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Five social and ethical considerations for using wildfire visualizations as a communication tool 将野火可视化作为传播工具的五个社会和伦理考虑因素
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00278-8
Catrin M. Edgeley, William H. Cannon, Scott Pearse, Branko Kosović, Gabriele Pfister, Rajesh Kumar
Increased use of visualizations as wildfire communication tools with public and professional audiences—particularly 3D videos and virtual or augmented reality—invites discussion of their ethical use in varied social and temporal contexts. Existing studies focus on the use of such visualizations prior to fire events and commonly use hypothetical scenarios intended to motivate proactive mitigation or explore decision-making, overlooking the insights that those who have already experienced fire events can provide to improve user engagement and understanding of wildfire visualizations more broadly. We conducted semi-structured interviews with 101 residents and professionals affected by Colorado’s 2020 East Troublesome and 2021 Marshall Fires, using 3D model visualizations of fire events on tablets as a discussion tool to understand how fire behavior influenced evacuation experiences and decision-making. We provide empirically gathered insights that can inform the ethical use of wildfire visualizations by scientists, managers, and communicators working at the intersection of fire management and public safety. Study design, interview discussions, and field observations from both case studies reveal the importance of nuanced and responsive approaches for the use of 3D visualizations, with an emphasis on the implementation of protocols that ensure the risk of harm to the intended audience is minimal. We share five considerations for use of visualizations as communication tools with public and professional audiences, expanding existing research into post-fire spaces: (1) determine whether the use of visualizations will truly benefit users; (2) connect users to visualizations by incorporating local values; (3) provide context around model uncertainty; (4) design and share visualizations in ways that meet the needs of the user; (5) be cognizant of the emotional impacts that sharing wildfire visualizations can have. This research demonstrates the importance of study design and planning that considers the emotional and psychological well-being of users. For users that do wish to engage with visualizations, this technical note provides guidance for ensuring meaningful understandings that can generate new discussion and knowledge. We advocate for communication with visualizations that consider local context and provide opportunities for users to engage to a level that suits them, suggesting that visualizations should serve as catalysts for meaningful dialogue rather than conclusive information sources.
越来越多地使用可视化技术作为与公众和专业受众进行野火交流的工具,特别是三维视频和虚拟或增强现实技术,这引发了人们对其在不同社会和时间背景下的道德使用问题的讨论。现有的研究主要集中在火灾事件发生前对此类可视化技术的使用上,并且通常使用假设场景来激励主动缓解或探索决策,而忽略了那些已经经历过火灾事件的人能够提供的见解,而这些见解能够更广泛地提高用户的参与度和对野火可视化技术的理解。我们对受科罗拉多州 2020 年东麻烦和 2021 年马歇尔火灾影响的 101 名居民和专业人士进行了半结构化访谈,使用平板电脑上的火灾事件三维模型可视化作为讨论工具,了解火灾行为如何影响疏散体验和决策。我们提供了通过经验收集到的见解,这些见解可以为在火灾管理和公共安全交叉领域工作的科学家、管理者和传播者合乎道德地使用野火可视化提供参考。两项案例研究的研究设计、访谈讨论和实地观察都揭示了在使用三维可视化技术时采取细致入微、反应迅速的方法的重要性,并强调要执行相关规程,确保对目标受众造成伤害的风险降到最低。我们分享了将可视化作为与公众和专业受众交流的工具的五个注意事项,扩展了现有的火灾后空间研究:(1)确定可视化的使用是否真正有益于用户;(2)通过结合当地价值将用户与可视化联系起来;(3)提供有关模型不确定性的背景;(4)以满足用户需求的方式设计和分享可视化;(5)认识到分享野火可视化可能产生的情感影响。这项研究表明,考虑用户情感和心理健康的研究设计和规划非常重要。对于确实希望参与可视化的用户,本技术说明提供了指导,以确保能够产生新的讨论和知识的有意义的理解。我们提倡通过可视化方式进行交流,这种交流应考虑到当地的具体情况,并为用户提供机会,让他们参与到适合自己的水平中去,同时建议可视化方式应成为有意义对话的催化剂,而不是结论性的信息来源。
