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Reproducible Science Is Vital for a Stronger Evidence Base During the COVID-19 Pandemic 在COVID-19大流行期间,可再生科学对于建立更强有力的证据基础至关重要
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-16 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12314
Karla Therese L. Sy, Laura F. White, Brooke E. Nichols

Reproducible research becomes even more imperative as we build the evidence base on SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology, diagnosis, prevention, and treatment. In his study, Paez assessed the reproducibility of COVID-19 research during the pandemic, using a case study of population density. He found that most articles that assess the relationship of population density and COVID-19 outcomes do not publicly share data and code, except for a few, including our paper, which he stated “illustrates the importance of good reproducibility practices”. Paez recreated our analysis using our code and data from the perspective of spatial analysis, and his new model came to a different conclusion. The disparity between our and Paez’s findings, as well as other existing literature on the topic, give greater impetus to the need for further research. As there has been near exponential growth of COVID-19 research across a wide range of scientific disciplines, reproducible science is a vital component to produce reliable, rigorous, and robust evidence on COVID-19, which will be essential to inform clinical practice and policy in order to effectively eliminate the pandemic.

随着我们建立基于SARS-CoV-2流行病学、诊断、预防和治疗的证据基础,可重复性研究变得更加必要。在他的研究中,Paez通过对人口密度的案例研究,评估了COVID-19研究在大流行期间的可重复性。他发现,大多数评估人口密度与COVID-19结果之间关系的文章都没有公开分享数据和代码,除了少数几篇,包括我们的论文,他说这篇文章“说明了良好可重复性实践的重要性”。Paez从空间分析的角度,利用我们的代码和数据重现了我们的分析,他的新模型得出了不同的结论。我们和Paez的研究结果之间的差异,以及其他关于该主题的现有文献,更大程度上推动了进一步研究的需要。由于在广泛的科学学科中对COVID-19的研究几乎呈指数级增长,可再生科学是提供关于COVID-19的可靠、严格和有力证据的重要组成部分,这对于为有效消除大流行提供临床实践和政策信息至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Balancing Spatial and Non-Spatial Variation in Varying Coefficient Modeling: A Remedy for Spurious Correlation 在变系数模型中平衡空间和非空间差异:对虚假相关的补救
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-14 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12310
Daisuke Murakami, Daniel A. Griffith

This study discusses the importance of balancing spatial and non-spatial variation in spatial regression modeling. Unlike spatially varying coefficients (SVC) modeling, which is popular in spatial statistics, non-spatially varying coefficients (NVC) modeling has largely been unexplored in spatial fields. Nevertheless, as we will explain, consideration of non-spatial variation is needed not only to improve model accuracy but also to reduce spurious correlation among varying coefficients, which is a major problem in SVC modeling. We consider a Moran eigenvector approach modeling spatially and non-spatially varying coefficients (S&NVC). A Monte Carlo simulation experiment comparing our S&NVC model with existing SVC models suggests both modeling accuracy and computational efficiency for our approach. Beyond that, somewhat surprisingly, our approach identifies true and spurious correlations among coefficients nearly perfectly, even when usual SVC models suffer from severe spurious correlations. It implies that S&NVC model should be used even when the analysis purpose is modeling SVCs. Finally, our S&NVC model is employed to analyze a residential land price data set. Its results suggest existence of both spatial and non-spatial variation in regression coefficients in practice. The S&NVC model is now implemented in the R package spmoran.

本研究讨论了平衡空间和非空间变化在空间回归建模中的重要性。与空间统计学中流行的空间变化系数建模不同,非空间变化系数(NVC)建模在很大程度上尚未在空间领域进行探索。然而,正如我们将要解释的那样,不仅需要考虑非空间变化来提高模型精度,还需要减少变化系数之间的伪相关性,这是SVC建模中的一个主要问题。我们首先开发了一种估计空间和非空间变化系数(S&NVC)的Moran特征向量方法。虽然计算负担可能令人望而却步,即使对于中等样本,我们也可以通过应用预条件估计方法来减轻这一成本。蒙特卡罗模拟实验将我们的S&NVC模型与现有的SVC模型进行了比较,结果表明我们的方法具有估计精度和计算效率。除此之外,有些令人惊讶的是,我们的方法估计几乎完美地识别了系数之间的真实和虚假相关性,即使通常的SVC模型存在严重的虚假相关性。这意味着,即使分析目的是估计SVC,也应该使用S&NVC模型。最后,利用我们的S&NVC模型对一个住宅地价数据集进行了分析。其结果表明,在实践中,回归系数既存在空间变异,也存在非空间变异。S&NVC模型是在R软件包spmoran中实现的。
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引用次数: 13
Mapping the Spatial Conditions of Polycentric Urban Development in Europe: An Open-source Software Tool 绘制欧洲多中心城市发展的空间条件:一个开源软件工具
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-09 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12313
Freke Caset, Ben Derudder, Céline Van Migerode, Bart De Wit

