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Three Approaches to Quantification of NDE Uncertainty and a Detailed Exposition of the Expert Panel Approach Using the Sheffield Elicitation Framework 三种量化濒死体验不确定性的方法和使用谢菲尔德启发框架的专家小组方法的详细阐述
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84771
J. Fong, N. Heckert, J. Filliben, S. Doctor
The ASME Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code Section XI Committee is currently developing a new Division 2 nuclear code entitled the “Reliability and Integrity Management (RIM) program,” with which one is able to arrive at a risk-informed, NDE-based engineering maintenance decision by estimating and managing all uncertainties for the entire life cycle including design, material selection, degradation processes, operation and non-destructive examination (NDE). This paper focuses on the uncertainty of the NDE methods employed for preservice and inservice inspections due to a large number of factors such as the NDE equipment type and age, the operator’s level and years of experience, the angle of probe, the flaw type, etc. In this paper, we describe three approaches with which uncertainty in NDE-risk-informed decision making can be quantified: (1) A regression model approach in analyzing round-robin experimental data such as the 1981–82 Piping Inspection Round Robin (PIRR), the 1986 Mini-Round Robin (MRR) on intergranular stress corrosion cracking (IGSCC) detection and sizing, and the 1989–90 international Programme for the Inspection of Steel Components III-Austenitic Steel Testing (PISC-AST). (2) A statistical design of experiments approach. (3) An expert knowledge elicitation approach. Based on a 2003 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report by Heasler and Doctor (NUREG/CR-6795), we observe that the first approach utilized round robin studies that gave NDE uncertainty information on the state of the art of the NDE technology employed from the early 1980s to the early 1990s. This approach is very time-consuming and expensive to implement. The second approach is based on a design-of-experiments (DEX) of eight field inspection exercises for finding the length of a subsurface crack in a pressure vessel head using ultrasonic testing (UT), where five factors (operator’s service experience, UT machine age, cable length, probe angle, and plastic shim thickness), were chosen to quantify the sizing uncertainty of the UT method. The DEX approach is also time-consuming and costly, but has the advantage that it can be tailored to a specific defect-detection and defect-sizing problem. The third approach using an expert panel is the most efficient and least costly approach. Using the crack length results of the second approach, we introduce in this paper how the expert panel approach can be implemented with the application of a software package named the Sheffield Elicitation Framework (SHELF). The crack length estimation with uncertainty results of the three approaches are compared and discussed. Significance and limitations of the three uncertainty quantification approaches to risk assessment of NDE-based engineering decisions are presented and discussed.
ASME锅炉和压力容器规范第11部分委员会目前正在制定一项新的第2部分核规范,名为“可靠性和完整性管理(RIM)计划”,通过评估和管理整个生命周期的所有不确定性,包括设计、材料选择、降解过程、运行和无损检测(NDE),人们能够得出一个风险知情的、基于NDE的工程维护决策。由于无损检测设备的类型和使用年限、操作人员的水平和工作年限、探头角度、缺陷类型等诸多因素的影响,本文重点研究了无损检测方法用于服役前和服役中检测的不确定性。在本文中,我们描述了三种可以量化无损检测风险决策中的不确定性的方法:(1)用于分析循环实验数据的回归模型方法,如1981-82年管道检查轮询(PIRR), 1986年晶间应力腐蚀裂纹(IGSCC)检测和尺寸的迷你轮询(MRR),以及1989-90年国际钢部件检查计划iii -奥氏体钢测试(piscc - ast)。(2)实验方法的统计设计。(3)专家知识启发方法。根据2003年太平洋西北国家实验室(PNNL) Heasler和博士的报告(NUREG/CR-6795),我们观察到第一种方法利用循环研究,提供了从20世纪80年代初到90年代初使用的NDE技术的不确定性信息。这种方法的实现非常耗时且昂贵。第二种方法是基于实验设计(DEX)的八个现场检查练习,使用超声波测试(UT)来寻找压力容器头部的地下裂纹长度,其中选择五个因素(操作员的服务经验,UT机器年龄,电缆长度,探头角度和塑料垫片厚度)来量化UT方法的尺寸不确定性。DEX方法也很耗时和昂贵,但它的优点是可以针对特定的缺陷检测和缺陷大小问题进行定制。第三种方法是使用专家小组,这是最有效和成本最低的方法。利用第二种方法的裂缝长度结果,我们在本文中介绍了如何通过一个名为Sheffield Elicitation Framework (SHELF)的软件包来实现专家小组方法。对三种方法的不确定裂纹长度估计结果进行了比较和讨论。提出并讨论了三种不确定性量化方法在基于nde的工程决策风险评估中的意义和局限性。
