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Income Segregation Analysis in Limited-Data Contexts: A Methodology Based on Iterative Proportional Fitting 有限数据背景下的收入隔离分析:一种基于迭代比例拟合的方法
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12367
Gonzalo Peraza-Mues, Roberto Ponce-Lopez, Juan Antonio Muñoz Sanchez, Fernanda Cavazos Alanis, Grissel Olivera Martínez, Carlos Brambila Paz

Since the 1950s, researchers in Urban Geography have created multiple instruments for measuring income segregation. However, the computation of such indexes requires the availability of income data and population distribution for small areal units. This approach is problematic for countries and cities where a government's decennial census does not collect or report income data for small-enough areal units to capture income variability within a neighborhood. To address this gap, we use Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) to combine neighborhood-level census data with an individual-level income survey data and then estimate small area discrete and continuous income distributions for each small area. We show that it is possible to compute segregation indices based solely on estimated probability distributions without the need to generate a full synthetic population or to obtain integer population counts. We test our empirical method with the case of Mexican cities, for which global and local indexes of segregation are computed with bootstrapped confidence intervals. The major contributions of this article are twofold. First, it uses a method for income-data generation to measure income segregation. Secondly, it demonstrates a linkage between the computation of segregation measures based on probability distributions and the feasibility of computing them directly from the same IPF estimated distributions of income.

自 20 世纪 50 年代以来,城市地理学的研究人员创造了多种测量收入隔离的工具。然而,要计算这些指数,就必须掌握小区域单位的收入数据和人口分布情况。在一些国家和城市,政府十年一次的人口普查并没有收集或报告足够小的区域单位的收入数据,因此这种方法存在问题,无法捕捉到社区内的收入变化。为了弥补这一不足,我们采用迭代比例拟合(IPF)方法,将邻里层面的普查数据与个人层面的收入调查数据相结合,然后估算出每个小区域的离散和连续收入分布。我们的研究表明,仅根据估计的概率分布就可以计算出隔离指数,而无需生成完整的合成人口或获取整数人口数。我们以墨西哥城市为例检验了我们的实证方法,通过引导置信区间计算出了墨西哥城市的总体和局部隔离指数。本文的主要贡献有两个方面。首先,它使用了一种生成收入数据的方法来衡量收入隔离。其次,它证明了根据概率分布计算隔离措施与根据相同的 IPF 收入估计分布直接计算隔离措施的可行性之间的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Multiplant Location Involving Resource Allocation 涉及资源分配的多工厂选址
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12366
Xin Feng

Recently, a multisource, raw material allocation form of Weber's classic single-facility location problem was rediscovered and recognized for its significance in contemporary planning and decision-making. This variation of the Weber problem investigates the location of a production plant while permitting the selection of each required raw material source. This article reviews the Weber problem with an emphasis on its extension to incorporate multiple facilities. The only formulated multiplant Weber problem involving resource allocation remains unsolved due to its complexity. An effective approach integrating GIS processing (i.e., the Voronoi diagram and vector-based overlay) with the classic optimization algorithm (i.e., the Weiszfeld algorithm) is developed to address raw material sourcing in the process of siting facilities. The implementation relies entirely on open-source Python packages, making the work reproducible, replicable, and expandable. Application findings demonstrate that the utility and computational efficiency of the proposed method to tackle this challenging problem are superior to those of the most advanced commercial optimization software.

最近,人们重新发现了韦伯经典的单一设施选址问题的多来源原材料分配形式,并认识到它在当代规划和决策中的重要性。韦伯问题的这一变体研究了生产工厂的选址问题,同时允许选择每个所需的原材料来源。本文回顾了韦伯问题,重点是将其扩展到多个工厂。由于其复杂性,唯一一个涉及资源分配的多工厂韦伯问题仍未解决。本文开发了一种将 GIS 处理(即 Voronoi 图和矢量叠加)与经典优化算法(即 Weiszfeld 算法)相结合的有效方法,以解决设施选址过程中的原材料来源问题。该算法的实现完全依赖于开源 Python 软件包,因此工作具有可复制性、可推广性和可扩展性。应用结果表明,所提出的方法在解决这一难题方面的实用性和计算效率优于最先进的商业优化软件。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of Weight Choices on the Power of the Getis–Ord Statistic 权重选择对Getis-Ord统计力的影响
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12361
Peter Rogerson