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引用次数: 0
Climate and humans interact to shape the fire regime of a chir pine (Pinus roxburghii) forest in eastern Bhutan 气候与人类相互作用,形成了不丹东部奇松(Pinus roxburghii)森林的火灾机制
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00275-x
Karma Tenzin, Craig R. Nitschke, Kathryn J. Allen, Paul J. Krusic, Edward R. Cook, Thiet V. Nguyen, Patrick J. Baker
Chir pine (Pinus roxburghii Sarg.) forests are distributed in the dry valleys of Bhutan Himalaya. In the past, these forests have been heavily influenced by human activities such as grazing, burning, resin tapping, and collection of non-timber forest products. Bhutan’s Forest Act of 1969, which shifted forest management from local community control to centralized governmental control, greatly restricted these activities. To understand the implications of the Forest Act on the chir pine forests, we used tree-rings and fire scars to reconstruct the fire history of a chir pine forest in eastern Bhutan. This provided an opportunity to characterize the fire regime before and after the Forest Act of 1969 was implemented and assess the scale and magnitude of changes that have occurred. We developed a 120-year chir pine fire chronology from nine sites within a single forested landscape. Between 1900 and ~ 1970, fires were small and patchy. When fires occurred, they were limited to one to two sites within the larger study area. After 1970, there was a distinct shift in fire activity, with fires in 1985, 1989, 1996, 2000, and 2013 burning > 90% of sample plots. Fire activity was positively associated with La Niña conditions (wetter, cooler) in the preceding year. This is likely the result of increased accumulation and connectivity of fuels on the forest floor in wetter years. Prior to 1970, the fire regime in the studied chir pine landscape in eastern Bhutan was dominated by patchy, low-intensity fires indicating that the fire regime was fuel limited. After 1970, fires became larger and more frequent. This shift was associated with the enactment of the Bhutan Forest Act in 1969, which regulated grazing and implemented a policy of strict fire exclusion in government-reserved forests. This likely led to a large buildup of fuels, particularly after La Niña years. Historical patterns of grazing and low-intensity fires prior to the Forest Act kept fuel loads low and disconnected. The cessation of most human activities in these forests after 1969 resulted in an increase in fuel loads and connectivity within the landscape. This has greatly reshaped fire regimes in the chir pine forests of eastern Bhutan over the past half century.
奇松(Pinus roxburghii Sarg.)森林分布在不丹喜马拉雅山的干燥山谷中。过去,这些森林受到放牧、焚烧、采脂和采集非木材森林产品等人类活动的严重影响。不丹 1969 年颁布的《森林法》将森林管理从当地社区控制转为中央政府控制,极大地限制了这些活动。为了了解《森林法》对奇松林的影响,我们利用树环和火痕重建了不丹东部奇松林的火灾历史。这为我们提供了一个机会来描述 1969 年《森林法案》实施前后的火灾机制,并评估所发生变化的规模和程度。我们从单一森林景观中的九个地点绘制了 120 年的奇松火灾年表。1900 年至 1970 年期间,火灾规模小且零星。火灾发生时,仅限于较大研究区域内的一到两个地点。1970 年后,火灾活动发生了明显变化,1985、1989、1996、2000 和 2013 年的火灾烧毁了超过 90% 的样地。火灾活动与前一年的拉尼娜现象(更潮湿、更凉爽)呈正相关。这可能是由于在较潮湿的年份,森林底层燃料的积累和连通性增加所致。1970 年以前,在不丹东部所研究的奇松地貌中,火势以零星、低强度的火灾为主,这表明火势受燃料限制。1970 年后,火灾规模更大,频率更高。这一转变与 1969 年颁布的《不丹森林法》有关,该法对放牧进行了管制,并在政府保护的森林中实施了严格的禁火政策。这可能导致了燃料的大量积累,尤其是在拉尼娜现象发生后。在《森林法案》颁布之前,放牧和低强度火灾的历史模式使燃料负荷保持在较低水平,且互不相连。1969 年后,这些森林中的大部分人类活动都停止了,这导致地貌中的燃料负荷和连通性增加。这在过去的半个世纪里极大地改变了不丹东部奇松森林的火灾机制。
