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The Network Effects of Agency Conflicts 代理冲突的网络效应
Pub Date : 2020-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3556298
R. Vohra, Yiqing Xing, Wu Zhu
It is customary to focus on the network of interdependencies between firms to understand how and whether a shock to one firm will propagate to others. This paper argues that agency conflicts at the firm-level and not just the network structure, play a crucial role in amplifying or muting the propagation of exogenous shocks. If firms can take investment decisions in response to an exogenous shock, whether their choices amplify or mute the propagation of the shock will depend on the nature of the agency conflict. When agents in our model are subject to default costs or limited liability, they make investment choices that serve to mitigate the spread of an initial shock. In the face of interest conflicts or moral hazard, however, shocks are amplified by firm-level investment choices.

The presence of these agency conflicts counters the role of network structure in the propagation of shocks. For example, prior work argues that denser or more integrated networks facilitate the propagation of shocks. We show that in the presence of interest conflicts, this effect can be reversed. Under some conditions, the aggregate effect of an idiosyncratic shock via propagation does not diminish. This suggests a potentially important role that corporate governance plays in macro fluctuations.
通常关注公司之间的相互依赖关系,以了解对一家公司的冲击如何以及是否会传播到其他公司。本文认为,公司层面的代理冲突,而不仅仅是网络结构,在放大或抑制外生冲击的传播方面起着至关重要的作用。如果企业能够针对外生冲击做出投资决策,那么它们的选择是放大还是抑制冲击的传播将取决于代理冲突的性质。当我们的模型中的代理人受到违约成本或有限责任的约束时,他们会做出有助于减轻初始冲击蔓延的投资选择。然而,在面对利益冲突或道德风险时,企业层面的投资选择放大了冲击。这些代理冲突的存在抵消了网络结构在冲击传播中的作用。例如,先前的研究认为,更密集或更集成的网络促进了冲击的传播。我们表明,在存在利益冲突的情况下,这种影响是可以逆转的。在某些条件下,通过传播的特殊冲击的总体效应不会减弱。这表明,公司治理在宏观波动中可能发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 5
The Hedge Fund Industry Is Bigger (and Has Performed Better) Than You Think 对冲基金行业比你想象的更大(也表现得更好)
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3544181
D. Barth, Juha Joenväärä, Mikko Kauppila, Russ Wermers
Of first-order importance to the study of potential systemic risks in hedge funds is the aggregate size of the industry. The worldwide hedge fund industry has been estimated by regulators and industry experts as having total net assets under management of $2.3-3.7 trillion as of the end of 2016. Using a newly combined database of several hedge fund information vendors, augmented by the first detailed, systematic regulatory collection of data on large hedge funds in the United States, we estimate that the worldwide net assets under management were at least $5.2 trillion in 2016, over 40% larger than the most generous estimate. Gross assets, which represent the balance sheet value of hedge fund assets, exceeds $8.5 trillion. We further decompose hedge fund assets by their self-reported strategy and by fund domicile. We also show that the total returns earned by funds that report to the public databases are significantly lower than the returns of funds that report only on regulatory filings, both in aggregate and within nearly every fund strategy. This difference appears to be driven entirely by alpha, rather than by differences in exposures to systematic risk factors. However, net investor flows are considerably higher for funds reporting publicly, suggesting previous estimates of the flow-performance relationship are likely biased. Our new, and much larger, estimates of the size of the hedge fund industry should help regulators and prudential authorities to better gauge the systemic risks posed by the industry, and to better evaluate potential data gaps in private funds. Our results also suggest that systematic risk is roughly similar in publicly and non-publicly reporting funds.
