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Spatiotemporal Variability of Rainfall-Streamflow Dynamics in Mountainous Tropical Environments: Insights From Agricultural Catchments of Northwest Rwanda 山地热带环境中降雨-溪流动态的时空变化:来自卢旺达西北部农业集水区的见解
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70360
Deogratias Nahayo, Bernard Tychon, Emmanuel Rukundo, Olivier Dewitte, Umaru Garba Wali, Matthias Vanmaercke

Accurate rainfall–streamflow observations are essential for understanding runoff generation and flood hazards in mountainous regions. Yet such information remains scarce in many areas, especially for small and medium-sized catchments in tropical environments of developing countries. This study develops high-resolution rainfall–streamflow datasets and evaluates the spatiotemporal variability of rainfall–runoff dynamics to assess the applicability of the rational method, from its empirical formulation to its physical interpretation, for flood-hazard management in the Nyamutera (44 km2) and Gaseke (109 km2) catchments of the mountainous Mukungwa watershed in northwestern Rwanda. To address data scarcity, cost-effective stream monitoring stations were installed to record flow depths, complemented by three automatic rain gauges and two weather stations that record rainfall and other weather parameters at 15-min intervals. Periodic discharge measurements were conducted to establish stage–discharge rating curves, which were used to derive continuous streamflow records from April 2022 to May 2023. Analysis of 40 storm-event responses revealed marked contrasts between the catchments: Nyamutera produced higher runoff coefficients (0.05–0.40; mean = 0.20; annual mean = 0.18) than Gaseke (0.02–0.35; mean = 0.10; annual mean = 0.11), reflecting its steeper slopes and lower storage capacity. Design runoff coefficients for the 100-year event were 0.55 and 0.51, and recorded peak discharges reached 131 and 122 m3/s, respectively. These values reflect Nyamutera's faster, more concentrated flow pathways, in contrast to the more attenuated response observed in Gaseke. The results highlight differences in runoff behaviour between the two catchments, likely reflecting their contrasting topography, soil properties and storage capacity. Although the monitoring network captured most dynamics, uncertainties remain in monitoring very low flows, extreme peaks and high rainfall variability. This study suggests additional monitoring techniques that could help capture these conditions. The developed approach provides a practical, transferable framework for rainfall-streamflow characterisation in similarly data-limited mountainous environments.

准确的降雨流量观测对于了解山区的产流和洪涝灾害至关重要。然而,在许多地区,特别是发展中国家热带环境中的中小型集水区,这种资料仍然很少。本研究开发了高分辨率的降雨-溪流数据集,并评估了降雨-径流动态的时空变化,以评估从经验公式到物理解释的合理方法在卢旺达西北部山区穆昆瓜流域尼亚穆特拉(44平方公里)和加塞克(109平方公里)流域洪水灾害管理中的适用性。为了解决数据短缺的问题,我们安装了具有成本效益的河流监测站来记录水流深度,并安装了三个自动雨量计和两个气象站,每隔15分钟记录降雨量和其他天气参数。通过定期流量测量,建立了分级流量等级曲线,并利用该曲线获得了2022年4月至2023年5月的连续流量记录。对40个暴雨事件响应的分析揭示了不同流域之间的显著差异:Nyamutera流域的径流系数(0.05 ~ 0.40,平均值= 0.20,年平均值= 0.18)高于Gaseke流域(0.02 ~ 0.35,平均值= 0.10,年平均值= 0.11),这反映了其坡度更陡,储水量更低。百年一遇事件的设计径流系数分别为0.55和0.51,记录的峰值流量分别达到131和122 m3/s。这些值反映了Nyamutera更快,更集中的流动路径,与Gaseke观察到的更弱的响应形成对比。结果突出了两个集水区之间径流行为的差异,可能反映了它们不同的地形、土壤性质和储存能力。尽管监测网络捕获了大多数动态,但在监测非常低的流量、极端峰值和高降雨量变异性方面仍然存在不确定性。这项研究提出了额外的监测技术,可以帮助捕捉这些情况。开发的方法为在同样数据有限的山区环境中描述降雨-溪流特征提供了一个实用的、可转移的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Partitioning Evapotranspiration Using an Optimised Isotopic Technique Under Land Use Change 土地利用变化下优化同位素技术分配蒸散发
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70398
Jineng Sun, Feifei Wang, Jiahui Ha, Xiaoling He, Jinxia Fu, Zhi Li

