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Wildfire Impacts for Temperature Index Snowpack Model Parameters 野火对温度指数雪堆模型参数的影响
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15334
Jeremy Giovando, Jeffrey D. Niemann, Steven R. Fassnacht

Streamflow derived from snowmelt is a key source of water for communities and agricultural producers in the western U.S. As wildfires become larger and more frequent in the West (due in part to climate change), it is increasingly important to understand their potential impacts on snowpack. Temperature-index models remain widely used to simulate snowpack in post-wildfire assessments due to their low data requirements. However, there is limited information on how the key parameters of such models change due to wildfires. The objectives of this study are to (1) quantify the observed changes in the melt-rate function and the rain-snow temperature threshold due to wildfires and (2) develop methods to adjust the melt-rate function and rain-snow temperature threshold (or Px Temperature) to simulate the potential impacts of wildfires on snowpack. To accomplish these goals, snow water equivalent data from 42 SNOTEL sites that have been impacted by wildfire are used to estimate the changes in the melt-rate functions and Px Temperatures between the pre-and post-wildfire periods. Then, general linear models (GLMs) are developed to estimate the changes in the model parameters based on readily available topographic, climatic, and land cover information. The results indicate that late season melt-rates typically increase after a wildfire for sites in northern and central ecoregions of the western U.S. Px Temperature also changes for many sites, but the direction and magnitude of change is highly variable between sites. Nearly all the GLMs can estimate the observed parameter changes better than simply using the average observed changes. However, substantial variation in the parameter values is not explained by the GLMs.

随着西部地区野火的规模越来越大、频率越来越高(部分原因是气候变化),了解野火对积雪的潜在影响变得越来越重要。温度指数模型由于对数据要求不高,在野火后评估中仍被广泛用于模拟积雪。然而,关于此类模型的关键参数如何因野火而发生变化的信息却很有限。本研究的目标是:(1)量化观测到的野火导致的融化率函数和雨雪温度阈值的变化;(2)开发调整融化率函数和雨雪温度阈值(或 Px 温度)的方法,以模拟野火对积雪的潜在影响。为了实现这些目标,我们使用了 42 个受野火影响的 SNOTEL 站点的雪水当量数据来估算野火前后融化率函数和 Px 温度的变化。然后,根据现成的地形、气候和土地覆盖信息,建立一般线性模型(GLM)来估算模型参数的变化。结果表明,野火过后,美国西部北部和中部生态区的晚季融化率通常会增加,许多地点的 Px 温度也会发生变化,但不同地点的变化方向和幅度差异很大。几乎所有的 GLM 都能更好地估计观测到的参数变化,而不是简单地使用观测到的平均变化。然而,GLM 无法解释参数值的巨大变化。
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引用次数: 0
Subsurface Sediment Transport in the Shallow Vadose Zone of Fine-Textured Soils With Heterogenous Preferential Flows 具有异质优先流的细粒度土壤浅层滞留带的地下沉积物迁移
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15327
William Ford, Mark Williams, Rose Mumbi

Subsurface sediment transport in tile-drained landscapes occurs through macropores; however, little is known regarding how heterogeneous preferential flows influence fluxes. We performed laboratory rainfall simulations on 10 intact core lysimeters from a tile-drained field in Indiana, USA to study the impacts of surface and subsurface erosion on sediment leachate in heterogeneous preferential flow paths. Seven rainfall simulations were conducted to assess the impact of rainfall intensity on the leachate of surface eroded sediments (three events), and the impact of antecedent conditions on subsurface eroded sediments (four events). Cumulative sediment yield, linear mixed effects modelling, and hysteresis analyses were performed for all events. Results were presented in a series of four case studies. Results showed that surface sediment leachate concentration and yield were tightly linked to the filtration capacity of lysimeters, with more than 2/3rd of sediment originating from a single lysimeter, despite similar flow leachate volumes from each. Rainfall intensity significantly impacted the transport of surface eroded sediment at the highest intensity. Subsurface sediment erosion from undisturbed macropores was low compared to surface soils, but we found contrasting controls on sediment concentrations at low and high antecedent moistures that were equally important to sediment leachate yields. Disturbed macropores produced comparable sediment yields to surface erosion and behaved similarly to soil pipes in terms of erosion mechanics. Hysteresis results generally highlighted contrasting results for surface and subsurface sources but suggest that the prominence of slow flow, low-concentration leachate sources can alter the interpretation of results in field-scale applications. Our findings underscore an array of processes and pathways for sediment transport in the shallow vadose zone, and results will be useful for evaluating new model formulations.

