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Fat vs. Sugar: The Case for a Saturated Fat Tax in Italy. 脂肪与糖:意大利征收饱和脂肪税的案例。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4933
Valeria di Cosmo, Silvia Tiezzi

When judging the distributional impact of unhealthy food taxes, what matters is not just how much low income people would pay but how much the such taxes would benefit or harm them overall. In this paper, we assess the consumer welfare impact of a fat tax net of its expected benefits computed as savings from weight loss. Using Italian data, we estimate a censored Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) incomplete demand system for food groups, simulating changes in purchases, calorie intake, consumer welfare, and the monetary value of short-run health benefits. While the Italian government has proposed a sugar tax, we show that there is no significant excess consumption of added sugars among Italian adults. Instead, excessive fat consumption is more prevalent, making a fat tax a more compelling and effective solution to address diet-related health risks. Our results suggest costs from fat taxation are larger than benefits at all income levels. As a fraction of income, the net impact would be slightly regressively distributed.

在判断不健康食品税的分配影响时,重要的不仅仅是低收入人群将支付多少,而是这些税对他们整体的好处或坏处有多大。在本文中,我们评估了肥胖税对消费者福利的影响,其预期收益计算为减肥带来的储蓄。使用意大利的数据,我们估计了一个经过审查的精确仿射石指数(EASI)的不完全食品需求系统,模拟了购买、卡路里摄入量、消费者福利和短期健康福利的货币价值的变化。虽然意大利政府提议征收糖税,但我们的研究表明,意大利成年人并没有明显过量摄入添加糖。相反,过度脂肪消费更为普遍,这使得脂肪税成为解决与饮食有关的健康风险的更有说服力和更有效的解决方案。我们的研究结果表明,在所有收入水平上,脂肪税的成本都大于收益。作为收入的一小部分,净影响将略微呈回归分布。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of Housing Costs on Health and Satisfaction With Life Circumstances: Evidence From Australia. 住房成本对健康和生活环境满意度的影响:来自澳大利亚的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4934
Ashani Abayasekara, Jun Sung Kim, Liang Choon Wang

This paper examines the causal impacts of rising housing costs on individual health and satisfaction with life circumstances, using a fixed-effects instrumental variable approach and individual-level panel data from Australia. Relying on the historical patterns of immigrant settlement, we construct an instrumental variable that exploits exogenous variation in housing costs driven by foreign investments that flow differentially into localities. We find that rising housing costs-as measured by composite housing costs faced by homeowners and renters living in an area-have a significant positive impact on individuals' self-assessed physical health and a significant negative impact on satisfaction ratings, but no significant impact on self-assessed emotional health. Heterogeneity analysis suggests that the positive effects on physical health are mainly concentrated among homeowners, the well-educated, and older individuals.

本文使用固定效应工具变量方法和来自澳大利亚的个人水平面板数据,研究了住房成本上升对个人健康和生活环境满意度的因果影响。根据移民定居的历史模式,我们构建了一个工具变量,该变量利用由流入不同地区的外国投资驱动的住房成本的外生变化。我们发现,住房成本的上升——由居住在一个地区的房主和租房者所面临的综合住房成本衡量——对个人自我评估的身体健康有显著的积极影响,对满意度有显著的消极影响,但对自我评估的情绪健康没有显著影响。异质性分析表明,对身体健康的积极影响主要集中在房主、受过良好教育的人和老年人中。
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引用次数: 0
Cash-Out Puzzle and Long-Term Care Insurance: Welfare of the Elderly. 套现难题与长期护理保险:老年人福利。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4935
Xiaoyan Lei, Chunfeng Zhang

This study investigates the effects of diverse payment methods within long-term care insurance (LTCI) on the well-being of elderly individuals, encompassing both in-kind and cash payments. Utilizing panel data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS), we leverage a generalized difference-in-differences (DID) approach and the LTCI pilots across various Chinese cities to identify the impacts of different LTCI payment methods. Our findings indicate that an in-kind LTCI policy significantly decreases the one-year mortality of older adults, with significant improvements on ADL-related care receipt as well as health status. Conversely, no significant impacts are observed under the framework of a cash LTCI policy. We term the weaker effects regarding older adults in cash LTCI policy versus in-kind LTCI policy as "the cash-out puzzle". Our findings emphasize the critical importance of developing right incentives of LTCI payment schemes thoughtfully worldwide.

