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The Assimilation of Young Workers into the Labour Market in France: A Stochastic Earnings Frontier Approach 法国青年工人进入劳动力市场的同化:一个随机收入前沿方法
S. Bazen, K. Waziri
Stochastic earnings frontiers have been used in a relatively small number of papers to analyse workers' ability to capture their full potential earnings in labour markets where there is inefficient job matching (due to lack of information, discrimination, over-education or during process of assimilation of migrants). Using a representative survey of young persons having left full-time education in France in 1998 and interviewed in 2001 and 2005, this paper examines the process of their assimilation into normal employment and the extent to which job matches are inefficient in the sense that the pay in a job is below an individual's potential earnings (determined by education, other forms of training and labour market experience). Our results suggest that young workers manage to obtain on average about 82% of their potential earnings three years after leaving full-time education and earnings inefficiency had disappeared four years later. The results are robust to the treatment of selectivity arising from the exclusion of the unemployed in the estimation of the frontier.
在相对较少的论文中,随机收入边界被用于分析工人在劳动力市场中获得其全部潜在收入的能力,其中存在低效的工作匹配(由于缺乏信息,歧视,过度教育或在移民同化过程中)。利用1998年在法国离开全日制教育的年轻人的代表性调查和2001年和2005年的访谈,本文检查了他们融入正常就业的过程,以及工作匹配在某种意义上效率低下的程度,即工作中的薪酬低于个人的潜在收入(由教育,其他形式的培训和劳动力市场经验决定)。我们的研究结果表明,年轻工人在离开全日制教育三年后平均能够获得约82%的潜在收入,四年后收入效率低下现象消失。结果对于在边界估计中排除失业者所产生的选择性的处理是稳健的。
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引用次数: 3
Are Caste Categories Misleading? The Relationship between Gender and Jati in Three Indian States 种姓分类有误导性吗?印度三邦性别与贾提语的关系
Pub Date : 2017-06-22 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198829591.003.0016
S. Joshi, Nishtha Kochhar, V. Rao
Indian society is highly stratified and hierarchical. Caste, class, and gender all contribute to an individual’s status. A large body of literature explores the importance of each of these. This chapter examines the relationship between caste and gender inequality in three states in India. When households are grouped using conventional, government-defined categories of caste, we find patterns that are consistent with existing literature: lower-caste women are more likely to participate in the labour market, have greater decision making autonomy within their households, and experience greater freedom of movement. When households are grouped by the narrower sub-caste categories of jati, where caste is lived and experienced, we find the relationships are far more varied and nuanced. These results suggest that focusing on broad caste categories such as ‘scheduled castes’ and ‘scheduled tribes’ can be misleading for understanding the relationship between caste and gender.
印度社会是高度分层和等级的。种姓、阶级和性别都决定着一个人的地位。大量的文献探讨了其中每一个的重要性。本章考察了印度三个邦的种姓与性别不平等之间的关系。当使用传统的、政府定义的种姓类别对家庭进行分组时,我们发现了与现有文献一致的模式:低种姓妇女更有可能参与劳动力市场,在家庭中拥有更大的决策自主权,并享有更大的行动自由。当家庭按更窄的贾蒂亚种姓类别分组时,我们发现这种关系更加多样化和微妙。贾蒂是种姓生活和经历的地方。这些结果表明,把重点放在宽泛的种姓类别上,比如“在册种姓”和“在册部落”,可能会误导人们理解种姓和性别之间的关系。
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引用次数: 13
Technology Shocks and Hours Revisited: Evidence from Household Data 重新审视技术冲击和时间:来自家庭数据的证据
Hikaru Saijo
I exploit heterogeneous impulse responses at the household level due to limited stock market participation to provide novel evidence on the degree of nominal rigidities. A number of studies show that positive technology shocks reduce aggregate hours. The finding is often interpreted as evidence in favor of sticky prices. Using the Consumer Expenditure Survey, I show that, while non-stockholders reduce hours in response to a positive technology shock, stockholders increase them. Aggregate hours fall because most households are non-stockholders. This finding is inconsistent with models featuring a high degree of nominal rigidities. (Copyright: Elsevier)
