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Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge最新文献

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Rationalizability and Epistemic Priority Orderings 理性化和认知优先顺序
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.8
Emiliano Catonini
At the beginning of a dynamic game, players may have exogenous theories about how the opponents are going to play. Suppose that these theories are commonly known. Then, players will refine their first-order beliefs, and challenge their own theories, through strategic reasoning. I develop and characterize epistemically a new solution concept, Selective Rationalizability, which accomplishes this task under the following assumption: when the observed behavior is not compatible with the beliefs in players' rationality and theories of all orders, players keep the orders of belief in rationality that are per se compatible with the observed behavior, and drop the incompatible beliefs in the theories. Thus, Selective Rationalizability captures Common Strong Belief in Rationality (Battigalli and Siniscalchi, 2002) and refines Extensive-Form Rationalizability (Pearce, 1984; BS, 2002), whereas Strong-$Delta$-Rationalizability (Battigalli, 2003; Battigalli and Siniscalchi, 2003) captures the opposite epistemic priority choice. Selective Rationalizability can be extended to encompass richer epistemic priority orderings among different theories of opponents' behavior. This allows to establish a surprising connection with strategic stability (Kohlberg and Mertens, 1986).
在动态游戏开始时,玩家可能对对手的玩法有外生理论。假设这些理论是众所周知的。然后,玩家将完善自己的第一阶信念,并通过战略推理挑战自己的理论。我在认识论上发展并描述了一个新的解决方案概念,即选择性理性化(Selective Rationalizability),它在以下假设下完成了这项任务:当观察到的行为与参与者的理性信念和所有顺序的理论不相容时,参与者保留与观察到的行为本身相容的理性信念顺序,并放弃理论中不相容的信念。因此,选择性理性化抓住了理性的共同强烈信念(Battigalli and Siniscalchi, 2002),并完善了广泛形式的理性化(Pearce, 1984;BS, 2002),而Strong-$Delta$- rationizability (Battigalli, 2003;Battigalli和Siniscalchi, 2003)抓住了相反的认知优先选择。选择性合理化可以扩展到包含更丰富的认知优先顺序在不同的理论对手的行为。这使得与战略稳定建立了令人惊讶的联系(Kohlberg和Mertens, 1986)。
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引用次数: 7
Games With Tolerant Players 包容玩家的游戏
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.18
Arpita Ghosh, Joseph Y. Halpern
A notion of pi-tolerant equilibrium is defined that takes into account that players have some tolerance regarding payoffs in a game. This solution concept generalizes Nash and refines epsilon-Nash equilibrium in a natural way. We show that pi-tolerant equilibrium can explain cooperation in social dilemmas such as Prisoner's Dilemma and the Public Good game. We then examine the structure of particularly cooperative pi-tolerant equilibria, where players are as cooperative as they can be, subject to their tolerances, in Prisoner's Dilemma. To the extent that cooperation is due to tolerance, these results provide guidance to a mechanism designer who has some control over the payoffs in a game, and suggest ways in which cooperation can be increased.
pi- tolerance equilibrium的概念是考虑到玩家对游戏中的收益有一定的容忍度。这个解的概念概括了纳什均衡,并以一种自然的方式提炼了-纳什均衡。我们证明了容忍均衡可以解释囚徒困境和公共物品博弈等社会困境中的合作。然后,我们研究了特别合作的pi容忍均衡的结构,在囚徒困境中,参与者在他们的容忍范围内尽可能地合作。从某种程度上说,合作是由容忍产生的,这些结果为在游戏中控制收益的机制设计师提供了指导,并提出了增加合作的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Group Recommendations: Axioms, Impossibilities, and Random Walks 小组建议:公理、不可能性和随机漫步
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.28
Omer Lev, Moshe Tennenholtz
We introduce an axiomatic approach to group recommendations, in line of previous work on the axiomatic treatment of trust-based recommendation systems, ranking systems, and other foundational work on the axiomatic approach to internet mechanisms in social choice settings. In group recommendations we wish to recommend to a group of agents, consisting of both opinionated and undecided members, a joint choice that would be acceptable to them. Such a system has many applications, such as choosing a movie or a restaurant to go to with a group of friends, recommending games for online game players, & other communal activities. Our method utilizes a given social graph to extract information on the undecided, relying on the agents influencing them. We first show that a set of fairly natural desired requirements (a.k.a axioms) leads to an impossibility, rendering mutual satisfaction of them unreachable. However, we also show a modified set of axioms that fully axiomatize a group variant of the random-walk recommendation system, expanding a previous result from the individual recommendation case.