本研究调查了长期护理保险(LTCI)中不同支付方式对老年人福祉的影响,包括实物和现金支付。利用中国纵向健康寿命调查(CLHLS)的面板数据,我们利用广义差中差(DID)方法和中国各城市的LTCI试点来确定不同LTCI支付方式的影响。我们的研究结果表明,实物LTCI政策显著降低了老年人的一年死亡率,显著改善了与adl相关的护理收据和健康状况。相反,在现金LTCI政策框架下,没有观察到显著的影响。我们将现金LTCI政策与实物LTCI政策对老年人的影响较弱称为“套现难题”。我们的研究结果强调了在全球范围内深思熟虑地制定LTCI支付方案的正确激励措施的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Value of Informal Care: Contingent Valuation From the Perspective of Caregivers and Care Recipients in China. 非正式照护的经济价值:中国照护者与受护者视角下的条件评估
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4927
Hongli Fan, Jinyan Gao, Lu Chen, Zixuan Peng, Peter C Coyte

We estimated the monetary value of informal care from the perspectives of informal caregivers and care recipients in China using the contingent valuation method. Data were obtained from a specially designed survey of 1458 informal caregivers and 972 care recipients. The mean for caregivers' willingness to pay (WTP) for reducing informal care by 1 h per week was CNY32.37 (€4.11), while the mean for willingness to accept (WTA) increasing informal care by 1 h was CNY46.21 (€5.87). The mean for care recipients' WTP (WTA) values for increasing or reducing informal care by 1 h per week were CNY28.74 (€3.65) and CNY44.78 (€5.69), respectively. The WTP and WTA values varied according to care hours and tasks, kinship, and living arrangements, and correlated with the characteristics of both caregivers and care recipients. The WTP and WTA values were also sensitive to a broad range of factors such as health, level of education, employment status, and household income. We highlight the contribution made by informal caregivers to elderly care and recommend the promotion of informal care activities to support and incentivize them.

本文采用条件评估方法,从中国非正式照顾者和被照顾者的角度对非正式照顾的货币价值进行了估算。数据来自一项特别设计的调查,调查对象为1458名非正式照顾者和972名照顾者。护理人员每周减少1小时非正式护理的支付意愿(WTP)均值为32.37元(4.11欧元),每周增加1小时非正式护理的接受意愿(WTA)均值为46.21元(5.87欧元)。每周增加或减少1小时非正式护理的护理对象WTP (WTA)值的平均值分别为28.74元(3.65欧元)和44.78元(5.69欧元)。WTP和WTA值随照顾时间和任务、亲属关系和生活安排而变化,并与照顾者和被照顾者的特征相关。WTP和WTA值对健康、教育水平、就业状况和家庭收入等多种因素也很敏感。我们强调非正式护理人员对老年人护理的贡献,并建议促进非正式护理活动,以支持和激励他们。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of City Life on Nutrition: Evidence From Resettlement Lotteries in China. 城市生活对营养的影响:来自中国移民彩票的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-05 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4925
Ganxiao Leng, Huanguang Qiu, Mateusz Filipski

Urban environments are thought to improve food security, by offering enhanced access to markets and income opportunities. Yet this idea is hard to test empirically due to an abundance of confounding factors and selection issues. This study leverages a resettlement program in China to provide the first quasi-experimental estimate of city life on food consumption and nutrition among low-income households. Lottery-determined timing of resettlement enables causal inference. We base our empirics on a 3-year panel and a range of difference-in-differences and matching methodologies. We find that those who were resettled to towns significantly increased both food consumption and diet variety, with increased intake of several macro- and micro-nutrients. Diet quality mostly improved, but we also found signs of over-consumption, notably of carbohydrates. Our evidence further suggests that our impacts are primarily due to improved market access. This stands in contrast to recent literature that finds little or no effect of living environments on food consumption. Instead, we reveal a significant impact of urban environments in shaping diets, bolstering the notion that supply-side channels do matter in some contexts.