我利用家庭层面上由于有限的股票市场参与而产生的异质冲动反应,为名义刚性的程度提供了新的证据。许多研究表明,积极的技术冲击减少了总工作时间。这一发现通常被解读为支持粘性价格的证据。通过消费者支出调查,我发现,当非股东减少工作时间以应对积极的技术冲击时,股东却增加了工作时间。总工作时间减少是因为大多数家庭都不是股东。这一发现与具有高度名义刚性的模型不一致。(版权:爱思唯尔)
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引用次数: 3
Colombo: Exposure, Vulnerability, and Ability to Respond to Floods 科伦坡:暴露、脆弱性和应对洪水的能力
Pub Date : 2017-06-05 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8084
A. Patankar
This paper examines the exposure, vulnerability, and ability of households in Colombo, Sri Lanka, to respond to floods, and brings out significant policy implications. The study used detailed questionnaire-based surveys to obtain data on households, to understand the vulnerability and impacts of the severe floods of November 2010 and recurrent floods since then. Households that were selected for the surveys were located in and around flooding spots in the city. The study finds that the floods have imposed a significant burden on poor households. Poor and nonpoor households have suffered damages to the structure of their houses, household assets and appliances, and vehicles. With recurrent floods, they continue to bear the cost of damages as well as short-term measures to cope with floods. For poor families, these costs are borne through very limited resources and borrowing from informal sources, compared with the nonpoor who have more savings in financial form and greater access to formal sources of credit. Poor families tend to invest all their earnings in their home, furniture, and utensils, which suffer the most during floods. In addition, households suffer indirect impacts due to non-availability of transport, power, drinking water, food, and essential supplies. They also tend to lose workdays, which leads to loss of income and productivity. Many poor families have considered relocation to flood-free areas, but they lack the financial resources for the move. If the government offers such a scheme, many would be willing to take it up, if factors like job opportunities, clean surroundings, access to medical facilities, transportation, and good social networks are ensured in the new locations.
本文考察了斯里兰卡科伦坡家庭应对洪水的风险、脆弱性和能力,并提出了重要的政策启示。该研究采用详细的问卷调查方式获取家庭数据,以了解2010年11月的严重洪灾以及此后的经常性洪灾的脆弱性和影响。被选中进行调查的家庭位于城市的洪水点及其周围。研究发现,洪水给贫困家庭带来了沉重的负担。贫困家庭和非贫困家庭的房屋结构、家庭资产、家电和车辆都受到了损害。由于经常发生洪水,他们继续承担损失的费用以及应付洪水的短期措施。对于贫困家庭来说,这些费用是通过非常有限的资源和从非正式来源借款来承担的,而非贫困家庭则有更多的财政储蓄和更大的机会获得正式信贷来源。贫困家庭倾向于把他们所有的收入都投资在他们的房子、家具和器具上,这些在洪水中受害最大。此外,由于无法获得交通、电力、饮用水、食品和基本用品,家庭也受到间接影响。他们还往往会失去工作日,从而导致收入和生产力的损失。许多贫困家庭考虑过搬迁到无洪水地区,但他们缺乏搬迁所需的财政资源。如果政府提供这样的计划,许多人会愿意接受它,如果在新的地点有工作机会、干净的环境、医疗设施、交通和良好的社会网络等因素得到保证。
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引用次数: 6
Accounting for Debt Service: The Painful Legacy of Credit Booms 偿债会计:信贷繁荣的痛苦遗产
Mathias Drehmann, M. Juselius, Anton Korinek
This paper documents the main channel through which credit booms affect real economic activity in the future. As a matter of simple accounting, credit booms generate a predictable increase in future debt service that transfers spending power from borrowers to lenders. We document this dynamic pattern in a panel of 17 countries from 1980 to 2015 and identify a robust lead-lag relationship of about 3 years between the peak of credit booms and the peak in debt service. We develop a method to decompose what fraction of future real effects of credit booms is explained by debt service and show that debt service almost fully accounts for several puzzling findings in the recent empirical literature: that high growth in credit predicts low output growth in the future, deeper recessions, and a greater likelihood of financial crises. Explicitly accounting for debt service not only sheds light on the channel behind these findings but also generates stronger empirical relationships. We hope that our results will provide useful guidance for future efforts to model credit cycles.
