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Using Novel Methods to Develop Data for Evidence-Based Practice: Understanding LGBTI Stigma and Discrimination at the Sub National Level in Europe Using the Eurobarometer 使用新方法为基于证据的实践开发数据:使用欧洲晴雨表了解欧洲次国家层面的LGBTI耻辱和歧视
IF 4.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70008
Natalie Hammond, Angelo Moretti

Drawing on data from the Eurobarometer Survey, this study explores the distribution of stigma and discrimination towards LGBTI communities at the sub-national level. There has been increased attention at global and pan-European levels around LGBTI rights mostly drawing on national-level measurements. However, there is limited research or understanding of the complex and pervasive problem of stigma and discrimination towards LGBTI groups at regional levels. Yet, it is widely noted that regional disparities exist across demographic characteristics; thus, national-level data may not be suitable for planning and policy making. We utilized two questions from the Eurobarometer as a proxy for levels of stigma and discrimination against LGBTI communities. We drew on novel Small Area Estimation (SAE) methods to produce the first reliable estimates and analysis for sub-national areas across Europe. The findings widen our understanding of differences around stigma and discrimination towards LGBTI communities both between and within nation states, emphasizing how regional-level analysis is necessary to develop targeted policies and interventions. Our findings demonstrate that programming and policy based on only national data should be utilized with caution. We argue that novel methods, such as SAE, can be utilized to support more effective data-driven decision making.

根据欧洲晴雨表调查的数据,本研究探讨了LGBTI社区在次国家层面上的耻辱和歧视分布。全球和泛欧层面对LGBTI权利的关注越来越多,主要是通过国家层面的衡量。然而,在地区层面上,对LGBTI群体的耻辱和歧视这一复杂而普遍的问题的研究或理解有限。然而,人们普遍注意到,在人口特征方面存在区域差异;因此,国家一级的数据可能不适合用于规划和决策。我们利用欧洲晴雨表中的两个问题作为对LGBTI群体的耻辱和歧视程度的代表。我们利用新颖的小区域估计(SAE)方法对整个欧洲的次国家区域进行了首次可靠的估计和分析。研究结果扩大了我们对民族国家之间和国家内部对LGBTI社区的污名和歧视差异的理解,强调了区域层面的分析对于制定有针对性的政策和干预措施的必要性。我们的研究结果表明,仅基于国家数据的规划和政策应谨慎使用。我们认为,可以利用SAE等新方法来支持更有效的数据驱动决策。
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引用次数: 0
Time Series Clustering for Exploring Neighborhood Dynamics: The Case of U.S. Neighborhood Racial and Ethnic Trends, 1990–2020 探索社区动态的时间序列聚类:以1990-2020年美国社区种族和民族趋势为例
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70006
Elizabeth C. Delmelle, Isabelle Nilsson, Nathan Duma

This article introduces a time-series clustering approach for classifying, visualizing, and exploring neighborhood dynamics. We illustrate the method for the case of racial and ethnic dynamics of neighborhoods in 64 U.S. metropolitan areas from 1990 to 2020. We establish typologies of continuous attribute trajectories for the share of Black, White, and Hispanic populations at the census tract level and explore generalizability versus specificity tradeoffs when varying the cluster analysis scale. Our results affirm a consistent decline in White population shares in neighborhoods across most metropolitan areas, accompanied by varied increases in Black and Hispanic populations. We also highlight the importance of metropolitan context in shaping neighborhood trends. While all cities show a trend towards increased diversity, the specific patterns and rates of change vary considerably, highlighting the unique demographic dynamics at play in each metropolitan area. The time-series clustering approach offers some advantages over previously used methods for visualizing and classifying longitudinal neighborhood dynamics like sequence analysis or growth change modeling in that it clusters the full continuous time series and does assume a pre-determined functional form.