Urban polycentricity has become a key concept in urban and regional studies and is increasingly adopted as an organizational framework for conducting empirical research. Within this literature, polycentric urban regions are commonly defined as territories that have multiple, proximately located (sub)centers and are characterized by balanced urban development. However, analytical-operational frameworks to identify and classify PURs are often ad hoc efforts to answer a specific research question and underlying work is often shelved rather than shared and/or made accessible. As a result, challenges associated with generalizability, reproducibility, and replicability clearly loom large in the urban polycentricity literature. Against this backdrop, this article describes the discrepancy between a rich debate on polycentricity and the paucity of tools enabling the disambiguation and reproducibility of results claimed by various authors around this polysemic concept. We present an online and open tool—PURban—that brings together the major analytical-operational frameworks and data sets in urban polycentricity research and allows parametrizing key operational choices. To illustrate the tool, we demonstrate how it facilitates the identification, mapping and analysis of degrees of morphological polycentricity in European urban systems. We conclude by reflecting on how this tool can act as a catalyst for future research on urban polycentricity.

城市多中心性已成为城市和区域研究中的一个关键概念,并越来越多地被用作开展实证研究的组织框架。在本文献中,多中心城市区域通常被定义为具有多个近距离(次)中心的区域,其特征是城市发展平衡。然而,用于识别和分类PURs的分析-操作框架通常是为了回答特定的研究问题而做出的特别努力,并且基础工作通常被搁置,而不是共享和/或使其可访问。因此,在城市多中心的文献中,与普遍性、可重复性和可复制性相关的挑战明显地显得很突出。在此背景下,本文描述了关于多中心性的丰富辩论与缺乏工具之间的差异,这些工具能够消除歧义并再现各种作者围绕这一多义概念所声称的结果。我们提出了一个在线和开放的工具——purban,它汇集了城市多中心研究中的主要分析操作框架和数据集,并允许对关键操作选择进行参数化。为了说明这个工具,我们展示了它如何促进欧洲城市系统中形态多中心性程度的识别、映射和分析。最后,我们反思了这一工具如何成为未来城市多中心研究的催化剂。
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引用次数: 3
A Micro-Econometric Store Choice Model Incorporating Multi- and Omni-Channel Shopping: The Case of Furniture Retailing in Germany 一个包含多渠道和全渠道购物的微观计量经济学商店选择模型:德国家具零售业的案例
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12308
Thomas Wieland

Online retailing and multi-/omni-channel shopping are gaining in importance. However, there is a significant lack of research focused on incorporating online shopping into models of spatial shopping behavior. The present study aims (1) to construct a store choice model which includes both physical and online stores as well as the opportunity for omni-channel shopping, and (2) to identify the main drivers of spatial shopping behavior given the availability of both channels. Based on a representative survey, this study employs a revealed-preference approach toward store choice and expenditures in furniture retailing. The statistical analysis is performed using a hurdle model approach, with the expenditures of individual consumers at (online or physical) furniture stores serving as the dependent variable. Results show that channel choice (online vs. offline) is mainly influenced by psychographic characteristics, place of residence, and age of the consumers. Store choice and expenditures are primarily explained by store features such as assortment size, omni-channel integration, and accessibility. This study demonstrates that e-shopping can be integrated into a store choice model and that both the modeling approach and the subsequent findings are of significance for retail companies and spatial planning.

网上零售和多渠道/全渠道购物越来越重要。然而,将网络购物纳入空间购物行为模型的研究明显缺乏。本研究旨在(1)构建一个包括实体店和网上商店以及全渠道购物机会的商店选择模型;(2)在两种渠道均可用的情况下,确定空间购物行为的主要驱动因素。本研究以具代表性的调查为基础,采用揭示偏好的方法,探讨家具零售业者的店铺选择与消费。统计分析使用障碍模型方法执行,个体消费者在(在线或实体)家具店的支出作为因变量。结果表明,渠道选择(线上还是线下)主要受消费者心理特征、居住地和年龄的影响。商店的选择和支出主要是由商店的特点来解释的,如分类大小、全渠道整合和可及性。本研究表明,电子购物可以整合到店铺选择模型中,模型方法和后续研究结果对零售企业和空间规划具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 2
An Empirical Study of Commuting Efficiency Between Different Educational Categories of Workers in Shanghai 上海不同学历职工通勤效率的实证研究
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12306
Liying Yue, Morton E. O'Kelly, Ruijun Wu