瓦片排水地貌中的次表层沉积物迁移是通过大孔隙进行的;然而,人们对异质优先流如何影响通量知之甚少。我们对来自美国印第安纳州瓦片排水田的 10 个完整的岩心渗滤池进行了实验室降雨模拟,以研究地表和地下侵蚀对异质优先流路径中沉积物渗滤液的影响。进行了七次降雨模拟,以评估降雨强度对地表侵蚀沉积物沥滤液的影响(三次事件),以及前兆条件对地下侵蚀沉积物的影响(四次事件)。对所有事件都进行了累积沉积物产量、线性混合效应建模和滞后分析。结果以四个案例研究系列的形式呈现。结果表明,地表沉积物沥滤液的浓度和产量与渗滤池的过滤能力密切相关,尽管每个渗滤池的沥滤液流量相似,但超过三分之二的沉积物来自于一个渗滤池。降雨强度最高时,地表侵蚀沉积物的迁移会受到很大影响。与地表土壤相比,未受扰动的大孔隙对地表下沉积物的侵蚀程度较低,但我们发现,在低湿度和高湿度条件下,对沉积物浓度的控制截然不同,这对沉积物沥滤液产量同样重要。扰动大孔产生的沉积物量与地表侵蚀相当,在侵蚀力学方面的表现与土壤管道类似。滞后结果普遍突出了地表和地下源的对比结果,但也表明,慢流、低浓度沥滤液源的显著性可能会改变对实地应用结果的解释。我们的研究结果强调了浅滩区沉积物迁移的一系列过程和途径,这些结果将有助于评估新的模型公式。
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引用次数: 0
Neutralisation of Acid Rock Drainage by Youngest Toba Tuff Leachate Revealed by Hydrogeochemistry 水文地球化学揭示最年轻鸟羽凝灰岩沥滤液对酸性岩排水的中和作用
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15335
Kannan J. Prakash, V. R. Rani, K. S. Sajinkumar

The Youngest Toba Tuff (YTT) supervolcanic eruption occurred 75000 years ago, and resulted in distinctive ash fall deposition in different locations encompassing marine, estuarine, lacustrine, and fluvial sedimentary basins. Of the different sedimentary basins, the YTT crypto-tephra horizon preserved in the South Kerala Sedimentary Basin (SKSB) of the western coast of India is hosted by a paleo-estuarine carbonaceous clay layer. Along the eastern margin of SKSB, confined aquifers hosting highly acidic groundwater is associated with this YTT ash and associated organic matter (OM)-rich carbonaceous clay layer, creating worse acid rock drainage (ARD), which eventually gets neutralised during summer, signalled by the crystallisation of halotrichite. Hydrogeological investigation gave insights on some of the unique geochemical processes, which facilitated the neutralisation of ARD. The main aquifers in the area include laterite and clayey-sand, which is separated by this impervious layer hosting YTT ash. Wells tapping the clayey-sand aquifer, beneath this layer, is affected by the ARD condition due to the interaction with pyrite, manifested as low pH of groundwater (3.7). Simultaneously, leaching from YTT ash, which constitutes 11.91% of Al2O3, facilitates Al content to reach groundwater in high concentration (2879.97 ppb). During dry season, when the surface of YTT-hosting OM-rich carbonaceous clay layer is exposed, the leached Al interacts with the acid derived from the YTT-hosting OM-rich carbonaceous clay layer and results in the precipitation of halotrichite. The two processes, one resulting in ARD condition and the other as formation of halotrichite, occur in succession. Thus, the crystallisation of halotrichite signals the neutralisation of water as well as heralding the potability of water.

