首页 > 最新文献

Hydrological Processes最新文献

英文 中文
River–aquifer interactions enhancing evapotranspiration in a semiarid riparian zone: A modelling study 河流与含水层之间的相互作用增强了半干旱河岸地带的蒸散作用:模拟研究
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15230
Bowen Zhu, Maoyi Huang, Xingyuan Chen, Gautam Bisht, Pin Shuai, Xianhong Xie

The hydrologic flows across the river–aquifer interface play an important role in groundwater dynamics and biogeochemical reactions within the subsurface; however, little is known about the effects of river–aquifer interactions on land surface processes. In this study, we developed a fully coupled three-dimensional (3D) land surface and subsurface model at a high resolution (~1 km) that accounts for high-frequency hydrologic exchange flow conditions to investigate how river–aquifer interactions modulate surface water budgets in the Upper Columbia-Priest Rapids watershed, a typical semiarid watershed located in the northwestern United States where river stage fluctuates in response to reservoir releases changing. Our results show that the spatiotemporal dynamics of river–aquifer interactions are highly heterogeneous, driven mainly by river-stage fluctuations. Adding 6.64 × 106 m3 year−1 of water over the watershed from the river to groundwater owing to the lateral flow, river–aquifer interactions led to an increase in soil evaporation and transpiration supplied by higher soil moisture content, particularly in deeper subsurface. In a hypothetic future scenarios where a 5-m rise in river stage was assumed, the hydrologic flow exchange rates were intensified, resulting in higher surface water over the entire watershed. Overall, lateral flow induced by river–aquifer exchanges leads to an increase in evapotranspiration of ~75% in the historical period and of ~83% in the hypothetical future scenario. Our study demonstrates the potential of coupled model as an effective tool for understanding river–aquifer–land surface interactions, and indicates that river–aquifer interactions fundamentally alter the water balance of the riparian zone for the semiarid watershed and will likely become more frequent and intense in the future under the effects of climate change.

河流-含水层界面上的水文流在地下水动力学和地下生物地球化学反应中发挥着重要作用;然而,人们对河流-含水层相互作用对地表过程的影响知之甚少。在这项研究中,我们开发了一个高分辨率(约 1 千米)的完全耦合三维地表和地下模型,该模型考虑了高频水文交换流条件,以研究河流-蓄水层相互作用如何调节上哥伦比亚-普里斯特急流流域的地表水预算,该流域位于美国西北部,是一个典型的半干旱流域,河流水位随水库泄洪量变化而波动。我们的研究结果表明,河流-蓄水层相互作用的时空动态具有高度异质性,主要受河水水位波动的驱动。由于横向流动,流域内从河流到地下水的水量增加了 6.64 × 106 立方米/年-1,河流与含水层的相互作用导致土壤蒸发量和蒸腾量增加,土壤水分含量增加,尤其是在地下深层。在假设河流水位上升 5 米的未来情景中,水文流交换率增强,导致整个流域的地表水量增加。总体而言,河流-含水层交换引起的横向流动导致历史时期的蒸散量增加了约 75%,而在假设的未来情景中增加了约 83%。我们的研究证明了耦合模型作为了解河流-含水层-地表相互作用的有效工具的潜力,并表明河流-含水层相互作用从根本上改变了半干旱流域河岸带的水量平衡,在未来气候变化的影响下,这种作用可能会变得更加频繁和强烈。
{"title":"River–aquifer interactions enhancing evapotranspiration in a semiarid riparian zone: A modelling study","authors":"Bowen Zhu,&nbsp;Maoyi Huang,&nbsp;Xingyuan Chen,&nbsp;Gautam Bisht,&nbsp;Pin Shuai,&nbsp;Xianhong Xie","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15230","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15230","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The hydrologic flows across the river–aquifer interface play an important role in groundwater dynamics and biogeochemical reactions within the subsurface; however, little is known about the effects of river–aquifer interactions on land surface processes. In this study, we developed a fully coupled three-dimensional (3D) land surface and subsurface model at a high resolution (~1 km) that accounts for high-frequency hydrologic exchange flow conditions to investigate how river–aquifer interactions modulate surface water budgets in the Upper Columbia-Priest Rapids watershed, a typical semiarid watershed located in the northwestern United States where river stage fluctuates in response to reservoir releases changing. Our results show that the spatiotemporal dynamics of river–aquifer interactions are highly heterogeneous, driven mainly by river-stage fluctuations. Adding 6.64 × 10<sup>6</sup> m<sup>3</sup> year<sup>−1</sup> of water over the watershed from the river to groundwater owing to the lateral flow, river–aquifer interactions led to an increase in soil evaporation and transpiration supplied by higher soil moisture content, particularly in deeper subsurface. In a hypothetic future scenarios where a 5-m rise in river stage was assumed, the hydrologic flow exchange rates were intensified, resulting in higher surface water over the entire watershed. Overall, lateral flow induced by river–aquifer exchanges leads to an increase in evapotranspiration of ~75% in the historical period and of ~83% in the hypothetical future scenario. Our study demonstrates the potential of coupled model as an effective tool for understanding river–aquifer–land surface interactions, and indicates that river–aquifer interactions fundamentally alter the water balance of the riparian zone for the semiarid watershed and will likely become more frequent and intense in the future under the effects of climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fill-spill-merge terrain analysis reveals topographical controls on Canadian river runoff 填充-溢出-汇合地形分析揭示了加拿大河流径流的地形控制因素
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15238
Nimisha Wagle, Laurence C. Smith

Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a crucial tool for watershed analysis, offering valuable insights into landscape-scale hydrology. Traditional watershed delineations are derived by filling a DEM to force flow paths through topographic depressions, thus creating a continuous drainage network throughout the domain. However, this approach is challenged in landscapes with abundant real-world depression storage, intermittently flowing stream channels, and internally drained lake basin (endorheic basin) such as the Canadian Shield (CS). The CS landscape is characterized by “fill-and-spill” surface water hydrology, with runoff flow paths controlled by bedrock sills and rocky cascades that overtop when water levels are high but cease flowing when water levels are low. To better represent these intermittent drainage networks, we apply a non-traditional, less-aggressive DEM filling model (Fill-Spill-Merge or FSM) to a continental-scale DEM (MERIT) all of Canada. To ensure adequate filling of DEM noise while also preserving real-world topographic depressions, we propose a climatic method to initialize a key FSM parameter (“runoff depth”) that calibrates observed discharges from 1690 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) river gauges with climate model P-ET (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) data. Our application of FSM to all 1690 gauged watersheds identifies 916 significant topographical control points controlling >20% and/or 1000 km2 of their respective areas. The Geikie, Snare, Kazan, Tazin, and Seal rivers may be particularly affected, with impacted watershed areas ranging from 12% to 64%. Extending this approach to ungauged parts of the CS reveals an additional 635 significant topographical control points. Ensemble climate model projections suggest that around 10% of these control points are currently dry but will become active by 2100. This research explicitly determines how CS watersheds are affected by fill-and-spill hydrology, and demonstrates the importance of accurate terrain modelling for delineating surface water flow paths in depressional landscapes.