Accurately partitioning evapotranspiration (ET) into evaporation (E) and transpiration (T) remains challenging, but is essential for understanding ecohydrological processes and sustainable management of water resources. This study aims to partition ET and investigate the land use change effects on ET components through a space-for-time substitution approach and an optimised isotopic tracing method on China's Loess Plateau. The soil samples up to 20 m deep were collected from farmland (F) and two vegetation types converted from F, that is, 13-year-old peashrub (P13) and 51-year-old apricot (A51). By using multiple isotopes (δ2H, δ18O and 3H), ET was efficiently partitioned to discuss the effects of land use change on soil water balance (SWB) components. Following the conversion of F to P13 and A51, soil water storage declined by 44% and 39%, respectively, while deep drainage was completely eliminated in both cases. ET partitioning revealed that P13 and A51 exhibited significantly higher ET (511.7 and 411.6 mm year−1, equivalent to 131% and 107% of mean annual precipitation) than F (372.5 mm year−1, equivalent to 96% of mean annual precipitation). Further, E slightly decreased in P13 and A51 by 10% and 7% (7.0 and 4.6 mm year−1); whereas T significantly increased by 48% and 16% (146.2 and 49.7 mm year−1), respectively. T dominated ET under the three land uses with T/ET ranging from 82% to 89%, which is explained by lower precipitation and greater tree age in the sample plots of this study area. The quantified SWB well revealed the mechanisms by which land use change affects soil hydrological processes. The findings can provide valuable insights for ecological restoration and water resource protection in arid and semi-arid regions.

准确地将蒸散发(ET)划分为蒸发(E)和蒸腾(T)仍然具有挑战性,但对于理解生态水文过程和水资源的可持续管理至关重要。本研究旨在通过时空替代方法和优化同位素示踪方法对中国黄土高原蒸散发进行分区,研究土地利用变化对蒸散发组分的影响。20 m深度的土壤样品采集自农田(F)和由F转换而来的两种植被类型,即13年生的桃树(P13)和51年生的杏(A51)。利用多同位素(δ2H、δ18O和3H)对ET进行有效划分,探讨土地利用变化对土壤水分平衡组分的影响。F转化为P13和A51后,土壤储水量分别下降44%和39%,完全消除了深层排水。ET划分表明,P13和A51的ET(511.7和411.6 mm,分别相当于年平均降水量的131%和107%)显著高于F (372.5 mm,相当于年平均降水量的96%)。此外,E在P13和A51中略有下降,分别下降10%和7%(7.0和4.6 mm);而T则分别显著增加48%和16%(146.2和49.7 mm)。3种土地利用方式下,T占主导地位,T/ET在82% ~ 89%之间,这与研究区样地降水少、树龄大有关。量化的SWB很好地揭示了土地利用变化影响土壤水文过程的机制。研究结果可为干旱半干旱区生态恢复和水资源保护提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
The Elusive Runoff Generation: Understanding Thresholds and Pathways in a Dry Sedimentary Plain 难以捉摸的径流生成:了解干燥沉积平原的阈值和途径
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70399
Marcos J. Niborski, Francisco Murray, Esteban G. Jobbágy, Roberto J. Fernández, Marcelo D. Nosetto, Ricardo A. Páez, María V. Petit, Patricio N. Magliano