最年轻的鸟羽凝灰岩(YTT)超级火山爆发发生在距今 75000 年前,火山灰沉积在不同地点,包括海洋、河口、湖泊和河流沉积盆地。在不同的沉积盆地中,保存在印度西海岸南喀拉拉沉积盆地(SKSB)的 YTT 隐色层由古河口碳质粘土层承载。在南喀拉拉邦沉积盆地的东缘,承载高酸性地下水的承压含水层与 YTT 火山灰和富含有机质(OM)的碳质粘土层相关联,从而产生了更严重的酸性岩石排水(ARD),最终在夏季被中和,这也是光卤石结晶的标志。水文地质调查揭示了一些独特的地球化学过程,这些过程促进了 ARD 的中和。该地区的主要含水层包括红土和粘质砂土,它们被承载 YTT 灰的不透水层隔开。由于与黄铁矿的相互作用,地下水的 pH 值较低 (3.7),因此开采该层下粘土砂含水层的水井受到 ARD 条件的影响。同时,占 Al2O3 11.91% 的 YTT 灰的沥滤作用使地下水中的 Al 含量达到高浓度(2879.97 ppb)。在旱季,当 YTT 寄存富含 OM 的碳质粘土层表面裸露时,沥滤的铝与 YTT 寄存富含 OM 的碳质粘土层产生的酸相互作用,导致光卤石沉淀。这两个过程相继发生,一个导致 ARD 状态,另一个则形成了卤钨矿。因此,光卤石的结晶预示着水的中和以及水的可饮用性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Soil Infiltration Rate of Alpine Meadows Using the Electrolyte Tracer Method 使用电解质示踪法评估阿尔卑斯山草甸的土壤渗透率
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15321
Yunyun Ban, Chen Shi

Grassland on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is highly susceptible to climate change and human activities, and vegetation degradation can affect biodiversity and soil erosion. Soil infiltration is a crucial water flow process that determines the amount of runoff and water storage capacity, and it is of great importance in maintaining biodiversity. This research investigated the effects of vegetation degradation and soil rates on soil infiltration rate and processes using the electrolyte tracer method. This technique accurately calculated soil infiltration rate by tracking continuous changes in the solute concentration change process throughout the experimental period and did not require calibration. Findings indicate that vegetation type, root mass, soil water content and soil porosity significantly affect soil infiltration rate. In particular, root mass was found to have a negative effect on soil infiltration rate. Soil moisture content initially dominated soil infiltration, but subsequently, soil porosity became increasingly influential in affecting infiltration in degraded meadow. Soil infiltration capacity varied more with vegetation type than with surface runoff. Shrub meadows had the highest infiltration rate followed by normal alpine meadows and degraded meadows, indicating the importance of vegetation on soil infiltration. The research also shows that mixed shrub and meadow can improve the ecological environment by introducing a more complex root system and increasing the infiltration rate. The electrolyte tracer method was used as an alternative to other methods that can be used in different environments than the one studied in this research.

青藏高原的草地极易受到气候变化和人类活动的影响,植被退化会影响生物多样性和水土流失。土壤入渗是决定径流量和蓄水能力的关键水流过程,对维持生物多样性具有重要意义。本研究采用电解质示踪法研究了植被退化和土壤速率对土壤入渗率和入渗过程的影响。该技术通过跟踪整个实验期间溶质浓度变化过程的连续变化,准确计算出土壤入渗率,且无需校准。研究结果表明,植被类型、根系质量、土壤含水量和土壤孔隙度对土壤入渗率有显著影响。其中,根系质量对土壤渗透率有负面影响。土壤含水量最初主导土壤入渗,但随后土壤孔隙度对退化草地入渗的影响越来越大。与地表径流相比,土壤入渗能力因植被类型而异。灌木草甸的入渗率最高,其次是普通高山草甸和退化草甸,这表明植被对土壤入渗的重要性。研究还表明,灌木和草甸混交可以引入更复杂的根系,提高渗透率,从而改善生态环境。电解质示踪法是一种替代方法,可用于与本研究不同的环境。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Storm Intensities and the Implications on Green Stormwater Infrastructure Design 探索风暴强度及其对绿色雨水基础设施设计的影响
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15333
Achira Amur, Bridget Wadzuk, Robert Traver