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引用次数: 2
Study on the Influence of Strain Rate on Crack Initiation and Growth in Simulated Reactor Coolant Environment of Type 316 Stainless Steel 应变速率对316型不锈钢模拟反应堆冷却剂环境中裂纹萌生和扩展影响的研究
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84490
Takahisa Nose, Takao Nakamura, T. Kitada
In order to conduct effective and rational maintenance activity of components in nuclear power plants, it is proposed to manage fatigue degradation based on crack size corresponding to an extent of cumulative fatigue damage. The purpose of this study focuses on the influence of strain rate in simulated reactor coolant environment for fatigue crack initiation and growth. 3-dimensional replica observations were conducted for environmental fatigue test specimens in different strain rates. Crack initiation and growth were observed in the experiments. It is clarified that low strain rate influences crack propagation and coalescence and increases crack growth rate that finally decrease fatigue life.
为了对核电站构件进行有效、合理的维修活动,提出了基于累积疲劳损伤程度对应的裂纹尺寸来管理构件的疲劳退化。研究了模拟反应堆冷却剂环境中应变速率对疲劳裂纹萌生和扩展的影响。对环境疲劳试验试样在不同应变速率下进行了三维复形观察。实验中观察到裂纹的萌生和扩展。结果表明,低应变速率影响裂纹扩展和合并,增大裂纹扩展速率,最终降低疲劳寿命。
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引用次数: 1
Hydrogen Diffusion Concentration Behaviors for Square Groove Weld Joint 方坡口焊接接头氢扩散集中行为
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84192
T. Ohmi, A. Yokobori, G. Ozeki, T. Kasuya, N. Ishikawa, S. Minamoto, M. Enoki
Hydrogen induced cracking occurs at the welded position of the structure due to concentration of hydrogen during cooling process of welding. A square groove weld joint is one of typical one in engineering field. Hydrogen embrittlement cracking is sometimes caused during cooling process of a weld joint. For such case, hydrogen diffusion and concentration behaviour is a significant factor. One of authors has been proposed α multiplication method which magnifies the hydrogen driving term in the diffusion equation to find out detailed behaviours of hydrogen concentration around a local stress field. In this paper, to clarify hydrogen diffusion behaviour in the square groove weld joint, a coupled analysis of heat transfer – thermal stress – hydrogen diffusion combining with α multiplication method was conducted. From these results, it was found out that for the case of a square groove weld joint, since thermal stress was not highly localized for the case of using usual value of thermal expansion coefficient of steel, hydrogen concentration behaviour is not typical. However, if thermal stress is highly localized, hydrogen was found to be localized in the side of HAZ (heat affected zone) at the interface of WM (weld metal) and HAZ and is much more typical near the outer surface side of weld joint. Hydrogen diffusion and concentration behaviours were also found to be dominated not only by local thermal stress gradient, ∇σ but also by diffusion coefficient gradient, ∇D caused by temperature difference during cooling process. In this paper, effects of these factors on hydrogen concentration were investigated based on a coupled analysis of heat transfer – thermal stress – hydrogen diffusion combining with α multiplication method.
