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Comparing methods for estimating causal treatment effects of administrative health data: A plasmode simulation study 比较估算行政健康数据因果治疗效果的方法:质谱模拟研究
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4891
Vanessa Ress, Eva‐Maria Wild
Estimating the causal effects of health policy interventions is crucial for policymaking but is challenging when using real‐world administrative health care data due to a lack of methodological guidance. To help fill this gap, we conducted a plasmode simulation using such data from a recent policy initiative launched in a deprived urban area in Germany. Our aim was to evaluate and compare the following methods for estimating causal effects: propensity score matching, inverse probability of treatment weighting, and entropy balancing, all combined with difference‐in‐differences analysis, augmented inverse probability weighting, and targeted maximum likelihood estimation. Additionally, we estimated nuisance parameters using regression models and an ensemble learner called superlearner. We focused on treatment effects related to the number of physician visits, total health care cost, and hospitalization. While each approach has its strengths and weaknesses, our results demonstrate that the superlearner generally worked well for handling nuisance terms in large covariate sets when combined with doubly robust estimation methods to estimate the causal contrast of interest. In contrast, regression‐based nuisance parameter estimation worked best in small covariate sets when combined with singly robust methods.
估算医疗政策干预措施的因果效应对政策制定至关重要,但由于缺乏方法指导,在使用真实世界的行政医疗数据时却面临挑战。为了填补这一空白,我们利用最近在德国一个贫困城市地区推出的一项政策措施中的此类数据进行了质谱模拟。我们的目的是评估和比较以下几种估算因果效应的方法:倾向得分匹配法、逆概率治疗加权法和熵平衡法,所有这些方法都与差异分析、增强逆概率加权法和目标最大似然估算相结合。此外,我们还使用回归模型和称为超级学习器的集合学习器估算了干扰参数。我们重点研究了与就诊次数、总医疗费用和住院治疗相关的治疗效果。虽然每种方法都有其优缺点,但我们的结果表明,当结合双重稳健估计方法来估计感兴趣的因果对比时,超级学习器通常能很好地处理大型协变量集中的滋扰项。相比之下,基于回归的滋扰参数估计与单稳健方法相结合时,在小型协变量集中效果最佳。
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引用次数: 0
Do longer job hours matter for maternal mental health? A longitudinal analysis of single versus partnered mothers. 延长工作时间对产妇心理健康有影响吗?对单身母亲和有伴侣母亲的纵向分析。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4895
Julija Simpson, John Wildman, Clare Bambra, Heather Brown

Over the past decade, single mothers have experienced increasing work requirements both in the UK and in other developed countries. Our aim was to examine if increasing job hours are associated with mental health of single mothers compared to partnered mothers. Using 13 waves of the Understanding Society Survey (2009-2023), we estimated the relationship between changing job hours and mental health using difference-in-difference event study design, accounting for differential treatment effects across time and individuals. We also investigated the role of potential mechanisms, including role strain and additional income. Our findings suggest that increasing job hours from part-time to full-time is associated with an instantaneous decrease in mental health of 0.19 standard deviations for single mothers [95% CI: -0.37;-0.01], with no effect for partnered mothers. Further analyses suggest increased role strain for single mothers as a mechanism helping explain these differences. The negative effects of increasing job hours and increased role strain should be considered when developing future welfare policies for single mothers, to ensure that greater work requirements do not undermine the mental health of the already vulnerable population group.

在过去十年中,英国和其他发达国家的单身母亲都面临着越来越多的工作要求。我们的目的是研究与有伴侣的母亲相比,工作时间的增加是否与单亲母亲的心理健康有关。我们利用 13 次 "了解社会调查"(2009-2023 年),采用 "差分事件研究设计 "估计了工作时间变化与心理健康之间的关系,并考虑了不同时间和个人的不同处理效果。我们还研究了潜在机制的作用,包括角色压力和额外收入。我们的研究结果表明,单亲母亲的工作时间从兼职增加到全职,会使其心理健康水平瞬间下降 0.19 个标准差[95% CI:-0.37;-0.01],而对有伴侣的母亲则没有影响。进一步的分析表明,单亲母亲的角色压力增加是造成这些差异的一个原因。在制定未来的单亲母亲福利政策时,应考虑到增加工作时间和增加角色压力的负面影响,以确保更高的工作要求不会损害这个本已脆弱的群体的心理健康。
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引用次数: 0
The price elasticity of heated tobacco and cigarette demand: Empirical evaluation across countries. 加热烟草和卷烟需求的价格弹性:各国的经验评估。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4888
Estelle Dauchy, Ce Shang