The peak intensity that occurs during a storm event can drive the performance of a green stormwater infrastructure (GSI), which may or may not align with the expected performance of the GSI. Both the peak intensity volume and where it occurs within an event are found to influence the GSI response. The design criteria set the expectation of how well a GSI will manage stormwater within a watershed. The Villanova University bioinfiltration rain garden (BRG) has been monitored since 2003, providing a long hydrological data record that is used to study local and observed rainfall patterns in comparison to design criteria to understand the impact of storm intensity on GSI performance. Intensities for all the storms recorded at the site were assessed at different timesteps and compared to the intensities typically used by the design storm approach in meeting regulatory criteria. There were 1482 storm events analysed and for all timesteps, the values commonly used for meeting design regulations were seen to be well above what was observed at the BRG, with 98% of the storms occurring below these values. Out of the 1482 storms, only 46 storms (3%) had effective durations longer than 10 h and no storm observed had an effective duration longer than 22 h, yet their peak intensities were still below the peak intensity associated with design regulations. This finding highlights the difference in the duration these sites are designed to manage (typically 24 h), in comparison to the ones experienced by the systems. The peak intensity analysis done at the different timesteps shows that for the storms recorded at the BRG, the intensities vary with changing time intervals and events. Of all the assessed events, only two events recorded larger intensities than the regionally specified NOAA C design storm, demonstrating the skewness of the approach. There was no trend in peak rain intensities over the 20-year rainfall record. This study concludes that due to their dynamic performance, vegetated GSI have a natural resilience to a variety of precipitation patterns and climate changes that may be compromised when designing to a static value set through design storms.

暴雨事件中出现的峰值强度会影响绿色雨水基础设施(GSI)的性能,这可能与 GSI 的预期性能一致,也可能不一致。在暴雨事件中,峰值强度和峰值强度发生的位置都会影响 GSI 的响应。设计标准设定了 GSI 在流域内管理雨水的预期效果。维拉诺瓦大学的生物渗透雨水花园 (BRG) 自 2003 年以来一直受到监测,提供了长期的水文数据记录,用于研究当地和观测到的降雨模式,并与设计标准进行比较,以了解暴雨强度对 GSI 性能的影响。对现场记录的所有暴雨强度进行了不同时间步长的评估,并与设计暴雨方法在满足监管标准时通常使用的强度进行了比较。共分析了 1482 次暴雨事件,在所有时间步骤中,通常用于满足设计规范的暴雨强度值都远高于在生物圈保护区观测到的暴雨强度值,98% 的暴雨强度都低于这些值。在 1482 个暴雨中,只有 46 个暴雨(3%)的有效持续时间超过 10 小时,没有观测到有效持续时间超过 22 小时的暴雨,但其峰值强度仍低于设计规定的峰值强度。这一结果凸显了这些站点设计管理的持续时间(通常为 24 小时)与系统所经历的持续时间之间的差异。在不同时间段进行的峰值强度分析表明,在 BRG 记录的暴雨中,强度随时间间隔和事件的变化而变化。在所有评估的事件中,只有两个事件的强度大于该地区指定的 NOAA C 设计暴雨强度,这表明了该方法的偏斜性。在 20 年的降雨记录中,峰值雨强没有变化趋势。这项研究的结论是,由于植被 GSI 的动态性能,它对各种降水模式和气候变化具有天然的适应能力,而如果按照设计暴雨的静态值进行设计,则可能会损害这种适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Tracing Urban Drinking Water Sources: Global State of the Art and Insights From an IAEA-Coordinated Research Project 追踪城市饮用水源:国际原子能机构(IAEA)协调研究项目的全球技术现状和启示
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15312
Ricardo Sánchez-Murillo, Lucía Ortega, Polona Vreča, Klara Žagar, Suprina Shrestha, Charity Kgotlaebonywe, Germain Esquivel-Hernández, Christian Birkel, Giovanny M. Mosquera, Patricio Crespo, Darío Xaiver Zhiña, Aurel Perșoiu, Renata Feher, Arthur Ionescu, Bijay Man Shakya, Rabin Malla, Mouna Bissassa, Meriem Bellarbi, Mohamed Qurtobi, Prasanta Sanyal, Ajay Ajay, Seifu Kebede, Gabriel J. Bowen, Jean François Hélie, Daniele Pinti, Florent Barbecot, Sadhana Shrestha, Massimo Marchesi, Jared Van Rooyen, Jodie Miller