我们引入了一种公理化方法来进行群体推荐,这与之前关于基于信任的推荐系统、排名系统的公理化处理的工作以及其他关于社会选择环境下互联网机制公理化方法的基础工作是一致的。在小组建议中,我们希望向由固执己见和犹豫不决的成员组成的一组代理人建议一种他们可以接受的共同选择。这样的系统有很多应用,比如和一群朋友一起选择电影或餐馆,为在线游戏玩家推荐游戏,以及其他公共活动。我们的方法利用给定的社会图来提取未决定的信息,依赖于影响他们的代理。我们首先展示了一组相当自然的期望需求(又名公理)导致不可能性,使得它们的相互满足无法实现。然而,我们也展示了一组改进的公理,这些公理完全公理化了随机行走推荐系统的一个群体变体,扩展了之前来自个体推荐案例的结果。
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引用次数: 4
Reconciling Bayesian Epistemology and Narration-based Approaches to Judiciary Fact-finding 调和贝叶斯认识论与司法事实认定的叙事方法
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.37
R. Urbaniak
Legal probabilism (LP) claims the degrees of conviction in juridical fact-finding are to be modeled exactly the way degrees of beliefs are modeled in standard bayesian epistemology. Classical legal probabilism (CLP) adds that the conviction is justified if the credence in guilt given the evidence is above an appropriate guilt probability threshold. The views are challenged on various counts, especially by the proponents of the so-called narrative approach, on which the fact-finders' decision is the result of a dynamic interplay between competing narratives of what happened. I develop a way a bayesian epistemologist can make sense of the narrative approach. I do so by formulating a probabilistic framework for evaluating competing narrations in terms of formal explications of the informal evaluation criteria used in the narrative approach.
法律概率论(LP)声称,在司法事实调查中,信念程度的建模方式与标准贝叶斯认识论中信念程度的建模方式完全相同。经典法律概率论(CLP)补充说,如果证据表明有罪的可信度高于适当的有罪概率阈值,则定罪是正当的。这些观点在很多方面受到质疑,特别是来自所谓的叙事方法的支持者,根据这种方法,事实发现者的决定是对所发生事件的相互竞争的叙述之间动态相互作用的结果。我发展出一种贝叶斯认识论的方法来理解叙事方法。为此,我制定了一个概率框架,根据叙事方法中使用的非正式评估标准的正式解释,来评估相互竞争的叙述。
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引用次数: 0
Conditional Belief, Knowledge and Probability 条件信念,知识和概率
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.14
J. Eijck, K. Li
A natural way to represent beliefs and the process of updating beliefs is presented by Bayesian probability theory, where belief of an agent a in P can be interpreted as a considering that P is more probable than not P. This paper attempts to get at the core logical notion underlying this. The paper presents a sound and complete neighbourhood logic for conditional belief and knowledge, and traces the connections with probabilistic logics of belief and knowledge. The key notion in this paper is that of an agent a believing P conditionally on having information Q, where it is assumed that Q is compatible with what a knows. Conditional neighbourhood logic can be viewed as a core system for reasoning about subjective plausibility that is not yet committed to an interpretation in terms of numerical probability. Indeed, every weighted Kripke model gives rise to a conditional neighbourhood model, but not vice versa. We show that our calculus for conditional neighbourhood logic is sound but not complete for weighted Kripke models. Next, we show how to extend the calculus to get completeness for the class of weighted Kripke models. Neighbourhood models for conditional belief are closed under model restriction (public announcement update), while earlier neighbourhood models for belief as `willingness to bet' were not. Therefore the logic we present improves on earlier neighbourhood logics for belief and knowledge. We present complete calculi for public announcement and for publicly revealing the truth value of propositions using reduction axioms. The reductions show that adding these announcement operators to the language does not increase expressive power.
