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Intertemporal Labor Supply and Intra-Household Commitment 跨期劳动力供给与家庭内承诺
P. Chiappori, J. Molina, José Ignacio Giménez, J. Velilla
This paper adopts an intertemporal labor supply perspective to propose a test that allows us to distinguish between intra-household non-commitment, limited commitment, and full commitment. It investigates whether, after controling for current and future (expected) wages, past wage shocks have a lasting and significant impact on present labor supply and public consumption. Using a semi-log parametrization of labor supply and data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics for the US, the paper shows positive evidence in favor of the limited commitment model. Specifically, unexpected past wage shocks affect labor supply in exactly the way predicted by theory, as spouses' past wage deviations have a negative impact on their labor supply and a positive impact on their spouses'. In addition, wives' past wage shocks also impact negatively household public expenditure on housing.
本文采用跨期劳动力供给的视角,提出了一个检验,可以区分家庭内部非承诺、有限承诺和完全承诺。在控制了当前和未来(预期)工资之后,它研究了过去的工资冲击是否对当前的劳动力供给和公共消费产生持久而显著的影响。利用劳动力供给的半对数参数化和美国收入动态面板研究的数据,本文显示了支持有限承诺模型的积极证据。具体而言,意外的过去工资冲击影响劳动力供给的方式与理论预测的完全一致,因为配偶过去的工资偏差对自己的劳动力供给产生负面影响,对配偶的劳动力供给产生积极影响。此外,妻子过去的工资冲击也会对家庭在住房方面的公共支出产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 4
Misreporting of Government Transfers: How Important are Survey Design and Geography? 政府转移支付的错误报告:调查设计和地理有多重要?
Bruce D. Meyer, N. Mittag
Recent studies linking household surveys to administrative records reveal high rates of misreporting of program receipt. We use the FoodAPS survey to examine whether the findings of these studies of general household surveys using one or two states generalize to a survey with a narrow focus and across many states. First, we study how reporting errors differ from other surveys. We find a lower rate of false negatives (failures to report true receipt) in FoodAPS, likely partly due to the shorter recall period of FoodAPS. Misreporting varies with household characteristics and between interviewers. Second, we examine geographic heterogeneity in survey error to assess whether we can extrapolate from linked data from a few states. We find systematic differences between states in unconditional error rates but no evidence of substantial differences conditional on common covariates. Thus, extrapolating error rates across states may yield more accurate receipt estimates than uncorrected survey estimates.
最近的研究将住户调查与行政记录联系起来,揭示了高误报项目收入的比率。我们使用FoodAPS调查来检验这些在一个或两个州进行的一般家庭调查的研究结果是否可以推广到一个范围狭窄、跨越多个州的调查。首先,我们研究报告错误与其他调查的不同之处。我们发现FoodAPS的假阴性率(未能报告真实收据)较低,部分原因可能是FoodAPS的召回期较短。误报因家庭特征和采访者而异。其次,我们检查了调查误差的地理异质性,以评估我们是否可以从几个州的关联数据中推断出来。我们发现状态之间在无条件错误率方面存在系统性差异,但没有证据表明在共同协变量的条件下存在实质性差异。因此,跨州的外推错误率可能产生比未经纠正的调查估计更准确的收据估计。
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引用次数: 20
Faces of Joblessness in Australia: An Anatomy of Employment Barriers Using Household Data 澳大利亚失业的面孔:用家庭数据剖析就业障碍
Herwig Immervoll, Daniele Pacifico, Marieke Vandeweyer
Although Australia’s labour market escaped the dramatic negative impact of the global financial economic crisis seen in other OECD countries, a substantial share of working-age Australians either did were not working or worked only to a limited extent as the global recovery gathered pace between 2013 and 2014. The paper extends a method proposed by Fernandez et al. (2016) to measure and visualise employment barriers of individuals with no or weak labour-market attachment, using household micro-data.The most common employment obstacles in Australia are limited work experience, low skills and poor health. A notable finding is that almost one third of jobless or low-intensity workers face three or more simultaneous barriers, highlighting the limits of policy approaches that focus on subsets of these employment obstacles in isolation. A statistical clustering approach points to seven distinct groups, each characterized by unique profiles of employment barriers that call for different configurations of activation and employment-support policies.