Climate change, inter-annual precipitation variability, recurrent droughts and flash flooding, coupled with increasing water needs, are shaping the co-evolution of socioeconomic and cultural assemblages, water laws and regulations, and equitable drinking water access and allocation worldwide. Recognising the need for mitigation strategies for drinking water availability in urban areas, the Isotope Hydrology Section of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) coordinated a state-of-the-art global assessment to evaluate water sources and distribution of drinking water supply in urban centres, an initiative entitled ‘Use of Isotope Techniques for the Evaluation of Water Sources for Domestic Supply in Urban Areas (2018–2023)’. Here, we report on (a) current research trends for studying urban drinking water systems during the last two decades and (b) the development, testing and integration of new methodologies, aiming for a better assessment, mapping and management of water resources used for drinking water supply in urban settings. Selected examples of water isotope applications (Canada, USA, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Morocco, Botswana, Romania, Slovenia, India and Nepal) provide context to the insights and recommendations reported and highlight the versatility of water isotopes to underpin seasonal and temporal variations across various environmental and climate scenarios. The study revealed that urban areas depend on a large spectrum of water recharge across mountain ranges, extensive local groundwater extraction and water transfer from nearby or distant river basins. The latter is reflected in the spatial isotope snapshot variability. High-resolution monitoring (hourly and sub-hourly) isotope sampling revealed large diurnal variations in the wet tropics (Costa Rica) (up to 1.5‰ in δ18O) and more uniform diurnal variations in urban centres fed by groundwater sources (0.08‰ in δ18O) (Ljubljana, Slovenia). Similarly, while d-excess was fairly close to the global mean value (+10‰) across all urban centres (10‰–15‰), reservoir-based drinking water systems show lower values (up to ~ −20‰) (Arlington, TX, USA and Gaborone, Botswana), as a result of strong evapoconcentration processes. δ18O time series and depth-integrated sampling highlighted the influence of the catchment damping ratio in the ultimate intake water composition. By introducing new, traceable spatial and temporal tools that span from the water source to the end-user and are linked to the engineered and socio-economic structure of the water distribution system, governmental, regional or community-based water operators and practitioners could enhance drinking water treatment strategies (including more accurate surface water blending estimations) and improve urban water management and conservation plans in the light of global warming.

气候变化、年际降水变化、经常性干旱和山洪暴发,再加上日益增长的用水需求,正在影响着世界各地的社会经济和文化组合、水法律法规以及饮用水的公平获取和分配。国际原子能机构(IAEA)同位素水文部门认识到需要制定城市地区饮用水供应的减缓战略,因此协调开展了一项最先进的全球评估,以评估城市中心的水源和饮用水供应分布情况,该倡议名为 "利用同位素技术评估城市地区生活供水水源(2018-2023 年)"。在此,我们将报告:(a) 过去二十年间研究城市饮用水系统的当前研究趋势;(b) 新方法的开发、测试和整合,旨在更好地评估、绘制和管理用于城市饮用水供应的水资源。选定的水同位素应用实例(加拿大、美国、哥斯达黎加、厄瓜多尔、摩洛哥、博茨瓦纳、罗马尼亚、斯洛文尼亚、印度和尼泊尔)为所报告的见解和建议提供了背景,并强调了水同位素在各种环境和气候情况下支持季节和时间变化的多功能性。研究表明,城市地区依赖于大量的山脉补给水、当地地下水的大量开采以及附近或遥远流域的水转移。后者反映在空间同位素快照变化上。高分辨率监测(每小时和每小时以下)同位素取样显示,湿热带地区(哥斯达黎加)的昼夜变化较大(δ18O 的变化高达 1.5‰),而由地下水源补给的城市中心的昼夜变化较为均匀(δ18O 的变化为 0.08‰)(斯洛文尼亚卢布尔雅那)。同样,在所有城市中心(10‰-15‰),虽然 d-excess 与全球平均值(+10‰)相当接近,但由于强烈的蒸发浓缩过程,以水库为基础的饮用水系统显示出较低的值(高达 ~-20‰)(美国德克萨斯州阿灵顿和博茨瓦纳哈博罗内)。δ18O时间序列和深度综合采样突出了集水区阻尼比对最终取水成分的影响。通过引入新的、可追溯的时空工具(从水源到最终用户),并将其与配水系统的工程和社会经济结构联系起来,政府、地区或社区的水运营商和从业人员可以加强饮用水处理战略(包括更准确的地表水混合估算),并在全球变暖的情况下改进城市水资源管理和保护计划。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the Contributions of Riparian Vegetation and Topography to Stream Shade Using LiDAR and Conventional Digital Elevation Data 利用激光雷达和传统数字高程数据模拟河岸植被和地形对溪流遮荫的贡献
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15316
B. L. Browning, R. D. Moore

