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Impact of soil architecture on the interrill erodibility in clayey subtropical soil 土壤结构对亚热带粘质土壤钻间侵蚀性的影响
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15285
Edivaldo L. Thomaz

Soil erosion is a key concern with regard to ecosystem functionality and food, fibre and bioenergy productions worldwide. Therefore, understanding the mechanisms and controls of soil erosion, particularly the link between soil aggregate stability and soil erodibility, is of utmost importance. The use of disturbed samples and sieved soil to determine the involved erodibility and aggregate stability is standard in soil erosion studies. However, soil erodibility estimation based on disturbed-soil samples can be inaccurate as it involves changes in the architecture of the considered soil, possibly leading to overestimations. Moreover, a necessity for evaluating soil erodibility beyond intrinsic soil characteristics (e.g. texture) exists. The objective of this research was to assess the erodibility impact of soil disturbance. Undisturbed-soil cores with dimensions of 45 cm (length) × 30 cm (width) × 10 cm (depth) were extracted while preserving their architecture. An A horizon corresponding to brown clayey subtropical oxisol soil from Southern Brazil was used for performing an experiment that involved simulation of 58–mm h−1 rain for 30 min. A total of seven replicate experiments were performed for each soil condition (i.e. undisturbed and disturbed soils). Results show that soil architecture deterioration had a larger impact on the involved soil loss than runoff. Further, soil structure failure did not affect the aggregate stability per se. Notably, the soil erodibility and loss were approximately 10 times larger under the disturbed-soil condition than under the undisturbed-soil condition (interrill erodibility: 4.30 × 107 and 4.39 × 106 kg s m−4, respectively; soil loss: 0.925 and 0.094 kg m−2, respectively). Overall, the intrinsic soil characteristics did not change; however the soil architecture deterioration considerably increased the erodibility.

土壤侵蚀是全世界生态系统功能以及粮食、纤维和生物能源生产的一个关键问题。因此,了解土壤侵蚀的机制和控制,特别是土壤团聚体稳定性和土壤可侵蚀性之间的联系至关重要。在土壤侵蚀研究中,使用扰动样本和过筛土壤来确定相关的侵蚀性和集聚稳定性是标准的方法。然而,基于扰动土壤样本的土壤侵蚀性估算可能并不准确,因为它涉及到所考虑土壤结构的变化,可能导致估算过高。此外,有必要在土壤固有特征(如质地)之外评估土壤的侵蚀性。这项研究的目的是评估土壤扰动对侵蚀性的影响。在保留土壤结构的前提下,提取了尺寸为 45 厘米(长)×30 厘米(宽)×10 厘米(深)的未扰动土芯。实验使用了巴西南部棕色粘质亚热带草溶土壤的 A 层,模拟 58 毫米/小时的降雨量,持续 30 分钟。每种土壤条件(即未扰动土壤和扰动土壤)共进行了七次重复实验。结果表明,与径流相比,土壤结构退化对土壤流失的影响更大。此外,土壤结构破坏本身并不影响集料稳定性。值得注意的是,扰动土壤条件下的土壤侵蚀性和流失量是未扰动土壤条件下的约 10 倍(钻孔间侵蚀性:分别为 4.30 × 107 和 4.39 × 106 kg s m-4;土壤流失量:分别为 0.925 和 0.025 kg s m-4):分别为 0.925 和 0.094 kg m-2)。总体而言,土壤的固有特征没有发生变化,但土壤结构的恶化大大增加了土壤的侵蚀性。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of plantations on rainfall redistribution in a rocky mountain area of North China 植树造林对华北岩石山区降雨量重新分布的影响
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15292
Shan Lu, Letian Yang, Wu Tang, Shuailin Tian, Ruijing Ma, Yuqiang Sang, Jinsong Zhang, Zhi-Hua Zhang, Yuefeng Shi