城市环境被认为通过提供更多的市场准入和收入机会来改善粮食安全。然而,由于大量的混杂因素和选择问题,这一观点很难进行实证检验。本研究利用中国的一个移民安置项目,首次对城市生活中低收入家庭的食物消费和营养状况进行了准实验估计。抽签决定的重新安置时间使因果推理成为可能。我们的经验基于3年的面板和一系列差异中的差异和匹配方法。我们发现,那些被安置到城镇的人的食物消费量和饮食种类都显著增加,几种宏量和微量营养素的摄入量都有所增加。饮食质量基本上得到了改善,但我们也发现了过度消费的迹象,尤其是碳水化合物。我们的证据进一步表明,我们的影响主要是由于改善了市场准入。这与最近发现生活环境对食物消费影响很小或没有影响的文献形成鲜明对比。相反,我们揭示了城市环境在塑造饮食方面的重大影响,支持了供应侧渠道在某些情况下确实重要的概念。
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引用次数: 0
Adding to the Woes: Heterogeneous Effects of Air Pollution on Pandemic Patients. 雪上加霜的是:空气污染对流行病患者的不同影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4930
Mengdi Liu, Xin Zhao

While the direct health impacts of air pollution are widely discussed, its indirect effects, particularly during pandemics, are less explored. Utilizing detailed individual-level data from all designated hospitals in Wuhan during the initial COVID-19 outbreak, we examine the impact of air pollution exposure on treatment costs and health outcomes for COVID-19 patients. Our findings reveal that patients exposed more intensively to air pollution, identified by their residence in downwind areas of high-polluting enterprises, not only had worsened health outcomes but also consumed more medical resources. This increased demand is primarily due to their heightened vulnerability to cardiopulmonary conditions. Using a causal machine learning method called Causal Forests to estimate individual treatment effects, we uncover significant heterogeneity across demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, with older and economically disadvantaged patients showing particular vulnerability. These findings highlight the importance of considering environmental factors in pandemic preparedness and suggest the value of targeted interventions that account for demographic and socioeconomic variations in vulnerability.

虽然人们广泛讨论空气污染对健康的直接影响,但对其间接影响,特别是在大流行期间的间接影响却很少探讨。利用COVID-19暴发初期武汉市所有指定医院的详细个人数据,我们研究了空气污染暴露对COVID-19患者治疗成本和健康结果的影响。我们的研究结果表明,空气污染程度越高的患者,其居住在高污染企业的下风区域,不仅健康状况恶化,而且消耗更多的医疗资源。这种增加的需求主要是由于他们对心肺疾病的脆弱性增加。使用一种称为因果森林的因果机器学习方法来估计个体治疗效果,我们发现了人口统计学和社会经济特征之间的显著异质性,老年人和经济弱势患者表现出特别的脆弱性。这些发现突出了在大流行防范中考虑环境因素的重要性,并表明了考虑到脆弱性的人口和社会经济差异的有针对性干预措施的价值。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Compulsory Schooling on Vaccination Against COVID. 义务教育对预防COVID疫苗接种的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4929
Daniel Monsees, Hendrik Schmitz

We study the effect of education on vaccination against COVID in Germany in a sample of individuals above the age of 60. In ordinary least squares regressions, we find that, in this age group, one more year of education goes along with a 0.7 percentage point increase in the likelihood to get a COVID vaccination. In two stage least squares regressions where changes in compulsory schooling laws are used as exogenous variation for education, the effect of an additional year of education is estimated to be zero. The results hold for the compliers to the policy change which are older individuals at the lowest margin of education.

我们在德国60岁以上的个体样本中研究了教育对COVID疫苗接种的影响。在普通最小二乘回归中,我们发现,在这个年龄组中,每多受一年教育,获得COVID疫苗接种的可能性就会增加0.7个百分点。在两阶段最小二乘回归中,义务教育法的变化被用作教育的外生变化,估计额外一年教育的影响为零。该结果适用于政策变化的顺应者,即受教育程度最低的老年人。
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引用次数: 0
Green Cities, Healthier Children: The Effect of Expanding Urban Green Space on Body Weight for Primary School Starters 绿色城市,健康儿童:扩大城市绿地对小学新生体重的影响
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4921
Josefine Koebe

The discussion on tackling childhood obesity is often centered around fostering physical activity. A potential relationship yet overlooked could run from providing the proper environment for healthy lifestyles to reduced weight problems. A unique quasi-experimental setting of transforming former airport grounds to a large urban green space allows me to apply a difference-in-differences approach within an intention-to-treat framework, comparing several weight outcomes of residential children to children living further away before and after park opening. I use new administrative data on the Berlin district level from mandatory school entrance examinations and provide robust evidence of a lower probability by 4.3% points for treated children to be overweight (BMI > 90 P.), driven entirely by girls, mainly by children from foreign cultural backgrounds and children with less childcare exposure. My results are robust to corrective methods of inference, including synthetic controls, and may open a new perspective for obesity policy action and prevention.