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引用次数: 0
How an unprecedented wildfire shaped tree hollow occurrence and abundance—implications for arboreal fauna 一场史无前例的野火如何影响树洞的出现和丰度--对树栖动物的影响
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00274-y
Benjamin Wagner, Patrick J. Baker, Craig R. Nitschke
Tree hollows are an important habitat resource used by arboreal fauna for nesting and denning. Hollows form when trees mature and are exposed to decay and physical damage. In the absence of excavating fauna, hollow formation can take up to 200 years in Australian temperate Eucalyptus forests, making tree hollows a critical but slow forming habitat feature. The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires due to climate change has led to increased concern about the landscape-scale loss of nesting space for arboreal fauna, including endangered species such as the folivorous southern greater glider (Petauroides volans). To understand patterns of nesting resource availability, we assessed drivers of hollow occurrence in southeastern Australian mixed-species Eucalyptus forests and quantified the effects of an unprecedented large-scale wildfire, the 2019/2020 Black Summer bushfires, on hollow occurrence and abundance. Tree size and shape, as well as site productivity and topography, were important predictors for hollow occurrence both before and after the fires. The occurrence of the southern greater glider was strongly dependent on high proportions of hollow-bearing trees. While high fire severities had a negative impact on southern greater glider occurrence, the number of hollow-dependent arboreal species was not affected. While the wildfires significantly reduced hollow abundance, we did not find significant effects on hollow occurrence. Fires altered the relationship between tree size and hollow occurrence expressed as a change in the probability of hollow occurrence, with a higher likelihood at smaller tree sizes after the fires. Our findings suggest that post-fire nesting space may be reduced at the tree-scale, while at the stand-scale, hollow-bearing trees persist as biological legacies. These persisting trees can support the recovery of hollow-dependent arboreal fauna, such as the endangered southern greater glider by providing denning and nesting space. Hollow-bearing trees that survived the fires have the potential to form new hollows faster compared to undisturbed mature trees.
树洞是树栖动物筑巢和穴居的重要栖息地资源。树洞是在树木成熟并受到腐烂和物理损坏时形成的。在澳大利亚温带桉树林中,如果没有挖掘动物,树洞的形成可能需要长达 200 年的时间,因此树洞是一种重要但形成缓慢的栖息地特征。气候变化导致野火发生的频率和严重程度不断增加,使人们越来越担心树栖动物(包括食叶的南方大滑翔机(Petauroides volans)等濒危物种)的筑巢空间会在景观范围内消失。为了了解筑巢资源的可用性模式,我们评估了澳大利亚东南部桉树混交林中空洞出现的驱动因素,并量化了一场史无前例的大规模野火(2019/2020年黑夏丛林大火)对空洞出现和丰度的影响。大火前后,树木的大小和形状以及现场生产力和地形都是预测空洞出现的重要因素。南方大滑翔机的出现与高比例的空心树密切相关。虽然火灾的严重程度对南方大袋鼯的出现产生了负面影响,但依赖空心树的树栖物种数量却没有受到影响。虽然野火大大降低了空心树的丰度,但我们并没有发现野火对空心树的出现有明显影响。大火改变了树木大小与空洞发生率之间的关系,表现为空洞发生概率的变化,大火后树木大小越小,空洞发生概率越高。我们的研究结果表明,火灾后树木尺度上的筑巢空间可能会缩小,而在林分尺度上,空心树作为生物遗产会持续存在。这些持续存在的树木可以通过提供巢穴和筑巢空间,支持依赖空心树栖动物(如濒危的南方大滑翔机)的恢复。与未受干扰的成熟树木相比,在火灾中幸存下来的空心树有可能更快地形成新的空心。