在焊接冷却过程中,由于氢气的富集,导致结构的焊接部位产生氢致开裂。方坡口焊接接头是工程领域中典型的焊接接头之一。焊接接头在冷却过程中有时会产生氢脆裂纹。在这种情况下,氢的扩散和浓度行为是一个重要的因素。作者提出了放大扩散方程中氢驱动项的α乘法法,以求得局部应力场周围氢浓度的详细行为。为了阐明方坡口焊接接头中氢的扩散行为,结合α乘法法进行了传热-热应力-氢扩散的耦合分析。从这些结果中发现,对于方坡口焊接接头,由于使用通常的钢热膨胀系数时,热应力不高度局部化,氢浓度行为不典型。而在热应力高度局部化的情况下,氢主要集中在热影响区(HAZ)一侧的焊缝金属与热影响区交界面处,且在焊缝外表面附近更为典型。氢气的扩散和浓度行为不仅受局部热应力梯度∇σ的影响,还受冷却过程中温差引起的扩散系数梯度∇D的影响。本文采用传热-热应力-氢扩散耦合分析方法,结合α乘法法,研究了这些因素对氢气浓度的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Thermomechanical PWR Test Facility to Investigate Thermal Shock Loading on a Small Scale Tubular Specimen 研究小型管状试样热冲击载荷的压水堆热机械试验装置
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84923
Peter Gill, N. Platts, C. Currie, E. Grieveson
Pressurized water reactor environments are known to reduce the fatigue life of austenitic stainless steel components when compared to air environments. Laboratory testing has provided a means of quantifying this, allowing conservative plant assessments to be made. The majority of this testing has been isothermal and carried out on membrane loaded hollow or solid specimens. The geometry and loading of laboratory test specimens is significantly different to that experienced on plant, where complex strain waveforms are generally out of phase with temperature changes, and significant through wall strain gradients may be present. To address the issue of realistic loading, a test facility has been developed which can simulate thermal shock loading on a tubular specimen. The capability of the test facility was presented at the PVP2016 conference [PVP2016-63161]. Since then the facility has evolved, with modifications made to the rig configuration and specimen geometry in order to maximize the strain amplitude from the thermal shock, including the adoption of an annular flow geometry. These modifications were designed to optimize both the heat transfer coefficient and the speed of cycling between hot and cold water in order to induce a thermal strain that can cause mechanical failure within practicable test durations. In order to calculate the magnitude of the thermal strain, detailed calculations were required both in terms of thermal hydraulics as well as stress analyses. The latest stress analysis has been combined with state of the art life prediction models to estimate the time for crack initiation. This paper presents the results of the latest stress analysis and life prediction, including the derivation of the heat transfer coefficient for an annular flow region. The life prediction method uses best estimate strain-temperature histories from elastic-plastic finite element analysis (FEA). Heat-specific material properties have been developed during accompanying tests within the same experimental programme, and have been applied to enable cyclic hardening to be taken into account. The comparison of the prediction to an on-going test is also discussed.
众所周知,与空气环境相比,压水堆环境会降低奥氏体不锈钢部件的疲劳寿命。实验室测试提供了一种量化的方法,允许对植物进行保守的评估。大多数测试都是等温的,并在膜负载的空心或固体样品上进行。实验室试样的几何形状和载荷与在植物上经历的有很大不同,在植物上,复杂的应变波形通常与温度变化不一致,并且可能存在明显的穿壁应变梯度。为了解决真实载荷的问题,开发了一种可以模拟管状试样热冲击载荷的试验装置。测试设备的性能在PVP2016会议上进行了展示[PVP2016-63161]。从那时起,该设施不断发展,对钻机配置和试样几何形状进行了修改,以最大限度地提高热冲击的应变幅度,包括采用环空流几何形状。这些修改是为了优化传热系数和热水和冷水之间的循环速度,以便在实际的测试持续时间内产生可能导致机械故障的热应变。为了计算热应变的大小,需要在热工水力和应力分析方面进行详细的计算。最新的应力分析已与最先进的寿命预测模型相结合,以估计裂纹萌生时间。本文介绍了最新的应力分析和寿命预测的结果,包括推导了环形流区的传热系数。寿命预测方法利用弹塑性有限元分析(FEA)对应变-温度历史曲线的最佳估计。在同一实验方案的附带测试中,已经开发出了材料的耐热特性,并已应用于考虑循环硬化。还讨论了预测与正在进行的试验的比较。
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引用次数: 0
Master Curve Fracture Toughness Characterization of Eurofer97 Using Miniature Multi-Notch Bend Bar Specimens for Fusion Applications 用微型多缺口弯曲棒试件对Eurofer97的主曲线断裂韧性进行表征
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-85065
X. Chen, M. Sokolov, Y. Katoh, M. Rieth, L. Clowers