Rainfall redistribution plays a crucial role in the water cycle. However, the main factors affecting the redistribution of rainfall remain uncertain. We chose three different plantations—cork oak (Quercus variabilis Bl.), oriental arborvitae (Platycladus orientalis L.) and black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.)—to investigate the role of plantations in rainfall redistribution and to determine the main factors influencing rainfall redistribution. The results indicated that cork oak exhibited the highest stemflow (0.34%) and the lowest canopy interception (12.58%), whereas black locust had the lowest stemflow (0.21%), and oriental arborvitae displayed the greatest canopy interception (32.8%). Under different density conditions for cork oaks, the stemflow was highest (0.39%) in low-density forests with 750 trees ha−2 and lowest (0.34%) in medium-density forests with 1100 trees ha−2. Meanwhile, the highest canopy interception (17.68%) was observed in high-density forests (1300 trees ha−2), while the lowest interception rate (9.22%) was found in low-density forests. The main factors affecting rainfall redistribution and their contribution rates were as follows: bark roughness index (35%), wind speed (18.6%), tree species (14.2%), diameter at breast height (11.2%), stand density (9.6%) and rainfall amount (5.4%). Our findings suggested that structural characteristics of trees are the primary factors affecting rainfall redistribution. Planting cork oak in the rocky mountain regions of North China is recommended because of its substantial stemflow production, particularly under low-density growth conditions. Therefore, this study has significant guiding implications for the selection of afforestation tree species in similar rocky mountain areas globally.

降雨的再分配在水循环中起着至关重要的作用。然而,影响降雨再分配的主要因素仍不确定。我们选择了三种不同的人工林--栓皮栎(Quercus variabilis Bl.)、东方乔木(Platycladus orientalis L.)和黑刺槐(Robinia pseudoacacia L.)--来研究人工林在降雨再分配中的作用,并确定影响降雨再分配的主要因素。结果表明,栓皮栎的茎流最高(0.34%),冠层截流最低(12.58%),而黑刺槐的茎流最低(0.21%),东方乔木的冠层截流最大(32.8%)。在不同密度条件下,栓皮栎在每公顷 750 棵树的低密度森林中茎流最高(0.39%),在每公顷 1100 棵树的中密度森林中茎流最低(0.34%)。同时,高密度森林(1300 株/公顷-2)的冠层截流率最高(17.68%),而低密度森林的截流率最低(9.22%)。影响降雨再分配的主要因素及其贡献率如下:树皮粗糙度指数(35%)、风速(18.6%)、树种(14.2%)、胸径(11.2%)、林分密度(9.6%)和降雨量(5.4%)。我们的研究结果表明,树木的结构特征是影响降雨量重新分布的主要因素。由于栓皮栎可产生大量茎流,尤其是在低密度生长条件下,因此建议在华北石山区种植栓皮栎。因此,本研究对全球类似岩石山区造林树种的选择具有重要的指导意义。
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引用次数: 0
A Novel Approach for Identifying and Assessing MOR-Based CMIP6 Model for Hydrological Analysis in an Ungauged Watershed 识别和评估基于 MOR 的 CMIP6 模型的新方法,用于无测站流域的水文分析
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15293
Dibyandu Roy, Anirban Dhar, Venkappayya R. Desai

The identification of the onset and retreat dates of the monsoon season is a crucial and intricate phenomenon, given its annual spatiotemporal variability. The monsoon season contributes significantly to rainfall, replenishing water sources and hydrological systems but causes hydrological extremes, especially for the high-altitude watersheds in Southeast Asia. Global Circulation Model (GCM)-Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6)-based rainfall and temperature data are helpful for adequately representing present and future climate scenarios. However, the usability of uncorrected GCM-CMIP6 datasets needs to be assessed regionally. This study focuses on identifying the best-suited GCM-CMIP6 based on the monsoon onset (MO) and retreat (MR) dates along with other climatological temporal parameters. A numerical definition for MO and MR has been formulated to find the best-suited GCM-CMIP6 (i.e., CMCC-ESM2). In this context, runoff simulation is carried out using the meteorological inputs of the monsoon onset-retreat (MOR)-based best-suited GCM to evaluate its usability. A multi-model simulation approach has been carried out for runoff estimation based on observed datasets to find a better-suited hydrological model. The proposed overall methodology is tested in a hydrological extreme-prone ungauged watershed (i.e., Ranikhola). CMCC-ESM2 and SSP2-4.5 has been identified as best-suited SSP based on statistical evolution (R2 [0.693], NSE [0.662] and RSR [0.581]) for future daily runoff prediction. Future hydrological analysis shows that the average monsoon peak runoff magnitude will increase from the calibrated period (2015–2020) by 18.01% in the coming years (2021–2049).

