Mi Hyun Seong, Milad Abbasiharofteh, Daniella Vos, Sierdjan Koster
Related variety studies in Economic Geography reveal regional diversification mechanisms for regional development, but often overlook geographic fundamentals. By relying on administrative units, the studies may fail to account for spatial continuity and interdependence, which can lead to Modifiable Areal Unit Problems. In this regard, this article introduces an alternative method ‘smoothing the edges’ as proof of concept to strengthen spatial conceptualization. Instead of using administrative units, we construct high-resolution grid cells and define Local Economic Environments (LEEs) around them to calculate economic factors. LEEs capture the conditioning economic context to which each grid cell is exposed. We compare Ordinary Least Squares regression outcomes across three LEE scales, equivalent to NUTS 2, NUTS 3, and municipality levels, and examine how (un)related variety effects behave across scales under the new conceptual framework. We apply two stylized facts from the literature: (Un)Related variety associates with (1) industrial specialization, and with (2) employment growth. A case study with Dutch establishment microdata LISA reveals that effects of (un)related variety are sensitive to scale, particularly in employment growth analysis. These findings highlight the importance of understanding contextual settings, which is critical in informed policy making.
{"title":"Smoothing the Edges: Reconceptualizing Space and Dealing With Modifiable Areal Unit Problems in (Un)Related Variety Research","authors":"Mi Hyun Seong, Milad Abbasiharofteh, Daniella Vos, Sierdjan Koster","doi":"10.1111/gean.70025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.70025","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Related variety studies in Economic Geography reveal regional diversification mechanisms for regional development, but often overlook geographic fundamentals. By relying on administrative units, the studies may fail to account for spatial continuity and interdependence, which can lead to Modifiable Areal Unit Problems. In this regard, this article introduces an alternative method ‘smoothing the edges’ as proof of concept to strengthen spatial conceptualization. Instead of using administrative units, we construct high-resolution grid cells and define Local Economic Environments (LEEs) around them to calculate economic factors. LEEs capture the conditioning economic context to which each grid cell is exposed. We compare Ordinary Least Squares regression outcomes across three LEE scales, equivalent to NUTS 2, NUTS 3, and municipality levels, and examine how (un)related variety effects behave across scales under the new conceptual framework. We apply two stylized facts from the literature: (Un)Related variety associates with (1) industrial specialization, and with (2) employment growth. A case study with Dutch establishment microdata LISA reveals that effects of (un)related variety are sensitive to scale, particularly in employment growth analysis. These findings highlight the importance of understanding contextual settings, which is critical in informed policy making.</p>","PeriodicalId":12533,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Analysis","volume":"58 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gean.70025","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145779538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Reducing complexity while retaining the maximum amount of information is a key challenge for population analysis. Solving this challenge becomes a necessity when looking at numerous areas over extended periods, which defy manual pattern recognition efforts. This paper introduces Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) as a novel method for population time series clustering, capable of creating distinct, well-separated groups for process-centered population analysis. DTW is benchmarked against a Sequence Analysis model and established typologies based on size, location or density with population data from nearly 3000 towns in Germany for the period 2001 to 2022. The results indicate that DTW consistently outperforms the Sequence Analysis model across various cluster quality measures, producing better-separated typologies of population trajectories. Both models are highly superior to the established typologies. The results highlight the significant advantages of using DTW for clustering continuous time series data, making it well-suited for identifying typologies of municipal population trends.
