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Population and Morphological Change: A Study of Building Type Replacements in the Osaka-Kobe City-Region in Japan 人口与形态变化:日本大阪-神户城区建筑类型替换研究
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12387
Joan Perez, Giovanni Fusco, Yukio Sadahiro

As cities adapt to new needs and challenges, their forms change in close relation to population dynamics. This article focuses on the link between population dynamics and the evolution of building hull types. The case study is the Osaka-Kobe city-region in Japan, a country globally witnessing an intense population decline. Morphometric indicators are coupled with a tree-like classificatory model in order to label buildings into consistent classes between two different periods (2003–2004 and 2013–2014). The building class distributions and their evolutions are studied in conjunction with population censuses. Urban adaptation processes are particularly accounted for through the study of the replacement of building types. Results show that, among other things, townhouses in traditional neighborhoods are gradually being replaced by small-size collective complexes. In far outlying areas, people are still eager to move and live in detached single-family homes despite a global context of population decline. Finally, central places are increasingly filled by narrow almost-adjoining towers. Relations between building types and population dynamics, detailed through maps and statistics, show that peoples are increasingly concentrating in central locations associated with specific building types, while some other peripheral locations are concerned by both a disappearance of specific building types and a population decline.

随着城市适应新的需求和挑战,城市形态的变化与人口动态密切相关。本文重点探讨人口动态与建筑体型演变之间的联系。案例研究对象是日本大阪-神户城市地区,这个国家的人口在全球范围内急剧下降。形态计量指标与树状分类模型相结合,将建筑物划分为两个不同时期(2003-2004 年和 2013-2014 年)的一致类别。建筑等级分布及其演变与人口普查相结合进行研究。通过对建筑类型替换的研究,特别考虑了城市适应过程。研究结果表明,除其他外,传统街区的联排别墅正逐渐被小型集体建筑群所取代。在偏远地区,尽管全球人口减少,但人们仍然热衷于搬迁并居住在独立的单户住宅中。最后,中心地带越来越多地出现了几乎相连的狭窄塔楼。通过地图和统计数据详细说明的建筑类型与人口动态之间的关系表明,人们越来越多地集中在与特定建筑类型相关的中心地带,而其他一些边缘地区则同时面临着特定建筑类型消失和人口减少的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Hybridizing Geographically Weighted Regression and Multilevel Models: A New Approach to Capture Contextual Effects in Geographical Analyses 地理加权回归与多层次模型的混合:在地理分析中捕捉背景效应的新方法
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12385
Thierry Feuillet, Etienne Cossart, Helene Charreire, Arnaud Banos, Hugo Pilkington, Virginie Chasles, Serge Hercberg, Mathilde Touvier, Jean Michel Oppert

Multilevel models are one of the main statistical methods used in modeling contextual effects in social sciences. A common limitation of these methods is the use pre-set boundaries—usually administrative units—to define contexts, when these boundaries do not always match up with the “true” causally relevant contexts that may affect the outcomes of interest. In this study applied to the obesity geography in the Paris area (France), we propose a new spatially explicit two-step procedure to tackle this methodological issue. The first step consists in estimating a geographically weighted regression model, then using it to reveal and delineate relevant nonstationarity-based data-driven spatial contexts, and finally including them as a random effect into a random slope multilevel model. In applying this hybrid methodology for modeling body mass index within a sample of 9,089 French adults, we demonstrate that it outperforms administrative-based multilevel models in terms of decreasing Akaike information criteria, and is better at accounting for contextual effects through intraclass correlation coefficient and increasing slope variance. We suggest that this procedure might be generalized to quantitative geographical analyses involving contextual effects.

多层次模型是用于模拟社会科学背景效应的主要统计方法之一。这些方法的一个共同局限是使用预先设定的边界(通常是行政单位)来定义背景,而这些边界并不总是与可能影响相关结果的 "真正 "因果相关背景相匹配。在这项应用于法国巴黎地区肥胖地理学的研究中,我们提出了一种新的空间明确两步程序来解决这一方法学问题。第一步是估算一个地理加权回归模型,然后利用该模型揭示和划分相关的非平稳性数据驱动的空间背景,最后将其作为随机效应纳入随机斜率多层次模型。在应用这种混合方法对 9089 个法国成年人样本中的体重指数进行建模时,我们证明,在降低 Akaike 信息标准方面,该方法优于基于行政管理的多层次模型,并且通过类内相关系数和增加斜率方差更好地考虑了背景效应。我们建议将这一程序推广到涉及背景效应的定量地理分析中。
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引用次数: 0
The Geographical Analysis of Megacities Through Changes in Their Individual Urban Objects 通过单个城市对象的变化对特大城市进行地理分析
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12386
Xiangning Fan, George Alan Blackburn, James Duncan Whyatt, Peter Michael Atkinson