Spatial interaction models can simulate commuting levels and evaluate the effort required for commuting optimization, providing more valuable information than a linear program. We take advantage of a large data set in Shanghai and exploit the fact that these data can be split by a key socioeconomic stratifier (education). By simulating the effect of shorter trip length, we estimate the extent to which commuting is relatively organized or excessive. More important, however, is that characteristics of the study region promote somewhat different results compared to US cities: well-educated cohorts use their higher-income to dominate central locations with higher access and amenity. The findings are consistent with the mathematical expectation from prior work, in that trip length reduction represents a decrease in entropy (i.e., an increase in organization). The potential for such improvement varies by educational level, and generally is higher for well-educated workers and lower for poorly educated workers.

空间交互模型可以模拟通勤水平,评估通勤优化所需的努力,提供比线性规划更有价值的信息。我们利用了上海的一个大型数据集,并利用了这些数据可以被一个关键的社会经济阶层(教育)分割的事实。通过模拟短途出行的影响,我们估计了通勤相对有组织或过度的程度。然而,更重要的是,与美国城市相比,研究地区的特点导致了不同的结果:受过良好教育的人群利用他们的高收入来主导交通便利的中心地区。研究结果与先前工作的数学期望一致,即行程长度的减少代表熵的减少(即组织性的增加)。这种改善的潜力因教育水平而异,通常受过良好教育的工人的潜力更高,而受教育程度较低的工人的潜力更低。
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引用次数: 3
The Importance of Null Hypotheses: Understanding Differences in Local Moran’s under Heteroskedasticity 零假设的重要性:理解异方差条件下局部Moran的差异
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12304
Jeffery Sauer, Taylor Oshan, Sergio Rey, Levi John Wolf

A recent review noted important differences in the results of the local Moran's statistic depending on the inference method. These differences had significant practical implications. In closing, the authors speculated the differences may be due to local spatial heterogeneity. In this article, we propose that different null hypotheses, not heteroskedasticity, generate these differences. To test this, we examine the null hypotheses implicit in common statistical significance tests of local Moran’s . We design an experiment to assess the impact of local heterogeneity on tests conducted under the two most common null hypotheses. In this experiment, we analyze the relationship between measures of local variance, such as the local spatial heteroskedasticity (LOSH) statistic, and components of the local Moran’s statistic. We run this experiment with controlled synthetic heteroskedastic data and with uncontrolled real-world data with varying degrees and patterns of local heteroskedasticity. We show that, in both situations, estimates that use the same null are extremely similar, regardless of estimation method. In contrast, all estimates (regardless of the null) are moderately affected by spatial heteroskedasticity. Ultimately, this article demonstrates that there are important conceptual and computational differences about null hypothesis in local testing frameworks, and these differences can have significant practical implications. Therefore, researchers must be aware as to how their choices may shape the observed spatial patterns.

最近的一篇综述指出,根据推理方法的不同,局部莫兰统计量的结果存在重要差异。这些差异具有重要的实际意义。最后,作者推测这些差异可能是由于局部空间异质性造成的。在本文中,我们提出,不同的零假设,而不是异方差,产生这些差异。为了检验这一点,我们检验了隐含在常见的本地Moran的统计显著性检验中的零假设。我们设计了一个实验来评估本地异质性对两种最常见的零假设下进行的检验的影响。在本实验中,我们分析了局部方差度量(如局部空间异方差(LOSH)统计量)与局部Moran统计量分量之间的关系。我们在受控的合成异方差数据和不受控的真实世界数据中运行这个实验,这些数据具有不同程度和模式的局部异方差。我们表明,在这两种情况下,使用相同null的估计非常相似,无论估计方法如何。相反,所有估计值(无论零值如何)都受到空间异方差的中度影响。最后,本文证明了在局部测试框架中,关于零假设存在重要的概念和计算差异,这些差异可能具有重要的实际意义。因此,研究人员必须意识到他们的选择如何影响观察到的空间模式。
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引用次数: 3
Disentangling Time Use, Food Environment, and Food Behaviors Using Multi-Channel Sequence Analysis 利用多通道序列分析解开时间使用、食物环境和食物行为的纠缠
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12305
Bochu Liu, Michael J. Widener, Lindsey G. Smith, Steven Farber, Leia M. Minaker, Zachary Patterson, Kristian Larsen, Jason Gilliland

