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Une expérimentation de deux modes de scrutin en Martinique lors du premier tour de l’élection présidentielle de 2017 在2017年第一轮总统选举中,马提尼克岛试验了两种投票方式
Pub Date : 2020-11-12 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.305.0081
Eric Kamwa, Gilles Joseph, A. Roger
Lors du premier tour de l'election presidentielle du 22 avril 2017, les electeurs de trois bureaux de vote de la commune de Fort-de-France (Martinique) ont ete sollicites en vue de tester deux modes de vote : le Vote Alternatif et la regle de Borda a 4. L'objectif de ce article est de rendre compte des resultats de cette experimentation qui est la premiere du genre dans les territoires d'outre-mer. Les resultats obtenus font apparaitre des divergences avec les resultats ociels tant au niveau local que national. Sur la base des resultats bruts, en plus d'etre le vainqueur sous chacune des regles testees, J.-L. Melenchon est egalement le vainqueur de Condorcet alors que J. Cheminade est le perdant de Condorcet sous le vote Alternatif et M. Le Pen est le perdant de Condorcet sous la regle de Borda a 4. Apres correction du biais de representativite et de participation, E. Macron devient le vainqueur pour chacune des regles testees.
在2017年4月22日举行的第一轮总统选举中,法国堡(马提尼克岛)三个投票站的选民被要求测试两种投票方式:替代投票和Borda a 4规则。本文的目的是报告这一实验的结果,这是第一次在海外领土进行此类实验。结果显示,地方和国家层面的社会结果存在差异。根据原始结果,除了在每条测试规则下都是赢家,j - l。Melenchon也是孔多塞的赢家,J. Cheminade是孔多塞的输家,M. le Pen是孔多塞的输家,根据Borda a 4规则。在修正代表性和参与偏差后,E.马克龙成为每条测试规则的赢家。
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引用次数: 0
Property Out of Conflict: A Survey and Some New Results 冲突财产:一项调查和一些新的结果
Pub Date : 2020-05-08 DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/2wgyx
María Cubel, S. Sánchez-Pagés
Property rights often emerge from adversarial interactions in which agents make claims and defend them from the appropriation efforts of others. In this paper, we first offer a survey of the theoretical literature on this issue. We systematize the existing models by classifying them into two families and show that they can explain the emergence of classic types or property rights. We then explore a new model where agents can become the sole owner of a commonly owned production resource through an exclusion contest. We show that if overexploitation under joint property is severe enough relative to the returns to scale of conflict activities, private property emerges out of conflict. Inequality makes common ownership less likely to emerge. Finally, we characterize the set of common ownership regimes which are Pareto efficient and immune to conflict. Results show that proportionality to labour inputs in output sharing makes common ownership more resilient to conflict when inequality is higher.
财产权往往产生于对抗性的相互作用,在这种相互作用中,代理人提出要求,并保护他们免受他人的侵占。本文首先对这一问题的理论文献进行了综述。我们将现有的模型系统化,将它们分为两类,并表明它们可以解释经典类型或产权的出现。然后,我们探索了一个新的模型,其中代理可以通过排除竞赛成为共同拥有的生产资源的唯一所有者。我们表明,如果共同财产下的过度开采相对于冲突活动的规模回报足够严重,私有财产就会从冲突中出现。不平等使得共同所有权不太可能出现。最后,我们描述了一组具有帕累托效率和不受冲突影响的共同所有权制度。结果表明,当不平等程度较高时,产出分享中与劳动投入的比例使共同所有权对冲突更具弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Effet des préférences individuelles sur la réussite à long terme des incitations financières à la réalisation d’objectifs de santé 个人偏好对实现健康目标的财政激励的长期成功的影响
Pub Date : 2019-10-04 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.294.0447
David Crainich
L’article propose une analyse theorique des programmes d’incitations financieres a la realisation d’objectifs comportementaux lies a sante en distinguant leurs effets a court terme (pendant la duree du programme) et a long terme (apres le programme). Notre modele met en evidence le fait que ces programmes conduisent a l’adoption de comportements plus sains a court terme et a long terme lorsque la richesse n’augmente pas l’utilite marginale de la qualite de vie. Dans le cas contraire, c’est-a-dire lorsque la richesse et la qualite de vie sont des arguments complementaires de la fonction d’utilite, nous montrons que ces incitations financieres peuvent engendrer, une fois le programme termine, des comportements opposes a ceux pour lesquelles elles ont ete introduites.