对对冲基金潜在系统性风险的研究,最重要的是该行业的总规模。据监管机构和行业专家估计,截至2016年底,全球对冲基金行业管理的净资产总额为2.3-3.7万亿美元。利用几家对冲基金信息供应商的新合并数据库,再加上对美国大型对冲基金的首次详细、系统的监管数据收集,我们估计,2016年全球管理的净资产至少为5.2万亿美元,比最慷慨的估计高出40%以上。代表对冲基金资产负债表价值的总资产超过8.5万亿美元。我们进一步将对冲基金资产按其自报策略和基金注册地进行分解。我们还表明,无论是在总体上还是在几乎所有的基金策略中,向公共数据库报告的基金所获得的总回报都明显低于只向监管文件报告的基金。这种差异似乎完全是由α驱动的,而不是由暴露于系统性风险因素的差异驱动的。然而,公开报告的基金的净投资者流量要高得多,这表明先前对流量-绩效关系的估计可能有偏差。我们对对冲基金行业规模的新的、更大的估计,应有助于监管机构和审慎监管当局更好地衡量该行业带来的系统性风险,并更好地评估私募基金的潜在数据缺口。我们的研究结果还表明,公开报告基金和非公开报告基金的系统性风险大致相似。
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引用次数: 15
SHIFT: A Highly Realistic Financial Market Simulation Platform SHIFT:一个高度逼真的金融市场模拟平台
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3544308
Thiago W. Alves, I. Florescu, G. Calhoun, Dragoş Bozdog
This paper presents a new financial market simulator that may be used as a tool in both industry and academia for research in market microstructure. It allows multiple automated traders and/or researchers to simultaneously connect to an exchange-like environment, where they are able to asynchronously trade several financial assets at the same time. In its current iteration, this order-driven market implements the basic rules of U.S. equity markets, supporting both market and limit orders, and executing them in a first-in-first-out fashion. We overview the system architecture and we present possible use cases. We demonstrate how a set of automated agents is capable of producing a price process with characteristics similar to the statistics of real price from financial markets. Finally, we detail a market stress scenario and we draw, what we believe to be, interesting conclusions about crash events.
本文提出了一种新的金融市场模拟器,可以作为工业界和学术界研究市场微观结构的工具。它允许多个自动交易者和/或研究人员同时连接到一个类似交易所的环境,在那里他们能够同时异步交易几种金融资产。在当前的迭代中,这个订单驱动的市场实现了美国股票市场的基本规则,支持市场和限价订单,并以先进先出的方式执行它们。我们概述了系统架构,并给出了可能的用例。我们演示了一组自动化代理如何能够产生具有类似于金融市场实际价格统计特征的价格过程。最后,我们详细描述了市场压力情景,并得出了我们认为有趣的关于崩盘事件的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Toward Understanding FinTech and its Industry 了解金融科技及其产业
Pub Date : 2020-01-16 DOI: 10.1108/mf-01-2020-0024
Heather S. Knewtson, Zachary Rosenbaum
The purpose of this study is to define FinTech, differentiating it from financial technology and use the definition to develop an industry framework.,Using the existing literature on FinTech and incorporating these contributions into a traditional financial structure, characteristics are outlined and placed into a framework that describes the FinTech industry.,FinTech is a specific type of Financial Technology, defined as technology used to provide financial markets a financial product or financial service, characterized by sophisticated technology relative to existing technology in that market. Firms that primarily use FinTech are classified as FinTech firms. Using these definitions, the paper provides a structure for the FinTech industry, classifying each type of FinTech firm by FinTech characteristics.,Research that would inform the economic importance of FinTech would be served with an increased understanding of FinTech firms and the FinTech industry.,This paper contributes by defining FinTech and developing a comprehensive framework to describe the emerging FinTech industry.