贝叶斯概率论提出了一种表示信念和更新信念的自然方法,其中agent A在P中的信念可以解释为考虑P比不P更有可能。本文试图获得其背后的核心逻辑概念。提出了条件信念和条件知识的健全完备邻域逻辑,并追溯了其与条件信念和条件知识的概率逻辑的联系。本文的关键概念是agent a在有信息Q的情况下有条件地相信P,其中假设Q与a所知道的相容。条件邻域逻辑可以被看作是一个核心系统,用于推理主观似是而非的解释,在数值概率方面。事实上,每一个加权Kripke模型都会产生一个条件邻域模型,反之则不然。我们证明了对加权Kripke模型的条件邻域逻辑的演算是健全的,但并不完整。接下来,我们将展示如何扩展微积分以获得加权Kripke模型类的完备性。条件信念的邻域模型在模型限制下关闭(公告更新),而早期的“下注意愿”信念邻域模型则没有。因此,我们提出的逻辑是对先前的信仰和知识邻域逻辑的改进。我们提出了一种完备的演算方法,用于公开声明和利用约简公理公开揭示命题的真值。这些缩减表明,在语言中加入这些公告操作符并没有增加表达能力。
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引用次数: 5
The Topology-Free Construction of the Universal Type Structure for Conditional Probability Systems 条件概率系统泛型结构的无拓扑构造
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.20
Pierfrancesco Guarino
We construct the universal type structure for conditional probability systems without any topological assumption, namely a type structure that is terminal, belief-complete, and non-redundant. In particular, in order to obtain the belief-completeness in a constructive way, we extend the work of Meier [An Infinitary Probability Logic for Type Spaces. Israel Journal of Mathematics, 192, 1-58] by proving strong soundness and strong completeness of an infinitary conditional probability logic with truthful and non-epistemic conditioning events.
我们构造了不带拓扑假设的条件概率系统的普适型结构,即一种终端型、信念完备型和非冗余型结构。特别地,为了以建设性的方式获得相信完备性,我们推广了Meier [a∞Probability Logic for Type Spaces]的工作。数学学报,1999,19 (1):1- 8 [j] .用数学方法证明了具有真实和非认知条件事件的无限概率逻辑的强完备性。
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引用次数: 3
Cheryl's Birthday 谢丽尔的生日
Pub Date : 2017-07-27 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.1
H. V. Ditmarsch, M. Hartley, Barteld P. Kooi, J. Welton, Joseph B. W. Yeo
We present four logic puzzles and after that their solutions. Joseph Yeo designed 'Cheryl's Birthday'. Mike Hartley came up with a novel solution for 'One Hundred Prisoners and a Light Bulb'. Jonathan Welton designed 'A Blind Guess' and 'Abby's Birthday'. Hans van Ditmarsch and Barteld Kooi authored the puzzlebook 'One Hundred Prisoners and a Light Bulb' that contains other knowledge puzzles, and that can also be found on the webpage http://personal.us.es/hvd/lightbulb.html dedicated to the book.
我们提出了四个逻辑难题,然后,他们的解决方案。“谢丽尔的生日”由约瑟夫·杨设计。迈克·哈特利为《一百个囚犯和一个灯泡》想出了一个新颖的解决方案。乔纳森·韦尔顿设计了“盲目猜测”和“艾比的生日”。Hans van Ditmarsch和Barteld Kooi撰写了益智书《一百个囚犯和一个灯泡》,其中包含其他知识难题,也可以在专门为该书设计的网页http://personal.us.es/hvd/lightbulb.html上找到。
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引用次数: 1
Common Knowledge in a Logic of Gossips 八卦逻辑中的常识
Pub Date : 2017-07-26 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.2
K. Apt, D. Wojtczak
Gossip protocols aim at arriving, by means of point-to-point or group communications, at a situation in which all the agents know each other secrets. Recently a number of authors studied distributed epistemic gossip protocols. These protocols use as guards formulas from a simple epistemic logic, which makes their analysis and verification substantially easier. We study here common knowledge in the context of such a logic. First, we analyze when it can be reduced to iterated knowledge. Then we show that the semantics and truth for formulas without nested common knowledge operator are decidable. This implies that implementability, partial correctness and termination of distributed epistemic gossip protocols that use non-nested common knowledge operator is decidable, as well. Given that common knowledge is equivalent to an infinite conjunction of nested knowledge, these results are non-trivial generalizations of the corresponding decidability results for the original epistemic logic, established in (Apt & Wojtczak, 2016). K. R. Apt & D. Wojtczak (2016): On Decidability of a Logic of Gossips. In Proc. of JELIA 2016, pp. 18-33, doi:10.1007/ 978-3-319-48758-8_2.