关于解决儿童肥胖问题的讨论往往以促进体育活动为中心。一种被忽视的潜在关系可能是从为健康的生活方式提供适当的环境到减少体重问题。将前机场场地转变为大型城市绿地的独特准实验环境使我能够在意向治疗框架内应用差异中的差异方法,比较公园开放前后居住儿童与居住在更远地方的儿童的几种体重结果。我使用了柏林地区强制性入学考试的新行政数据,并提供了强有力的证据,证明接受治疗的儿童超重(BMI bbb90 p)的概率降低了4.3%,主要是女孩,主要是来自外国文化背景的儿童和儿童较少的儿童。我的研究结果对包括综合控制在内的纠正推理方法具有鲁棒性,并可能为肥胖政策行动和预防开辟新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Are E-Cigarettes Substitutes or Complements to Combustible Cigarettes Among Youths? Evidence From Canada. 电子烟是可燃香烟的替代品还是补充?来自加拿大的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4926
Hai V Nguyen, Shweta Mital

Existing evidence on whether e-cigarettes are substitutes or complements to combustible cigarettes is limited and mixed. We revisit this question using nationally-representative Canadian survey data over 14 years (2004-2017) and difference-in-differences methods that exploit the staggered adoption of e-cigarette Minimum Legal Age (MLA) laws in Canadian provinces between 2015 and 2017. We study the laws' effects not only on youth smoking but also on smoking initiation and cessation to shed light on the mechanisms through which these laws affect youth smoking. We find that the relationship between e-cigarette use and combustible cigarette use depends on smoking status of youths. While the MLA laws reduced smoking initiation among youth non-smokers, they made existing youth smokers less likely to quit smoking. Our results highlight the tradeoffs between lower smoking initiation and lower smoking cessation associated with policies that aim to reduce youth e-cigarette use.

关于电子烟是否是可燃香烟的替代品或补充的现有证据有限且混杂。我们利用14年来(2004-2017年)具有全国代表性的加拿大调查数据,以及利用2015年至2017年加拿大各省交错采用电子烟最低法定年龄(MLA)法律的差异中之差方法,重新审视了这个问题。我们不仅研究了这些法律对青少年吸烟的影响,还研究了这些法律对青少年吸烟的影响,以揭示这些法律影响青少年吸烟的机制。我们发现电子烟使用与可燃香烟使用之间的关系取决于青少年的吸烟状况。虽然MLA法律减少了青少年非吸烟者的吸烟开始,但它们使现有的青少年吸烟者不太可能戒烟。我们的研究结果强调了与旨在减少青少年电子烟使用的政策相关的低吸烟率和低戒烟率之间的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Health Professional Shortage Area Bonus Payments and Access to Care Under Medicare. 医疗专业人员短缺地区的奖金支付和医疗保险下的医疗服务。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4924
Christopher S Brunt

For over 3 decades, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has provided a bonus payment for outpatient physician services provided to beneficiaries under Medicare Part B in areas designated as Primary Care Health Professional Shortage Areas (HPSAs) during the previous calendar year. Despite the longstanding existence of the program, no studies have explicitly evaluated how previously established physicians practicing in areas subject to an HPSA designation respond to the bonus payments. Using 2012-2019 physician-level data with stacked event study models that control for several characteristics, including the underlying criteria used to construct HPSA scores, I find little to no statistically significant changes in access to care (as measured through total annual beneficiaries treated or services delivered to Medicare beneficiaries) in the years leading up to HPSA designation. However, once physicians become eligible for a 10% bonus payment, their annual number of beneficiaries treated and volume of services decline, consistent with recent empirical work and CMS's actuarial assumptions about how physicians respond to changes in reimbursement.

30多年来,医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心(CMS)为医疗保险B部分受益人在指定为初级保健专业人员短缺地区(hpsa)的前一个日历年度提供门诊医生服务提供了奖金。尽管该项目长期存在,但没有研究明确评估在HPSA指定领域执业的医生对奖金的反应。使用2012-2019年医生级别的数据和堆叠事件研究模型,控制了几个特征,包括用于构建HPSA评分的基本标准,我发现在HPSA指定之前的几年里,获得医疗服务的机会(通过每年接受治疗的受益人总数或向医疗保险受益人提供的服务来衡量)几乎没有统计学上的显著变化。然而,一旦医生有资格获得10%的奖金,他们每年治疗的受益人人数和服务量就会下降,这与最近的实证研究和CMS关于医生如何应对报销变化的精算假设是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
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Health economics
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