{"title":"The Cowles Summer Research Conferences on Economics and Statistics 1935-1940: Building a Community for Mathematical Economics and Econometrics","authors":"Robert W. Dimand","doi":"10.3917/redp.315.0059","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.315.0059","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122193157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From Multidisciplinarity to Interdisciplinarity: on The Role of the Seminar as an Interface for Exchange, The case of the Seminar on Trust and Social change (1985-1986)","authors":"Nicolas Camilotto","doi":"10.3917/redp.315.0085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.315.0085","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114876770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"They Never Walked Alone. Workshop, Seminars, Conferences and the Making of Virginia Political Economy","authors":"Peter J. Boettke, A. Marciano, Solomon Stein","doi":"10.3917/redp.315.0011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.315.0011","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114948114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Back to Front: The Role of Seminars, Conferences and Workshops in the History of Economics. Preface to the Second Issue","authors":"Béatrice Cherrier, Aurélien W. Saïdi","doi":"10.3917/redp.315.0005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.315.0005","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"136 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122754463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Army of Fighters for Freedom. The social environment of the first Mont-Pèlerin Society conference","authors":"Ola Innset","doi":"10.3917/redp.315.0035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.315.0035","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128401258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nombre d’etudes soulignent le role crucial des annees de formation doctorale et post-doctorale dans le choix des thematiques de recherche et l’orientation de la carriere des jeunes chercheurs. Elles identifient les interactions personnelles et le contexte institutionnel comme des facteurs-clefs de la construction des carrieres academiques. Neanmoins, ces aspects n’ont recu qu’une attention limitee dans le domaine de l’economie. Dans cet article, nous analysons la creation et le developpement du Columbia Labour Workshop, fonde au debut des annees soixante par Gary Becker et Jacob Mincer. Ce workshop s’est revele decisif dans l’elaboration et la diffusion de la theorie du capital humain et de l’analyse neoclassique du travail, en raison notamment de la marque qu’il a su imprimer sur la formation des jeunes chercheurs passes par Columbia, qu’il s’agisse des doctorants, d’universitaires en visite ou de chercheurs associes. L’article detaille l’histoire du workshop, au travers de son organisation, de ses participants, ou encore des thematiques abordees, et la replace dans le contexte plus general de la formation au domaine de l’economie du travail a cette epoque. Nous reflechissons aux facteurs qui ont contribue a son succes dans les annees 1960 et au debut des annees 1970, puis a son declin a la fin des annees 1970.
{"title":"The Columbia Labor Workshop – The Rise and Decline of an Intellectual Community","authors":"P. Teixeira","doi":"10.3917/redp.314.0061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.314.0061","url":null,"abstract":"Nombre d’etudes soulignent le role crucial des annees de formation doctorale et post-doctorale dans le choix des thematiques de recherche et l’orientation de la carriere des\u0000jeunes chercheurs. Elles identifient les interactions personnelles et le contexte institutionnel comme des facteurs-clefs de la construction des carrieres academiques. Neanmoins, ces aspects n’ont recu qu’une attention limitee dans le domaine de l’economie.\u0000Dans cet article, nous analysons la creation et le developpement du Columbia Labour\u0000Workshop, fonde au debut des annees soixante par Gary Becker et Jacob Mincer. Ce\u0000workshop s’est revele decisif dans l’elaboration et la diffusion de la theorie du capital\u0000humain et de l’analyse neoclassique du travail, en raison notamment de la marque qu’il\u0000a su imprimer sur la formation des jeunes chercheurs passes par Columbia, qu’il\u0000s’agisse des doctorants, d’universitaires en visite ou de chercheurs associes. L’article\u0000detaille l’histoire du workshop, au travers de son organisation, de ses participants, ou\u0000encore des thematiques abordees, et la replace dans le contexte plus general de la\u0000formation au domaine de l’economie du travail a cette epoque. Nous reflechissons aux\u0000facteurs qui ont contribue a son succes dans les annees 1960 et au debut des annees\u00001970, puis a son declin a la fin des annees 1970.","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"144 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123577720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The benchmark rational expectations (RE) assumption both assumes an unrealistic degree of rationality for economic agents and fails to address how agents would come to coordinate on an equilibrium. This essay reviews how theories of learning, and more specifically adaptive learning, address these issues and can lead to policy conclusions distinct from those obtained under RE. Applications discussed include monetary policy in New Keynesian models, the neoFisherian policy view, inflation targets, hyperinflation models, and macroeconomic policy to avoid stagnation at the zero lower bound. JEL classification: E62, E63, E52, D84, D83, E31, E32, E71