本文记录了信贷繁荣影响未来实体经济活动的主要渠道。作为一个简单的会计问题,信贷繁荣产生了一个可预测的未来偿债增长,将购买力从借款人转移到贷款人。我们在1980年至2015年的17个国家的面板中记录了这一动态模式,并确定了信贷繁荣峰值与偿债峰值之间存在约3年的强劲领先-滞后关系。我们开发了一种方法来分解债务偿还在信贷繁荣的未来实际影响中所占的比例,并表明债务偿还几乎完全解释了最近实证文献中的几个令人困惑的发现:信贷的高增长预示着未来的低产出增长、更深的衰退和更大的金融危机可能性。明确计算偿债不仅揭示了这些发现背后的渠道,而且还产生了更强的实证关系。我们希望我们的研究结果将为今后建立信贷周期模型提供有用的指导。
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引用次数: 37
Long-Term Effects of Extended Unemployment Benefits for Older Workers 延长失业救济对老年工人的长期影响
Tomi Kyyrä, Hanna Pesola
This paper examines the long-term effects of extended unemployment benefits that older unemployed can collect until retirement in Finland. We consider a reform that increased the age threshold of this scheme from 55 to 57 for people born in 1950 or later. Our regression discontinuity estimates show that postponing eligibility by two years increased employment over the remaining working career by seven months. Despite the corresponding reduction in unemployment, we find no evidence of significant effects on mortality or receipt of disability and sickness benefits, nor on the spouse's labor supply. We also compute the fiscal impact of the reform taking into account income taxes and social security contributions paid and benefits received. The reform increased net income transfers by 15,000 Euros over the 10-year period for an average individual.
本文考察了芬兰老年失业人员在退休前可以领取的延长失业救济金的长期影响。我们考虑进行改革,将1950年或以后出生的人的年龄门槛从55岁提高到57岁。我们的回归不连续估计表明,将资格推迟两年将使剩余工作生涯中的就业增加七个月。尽管失业率相应下降,但我们没有发现对死亡率、残疾和疾病福利的领取以及配偶的劳动力供应有显著影响的证据。我们还计算了改革的财政影响,考虑了所得税和社会保障缴款以及收到的福利。这项改革在10年期间为普通个人增加了1.5万欧元的净收入转移。
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引用次数: 15
Market Power and Price Discrimination in the U.S. Market for Higher Education 美国高等教育市场的市场力量与价格歧视
Pub Date : 2017-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/1756-2171.12267
D. Epple, R. Romano, Sinan Sarpça, Holger Sieg, Melanie A Zaber
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate an equilibrium model of private and public school competition that can generate realistic pricing patterns for private universities in the U.S. We show that the parameters of the model are identified and can be estimated using a semi-parametric estimator given data from the NPSAS. We find substantial price discrimination within colleges. We estimate that a $10,000 increase in family income increases tuition at private schools by on average $210 to $510. A one standard deviation increase in ability decreases tuition by approximately $920 to $1,960 depending on the selectivity of the college. Discounts for minority students range between $110 and $5,750.
本文的主要目的是估计私立和公立学校竞争的均衡模型,该模型可以为美国私立大学产生现实的定价模式。我们表明,该模型的参数是确定的,并且可以使用给定NPSAS数据的半参数估计器进行估计。我们发现大学内部存在大量的价格歧视。我们估计,家庭收入每增加1万美元,私立学校的学费平均就会增加210至510美元。能力每增加一个标准差,学费就会减少大约920美元到1960美元,这取决于大学的选择性。少数族裔学生的折扣在110美元到5750美元之间。
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引用次数: 14
Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases 消费不平等与消费频率
Olivier Coibion, Y. Gorodnichenko, Dmitri K. Koustas
We document a decline in the frequency of shopping trips in the United States since 1980 and consider its implications for the measurement of consumption inequality. A decline in shopping frequency as households stock up on storable goods (i.e., inventory behavior) will lead to a rise in expenditure inequality when the latter is measured at high frequency, even when underlying consumption inequality is unchanged. We find that most of the recently documented rise in expenditure inequality in the United States since the 1980s can be accounted for by this phenomenon. Using detailed micro data on spending, which we link to data on club/warehouse store openings, we directly attribute much of the reduced frequency of shopping trips to the rise in club/warehouse stores. (JEL D12, D31, D63, D91, E21)
我们记录了自1980年以来美国购物频率的下降,并考虑了其对消费不平等测量的影响。当家庭囤积可储存商品(即库存行为)时,购物频率的下降将导致支出不平等的上升,当后者以高频率衡量时,即使潜在的消费不平等没有改变。我们发现,自20世纪80年代以来,美国最近记录的大部分支出不平等的上升都可以用这种现象来解释。通过详细的微观消费数据,我们将其与俱乐部/仓库商店开业的数据联系起来,我们将购物频率的减少直接归因于俱乐部/仓库商店的增加。(凝胶d12, d31, d63, d91, e21)
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引用次数: 29
Has Falling Crime Invited Gentrification? 犯罪率下降导致了中产阶级化吗?