本研究的目的是定义金融科技,将其与金融技术区分开来,并使用该定义来开发行业框架。利用现有的金融科技文献,并将这些贡献纳入传统的金融结构,概述了金融科技行业的特征,并将其放入描述金融科技行业的框架中。金融科技(FinTech)是金融科技的一种特定类型,被定义为用于向金融市场提供金融产品或金融服务的技术,其特点是相对于该市场的现有技术而言技术更先进。主要使用金融科技的公司被归类为金融科技公司。利用这些定义,本文为金融科技行业提供了一个结构,根据金融科技特征对每种类型的金融科技公司进行分类。通过加深对金融科技公司和金融科技行业的了解,可以了解金融科技在经济上的重要性。本文通过定义金融科技和开发一个全面的框架来描述新兴的金融科技行业。
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引用次数: 37
Do Firm Effects Drift? Evidence from Washington Administrative Data 企业效应会漂移吗?来自华盛顿行政数据的证据
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26653
Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas, Raffaele Saggio, Stephen A. Woodbury
We study the time-series properties of firm effects in the two-way fixed effects models popularized by Abowd, Kramarz, and Margolis (1999) (AKM) using two approaches. The first—the rolling AKM approach (R-AKM)—estimates AKM models separately for successive two-year intervals. The second—the time-varying AKM approach (TV-AKM)—is an extension of the original AKM model that allows for unrestricted interactions of year and firm indicators. We apply to both approaches the leave-one-out methodology of Kline, Saggio and Solvsten (2019) to correct for biases in the resulting variance components. Using administrative wage records from Washington State, we find, first, that firm effects for hourly wage rates and earnings are highly persistent. Specifically, the autocorrelation coefficient between firm effects in 2002 and 2014 is 0.74 for wages and 0.82 for earnings. Second, the R-AKM approach uncovers cyclicality in firm effects and worker-firm sorting. During the Great Recession the variability in firm effects increased, while the degree of worker-firm sorting decreased. Third, we document an increase in wage dispersion between 2002–2003 and 2013–2014. This increase in wage dispersion is driven by increases in the variance of worker effects and sorting, with an accompanying decrease in the variance of firm wage effects. Auxiliary analyses suggest that the misspecification of standard AKM models resulting from restricting firm effects to be fixed over time is a second-order concern.
在Abowd、Kramarz和Margolis (1999) (AKM)推广的双向固定效应模型中,我们采用两种方法研究了企业效应的时间序列性质。第一种方法——滚动AKM方法(R-AKM)——对连续两年间隔的AKM模型分别进行估计。第二种是时变AKM方法(TV-AKM),它是原始AKM模型的扩展,允许年份和公司指标之间不受限制的相互作用。我们将Kline、Saggio和Solvsten(2019)的“留一”方法应用于这两种方法,以纠正由此产生的方差成分中的偏差。使用华盛顿州的行政工资记录,我们发现,首先,对小时工资率和收入的坚定影响是高度持久的。具体来说,2002年和2014年企业效应之间的自相关系数,工资为0.74,收入为0.82。其次,R-AKM方法揭示了企业效应和工人-企业排序的周期性。在大衰退期间,企业效应的可变性增加了,而工人-企业分类的程度下降了。第三,我们记录了2002-2003年和2013-2014年之间工资差距的增加。这种工资分散的增加是由工人效应和排序方差的增加所驱动的,同时伴随着企业工资效应方差的减少。辅助分析表明,由于限制企业效应随时间固定而导致的标准AKM模型的错误说明是次要问题。
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引用次数: 39
Inventory Commitment and Monetary Compensation under Competition 竞争下的库存承诺与货币补偿
Pub Date : 2019-12-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3292199
Junfei Lei, Fuqiang Zhang, Renyu (Philip) Zhang, Yugang Yu
Problem definition: Inventory commitment and monetary compensation are widely recognized as effective strategies in monopoly settings when customers are concerned about stockouts. To attract more customer traffic, a firm reveals its inventory availability information to customers before the sales season or offers monetary compensation to placate customers if the product is out of stock. This paper investigates these two strategies when retailers compete on both price and inventory availability. Methodology/results: We develop a game-theoretic framework to analyze the strategic interactions among the retailers and customers and draw the following insights. First, both inventory commitment and monetary compensation may lead to a prisoner’s dilemma. Although these strategies are preferred regardless of the competitor’s price and inventory decisions, the equilibrium profit of each retailer could be lower in the presence of inventory commitment or monetary compensation because they intensify the competition between the retailers. Second, we find that market competition may hurt social welfare compared with a centralized setting by reducing the product availability in equilibrium. The inventory commitment and monetary compensation strategies further intensify the competition between the retailers, therefore causing an even lower social welfare. Managerial implications: Our study shows that, although inventory commitment and monetary compensation improve retailers’ profit and social welfare under monopoly, these strategies should be used with caution under competition. Funding: F. Zhang is grateful for the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 71929201, 72131004]. R. Zhang is grateful for the financial support from the Hong Kong Research Grants Council General Research Fund [Grant 14502722] and the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 72293560/72293565]. Y. Yu is grateful for the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 71921001]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2021.0411 .