考虑到季风季节每年的时空变化,确定季风季节的来临和消退日期是一个至关重要的复杂现象。季风季节对降雨量、水源补充和水文系统贡献巨大,但也会造成极端水文现象,尤其是对东南亚的高海拔流域而言。基于全球环流模型(GCM)--耦合模型相互比较项目第 6 阶段(CMIP6)的降雨量和温度数据有助于充分反映现在和未来的气候情景。然而,需要对未经校正的 GCM-CMIP6 数据集的可用性进行区域评估。本研究的重点是根据季风开始(MO)和消退(MR)日期以及其他气候学时间参数确定最合适的 GCM-CMIP6。为找到最合适的 GCM-CMIP6(即 CMCC-ESM2),制定了 MO 和 MR 的数值定义。在此背景下,使用基于季风起始-恢复 (MOR) 的最合适 GCM 的气象输入进行了径流模拟,以评估其可用性。在观测数据集的基础上,采用多模型模拟方法进行径流估算,以找到更合适的水文模型。所提出的整体方法在一个水文极端易发的无测站流域(即 Ranikhola)进行了测试。根据统计演化(R2 [0.693]、NSE [0.662] 和 RSR [0.581]),CMCC-ESM2 和 SSP2-4.5 被确定为最适合未来日径流预测的 SSP。未来水文分析表明,未来几年(2021-2049 年)季风平均峰值径流量将比校核期(2015-2020 年)增加 18.01%。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic evolution of meteorological and hydrological droughts under climatic and anthropogenic pressures in water-scarce regions 缺水地区气候和人为压力下气象和水文干旱的动态演变
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15290
Achala Singh, Harshvardhan Solanki, Priyank J. Sharma

Climate change and anthropogenic influences amplify drought complexity, entangle non-stationarity (NS) and further challenge drought comprehension. This study aims to understand the dynamic evolution of drought propagation patterns due to climatic and anthropogenic pressures by assessing the non-stationary linkages between hydrological variables and drought characteristics. It employs four standardized drought indicators to comprehensively examine the spatio-temporal evolution of meteorological (MD) and hydrological (HD) drought characteristics. Data from 29 semi-arid catchments from six river basins in Peninsular India, are analyzed to uncover distinct drought propagation patterns. This study utilizes a novel Non-overlapping Block-stratified Random Sampling (NBRS) approach to detect NS in drought characteristics and hydrological variables, shedding light on the underlying drivers of this dynamic behavior. The results indicate similarities in drought behavior for the Sabarmati, Mahi and Tapi (SMT) basins compared with the Godavari, Krishna and Pennar (GKP) basins, with shorter (longer) propagation times noted for SMT (GKP) basins. While HD severity decreases over time in SMT basins, it intensifies in GKP basins, which are linked to intensive anthropogenic interventions such as river regulation and reservoir operations, thus resulting in prolonged and intensified droughts. Rainfall primarily exhibits time-invariance, while significant NS is observed in potential evapotranspiration (particularly in the Krishna and Pennar basins), streamflow and baseflow across all basins. The study also identified three distinct drought propagation patterns in these basins, highlighting cases where MD did not transition to HD, instances of HD occurring without preceding MD and synchronous propagation of MD to HD. The study outcomes provide profound insights into the evolution of drought dynamics under climatic and anthropogenic pressures, which will aid policymakers and stakeholders in formulating strategies for drought preparedness and response.