Eurofer97 is one of leading candidates of reduced activation ferritic martensitic (RAFM) steels for first wall structural materials of early demonstration fusion power plants. During fusion plant operation, high neutron irradiation damage on first wall materials can cause irradiation embrittlement and reduce the fracture toughness of RAFM steels. Therefore, it is critical to select proper testing techniques to characterize the fracture toughness of RAFM steels with high fidelity. In this manuscript, we present the feasibility study of using pre-cracked miniature multi-notch bend bar specimens (M4CVN) with a dimension of 45mm (length) × 3.3mm (width) × 1.65mm (thickness) to characterize the transition fracture toughness of Eurofer97 steel based on the ASTM E1921 Master Curve method. The testing yielded a provisional Master Curve reference temperature ToQ of −89°C of unirradiated Eurofer97 steel heat J362A in the normalized and tempered condition. The results are within the normal scatter range of Master Curve reference temperature T0 for Eurofer97 steel, indicating suitability of applying M4CVN specimens for characterizing the transition fracture toughness of Eurofer97 steel.
Eurofer97是低活化铁素体马氏体(RAFM)钢作为早期示范核聚变电站第一壁结构材料的主要候选材料之一。在核聚变装置运行过程中,高中子辐照对第一壁材料的损伤会引起辐照脆化,降低RAFM钢的断裂韧性。因此,选择合适的测试技术来表征高保真的RAFM钢的断裂韧性是至关重要的。本文提出了基于ASTM E1921主曲线法,采用尺寸为45mm(长)× 3.3mm(宽)× 1.65mm(厚)的预裂微型多缺口弯曲棒试件(M4CVN)表征Eurofer97钢过渡断裂韧性的可行性研究。测试得到未辐照的Eurofer97钢热J362A在正火和回火状态下的临时主曲线参考温度ToQ为- 89℃。结果在Eurofer97钢的主曲线参考温度T0的正态散点范围内,说明M4CVN试样用于表征Eurofer97钢的过渡断裂韧性是合适的。
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引用次数: 4
Fatigue Monitoring: Case Studies in Nuclear Power Plant 核电厂疲劳监测案例研究
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84007
G. Bourguigne, F. Schroeter
During design of Class I components in Nuclear Power Plants, cumulative usage factors (CUF) are conservatively calculated to estimate fatigue damage, and results must be below the limits of the applicable codes. Nevertheless, when these results are used to evaluate the possibility of using these components for an extended life, the results are frequently above code limits. Many Nuclear Power Plants have installed commercial fatigue monitoring systems at critical components in order to assess transient severity and cycle count for life extension fatigue calculations among other reasons. Since the commissioning of the system, unexpected operation modes and thermal stratification was discovered and evaluations needed to be done. Findings, interpretations and solving are presented in this paper.
在核电站ⅰ类构件的设计中,累积使用系数(CUF)是用来估计疲劳损伤的保守计算方法,其计算结果必须低于相关规范的限值。然而,当使用这些结果来评估延长这些组件使用寿命的可能性时,结果经常超出代码限制。许多核电站在关键部件上安装了商用疲劳监测系统,以便评估瞬态严重程度和用于延长寿命疲劳计算的循环次数。自系统调试以来,发现了意外的运行模式和热分层,需要进行评估。本文给出了研究结果、解释和解决方法。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of the Reference Temperature, T0, by Means of the Small Punch Testing Technique 用小冲孔试验技术估计参考温度T0
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84250
D. Andrés, R. Lacalle, S. Cicero, J. Álvarez, M. Pinzón
The extension of the operation period of nuclear plants requires an accurate characterisation of the vessel materials, in order to monitor their embrittlement due to neutron irradiation. This need poses a challenge, since the availability of specimens inside the vessels to characterise their evolution is rather scarce. Therefore, innovative techniques have to be applied, in order to reduce the number of tests and the volume of the specimens. In this paper, the Master Curve approach has been employed, combined with the use of small punch notched specimens. The Master Curve methodology allows to evaluate the embrittlement of the material using a single parameter: the reference temperature, T0. This parameter has been estimated for several steels by means of modified small punch specimens, which are characterised by their reduced dimensions: only 10 × 10 × 0.5 mm. The obtained results have been compared with those obtained by means of conventional testing and a methodology to estimate T0 by means of small punch tests together with the Master Curve has been proposed.