Geographic access to food retailers has long been considered an important determinant of food-related behaviors. Despite methodological improvements in assessing food environments, their associations with food behaviors have remained inconsistent. We argue that one possible reason for these inconsistencies is the lack of information about how an individual’s time use dynamics play out in space. To this point, few studies on the combined effects of food geography and time use on food behaviors exist, and methods to achieve such analyses have been underdeveloped. In this study, we propose a novel application of multi-channel sequence analysis (MCSA) to identify joint patterns of time use and food-related geographic contexts. We explore how those spatiotemporal patterns are associated with individuals’ food shopping and food-related household chores. This analytical workflow is demonstrated using time use diaries and GPS trajectories collected in Toronto in 2019. This test case identifies spatiotemporal patterns with distinctive characteristics of disaggregated time use and spatial exposure to food retail and finds associations between these distinct space-time patterns and participation in food-related activities. This application of MCSA affords a promising novel approach for food environment researchers to perform nuanced assessments of the sequenced spatiotemporal contexts in which food-related behaviors occur.

食品零售商的地理位置一直被认为是食品相关行为的重要决定因素。尽管评估食物环境的方法有所改进,但它们与食物行为的关系仍然不一致。我们认为,造成这些不一致的一个可能原因是缺乏关于个人时间使用动态如何在空间中发挥作用的信息。到目前为止,关于食物地理和时间使用对食物行为的综合影响的研究很少,实现这种分析的方法也不发达。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种新的应用多通道序列分析(MCSA)来识别时间使用和食物相关地理背景的联合模式。我们探讨了这些时空模式如何与个人的食物购物和与食物相关的家务有关。该分析工作流程使用2019年在多伦多收集的时间使用日记和GPS轨迹进行演示。该测试案例确定了具有分解时间使用和食品零售空间暴露的独特特征的时空模式,并发现了这些不同的时空模式与参与食品相关活动之间的联系。MCSA的应用为食品环境研究人员提供了一种有希望的新方法,可以对食物相关行为发生的时序时空背景进行细致入微的评估。
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引用次数: 8
Analyzing Contacts and Behavior from High Frequency Tracking Data Using the wildlifeDI R Package 使用wildlifeDI R软件包分析高频跟踪数据中的接触和行为
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12303
Jed A. Long, Stephen L. Webb, Seth M. Harju, Kenneth L. Gee

Inter-individual interactions are one of the key factors driving patterns of wildlife movement; however, methods for capturing and analyzing inter-individual interactions from wildlife tracking data remain limited. Extracting contacts from wildlife tracking data is a challenge owing to the complex spatial and temporal patterns and the volume of tracking data sets. Knowledge of the time and location of contacts are crucial to understanding the spatiotemporal patterns of contacts and how they relate to the environment, individual behavior, and social structure. In this article we introduce a new suite of functions in the wildlifeDI R package for automating contact analysis, summaries, and outputs (e.g., visualizations) from studies tracking many individuals simultaneously, building upon the existing methods for studying interactive behavior between dyads already present within the package. The package has applications to study contact and interaction for the study of animal behavior, social networks, and disease transmission. We demonstrate two applications of contact analysis using the wildlifeDI package: female white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) contacts and contacts between hunters and male white-tailed deer. The wildlifeDI package represents a new set of advanced, reproducible analyses to identify and study contacts and interactions in wildlife tracking studies. We designed the analyses and outputs to integrate into existing R analysis workflows to facilitate adoption of the package into a wide variety of wildlife tracking studies.

个体间的相互作用是驱动野生动物运动模式的关键因素之一;然而,从野生动物跟踪数据中捕捉和分析个体间相互作用的方法仍然有限。从野生动物追踪数据中提取接触者是一项挑战,因为追踪数据集的时空格局复杂且数量庞大。了解接触的时间和地点对于理解接触的时空模式以及它们与环境、个体行为和社会结构的关系至关重要。在本文中,我们将介绍wildlifeDI R包中的一套新功能,用于自动化接触分析、摘要和输出(例如,可视化),这些功能来自于同时跟踪许多个体的研究,它建立在研究包中已经存在的双体之间交互行为的现有方法之上。该软件包用于研究动物行为、社会网络和疾病传播的接触和相互作用。本研究展示了利用野生生物信息包进行接触分析的两种应用:雌性白尾鹿(Odocoileus virginianus)的接触和猎人与雄性白尾鹿之间的接触。wildlifeDI包代表了一套新的先进的、可重复的分析,用于识别和研究野生动物跟踪研究中的接触和相互作用。我们设计了分析和输出,以整合到现有的R分析工作流程中,以促进在各种野生动物跟踪研究中采用该软件包。
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引用次数: 5
Estimating σ2 for the Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM) with the Presence of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP) 存在可修改面积单位问题(MAUP)的经典线性回归模型(CLRM)的σ2估计
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-29 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12291
Xiang Ye