气候变化和人为影响扩大了干旱的复杂性,使非稳态性(NS)纠缠在一起,进一步挑战了对干旱的理解。本研究旨在通过评估水文变量与干旱特征之间的非稳态联系,了解气候和人为压力导致的干旱传播模式的动态演变。研究采用了四个标准化干旱指标,全面考察了气象(MD)和水文(HD)干旱特征的时空演变。研究分析了印度半岛 6 个流域 29 个半干旱集水区的数据,揭示了不同的干旱传播模式。这项研究采用了一种新颖的非重叠块分层随机抽样(NBRS)方法来检测干旱特征和水文变量中的 NS,从而揭示了这种动态行为的潜在驱动因素。结果表明,与戈达瓦里流域、克里希纳流域和彭纳尔流域(GKP)相比,萨巴尔马蒂流域、马希流域和塔皮流域(SMT)的干旱行为具有相似性,SMT(GKP)流域的干旱传播时间更短(更长)。随着时间的推移,SMT 盆地的干旱严重程度有所减轻,而 GKP 盆地的干旱严重程度则有所加剧,这与人类活动的密集干预(如河流调节和水库运行)有关,从而导致干旱的延长和加剧。降雨量主要表现为时变性,而所有流域的潜在蒸散量(尤其是克里希纳和佩纳尔流域)、溪流和基流则表现为显著的非时变性。研究还确定了这些流域三种不同的干旱传播模式,突出显示了 MD 未过渡到 HD 的情况、在 MD 之前未发生 HD 的情况以及 MD 同步传播到 HD 的情况。研究成果为了解气候和人为压力下干旱动态的演变提供了深刻见解,有助于政策制定者和利益相关者制定干旱防备和应对战略。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in snow-dominated streamflow quantity and timing following an extensive wildfire in British Columbia 不列颠哥伦比亚省大面积野火后以积雪为主的溪流水量和时间的变化
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15278
Sheena A. Spencer, Rita D. Winkler

The length and frequency of extreme fire weather has increased across the globe in recent decades, with potential deleterious consequences to streamflow quantity, timing and quality. Changes in the hydrologic regime following wildfire can have substantial downstream consequences, affecting communities and ecosystems through flooding, erosion, loss of habitat and degraded water quality. While there are many studies that address post-wildfire hydrology across the globe, there are few studies in the snow-dominated regions. The 2017 Elephant Hill wildfire in south-central BC burned across or adjacent to four watersheds with long-term streamflow gauges providing a rare opportunity to evaluate hydrologic change. Several approaches were used to identify patterns of change following the wildfire, all of which suggest increased post-fire flows. The before-after-control-impact design showed significant increases in annual, spring and summer water yield from the small (49 km2) Arrowstone Creek watershed (30%, 21% and 86%, respectively). Significant increases in spring water yield were observed in the larger (5318 km2) Bonaparte River watershed (48%). Annual and summer water yield increased in the Bonaparte River (31% and 58%, respectively) but these changes were not statistically significant. In both the Bonaparte River and Arrowstone Creek, the onset of spring freshet (26 days earlier in both) was significantly advanced, however, the timing of maximum snowmelt discharge was significantly advanced (27 days earlier) only in Arrowstone Creek. Smaller changes were also observed in the reference watersheds; however, these were not statistically significant. The difference in results between the small and large watershed, as well as the effects of weather and watershed attributes, highlight the need for continued research into the relationships between wildfire and hydrologic regime across diverse landscapes.

近几十年来,全球极端火灾天气的持续时间和频率都在增加,可能会对溪流的数量、时间和质量造成有害影响。野火后水文系统的变化会对下游造成严重后果,通过洪水、侵蚀、栖息地丧失和水质下降影响社区和生态系统。虽然全球有许多针对野火后水文的研究,但很少有针对以雪为主的地区的研究。2017 年发生在不列颠哥伦比亚省中南部的象山野火横跨或毗邻四个流域,这些流域都有长期的溪流测量仪,为评估水文变化提供了难得的机会。我们采用了多种方法来确定野火后的变化模式,所有这些方法都表明火后流量有所增加。控制影响前后的设计显示,箭石溪小流域(49 平方公里)的年、春、夏出水量均显著增加(分别为 30%、21% 和 86%)。在面积较大(5318 平方公里)的 Bonaparte 河流域,春季产水量显著增加(48%)。Bonaparte 河的年产水量和夏季产水量均有所增加(分别为 31% 和 58%),但这些变化在统计上并不显著。在 Bonaparte 河和 Arrowstone 溪,春季清爽期的开始时间都明显提前(都提前了 26 天),但只有 Arrowstone 溪的融雪剂最大排放量的时间明显提前(提前了 27 天)。在参照流域也观察到了较小的变化,但这些变化在统计上并不显著。小流域和大流域之间的结果差异以及天气和流域属性的影响突出表明,有必要继续研究野火与不同地貌水文系统之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
A novel framework for assessing the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought processes in Northwest China 评估降水和地下水对中国西北地区生态干旱过程的共同和相对影响的新框架
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15289
Tiangliang Jiang, Yanping Qu, Xiaoling Su, Jiangdong Chu, Yu Han