Although runoff is usually quantified as a fraction of annual rainfall, its spatial heterogeneity and temporal variability are critical aspects poorly assessed in flat drylands. In this study, we: (i) quantified the annual runoff and its relation with watershed and piosphere (high cattle impact) areas, (ii) quantified the uneven contribution of the largest rainfall and runoff events to their respective yearly totals at different temporal scales, (iii) evaluated the runoff responses to rainfall characteristics (event size and intensity), and (iv) quantified the lag time between rainfall and runoff peaks and its relation to the maximum length of the watershed. To do this, we combined high-resolution field measurements (three consecutive years, 15-min resolution) with remote-sensing analyses for six watersheds (sizes between 20 and 2000 ha) in Dry Chaco rangelands (Argentina). On average, runoff was not explained by watershed or piosphere area. Runoff was more variable than rainfall: the 10 wettest days explained 100% and 60% of annual runoff and rainfall, respectively. Only 15% of the rainfall events generated runoff. Runoff required on average the coincidence of a 20.3 ± 1.6 mm rainfall size and 12.2 ± 2.2 mm h−1 rainfall intensity. Above these thresholds, the response between rainfall and runoff was linear (R2 > 0.66 and 0.62 for event size and intensity, respectively). Lag was 43 ± 27 min, highlighting the ephemeral flash-flood nature of runoff. There was also a linear relationship between mean lag and watershed's maximum length (r = 0.87). Our results highlight the stochastic nature of runoff for Dry Chaco rangelands, both in space and time, modulated by rather subtle watershed physical elements and microtopography. This view challenges the idea of a fixed runoff generation area, which needs to be replaced by a more flexible, if not idiosyncratic concept, based on the interactions between terrain features and rainfall event characteristics.

虽然径流通常被量化为年降雨量的一部分,但其空间异质性和时间变异性是平坦旱地评估不足的关键方面。在本研究中,我们:(i)量化了年径流量及其与流域和浮圈(高牛影响)地区的关系;(ii)量化了不同时间尺度下最大降雨和径流事件对各自年总量的不均匀贡献;(iii)评估了径流对降雨特征(事件大小和强度)的响应;(iv)量化了降雨和径流峰值之间的滞后时间及其与流域最大长度的关系。为此,我们将高分辨率野外测量(连续三年,15分钟分辨率)与遥感分析相结合,对阿根廷干查科牧场的6个流域(面积在20到2000公顷之间)进行了分析。平均而言,径流不能用流域或悬浮圈面积来解释。径流比降雨量变化更大:10个最潮湿的日子分别解释了100%和60%的年径流和降雨量。只有15%的降雨事件产生了径流。径流平均要求降雨量为20.3±1.6 mm,降雨强度为12.2±2.2 mm h−1。在这些阈值以上,降雨和径流之间的响应是线性的(事件大小和强度的R2分别为0.66和0.62)。滞后时间为43±27 min,表明径流具有短暂的山洪性质。平均滞后与流域最大长度之间也存在线性关系(r = 0.87)。我们的研究结果强调了干查科牧场径流的随机性,无论是在空间上还是在时间上,都受到相当微妙的分水岭物理因素和微地形的调节。这一观点挑战了固定产流区域的概念,它需要基于地形特征和降雨事件特征之间的相互作用,用一个更灵活的(如果不是特殊的)概念来取代。
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引用次数: 0
A Numerical Model for Integrated Form of Richards Equation 理查兹方程积分形式的数值模型
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70396
Junhao He, Latif Kalin, Mohamed M. Hantush, Sabahattin Isik

Modelling volumetric water content and fluxes in unsaturated soils is fundamental to land surface-groundwater coupling simulations. Richards equation (RE) provides relatively accurate predictions of soil moisture due to its fundamentally sound physical basis. However, numerical solutions of RE are often computationally demanding and can be challenging to obtain under highly variable hydro-climate conditions due to its high nonlinearity, especially when used in large-scale hydro-climate applications. By adopting the integrated form of RE, this paper presents a Layer-Averaged solution of RE (LARE) to simulate volumetric water content and fluxes in stratified soil profiles. To this end, a coupled system of ordinary differential equations was developed, which addresses complex hydroclimate boundary conditions at the soil surface and dynamic water table conditions at the soil bottom. The model was verified by comparison against analytical solutions, HYDRUS 1-D, and finite difference schemes for homogeneous and heterogeneous soil profiles. Robustness of the model to reproduce and interpret real field was demonstrated under real time-variable hydrometeorological conditions imposed at the soil surface. Uncertainty bounds for model simulated volumetric water content were constructed using the Bayesian Monte Carlo method, revealing that hydrometeorological inputs and model structural errors were major source of predictive uncertainty and the contribution of parametric uncertainty was marginal. The accuracy and numerical efficiency of LARE makes it a suitable, alternative numerical scheme for solving RE at finer spatial resolution and at sufficiently coarser resolutions. The model has the potential to be integrated into land surface models for large-scale watershed soil moisture dynamics simulations.

