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2017 IEEE/AIAA 36th Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC)最新文献

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Aircraft conflict resolution cataloguer 飞机冲突解决编目员
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102101
C. Yao, A. Rusu, Andrew Danick, Ravina Hingorani, Ryan Toner
Air route traffic control centers (ARTCCs) operated by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) are responsible for efficiently and safely managing United States en route air traffic at altitudes of 18,000 feet and above. To achieve the FAA's mission, the ARTCC's human air traffic controllers monitor air traffic and ensure aircraft safety within partitioned airspace, called sectors, located in each ARTCC's boundaries. In order to achieve this, air traffic controllers must resolve potential conflicts that are identified through methods including manual inspection through looking at their display, or air traffic automated systems alerts. A standard en route conflict occurs if two aircraft travel within five nautical miles in the horizontal plane, while simultaneously flying within 1000 feet in the vertical plane. The controllers request pilots make changes to their intended trajectories to prevent a risk of violating separation distances. The FAA collects and archives the air traffic automation data corresponding to the predicted conflict events and information about the aircraft during their flight, such as: ground speed, vertical phase, horizontal phase, minimum separation distances and time postings. This paper describes algorithms for cataloging (detect and characterize) aircraft conflict resolutions, utilizing the data that is archived by air traffic automated systems. The automated systems only alert the air traffic controllers of potential conflicts. It is the human air traffic controllers that either perform a conflict resolution or determine if the alert is false. Our algorithms identify the maneuvers cleared by the air traffic controllers that occurred. We verify and validate our algorithms using real air traffic data. Characteristics of the traffic scenarios we used are not factors impacting our algorithms.
由美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)运营的空中交通管制中心(artcc)负责有效和安全地管理18000英尺及以上高度的美国空中交通。为了实现FAA的使命,ARTCC的人工空中交通管制员监控空中交通,并确保位于每个ARTCC边界的分区空域(称为扇区)内的飞机安全。为了实现这一目标,空中交通管制员必须解决潜在的冲突,这些冲突是通过人工检查显示器或空中交通自动化系统警报来确定的。如果两架飞机在水平面上飞行在5海里范围内,同时在垂直平面上飞行在1000英尺范围内,就会发生标准的途中冲突。管制员要求飞行员改变他们的预定轨迹,以防止违反分离距离的风险。美国联邦航空局收集和存档的空中交通自动化数据对应的预测冲突事件和信息的飞机在其飞行过程中,如:地面速度,垂直相位,水平相位,最小分离距离和时间张贴。本文描述了利用空中交通自动化系统存档的数据对飞机冲突解决方案进行编目(检测和表征)的算法。自动系统只会提醒空中交通管制员潜在的冲突。人类空中交通管制员要么执行冲突解决方案,要么确定警报是否为假。我们的算法可以识别空中交通管制员批准的动作。我们使用真实的空中交通数据来验证我们的算法。我们使用的交通场景的特征不是影响我们算法的因素。
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引用次数: 1
Verification scenarios of onboard databases under the RTCA DO-178C and the RTCA DO-200B RTCA DO-178C和RTCA DO-200B下的机载数据库验证场景
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102030
Johnny Cardoso Marques, Adilson Marques da Cunha
According to the FAA Order 8110.49, there are two distinct types of databases used in airborne systems and equipment: Aeronautical Databases (AD) and Parameter Data Items (PDI). Although the database development processes in the RTCA DO-178C and the RTCA DO-200B have many similarities, the use of the DO-200B is limited to navigation, terrain, obstacle, and airport map databases. This paper provides some scenarios for database verification using the RTCA DO-178C and the RTCA DO-200B standards, including the usage of Tool Qualification, when processes are eliminated, reduced, or automated by the use of software tools without reviewing the output produced by such tools.