核电站运行周期的延长需要对容器材料进行准确的表征,以便监测它们因中子辐照而产生的脆化。这一需求带来了挑战,因为可用的血管内标本来描述它们的进化相当稀少。因此,必须采用创新技术,以减少试验次数和试样体积。本文采用了主曲线法,并结合小冲切试件的使用。主曲线方法允许使用单一参数评估材料的脆化:参考温度,T0。该参数已通过改进的小型冲孔试样对几种钢进行了估计,其特征是尺寸减小:仅为10 × 10 × 0.5 mm。将所得结果与常规试验结果进行了比较,并提出了利用小冲孔试验结合主曲线估算T0的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Fracture Toughness Characterization of Low Upper-Shelf Linde 80 Weld Using Mini-C(T) Specimens 用Mini-C(T)试样表征Linde 80低上架子焊缝的断裂韧性
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84967
M. Ickes, J. Hall, R. Carter
The Charpy V-notch specimen is the most commonly used specimen geometry in reactor pressure vessel irradiation surveillance programs and there is an extensive stored inventory of irradiated broken Charpy specimens. The advantage of the mini-C(T) (4mm thick C(T)) specimen technique is that multiple specimens can be machined from each half of broken irradiated Charpy specimens. Fracture toughness specimens that can be machined from broken halves of standard Charpy specimens enable the direct measurement of fracture toughness which can be used for engineering evaluation of reactor pressure vessels. Work to validate the mini-C(T) specimens has been performed mostly on unirradiated reactor pressure vessel base and weld metals . In this study, mini-C(T) specimens were tested providing fracture toughness characterization of an irradiated low upper-shelf Linde 80 weld (WF-70). This weld was utilized in the Midland beltline and has been previously well characterized at ORNL with various types and sizes of fracture toughness specimens. The mini-C(T) specimens were machined from broken previously tested Charpy V-notch size specimens which were irradiated in a material test reactor. The effect of different methods of measuring the displacement on the results is assessed. The ASTM E1921 results are compared to previous test data produced from larger fracture toughness specimens. In addition, the sensitivity of T0 to the ASTM E1921 censoring value is discussed.