Ecological drought has emerged as a critical research topic within eco-hydrology, driven by the increased drought risk associated with global warming. This study aims to unravel the hydrological processes driving ecological drought in Northwest China by (1) constructing standardized indices for precipitation, groundwater storage anomaly, and ecological water deficit to detect variation across different hydrological components; (2) developing a framework to assess the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater variations on ecological drought; and (3) identifying the primary hydrological drivers of ecological drought across different regions. The results indicate that the joint impact of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought variation dominates approximately 60% of the area, primarily in arid and semi-arid regions. The average contribution of this joint impact to the alleviation of ecological drought ranges between 0.26 and 0.43 across all seasons. Notably, groundwater scarcity, rather than precipitation variation, is the primary driver of ecological drought in regions such as southern Shaanxi, southeastern Gansu, and southern Qinghai, accounting for 12.7% to 21.8% of the total area. These insights into the complex hydrological processes underlying ecological drought have significant implications for water resource management and ecosystem conservation in drought-prone regions. This research provides valuable information for mitigating drought impacts and protecting vulnerable ecosystems in Northwest China and similar regions worldwide.

由于全球变暖导致干旱风险增加,生态干旱已成为生态水文学的一个重要研究课题。本研究旨在通过以下方法揭示驱动中国西北地区生态干旱的水文过程:(1)构建降水、地下水储量异常和生态缺水的标准化指数,以探测不同水文成分之间的变化;(2)建立评估降水和地下水变化对生态干旱的联合和相对影响的框架;以及(3)识别不同区域生态干旱的主要水文驱动因素。研究结果表明,降水和地下水对生态干旱变化的共同影响约占 60%,主要集中在干旱和半干旱地区。在所有季节,这种共同影响对缓解生态干旱的平均贡献率在 0.26 至 0.43 之间。值得注意的是,在陕西南部、甘肃东南部和青海南部等地区,地下水匮乏而非降水变化是生态干旱的主要驱动因素,占总面积的 12.7% 至 21.8%。这些关于生态干旱背后复杂水文过程的见解对干旱易发地区的水资源管理和生态系统保护具有重要意义。这项研究为减轻干旱影响和保护中国西北地区及全球类似地区脆弱的生态系统提供了宝贵的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal wet snow dynamics from model simulations and remote sensing: A case study from the Rofental, Austria 从模型模拟和遥感看湿雪的时空动态:奥地利 Rofental 案例研究
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15279
Erwin Rottler, Michael Warscher, Florian Hanzer, Ulrich Strasser

The formation and concentration of liquid water (LW) in the snowpack constitute key processes linking snow and runoff. Hence, the LW content of the snowpack represents a crucial target variable to investigate for snowmelt-induced runoff predictions. In this study, we capture the wet snow dynamics at higher than hectometre resolution in the alpine headwater catchment Rofental, Tyrol, Austria (98.1 km2) by means of distributed model simulations and remote sensing data for the 5 year period 10/2017–09/2022. The model simulations are conducted using the intermediate complexity open-source snow-hydrological model openAMUNDSEN. Simulation results are compared to wet snow maps (WSM) derived from Sentinel-1 data. Our investigations indicate that distributed snow models of intermediate complexity, such as openAMUNDSEN and satellite-based wet snow data are well capable of capturing the wet snow dynamics in high spatial and temporal resolutions. The areal extents of wet snow as well as the upward movement of the wet snow line to higher elevation with progressing snowmelt are captured well by both approaches. In order to evaluate the snow simulations, we use fractional snow cover (FSC) data based on Sentinel-2, which proved to provide valuable small-scale snow and snow redistribution patterns in alpine catchments. The comparison of model simulations with FSC maps with more than 50% of the non-glaciated area being cloud-free (i.e. 364 images) results in an accuracy of 0.91. This study represents a further step towards a serviceable operational snow-hydrological monitoring and modelling framework for mountain regions including wet snow dynamics in high spatial and temporal resolutions.