问题定义:在垄断环境下,当顾客担心缺货时,库存承诺和货币补偿被广泛认为是有效的策略。为了吸引更多的客流量,公司在销售季节之前向顾客透露其库存可用性信息,或者在产品缺货时提供货币补偿以安抚顾客。本文研究了零售商在价格和库存两方面竞争时的这两种策略。方法/结果:我们开发了一个博弈论框架来分析零售商和顾客之间的战略互动,并得出以下见解。首先,库存承诺和货币补偿都可能导致囚徒困境。尽管无论竞争对手的价格和库存决策如何,这些策略都是首选的,但在库存承诺或货币补偿的存在下,每个零售商的均衡利润可能会降低,因为它们加剧了零售商之间的竞争。其次,我们发现,与集中化环境相比,市场竞争可能会减少均衡状态下的产品可得性,从而损害社会福利。库存承诺和货币补偿策略进一步加剧了零售商之间的竞争,从而导致更低的社会福利。管理启示:我们的研究表明,尽管库存承诺和货币补偿在垄断条件下提高了零售商的利润和社会福利,但在竞争条件下应谨慎使用这些策略。基金资助:张锋感谢国家自然科学基金资助[基金号:71929201,72131004]。张瑞敏感谢香港研究资助局一般研究基金[拨款14502722]和中国国家自然科学基金[拨款72293560/72293565]的资助。Yu .感谢国家自然科学基金[Grant 71921001]的资助。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2021.0411上获得。
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引用次数: 0
Prioritization vs. Neutrality on Platforms: Evidence from Amazon’s Twitch.tv 优先级vs.中立性:来自亚马逊Twitch.tv的证据
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3049371
José Tudón
This paper studies the efficient use of prioritization in Amazon’s Twitch.tv, taking into account the trade-off between entry and congestion. I specify and estimate supply and demand models for live video, and a congestion model. Using technological shocks, I identify congestion costs for content providers and their consumers. Using shocks in prioritization, I identify its benefits. With estimated preferences and technological parameters, I construct counterfactuals. Without congestion, demand potentially doubles. A supply-side Pigouvian tax is preferred to a demand-side one. Without prioritization, consumer welfare drops up to 10%. I consider a rent-extractive platform, and discuss parallels with net-neutrality policy.
本文研究了亚马逊Twitch中优先级的有效使用。电视,考虑到进入和拥塞之间的权衡。我指定和估计的供应和需求模型的直播视频,和拥塞模型。利用技术冲击,我确定了内容提供商及其消费者的拥塞成本。在优先级排序中使用冲击,我发现了它的好处。根据估计的偏好和技术参数,我构建了反事实。如果没有拥堵,需求可能会翻倍。供给侧庇古税比需求侧庇古税更可取。如果没有优先排序,消费者福利将下降10%。我考虑了一个租金抽取平台,并讨论了与网络中立政策的相似之处。
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引用次数: 5
Reputation as a Key Resource for Market Success in the Banking Sector 声誉是银行业市场成功的关键资源
Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3490616
Berislava Starešinić, M. Omazić, A. Aleksić
Acknowledging the importance and role of corporate reputation as a unique intangible and specific organizational resource, in this paper, we analyze its role and importance for the market success of contemporary banks. Furthermore, the paper provides an overview of the existing research regarding bank reputation in the Republic of Croatia. As corporate social responsibility aspect of a business is one of the most widely studied aspects of corporate reputation, we investigate the corporate social responsibility practice of two major banks in Croatia. By using publicly available data, we analyse the internal and external dimensions of their CSR and their relation to a bank’s reputation.