夏比v型缺口试样是反应堆压力容器辐照监测计划中最常用的试样几何形状,并且有大量的辐照破碎夏比试样的存储清单。mini-C(T) (4mm厚的C(T))试样技术的优点是可以从破碎辐照夏比试样的每一半加工多个试样。断裂韧性试样可由标准夏比试样的断半加工而成,可直接测量断裂韧性,用于反应堆压力容器的工程评价。验证迷你c (T)试样的工作主要在未辐照的反应堆压力容器基座和焊接金属上进行。在这项研究中,迷你c (T)试样进行了测试,提供了辐照低上架林德80焊缝(WF-70)的断裂韧性表征。该焊缝用于米德兰腰带,并已在ORNL用各种类型和尺寸的断裂韧性试样进行了很好的表征。迷你c (T)样品是由先前测试的破碎的夏比v型缺口尺寸样品在材料试验反应堆中辐照后加工而成的。评估了不同的位移测量方法对结果的影响。ASTM E1921的结果与以前由更大断裂韧性试样产生的测试数据进行了比较。此外,还讨论了T0对ASTM E1921审查值的敏感性。
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引用次数: 1
Introduction of Technical Document in Japan for Safe Use of Ground Storage Vessels Made of Low Alloy Steels for Hydrogen Refueling Stations 日本关于加氢站用低合金钢地面储罐安全使用技术文件的介绍
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-84099
Hajime Fukumoto, Y. Wada, H. Matsunaga, Takeru Sano, Hiroshi Kobayashi
As is well known, low alloy steels are widely used as materials for high pressure vessels because of their high tensile strength and reasonable price, but also show severe hydrogen embrittlement. Therefore, in 2016, the authors introduced a scenario for the safe use of low alloy steels in highly pressurized hydrogen gas as a “Guideline” at ASME PVP 2016 [1]. Following discussions with stakeholders and experts in recent years, we published Technical Document (TD) as an industrial standard prior to regulation, on the safe use of ground storage vessels made of low alloy steels in Hydrogen Refueling Stations (HRSs) based on performance requirements. This article presents an outline of the TD describing the required types of testing as performance requirements for confirming the good hydrogen compatibility of low alloy steels, such as controlling tensile strength in an appropriate range, confirming leak-before-break, determining the life of ground storage vessels by fatigue testing and determining the inspection term by fatigue crack growth analysis using the fatigue crack growth rate in highly pressurized hydrogen.
众所周知,低合金钢因其抗拉强度高、价格合理而被广泛用作高压容器材料,但同时也表现出严重的氢脆。因此,在2016年,作者介绍了低合金钢在高压氢气中安全使用的场景,作为ASME PVP 2016[1]的“指南”。经过近年来与利益相关者和专家的讨论,我们发布了技术文件(TD),作为监管之前的工业标准,根据性能要求,在加氢站(HRSs)中安全使用低合金钢地面储存容器。本文概述了确认低合金钢良好的氢相容性所需的试验类型,如将抗拉强度控制在适当的范围内,确认断裂前泄漏,通过疲劳试验确定地面储存容器的寿命,并利用高压氢中的疲劳裂纹扩展率分析疲劳裂纹扩展来确定检查期限。
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引用次数: 1
Beyond Shakedown-Ratcheting Boundary 超越震荡-棘轮边界
Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/PVP2018-85050
R. Adibi-Asl, W. Reinhardt
The ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code (Section III and Section VIII) provides requirements to avoid a ratcheting (accumulating permanent strain) condition under cyclic thermal load application. The ratchet check in this code is based on the solutions presented by Miller in 1959. One important focus in Miller’s work was to estimate the accumulated plastic strain under cyclic loading. The existing pressure vessels and piping codes have been adopting Miller’s ratchet boundary solution where there is no cyclic plastic accumulation of strain. However, some of these codes also provide limit on accumulated plastic strain under ratcheting conditions. Since the cyclic loading also causes fatigue damage in thee component, the question how to account for the interaction of ratchet deformation, which may contribute to damage in the material, and fatigue damage arises, since the fatigue curves are obtained from tests in the absence of ratcheting. This paper investigates the solutions to calculate growth strain (incremental plastic strain) and their application in design including taking into account the interaction with fatigue. Finite element analysis is presented to validate the analytical solutions.
ASME锅炉和压力容器规范(第III节和第VIII节)规定了在循环热负荷应用下避免棘轮(累积永久应变)条件的要求。代码中的棘轮校验基于Miller在1959年提出的解决方案。米勒工作的一个重要焦点是估计循环加载下的累积塑性应变。现有的压力容器和管道规范在不存在应变循环塑性累积的情况下一直采用米勒棘轮边界解。然而,其中一些规范也规定了棘轮条件下累积塑性应变的极限。由于循环载荷也会导致三种构件的疲劳损伤,因此,由于疲劳曲线是在没有棘轮的情况下从试验中获得的,因此出现了如何解释棘轮变形(可能导致材料损伤)与疲劳损伤之间的相互作用的问题。本文研究了考虑疲劳相互作用的增长应变(增量塑性应变)的计算方法及其在设计中的应用。通过有限元分析验证了解析解的正确性。
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引用次数: 0
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