模拟非饱和土壤的体积含水量和通量是陆地地表水-地下水耦合模拟的基础。理查兹方程(RE)由于其基本可靠的物理基础,提供了相对准确的土壤湿度预测。然而,由于其高度非线性,特别是在大规模水文气候应用中,在高度变化的水文气候条件下,RE的数值解往往需要计算,并且可能具有挑战性。本文采用正则表达式的积分形式,提出了一种正则表达式的层平均解(LARE),用于模拟分层土壤剖面的体积含水量和通量。为此,建立了一个耦合的常微分方程系统,该系统处理了土壤表面复杂的水文气候边界条件和土壤底部的动态地下水位条件。通过对均质和非均质土壤剖面的解析解、HYDRUS 1-D和有限差分格式的比较,验证了该模型的正确性。在土壤表面施加的实时可变水文气象条件下,该模型对再现和解释实际现场的鲁棒性得到了证明。利用贝叶斯蒙特卡罗方法构建了模型模拟体积含水量的不确定性边界,表明水文气象输入和模型结构误差是预测不确定性的主要来源,参数不确定性的贡献很小。LARE的精度和数值效率使其成为在更精细的空间分辨率和足够粗糙的分辨率下求解RE的合适的替代数值格式。该模型具有整合到陆地表面模型中用于大尺度流域土壤水分动力学模拟的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Tracer Hydrology Practices, Challenges, and Opportunities Across Latin America and the Caribbean 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区示踪水文实践、挑战和机遇
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70376
Ricardo Sánchez-Murillo, Christian Birkel, Enrico A. Yépez, Ricardo Oyarzún, María Poca, Orlando Mauricio Quiroz Londoño, Lyssette E. Muñoz-Villers, Ana M. Durán-Quesada, Marcia Barrera de Calderón, Rolando Sánchez-Gutiérrez, Giovanny M. Mosquera, Ruth E. Villanueva Estrada, Geoffrey Marshall, Javier Barberena Moncada, Odalys Julissa Ibarra-Alejos, Kegan K. Farrick, Juan Pérez Quezadas, Kristen Welsh, Francisco Fernandoy, Juan A. Torres-Martínez, José Luis Arumí, Megan Cox, Yelba Flores-Meza, María L. Montiel, Junior O. Hernández-Ortiz, Miguel A. Mejía González, Claudia R. Avalos, Luis González-Hita, Didier Gastmans, Selene Olea-Olea, Germain Esquivel-Hernández, Dana M. Jacob, Isadora Aumond Kuhn, Agustín Menta, Manuel Giménez, Isabel Pérez Martínez, Roger Pacheco Castro, Paola Alejandra Vásquez Cardona, Marcelo Somos-Valenzuela, Gabriela P. Flores Avilés, Alejandro García-Moya, Angela Méndez, Roberto E. Kirchheim, Marcela Cabrera, Haydée Osorio-Ugarte, Juan Camacho-Puerto, Chris Soulsby, Jodie Miller

Tracer hydrology in Latin America and the Caribbean has made significant progress in recent decades, largely through the sustained support of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Current practises show water stable isotope applications and precipitation-groundwater monitoring at the core of most networks, providing valuable insights into recharge mechanisms, groundwater to surface water connectivity, pollution tracking, and climate variability. Despite these advances, critical challenges persist, including short and fragmented monitoring records, limited capture of extreme events, restricted data accessibility, and persistent barriers related to funding, analytical capacity, and weak policy integration. Improving science communication emerges as an urgent need to transform technical findings into actionable knowledge that informs decision-makers and empowers communities. Opportunities exist to build on IAEA's legacy by sustaining long-term networks, diversifying tracer applications, mobilising citizen science in monitoring efforts, expanding modelling and laboratory capacity, and advocating for FAIR data sharing across end-users. Strengthened collaboration across the region, improved communication, and deeper policy engagement can elevate tracer hydrology into a pillar of regional water governance and hydro-climate resilience.

