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La Contribución de la Cultura y el Turismo al Empleo en México: Una estimación de los Multiplicadores Tipo I y Tipo II 文化和旅游对墨西哥就业的贡献:第一类和第二类乘数的估计
Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI: 10.24275/UAM/AZC/DCSH/AE/2019V34N86/ARRIAGA
Rosalinda Arriaga Navarrete
This work makes a comparative interindustrial analysis of tourism and culture with an aggregate sectorial approach, for the sectorial compatibility of the input output matrix of 2008, with the respective satellite accounts. For this, the levels of sectoral linkages of these activities are identified and estimates of employment coefficients and multipliers are made, which allow us to assess the potential economic impact of these economic activities, by estimating the direct, indirect and induced effects who have spending on tourism and culture on the Mexican economy. The results reveal that the cultural sector has greater linkages due to interindustry demand and induced consumption demand, but the economic weight and the direct coefficients in tourism employment determine that the final effect is higher in the tourism sector. Clasification JEL: C67, E24, L80, Z10
本研究采用综合部门方法对旅游和文化进行了产业间比较分析,以确定2008年投入产出矩阵与各自卫星账户的部门兼容性。为此,确定了这些活动的部门联系水平,并对就业系数和乘数进行了估计,这使我们能够通过估计在旅游和文化上消费对墨西哥经济的直接、间接和诱发影响,来评估这些经济活动的潜在经济影响。研究结果表明,文化产业对产业间需求和诱导消费需求具有更大的关联性,但旅游就业的经济权重和直接系数决定了旅游产业的最终效应更高。分类JEL: C67, E24, L80, Z10
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引用次数: 1
¿Genera el Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte distorsiones para México? Un análisis a partir de medidas no arancelarias 北美自由贸易协定是否扭曲了墨西哥?基于非关税措施的分析
Pub Date : 2019-01-30 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2019v34n85/gomez
Elsy Lizbeth Gómez Ramos, Carlos Gómez Chiñas
Los estudios de creacion y desviacion del comercio dirigidos al Tratado de Libre Comercio de America del Norte (TLCAN) y su relacion con Mexico, han evidenciado comportamientos perjudiciales para el mercado interno mexicano, ademas de senales de un “comercio dirigido”. Recientemente, la situacion de Mexico se ha agudizado debido a la existencia de medidas no arancelarias (MNAS), ya que son las causantes principales -o por lo menos de forma significativa- de distorsiones en el comercio. El objetivo de esta investigacion es analizar las MNAS vigentes para la economia mexicana en el contexto del TLCAN, con terceros (China) y con el resto del mundo. La metodologia que se emplea es una red de visualizacion basada en clusters. En las conclusiones se senala que, Mexico mantiene una carga totalmente desproporcionada respecto al resto de los firmantes en el Tratado, asi se pone en manifiesto que estas medidas al ostentarse como una extension de proyectos de nacion, madurez de las instituciones y, en especial, del grado de autonomia de un gobierno, entonces su imposicion obedece a estrategias que no se mantienen al margen de los acuerdos comerciales. Clasificacion JEL: F02, F15, F59, F60. Abstract Studies about the creation and deviation of tade in relation to Mexico as a member of nafta have not only shown unfavorable happenings in relation to Mexico´s internal market, but also certain signs of managed trade. In fact, Mexico´s situation has recently become worse due to the existence of non-tariff measures (NTMS), which are the principal reason for, or at least a significant way of trade distortions. Therefore, the aim of this investigation is to analyze those NTMS that apply to Mexico in the context of NAFTA relations with third country members (such as China), and the rest of the world. The analytical methodology used consists of a net visualized as clusters. The conclusions show that, Mexico endures a situation very disproportionate (out of scale) in relation to the rest of the Treaty´s members. In addition, it is, therefore shown that these measures -that presume to be an extension of national projects, institutional maturity, and above all governments´ autonomy, then their imposition due to strategies that do not remain outside of trade agreements.  JEL classification: F02, F15, F59, F60.