本文介绍了一种用于分类、可视化和探索邻域动态的时间序列聚类方法。我们以美国64个社区的种族和民族动态为例说明了这种方法从1990年到2020年的都市圈。我们在人口普查区水平上建立了黑人、白人和西班牙裔人口比例的连续属性轨迹的类型学,并在改变聚类分析尺度时探索了普遍性与特异性的权衡。我们的研究结果证实,在大多数大都市地区的社区中,白人人口比例持续下降,伴随着黑人和西班牙裔人口的不同增长。我们还强调了都市环境在塑造社区趋势方面的重要性。虽然所有城市都有增加多样性的趋势,但具体的模式和变化率差别很大,突出了每个大都市区独特的人口动态。时间序列聚类方法比以前使用的纵向邻域动态可视化和分类方法(如序列分析或增长变化建模)提供了一些优势,因为它聚类了完整的连续时间序列,并假设了预先确定的功能形式。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling and Analyzing Urban Networks and Amenities With OSMnx 基于OSMnx的城市网络与便利设施建模与分析
IF 4.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70009
Geoff Boeing

OSMnx is a Python package for downloading, modeling, analyzing, and visualizing urban networks and any other geospatial features from OpenStreetMap data. A large and growing body of literature uses it to conduct scientific studies across the disciplines of geography, urban planning, transport engineering, computer science, and others. The OSMnx project has recently developed and implemented many new features, modeling capabilities, and analytical methods. The package now encompasses substantially more functionality than was previously documented in the literature. This article introduces OSMnx's modern capabilities, usage, and design—in addition to the scientific theory and logic underlying them. It shares lessons learned in geospatial software development and reflects on open science's implications for urban modeling and analysis.

OSMnx是一个Python包,用于从OpenStreetMap数据中下载、建模、分析和可视化城市网络和任何其他地理空间特征。越来越多的文献使用它来进行地理、城市规划、交通工程、计算机科学等学科的科学研究。OSMnx项目最近开发并实现了许多新特性、建模功能和分析方法。这个包现在包含了比以前文献中记录的多得多的功能。本文介绍了OSMnx的现代功能、用法和设计,以及它们背后的科学理论和逻辑。它分享了地理空间软件开发方面的经验教训,并反思了开放科学对城市建模和分析的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Absolute Space or Relational Space, Which Governs Spatiotemporally Extended Effects in Disease Dispersion? 绝对空间还是关系空间:控制疾病扩散的时空延伸效应?
IF 4.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70007
Shiran Zhong, Ling Bian

Prevailing disease models typically focus on in-situ effects, that is, the health risks of a location are affected by the transmission-driving factors of the same location. The ex-situ effects, in contrast, extend health risks from neighboring locations and earlier days to focal locations and current dates. These effects could be critical but have not received much attention. This study investigates the extended effects in absolute space and relational space. We examine whether the effects exist, whether they differ between the two spaces, and whether they vary with the order of neighbors and the number of prior dates in both spaces. Results show that extended effects are generally present. Mild effects are identified in absolute space, while greater effects are observed in relational space. The effects vary slightly with the neighbor order in absolute space, but considerably in relational space where the second-order neighbors exert the most prominent effects. In both spaces, the effects diminish at the third-order and last for up to three days. These findings advocate multiple spatializations that offer an in-depth understanding of disease dispersion in specific and dynamic geographic phenomena at large.

流行的疾病模型通常侧重于原位效应,即一个地点的健康风险受到同一地点的传播驱动因素的影响。相比之下,移地效应将健康风险从邻近地点和早期扩展到焦点地点和当前日期。这些影响可能是至关重要的,但没有得到太多关注。本研究探讨了绝对空间和关系空间的延伸效应。我们研究了这些效应是否存在,它们在两个空间之间是否不同,以及它们是否随着相邻空间的顺序和两个空间中先前日期的数量而变化。结果表明,延长效应普遍存在。在绝对空间中发现轻微的影响,而在关系空间中观察到更大的影响。在绝对空间中,这种效应随邻居阶数的变化略有不同,但在关系空间中,二阶邻居的影响最为显著。在这两个空间中,效果在三阶时减弱,并持续长达三天。这些发现提倡多重空间化,为深入了解疾病在特定和动态地理现象中的扩散提供了机会。
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引用次数: 0
Fast Spatio-Temporally Varying Coefficient Modeling With Reluctant Interaction Selection 基于不情愿交互选择的快速时空变化系数建模
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70005
Daisuke Murakami, Shinichiro Shirota, Seiji Kajita, Mami Kajita