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引用次数: 0
Climate limits vegetation green-up more than slope, soil erodibility, and immediate precipitation following high-severity wildfire 气候对植被返青的限制大于坡度、土壤可侵蚀性以及大面积野火后的即时降水量
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00264-0
Joseph L Crockett, M. Hurteau
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引用次数: 0
Principles of fire ecology 火灾生态学原理
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00272-0
L. Kobziar, J. Hiers, Claire M. Belcher, William J. Bond, Carolyn A. Enquist, E. L. Loudermilk, J. Miesel, Joseph J. O’Brien, J. Pausas, Sharon Hood, Robert Keane, Penelope Morgan, Melissa R. A. Pingree, Karin L. Riley, Hugh D Safford, Francisco Seijo, J. Varner, Tamara Wall, A. Watts
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引用次数: 0
Modeling fuel break effectiveness in southern Spain wildfires 西班牙南部野火中的断油效果建模
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00270-2
M. Ortega, Francisco Rodríguez y Silva, Juan Ramón Molina
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引用次数: 0
Frequent burning and limited stand-replacing fire supports Mexican spotted owl pair occupancy 频繁的焚烧和有限的立地替代火支持墨西哥斑鸮的配对栖息
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00271-1
Gavin M. Jones, Marion A. Clément, Christopher E. Latimer, Marilyn E. Wright, Jamie S. Sanderlin, Shaula J. Hedwall, Rebecca Kirby
Changing fire regimes have the potential to threaten wildlife populations and communities. Understanding species’ responses to novel fire regimes is critical to formulating effective management and conservation strategies in an era of rapid change. Here, we examined the empirical effects of recent and historical wildfire activity on Mexican spotted owl (Strix occidentalis lucida) populations in the southwestern United States. Using region-wide, standardized detection/non-detection data of Mexican spotted owl breeding pairs collected from 2015 to 2022, we found (i) higher rates of pair occupancy at sites that experienced more frequent fires in the three decades prior to the initiation of our study, and (ii) lower rates of local persistence at sites that experienced more extensive high-severity fire during the study. Historical fire regimes throughout much of our study area were characterized by high fire frequencies and limited high-severity components, indicating that Mexican spotted owls responded to wildfire in a manner consistent with their evolutionary environment. Management activities such as prescribed burning and mechanical thinning that aim to reduce stand-replacing fire risk and re-introduce the potential for frequent-fire regimes will likely benefit Mexican spotted owl conservation objectives, as well as promote more resilient forest landscapes.
不断变化的火灾机制有可能威胁野生动物种群和群落。在快速变化的时代,了解物种对新的火灾机制的反应对于制定有效的管理和保护策略至关重要。在这里,我们研究了最近和历史上的野火活动对美国西南部墨西哥斑头鸺鹠(Strix occidentalis lucida)种群的实证影响。利用从2015年到2022年收集的全地区墨西哥斑鸮繁殖对的标准化检测/未检测数据,我们发现:(i)在研究开始前的三十年间,火灾发生频率较高的地点,繁殖对的占有率较高;(ii)在研究期间,火灾发生频率较高的地点,繁殖对的持续率较低。在我们研究区域的大部分地区,历史火灾机制的特点是火灾频率较高,而严重程度较高的成分有限,这表明墨西哥斑鸮对野火的反应方式与其进化环境相一致。规定燃烧和机械疏伐等旨在降低林分替代火灾风险并重新引入频繁火灾机制的管理活动可能会有利于墨西哥斑鸮的保护目标,并促进森林景观更具复原力。
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引用次数: 0
Response of vulnerable karst forest ecosystems under different fire severities in the Northern Dinaric Karst mountains (Slovenia) 北迪纳拉喀斯特山区(斯洛文尼亚)脆弱的喀斯特森林生态系统在不同火灾严重程度下的反应