This research utilized global coverage, annual, high-quality land cover time-series data to explore the urban growth process in the core area, and in several buffer zones, of Beijing, Guangzhou, Shanghai, and Tokyo. We developed a conceptual model in which growth is characterized at the per-object level by four active growth events: introduction, establishment, dispersal, and coalescence, with a fifth inactivity event, stability. We developed a rule-base which allowed the direct measurement of establishment, dispersal and coalescence from observed inter-annual changes in the urban objects over time. By aggregating the object-level events to the landscape level we showed that these three events generally followed a synchronous temporal trend in terms of magnitude within the core area and within each buffer zone. There was no evidence for a logical sequence of events through time. The identified events dominated alternately over time, although synchronicity in magnitude far outweighed any differences in proportion between them. This points to a single underlying urbanization process: urban growth with a specific dynamic rate. Interestingly, synchronicity was not generally observed between the core and buffer zones. This proposed object-based method provides insights into the underlying urban growth process and could be used to build new urban growth models.

本研究利用覆盖全球的高质量年度土地覆被时间序列数据,探讨了北京、广州、上海和东京核心区及若干缓冲区的城市增长过程。我们建立了一个概念模型,在该模型中,每个对象的增长都具有四个活跃增长事件的特征:引入、建立、分散和聚合,以及第五个非活跃事件--稳定。我们开发了一个规则库,可以根据观测到的城市物体随时间发生的年际变化,直接测量建立、分散和凝聚。通过将对象层面的事件汇总到景观层面,我们发现这三个事件在核心区和每个缓冲区内的规模一般遵循同步的时间趋势。没有证据表明事件在时间上存在逻辑顺序。已确定的事件随着时间的推移交替占主导地位,尽管在规模上的同步性远远大于它们之间在比例上的差异。这表明了一个单一的基本城市化过程:具有特定动态速率的城市增长。有趣的是,在核心区和缓冲区之间一般观察不到同步性。这种基于对象的方法有助于深入了解城市增长的基本过程,并可用于建立新的城市增长模型。
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引用次数: 0
Harnessing Spatial Heterogeneity in Composite Indicators through the Ordered Geographically Weighted Averaging (OGWA) Operator 通过有序地理加权平均(OGWA)操作器利用综合指标的空间异质性
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12384
Elisa Fusco, Matheus Pereira Libório, Hamidreza Rabiei-Dastjerdi, Francesco Vidoli, Chris Brunsdon, Petr Iakovlevitch Ekel

Spatially heterogeneous weights and a non-compensatory aggregation scheme, are two important properties needed to construct a composite indicator capable of summarizing properly the multidimensional phenomenon of local spatial units. Such a composite indicator takes into account, on the one hand, the latent characteristics of the specific units related to their location in the territory, and on the other hand, the relative importance of sub-indicators highlighting both positive and negative aspects of the studied phenomena. Under these premises, this article proposes a new method called Ordered Geographically Weighted Averaging (OGWA), which can consider different degrees of non-compensability between sub-indicators and, at the same time, the spatial heterogeneity for continuous, ordinal, and mixed data. The properties of the method are evaluated through a simulation study. Finally, the method is applied to construct a composite indicator to map the urban public infrastructure of São Sebastião do Paraíso, a city located in the southeastern region of Brazil.