本文对实现相关行为目标的财政激励方案进行了理论分析,区分了它们的短期(方案期间)和长期(方案后)影响。我们的模型表明,当财富没有增加生活质量的边际效用时,这些方案在短期和长期内导致更健康的行为。相反,当财富和生活质量是效用函数的补充论据时,我们表明,一旦项目完成,这些经济激励可能会导致与引入它们的目的相反的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiological Transition and the Wealth of Nations: the Case of HIV/AIDS in a Microsimulation Model 流行病学转变与国家财富:微观模拟模型中的艾滋病毒/艾滋病案例
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.294.0591
Y. Arrighi, B. Ventelou
This paper aims at quantifying the effect of healthcare programs on economic outcomes in the context of developing countries experiencing epidemiological transitions. It is widely accepted in the literature that treatment programs result in production gains among ill-health workers. However, these programs have the additional effect of modifying both the size and the composition of the working population by increasing the proportion of chronically-ill individuals. First, we define the theoretical conditions under which this macro-epidemiological phenomenon outweighs the positive effect of an increase in production. Second, we decompose the economic consequences of access to antiretroviral treatments against HIV in three sub-Saharan African countries. Forecasts of an individual’s health status, depending on whether he or she has access to medication, are generated using a microsimulation model. We use the model to generate a counterfactual (as if the adverse epidemiological effect did not exist), which allows decomposing the total impact of the HIV-medicines program into two different effects: positive and negative. We find that the positive effect of treatment procurement outweighs the negative epidemiological effect. Of course, this approach is only an indicator of economic performance and should in no way constitute a decision-making criterion about the ethical necessity of access to health care.
本文旨在量化在发展中国家经历流行病学转变的背景下,医疗保健计划对经济成果的影响。在文献中广泛接受的是,治疗方案导致疾病工作者的生产收益。然而,这些计划通过增加慢性病患者的比例来改变工作人口的规模和组成。首先,我们定义了这种宏观流行病学现象超过生产增加的积极影响的理论条件。其次,我们分解了撒哈拉以南三个非洲国家获得抗逆转录病毒治疗的经济后果。个人健康状况的预测,取决于他或她是否有机会获得药物,是使用微观模拟模型生成的。我们使用该模型生成一个反事实(就好像不利的流行病学影响不存在一样),它允许将艾滋病毒药物计划的总影响分解为两种不同的影响:积极的和消极的。我们发现,治疗采购的积极影响超过了消极的流行病学影响。当然,这种做法只是经济表现的一个指标,绝不应构成关于获得保健的道德必要性的决策标准。
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引用次数: 0
Household preferences and demand for stocks in the Crisis: France 2004-2014 危机中的家庭偏好和股票需求:2004-2014年的法国
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.293.0391
Luc Arrondel, J. Coffinet
In this paper, we assess how the factors explaining the holdings of stocks have evolved through the financial crisis. We rely on the data collected in surveys conducted among French households during the period 2004-2014. There are three main modes for investing in stocks: buying shares directly; purchasing them through mutual funds; and finally taking out unitlinked life insurance. Obviously, these three ways to invest in stocks do not involve the same investment behaviours since, besides the risk and return characteristics, they differ in their transaction costs, management fees and taxation. As a result, there is no a priori reason to consider that portfolio choice decisions by households on these modes of stockownership are equivalent and correspond to the same individuals’ characteristics. We show that the holding of risky assets and of individual direct shares decreased during the period, and especially between 2009 and 2014. At the end of the period, the profile of direct equity holders was refocused towards profiles with greater risk tolerance. Other factors of direct stockholdings include: better education, gifts and inheritances, parents holding securities, singles, high-wealth households and high-income groups. Conditionally on holdings, the proportion of risky assets increases with risk tolerance and the holding of securities by parents. It also decreases at the end of the period. Our paper also shows that shareholders have gradually moved towards preferential ownership of shares in life insurance rather than direct share ownership, especially between 2009 and 2014. The estimation of a simultaneous model shows the specific characteristics of stockholders depending on the chosen support (direct, indirect or on life insurance): those who invest directly in stocks are richer, more educated and less risk averse; those who hold mutual funds are a little richer but more risk averse and do not appear the most educated; finally, for ownership in stocks on life insurance contracts, the position in the life cycle plays an important role as well as the social category.