近几十年来,拉丁美洲和加勒比的示踪水文学取得了重大进展,这主要是由于国际原子能机构(原子能机构)的持续支持。目前的实践表明,水稳定同位素应用和降水-地下水监测是大多数网络的核心,为补给机制、地下水与地表水的连通性、污染跟踪和气候变率提供了有价值的见解。尽管取得了这些进展,但严峻的挑战依然存在,包括监测记录短且碎片化、极端事件捕获有限、数据可及性受限,以及与资金、分析能力和政策整合薄弱相关的持续障碍。改善科学传播是将技术发现转化为可操作的知识,为决策者提供信息并赋予社区权力的迫切需要。通过维持长期网络、使示踪剂应用多样化、动员公民科学参与监测工作、扩大建模和实验室能力以及倡导在最终用户之间共享公平数据,存在着在原子能机构遗产的基础上继续发展的机会。加强整个地区的合作,改善沟通,深化政策参与,可以将示踪水文学提升为区域水治理和水文气候适应能力的支柱。
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引用次数: 0
Mechanistic Link Between Precipitation Types and Stable Isotope Evolution in Tropical Cyclones: A Case Study of Typhoon Rai (2021) 热带气旋降水类型与稳定同位素演化的机制联系——以台风Rai(2021)为例
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70395
Yuehong Lin, Yunyue Yang, Xiuyang Jiang, Yi Wang, Hezi Sun, Shuijing Zhai

The influence of precipitation types on isotopic composition has been extensively studied, with foci on the distinct isotopic signatures of convective and stratiform precipitation. The typhoon precipitation system is characterised by pronounced convective processes alongside stratiform influences. Such a system provides a unique opportunity to advance the mechanistic understanding of isotopic fractionation during Typhoon Rai (December 2021). In this study, we analysed hourly precipitation samples collected in Fuzhou, Southeastern China, during Typhoon Rai to elucidate stable isotope signatures associated with distinct precipitation types. Our results revealed significant fluctuations in δ18O values (−9.24‰ ± 3.80‰, mean ± SD; range: −2.75‰ to −13.29‰), exhibiting a typical two-stage variation pattern. During the first stage, as the typhoon approached the sampling site, rainfall δ18O progressively decreased from −2.75‰ to −12.62‰, driven mainly by intense convective precipitation and subsequent rainout processes. During the second stage, isotopic values stabilised at −13.29‰, reflecting a shift to the stratiform-dominated precipitation. This stabilisation was attributed to post-convective stratiform development (i.e., anvil clouds), which had inherited an extremely depleted δ18O signature and was further modified by cloud microphysical fractionation processes. These findings highlight the critical role of precipitation types in governing isotopic variability during typhoon events, offering new insights into the complex interplay between dynamic and microphysical processes in future strong tropical cyclones.

降水类型对同位素组成的影响已被广泛研究,重点关注对流和层状降水的独特同位素特征。台风降水系统的特点是对流过程明显,并伴有层状云的影响。这样的系统提供了一个独特的机会,以促进对台风“拉伊”(2021年12月)期间同位素分选的机制理解。在这项研究中,我们分析了台风Rai期间中国东南部福州的逐时降水样本,以阐明与不同降水类型相关的稳定同位素特征。结果表明,δ18O值波动显著(- 9.24‰±3.80‰,平均值±SD,范围为- 2.75‰~ - 13.29‰),呈现典型的两阶段变化模式。第一阶段,随着台风接近采样点,降水δ18O由−2.75‰逐渐减小至−12.62‰,主要受强对流降水和随后的降水过程驱动。在第二阶段,同位素值稳定在- 13.29‰,反映了向层状主导降水的转变。这种稳定归因于对流后的层状发展(即砧状云),它继承了极度耗尽的δ18O特征,并被云微物理分馏过程进一步修改。这些发现强调了降水类型在台风事件中控制同位素变化的关键作用,为未来强热带气旋中动力和微物理过程之间复杂的相互作用提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Deriving Soil Conservation Service Curve Numbers for Ephemeral Stream Beds From In Situ Double Ring Infiltration Tests 由原位双环入渗试验导出短暂河床土壤保持服务曲线数
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70384
Milad Masoud, Mohammed M. Farran, Amro M. Elfeki, Burhan Niyazi