根据美国联邦航空局8110.49号命令,机载系统和设备中使用的数据库有两种不同类型:航空数据库(AD)和参数数据项(PDI)。尽管RTCA DO-178C和RTCA DO-200B中的数据库开发过程有许多相似之处,DO-200B的使用仅限于导航、地形、障碍物和机场地图数据库。本文提供了使用RTCA DO-178C和RTCA DO-200B标准进行数据库验证的一些场景,包括工具确认的使用,当使用软件工具消除、减少或自动化过程时,不需要审查这些工具产生的输出。
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引用次数: 15
A comprehensive approach for validation of air traffic management security prototypes: A case study 空中交通管理安全原型验证的综合方法:案例研究
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102082
T. Stelkens-Kobsch, M. Finke, Nils Carstengerdes
Security in air traffic management is still a rather new challenge and receives increased interest during recent years. This implies that new security concepts and systems are developed. Usually all systems have to go through several validation cycles to reach a higher technical readiness level. As no well-established validation approach is available which considers the special aspects of security this forms an additional barrier when developing air traffic control security systems. This is true because suitable validation approaches have to be developed first. The latter includes the risk of forgetting something, when the development is not initiated in a structured way. Within the air traffic security project GAMMA such an approach has been developed and applied to a set of seven prototypes. Based on the European Operational Concept Validation Methodology and a Security Risk Assessment Methodology, this approach identifies additional security controls, system requirements, validation objectives and key performance indicators. These are the driving elements for the design of the validation setup and procedure The paper demonstrates the feasibility of this new approach using one specific example, the Secure Air Traffic Control Communications prototype. The paper describes the approach and the resulting validation setup and procedures in detail. It briefly describes the obtained results for the developed prototype as one specific use case of the approach.
空中交通管理中的安全仍然是一个相当新的挑战,近年来受到越来越多的关注。这意味着需要开发新的安全概念和系统。通常,所有系统都必须经过几个验证周期才能达到更高的技术准备水平。由于没有行之有效的验证方法可以考虑安全的特殊方面,这在开发空中交通管制安全系统时形成了额外的障碍。这是真的,因为必须首先开发合适的验证方法。当开发没有以结构化的方式启动时,后者包括忘记某些内容的风险。在空中交通安全项目GAMMA中,已经开发了这种方法并将其应用于一套7个原型。基于欧洲操作概念验证方法和安全风险评估方法,该方法确定了额外的安全控制、系统需求、验证目标和关键绩效指标。这些都是验证装置和程序设计的驱动因素。本文通过一个具体的例子,即安全空中交通管制通信原型,证明了这种新方法的可行性。本文详细描述了该方法以及由此产生的验证设置和程序。它简要地描述了作为该方法的一个特定用例的开发原型所获得的结果。
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引用次数: 4
Safety analysis paradigm for UAS: Development and use of a common architecture and fault tree model UAS的安全分析范例:通用架构和故障树模型的开发和使用
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102039
J. Hammer, A. Murray, Alexa Lowman
Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS, a.k.a., drones) are a compelling technology with numerous possibilities for highly productive new airspace operations. Safety of operators and bystanders is of paramount concern, and a common, accepted, safety methodology is a pressing need to enable widespread adoption of UAS. This paper provides a methodology for safety analyses that can be conducted for multiple applications using common models and a suggested standardized architecture for small UAS. To date, in the US, safety analyses have been done on an individualized, custom basis, mainly in support of waivers for specific, limited UAS operations. For example, safety analyses have been conducted in the Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA) Pathfinder Program for use of drones in three focus areas: beyond visual line of sight for infrastructure inspections, extended visual line of sight in rural areas, and flight over people. In addition, approximately 400 waivers have been granted for multiple individual applicants [1]. The waiver process is highly specific to an individual applicant's operation and a special safety analysis must be conducted for each waiver request. This is an inefficient use of resources for both the FAA and industry. It would be more efficient if a common model for UAS safety analysis could be employed that was adaptable to varied applications. An important subclass of UAS operations which currently