对北美自由贸易协定(nafta)及其与墨西哥关系的贸易创造和转移研究表明,墨西哥国内市场的有害行为以及“有针对性的贸易”的迹象。墨西哥的情况最近因非关税措施(nma)的存在而恶化,因为这些措施是贸易扭曲的主要原因,或至少是重大原因。本研究的目的是分析在北美自由贸易协定的背景下,与第三国(中国)和世界其他地区对墨西哥经济有效的mna。所采用的方法是基于集群的可视化网络。在结论使墨西哥的负担完全不成比例方面在条约签署其余的,所以,这些措施在揭示ostentarse extension nacion项目,成熟程度,尤其是机构的范围,后来他imposicion政府服从战略不会仍然置身贸易协议。JEL等级:F02、F15、F59、F60。关于贸易协定与墨西哥作为北美自由贸易协定成员的关系的产生和偏离的摘要研究不仅显示了与墨西哥国内市场有关的不利事件,而且还显示了管理贸易的某些迹象。事实上,由于存在非关税措施,墨西哥的情况最近变得更糟,这是造成或至少是严重贸易扭曲的主要原因。因此,本次调查的目的是分析在北美自由贸易协定与第三国(如中国)和世界其他国家关系的背景下适用于墨西哥的NTMS。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查,该地区的总面积为,其中土地和水(0.741平方公里)。结论表明,与条约其他成员国相比,墨西哥面临着非常不成比例(超出规模)的情况。此外,它还认为,这些措施假定是国家项目、体制成熟度和所有政府自主权的延伸,而这些措施的实施则是由于各项战略不留在贸易协定之外。JEL分类:F02、F15、F59、F60。
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引用次数: 4
La Eficiencia del Sector Eléctrico en México 2008-2015 2008-2015年墨西哥电力部门的效率
Pub Date : 2019-01-30 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2019v34n85/navarro
José César Lenin Navarro Chávez, Odette Virginia Delfín Ortega, Atzimba Díaz Pulido
El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo determinar la eficiencia tecnica global, la eficiencia tecnica pura y la eficiencia de escala del sector electrico de Mexico durante el periodo 2008-2015, instrumentando la metodologia del Analisis de la Envolvente de Datos (DEA) y haciendo uso del estadistico bootstrap con la finalidad de robustecer los resultados. Se incorpora ademas, el analisis benchmarking y slacks . Del estudio se desprende que, ninguna de las trece divisiones revisadas fue eficiente; no obstante, las regiones Norte y Baja California con valores de 0.932 y 0.917 respectivamente, alcanzaron los niveles mas altos de eficiencia, mientras que la region Sureste con un valor del 0.483, tuvo el menor nivel de eficiencia. Se concluye que si bien se ha tenido la capacidad de abastecer la demanda de energia electrica que el pais requiere, es importante continuar con estudios de esta indole, que coadyuven en la formulacion de politicas orientadas a la mejora de la eficiencia del sector. Clasificacion JEL: C61, L94, Q49 Abstract This research aims to determine the technical efficiency of Mexico’s electricity sector in period 2008-2015, using Data Envelopment Analysis methodology with bootstrap in order to give more validity to observations obtained. With the study it was possible to determine that none of the thirteen divisions analyzed obtained the optimum level of efficiency, however, Baja California and North divisions obtained the highest efficiency indexes in the sector in the study period. Otherwise, the Southeast division was the least efficient. It is concluded that although it has been able to supply the demand for electric energy that the country requires, it is important to continue with studies of this nature, which allow the formulation of policies aimed at improving efficiency of the sector.
本工作的目的是确定全球技能效率,效率纯技能部门规模和效率墨西哥electrico 2008-2015期间,instrumentando metodologia环绕声管理局()数据的分析和利用estadistico自检,以加强成果。它还包括基准测试和松弛分析。从研究中可以看出,经过审查的13个部门中没有一个是有效的;然而,北加州和下加利福尼亚州的值分别为0.932和0.917,达到了最高的效率水平,而东南地区的值为0.483,效率水平最低。本文的结论是,虽然有能力满足国家所需的电力需求,但重要的是继续进行这方面的研究,这有助于制定旨在提高该部门效率的政策。JEL分类:C61, L94, Q49摘要本研究的目的是确定2008-2015年墨西哥电力部门的技术效率,使用bootstrap数据包络分析方法,使所获得的观察结果更加有效。通过研究,可以确定所分析的13个司中没有一个取得了最佳的效率水平,但下加利福尼亚州和北部司在研究期间取得了该部门最高的效率指数。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查局的数据,该县总面积为,其中土地和(1.1%)水。会议得出的结论是,虽然已经能够满足国家对电力的需求,但重要的是要继续进行这类研究,以便制定旨在提高该部门效率的政策。
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引用次数: 6
Financiarización: la experienciamexicana en el periodo 1993-2016 金融化:1993-2016年墨西哥的经验
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2019v34n85/vega
F. Miranda, Facultad de Estudios Superiores Acatlán
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引用次数: 2
El petróleo argentino en las primerasdécadas del siglo xx: un comienzopolémico 20世纪头几十年的阿根廷石油:一个有争议的开端
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2019v34n85/audino
P. Audino