I. Ellen, Keren Mertens Horn, D. Reed
Over the past two decades, crime has fallen dramatically in cities in the United States. We explore whether, in the face of falling central city crime rates, households with more resources and options were more likely to move into central cities overall and more particularly into low income and/or majority minority central city neighborhoods. We use confidential, geocoded versions of the 1990 and 2000 Decennial Census and the 2010, 2011, and 2012 American Community Survey to track moves to different neighborhoods in 244 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) and their largest central cities. Our dataset includes over four million household moves across the three time periods. We focus on three household types typically considered gentrifiers: high-income, college-educated, and white households. We find that declines in city crime are associated with increases in the probability that highincome and college-educated households choose to move into central city neighborhoods, including low-income and majority minority central city neighborhoods. Moreover, we find little evidence that households with lower incomes and without college degrees are more likely to move to cities when violent crime falls. These results hold during the 1990s as well as the 2000s and for the 100 largest metropolitan areas, where crime declines were greatest. There is weaker evidence that white households are disproportionately drawn to cities as crime falls in the 100 largest metropolitan areas from 2000 to 2010.
在过去的二十年里,美国城市的犯罪率急剧下降。我们探讨了在中心城市犯罪率下降的情况下,拥有更多资源和选择的家庭是否更有可能总体上搬到中心城市,尤其是低收入和/或少数族裔占多数的中心城市社区。我们使用1990年和2000年十年一次人口普查和2010年、2011年和2012年美国社区调查的保密地理编码版本来跟踪244个基于核心统计区域(cbsa)及其最大中心城市的不同社区的迁移情况。我们的数据集包括三个时间段内超过400万户家庭的迁移。我们关注的是三种典型的中产阶级家庭:高收入家庭、受过大学教育的家庭和白人家庭。我们发现,城市犯罪率的下降与高收入和受过大学教育的家庭选择搬到中心城市社区的可能性的增加有关,包括低收入和多数少数民族中心城市社区。此外,我们发现很少有证据表明,当暴力犯罪下降时,收入较低、没有大学学历的家庭更有可能搬到城市。这些结果适用于20世纪90年代和21世纪头十年,也适用于犯罪率下降幅度最大的100个大都市地区。2000年至2010年,100个最大的城市犯罪率下降,白人家庭被不成比例地吸引到城市的证据也不那么充分。
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引用次数: 52
An Integrated Approach for Top-Corrected Ginis 顶校正基尼系数的综合方法
C. Bartels, M. Metzing
Household survey data provide a rich information set on income, household context and demographic variables, but tend to under report incomes at the very top of the distribution. Administrative data like tax records offer more precise information on top incomes, but at the expense of household context details and incomes of non-filers at the bottom of the distribution. We combine the benefits of the two data sources and develop an integrated approach for top-corrected Gini coefficients where we impute top incomes in survey data using information on top income distribution from tax data. We apply our approach to European EU-SILC survey data which in some countries include administrative data. We find higher inequality in those European countries that exclusively rely (Germany, UK) or have relied (Spain) on interviews for the provision of EU-SILC survey data as compared to countries that use administrative data.
家庭调查数据提供了关于收入、家庭背景和人口变量的丰富信息集,但往往低估了分布最顶端的收入。税务记录等行政数据提供了关于高收入人群的更精确信息,但牺牲了家庭背景细节和收入分布底部的非申报者的收入。我们结合了这两种数据来源的优点,并开发了一种综合方法来计算最高修正的基尼系数,其中我们使用来自税收数据的最高收入分配信息来计算调查数据中的最高收入。我们将我们的方法应用于欧洲欧盟- silc调查数据,其中在一些国家包括行政数据。我们发现,与使用行政数据的国家相比,那些完全依赖(德国、英国)或依赖(西班牙)访谈提供欧盟- silc调查数据的欧洲国家的不平等程度更高。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Household Behavior eJournal
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