尽管澳大利亚的劳动力市场没有像其他经合组织国家那样受到全球金融经济危机的严重负面影响,但随着2013年至2014年全球经济复苏步伐加快,相当一部分适龄工作的澳大利亚人要么没有工作,要么只在有限的程度上工作。本文扩展了Fernandez等人(2016)提出的方法,使用家庭微观数据来衡量和可视化没有或弱劳动力市场依恋的个人的就业障碍。澳大利亚最常见的就业障碍是工作经验有限、技能低下和健康状况不佳。一项值得注意的发现是,几乎三分之一的失业或低强度工人同时面临三种或更多障碍,这突出了孤立地关注这些就业障碍子集的政策办法的局限性。统计聚类方法指出了七个不同的群体,每个群体都有独特的就业障碍概况,需要不同的激活和就业支持政策配置。
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引用次数: 0
Food Prices, Access to Markets and Child Undernutrition in Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚的粮食价格、市场准入和儿童营养不良
Pub Date : 2019-04-18 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8823
P. Brenton, Mike Nyawo
This paper looks at how changing food prices affect child undernutrition in Ethiopia. It derives height for age (stunting) and weight for height (wasting) as indicators of child undernutrition from the two most recent years of the Livings Standards Measurement Survey and utilizes market prices for key cereals, teff, wheat, and maize at the zone level across all regions of the country. Using a panel data fixed effects model, the analysis finds that, contrary to previous studies, rising crop prices are positively associated with improved child stunting rates for children between ages 6 months and 5 years, while the results for wasting are not conclusive. These results suggest that across the board policy interventions that seek to suppress cereal price increases may have adverse effects on poverty reduction in the long term by undermining potentially positive impacts on child nutrition.
本文着眼于不断变化的食品价格是如何影响埃塞俄比亚儿童营养不良的。它从最近两年的生活水平测量调查中得出年龄身高(发育迟缓)和身高体重(消瘦)作为儿童营养不良的指标,并利用了全国所有地区主要谷物、苔麸、小麦和玉米的区域市场价格。使用面板数据固定效应模型,分析发现,与之前的研究相反,粮食价格上涨与6个月至5岁儿童发育迟缓率的改善呈正相关,而浪费的结果并不是决定性的。这些结果表明,寻求抑制谷物价格上涨的全面政策干预可能会破坏对儿童营养的潜在积极影响,从而在长期内对减贫产生不利影响。
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引用次数: 1
Do Parents Work More When Children Start School? Evidence from the Netherlands 孩子开始上学后,父母会更忙吗?来自荷兰的证据
Lisette Swart, Wiljan van den Berge, K. van der Wiel
When children start school, parents save time and/or money. In this paper, we empirically examine the impact of these changes to the family's budget constraint on parents' working hours. Labor supply is theoretically expected to increase for parents who used to spend time taking care of their children, but to decrease for fulltime working parents because of an income effect: child care expenses drop. We show that the effect of additional time dominates the income effect in the Netherlands, where children start school (kindergarten) for approximately 20 hours a week in the month that they turn 4. Using detailed administrative data on all parents, we fi nd that the average mother's hours worked increases by 3% when her youngest child starts going to school. For their partners, who experience a much smaller shock in terms of time, the increase in hours worked is also much smaller at 0.4%.
当孩子开始上学时,父母可以节省时间和/或金钱。在本文中,我们实证检验了这些变化对家庭预算约束对父母工作时间的影响。从理论上讲,对于那些花时间照顾孩子的父母来说,劳动力供给将会增加,但对于全职工作的父母来说,由于收入效应,劳动力供给将会减少,儿童保育费用将会下降。我们表明,在荷兰,额外时间的影响主导了收入效应,那里的孩子在他们4岁的那个月开始上学(幼儿园),每周大约20小时。通过对所有父母的详细管理数据分析,我们发现,当最小的孩子开始上学时,母亲的平均工作时间增加了3%。对于他们的伴侣来说,他们在时间上受到的冲击要小得多,工作时间的增长也要小得多,只有0.4%。
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引用次数: 4
Job Loss Expectations, Durable Consumption and Household Finances: Evidence from Linked Survey Data 失业预期、持久消费和家庭财务:来自关联调查数据的证据
Y. Pettinicchi, Nathanael Vellekoop
Job security is important for durable consumption and household savings. Using surveys, workers express a probability that they will lose their job in the next 12 months. In order to assess the empirical content of these probabilities, we link survey data to administrative data with labor market outcomes. Workers predict job loss quite well, in particular those whose job loss is followed by unemployment. Workers with higher job loss expectations acquire cheaper cars, and are less likely to buy new cars. In line with models of precautionary saving, higher job loss expectations are associated with more savings and less exposure to risky assets.