空间异质性权重和非补偿性汇总方案,是构建能够正确概括地方空间单位多维现象的综合指标所需的两个重要属性。这种综合指标一方面要考虑到特定单位与其在地域中的位置有关的潜在特征,另一方面要考虑到突出所研究现象的积极和消极方面的子指标的相对重要性。在这些前提下,本文提出了一种名为有序地理加权平均法(OGWA)的新方法,该方法可以考虑子指标之间不同程度的不可补偿性,同时还可以考虑连续数据、序数数据和混合数据的空间异质性。通过模拟研究对该方法的特性进行了评估。最后,应用该方法构建了一个综合指标,用于绘制巴西东南部城市圣塞巴斯蒂安-杜帕拉伊索(São Sebastião do Paraíso)的城市公共基础设施地图。
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引用次数: 0
Valeriepieris Circles for Spatial Data Analysis 用于空间数据分析的 Valeriepieris 圆圈
IF 3.3 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12383
Rudy Arthur

The Valeriepieris (VP) circle is the smallest circle containing half of the world's population. The Valeriepieris circle acts as a spatial median, splitting spatial data into two halves in a unique way. In this article the idea of the VP circle is generalized and a fast algorithm to compute it is described. This algorithm has been implemented in Python and is available for download and use. The VP circle is compared to other measures of center and dispersion for population distributions and is shown to reflect expected differences between countries and changes over time. By studying the VP circle as a function of the included population fraction, a new way of representing population distributions is constructed, as well as a mathematical model of its expected behavior. Finally a measure of population “centralization” is constructed which measures the tendency of a territory to be dominated by a single population center or to have a more even distribution of population. Thus, VP circles unify measures of population center, dispersion and centralization while also being useful for more detailed modeling efforts.

Valeriepieris (VP)圈是包含世界一半人口的最小的圈。Valeriepieris圆作为空间中位数,以一种独特的方式将空间数据分成两半。本文推广了VP圆的思想,并给出了计算VP圆的一种快速算法。该算法已在Python中实现,并可下载和使用。VP圈与人口分布的中心和分散的其他度量相比较,显示出国家之间的预期差异和随时间的变化。通过研究VP圆作为包含的总体分数的函数,构建了一种新的表示总体分布的方法,并建立了其期望行为的数学模型。最后,构建了一个人口“集中化”的度量,它衡量一个地区由单一人口中心主导或人口分布更均匀的趋势。因此,VP圈统一了人口中心、分散和集中的度量,同时也有助于更详细的建模工作。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Variograms as Neighborhood Definers 时空变异图作为邻域定义器
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12382
Brendan J Hurley, Timothy F Leslie

Spatial neighborhood definitions are a consistent source of disagreement among geographic scholars. This research will focus on the implementation and evaluation of spatiotemporal variograms (STVs) as a source of spatial neighborhood definition. STVs show the similarity, measured by semivariance, of spatial events to each other when separated by time and space. Over both time and space, there should exist distances over which pairs of points become “independent” of one another. We seek seeks to answer two questions in relation to STVs and their use as neighborhood definitions: (1) What data and process adjustments are necessary to implement STVs to provide neighborhood search definitions in time and space, and (2) Given that there are many ways to define a neighborhood, STVs may provide a comprehensive method that uses the data themselves to inform the size and scope of neighborhoods, with the added advantage to evaluating both spatial and temporal axes at once. We demonstrate a well-defined neighborhood that accounts for temporal variation as well as spatial and will be a needed addition as the tools incorporating simultaneous spatial and temporal neighborhoods are implemented.

空间邻域的定义一直是地理学者之间分歧的来源。本研究将聚焦于时空变异函数(STVs)作为空间邻域定义来源的实施与评价。当被时间和空间分开时,stv表现出空间事件之间的相似性,用半方差来衡量。无论在时间上还是在空间上,都应该存在一些距离,使点对彼此“独立”。我们寻求试图回答两个问题与stv及其作为社区定义:(1)的数据和过程的调整是必要的来实现stv提供社区搜索定义在时间和空间,和(2),有很多方法来定义一个街区,stv可能提供一个全面的方法,利用数据本身通知社区的规模和范围,与优势评估两种空间和时间轴。我们展示了一个定义良好的邻域,它既考虑了时间变化,也考虑了空间变化,随着同时结合空间和时间邻域的工具的实施,这将是一个必要的补充。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring Spatial Dispersion: An Experimental Test on the M-Index 测量空间色散:m指数的实验检验
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12381
Alberto Tidu, Frederick Guy, Stefano Usai

Despite representing a very accurate method for assessing spatial distribution, Marcon and Puech's M has been insufficiently exploited so far, most likely because its computation relies on pairing every point of interest (i.e., firms, plants) with every other point within the area under analysis. Such a figure rapidly grows to unmanageable levels when said area is larger than a neighborhood or when every industry is taken into account. Consequently, practical applications of M have been exclusively experimental and circumscribed to very limited areas or to a handful of industries. This seems much regrettable since M provides many advantages compared to conventional measures of spatial distribution and also to alternative distance measures. In this article, we assess the reliability of using small administrative units instead of exact postal addresses for the localization of plants, in order to reduce M's computational burden. Working with a dataset that provides the location, the specific industry and the number of employees for every single plant/establishment in Italy for both manufacturing and services, we can also draw a preliminary but certainly interesting picture of Sardinia's economic geography and its development through the Great Recession toughest years between 2007 and 2012.