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00267-x
Lucia Čahojová, Aljaž Jakob, Mateja Breg Valjavec, Andraž Čarni
This study deals with wildfires in marginal areas of the Mediterranean climatic and biogeographical regions (Northern Mediterranean) where fires were not common. The aim of the research was to determine the differences in floristic composition and traits at different intensities of fire damage and to analyze the changes in forest ecosystems during the wildfires that took place in the summer of 2022. The study included both the zonal forests and non-native black pine (Pinus nigra) forests. Remote sensing techniques linked to the vegetation data sampled in the field during the 2023 vegetation season, the very first season after the fires, were also used in the fire assessment. The study confirmed that satellite data analysis, orthophoto interpretation, and on-site vegetation sampling provide equivalent information on fire severity, opening up the possibility of transferring knowledge to similar post-fire sites without field sampling in the future. TWINSPAN classification analysis divided the sampled plots into clusters based on tree species prevalence and fire severity. The diagnostic species of the clusters were calculated using a fidelity measure. Ordination revealed that the first axis on the detrended correspondence analysis (DCA) correlated with wildfire severity. Ecological conditions and strategies, life forms, chorotypes, seed dispersal classes, and regeneration traits were analyzed along this gradient. We found that post-fire sites became warmer, drier, and lighter, which favored the growth of ruderal, theropytic, cosmopolitan, anemochorous and post-fire emergent species. After the fire, a “wave” of annual ruderal species was observed. The results indicate that post-fire recovery can be left to natural processes without human intervention, except in the case of non-native pine stands where planting or seeding may be necessary. Otherwise, it is essential to control the possible occurrence of invasive species. Isolated adaptations of species to fire have also been observed, such as heat-stimulated germination. Such adaptations could develop in regions exposed to frequent fires and where fires act as an evolutionary factor.
本研究涉及地中海气候和生物地理区域(地中海北部)不常发生火灾的边缘地区的野火。研究的目的是确定不同火害强度下植物组成和性状的差异,并分析 2022 年夏季野火期间森林生态系统的变化。研究对象包括地带性森林和非本地黑松(Pinus nigra)森林。在火灾评估中,还使用了遥感技术与 2023 年植被季节(火灾后的第一个季节)在实地采样的植被数据相联系。研究证实,卫星数据分析、正射影像判读和现场植被取样提供了关于火灾严重程度的同等信息,为今后将知识转移到类似的火灾后地点而无需现场取样提供了可能性。TWINSPAN 分类分析根据树种的普遍性和火灾严重程度将采样地块划分为若干群组。使用保真度测量法计算了聚类的诊断物种。排序结果显示,去趋势对应分析(DCA)的第一轴与野火严重程度相关。我们沿着这一梯度分析了生态条件和策略、生命形式、群落类型、种子传播类别和再生特征。我们发现,火灾后的地点变得更温暖、更干燥、更轻,这有利于杂草、theropytic、cosmopolitan、anemochorous和火灾后萌生物种的生长。火灾后,观察到了一年生草本物种的 "浪潮"。研究结果表明,火灾后的恢复可以任其自然,无需人为干预,除非是非本地松林,可能需要种植或播种。否则,就必须控制可能出现的入侵物种。还观察到物种对火灾的个别适应性,如热刺激发芽。这种适应性可能会在火灾频发和火灾成为进化因素的地区形成。
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引用次数: 0
Wildfires alter stream ecosystem functioning through effects on leaf litter 野火通过对落叶的影响改变溪流生态系统的功能
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00268-w
Javier Pérez, Cecilia Brand, Alberto Alonso, Alaia Sarasa, Diana Rojo, Francisco Correa-Araneda, Luz Boyero