requires waivers are operations termed Beyond Visual Line of Sight (BVLOS). BVLOS operations allow for UAS flight operations which are out of the visual line of sight of the UAS operator. BVLOS will allow multiple economically beneficial applications, for example, infrastructure inspection and agriculture. Our approach seeks to begin providing an adaptable framework for analyses, focusing on Beyond Visual Line of Sight operations, that allows rapid assurance of operational safety. The benefits of this approach are twofold: first, in the near term, the workload involved in applying for waivers, both for the FAA and for applicants, would be significantly reduced, and second, the approach can be used to inform industry standards on key system requirements. This would give industry an important start in the development of common standards for equipment requirements, as is typically done in standards bodies such as RTCA. To provide a UAS reference model, a common small UAS architecture is proposed to conduct analyses across UAS platforms and operations. The architecture enables the safety model's inputs to be adapted to target UAS platforms and operational scenarios. This approach allows for large scale simulations that can analyze the impact of various vehicle performance configurations in differing operational scenarios. This paper also provides a fault-tree analysis model that is customizable to specific operations, and shows some initial results that help provide insights into tradeoffs and potential requirements. The paper explores these trade
无人驾驶航空系统(UAS,又称无人机)是一项引人注目的技术,为高效的新空域操作提供了许多可能性。操作人员和旁观者的安全是最重要的问题,迫切需要一个共同的、公认的安全方法来实现无人机系统的广泛采用。本文提供了一种安全分析方法,可以使用通用模型和小型无人机的建议标准化架构对多种应用进行安全分析。迄今为止,在美国,安全分析主要是在个性化、定制的基础上进行的,主要是为了支持特定的、有限的无人机操作豁免。例如,在美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)的探路者计划中,对无人机在三个重点领域的使用进行了安全分析:基础设施检查的超视距、农村地区的扩展视距和飞越人群。此外,还为多个个人申请人提供了大约400个豁免[1]。豁免程序是高度具体到个别申请人的操作和一个特殊的安全分析必须为每一个豁免请求进行。这对联邦航空局和工业界来说都是对资源的低效利用。如果可以采用一种适用于各种应用的通用无人系统安全分析模型,将会更有效。目前需要豁免的无人机操作的一个重要子类是称为超视距(BVLOS)的操作。BVLOS操作允许在UAS操作员视线之外的UAS飞行操作。BVLOS将允许多种经济效益应用,例如基础设施检查和农业。我们的方法旨在开始提供一种适应性强的分析框架,重点关注超视距操作,从而快速保证操作安全。这种方法的好处是双重的:首先,在短期内,申请豁免所涉及的工作量,无论是FAA还是申请人,都将大大减少;其次,该方法可用于通知关键系统要求的行业标准。这将使工业界在制定设备要求的通用标准方面有一个重要的开端,就像RTCA等标准机构通常所做的那样。为了提供一个UAS参考模型,提出了一个通用的小型UAS架构,用于跨UAS平台和操作进行分析。该体系结构使安全模型的输入能够适应目标UAS平台和操作场景。这种方法允许进行大规模模拟,可以分析不同操作场景下各种车辆性能配置的影响。本文还提供了一个针对特定操作可定制的故障树分析模型,并显示了一些有助于深入了解权衡和潜在需求的初始结果。本文在Patterson等人先前进行的分析[2]的背景下探讨了这些权衡,该分析确定了“由于任何原因失去控制的飞行”的顶级需求。故障树分析有助于识别模型系统故障条件(顶级事件)——无人机失去控制飞行的各种根本原因(基本事件)。该模型的吸引力在于它很容易适应不同的操作、安全准则、可靠性要求、设备标准等。本文给出了一种灵敏度分析方法,以评估不同误差水平下基本事件对系统故障的不同影响。故障树模型和灵敏度分析结果,以及伴随的通用架构,共同为无人机系统的安全分析提供了一种灵活的方法。
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引用次数: 3
Reduction of frames storage size in AFDX reception end-system using a lossless compression algorithm 使用无损压缩算法减少AFDX接收端系统的帧存储大小
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102086
Yohan Baga, Fakhreddine Ghaffari, D. Declercq, E. Zante, Michael Nahmiyace
The growth of bandwidth needs and reliability requirements has determined Avionics Full-Duplex Switched Ethernet (AFDX) networks as the new generation of on-board communication mediums. AFDX belongs to the deterministic, real-time and Ethernet-based network family. The AFDX terminals are called End-Systems (ES). The frames arriving at an ES have to be stored in a reception buffer to avoid frames losses or corruptions due to slowdowns in the ES layers. Little attention is carried to the issue of buffer dimensioning which is generally set to a very large size. However, a too large buffer size leads to costs in terms of memory resources and energy. In this paper, we propose to reduce the reception buffer size by using an LZW-based compression algorithm implemented in hardware. To do that, we interpret frames as sequences of hexadecimal source symbols, and we use a set of 4 parallel dictionaries to encode sequences of source symbols in fix-length words. We realize compression gain measured on sets of frames comprising several millions of symbols, and we obtain until 22% of memory gain when the dictionaries sizes are optimally dimensioned.