八卦协议旨在通过点对点或群体通信的方式,达到一种所有特工都知道彼此秘密的状态。最近,许多作者研究了分布式认知八卦协议。这些协议使用来自简单认知逻辑的保护公式,这使得它们的分析和验证更加容易。我们在这里研究这种逻辑背景下的常识。首先,我们分析了它何时可以被简化为迭代知识。然后证明了没有嵌套公共知识算子的公式的语义和真值是可判定的。这意味着使用非嵌套公共知识算子的分布式知识八卦协议的可实现性、部分正确性和终止性也是可确定的。鉴于共同知识等同于嵌套知识的无限结合,这些结果是对(Apt & Wojtczak, 2016)中建立的原始认知逻辑的相应可判定性结果的非平凡推广。K. R. Apt & D. Wojtczak(2016):论八卦逻辑的可决性。中国生物医学工程学报,2016,pp. 18-33, doi:10.1007/ 978-3-319-48758-8_2。
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引用次数: 8
Toward an Epistemic-Logical Theory of Categorization 论范畴的认识论-逻辑理论
Pub Date : 2017-07-25 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.12
Willem Conradie, S. Frittella, A. Palmigiano, M. Piazzai, A. Tzimoulis, N. Wijnberg
Categorization systems are widely studied in psychology, sociology, and organization theory as information-structuring devices which are critical to decision-making processes. In the present paper, we introduce a sound and complete epistemic logic of categories and agents' categorical perception. The Kripke-style semantics of this logic is given in terms of data structures based on two domains: one domain representing objects (e.g. market products) and one domain representing the features of the objects which are relevant to the agents' decision-making. We use this framework to discuss and propose logic-based formalizations of some core concepts from psychological, sociological, and organizational research in categorization theory.
分类系统作为对决策过程至关重要的信息结构装置,在心理学、社会学和组织理论中得到了广泛的研究。在本文中,我们引入了一个健全的、完备的范畴认知逻辑和主体的范畴感知。该逻辑的kripke风格语义是基于两个域的数据结构给出的:一个域表示对象(例如市场产品),另一个域表示与代理决策相关的对象的特征。我们使用这个框架来讨论和提出一些基于逻辑的形式化的核心概念,这些概念来自心理学、社会学和分类理论中的组织研究。
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引用次数: 30
Bisimulation in Inquisitive Modal Logic 探究式模态逻辑中的双仿真
Pub Date : 2017-07-25 DOI: 10.4204/EPTCS.251.11
Ivano Ciardelli, M. Otto
Inquisitive modal logic, InqML, is a generalisation of standard Kripke-style modal logic. In its epistemic incarnation, it extends standard epistemic logic to capture not just the information that agents have, but also the questions that they are interested in. Technically, InqML fits within the family of logics based on team semantics. From a model-theoretic perspective, it takes us a step in the direction of monadic second-order logic, as inquisitive modal operators involve quantification over sets of worlds. We introduce and investigate the natural notion of bisimulation equivalence in the setting of InqML. We compare the expressiveness of InqML and first-order logic, and characterise inquisitive modal logic as the bisimulation invariant fragments of first-order logic over various classes of two-sorted relational structures. These results crucially require non-classical methods in studying bisimulations and first-order expressiveness over non-elementary classes.
探究性模态逻辑,InqML,是标准kripke风格模态逻辑的泛化。在其认识论的化身中,它扩展了标准的认识论逻辑,不仅捕获智能体拥有的信息,还捕获它们感兴趣的问题。从技术上讲,InqML适合基于团队语义的逻辑家族。从模型理论的角度来看,它使我们在一元二阶逻辑的方向上迈出了一步,因为好奇模态算子涉及对世界集合的量化。我们引入并研究了InqML环境中双模拟等价的自然概念。我们比较了InqML和一阶逻辑的表达性,并将探究性模态逻辑描述为各种两排序关系结构上一阶逻辑的双模拟不变片段。这些结果迫切需要非经典方法来研究非初等类的双模拟和一阶表达性。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge
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