尽管Marcon和Puech的M模型是一种非常准确的评估空间分布的方法,但迄今为止还没有得到充分利用,很可能是因为它的计算依赖于将每个感兴趣的点(即公司、工厂)与分析区域内的其他点配对。如果面积超过一个小区,或者把所有行业都考虑在内,这个数字就会迅速上升到难以控制的水平。因此,M的实际应用完全是实验性的,并且局限于非常有限的地区或少数行业。这似乎非常令人遗憾,因为与传统的空间分布度量和替代距离度量相比,M提供了许多优势。在这篇文章中,我们评估了使用小的行政单位代替精确的邮政地址进行植物定位的可靠性,以减少M的计算负担。利用提供位置、特定行业和意大利制造业和服务业每家工厂/机构的员工数量的数据集,我们还可以初步绘制撒丁岛经济地理及其在2007年至2012年大衰退期间最艰难时期的发展情况,但肯定很有趣。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Patterns in the Association between the Prevalence of Asthma and Determinants of Health 哮喘发病率与健康决定因素之间关系的空间模式
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12380
Carmen Bentué-Martínez, Marcos Rodrigues, José María Llorente González, Antonio Sebastián Ariño, Marcos Zuil Martínez, María Zúñiga-Antón

The World Health Organization endorses the study of diseases from the perspective of the Determinants of Health (DH), that is, the circumstances in which people are born and raised, the environment in which they grow up and age and their lifestyle. The aim of this study is to analyze the spatial behavior of the prevalence of asthma in Aragon, a Mediterranean region in Spain, under the DH approach. The methodological process entailed building a spatial database collating asthma prevalence as dependent variable, and lifestyle, socioeconomic, and climate indicators as explanatory factors, and then evaluating the spatial variability of the relationships by combining the Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) models and cartographic design techniques. MGWR evidenced spatially varying relationships operating at different scales. Lifestyles seem closely tied to the prevalence of asthma in most of the study area while urban functionality and local climate patterns seem to boost prevalence rates in some specific enclaves. Consequently, the social and environmental conditions that characterize the study area translate into several DH scenarios modulating the spatial distribution of asthma. This differential DH behavior detected by local regression models is relevant to guiding and refining public health decision-making.

世界卫生组织赞同从健康决定因素(DH)的角度研究疾病,即人们出生和成长的环境、成长和衰老的环境以及他们的生活方式。本研究旨在从健康决定因素的角度分析西班牙地中海地区阿拉贡哮喘发病率的空间变化。研究方法包括建立一个空间数据库,将哮喘发病率作为因变量,将生活方式、社会经济和气候指标作为解释因素,然后结合主成分分析(PCA)、多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)模型和制图设计技术,评估这些关系的空间变异性。多尺度地理加权回归显示了在不同尺度上的空间变化关系。在大部分研究区域,生活方式似乎与哮喘发病率密切相关,而在一些特定飞地,城市功能和当地气候模式似乎提高了发病率。因此,作为研究区域特征的社会和环境条件转化成了几种调节哮喘空间分布的 DH 方案。地方回归模型检测到的这种不同的 DH 行为与指导和完善公共卫生决策息息相关。
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引用次数: 0
Relative Variability in Streetscape Skeletons and Spatial Association: Application for Identifying Harmonious and Inharmonious Streetscape Skeletons in Tokyo 街景骨架的相对可变性与空间关联:在识别东京和谐与不和谐街景骨架中的应用
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12379
Hiroyuki Usui

