误差度量中考虑平均绝对百分比误差、相关系数和均方误差,以获得最佳模型。结果表明,使用这两种机器学习工具可以有效地将甲烷吸附与输入关联起来。使用人工神经网络,测试数据与训练数据的相关系数均大于99%。本文还对人工神经网络模型进行了详细的灵敏度分析。
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引用次数: 0
Hydraulic Fracture Conductivity Sustenance in Carbonate Formations Through Rock Strengthening by DAP Solution 通过DAP溶液强化碳酸盐地层水力裂缝导流能力
Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.2523/iptc-22496-ms
Y. Samarkin, M. Aljawad, A. Amao, T. Sølling, K. Al-Ramadan, S. Abu-Khamsin, S. Patil, M. AlTammar, K. Alruwaili
Hydraulic fracturing operations involve generating conductive pathways in low permeability formations to maximize hydrocarbons production. One of the main challenges is maintaining fracture conductivity under high closure stresses, especially in soft formations. However, long–term fracture conductivity can be sustained through fracture surface hardness improvement. This research targets the strengthening of carbonate rocks via the transformation of calcite into the harder hydroxyapatite mineral. In this study, limestone, chalk, and dolomite rock specimens were treated with 1M solution of diammonium phosphate (DAP) for 3 days at room temperature conditions. Rock samples’ hardness was measured by indentation (Brinell hardness) technique before/after the treatment to assess the strengthening effect of DAP. The changes in the mineralogy in treated samples were studied by SEM-EDS technique. The formation of phosphate minerals was achieved in treated samples, and they were clearly seen in the SEM images. The results have shown that both limestone and chalk samples reacted strongly with DAP solution, which was expressed in terms of rich abundance in newly formed minerals inside rock specimens. The reaction between dolomite and DAP solution was observed to be weak which resulted in generation of isolated phosphate minerals. The formed minerals were identified as hydroxyapatite (5 hardness in the Mohs scale) after comparing their morphology with other phosphate minerals reported in the literature. Treatment of the rocks by DAP solution resulted in improvement of their strength. The Brinell hardness of the chalk specimen was increased by 30% after the treatment, whereas in the case of the limestone sample, a 13% increment in hardness was achieved. The proposed carbonate rock strengthening technique can be applied in hydraulic fracturing It is intended to solve common soft formations problems (e.g., asperities failure, proppant embedment) causing acid/propped fractures’ conductivity reduction.
水力压裂作业涉及在低渗透地层中形成导电通道,以最大限度地提高油气产量。主要挑战之一是在高闭合应力下保持裂缝导流能力,特别是在软地层中。然而,通过提高断口表面硬度,可以维持长期的裂缝导流能力。本研究的目标是通过方解石转变为更硬的羟基磷灰石矿物来强化碳酸盐岩。在本研究中,石灰岩、白垩和白云岩岩石标本在室温条件下用1M的磷酸二铵(DAP)溶液处理3天。采用压痕法(布氏硬度法)测定处理前后岩石试样的硬度,评价DAP的强化效果。用SEM-EDS技术研究了处理后样品的矿物学变化。磷酸盐矿物的形成是在处理过的样品中实现的,它们在扫描电镜图像中清晰可见。结果表明,石灰石和白垩样品与DAP溶液反应强烈,表现为岩样内部新形成矿物丰度丰富。白云石与DAP溶液反应较弱,产生分离的磷矿物。通过与文献报道的其他磷矿物的形态比较,鉴定形成的矿物为羟基磷灰石(莫氏硬度为5)。用DAP溶液处理后,岩石的强度得到了提高。处理后,白垩样品的布氏硬度增加了30%,而石灰石样品的硬度增加了13%。所提出的碳酸盐岩强化技术可应用于水力压裂,旨在解决常见的软地层问题(例如,砾石破坏、支撑剂嵌入),导致酸/支撑裂缝的导流能力降低。
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引用次数: 5
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