Stream temperature is widely considered the master variable in stream ecosystems. One of the key drivers of diel and seasonal stream temperature variability is the solar radiation received at the stream surface, which can be influenced by shading associated with both larger scale topographic features and riparian vegetation. In this study, a stream shade model was developed that uses LiDAR point cloud data to model shading by riparian vegetation, including canopy overhang, and conventional elevation data to model stream shading by topography. The model was applied to a dominantly north–south oriented river flowing in a floodplain within a mountain valley. When compared with shade interpreted from PlanetScope visual imagery, the model predicted stream shade at the point scale with 92% agreement. Sources of error were attributed to pixel and azimuth band size, which can be refined within the model arguments, although at the cost of increased processing time. The shade model was re-run after virtually rotating the reach by 90° and 270° clockwise to evaluate the effect of valley orientation. Peak reach-wide sunlight exposure occurred approximately 2 h later in the day when the stream reach was rotated 90°, and produced greater shading from mid-morning to mid-afternoon. Further work should test the model on smaller streams using ground-based oblique or drone-based photography to provide ground-truthing, particularly to assess the accuracy of predicted shade below over-hanging vegetation.

溪流温度被广泛认为是溪流生态系统的主要变量。溪流表面接收到的太阳辐射是昼夜和季节性溪流温度变化的主要驱动因素之一,而较大尺度的地形特征和河岸植被会对太阳辐射产生影响。本研究开发了一个溪流遮阳模型,该模型使用激光雷达点云数据来模拟河岸植被(包括树冠悬垂)造成的遮阳,并使用常规高程数据来模拟地形造成的溪流遮阳。该模型适用于一条主要流向为南北的河流,流经山谷中的洪泛平原。与根据 PlanetScope 视觉图像解读的遮阳效果相比,该模型在点尺度上预测的溪流遮阳效果吻合度高达 92%。误差来源于像素和方位角波段的大小,这可以在模型参数中进行细化,但代价是处理时间的增加。在将河谷顺时针旋转 90° 和 270° 后,重新运行了遮阳模型,以评估河谷方向的影响。当河段旋转 90° 时,整个河段的日照峰值出现在一天中大约 2 小时之后,并且从上午到下午产生了更大的阴影。进一步的工作应该在较小的溪流上测试该模型,使用地面倾斜摄影或无人机摄影来提供地面实况,特别是评估悬垂植被下方遮阳预测的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Groundwater Recharge Prediction: A Feature Selection-Based Deep Forest Model With Bayesian Optimisation 加强地下水补给预测:基于特征选择和贝叶斯优化的深林模型
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15309
Bao Liu, Yaohua Sun, Lei Gao

Accurate prediction of groundwater recharge is crucial for the sustainable management of water resources. Existing models, while effective, still have potential for improved accuracy. This study proposed a novel deep forest model—the Feature Selection-based Deep Forest model (FSDF)—for enhanced groundwater recharge prediction. This model consists of three key essential components: a feature selection layer, a cascade enhancement layer and a decision output layer, all designed to enhance the prediction accuracy of groundwater recharge rates. The feature selection layer effectively filtered out redundant features, ensuring that only relevant features are fed into the subsequent cascade enhancement layer. The cascaded enhancement layer was jointly constructed by random forests and completely random forests, processing the data layer-by-layer. Finally, the predictions of groundwater recharge rates were produced through an averaging strategy in the decision output layer. To further enhance the FSDF model's predictive capabilities, Bayesian optimization was applied for fine-tuning model hyperparameters. The model's performance was evaluated and compared with existing models using a dataset comprising of groundwater recharge rates from 1549 wells in New South Wales, Australia. The FSDF model exhibited exceptional performance, achieving a training accuracy of 95.91% and a testing accuracy of 89.65%. It outperformed the adaptive boosting, categorical boosting, extreme gradient boosting, multiple linear regression and random forests by 2.02%, 6.98%, 9.05%, 17.02% and 2.74% in prediction performance, respectively. This study contributes to both hydrological processes and groundwater management by identifying key factors such as rainfall, surface geology and PET, and refining hydrological models for greater predictive accuracy. The FSDF model offers a powerful tool for accurately forecasting groundwater recharge, outperforming traditional models. The model's adaptability makes it applicable to different geographical regions for managing water resources in the face of challenges such as water scarcity and climate change.