The market for heated tobacco products (HTPs) has grown rapidly in recent years, and many governments have started to include HTPs in tax codes to regulate their use. Currently, the evidence on how HTP prices impact tobacco use behaviors or whether consumers consider them as economic substitutes for cigarettes is lacking. This study is the first to answer these questions with a unique database to assess the own- and cross- price elasticities of HTP and cigarette demand. We collect a unique database of quarterly retail prices and sales of heated tobacco units and comparable scale cigarettes from 2014 to 2022, available for most countries where both HTPs and cigarettes are sold, and estimate the own- and cross- price elasticities of cigarette and HTP demand using a seemingly unrelated regression model. We find that HTP demand is price elastic (i.e., sensitive to prices) and has an own-price elasticity of -1.2 to -1.3, about four times greater than the own-price elasticity of cigarettes, which is about -0.3. We also find that cigarettes and HTPs are weak economic substitutes: while HTP demand is responsive to higher cigarette prices, cigarette demand is not sensitive to HTP prices. Our results suggest that tax policies that increase HTP and cigarette prices simultaneously will reduce HTP consumption without increasing cigarette consumption.

近年来,加热烟草制品(HTPs)市场增长迅速,许多国家政府已开始将加热烟草制品纳入税法,以规范其使用。目前,关于加热烟草制品的价格如何影响烟草使用行为,以及消费者是否认为加热烟草制品是香烟的经济替代品等问题还缺乏证据。本研究首次利用独特的数据库来回答这些问题,评估 HTP 和卷烟需求的自身价格弹性和交叉价格弹性。我们收集了 2014 年至 2022 年加热烟草单位和同等规模卷烟的季度零售价格和销售额的独特数据库,该数据库适用于同时销售加热烟草单位和卷烟的大多数国家,并使用看似无关的回归模型估算了卷烟和加热烟草单位需求的自身价格弹性和交叉价格弹性。我们发现 HTP 需求具有价格弹性(即对价格敏感),其自身价格弹性为-1.2 至-1.3,约为香烟自身价格弹性的四倍,后者约为-0.3。我们还发现,香烟和 HTP 是弱经济替代品:虽然 HTP 需求对香烟价格上涨有反应,但香烟需求对 HTP 价格并不敏感。我们的结果表明,同时提高 HTP 和香烟价格的税收政策会减少 HTP 的消费,而不会增加香烟的消费。
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引用次数: 0
Eliciting public preferences across health and wellbeing dimensions: An equivalent income value set for SIPHER-7. 激发公众对健康和福祉各方面的偏好:SIPHER-7 的等值收入集。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4890
An Ta, Bert Van Landeghem, Aki Tsuchiya

The call for "health and wellbeing in all policies" requires a preference-based measure that collapses multi-dimensional health and wellbeing into a single index, such as equivalent income. We aim to elicit preferences of the UK general public to estimate a value set for a suite of seven commonly used wellbeing indicators including health, income, and other dimensions, in terms of equivalent income. Secondly, we examine heterogeneous preferences by gender, by age, and by income. Thirdly, we explore the stability of preferences, since the survey took place amid the pandemic, possibly affecting preferences over health and wellbeing. Effects of attrition and of time are distinguished. Data were collected online across two waves using Discrete Choice Experiments through an internet panel (N1 = 3362; and N2 = 3357). The regression coefficients for all the ordered attribute levels have the expected sign, are significant, and ordered. Equivalent income was found to vary up to 10% by gender and by age (both significant) and 4% by income (not significant), while the effect of time was up to 16% (significant). The study facilitates the calculation of overall wellbeing in terms of equivalent income based on the preferences of the UK public, where the relevant wellbeing indicators are available.

呼吁 "将健康和福祉纳入所有政策 "需要一种基于偏好的衡量标准,将多维度的健康和福祉整合为单一指数,如等值收入。我们的目标是征求英国普通公众的偏好,以估算包括健康、收入和其他方面在内的七项常用福祉指标的等值收入价值集。其次,我们研究了不同性别、年龄和收入的异质性偏好。第三,我们探讨了偏好的稳定性,因为调查是在大流行病期间进行的,这可能会影响人们对健康和福祉的偏好。我们还区分了自然减员和时间的影响。我们通过互联网面板(N1 = 3362;N2 = 3357),采用离散选择实验法在线收集了两波数据。所有有序属性水平的回归系数都具有预期的符号、显著性和有序性。研究发现,性别和年龄对等值收入的影响高达 10%(均显著),收入对等值收入的影响为 4%(不显著),而时间对等值收入的影响高达 16%(显著)。这项研究有助于根据英国公众的偏好,在可获得相关福祉指标的情况下,以等值收入计算总体福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Specification of the health production function and its behavioral implications. 健康生产函数的规范及其对行为的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4883
Kristian Bolin, Michael R Caputo

The health production function of the canonical health-capital model is generalized to allow the state of health to affect the total and marginal products of health investment. If the total and marginal products of health investment are nonincreasing functions of the state of health, then the solution of the generalized model is locally qualitatively identical to that of the canonical model. Moreover, and in contrast to the canonical model, the generalized model is able to rationalize the cycling of the state of health and health investment observed in some individuals. The necessary conditions on the health production function for cyclical behavior are identified as well.