在本文中,我们评估了解释股票持有的因素如何在金融危机中演变。我们依靠2004-2014年期间在法国家庭中进行的调查收集的数据。投资股票主要有三种方式:直接购买股票;通过共同基金购买;最后购买单位相连人寿保险。显然,这三种股票投资方式所涉及的投资行为并不相同,因为除了风险和收益特征不同之外,它们的交易成本、管理费和税收也不同。因此,没有先验的理由认为家庭在这些持股模式下的投资组合选择决策是相等的,并且对应于相同的个人特征。我们发现,风险资产的持有量和个人直接股份的持有量在此期间下降,特别是在2009年至2014年之间。在这一期间结束时,直接股权持有人的情况重新集中到具有更大风险承受能力的情况。直接持有股票的其他因素包括:更好的教育、礼物和遗产、父母持有证券、单身、高财富家庭和高收入群体。在持有条件下,风险资产的比例随着风险承受能力和父母持有证券的数量而增加。在期末也会减少。我们的研究还表明,股东逐渐倾向于优先拥有人寿保险股份,而不是直接拥有股份,特别是在2009年至2014年期间。同时模型的估计显示了股东根据所选择的支持(直接、间接或人寿保险)的具体特征:直接投资股票的人更富有,受教育程度更高,厌恶风险的程度更低;持有共同基金的人稍微富有一点,但更厌恶风险,而且似乎不是受教育程度最高的;最后,对于人寿保险合同中的股票所有权,其在生命周期中的位置和社会类别都起着重要的作用。
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引用次数: 2
Vertical Differentiation, Uncertainty, Product R & D and Policy Instruments in a North-South Duopoly 南北双寡头垄断中的垂直差异化、不确定性、产品研发与政策工具
Pub Date : 2016-02-01 DOI: 10.3917/redp.303.0441
J. Berthoumieu, Viola Lamani
This paper analyzes the impact of several trade policy instruments on product Research and Development (R&D) investment in a North-South duopoly where a Northern firm competes in prices with a Southern firm on both markets. The Northern firm invests in product R&D owing to a competitive disadvantage compared to the Southern firm which benefits from a lower labor cost. The outcome of the R&D activity is uncertain. If successful, vertical differentiation occurs in both markets. The Northern country’s government is the only one policy active and may implement the following trade policy instruments: an import tariff, a production subsidy, an R&D subsidy, a standard of quality, a minimum-price, and an import quota. The results show that the Northern firm’s R&D expenditures increase with each policy instrument except for the import quota. The paper also provides a welfare analysis in order to verify whether or not the Northern government is encouraged to implement these policy instruments.
本文分析了在南北双寡头市场中,北方企业与南方企业在两个市场上进行价格竞争的情况下,几种贸易政策工具对产品研发投资的影响。与劳动力成本较低的南方企业相比,北方企业在产品研发方面的投资处于竞争劣势。研发活动的结果是不确定的。如果成功,两个市场都会出现垂直分化。北方国家政府是唯一一个积极的政策,可以实施以下贸易政策工具:进口关税、生产补贴、研发补贴、质量标准、最低价格和进口配额。结果表明,除进口配额外,北方企业的研发支出随各政策工具的增加而增加。本文还提供了福利分析,以验证是否鼓励北方政府实施这些政策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Commons as a Risk-Management Tool: Theoretical Predictions and an Experimental Test 公地作为风险管理工具:理论预测与实验检验
Pub Date : 2014-04-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.303.0405
M. Brunette, P. Delacote, S. Garcia, J. Rousselle
The impact of the safety-net use of Common-pool resources (CPR) on the individual investment into and extraction from the commons is analyzed in this paper. Agents of the community first choose to invest in their private project and in the CPR; second, they choose how much to extract from their private project and the commons. The model compares two types of risk management tool: CPR as risk-coping and risk-diversification mechanisms. It also compares two types of risk: risk on a private project and risk on CPR investment by other community members. The theoretical predictions are empirically tested with experimental economics. In this view, we propose an original CPR game composed of two periods, an investment one and an extraction one. Our result clearly shows that risk reduction in the private project unambiguously decreases investment in the CPR, while it does not impact CPR extraction. We also show that a risk-coping strategy is well understood as more flexible and influenced by the outcome in terms of private project yield.