带宽需求和可靠性要求的增长决定了航空电子全双工交换以太网(AFDX)网络作为新一代机载通信媒介。AFDX属于确定性、实时性和基于以太网的网络家族。AFDX终端被称为终端系统(ES)。到达ES的帧必须存储在接收缓冲区中,以避免由于ES层的减速而导致帧丢失或损坏。很少注意缓冲区尺寸的问题,通常设置为非常大的尺寸。但是,过大的缓冲区大小会导致内存资源和能量方面的成本。在本文中,我们建议使用硬件实现的基于lzw的压缩算法来减小接收缓冲区的大小。为此,我们将帧解释为十六进制源符号序列,并使用一组4个并行字典对固定长度单词中的源符号序列进行编码。我们在包含数百万个符号的帧集上实现了压缩增益,当字典大小达到最佳维度时,我们获得了22%的内存增益。
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引用次数: 1
A novel simulation environment for cognitive human factors engineering research 一种用于认知人因工程研究的新型仿真环境
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102126
Yixiang Lim, A. Gardi, S. Ramasamy, J. Vince, H. Pongracic, Trevor Kistan, R. Sabatini
The simulation environment used in cognitive Human Factors Engineering (HFE) research at RMIT University HFE-Lab is presented in this article. The simulation environment consists of Air Traffic Management (ATM) workstations including Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) Traffic Management (UTM) features as well as pilot/remote pilot stations, including an immersive research flight simulator. Additional modules are used in cognitive HFE research for collecting and processing psycho-physiological data, and for scenario management. An overview of the simulation environment, including the network, modules and tools is presented. An experimental case study involving eye tracking and cardiorespiratory measures is presented to demonstrate the capabilities of the HFE-Lab as a research tool for cognitive ergonomics and HFE research.
本文介绍了RMIT大学认知人因工程实验室(HFE - lab)用于认知人因工程研究的仿真环境。模拟环境包括空中交通管理(ATM)工作站,包括无人机系统(UAS)交通管理(UTM)功能,以及飞行员/远程飞行员站,包括一个沉浸式研究飞行模拟器。在认知HFE研究中使用了额外的模块来收集和处理心理生理数据以及场景管理。概述了仿真环境,包括网络、模块和工具。本文提出了一个涉及眼动追踪和心肺测量的实验案例研究,以证明HFE- lab作为认知人体工程学和HFE研究的研究工具的能力。
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引用次数: 10
Use of touch screen display applications for aircraft flight control 使用触摸屏显示应用进行飞机飞行控制
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102060
W. Rouwhorst, R. Verhoeven, Marieke Suijkerbuijk, Tanja Bos, A. Maij, Mick Vermaat, R. Arents
Touch screen technology is rapidly and progressively entering the world of commercial avionics and being introduced inside the cockpit. This paper presents the main results of a piloted experiment conducted by the Netherlands Aerospace Centre (NLR) as part of the ACROSS (Advanced Cockpit for Reduction Of StreSs and workload) project of the EU's 7th Frame Work Programme, see www.across-fp7.eu. The experiment focused on the use of novel touch screen applications in the cockpit of civil transport aircraft and investigated the potential for (peak-) workload reduction. Three different touch screen applications and associated experimental results will be discussed. Firstly the so-called tactical flight control operations of an aircraft is addressed, like changing the aircraft's speed, heading, altitude, flight level or vertical speed. Secondly a novel late runway change functionality was set up for supporting the crew decision to accept a new landing runway late in the approach while still allowing safely and easily configuring the aircraft cockpit systems. Similarly the third new application allowed for a fast and easy alternate airport selection process and subsequently a new route creation and selection towards the alternate airport. A piloted experiment was held in which ten airline crews participated on NLR's full motion flight simulator (GRACE). Baseline formed today's aircraft operations without touch screen functionality. Subjective workload and situation awareness ratings were used, as well as objective eye-tracking measurements and time-analysis. Also the effect of turbulence (intensity) was investigated. Main results for the tactical flight control application showed further room for design improvements in the field of workload reduction, especially under more severe turbulence. For the other two cockpit touchscreen applications the results supported the conclusions that pilot workload decreased, situation awareness improved and task execution was much faster and easier compared to the baseline.