{"title":"Theories of Learning and Economic Policy","authors":"G. Evans","doi":"10.3917/REDP.313.0265","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/REDP.313.0265","url":null,"abstract":"The benchmark rational expectations (RE) assumption both assumes an unrealistic degree of rationality for economic agents and fails to address how agents would come to coordinate on an equilibrium. This essay reviews how theories of learning, and more specifically adaptive learning, address these issues and can lead to policy conclusions distinct from those obtained under RE. Applications discussed include monetary policy in New Keynesian models, the neoFisherian policy view, inflation targets, hyperinflation models, and macroeconomic policy to avoid stagnation at the zero lower bound. JEL classification: E62, E63, E52, D84, D83, E31, E32, E71","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"361 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134426346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dans son article-phare de 1961, Muth applique l’hypothese d’anticipations rationnelles a un modele simple de marche concurrentiel d’un bien homogene, produit sous des chocs stochastiques. L’hypothese depasse la simple conception anticipative de l’equilibre marshallien, en ce qu’elle attribue aux entrepreneurs la capacite de former des anticipations de prix sur la base de la theorie. Cette capacite est deja presente chez Cournot [1838], quoique dans un modele sans incertitude fondamentale explicite. L’objectif de cette note est de montrer, dans le cadre du meme modele, que la concurrence oligopolistique ajoute de l’indetermination et donc de l’incertitude strategique au tableau, en affaiblissant ainsi en quelque sorte l’hypothese d’anticipations rationnelles. Avant que l’equilibre ne soit realise, chaque entrepreneur se trouve dans une superposition d’etats colombe et faucon, tout comme le chat de Schrodinger se trouve dans une superposition d’etats mort et vivant.
{"title":"When Muth’s entrepreneurs meet Schrödinger’s cat","authors":"Rodolphe Dos Santos Ferreira","doi":"10.3917/REDP.313.0131","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/REDP.313.0131","url":null,"abstract":"Dans son article-phare de 1961, Muth applique l’hypothese d’anticipations rationnelles\u0000a un modele simple de marche concurrentiel d’un bien homogene, produit sous des\u0000chocs stochastiques. L’hypothese depasse la simple conception anticipative de l’equilibre marshallien, en ce qu’elle attribue aux entrepreneurs la capacite de former des\u0000anticipations de prix sur la base de la theorie. Cette capacite est deja presente chez\u0000Cournot [1838], quoique dans un modele sans incertitude fondamentale explicite.\u0000L’objectif de cette note est de montrer, dans le cadre du meme modele, que la concurrence oligopolistique ajoute de l’indetermination et donc de l’incertitude strategique au\u0000tableau, en affaiblissant ainsi en quelque sorte l’hypothese d’anticipations rationnelles.\u0000Avant que l’equilibre ne soit realise, chaque entrepreneur se trouve dans une superposition d’etats colombe et faucon, tout comme le chat de Schrodinger se trouve dans\u0000une superposition d’etats mort et vivant.","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131760821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
L’article montre comment Friedman en vint progressivement a incorporer le processus de formation des anticipations dans son analyse des desequilibres macroeconomiques. Nous montrons que le jeune monetarisme de Friedman est base sur un ajustement lent des prix et des salaires, en grande partie a cause de l’existence de contrats de long terme. Quand il posa la question des anticipations dans ses travaux en dynamique macro-economique, Friedman considera d’abord des anticipations statiques. Au milieu des annees 1960, sa critique « anticipationniste » de la courbe de Phillips placa au cœur de l’analyse l’idee que les agents prives ajustent progressivement leurs previsions a un nouvel environnement informationnel. Neanmoins, les anticipations adaptatives impliquent un comportement retrospectif (tournes vers le passe) s’agissant de la structure des prix, sans tenir de l’effet probable d’une politique discretionnaire sur l’etat de l’economie dans le futur ; d’ou les erreurs systematiques de prevision commises par les agents economiques. Friedman prendra finalement en consideration des comportements prospectifs (tournes vers le futur) dans les annees 1970s mais sans cependant adopter pleinement l’approche de la politique economique par le courant des anticipations rationnelles. On peut trouver dans le monetarisme tardif de Friedman un echo de son travail ancien avec Savage a propos des attitudes face au risque, base sur l’approche en termes de probabilite subjective. Mais ceci est le resultat residuel d’un processus extremement long.