Research studies on floods are often reliant on Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) values from SCS-CN tables for loss estimation because of their simplicity. However, table values are highly subjective. Infiltration models have been used in several studies for the analysis of in situ double-ring infiltrometer tests. A relationship between soil parameters and CN could not be derived from these studies. However, this relationship is essential for improved rainfall-runoff predictions. In total, 25 double-ring infiltrometer tests were conducted in basins of Jazan Province for the characterisation of soil parameters. The infiltration models (Horton, Philip, and Green–Ampt) demonstrated effective analysis of the data, with no significant differences observed among them. A model has been proposed to describe the temporal evolution of the CN from its initial to ultimate states. In the initial infiltration, CN values ranged from 25 to 51, and between 39 and 68 in the ultimate infiltration. The range of CN estimated from the ultimate infiltration (saturated hydraulic conductivity) was 39 and 68. The ultimate values were validated using observed CN from observed rainfall-runoff events in the alluvium of Wadi Liyyah, which ranged from 38 to 70 at abstraction ratios, λ = 0.01 and λ = 0.2, respectively, with 99% confidence. Therefore, the study recommends the use of ultimate infiltration to estimate the SCS-CN in flood simulation studies in this region.

洪水研究往往依赖于土壤保持服务曲线数(SCS-CN)表中的土壤保持服务曲线数(SCS-CN)值进行损失估算,因为它们简单。然而,表值是高度主观的。入渗模型已在若干研究中用于分析原位双环渗透计试验。这些研究无法推导出土壤参数与CN之间的关系。然而,这种关系对于改进降雨径流预测至关重要。在吉赞省各流域共进行了25次双环渗透仪试验,以确定土壤参数的特征。入渗模型(Horton、Philip和Green-Ampt)对数据进行了有效分析,它们之间没有观察到显著差异。提出了一个模型来描述网络从初始状态到最终状态的时间演化过程。初入渗时CN值在25 ~ 51之间,终入渗时CN值在39 ~ 68之间。最终入渗(饱和水力导率)估算的CN范围为39和68。利用Wadi Liyyah冲积层降雨径流事件观测到的CN值验证了最终值,在抽象比为λ = 0.01和λ = 0.2时,CN值分别为38 ~ 70,置信度为99%。因此,本研究建议在该地区的洪水模拟研究中使用最终入渗法来估算SCS-CN。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrological Alteration-Induced Vegetation Dynamics in the Poyang Lake Wetland and Their Impacts on Waterbird Conservation 鄱阳湖湿地水文变化诱导的植被动态及其对水鸟保护的影响
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70390
Shaojie Mu, Yanyan Li, Guishan Yang, Rongrong Wan, Xibao Xu, Bing Li