积雪中液态水(LW)的形成和浓度是连接积雪和径流的关键过程。因此,雪堆中的液态水含量是预测融雪引起的径流的一个重要目标变量。在本研究中,我们通过分布式模型模拟和遥感数据,以高于一公顷的分辨率捕捉了奥地利蒂罗尔州高山源头集水区 Rofental(98.1 平方公里)10/2017-09/2022 这 5 年间的湿雪动态。模型模拟使用中等复杂程度的开源雪-水文模型 openAMUNDSEN 进行,并将模拟结果与哨兵 1 号数据得出的湿雪地图(WSM)进行比较。我们的研究表明,中等复杂程度的分布式积雪模型,如 openAMUNDSEN 和基于卫星的湿雪数据,能够很好地捕捉高空间和时间分辨率的湿雪动态。这两种方法都能很好地捕捉到湿雪的面积范围以及随着融雪的进行湿雪线向高海拔地区的上移。为了评估积雪模拟结果,我们使用了基于哨兵-2 号卫星的部分积雪覆盖(FSC)数据,事实证明该数据提供了高山集水区有价值的小尺度积雪和积雪再分布模式。将模型模拟结果与 50%以上的非冰川区域无云的 FSC 地图(即 364 幅图像)进行比较,结果表明精确度为 0.91。这项研究标志着向建立一个包括高时空分辨率湿雪动态在内的山区实用雪-水文监测和建模框架又迈进了一步。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term trends in mountain groundwater levels across Canada and the United States 加拿大和美国山区地下水位的长期趋势
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15280
Jenacy Samways, Sana Salehi, Jeffrey M. McKenzie, Lauren D. Somers

Mountains have a critical role in freshwater supply for downstream populations. As the climate changes, groundwater stored in mountains may help buffer the impacts to declining water resources caused by decreased snowpack and glacier recession. However, given the scarcity of groundwater observation wells in mountain regions, it remains unclear how mountain groundwater is being impacted by climate change across ecoregions. This study quantifies temporal trends in mountain groundwater levels and explores how various climatic, physiographic and anthropogenic factors affect these trends. We compiled data from 171 public groundwater observation wells within mountain regions across Canada and the United States, for which at least 20 years of monthly data is available. The Mann-Kendall test for monotonic trend revealed that 54% of these wells have statistically significant temporal trends (p < 0.05) over the period of record, of which 69% were negative and therefore indicating overall declining groundwater storage. Wells in the western mountain ranges showed stronger trends (both positive and negative) than the eastern mountain ranges, and higher elevation wells showed fewer negative trends than the low elevation (<400 m asl) wells (p < 0.05). Correlation, Kruskal-Wallis tests, stepwise multiple linear regression and random forest regression were used to identify factors controlling groundwater trends. Statistical analysis revealed that lower-elevation mountain regions with higher average annual temperatures and lower average annual precipitation have the greatest declines in groundwater storage under climate change. Trends in temperature and precipitation, and ecoregion were also important predictors on groundwater level trends, highlighting geographic differences in how mountain wells are responding to climate change. Furthermore, sedimentary bedrock aquifers showed markedly more negative trends than crystalline bedrock aquifers. The findings demonstrate that the impact of climate change on mountain water resources extends to the subsurface, with important implications for global water resources.