Wildfires have strong impacts on terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, whose frequency, severity, and intensity are increasing with climate change. Moreover, the expansion of exotic monoculture plantations, such as those of eucalypts, increases this risk. When wildfires do not cause the disappearance of riparian vegetation, they still imply the fall of leaf litter exposed to the fire (i.e., crown scorch), which consequences for ecosystems are unknown. To explore how these leaf litter inputs may affect stream ecosystem functioning, we conducted a microcosm experiment where we quantified the decomposition of leaf litter from three tree species (alder, oak, and eucalypt) under two conditions (control litter simulating natural entries and litter subjected to 150 °C for 3 h mimicking exposure to fire). We also examined the interaction between this factor and a temperature rise (which is often associated to the loss of riparian vegetation caused by the wildfire) by manipulating water temperature (10, 12.5, and 15 °C). Finally, we explored the effects of these variables on the growth of a common detritivore, the caddisfly Sericostoma pyrenaicum. Control alder presented the highest decomposition rates, which were notably reduced due to fire exposure. On the contrary, eucalypt litter decomposition was even slower than that of oak and hardly showed any effect derived from fire exposure. The different leaf litter types determined detritivore growth, to a greater extent than variation related to warming, which generally had negligible effects. Our study shows the negative effects of wildfires on stream ecosystem functioning even when they only involve brief exposure of leaf litter to the fire. Effects are greater on the most palatable native species, which represents the highest quality input in streams of the study area. Our results highlight the importance of protecting riparian forests, especially those composed of native species, against wildfires.
野火对陆地和水生生态系统有很大影响,随着气候变化,野火的频率、严重程度和强度都在增加。此外,桉树等外来单一种植园的扩张也增加了这一风险。当野火没有导致河岸植被消失时,它们仍意味着暴露在火中的落叶(即树冠焦枯)的掉落,而这对生态系统的影响尚不清楚。为了探索这些落叶的输入会如何影响溪流生态系统的功能,我们进行了一个微观世界实验,在两种条件下(模拟自然进入的对照落叶和模拟火灾暴露的 150 °C 3 小时的落叶)量化了三种树种(赤杨、橡树和桉树)落叶的分解情况。我们还通过调节水温(10、12.5 和 15 °C)研究了这一因素与温度上升(通常与野火造成的河岸植被损失有关)之间的相互作用。最后,我们还探讨了这些变量对一种常见的食腐动物--笛簧片蝇(Sericostoma pyrenaicum)生长的影响。对照组桤木的分解率最高,但由于受到火灾影响,分解率明显降低。相反,桉树落叶的分解速度比橡树还要慢,而且几乎没有受到火灾的影响。不同的落叶类型决定了食腐动物的生长,其影响程度大于与气候变暖有关的变化,后者的影响一般可以忽略不计。我们的研究表明,野火对溪流生态系统的功能有负面影响,即使野火只涉及枯落叶的短暂暴露。对最适口的本地物种的影响更大,而这些物种代表了研究区域溪流中最高质量的投入。我们的研究结果突显了保护河岸森林,尤其是由本地物种组成的河岸森林免受野火影响的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the surface forest fuel load in the Ukrainian Polissia 乌克兰波利西亚地表森林燃料负荷评估
IF 5.1 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1186/s42408-024-00265-z
S. Sydorenko, V. Gumeniuk, F. De Miguel-Díez, O. Soshenskiy, I. Budzinskyi, V. Koren
There is a clearly increasing trend of wildfires that become catastrophic in some countries such as the United States, Australia, Russia, Portugal, Greece, and Spain. Fuel is one of the key components that influences fire behavior and its effects. Assessing the fuel load and distribution of its components in the landscape provides effective fire management treatments in terms of fire prevention campaigns on a scientific basis. This study aims to evaluate the litter, duff, and herb fuels in highly flammable coniferous forest types in Ukrainian