Poyang Lake wetland serves critical ecosystem functions such as water regulation, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity protection. However, the impoundment of the Three Gorges Dam has markedly influenced the local hydrological processes and vegetation growth in recent years. To quantify these changes, we applied 20-year Landsat and MODIS observations to produce a synthetic normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) product with 8-day revisit frequency and 30-m spatial resolution. Using this product, we depicted a comprehensive 20-year monitoring picture of the spatiotemporal evolution of hydrological patterns and net primary productivity (NPP) in Poyang Lake. Then, the impacts of early-water recession on hydrological patterns, vegetation NPP, and phenological characteristics were documented. Finally, we investigated the influence of hydrological alteration-induced vegetation dynamics on waterbird habitat suitability. The results showed that 22.13% of the lake area experienced a significant increase in the annual emergence duration over 20 years, and this increasing trend was particularly prominent in autumn, with 33.37% area proportion. The annual NPP experienced a consistent increase (6.85 gC·m−2·yr−2, p > 0.05) during 2000–2019. With regard to seasons, autumn NPP presented the largest increasing trend, and the increasing area accounted for 36.65% of the lake's floodplain. Early-dropped water levels lead to an earlier start of the growing season in Carex communities in the lower lake center, resulting in a significant increase in autumn NPP (7.41 gC·m−2·yr−2, p < 0.05) and high-quality food resources in October and November. However, the shift to the earlier peak of the growing season accelerated the normal rate of vegetation senescence and caused a significant decrease in food quality when the foraging requirements peaked in December (−0.15 gC·m−2·yr−2, p < 0.01) and January (−0.11 gC·m−2·yr−2, p < 0.01). In addition, the combined effects of a prolonged dry season and extensive fishery may threaten the stability of the Phragmites community, thus reducing the effectiveness of biodiversity conservation in the nature reserves. These results provide a critical reference for local authorities to optimise hydrological management and biodiversity conservation in the Poyang Lake wetland.

鄱阳湖湿地具有调节水体、固碳、保护生物多样性等重要生态系统功能。然而,近年来三峡大坝的蓄水对当地的水文过程和植被生长产生了明显的影响。为了量化这些变化,我们应用了20年的Landsat和MODIS观测数据,以8天重访频率和30米空间分辨率生成了一个合成的归一化植被指数(NDVI)产品。利用该产品,绘制了鄱阳湖20年水文格局和净初级生产力时空演变的综合监测图。研究了早期退潮对水文格局、植被NPP和物候特征的影响。最后,研究了水文变化引起的植被动态对水鸟生境适宜性的影响。结果表明:20 a来,22.13%的湖区年出苗期显著增加,其中秋季增加趋势尤为突出,占33.37%;2000-2019年,年NPP持续增加(6.85 gC·m−2·yr−2,p > 0.05)。从季节上看,秋季NPP增加趋势最大,增加面积占河漫滩面积的36.65%。水位下降早导致湖心下游苔草群落生长季节开始早,导致秋季NPP (7.41 gC·m−2·yr−2,p < 0.05)显著增加,10月和11月的优质食物资源显著增加。然而,在12月(- 0.15 gC·m−2·yr−2,p < 0.01)和1月(- 0.11 gC·m−2·yr−2,p < 0.01)的采食量达到高峰时,植被的正常衰老速度加快,食物质量显著下降。此外,长时间的旱季和广泛的渔业共同作用可能威胁芦苇群落的稳定性,从而降低自然保护区生物多样性保护的有效性。这些结果为鄱阳湖湿地的水文管理和生物多样性保护提供了重要参考。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability Analysis of River Ice Thickness Prediction Based on an Improved One-Dimensional Thermodynamic Model 基于改进一维热力学模型的河冰厚度预测适用性分析
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70394
Qingyu Di, Yu Su, Daocheng Zhou

Ice thickness is a key parameter reflecting the structural stability of ice covers and the magnitude of ice loads. Therefore, accurately predicting river ice thickness is essential for the safety assessment of bridge engineering and the formulation of emergency plans. To enhance the accuracy of ice-thickness prediction, this study proposes an improved one-dimensional thermodynamic model based on the traditional formulation, which explicitly accounts for the effects of longwave radiation flux and turbulent fluxes. To prove the reliability of the presented model, comparative analyses were conducted using in situ observations from the Songhua River against the Ashton model, the Ding model and the conventional one-dimensional thermodynamic model. The results indicate that, compared with the measured ice thickness, the average absolute errors of the predicted ice thicknesses by the Ashton's thermodynamic model, Ding's thermodynamic model, traditional one-dimensional thermodynamic model and the improved model are 4.72, 4.69, 21.46 and 3 cm, respectively, demonstrating that the proposed model achieves the highest prediction accuracy. The improved model demonstrates superior applicability, primarily due to the incorporation of the energy balance equation and heat conduction equation, which comprehensively consider the bidirectional heat transfer between the upper and lower boundaries of the ice layer. Overall, the findings of this study provide a robust methodological foundation for quantitatively describing river-ice evolution in cold regions and offer scientific support for the safety assessment and emergency management of hydraulic and bridge structures in icy environments.