El presente trabajo intentara demostrar como el clima de controversias que se genero tempranamente en torno al descubrimiento del petroleo en la Argentina a principios del siglo XX y que se manifesto en la esfera del debate publico continuo reflejandose en el terreno ideologico, institucional y politico en las primeras decadas del siglo XX. Para comprender la trama historica de las discusiones que se generaron desde un comienzo se recurrio al analisis de fuentes documentales y debates parlamentarios asi como tambien a la consulta de periodicos y revistas de la epoca, libros e investigaciones de autores destacados en el tema. Si bien, el controvertido descubrimiento del petroleo dio origen a diversas propuestas desde las mas cautas hasta las mas radicales, tambien genero un ambiente propicio para el surgimiento de iniciativas que impulsaron la modernizacion de la economia a partir de un modelo economico estatal, industrialista y autonomo. Clasificacion JEL: N4, N5 Abstract The present work will try to demonstrate how the climate of controversies that was generated early around the discovery of oil in Argentina at the beginning of the 20th century and that manifested itself in the sphere of public debate continued to be reflected in the ideological, institutional and political terrain in the first decades of the 20th century. To understand the historical plot of the discussions that were generated from the beginning, an analysis was made of documentary sources and parliamentary debates, as well as the consultation of newspapers and magazines of the time, books and research by prominent authors on the subject. Although, the controversial discovery of oil gave rise to diverse proposals from the most cautious to the most radical, it also created an environment conducive to the emergence of initiatives that promoted the modernization of the economy based on a state, industrialist and autonomous economic model. JEL Classification: N4,N5
本工作气氛等纠纷证明着围绕发现的早期性别问题在阿根廷20世纪初和石油领域manifesto的公众辩论现场不断reflejandose ideologico、机构和政治家在首批数十年20世纪决非易事。为了理解从一开始就产生的讨论的历史情节,我们使用了文献来源和议会辩论的分析,以及当时的报纸和杂志、书籍和该领域著名作者的研究。尽管有争议的石油发现引发了各种各样的建议,从最谨慎的到最激进的,但它也为推动经济现代化的倡议的出现创造了有利的环境,从国家、工业和自治的经济模式。Clasificacion JEL: N4, N5 Abstract目前工作将试着证明how The climate of controversies that was generated early阿根廷around The discovery of oil in at The beginning of The 20th century and that .继续辩论本身in The领域of public to be反映in The ideological体制和政治做法in The first decades of The 20th century。为了理解从一开始就产生的讨论的历史情节,对文献资料来源和议会辩论进行了分析,并对当时的报纸和杂志、书籍和著名作家关于该主题的研究进行了咨询。尽管有争议的石油发现导致了从最保守到最激进的各种主张的兴起,它也创造了一种环境,导致出现了以国家、工业和自主经济模式为基础推动经济现代化的倡议。JEL分类:N4、N5
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引用次数: 1
The effects of oil prices on the spot 油价对现场的影响
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2018v33n84/garcia
Sergio J. García, Eduardo Saucedo, Alejandro Velasco
The Mexican economy has been historically dependent on oil. For this reason, our research investigates whether oil prices influence the Mexican peso exchange rate against the U.S. dollar. The database is made up of quarterly reports, taken from 1991 to 2017. A Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) was implemented, which included spot and future oil prices, money supply, and gdp growth rates for Mexico and the United States, and the nominal mxn/ USD  exchange rate. Results indicate that an increase/decrease in the oil spot price appreciates/ depreciates the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar. Results also indicate, however, that future oil prices do not have a statistically significant effect on the exchange rate. Further, the study found that in order to keep the Mexican peso to U.S. dollar exchange rate stable, the money supply and gdp growth rate in Mexico should be similar to those same variables in the United States. Lastly, the impulse response functions show that such effects disappear in the months following unexpected price shocks. JEL Classification: E31, E43, F31, G19. Resumen La economia mexicana ha sido historicamente dependiente del petroleo, por tal motivo en este documento se estudian los efectos de cambios en el precio de este combustible en el tipo de cambio del peso mexicano frente al dolar. El analisis es trimestral y abarca de 1991 a 2017. Se utiliza un modelo de Vectores Autorregresivos (VAR), que incluye los precios spot y futuro del petroleo, las tasas de crecimiento de las ofertas monetarias y del PIB de Mexico y Estados Unidos; asi como el tipo de cambio nominal MXN/USD. Los resultados indican que aumentos/bajas en el precio spot del petroleo aprecian/deprecian el peso frente al dolar. Los resultados tambien indican que el precio futuro del petroleo no presenta un efecto estadisticamente significativo sobre el tipo de cambio. Adicionalmente, se encuentra que, para mantener la estabilidad del peso frente al dolar, la oferta monetaria y el PIB mexicanos deben de tener tasas de crecimiento parecidas a las de sus similares de Estados Unidos. Las funciones de impulso respuesta muestran que los efectos encontrados tienden a desaparecer con el tiempo.