Whether or not a streetscape skeleton (defined as the 3D street space) is harmonious depends on the degree of difference between heights and setbacks of adjacent buildings, which is called the relative variability in the streetscape skeleton, but this has generally been overlooked. Because streetscape skeletons are ambiguous, evaluating whether or not they are harmonious is thus conceptually and technically challenging. This article, therefore, considers the relative variability in streetscape skeletons and their spatial associations and answers the following question: where are harmonious or inharmonious streetscape skeletons locally clustered? The relative variability in the streetscape skeletons in the districts of the Tokyo metropolitan region was computed, where building heights and setbacks are directly controlled through streetscape promotion district planning stipulated in the City Planning Act. The spatial association of the relative variability in streetscape skeletons was then visualized to identify where streetscape skeletons are harmonious and inharmonious. The results showed that although harmonious streetscape skeletons are spatially clustered inside the domain bounded by wider streets, such clusters are small and spatially scattered. We, therefore, concluded that the effectiveness of direct controls through streetscape-promoting district planning to maintain and create harmonious streetscape skeletons is spatially limited and thus insufficient.

街景骨架(定义为三维街道空间)是否和谐取决于相邻建筑的高度和后退之间的差异程度,即街景骨架的相对可变性,但这一点通常被忽视。由于街景骨架模棱两可,因此评估街景骨架是否和谐在概念和技术上都具有挑战性。因此,本文考虑了街景骨架的相对可变性及其空间关联,并回答了以下问题:和谐或不和谐的街景骨架在局部聚集在哪里?计算了东京都各区街景骨架的相对变异性,在东京都,建筑高度和后退是通过《城市规划法》规定的街景促进区规划直接控制的。然后,将街景骨架相对变化的空间关联可视化,以确定街景骨架和谐与不和谐之处。结果表明,虽然和谐的街景骨架在空间上聚集在以较宽街道为边界的区域内,但这种聚集规模较小且空间分散。因此,我们得出结论,通过促进街景的地区规划进行直接控制来维护和创造和谐街景骨架的效果是有限的,因此是不够的。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding Changes in Spatial Accessibility to Restaurants During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Disentangling Closures, Inequity, Neighborhood, and Transportation Mode 了解 COVID-19 大流行期间餐馆空间可达性的变化:将关闭、不公平、邻里关系和交通方式联系起来
IF 3.6 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1111/gean.12378
Kyusik Kim, Mark W. Horner, Md. Shaharier Alam, Onur Alisan, Mahyar Ghorbanzadeh, Eren Erman Ozguven

Among one of the more significant societal impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, restrictions on people's movement accelerated, and in some cases outright caused, restaurant closures. By considering people's potential for both driving and walking to restaurants, this study aims to examine how restaurant closures are associated with neighborhood characteristics during the pandemic. To do so, we investigated changes in spatial accessibility to restaurants, identified hot spots of communities with large accessibility reductions, and explored relationships between the reductions and neighborhood characteristics in Leon County, Florida. Analysis showed that the area experiencing the largest reductions in spatial access to restaurants varied by transportation modes and the overall geographic patterns in accessibility reductions significantly differed. Communities with significant reductions in car-based accessibility were areas with a small percentage of the older and non-White populations and a longer distance to the central area. On the other hand, only being a shorter distance to the central area was more related to hot spots of changes in walking accessibility. Findings show geographic patterns of restaurant closures, which interacted with people's modes of transportation. As such, the closures most substantially affected people in more suburban areas who might rely on driving during the pandemic.

COVID-19 大流行对社会的影响之一是限制人们的行动,加速了餐馆的关闭,在某些情况下甚至直接导致了餐馆的关闭。通过考虑人们驾车和步行前往餐馆的可能性,本研究旨在探讨大流行病期间餐馆关闭与社区特征之间的关联。为此,我们调查了佛罗里达州莱昂县餐馆空间可达性的变化,确定了可达性大幅下降的热点社区,并探讨了可达性下降与社区特征之间的关系。分析表明,不同交通方式的餐馆空间可达性下降幅度最大的地区各不相同,可达性下降的总体地理模式也有显著差异。汽车可达性明显降低的社区是老年人口和非白人人口比例较小、距离中心区域较远的地区。另一方面,只有距离中心区较近的地区才与步行可达性变化的热点地区有较大关系。研究结果表明,餐厅关闭的地理模式与人们的交通方式相互影响。因此,关闭餐馆对郊区居民的影响最大,因为这些居民在大流行病期间可能需要驾车出行。
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引用次数: 0
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