冰厚是反映冰盖结构稳定性和冰荷载大小的关键参数。因此,准确预测河冰厚度对桥梁工程的安全评价和应急预案的制定至关重要。为了提高冰厚预测的精度,本文在传统模型的基础上提出了一种改进的一维热力学模型,该模型明确考虑了长波辐射通量和湍流通量的影响。为了证明模型的可靠性,利用松花江现场观测资料与Ashton模型、Ding模型和常规一维热力学模型进行了对比分析。结果表明,与实测冰厚相比,Ashton热力学模型、Ding热力学模型、传统一维热力学模型和改进模型预测冰厚的平均绝对误差分别为4.72、4.69、21.46和3 cm,表明本文模型的预测精度最高。改进后的模型具有较好的适用性,这主要是因为模型中引入了能量平衡方程和热传导方程,综合考虑了冰层上下边界之间的双向换热。总体而言,本研究结果为定量描述寒冷地区河冰演变提供了坚实的方法基础,并为冰冻环境中水利和桥梁结构的安全评估和应急管理提供了科学支持。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Drought Impacts on Remotely Sensed Seasonal Snow Depletion Patterning: A Case Study Over the Boise River Basin, Idaho 干旱对季节性雪耗模式遥感影响的评估——以爱达荷州博伊西河流域为例
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70392
Craig D. Woodruff, Russell J. Qualls, Patrick E. Clark

Snow is an essential source of freshwater, and remotely sensed snow cover can offer daily spatial data critical to manage and model snowmelt runoff. Cloud cover obscures daily optical remotely sensed snow cover, and uncertainty associated with cloud gap filling methods may be exacerbated by drought thereby limiting effective implementation of snow cover data into snowmelt runoff models. The goal of this research is to provide a cloud free, reliable, and dynamic estimate of daily snow cover with a pattern-based cloud gap filling approach. It is currently unclear whether seasonal snow depletion patterns are altered during drought, and whether cloud gap filling is negatively impacted. We analysed whether years of moderate severe drought alter patterns of snow depletion and reduce cloud gap filling reliability in the Boise River Basin, Idaho for the period of 2000–2024. We demonstrated moderate severe drought was uncorrelated with maximum snow extent, the onset of spring melt, and the rate of depletion. Patterns of snow depletion were similar at the watershed scale and robust to moderate severe drought (98.7% average correlation), and snowline representation is also highly similar (0.995, average R2 over 68 models). Average cloud gap filling estimated similarity was 96.73% with a slight reduction during severe drought to 94.76%. Over one sixth of the world's population relies on water from snowmelt and real-time management of snowmelt runoff requires accurate snowline representation, which we accomplish with the dynamic seasonally recurrent pattern of snow depletion.

雪是淡水的重要来源,遥感积雪可以提供对融雪径流管理和建模至关重要的日常空间数据。云量掩盖了每日光学遥感积雪量,而与云隙填充方法相关的不确定性可能因干旱而加剧,从而限制了积雪量数据在融雪径流模型中的有效实施。本研究的目的是利用基于模式的云隙填充方法提供无云、可靠和动态的日积雪估计。目前尚不清楚季节性雪耗模式是否在干旱期间被改变,以及云隙填充是否受到负面影响。我们分析了2000-2024年期间爱达荷州博伊西河流域中度严重干旱年份是否改变了雪消耗模式并降低了云隙填充可靠性。我们证明了中度严重干旱与最大降雪范围、春季融化的开始和枯竭率无关。流域尺度上的积雪耗竭模式相似,与中度严重干旱的相关性为98.7%(平均相关系数为98.7%),雪线表示也高度相似(0.995,平均R2超过68个模型)。平均云隙填充估计相似度为96.73%,严重干旱时略有下降,为94.76%。世界上超过六分之一的人口依赖融雪水,融雪径流的实时管理需要精确的雪线表示,我们通过积雪消耗的动态季节性循环模式来实现这一点。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Hydrological Processes
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