When local spatial clustering exists, local statistics are most likely to be significant when their associated weights match the spatial form and extent of the actual clustering. This paper focuses upon the cost of misspecifying the weights of the Getis–Ord statistic. In particular, it is more difficult to reject false null hypotheses when the weights are poorly chosen. I also examine the likelihood of finding spatial clusters when a range of spatial scales is examined, and when the multiple testing that this entails is accounted for. If there is uncertainty regarding the scale of the process, there is little cost in examining a range that includes spatial scales that are larger than the true cluster. Gains in the power to detect significant clustering may be had if the examination of cluster sizes that are clearly too small may be omitted. A small number of Bonferroni-adjusted tests will often provide a slight decline in statistical power, relative to tests that search comprehensively over a range, but may have the benefit of providing a relatively better estimate of the location of change.

当存在局部空间聚类时,如果其相关权重与实际聚类的空间形式和范围相匹配,则局部统计量最有可能具有重要意义。本文重点讨论了错误指定 Getis-Ord 统计量权重的代价。特别是,当权重选择不当时,更难拒绝错误的零假设。我还研究了在研究一系列空间尺度时,以及在考虑到多重检验的情况下,发现空间集群的可能性。如果过程的尺度存在不确定性,那么对包括比真实聚类更大的空间尺度的范围进行检验的成本并不高。如果省略对明显过小的聚类规模的检验,则可以提高发现显著聚类的能力。与在一定范围内进行全面搜索的测试相比,进行少量的 Bonferroni-adjusted 测试往往会使统计能力略有下降,但其好处是可以相对更好地估计变化的位置。
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引用次数: 0
Erratum for ‘Delineating the Spatio-Temporal Pattern of House Price Variation by Local Authority in England: 2009 to 2016’ by Chi et al. (2021) Chi等人(2021)的《描绘英格兰地方当局房价变化的时空格局:2009年至2016年》的勘误表。
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12329

In Chi et al. (2021), there was an error occurred in Abstract due to a production error. The word ‘80-year’ in the Abstract has been corrected to ‘8-year’, this error has been corrected in the article.

在Chi et al.(2021)中,由于生产错误,摘要中出现了一个错误。摘要中的“80年”被修改为“8年”,这一错误在文章中得到了纠正。
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引用次数: 0
Ranking Spatial Units with Structural Property and Traffic Distributions for Uncovering Spatial Interaction Patterns in a City 基于结构特征和交通分布的空间单元排序揭示城市空间互动模式
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12360
Wenhao Yu, Yi-fan Zhang, Mengqi Liu, Chuncheng Yang, Xiao Wu

Travel activity data mining is critical to numerous urban applications such as transportation and location-based services. This article studies the spatial units ranking algorithm for uncovering spatial interaction patterns based on the flow properties of people's travel trajectories. For example, using a taxi origin–destination flow database, a user may want to rank the origin and destination with respect to their functional importance within the urban activity space. In the literature, such an importance concept is usually specified via the frequency function of trip flows. Considering the case that the less frequently visited place in reality may still be an important origin or an important destination, we propose a different method for the ranking of spatial units by introducing the structural property of trip network. The proposed method is inspired from the mutual reinforcing relationship between the trip origins and destinations: important destinations attract travel flows from important origins and at the same time important origins have many flows toward important destinations. Our experimental results show that the proposed method is effective in uncovering spatial interaction patterns of urban activities.

旅行活动数据挖掘对交通和基于位置的服务等众多城市应用至关重要。本文研究了空间单位排序算法,该算法可根据人们出行轨迹的流动属性挖掘空间互动模式。例如,利用出租车起点-终点流量数据库,用户可能希望根据起点和终点在城市活动空间中的功能重要性对其进行排序。在文献中,这种重要性概念通常是通过出行流量的频率函数来确定的。考虑到现实中访问频率较低的地方仍可能是重要的出发地或目的地,我们提出了一种不同的方法,通过引入出行网络的结构属性来对空间单位进行排序。该方法的灵感来源于旅行起点和目的地之间的相互促进关系:重要目的地吸引来自重要起点的旅行流,同时重要起点也有许多流向重要目的地的旅行流。我们的实验结果表明,所提出的方法能有效揭示城市活动的空间互动模式。
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引用次数: 0
The Art of Geographical Analysis 地理分析的艺术
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12359
Alan T. Murray

Professor Arthur Getis was a prominent geographical analysis researcher and proponent. His research in geographical analysis was broad, with an eye on theoretical developments and application-oriented details. However, there was so much more. His active participation and engaged discussion at symposia and conferences, in sessions, during breaks and less formally over drinks or a meal, stand out, even postretirement. His service and mentoring in many forms too were invaluable. In what follows, an overview of his career and contributions are provided. Additionally, observations and broader significance are offered as a set of rules to live by based on my three decades of interaction with Professor Getis.