工作保障对持久消费和家庭储蓄很重要。通过调查,工人们表达了他们在未来12个月内失去工作的可能性。为了评估这些概率的经验内容,我们将调查数据与劳动力市场结果的行政数据联系起来。工人们对失业的预测相当准确,尤其是那些失业之后又失业的人。失业预期较高的工人会购买更便宜的汽车,而且不太可能购买新车。与预防性储蓄模型一致,更高的失业预期与更多的储蓄和更少的风险资产敞口有关。
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引用次数: 4
Do Households Care About Cash? Exploring the Heterogeneous Effects of India's Demonetization 家庭关心现金吗?探讨印度废钞运动的异质效应
Sudipto Karmakar, Abhinav Narayanan
Abstract The recent demonetization exercise in India is a unique monetary experiment that made 86 percent of the total currency in circulation invalid. In a country where the currency in circulation constitutes 12 percent of GDP, the policy turned out to be a purely exogenous macroeconomic shock that affected all agents of the economy. This paper documents the impact of this macroeconomic shock on households. By construction, the policy helped households with bank accounts in disposing of the demonetized cash. We use a new household-level data set to tease out the effects of this policy on households with no bank accounts relative to households with bank accounts. Our results show that the impact of demonetization on household income and expenditure has been transient. We find that households with no bank accounts experienced a significant decrease in expenditure in November and December-2016. We find a slight decline in income in November-2016 but the effect dissipates thereafter. There is significant heterogeneity in the impact across households in different asset quartiles. We also show evidence of recovery of household finances whereby households were able to smooth out consumption during the post-demonetization period. However, this recovery phase is associated with an increase in household borrowing from different sources. In particular, informal borrowing (e.g. money lenders and shops) increased during this period.
印度最近的废钞运动是一项独特的货币实验,使86%的流通货币无效。在一个流通货币占国内生产总值12%的国家,该政策被证明是一种纯粹的外生宏观经济冲击,影响到经济的所有主体。本文记录了这种宏观经济冲击对家庭的影响。通过建设,该政策帮助拥有银行账户的家庭处理废钞。我们使用一个新的家庭层面的数据集来梳理这项政策对没有银行账户的家庭和有银行账户的家庭的影响。我们的研究结果表明,废除纸币对家庭收入和支出的影响是短暂的。我们发现,没有银行账户的家庭在2016年11月和12月的支出显著减少。我们发现2016年11月的收入略有下降,但此后影响消失。不同资产四分位数的家庭之间的影响存在显著的异质性。我们还显示了家庭财务恢复的证据,即家庭能够在废钞后时期顺利消费。然而,这一复苏阶段与来自不同来源的家庭借款增加有关。特别是,非正式借贷(如放债人和商店)在此期间有所增加。
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引用次数: 22
Female Consumers and Their Leisure Spending in a Digital World 数字世界中的女性消费者及其休闲消费
D. Bharathi, G. Dinesh
The purpose of this paper is to understand and analyse the female consumers spending on leisure activities in digital world. Research design used for this work is based on exploratory and descriptive research and convenience sampling method is applied for data collection; with the sample size of 50 women’s & data is analysed. This paper contributes on a major objective to understand the leisure activities of women consumer and their influencing factor and found that women love to explore the world go to trips, spend time with friends, colleagues and she also love spending on herself and going to physical fitness activities, restaurants movies etc. The study is restricted to Indian women. This paper revolves around understanding and analysing the Indian female consumers spending on leisure activities in digital world and identify the influential factors of women on leisure activities.