对典型健康资本模型的健康生产函数进行广义化,使健康状况影响健康投资的总产品和边际产品。如果健康投资的总产品和边际产品是健康状况的非递增函数,那么广义模型的解在局部上与标准模型的解在性质上是相同的。此外,与典型模型不同的是,广义模型能够合理解释在某些个体身上观察到的健康状况和健康投资的循环。该模型还确定了周期性行为的健康生产函数的必要条件。
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引用次数: 0
Money and mental health: The impact of intergenerational transfers on elderly people in China. 金钱与心理健康:代际转移对中国老年人的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4887
Simon Appleton, Jinying Huang, Xuyan Lou, Minghai Zhou

Using three waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, this paper examines whether financial transfers from adult children to elderly parents affect the latter's mental health. Both OLS and instrumental variable (IV) estimates show that financial transfers significantly attenuate depressive symptoms of elderly individuals, with a much larger size of the IV estimates. We also examine the income and cultural channels through which intergenerational transfers work and further discuss the explanatory powers of these two channels through a decomposition analysis. The results suggest the cultural channel accounts for a larger proportion of the financial transfer effect. This means that the unique beneficial impact of intergenerational financial transfers on the mental health of older adults cannot be fully substituted in the foreseeable future.

本文利用中国健康与退休纵向研究(China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study)的三个波次,研究了成年子女对老年父母的经济转移是否会影响后者的心理健康。OLS 和工具变量(IV)估计值均显示,经济转移显著减轻了老年人的抑郁症状,IV 估计值的规模更大。我们还研究了代际转移所通过的收入和文化渠道,并通过分解分析进一步讨论了这两个渠道的解释力。结果表明,文化渠道在经济转移效应中所占的比例更大。这意味着在可预见的未来,代际资金转移对老年人心理健康的独特有益影响是无法完全替代的。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of rural hospital closures on nurse staffing levels and health care utilization at nearby hospitals. 农村医院关闭对附近医院护士配备水平和医疗服务利用率的影响。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4889
Jing Dong, Siying Liu, Asefeh Faraz Covelli, Guido Cataife

Our study examines the causal effect of rural hospital closures on nearby hospitals' nurse staffing levels and health care utilization. We use data from the 2014-2019 American Hospital Association Survey on nurse staffing level outcomes including licensed practical or vocational nurses (LPNs), registered nurses (RNs), and advanced practice nurses (APNs); and health care utilization outcomes, including inpatient and outpatient surgical operations and emergency department (ED) visits. Using propensity score matching and difference-in-differences (DID) methods, we find that rural hospital closures lead to an average increase of 37.3% in the number of nurses in nearby rural hospitals during the 4 years following the closure. This increase is found across all categories of nurses, including LPNs, RNs, and APNs. We also find a substantial increase in the provision of inpatient and outpatient surgical operations but there is no change in ED visits. We do not find any effects for nearby urban hospitals. Our study suggests that a large proportion of the nursing workforce relocates to nearby hospitals after a rural hospital closure, which mitigates the negative consequences of such closures and allows these nearby hospitals to provide a larger volume of highly profitable services.

我们的研究探讨了乡村医院关闭对附近医院护士人员配备水平和医疗服务利用率的因果影响。我们使用的数据来自 2014-2019 年美国医院协会调查,内容涉及护士人员配备水平结果,包括执业或职业护士 (LPN)、注册护士 (RN) 和高级执业护士 (APN);以及医疗保健利用率结果,包括住院和门诊手术以及急诊科 (ED) 就诊。利用倾向得分匹配和差分法(DID),我们发现乡镇医院关闭会导致附近乡镇医院的护士人数在医院关闭后的 4 年内平均增加 37.3%。这一增长体现在所有类别的护士中,包括初级护士、护士和助理护士。我们还发现,住院病人和门诊病人的外科手术量大幅增加,但急诊室就诊人数没有变化。我们没有发现附近城市医院受到任何影响。我们的研究表明,农村医院关闭后,很大一部分护理人员会迁移到附近的医院,从而减轻了医院关闭带来的负面影响,并使这些附近的医院能够提供更多的高利润服务。
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引用次数: 0
Air pollution, viral spread and health outcomes evidence from strikes in France. 来自法国罢工的空气污染、病毒传播和健康结果证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4884
Alexandre Godzinski, Milena Suarez Castillo

To evidence the impact of air pollution on the health of urban populations, several studies use natural experiments that shift commuting from public transport to cars (or vice-versa). However, as public transport use declines, reduced interpersonal contact may lead to slower virus spread and thus lower respiratory morbidity. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we show that respiratory hospitalisations are both positively affected by air pollution and negatively affected by viral spread following partial unavailability of public transport due to strikes in the ten most populated French cities during the period 2010-2015. Our results are in line with studies in other countries that have found a significant increase in urgent respiratory hospitalisations following a public transport strike, most likely due to car pollution, but we also find a detectable interaction with viral spread, which should not be overlooked when interpreting these studies.