Spatially and temporally varying coefficient (STVC) models are attracting attention as a flexible tool to explore the spatio-temporal patterns in regression coefficients. However, these models often struggle with balancing the computational efficiency, flexibility, and interpretability of the coefficients. This study develops a fast and flexible STVC model to address this challenge. To enhance flexibility and interpretability, we assume multiple processes in each varying coefficient, including purely spatial, purely temporal, and spatio-temporal interaction processes with or without time cyclicity. We combine a pre-conditioning method with a model selection procedure, inspired by reluctant interaction modeling, to estimate the strength of each process in each coefficient in a computationally efficient manner, while removing redundant processes as necessary. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms alternatives in terms of coefficient estimation accuracy and computational efficiency. We then apply the proposed method to a crime analysis. The result confirms that the proposed method provides reasonable estimates. The STVC model is implemented in the R package spmoran.

时空变化系数(STVC)模型作为一种探索回归系数时空格局的灵活工具,正受到人们的关注。然而,这些模型经常在平衡计算效率、灵活性和系数的可解释性方面挣扎。本研究开发了一个快速灵活的STVC模型来解决这一挑战。为了提高灵活性和可解释性,我们在每个变化系数中假设了多个过程,包括纯空间、纯时间和具有或不具有时间周期性的时空相互作用过程。我们将预处理方法与模型选择过程结合起来,受到不情愿交互建模的启发,以计算效率的方式估计每个系数中每个过程的强度,同时必要时去除冗余过程。蒙特卡罗实验表明,该方法在系数估计精度和计算效率方面优于其他方法。然后,我们将提出的方法应用于犯罪分析。结果表明,该方法提供了合理的估计。STVC模型在R包spmoran中实现。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Number of Criteria in GIS-Based Multicriteria Evaluation: A Machine Learning Approach 基于gis的多标准评估中标准数量的评估:一种机器学习方法
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70004
Lan Qing Zhao, Suzana Dragićević, Shivanand Balram, Liliana Perez

The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is a widely used approach and a decision rule to derive criteria weights in geographic information system-based multi-criteria evaluation (GIS-MCE). However, one limitation of the AHP method is that it constrains the number of criteria that can be meaningfully weighted to typically seven to nine criteria. Recently, machine learning (ML) techniques have emerged as a compelling alternative for deriving criteria weights. This research aims to assess the capabilities of ML-MCE in handling a larger number of criteria and is specifically applied to a case study of urban suitability analysis. The random forest (RF) ML technique is used to evaluate the ability of the MCE method to handle up to 27 criteria. Geospatial data from the Metro Vancouver Region, Canada, are used, with the criteria subdivided into 11 groups starting with the most basic seven criteria and incrementally adding two new criteria per group. The results indicate the RF-ML approach can manage a larger number of criteria compared to the traditional AHP approach, with 15 criteria providing a meaningful upper threshold, demonstrating its potential to accommodate a wider range of stakeholder preferences for complex urban suitability analysis contexts.

层次分析法(AHP)是基于地理信息系统的多准则评价(GIS-MCE)中广泛应用的准则权重确定方法和决策规则。然而,AHP方法的一个限制是,它限制了可以有意义地加权的标准的数量,通常为7到9个标准。最近,机器学习(ML)技术已经成为派生标准权重的一个引人注目的替代方案。本研究旨在评估ML-MCE处理更多标准的能力,并具体应用于城市适宜性分析的案例研究。随机森林(RF) ML技术用于评估MCE方法处理多达27个标准的能力。使用来自加拿大大温哥华地区的地理空间数据,将标准细分为11组,从最基本的7个标准开始,每组增加两个新标准。结果表明,与传统的AHP方法相比,RF-ML方法可以管理更多的标准,其中15个标准提供了有意义的上限,表明其在复杂的城市适宜性分析背景下适应更广泛的利益相关者偏好的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple Scales of Income Inequality: A Longitudinal Analysis of Swedish Regions 收入不平等的多重尺度:瑞典地区的纵向分析
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70003
Andreas Erlström, Markus Grillitsch, Nicklas Guldåker

The subject of inequality and its geographical dimensions has seen a surge of interest in recent years. However, existing work tends to study inequality through single spatial scales, even though processes driving inequality operate at and across multiple scales. This article, therefore, investigates how inequality at the regional and local scale relates to phases of economic development in Sweden over three decades. The findings point towards a diverging trend of inequality between the regional and local scale, with a noticeable shift at the turn of the millennium. While the last decades were characterized by a slight regional convergence, inequality at the local scale continued to increase. Accounting for different regional contexts, economic growth and local inequality were most pronounced in the larger urban areas. Surprisingly, though, in the last decade, employment grew in urban areas without an increase in local inequality. In contrast, peripheral and sparsely populated regions experienced a rise in inequality without significant employment growth. This suggests that the link between economic development and inequality is not universal but dependent on, among others, the nature of structural change in the economy and institutional preconditions.