墨西哥经济在历史上一直依赖石油。因此,我们的研究调查了油价是否会影响墨西哥比索对美元的汇率。该数据库由1991年至2017年的季度报告组成。采用向量自回归模型(VAR),其中包括墨西哥和美国的现货和未来油价、货币供应、gdp增长率以及墨西哥比索/美元的名义汇率。结果表明,石油现货价格的上涨/下跌会使墨西哥比索对美元升值/贬值。然而,结果也表明,未来的石油价格对汇率没有统计上的显著影响。进一步,研究发现,为了保持墨西哥比索对美元汇率的稳定,墨西哥的货币供应量和gdp增长率应该与美国的相同变量相似。最后,脉冲响应函数表明,这种影响在意外价格冲击后的几个月内消失。JEL分类:E31、E43、F31、G19。《墨西哥经济》(La economia mexicana)是一项关于石油的历史修正的研究,是一项关于天然气的历史修正的研究,是一项关于天然气的历史修正的研究,是一项关于天然气的历史修正的研究,是一项关于天然气的历史修正的研究。El分析了1991年至2017年的三坐标。利用自动回归向量模型(VAR),包括对未来石油价格的精确预测,墨西哥国家石油公司(Estados Unidos)对未来货币价格的预测;名义上的墨西哥比索/美元。其结果是,在石油价格上涨/贬值的情况下,比索兑美元的价格会下跌。研究结果表明,该方法对油气储量的预测预测效果不明显,对油气储量的预测预测效果不明显。行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政、行政。由于脉冲反应的功能不同,因此在时间上,脉冲反应的功能不同,在时间上,脉冲反应的功能不同。
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引用次数: 9
Una revisión de aportaciones que contribuyeron al estudio de la utilidad y la felicidad en la economía 对经济中效用和幸福研究的贡献的回顾
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2018v33n84/charles
Humberto Charles-Leija, Gilberto Aboites, Ignacio Llamas
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引用次数: 3
Differences in efficiency between Formal and Informal micro-firms in Mexico 墨西哥正规和非正规微型企业的效率差异
Pub Date : 2015-05-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2022v37n96/baez
A. Báez
The economic role of micro firms is still the subject of much discussion and debate. While these firms can be seen as potential growth drivers, as they are usually related to entrepreneurship, a relatively high share of micro firms can also be a sign of an underdeveloped productive system, which applies especially to developing countries, where micro firms represent the majority of business activity. Unlike other studies, this research separates formal and informal micro firms in order to test whether there are efficiency differences between them, and to explain these differences. One of the novelties of the study is the use of the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition method, which enables an analysis of the differences between both groups of firms after controlling for their different allocation of factors. Micro firms in Mexico are taken as a case study, with the Encuesta Nacional de Micronegocios (ENAMIN, or the National Micro Firm Survey), for 2008, 2010 and 2011, used to carry out the analysis. The empirical evidence suggests that output differences can be explained by endowment characteristics, while efficiency differences are explained by endowment returns. The main variables to explain the gap between the groups are the owner’s level of education, the firm’s age, the owner’s motivations, and financing.
微型企业的经济作用仍然是许多讨论和辩论的主题。虽然这些公司可被视为潜在的增长动力,因为它们通常与企业家精神有关,但相对较高的微型公司份额也可能是生产系统不发达的标志,这尤其适用于发展中国家,因为微型公司代表了大多数商业活动。与其他研究不同,本研究将正式和非正式微型企业分开,以检验它们之间是否存在效率差异,并解释这些差异。该研究的新颖之处之一是使用了瓦哈卡-布林德分解方法,该方法可以在控制了两组公司的不同分配因素后,分析两组公司之间的差异。本文以墨西哥的微型企业为例,利用2008年、2010年和2011年的全国微型企业调查(ENAMIN)进行分析。实证表明,产出差异可以用禀赋特征来解释,而效率差异可以用禀赋回报来解释。解释两组之间差距的主要变量是所有者的教育水平、公司的年龄、所有者的动机和融资。
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引用次数: 3
Los procesos de inversión en activos como determinantes de la estructura financiera de las grandes empresas mexicanas, 2000-2016: Un enfoque por sectores desarrollo económico de México 资产投资过程作为墨西哥大公司财务结构的决定因素,2000-2016:部门方法墨西哥经济发展
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2019v34n85/peujio
Francis Magloire Peujio Fozap, Escuela Superior de Economía Ipn
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引用次数: 1
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Análisis Económico
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