Importance
Occult lymph node metastasis (LNM) remains challenging to detect preoperatively in resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), yet has significant implications for treatment and prognosis.
Objective
To evaluate the predictive value of spectral CT–based habitat imaging and CT-diagnosed peripancreatic invasion for occult LNM in resectable PDAC, with pathological validation using collagen ratio.
Methods
This retrospective study included 113 patients with resectable PDAC who underwent triple-phase spectral CT before surgery. Occult LNM was defined as pathologically confirmed nodal metastasis without radiologically suspicious lymph nodes; nodes with short-axis diameter ≥10 mm were excluded. Tumors were segmented into subregions based on pancreatic-to-venous phase iodine concentration ratio (PVICR), and subregional volume fractions were quantified. Correlations with collagen ratio were assessed via Spearman analysis. Patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 79; 30 with occult LNM) and a validation cohort (n = 34; 12 with occult LNM). A logistic regression model with backward stepwise selection was developed and evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis.
Results
Four subregions were identified. Subregion 1, characterized by the lowest PVICR, showed a moderate negative correlation with collagen ratio (r = − 0.543, p < 0.001). The combined model incorporating the Subregion 1 fraction and CT-diagnosed peripancreatic invasion yielded areas under the curve of 0.836 (95% CI: 0.733–0.921) and 0.820 (95% CI: 0.661–0.955) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively.
Conclusions
Subregion 1 fraction and CT-diagnosed peripancreatic invasion enable accurate preoperative prediction of occult LNM in resectable PDAC.
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