近年来,人们对不平等问题及其地理维度的兴趣激增。然而,现有的研究倾向于通过单一的空间尺度来研究不平等,尽管驱动不平等的过程在多个尺度上运作。因此,本文研究了瑞典三十年来区域和地方尺度上的不平等与经济发展阶段的关系。研究结果表明,地区和地方之间的不平等趋势正在分化,在世纪之交出现了明显的变化。虽然过去几十年的特点是区域间略有趋同,但地方一级的不平等继续增加。考虑到不同的区域情况,经济增长和地方不平等在较大的城市地区最为明显。然而,令人惊讶的是,在过去十年中,城市地区的就业增长并没有增加地方不平等。相比之下,外围和人口稀少地区的不平等加剧,但就业却没有显著增长。这表明,经济发展与不平等之间的联系并非普遍存在,而是取决于经济结构变化的性质和体制先决条件等因素。
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引用次数: 0
A Strict-Contiguity Criterion for Preventing County Splits in Redistricting 防止选区划分中县分裂的严格邻接标准
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70000
Eric Rosenberg, Brendan Ruskey

The splitting of political subdivisions (in particular, counties) is a contentious aspect of the redistricting process. Though sometimes necessary, county-splitting districts are generally thought to be undesirable, and are typically prohibited by legislation unless required, e.g., to achieve equality of district populations. Some county-splitting districts are clear examples of gerrymandering, taking awkward non-compact shapes and stretching across several counties. However, even reasonably compact districts can exhibit county splits, and we provide five examples of reasonably compact districts exhibiting county splits. Thus there is a need for a criterion, unrelated to compactness, for evaluating whether a county-splitting district should be allowed. To disallow splits, we introduce a strict contiguity constraint specifying that a county can be used on a path between two precincts in a district only if the fraction of the county population assigned to the district exceeds a user-specified parameter ρ(0,1]$$ rho in left(0,1right] $$. We provide a mathematical formulation of redistricting with strict contiguity and illustrate its numerical solution. Our definition of strict continuity is not limited to county splits; it can apply to any grouping of geographical units, or in a redistricting setting other than within the U.S.

政治分区(特别是县)的分裂是重新划分选区过程中一个有争议的方面。虽然有时是必要的,但分裂县的地区通常被认为是不可取的,并且通常被立法禁止,除非有必要,例如,实现地区人口的平等。一些分裂县的选区是不公正划分选区的明显例子,它们采用了尴尬的不紧凑的形状,并延伸到几个县。然而,即使是相当紧凑的地区也会出现县分裂,我们提供了五个合理紧凑的地区出现县分裂的例子。因此,有必要制定一个与紧凑性无关的标准来评估是否应该允许分县的地区。为了禁止分裂,我们引入了一个严格的邻近约束,指定只有当分配给该地区的县人口的比例超过用户指定的参数ρ∈(0,1]$$ rho in left(0,1right] $$时,才能在一个地区的两个区域之间的路径上使用该县。给出了严格邻接重划的数学公式,并举例说明了其数值解。我们对严格连续性的定义并不局限于国家分裂;它可以适用于任何地理单位分组,或在美国以外的重新划分设置
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引用次数: 0
Geographical Gaussian Process Regression: A Spatial Machine-Learning Model Based on Spatial Similarity 地理高斯过程回归:一种基于空间相似性的空间机器学习模型
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12423
Zhenzhi Jiao, Ran Tao