Arthur Getis教授是一位杰出的地理分析研究者和支持者。他在地理分析方面的研究是广泛的,着眼于理论发展和面向应用的细节。然而,还有更多。即使是在退休后,他在座谈会和会议上,在会议上,在休息时间,在不太正式的喝酒或吃饭时,都积极参与和参与讨论,这一点很引人注目。他在许多方面的服务和指导也是无价的。接下来,将概述他的职业生涯和贡献。此外,根据我与Getis教授三十年的互动,我提出了一套生活准则,作为我的观察结果和更广泛的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Generalizing Impact Computations for the Autoregressive Spatial Interaction Model 自回归空间相互作用模型的广义影响计算
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12358
Thibault Laurent, Paula Margaretic, Christine Thomas-Agnan

We extend the impact decomposition proposed by LeSage and Thomas-Agnan (2015) in the spatial interaction model to a more general framework, where the sets of origins and destinations can be different, and where the relevant attributes characterizing the origins do not coincide with those of the destinations. These extensions result in three flow data configurations which we study extensively: the square, the rectangular, and the noncartesian cases. We propose numerical simplifications to compute the impacts, avoiding the inversion of a large filter matrix. These simplifications considerably reduce computation time; they can also be useful for prediction. Furthermore, we define local measures for the intra, origin, destination and network effects. Interestingly, these local measures can be aggregated at different levels of analysis. Finally, we illustrate our methodology in a case study using remittance flows all over the world.

我们将LeSage和Thomas-Agnan(2015)在空间交互模型中提出的影响分解扩展到一个更一般的框架,在这个框架中,原点和目的地的集合可以不同,并且表征原点的相关属性与目的地的相关属性不一致。这些扩展导致了我们广泛研究的三种流动数据配置:方形,矩形和非笛卡尔情况。我们提出了数值简化来计算影响,避免了一个大的滤波器矩阵的反演。这些简化大大减少了计算时间;它们也可以用于预测。此外,我们定义了内部、起源、目的地和网络效应的本地度量。有趣的是,这些局部度量可以在不同的分析级别上进行汇总。最后,我们在一个使用世界各地汇款流量的案例研究中说明了我们的方法。
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引用次数: 0
A Comparison of Spatial and Nonspatial Methods in Statistical Modeling of NO 2 : Prediction Accuracy, Uncertainty Quantification, and Model Interpretation NO2统计建模中空间与非空间方法的比较:预测精度、不确定性量化和模型解释
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12356
Meng Lu, Joaquin Cavieres, Paula Moraga
<p><math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <annotation>$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$</annotation> </semantics></math> is a traffic-related air pollutant. Ground <math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <annotation>$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$</annotation> </semantics></math> monitoring stations measure <math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <annotation>$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$</annotation> </semantics></math> concentrations at certain locations and statistical predictive methods have been developed to predict <math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <annotation>$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$</annotation> </semantics></math> as a continuous surface. Among them, ensemble tree-based methods have shown to be powerful in capturing nonlinear relationships between <math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <annotation>$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$</annotation> </semantics></math> measurements and geospatial predictors but it is unclear if the spatial structure of <math> <semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mtext>NO</mtext> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow>
NO 2 $$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$是一种与交通有关的空气污染物。地面NO 2 $$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$监测站测量NO2 $$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$在某些地点的浓度和统计预测方法已经发展到预测no2$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$作为一个连续的表面。其中,基于集成树的方法在捕获二氧化氮$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$测量值与地理空间预测因子之间的非线性关系方面显示出强大的能力,但目前尚不清楚二氧化氮的空间结构no2 $$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$也在响应-协变量关系中被捕获。我们深入研究了空间和非空间数据模型在预测精度、模型解释和不确定性量化方面的比较。此外,我们实现了两种新的空间和非空间方法,这些方法尚未应用于空气污染制图。2017年,我们在德国和荷兰使用国家地面站测量二氧化氮$$ {mathrm{NO}}_2 $$来实施我们的研究。我们的研究结果表明,在不同的地区,空间过程建模的重要性程度不同。与地质统计方法相比,基于集合树的预测区间更令人满意。与基于集成树和叠加的原始方法相比,实现的两种新方法均获得了更好的预测精度。利用地统计方法估计的空间随机场的概率分布可以为分析发射源和观测的空间过程提供有用的信息。
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引用次数: 2
Understanding Population Decline Trajectories in Spain using Sequence Analysis 利用序列分析了解西班牙人口下降轨迹
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12357
Miguel González-Leonardo, Niall Newsham, Francisco Rowe