山区对下游人口的淡水供应起着至关重要的作用。随着气候变化,山区储存的地下水可能有助于缓冲积雪减少和冰川退缩对水资源减少造成的影响。然而,由于山区地下水观测井稀少,目前仍不清楚各生态区域气候变化对山区地下水的影响。本研究量化了山区地下水位的时间趋势,并探讨了各种气候、地貌和人为因素如何影响这些趋势。我们汇编了加拿大和美国山区 171 口公共地下水观测井的数据,这些观测井至少有 20 年的月度数据。单调趋势的 Mann-Kendall 检验表明,这些水井中有 54% 在记录期间具有显著的时间趋势(p < 0.05),其中 69% 为负值,因此表明地下水储量总体下降。西部山脉的水井比东部山脉的水井显示出更强的趋势(包括正趋势和负趋势),海拔较高的水井比海拔较低(海拔 400 米)的水井显示出更少的负趋势(p < 0.05)。相关性、Kruskal-Wallis 检验、逐步多元线性回归和随机森林回归被用来确定控制地下水趋势的因素。统计分析表明,在气候变化的影响下,年平均气温较高、年平均降水量较低的低海拔山区的地下水储量下降幅度最大。气温和降水量的变化趋势以及生态区域也是预测地下水位变化趋势的重要因素,这凸显了山区水井在应对气候变化方面的地理差异。此外,与结晶基岩含水层相比,沉积基岩含水层的负面趋势更为明显。研究结果表明,气候变化对山区水资源的影响延伸至地下,对全球水资源具有重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating input data sources for isotope-enabled rainfall-runoff models 评估同位素降雨-径流模型的输入数据源
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15276
Andrew Watson, Christian Birkel, Saul Arciniega-Esparza, Jan de Waal, Jodie Miller, Yuliya Vystavna, Jared van Rooyen, Angela Welham, Hayoung Bong, Kei Yoshimura, Jörg Helmschrot, Annika Künne, Sven Kralisch

Isotope-enabled models provide a means to generate robust hydrological simulations. However, daily isotope-enabled rainfall-runoff models applied to larger spatial scales (>100 km2) require more input data than conventional non-isotope models in the form of precipitation isotope time series, which are difficult to generate even with point station measurements. Spatially distributed isotope data can be circumvented by isotope-enabled climate models. Here, we evaluate the hydrological simulations of the J2000-isotope enabled hydrological model driven with data from corrected and un-corrected isotope-enabled global and regional climate models (isotope-enabled global spectral model [IsoGSM] and isotope-enabled regional spectral model [IsoRSM], respectively) compared with 1 year of measured reference station and a yearly average precipitation isotope input for a pilot site, the data-scarce sub-humid Eerste River catchment in South Africa. The models driven by all input products performed well for upstream and downstream discharge gauges with Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) from 0.58 to 0.85 and LogNSE of 0.66 to 0.93. The simulated δ2H stream isotopes using the reference J2000-iso and J2000-isoRSM were good for the main river with a stream Kling Gupta efficiency (KGE) of between 0.4–0.9 and the top 100 Monte Carlo simulations varying by around 5‰ for δ2H. For smaller tributaries the model was unable to capture the measured stream isotopes due to biased precipitation isotope inputs. Adjusting the J2000-iso with a bias corrected IsoRSM improved the stream and groundwater isotope simulation and outperformed the model driven by an average yearly precipitation isotope input. Differences in simulated hydrological processes were only evident between the models when evaluating percolation with unrealistic simulations for the standard J2000 model. While the regional climate model is computationally more intensive than its global counterpart, it provided better stream isotope simulations and improvements to simulated percolation. Our results indicate that isotope-enabled climate models can provide useful input data in data scarce regions for hydrological models, where improved water management to address climate change impacts is needed.