This study proposes a new spatial machine-learning model called geographical Gaussian process regression (GGPR). GGPR is extended from Gaussian process regression (GPR) by adopting the principle of spatial similarity for calibration, and it is designed to conduct spatial prediction and exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA). GGPR addresses several key challenges in spatial machine learning. First, as a probabilistic model, GGPR avoids the conflict between spatial autocorrelation and the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.), thus enhancing the model's objectivity and reliability in spatial prediction. Second, GGPR is suitable for small-sample prediction, a task that most existing models struggle with. Finally, when integrated with GeoShapley, GGPR is an explainable model that can measure spatial effects and explain the outcomes. Evaluated on two distinct datasets, GGPR demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to other popular machine-learning models across various sampling ratios, with its advantage becoming especially evident with smaller sample sizes. As an ESDA model, GGPR demonstrates enhanced accuracy, better computational efficiency, and a comparable ability to measure spatial effects against both multiscale geographically weighted regression and geographical random forests. In short, GGPR offers spatial data scientists a new method for predicting and exploring complex geographical processes.

本研究提出了一种新的空间机器学习模型,称为地理高斯过程回归(GGPR)。GGPR是在高斯过程回归(GPR)的基础上扩展而来,采用空间相似性原理进行定标,用于空间预测和探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)。GGPR解决了空间机器学习中的几个关键挑战。首先,GGPR作为一种概率模型,避免了空间自相关与独立同分布假设之间的冲突,提高了模型在空间预测中的客观性和可靠性。其次,GGPR适用于小样本预测,这是大多数现有模型难以完成的任务。最后,当与GeoShapley相结合时,GGPR是一个可解释的模型,可以测量空间效应并解释结果。在两个不同的数据集上进行评估,与其他流行的机器学习模型相比,GGPR在各种采样比例下表现出卓越的预测性能,其优势在较小的样本量下变得尤为明显。作为ESDA模型,GGPR在多尺度地理加权回归和地理随机森林的空间效应测量上具有更高的精度和计算效率。简而言之,GGPR为空间数据科学家提供了一种预测和探索复杂地理过程的新方法。
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引用次数: 0
A Data-Driven Approach to Spatial Interaction Models of Migration: Integrating and Refining the Theories of Competing Destinations and Intervening Opportunities 基于数据驱动的移民空间互动模型:整合和完善竞争目的地和干预机会理论
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/gean.70001
Mengyu Liao, Taylor M. Oshan

Traditional spatial interaction (SI) models of migration are susceptible to misspecification when the spatial structure of locations is not properly incorporated. To address this, a novel SI model for migration is introduced that integrates the theories of competing destinations (CD) and intervening opportunities (IO) to capture multiscale spatial structure using the recent generalized additive spatial smoothing (GASS) framework. This GASS CDIO model can identify the appropriate spatial scales to represent the spatial structure of origins and destinations in a data-driven manner. Validation of the model was conducted through two simulation experiments. The first demonstrates that employing the incorrect scale to capture spatial structure in SI models biases the parameter estimates and increases uncertainty. The second demonstrates that the GASS approach reliably recovers accurate parameters by identifying optimal hyperparameters associated with multiple spatial scales. The GASS CDIO model was then applied to U.S. inter-county migration data and compared to several other model specifications. The results reveal the unique spatial structure from the perspective of origins and destinations and illustrate the improved recoverability of anticipated migration relationships. This work suggests that the GASS CDIO model better integrates spatial theories of migration and accounts for the multiscale nature of SI processes.

传统的迁移空间相互作用(SI)模型在没有正确考虑迁移地点空间结构的情况下,容易出现误判。为了解决这个问题,引入了一种新的迁移SI模型,该模型集成了竞争目的地(CD)和干预机会(IO)理论,使用最新的广义加性空间平滑(GASS)框架捕捉多尺度空间结构。该GASS CDIO模型可以识别合适的空间尺度,以数据驱动的方式表示起点和终点的空间结构。通过两次仿真实验对模型进行了验证。第一项研究表明,在SI模型中使用不正确的尺度来捕获空间结构会使参数估计产生偏差,并增加不确定性。第二,通过识别与多个空间尺度相关的最优超参数,GASS方法可以可靠地恢复准确的参数。然后将GASS CDIO模型应用于美国县际迁移数据,并与其他几种模型规范进行比较。研究结果从始发地和目的地的角度揭示了独特的空间结构,并说明了预期迁移关系的可恢复性。这项工作表明,GASS CDIO模型更好地整合了迁移的空间理论,并解释了SI过程的多尺度性质。
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引用次数: 0
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Geographical Analysis
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