Population decline is a key contemporary demographic challenge. Previous work has measured the national extent of population decline, and we know that it is more acute in Japan and Eastern Europe and is set to accelerate across many industrialized countries. Yet, little is known about the population trajectories leading to current trends of depopulation and their underpinning demographic and contextual factors. To address this gap, we aim to identify and characterize the different trajectories of depopulation in Spain from 2000 to 2020 at the small area level using sequence analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, decomposition techniques, and multinomial logistic modeling. We show that while Spain recorded an overall 17.2% national population growth between 2000 and 2020, 63% of municipalities experienced depopulation. We identify six trajectories of population decline, with a well-defined northwest-south divide. These trajectories include mostly rural municipalities, but also certain small- and medium-sized cities. Natural decline comprises the main demographic component underpinning differences in the extent of depopulation across trajectories, and international migration plays an important role in explaining transitions to decline since the financial crisis of 2008. Small and old populations, and, to a lesser extent, remoteness from cities are key features characterizing areas of high decline.

人口下降是当代人口学面临的一个关键挑战。先前的工作已经衡量了全国人口下降的程度,我们知道,日本和东欧的人口下降更为严重,许多工业化国家的人口下降速度也将加快。然而,人们对导致当前人口减少趋势的人口轨迹及其背后的人口和环境因素知之甚少。为了解决这一差距,我们的目标是使用序列分析、空间自相关分析、分解技术和多项逻辑建模,在小面积水平上识别和表征2000年至2020年西班牙人口减少的不同轨迹。我们发现,尽管西班牙在2000年至2020年间的全国人口总体增长率为17.2%,但63%的城市人口减少。我们确定了人口下降的六个轨迹,其中有一个明确的西北-南分界线。这些轨迹主要包括农村城市,但也包括某些中小城市。自然衰退是支撑各轨迹人口减少程度差异的主要人口组成部分,国际移民在解释自2008年金融危机以来向衰退过渡方面发挥着重要作用。人口稀少和老龄化,以及在较小程度上远离城市,是人口高度下降地区的主要特征。
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引用次数: 1
Prediction of Bike-sharing Trip Counts: Comparing Parametric Spatial Regression Models to a Geographically Weighted XGBoost Algorithm 共享单车出行次数的预测:参数空间回归模型与地理加权XGBoost算法的比较
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-11-29 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12354
Katja Schimohr, Philipp Doebler, Joachim Scheiner

Regression models are commonly applied in the analysis of transportation data. This research aims at broadening the range of methods used for this task by modeling the spatial distribution of bike-sharing trips in Cologne, Germany, applying both parametric regression models and a modified machine learning approach while incorporating measures to account for spatial autocorrelation. Independent variables included in the models consist of land use types, elements of the transport system and sociodemographic characteristics. Out of several regression models with different underlying distributions, a Tweedie generalized additive model is chosen by its values for AIC, RMSE, and sMAPE to be compared to an XGBoost model. To consider spatial relationships, spatial splines are included in the Tweedie model, while the estimations of the XGBoost model are modified using a geographically weighted regression. Both methods entail certain advantages: while XGBoost leads to far better values regarding RMSE and sMAPE and therefore to a better model fit, the Tweedie model allows an easier interpretation of the influence of the independent variables including spatial effects.

回归模型是交通数据分析中常用的一种方法。本研究旨在通过对德国科隆共享单车出行的空间分布进行建模,扩大用于该任务的方法范围,同时应用参数回归模型和改进的机器学习方法,同时纳入考虑空间自相关的措施。模型中包括的独立变量包括土地利用类型、运输系统要素和社会人口特征。在几种具有不同底层分布的回归模型中,根据AIC、RMSE和sMAPE的值选择Tweedie广义加性模型与XGBoost模型进行比较。为了考虑空间关系,Tweedie模型中包含了空间样条,而XGBoost模型的估计使用地理加权回归进行了修改。这两种方法都有一定的优势:虽然XGBoost在RMSE和sMAPE方面可以得到更好的值,因此可以得到更好的模型拟合,但Tweedie模型可以更容易地解释包括空间效应在内的自变量的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Geographical Analysis
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