为了证明空气污染对城市人口健康的影响,一些研究使用了自然实验,将通勤从公共交通转移到汽车(或反之亦然)。然而,随着公共交通使用的减少,人际接触的减少可能会导致病毒传播的减缓,从而降低呼吸道疾病的发病率。我们采用差分法研究表明,2010-2015 年间,在法国人口最稠密的十个城市中,由于罢工导致部分公共交通无法使用,呼吸道住院率受到空气污染的正面影响,同时也受到病毒传播的负面影响。我们的研究结果与其他国家的研究结果一致,这些国家的研究发现,公共交通罢工后,呼吸道急诊住院人数显著增加,这很可能是由于汽车污染造成的,但我们也发现了与病毒传播之间可检测到的相互作用,在解释这些研究时不应忽视这一点。
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引用次数: 0
From prevention to treatment: Prescription medication, information, and health behaviors. 从预防到治疗:处方药、信息和健康行为。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4885
Danea Horn

Medical innovations may lessen the perceived risk of disease which can decrease the take-up of healthy behaviors, a phenomenon known as risk compensation. In contrast, a diagnosis provides updated information about the state of one's health which may motivate positive behavior change. In this paper, I consider how behavior changes in response to a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease (CVD) before and after the FDA approval of new classes of drugs to treat high blood pressure and high cholesterol in 1973. I find that individuals diagnosed with CVD are more likely to follow a diet and decrease body-mass index in response to the diagnosis, irrespective of medication approvals. Nonsmoking is a notable exception. Prior to medication availability, there is no change in smoking behavior in response to a CVD diagnosis. Conversely, when medication is available, there is a significant decline in smoking. The empirical complementarity of medication and smoking cessation may be driven by increased exposure to medical professionals (who emphasize the harms of smoking) or because medication decreases the risk of CVD death which heightens the importance of investing in future health.

医疗创新可能会降低人们感知到的疾病风险,从而减少健康行为的采取,这种现象被称为风险补偿。与此相反,诊断提供了有关个人健康状况的最新信息,这可能会促使人们做出积极的行为改变。在本文中,我考虑了在 1973 年美国食品及药物管理局批准治疗高血压和高胆固醇的新药类别前后,行为如何因心血管疾病(CVD)诊断而发生变化。我发现,无论药物是否获得批准,被诊断患有心血管疾病的人更有可能在确诊后遵循饮食习惯并降低体重指数。不吸烟是一个明显的例外。在获得药物治疗之前,吸烟行为不会因心血管疾病的诊断而发生改变。相反,一旦有了药物,吸烟率就会显著下降。药物治疗与戒烟的经验互补性可能是由于接触医疗专业人士(他们强调吸烟的危害)的机会增多,也可能是因为药物治疗降低了心血管疾病死亡的风险,从而提高了投资未来健康的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Medicaid expansion and opioid prescriptions: Evidence from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. 医疗补助扩展与阿片类药物处方:来自医疗支出小组调查的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4886
Chandler McClellan, Asako Moriya

Evidence is mixed on whether increased access to insurance, specifically through the ACA's Medicaid expansion, exacerbated the opioid public health crisis through increased opioid prescribing. Using survey data on retail prescription drug fills from 2008 to 2019, we did not find a significant relationship between Medicaid expansion and opioid prescribing in the newly eligible Medicaid population. It may be that the dangers of opioids were known well enough by the time of the Medicaid expansion that lack of access to care was no longer a binding constraint on opioid prescription receipt.

关于获得保险的机会增加,特别是通过 ACA 的医疗补助扩展,是否会通过增加阿片类药物处方而加剧阿片类药物公共卫生危机,证据不一。通过对 2008 年至 2019 年零售处方药使用情况的调查数据,我们没有发现医疗补助计划的扩大与新符合医疗补助计划的人群开具阿片类药物处方之间存在显著关系。这可能是因为在扩大医疗补助计划时,人们对阿片类药物的危害已经有了足够的认识,因此无法获得医疗服务不再是限制阿片类药物处方的约束因素。
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引用次数: 0
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Health economics
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