准确预测地下水补给量对水资源的可持续管理至关重要。现有模型虽然有效,但仍有提高精度的潜力。本研究提出了一种新型深林模型--基于特征选择的深林模型(FSDF)--用于增强地下水补给预测。该模型由三个重要部分组成:特征选择层、级联增强层和决策输出层,所有这些都是为了提高地下水补给率的预测精度而设计的。特征选择层可有效地过滤掉多余的特征,确保只有相关的特征才会被送入后续的级联增强层。级联增强层由随机森林和完全随机森林共同构建,逐层处理数据。最后,通过决策输出层的平均策略,得出地下水补给率的预测结果。为进一步提高 FSDF 模型的预测能力,应用贝叶斯优化技术对模型超参数进行了微调。利用澳大利亚新南威尔士州 1549 口水井的地下水补给率数据集,对该模型的性能进行了评估,并与现有模型进行了比较。FSDF 模型表现出卓越的性能,训练准确率达到 95.91%,测试准确率达到 89.65%。其预测性能分别比自适应提升、分类提升、极梯度提升、多元线性回归和随机森林高出 2.02%、6.98%、9.05%、17.02% 和 2.74%。这项研究通过识别降雨、地表地质和 PET 等关键因素,完善水文模型以提高预测精度,为水文过程和地下水管理做出了贡献。FSDF 模型是准确预测地下水补给的有力工具,其性能优于传统模型。该模型的适应性使其适用于不同的地理区域,以便在面临缺水和气候变化等挑战时管理水资源。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive, Multi-Scale Evaluation of Field Methods for Assessing Stream–Aquifer Interactions Along Channelised Lowland Streams 对河道化低洼地溪流沿岸的溪流-蓄水层相互作用实地评估方法进行全面、多尺度的评估
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15311
Benjamin Ledesma, Rodrigo Villalpando-Vizcaino, Daniel Larsen, Scott Schoefernacker, Brian Waldron, Claudio Meier

Stream–aquifer interactions (SAIs) play a critical role in effective groundwater management, yet their complex dynamics remain poorly understood in channelized lowland perennial streams. This study presents a multi-scale, multi-technique investigation of SAIs along two long-stream reaches in Tennessee, United States. The goal is to define a suitable methodology for characterising SAIs in this specific hydrological setting, serving as a starting point for developing a more standardised and replicable approach. The methodology includes an initial evaluation of various field techniques, followed by extensive surveys using potentiomanometers, electromagnetic induction (EMI), vertical temperature profilers (VTPs) and complementary methods such as seepage meters, bank tests and well-data analyses. Results reveal distinct hydrogeomorphic behaviours across and along the streams, challenging the SAI-homogeneity notions typically assumed in groundwater models. Nonconnah Creek exhibited streambed colmation and negligible hydraulic gradients, resulting in disconnection from the aquifer during low flows, except for a 300-m losing reach with high downward gradients. In contrast, the Loosahatchie River displayed relatively homogeneous streambed properties and small, upward hydraulic gradients, suggesting uniform SAIs along the surveyed reaches. EMI proved highly effective for mapping streambed sediments quickly, while potentiomanometers accurately measured small head differences critical for understanding SAI dynamics. VTPs were less practical due to the extended data-collection times required and their vulnerability to flooding. This study emphasises the importance of multi-scale investigations using diverse techniques to accurately characterise SAIs in lowland streams, highlighting the confounding influences of geological formations, anthropogenic alterations and depositional processes on groundwater–surface water interactions. The findings contribute to refining local water balances, informing groundwater management strategies and underscoring the need for incorporating local-scale field data into regional groundwater models. The proposed methodology serves as a foundation for developing a standardised approach for characterising SAIs in lowland channelized perennial streams, adaptable for similar stream systems worldwide.