认识到企业声誉作为一种独特的无形的、特定的组织资源的重要性和作用,本文分析了它对当代银行市场成功的作用和重要性。此外,本文还概述了关于克罗地亚共和国银行声誉的现有研究。由于企业的企业社会责任方面是企业声誉研究最广泛的方面之一,我们调查了克罗地亚两家主要银行的企业社会责任实践。通过使用公开数据,我们分析了企业社会责任的内部和外部维度,以及它们与银行声誉的关系。
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引用次数: 1
What&Apos;S the Big Idea? Multi-Function Products, Firm Scope and Firm Boundaries 什么是伟大的想法?多功能产品,企业范围和企业边界
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26320
Mengxi (Maggie) Liu, Daniel Trefler
Products often bundle together many functions e.g., smartphones. The firm develops the big idea (which functions to bundle) and then chooses one supplier per function. We develop a model featuring holdup in which the firm's bargaining power declines in the number of suppliers. Greater scope as measured by the number of suppliers exacerbates holdup, but this is partially offset by the appropriate choice of vertical integration or outsourcing. Our main result flows from the empirical observation that the number of functions varies across products within an industry (firm heterogeneity). We introduce the notion of an 'ideas-oriented' industry in which more productive firms have higher marginal returns to introducing a new function. We show that more productive firms will (1) have more suppliers and (2) be more likely to integrate those suppliers. We take this to the data using a neural network to predict whether or not each of 29 million PATSTAT patent applications involves new/improved functions. We merge these patents with Capital IQ data on 55,000 companies and their supplier networks. We show that in industries where patents are skewed towards new or improved functions, more productive firms have more suppliers and are more likely to integrate these suppliers.
产品通常捆绑了许多功能,例如智能手机。公司发展出一个大的想法(它的功能是捆绑的),然后为每个功能选择一个供应商。我们开发了一个以拖延为特征的模型,在这个模型中,公司的议价能力随着供应商数量的减少而下降。由供应商数量衡量的更大的范围加剧了拖延,但这可以通过适当选择垂直整合或外包来部分抵消。我们的主要结果来自经验观察,即一个行业内不同产品的功能数量不同(企业异质性)。我们引入了“创意导向”产业的概念,在这个产业中,越高产的企业引入新功能的边际收益就越高。我们表明,生产率更高的企业将(1)拥有更多的供应商,(2)更有可能整合这些供应商。我们使用神经网络对数据进行处理,以预测2900万PATSTAT专利申请中的每一项是否涉及新的/改进的功能。我们将这些专利与Capital IQ关于55,000家公司及其供应商网络的数据合并。我们表明,在专利倾向于新功能或改进功能的行业中,生产率更高的企业拥有更多的供应商,并且更有可能整合这些供应商。
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引用次数: 2
Survival or Die: A Survival Analysis on Peer‐To‐Peer Lending Platforms in China 生存或死亡:中国p2p借贷平台的生存分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.12513
Qigui Liu, Luxi Zou, Xiaoling Yang, Jinghua Tang
This study examines the probability of survival of online peer‐to‐peer (P2P) lending platforms in China. Our empirical findings show that shareholder's background, platforms’ risk management and institutional environment are three major factors that influence the probability of survival of P2P platforms in China. In addition, the effects of risk control and institutional environment are less pronounced in state‐owned P2P platforms. We also show that platforms that die from abscondence of owners tend to be more short‐lived than others, while platforms that die from liquidity problems are usually due to lack of high‐quality risk management techniques.
本研究考察了中国在线P2P (P2P)借贷平台的生存概率。我们的实证研究结果表明,股东背景、平台’风险管理和制度环境是影响中国P2P平台生存概率的三个主要因素。此外,国有P2P平台的风险控制和制度环境的影响不太明显。我们还表明,因所有者缺席而死亡的平台往往比其他平台寿命更短,而因流动性问题而死亡的平台通常是由于缺乏高质量的风险管理技术。
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引用次数: 23
期刊
ERN: Other IO: Empirical Studies of Firms & Markets (Topic)
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