In a classical linear regression model (CLRM), the magnitude of disturbances is characterized by σ2. When individual observations are aggregated into regions, the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) appears. The presence of the MAUP brings significant challenges to estimating σ2, as the traditional ordinary least square estimator at the individual level, s2, becomes downward biased at the aggregate level. Based on the information available before and after the aggregation process, three estimators of σ2 at the aggregate level are proposed in this study: the trace estimator, the harmonic estimator, and the arithmetic estimator. Endorsed by Monte–Carlo simulations, these estimators provide significantly better estimates than directly borrowing s2 at the aggregate level, but each achieves a different trade-off between the availability of required information and the accuracy of estimates. The findings provide a solid foundation for inferential statistics, such as constructing confidence intervals and performing hypothesis testing for CLRMs at the aggregate level.

在经典的线性回归模型(CLRM)中,扰动的大小用σ2表示。当单个观测数据聚集到区域时,就会出现可修改面积单位问题(MAUP)。MAUP的存在给σ2的估计带来了巨大的挑战,因为传统的个体水平的普通最小二乘估计s2在总体水平上变得向下偏倚。基于聚合前后的可用信息,本文提出了三种聚合水平上的σ2估计量:迹估计量、调和估计量和算术估计量。在蒙特卡罗模拟的支持下,这些估计器提供了比直接在汇总级别借用s2更好的估计,但是每个估计器在所需信息的可用性和估计的准确性之间实现了不同的权衡。研究结果为推理统计提供了坚实的基础,例如在总体水平上为clrm构建置信区间和执行假设检验。
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引用次数: 2
Evolution of Urban Patterns: Urban Morphology as an Open Reproducible Data Science 城市形态的演化:城市形态学作为一门开放可复制的数据科学
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12302
Martin Fleischmann, Alessandra Feliciotti, William Kerr

The recent growth of geographic data science (GDS) fuelled by increasingly available open data and open source tools has influenced urban sciences across a multitude of fields. Yet there is limited application in urban morphology—a science of urban form. Although quantitative approaches to morphological research are finding momentum, existing tools for such analyses have limited scope and are predominantly implemented as plug-ins for standalone geographic information system software. This inherently restricts transparency and reproducibility of research. Simultaneously, the Python ecosystem for GDS is maturing to the point of fully supporting highly specialized morphological analysis. In this paper, we use the open source Python ecosystem in a workflow to illustrate its capabilities in a case study assessing the evolution of urban patterns over six historical periods on a sample of 42 locations. Results show a trajectory of change in the scale and structure of urban form from pre-industrial development to contemporary neighborhoods, with a peak of highest deviation during the post-World War II era of modernism, confirming previous findings. The wholly reproducible method is encapsulated in computational notebooks, illustrating how modern GDS can be applied to urban morphology research to promote open, collaborative, and transparent science, independent of proprietary or otherwise limited software.

地理数据科学(GDS)的发展受到越来越多可用的开放数据和开源工具的推动,影响了众多领域的城市科学。然而,在城市形态学——一门研究城市形态的科学——中的应用有限。尽管形态学研究的定量方法正在蓬勃发展,但用于此类分析的现有工具范围有限,并且主要作为独立地理信息系统软件的插件来实现。这本质上限制了研究的透明度和可重复性。同时,GDS的Python生态系统正在成熟到完全支持高度专业化的形态分析的地步。在本文中,我们在工作流程中使用开源Python生态系统来说明其在案例研究中的功能,该案例研究评估了42个地点样本中六个历史时期的城市模式演变。研究结果显示,城市形态的规模和结构从工业化前发展到当代社区的变化轨迹,在二战后的现代主义时代达到最高偏差,证实了之前的发现。完全可复制的方法被封装在计算笔记本中,说明了现代GDS如何应用于城市形态研究,以促进开放、协作和透明的科学,独立于专有或其他有限的软件。
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引用次数: 23
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Geographical Analysis
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