溪流与含水层的相互作用(SAIs)在有效的地下水管理中起着至关重要的作用,但人们对渠道化低洼地常年溪流的复杂动态仍然知之甚少。本研究采用多尺度、多技术方法,对美国田纳西州两条溪流的 SAIs 进行了调查。目的是确定一种合适的方法来描述这种特定水文环境中的 SAI,并以此为起点,开发出一种更加标准化和可复制的方法。该方法包括对各种实地技术进行初步评估,然后使用电位计、电磁感应(EMI)、垂直温度剖面仪(VTP)以及渗流计、堤岸测试和井数据分析等补充方法进行广泛调查。研究结果表明,溪流两岸的水文地质行为截然不同,这对地下水模型中通常假定的 SAI 均质性概念提出了挑战。Nonconnah 溪呈现出河床胶结和可忽略不计的水力梯度,导致在低流量时与含水层断开连接,只有一条 300 米长的流失河段具有较高的向下梯度。相比之下,Loosahatchie 河显示出相对均匀的河床特性和较小的向上水力梯度,表明勘测河段沿线的 SAI 一致。事实证明,EMI 对于快速绘制河床沉积物图非常有效,而电位计则能准确测量对了解 SAI 动态至关重要的微小水头差。VTP 由于需要较长的数据采集时间以及易受洪水影响而不太实用。这项研究强调了使用多种技术进行多尺度调查以准确描述低地溪流中的 SAI 的重要性,同时突出了地质构造、人为改变和沉积过程对地下水-地表水相互作用的干扰影响。研究结果有助于完善当地的水量平衡,为地下水管理战略提供信息,并强调了将当地尺度的实地数据纳入区域地下水模型的必要性。所提出的方法可作为制定标准化方法的基础,用于描述低地渠道化常年溪流中的 SAI,并适用于全球类似的溪流系统。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Variation of Changes in Extreme Discharge Seasonality Across the Northeastern United States 美国东北部极端降水季节性变化的空间差异
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15317
Owen H. Richardson, Carl E. Renshaw, Francis J. Magilligan

The Northeast United States exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity in flood seasonality, with spring snowmelt-driven floods historically dominating northern areas, while other regions show more varied flood seasonality. While it is well documented that since 1996 there has been a marked increase in extreme precipitation across this region, the response of flood seasonality to these changes in extreme precipitation and the spatial distribution of these effects remain uncertain. Here we show that, historically, snowmelt-dominated northern regions were relatively insensitive to changes in extreme precipitation. However, with climate warming, the dominance of snowmelt floods is decreasing and thus the extreme flood regimes in northern regions are increasingly susceptible to changes in extreme precipitation. While extreme precipitation increased everywhere in the Northeastern United States in 1996, it has since returned to near pre-1996 levels in the coastal north while remaining elevated in the inland north. Thus, the inland north region has and continues to experience the greatest changes in extreme flooding seasonality, including a substantial rise in floods outside the historical spring flood season, particularly in smaller watersheds. Further analysis reveals that while early winter floods are increasingly common, the magnitude of cold season floods (Nov-May) have remained unchanged over time. In contrast, warm season floods (June-Oct), historically less significant, are now increasing in both frequency and magnitude in the inland north. Our results highlight that treating the entire Northeast as a uniform hydroclimatic region conceals significant regional variations in extreme discharge trends and, more generally, climate warming will likely increase the sensitivity of historically snowmelt dominated watersheds to extreme precipitation. Understanding this spatial variability in increased extreme precipitation and increased sensitivity to extreme precipitation is crucial for enhancing disaster preparedness and refining water management strategies in affected regions.

美国东北部的洪水季节性在空间上表现出明显的异质性,北部地区历来以春季融雪驱动的洪水为主,而其他地区的洪水季节性则更为多样。有资料表明,自 1996 年以来,该地区的极端降水量明显增加,但洪水季节性对极端降水量变化的响应以及这些影响的空间分布仍不确定。在这里,我们表明,从历史上看,以融雪为主的北部地区对极端降水的变化相对不敏感。然而,随着气候变暖,融雪洪水的主导地位正在下降,因此北部地区的极端洪水机制越来越容易受到极端降水变化的影响。虽然 1996 年美国东北部各地的极端降水量都有所增加,但此后北部沿海地区的极端降水量已恢复到接近 1996 年之前的水平,而北部内陆地区的极端降水量仍在上升。因此,北部内陆地区已经并将继续经历最大的极端洪水季节性变化,包括历史上春季洪水季节之外洪水的大幅上升,特别是在较小的流域。进一步的分析表明,虽然初冬洪水越来越常见,但冷季洪水(11 月至次年 5 月)的规模却长期保持不变。相比之下,暖季洪水(6 月至 10 月)历来不太严重,但现在在北部内陆地区,其发生频率和洪水量都在增加。我们的研究结果突出表明,将整个东北地区视为一个统一的水文气候区掩盖了极端降水趋势的显著区域差异,而且更普遍的是,气候变暖可能会增加历史上以融雪为主的流域对极端降水的敏感性。了解极端降水增加和对极端降水敏感性增加的这种空间变化,对于加强灾害防备和完善受影响地区的水资源管理策略至关重要。
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Hydrological Processes
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