{"title":"How Can Clusters of Population Trajectories be Identified? Comparing the Potential of Dynamic Time Warping and Sequence Analysis","authors":"Jonathan Gescher","doi":"10.1111/gean.70024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.70024","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Reducing complexity while retaining the maximum amount of information is a key challenge for population analysis. Solving this challenge becomes a necessity when looking at numerous areas over extended periods, which defy manual pattern recognition efforts. This paper introduces Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) as a novel method for population time series clustering, capable of creating distinct, well-separated groups for process-centered population analysis. DTW is benchmarked against a Sequence Analysis model and established typologies based on size, location or density with population data from nearly 3000 towns in Germany for the period 2001 to 2022. The results indicate that DTW consistently outperforms the Sequence Analysis model across various cluster quality measures, producing better-separated typologies of population trajectories. Both models are highly superior to the established typologies. The results highlight the significant advantages of using DTW for clustering continuous time series data, making it well-suited for identifying typologies of municipal population trends.</p>","PeriodicalId":12533,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Analysis","volume":"57 4","pages":"809-829"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gean.70024","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145273010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ryan Turner, Carl Higgs, Vuokko Heikinheimo, Ruth Hunter, Júlio Celso Borello Vargas, Shiqin Liu, Eugen Resendiz, Geoff Boeing, Deepti Adlakha, Rossano Schifanella, Giovani Longo Rosa, Daria Pugacheva, Ruoyu Chen, Mahtab Baghaie Poor, Javier Molina-García, Ana Queralt, Anna Puig-Ribera, Pau Serra del Pozo, Case Garza, Joanna Valson, Deborah Salvo, Ester Cerin, Erica Hinckson, Melanie Lowe
Large public urban green spaces (LPUGS) provide multiple health and environmental co-benefits by mitigating urban heat, improving air quality and biodiversity, and promoting physical activity, social interactions, and mental wellbeing. There is a lack of accessible, evidence-informed, and internationally validated LPUGS indicators to assist with benchmarking and monitoring progress toward healthy and sustainable cities globally. This study developed and validated internationally applicable spatial indicators of LPUGS availability and accessibility that are directly relevant to health and sustainability outcomes. For 13 cities across 10 middle- to high-income countries, we identified LPUGS ≥ 1 ha by fusing OpenStreetMap and satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data, and estimated residents' access within 500 m pedestrian network distance. We conducted a two-step validation process with local collaborators in each city. Our indicator methods identified LPUGS with greater than 80% accuracy for 12 of the 13 cities, and comparisons against official local reference data for four cities further demonstrated validity. While some open data limitations were identified, the indicators address critical gaps in existing methods by enabling standardized and comparable measurement of LPUGS in diverse cities internationally. Our customizable open-source global indicator tools can inform evidence-based green space planning for urban health and sustainability.
{"title":"Internationally Validated Open Access Indicators of Large Public Urban Green Space for Healthy and Sustainable Cities","authors":"Ryan Turner, Carl Higgs, Vuokko Heikinheimo, Ruth Hunter, Júlio Celso Borello Vargas, Shiqin Liu, Eugen Resendiz, Geoff Boeing, Deepti Adlakha, Rossano Schifanella, Giovani Longo Rosa, Daria Pugacheva, Ruoyu Chen, Mahtab Baghaie Poor, Javier Molina-García, Ana Queralt, Anna Puig-Ribera, Pau Serra del Pozo, Case Garza, Joanna Valson, Deborah Salvo, Ester Cerin, Erica Hinckson, Melanie Lowe","doi":"10.1111/gean.70023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.70023","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Large public urban green spaces (LPUGS) provide multiple health and environmental co-benefits by mitigating urban heat, improving air quality and biodiversity, and promoting physical activity, social interactions, and mental wellbeing. There is a lack of accessible, evidence-informed, and internationally validated LPUGS indicators to assist with benchmarking and monitoring progress toward healthy and sustainable cities globally. This study developed and validated internationally applicable spatial indicators of LPUGS availability and accessibility that are directly relevant to health and sustainability outcomes. For 13 cities across 10 middle- to high-income countries, we identified LPUGS ≥ 1 ha by fusing OpenStreetMap and satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data, and estimated residents' access within 500 m pedestrian network distance. We conducted a two-step validation process with local collaborators in each city. Our indicator methods identified LPUGS with greater than 80% accuracy for 12 of the 13 cities, and comparisons against official local reference data for four cities further demonstrated validity. While some open data limitations were identified, the indicators address critical gaps in existing methods by enabling standardized and comparable measurement of LPUGS in diverse cities internationally. Our customizable open-source global indicator tools can inform evidence-based green space planning for urban health and sustainability.</p>","PeriodicalId":12533,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Analysis","volume":"57 4","pages":"793-808"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gean.70023","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145272982","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}