Polissia. To estimate relationships between forestry variables that reflect the characteristics of the pine stand (DBH, height of the stand, age, relative density, stock of the plantation etc.) and the load of litter, duff, and herb fuels (CWD, FWD, litter, live grass, etc.), correlation analysis was used. To analyze difference between groups of sampling plots that have different forests, we use generalized linear mixed models including random effects of sampling plot type. Cluster analysis was performed using k-means partitioning method and Calinski-Harabasz criterion. To assess the significance of individual variables on which the variation of forest fuel depends, the random forest algorithm was used; for variable selection, we used two parameters: the percent increase in mean squared error and the Gini impurity index. The research revealed that in the pine forest stands, the stock of litter and duff varies from 15.5 (15 years) to 140 ton/ha (139 years). When modeling, the humidity level of the forest site (soil) significantly affects the dynamics of forest fuel accumulation. In fresh types of forest-growing conditions, the forest litter stock increases to the age of 80–90 years; then, it strongly decreases, while in wet forest types, continuous forest fuel stock accumulation is established during the entire growth period. Moreover, the results showed that the forest fuel load was influenced by the soil fertility. The stock of live and dead herbaceous fuel in fresh and wet conditions is not statistically different, and soil moisture has not had a significant impact. Fine woody debris stocks were more dependent on stand productivity and practically does not depend on the soil fertility index, site moisture content, and its age and ranged from 0.4 to 1.9 t/ha (1 h), from 0.1 to 2.2 t/ha (10 h), and from 0 to 1.6 t/ha (100 h). The obtained results enabled to develop mathematical models for estimating litter and duff stocks in the Polissia forest stands based on stand characteristic and the soil humidity level. Moreover, the results will serve as basis to develop local forest fuel models as well as to determine potential fire hazards and a fire behavior modeling process in coniferous forests of that region. These models constitute the basis for the national set of fuel model development for each nature zone of Ukraine.
在一些国家,如美国、澳大利亚、俄罗斯、葡萄牙、希腊和西班牙,野火明显呈上升趋势,并演变成灾难性火灾。燃料是影响火灾行为及其后果的关键因素之一。评估地貌中的燃料负荷及其成分的分布可以在科学的基础上为防火运动提供有效的火灾管理方法。本研究旨在评估乌克兰波利西亚高易燃针叶林类型中的枯落物、沉积物和草本燃料。为了估计反映松林特征的林业变量(DBH、林分高度、树龄、相对密度、人工林存量等)与枯落物、沉积物和草本燃料负荷(CWD、FWD、枯落物、活草等)之间的关系,采用了相关分析法。为了分析不同森林采样地块组之间的差异,我们使用了包含采样地块类型随机效应的广义线性混合模型。聚类分析采用 k-means 分区法和 Calinski-Harabasz 准则。为了评估森林燃料变化所依赖的单个变量的重要性,我们使用了随机森林算法;在变量选择方面,我们使用了两个参数:均方误差增加百分比和基尼不纯指数。研究表明,在松林林分中,枯落物和沉积物的蓄积量从 15.5 吨/公顷(15 年)到 140 吨/公顷(139 年)不等。在建模时,林地(土壤)的湿度水平对森林燃料积累的动态有很大影响。在新鲜类型的森林生长条件下,森林枯落物蓄积量会增加到 80-90 年,然后会强烈减少,而在湿润类型的森林中,森林燃料蓄积量在整个生长期都会持续积累。此外,研究结果表明,森林燃料负荷受土壤肥力的影响。在新鲜和潮湿条件下,活的和死的草本燃料储量在统计上没有差异,土壤湿度也没有显著影响。细木屑储量更多地取决于林分生产力,实际上并不取决于土壤肥力指数、场地含水量和林龄,范围分别为 0.4 至 1.9 吨/公顷(1 小时)、0.1 至 2.2 吨/公顷(10 小时)和 0 至 1.6 吨/公顷(100 小时)。研究结果有助于建立数学模型,根据林分特征和土壤湿度估算 Polissia 林分的枯落物和沉积物储量。此外,这些结果还将作为开发当地森林燃料模型以及确定该地区针叶林潜在火灾危险和火灾行为建模过程的基础。这些模型是为乌克兰各自然区开发全国燃料模型的基础。
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Fire Ecology
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