触摸屏技术正迅速逐步进入商用航空电子领域,并被引入驾驶舱。本文介绍了由荷兰航空航天中心(NLR)进行的试点实验的主要结果,该实验是欧盟第七框架计划ACROSS(减少压力和工作量的先进驾驶舱)项目的一部分,参见www.across-fp7.eu。该实验的重点是在民用运输机驾驶舱中使用新型触摸屏应用,并调查了(峰值)工作量减少的潜力。三种不同的触摸屏应用和相关的实验结果将被讨论。首先,解决了所谓的战术飞行控制操作的飞机,如改变飞机的速度,航向,高度,飞行水平或垂直速度。其次,建立了一个新颖的后期跑道变更功能,以支持机组决定在进近后期接受新的着陆跑道,同时仍然允许安全和轻松地配置飞机驾驶舱系统。同样,第三个新应用程序允许快速简便地选择备用机场,随后创建新的路线并选择到备用机场。在NLR的全动态飞行模拟器(GRACE)上进行了一项有飞行员参与的实验。基线形成了今天的飞机操作没有触摸屏的功能。使用主观工作量和情况意识评分,以及客观的眼动跟踪测量和时间分析。并对湍流强度的影响进行了研究。战术飞行控制应用的主要结果表明,在减少工作量方面,特别是在更严重的湍流下,设计还有进一步改进的空间。对于其他两种驾驶舱触摸屏应用,结果支持这样的结论:与基线相比,飞行员工作量减少,态势感知能力提高,任务执行速度更快,更容易。
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引用次数: 15
Multi-layer model of swarm intelligence for resilient autonomous systems 弹性自治系统的多层群体智能模型
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102147
J. Clifford, K. Garfield, Massood Towhidnejad, J. Neighbors, M. Miller, E. Verenich, G. Staskevich
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University (ERAU) is working with the Air Force Research Lab (AFRL) to develop a distributed multi-layer autonomous UAS planning and control technology for gathering intelligence in Anti-Access Area Denial (A2/AD) environments populated by intelligent adaptive adversaries. These resilient autonomous systems are able to navigate through hostile environments while performing Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) tasks, and minimizing the loss of assets. Our approach incorporates artificial life concepts, with a high-level architecture divided into three biologically inspired layers: cyber-physical, reactive, and deliberative. Each layer has a dynamic level of influence over the behavior of the agent. Algorithms within the layers act on a filtered view of reality, abstracted in the layer immediately below. Each layer takes input from the layer below, provides output to the layer above, and provides direction to the layer below. Fast-reactive control systems in lower layers ensure a stable environment supporting cognitive function on higher layers. The cyber-physical layer represents the central nervous system of the individual, consisting of elements of the vehicle that cannot be changed such as sensors, power plant, and physical configuration. On the reactive layer, the system uses an artificial life paradigm, where each agent interacts with the environment using a set of simple rules regarding wants and needs. Information is communicated explicitly via message passing and implicitly via observation and recognition of behavior. In the deliberative layer, individual agents look outward to the group, deliberating on efficient resource management and cooperation with other agents. Strategies at all layers are developed using machine learning techniques such as Genetic Algorithm (GA) or NN applied to system training that takes place prior to the mission.
安柏瑞德航空大学(ERAU)正与空军研究实验室(AFRL)合作开发一种分布式多层自主无人机规划和控制技术,用于在智能自适应对手密集的反介入区域拒拒(A2/AD)环境中收集情报。这些弹性自主系统能够在敌对环境中导航,同时执行情报、监视和侦察(ISR)任务,并最大限度地减少资产损失。我们的方法结合了人工生命的概念,其高级架构分为三个受生物学启发的层:网络物理层、反应层和审议层。每一层对代理的行为都有动态的影响。层内的算法作用于过滤后的现实视图,抽象在下一层。每一层从下一层获取输入,为上一层提供输出,并为下一层提供方向。低层的快速反应控制系统确保稳定的环境支持高层的认知功能。网络物理层代表个人的中枢神经系统,由无法改变的车辆元素组成,如传感器、动力装置和物理配置。在反应层,系统使用人工生命范式,其中每个代理使用一组关于欲望和需求的简单规则与环境交互。信息通过信息传递显式传达,通过对行为的观察和识别隐式传达。在协商层,个体代理向外看群体,考虑有效的资源管理和与其他代理的合作。所有层的策略都是使用机器学习技术开发的,例如遗传算法(GA)或应用于任务之前进行的系统训练的神经网络。
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引用次数: 1
Designing a future airborne capability environment (FACE) hypervisor for safety and security 设计未来机载能力环境(FACE)安全管理程序
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102056
S. Vanderleest
A partitioning environment is one of the components of an avionics architecture aligned with the Future Airborne Capability Environment (FACE™). In this paper, we explore the design of a hypervisor to provide the partitioning specified in the FACE Technical Standard. The FACE Consortium is focused on military aviation software, with a dual emphasis on technical standards and business acquisition strategies. We provide an overview of the history and purpose of FACE, then briefly examine previous open avionics initiatives. Our hypervisor extends the Xen open source hypervisor to support the ARINC 653 partitioning standard. Adding the Application Program Interface for the ARINC 653 standard is relatively straightforward because the underlying architectural concepts align well (with a few interesting challenges). Our current work is to expand our hypervisor technology to provide the required interfaces under FACE safety and security profiles. We discuss the current state of the project, examining technical and business aspects of open source software. We conclude with a roadmap for our hypervisor technology to reach conformance with the FACE Technical Standard and eventually achieve flight and security certification.
