Background: The positivity thresholds of faecal immunochemical testing (FIT) in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening vary between countries.
Aims: To explore the trade-off between colonoscopies performed, adverse events and lesions detected at different FIT thresholds in a Norwegian CRC screening trial.
Methods: We included first participation in biennial FIT screening for 47,265 individuals aged 50-74 years. Individuals with FIT > 15 μg Hb/g faeces were referred for colonoscopy. We estimated the number of colonoscopies, adverse events, screen-detected CRCs, advanced adenomas and serrated lesions expected at FIT thresholds currently or recently used in other European countries ranging between 20 and 150 μg/g.
Results: At the 15 μg/g threshold (Norway), 3705 participants underwent colonoscopy, of whom 203 had CRC, 1119 advanced adenomas and 256 advanced serrated lesions. Using a 47 μg/g threshold, 1826 (49.3%) individuals would have undergone colonoscopy, and 154 (75.9%) would have been diagnosed with CRC, 702 (62.7%) with advanced adenoma and 128 (50.0%) with advanced serrated lesion compared to the 15 μg/g threshold. At 150 μg/g, the corresponding figures would have been 838 (22.6%) undergoing colonoscopy, 114 (56.2%) with CRC, 345 (30.8%) advanced adenoma and 54 (21.1%) advanced serrated lesions. The detection rate of stage I CRC was 0.22% at 15 μg/g and 0.11% at 150 μg/g. Post-colonoscopy bleeding rates were 0.8% and 1.7%, respectively.
Conclusions: Increasing the FIT threshold reduces colonoscopy demand, but substantially decreases lesion detection and unfavourably changes CRC stage distribution. The risk of adverse events at colonoscopy increased with FIT threshold, requiring country-specific information on adverse events.
Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT01538550.
Background: Histology has prognostic value in ulcerative colitis (UC). However, direct comparisons of histological endpoints are lacking.
Aim: To perform a network meta-analysis (NMA) to compare histological endpoints with biologics and small molecules.
Methods: We searched four databases up until July 2024 for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) on advanced therapies for moderate-to-severe UC reporting histological endpoints. Outcomes included histological improvement or remission, and histo-endoscopic improvement after induction or during maintenance. We used a random-effects frequentist model and have reported outcomes as relative risk and 95% confidence interval. We estimated relative drug efficacy with the P-score. We conducted subgroup analysis by trial phase and evaluated risk of bias and evidence certainty.
Results: We included 24 RCTs (15 therapies, 8874 patients). Nineteen provided data on induction and 10 on maintenance; outcome definitions were similar. Etrasimod 2 mg/day ranked highest in achieving histologic improvement (P-score 0.98) and remission (P-score 0.90) following induction. Globally, guselkumab 200-400 mg ranked first for histo-endoscopic improvement, while etrasimod 2 mg/day and upadacitinib 45 mg/day were superior in the subgroup analysis. During maintenance, upadacitinib 30 mg/day was superior in achieving histologic improvement and remission (P-score 0.88 for both) and histo-endoscopic improvement (P-score 0.94). Etrasimod 2 mg/day ranked second for histologic remission (P-score 0.70) and histo-endoscopic improvement (P-score 0.73), while mirikizumab 200 mg/month ranked second for histologic improvement.
Conclusion: These results support the ability of small molecules to achieve stringent endpoints in moderate-to-severe UC. Histological outcome data for biologics was sparser, particularly during maintenance. Head-to-head RCTs are imperative to better inform clinical practice.