{"title":"Information and expectations in policy-making: Friedman’s changing approaches to macroeconomic dynamics","authors":"Sylvie Rivot","doi":"10.3917/REDP.313.0213","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/REDP.313.0213","url":null,"abstract":"L’article montre comment Friedman en vint progressivement a incorporer le processus\u0000de formation des anticipations dans son analyse des desequilibres macroeconomiques. Nous montrons que le jeune monetarisme de Friedman est base sur un\u0000ajustement lent des prix et des salaires, en grande partie a cause de l’existence de\u0000contrats de long terme. Quand il posa la question des anticipations dans ses travaux en\u0000dynamique macro-economique, Friedman considera d’abord des anticipations statiques. Au milieu des annees 1960, sa critique « anticipationniste » de la courbe de\u0000Phillips placa au cœur de l’analyse l’idee que les agents prives ajustent progressivement leurs previsions a un nouvel environnement informationnel. Neanmoins, les anticipations adaptatives impliquent un comportement retrospectif (tournes vers le passe)\u0000s’agissant de la structure des prix, sans tenir de l’effet probable d’une politique discretionnaire sur l’etat de l’economie dans le futur ; d’ou les erreurs systematiques de\u0000prevision commises par les agents economiques. Friedman prendra finalement en\u0000consideration des comportements prospectifs (tournes vers le futur) dans les annees\u00001970s mais sans cependant adopter pleinement l’approche de la politique economique\u0000par le courant des anticipations rationnelles. On peut trouver dans le monetarisme\u0000tardif de Friedman un echo de son travail ancien avec Savage a propos des attitudes\u0000face au risque, base sur l’approche en termes de probabilite subjective. Mais ceci est le\u0000resultat residuel d’un processus extremement long.","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132817180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The paper puts emphasis on the so-called “eductive” approach for a critical assessment of the Rational Expectations hypothesis. Section 2 makes an intuitive unformal presentation, aimed at comparing the approach and the results of “eductive” learning and ”real time” learning in two polar models, (a two period partial equilibrium model and a simple Real Business Cycle mode). A segment of theoretical literature, taking an eductive view of stability in the fields of finance, trade, general equilibrium, short term or long term macroeconomics….is reviewed in Section 3.
{"title":"Understanding expectational coordination as a major intellectual challenge: The “eductive” guide line","authors":"R. Guesnerie","doi":"10.3917/REDP.313.0143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3917/REDP.313.0143","url":null,"abstract":"The paper puts emphasis on the so-called “eductive” approach for a critical assessment of the Rational Expectations hypothesis. Section 2 makes an intuitive unformal presentation, aimed at comparing the approach and the results of “eductive” learning and ”real time” learning in two polar models, (a two period partial equilibrium model and a simple Real Business Cycle mode). A segment of theoretical literature, taking an eductive view of stability in the fields of finance, trade, general equilibrium, short term or long term macroeconomics….is reviewed in Section 3.","PeriodicalId":129622,"journal":{"name":"Revue d'économie politique","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132718742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}