分区环境是与未来机载能力环境(FACE™)相一致的航空电子架构的组成部分之一。在本文中,我们探讨了管理程序的设计,以提供FACE技术标准中指定的分区。FACE联盟的重点是军用航空软件,同时强调技术标准和商业获取战略。我们概述了FACE的历史和目的,然后简要介绍了以前的开放航空电子设备计划。我们的管理程序扩展了Xen开源管理程序,以支持ARINC 653分区标准。为ARINC 653标准添加应用程序编程接口相对简单,因为底层体系结构概念很好地结合在一起(有一些有趣的挑战)。我们目前的工作是扩展我们的管理程序技术,以在FACE安全和安全性配置文件下提供所需的接口。我们讨论了项目的当前状态,检查了开源软件的技术和业务方面。最后,我们为我们的虚拟机管理程序技术提供了一个路线图,以达到FACE技术标准的一致性,并最终获得飞行和安全认证。
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引用次数: 6
A machine learning approach for prediction of on-time performance of flights 一种预测航班准点率的机器学习方法
Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/DASC.2017.8102138
Balasubramanian Thiagarajan, L. Srinivasan, Aditya Sharma, Dinesh Sreekanthan, Vineeth Vijayaraghavan
One of the major business problems that airlines face is the significant costs that are associated with flights being delayed due to natural occurrences and operational shortcomings, which is an expensive affair for the airlines, creating problems in scheduling and operations for the end-users thus causing bad reputation and customer dissatisfaction. In our paper, a two-stage predictive model was developed employing supervised machine learning algorithms for the prediction of flight on-time performance. The first stage of the model performs binary classification to predict the occurrence of flight delays and the second stage does regression to predict the value of the delay in minutes. The dataset used for evaluating the model was obtained from historical data which contains flight schedules and weather data for 5 years. It was observed that, in the classification stage, Gradient Boosting Classifier performed the best and in the regression stage, Extra-Trees Regressor performed the best. The performance of the other algorithms is also extensively documented in the paper. Furthermore, a real-time Decision Support Tool was built using the model which utilizes features that are readily available before the departure of an airplane and can inform passengers and airlines about flight delays in advance, helping them reduce possible monetary losses.
航空公司面临的主要业务问题之一是由于自然事件和运营缺陷导致航班延误的重大成本,这对航空公司来说是一件昂贵的事情,给最终用户带来了调度和运营方面的问题,从而造成了不良声誉和客户不满。在我们的论文中,采用监督机器学习算法开发了一个两阶段预测模型,用于预测航班准点率。模型第一阶段进行二值分类,预测航班延误的发生;第二阶段进行回归,预测航班延误的分钟数。用于评估模型的数据集来自历史数据,其中包含5年的航班时刻表和天气数据。结果表明,在分类阶段,梯度增强分类器表现最好,在回归阶段,Extra-Trees回归器表现最好。其他算法的性能也被广泛地记录在论文中。此外,利用该模型建立了一个实时决策支持工具,该工具利用飞机起飞前随时可用的特征,可以提前通知乘客和航空公司航班延误,帮助他们减少可能的经济损失。
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引用次数: 40
期刊
2017 IEEE/AIAA 36th Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC)
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