本文分析了公共池资源的安全网使用对个人对公共资源的投入和提取的影响。社区代理人首先选择投资于他们的私人项目和CPR;其次,他们选择从他们的私人项目和公共资源中提取多少。该模型比较了两种类型的风险管理工具:作为风险应对机制和风险分散机制的CPR。它还比较了两种类型的风险:私人项目的风险和其他社区成员对CPR投资的风险。理论预测用实验经济学进行了实证检验。在此基础上,我们提出了一个由投资期和提取期组成的原始CPR博弈。我们的结果清楚地表明,私人项目的风险降低无疑减少了CPR的投资,但它不影响CPR的提取。我们还表明,风险应对策略被很好地理解为更灵活,并受私人项目收益率结果的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Capital Taxation and Rent Seeking 资本征税和寻租
Pub Date : 2006-12-11 DOI: 10.3917/redp.295.0815
Nikolay Arefiev, T. Baron
We find the optimal capital income tax rate in an imperfectly competitive economy, where some part of recourses is devoted to rent-seeking activity. Optimal tax offsets the difference between marginal social and marginal private return to capital, which is a result of rent seeking, and the difference between the before tax interest rate and the marginal productivity of capital, which arises from imperfect competition. Optimal capital income tax rate depends neither on other tax rates nor on overall tax burden. Numerically it is close to zero.
我们找到了不完全竞争经济中最优资本所得税率,其中部分资源用于寻租活动。最优税收抵消了社会边际和私人边际资本回报之间的差额(这是寻租的结果)和税前利率与资本边际生产率之间的差额(这是不完全竞争造成的)。最优资本所得税率既不依赖于其他税率,也不依赖于总体税负。数值上接近于零。
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引用次数: 0
L’idée de régulation dans les sciences : hommage à l’épistémologue Jean Piaget 科学中的调节思想:向认识论家让·皮亚杰致敬
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.3917/redp.304.0005
C. Diebolt
Le 16 septembre 2020 on celebrera le 40eme anniversaire de la mort de Jean Piaget(1896-1980). Cette contribution rend hommage a l’epistemologue, biologiste et psychologue, a son analyse systemique, a sa classification hierarchique des differents niveauxde regulation comme source d’inspiration originale pour mes propres travaux en cliometrie de la croissance et des cycles economiques.Codes JEL : A12, B25, B31, B41, N00
2020年9月16日是让·皮亚杰逝世40周年(1896-1980)。这篇文章赞扬了认识论家、生物学家和心理学家,他的系统分析,他对不同监管层次的等级分类,作为我自己关于增长和经济周期的工作的原始灵感来源。JEL代码:A12, B25, B31, B41, N00
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引用次数: 0
L’éléphant dans la pièce. Pour une approche économique de l’alimentation végétale et de la condition animale 房间里的大象。植物营养和动物状况的经济方法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.293.0287
R. Espinosa
Cet article propose une discussion sur l’alimentation vegetale et la condition animalecomme objets d’etude pour la science economique. Il repond a trois questions : Pourquoi les economistes devraient-ils s’interesser a la question de la consommation deproduits d’origine animale ? Quelle peut etre la contribution de l’economie aux discussions academiques existantes ? Quelles raisons peuvent expliquer le peu d’interet portejusque-la par les economistes a cette problematique ? Ce travail expose tout d’abord trois arguments pour lesquels la science economiquedevrait prendre en compte la consommation de produits d’origine animale : une raisonenvironnementale, une raison sanitaire et une raison ethique. Il presente ensuite l’analyse comportementale de la consommation de viande developpee en psychologie, puisdiscute comment l’economie pourrait contribuer a ce champ de recherche (economiecomportementale, economie des politiques publiques, economie industrielle et economie politique). La derniere partie propose une discussion plus exploratoire sur le faibleinteret porte jusqu’a aujourd’hui par les economistes a ces questions. Classification JEL : D60, Q50, Q18
本文对植物营养和动物状况作为经济学研究对象进行了讨论。他回答了三个问题:为什么经济学家要关注动物产品的消费问题?经济学对现有的学术讨论有什么贡献?经济学家对这个问题缺乏兴趣的原因是什么?本文首先提出了经济学应该考虑动物产品消费的三个理由:环境原因、健康原因和伦理原因。然后,他提出了在心理学中发展起来的肉类消费行为分析,然后讨论了经济学如何对这一研究领域做出贡献(行为经济学、公共政策经济学、工业经济学和政治经济学)。最后一部分对经济学家迄今为止对这些问题的低兴趣进行了更探索性的讨论。JEL分类:D60、Q50、Q18
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Revue d'économie politique
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