同位素模型为生成可靠的水文模拟提供了一种方法。然而,与传统的非同位素模型相比,应用于较大空间尺度(100 平方公里)的日同位素降雨-径流模型需要更多的降水同位素时间序列形式的输入数据,而这些数据即使通过点站测量也很难生成。同位素气候模型可以避开空间分布的同位素数据。在这里,我们评估了 J2000-同位素水文模型的水文模拟情况,该模型由修正和未修正的同位素全球和区域气候模型(分别为同位素全球光谱模型[IsoGSM]和同位素区域光谱模型[IsoRSM])的数据驱动,并与 1 年实测参考站和年平均降水量同位素输入进行了比较。由所有输入产品驱动的模型在上游和下游排放测量方面表现良好,纳什-苏克里夫效率(NSE)为 0.58 至 0.85,对数 NSE 为 0.66 至 0.93。使用参考模型 J2000-iso 和 J2000-isoRSM 模拟的 δ2H 流同位素在主河道表现良好,流 Kling Gupta 效率(KGE)在 0.4-0.9 之间,前 100 个蒙特卡罗模拟的 δ2H 偏差在 5‰左右。对于较小的支流,由于降水同位素输入的偏差,模型无法捕捉到测量到的溪流同位素。用偏差校正 IsoRSM 调整 J2000-iso 后,溪流和地下水同位素模拟效果有所改善,优于由年均降水同位素输入驱动的模型。只有在评估标准 J2000 模型不切实际的模拟渗流时,模型之间模拟的水文过程才会出现明显差异。虽然区域气候模式的计算量比全球模式大,但它提供了更好的溪流同位素模拟,并改进了模拟渗流。我们的研究结果表明,在需要改进水资源管理以应对气候变化影响的数据匮乏地区,同位素气候模型可以为水文模型提供有用的输入数据。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive method for error separation in hydrological modelling 水文模型误差分离综合方法
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15273
Yilian Zhao, Hongyan Li, Lixin Zhao, Changhai Li, Songliang Chen, Xiaosi Su

Evaluation metrics play a pivotal role in the calibration process of hydrological models, serving as objective functions that directly influence the final values of model parameters and significantly affect users' perceptions of model performance. However, the choice and interpretation of evaluation metrics are subjective; therefore, this study provides a more objective framework for assessing model performance. This paper initially explored the applicability of various commonly used evaluation metrics, providing an overview of their limitations. Following this, we decomposed errors by analysing their physical significance and geometric representation in scatter plots, categorizing them into systematic and unsystematic errors. Through the decomposition and derivation of the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) formula, we established the quantitative relationship among various evaluation metrics. The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model was utilized to simulate monthly runoff in the Baishan basin (China), for the period 1994–2017, with NSE serving as the objective function for calibration. Our findings are consistent with previous studies, indicating that the model tends to slightly underestimate high flows while significantly overestimating low flows. Further analysis through error decomposition and the examination of relationships among various evaluation metrics revealed that unsystematic errors were dominant during the spring snowmelt runoff period, while systematic errors prevailed in the dry season. By evaluating the runoff series based on the magnitude of runoff or by categorizing it according to seasons and months, a more stringent assessment of the model's performance was achieved. These findings not only highlight the necessity for careful selection of evaluation metrics but also underscore the significance of our methodological advancements in enhancing hydrological model precision and reliability.

评价指标在水文模型的校核过程中起着举足轻重的作用,它作为一种客观函数,直接影响着模型参数的最终值,并极大地影响着用户对模型性能的看法。然而,评价指标的选择和解释都是主观的;因此,本研究为评估模型性能提供了一个更加客观的框架。本文首先探讨了各种常用评价指标的适用性,并概述了这些指标的局限性。随后,我们通过分析误差的物理意义和散点图中的几何表示,将误差分解为系统误差和非系统误差。通过分解和推导纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)公式,我们建立了各种评价指标之间的定量关系。我们利用水土评估工具(SWAT)模型模拟了白山流域(中国)1994-2017 年的月径流量,并将 NSE 作为校准的目标函数。我们的研究结果与之前的研究结果一致,表明该模型倾向于略微低估大流量,而明显高估小流量。通过误差分解和检查各种评价指标之间的关系进行的进一步分析表明,非系统误差在春季融雪径流期占主导地位,而系统误差在旱季占主导地位。通过根据径流量的大小或根据季节和月份对径流序列进行分类评估,可以对模型的性能进行更严格的评估。这些研究结果不仅强调了谨慎选择评估指标的必要性,还突出了我们在方法上的进步对提高水文模型精度和可靠性的重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Hydrological Processes
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