本文的目的是了解和分析女性消费者在数字世界中的休闲活动支出。本研究采用探索性和描述性研究的研究设计,数据收集采用方便抽样法;以50名女性为样本,对数据进行分析。本文的主要目的是了解女性消费者的休闲活动及其影响因素,发现女性喜欢探索世界,去旅行,花时间与朋友,同事,她也喜欢为自己花钱,去健身活动,餐馆,电影等。这项研究仅限于印度女性。本文围绕了解和分析印度女性消费者在数字世界中的休闲活动支出,并确定女性对休闲活动的影响因素。
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引用次数: 2
An Empirical Analysis of Households’ Demand for Organic and Conventional Flour in the United States: Evidence from the 2014 Nielsen Homescan Data 美国家庭对有机面粉和普通面粉需求的实证分析:来自2014年尼尔森Homescan数据的证据
Armine Poghosyan, R. Bakhtavoryan, J. Lopez, Asli K. Ogunc
Using the 2014 Nielsen Homescan panel data, the Heckman two-stage sample selection model is used to estimate the likelihood of purchasing organic or conventional flour as well as the quantity purchased of organic and conventional flour. A number of demographic variables are found to be statistically significant impacting the likelihood of purchasing organic and conventional flour. Conditional on the decision whether to buy organic or conventional flour, the estimation of the second-stage equations shows that the statistically significant factors of the demand for organic flour are own price, household income, household size, age, employment status, and race, while for conventional flour significant factors are own price, organic flour price, household income, household size, education level, marital status, and race.

Based on the calculated own-price elasticities of demand for organic and conventional flour, the demand for both flour types is inelastic. Cross-price elasticities of demand suggest an asymmetric pattern between organic and conventional flour demand. Finally, based on the negative income elasticity estimates, organic and conventional flour are inferior goods.
利用2014年Nielsen Homescan面板数据,采用Heckman两阶段样本选择模型来估计购买有机面粉或常规面粉的可能性以及购买有机面粉和常规面粉的数量。一些人口统计变量被发现在统计上显著影响购买有机和传统面粉的可能性。在决定购买有机面粉还是普通面粉的条件下,对第二阶段方程的估计表明,有机面粉需求的统计显著因素是自身价格、家庭收入、家庭规模、年龄、就业状况和种族,而普通面粉需求的统计显著因素是自身价格、有机面粉价格、家庭收入、家庭规模、教育程度、婚姻状况和种族。根据对有机面粉和常规面粉需求的自身价格弹性计算,两种面粉的需求都是非弹性的。需求的交叉价格弹性表明有机面粉和常规面粉需求之间存在不对称模式。最后,根据负收入弹性估计,有机面粉和常规面粉都是次等商品。
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引用次数: 2
Hump-Shaped Cross-Price Effects and the Extensive Margin in Cross-Border Shopping 驼峰型交叉价格效应与跨境购物的泛化边际
Frode Steen, Simen A. Ulsaker, Richard Friberg
This paper examines the effect of cross-border shopping on grocery demand in Norway using monthly store × category sales data from Norway’s largest grocery chain 2012–2016. The sensitivity of demand to the foreign price is hump-shaped and greatest 30–60 minutes’ driving distance from the closest foreign store. Combining continuous demand, fixed costs of cross-border shopping, and linear transport costs a la Hotelling, we show how this hump shape can arise through a combination of intensive and extensive margins of cross-border shopping. Our conclusions are further supported by novel survey evidence and cross-border traffic data. (JEL D12, F31, L11, L81)
本文利用挪威最大的食品杂货连锁店2012-2016年的月度商店x类别销售数据,研究了跨境购物对挪威食品杂货需求的影响。需求对国外价格的敏感性呈驼峰状,距离最近的国外商店30-60分钟的车程最大。结合持续需求、跨境购物的固定成本和线性运输成本,我们展示了这种驼峰形状是如何通过跨境购物的集约化和广泛化的结合而产生的。新的调查证据和跨境交通数据进一步支持了我们的结论。(jel 12, f31, l11, l81)
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引用次数: 27
期刊
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Household Behavior eJournal
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