数字高程模型(DEM)是流域分析的重要工具,可为景观尺度水文学提供宝贵的见解。传统的流域划分方法是通过填充 DEM 来强制流经地形洼地,从而在整个区域形成连续的排水网络。然而,这种方法在加拿大地盾(CS)等具有丰富的实际洼地储量、间歇流动的河道和内部排水的湖盆(内流盆地)的地貌中受到了挑战。CS 地形的特点是 "填溢式 "地表水水文,径流流向受基岩裂隙和岩石级联的控制,水位高时溢流,水位低时断流。为了更好地表现这些间歇性排水网络,我们对加拿大全境的大陆尺度 DEM(MERIT)采用了一种非传统的、不太激进的 DEM 填充模型(填充-溢出-合并或 FSM)。为确保充分填充 DEM 噪声,同时保留真实世界的地形凹陷,我们提出了一种气候方法来初始化 FSM 的关键参数("径流深度"),该方法将 1690 个加拿大环境与气候变化部(ECCC)河流测量仪观测到的排水量与气候模型 P-ET(降水量减去蒸散量)数据进行校准。我们将 FSM 应用于所有 1690 个测量流域,确定了 916 个重要地形控制点,这些控制点控制着各自流域面积的 20% 和/或 1000 平方公里。Geikie、Snare、Kazan、Tazin 和 Seal 河可能受到的影响尤为严重,受影响的流域面积从 12% 到 64% 不等。将这一方法扩展到 CS 的无测站地区,可发现另外 635 个重要的地形控制点。集合气候模型预测表明,这些控制点中约有 10% 目前处于干涸状态,但到 2100 年将变得活跃起来。这项研究明确确定了 CS 流域如何受到填溢式水文学的影响,并证明了精确地形建模对于在凹陷地貌中划定地表水流路径的重要性。
{"title":"Fill-spill-merge terrain analysis reveals topographical controls on Canadian river runoff","authors":"Nimisha Wagle,&nbsp;Laurence C. Smith","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15238","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15238","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a crucial tool for watershed analysis, offering valuable insights into landscape-scale hydrology. Traditional watershed delineations are derived by filling a DEM to force flow paths through topographic depressions, thus creating a continuous drainage network throughout the domain. However, this approach is challenged in landscapes with abundant real-world depression storage, intermittently flowing stream channels, and internally drained lake basin (endorheic basin) such as the Canadian Shield (CS). The CS landscape is characterized by “fill-and-spill” surface water hydrology, with runoff flow paths controlled by bedrock sills and rocky cascades that overtop when water levels are high but cease flowing when water levels are low. To better represent these intermittent drainage networks, we apply a non-traditional, less-aggressive DEM filling model (Fill-Spill-Merge or FSM) to a continental-scale DEM (MERIT) all of Canada. To ensure adequate filling of DEM noise while also preserving real-world topographic depressions, we propose a climatic method to initialize a key FSM parameter (“runoff depth”) that calibrates observed discharges from 1690 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) river gauges with climate model P-ET (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) data. Our application of FSM to all 1690 gauged watersheds identifies 916 significant topographical control points controlling &gt;20% and/or 1000 km<sup>2</sup> of their respective areas. The Geikie, Snare, Kazan, Tazin, and Seal rivers may be particularly affected, with impacted watershed areas ranging from 12% to 64%. Extending this approach to ungauged parts of the CS reveals an additional 635 significant topographical control points. Ensemble climate model projections suggest that around 10% of these control points are currently dry but will become active by 2100. This research explicitly determines how CS watersheds are affected by fill-and-spill hydrology, and demonstrates the importance of accurate terrain modelling for delineating surface water flow paths in depressional landscapes.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparison of two isotopic hydrograph separation methods in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory, Austria 奥地利水文露天实验室两种同位素水文图分离方法的比较
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15222
Borbala Szeles, Ladislav Holko, Juraj Parajka, Christine Stumpp, Michael Stockinger, Jürgen Komma, Gerhard Rab, Stefan Wyhlidal, Katharina Schott, Patrick Hogan, Lovrenc Pavlin, Peter Strauss, Elmar Schmaltz, Günter Blöschl

Exploring the contributions of new and old water to runoff during precipitation events in agricultural catchments is essential for understanding runoff generation, solute transport, and soil erosion. The aim of this study was to investigate the variability in the isotopic composition of precipitation and runoff in the 66 ha agricultural catchment in Austria, in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory (HOAL), in order to compare two isotope hydrograph separation methods. The classical two-component (IHS) and the ensemble hydrograph separation (EHS) were applied to multiple large events in May–October of 2013–2018 using δ18O and δ2H. The peak flow new water contributions obtained by IHS were compared with the average new water fraction from EHS. The average new water fraction calculated with EHS based on regular weekly sampling was close to zero, which can be explained by the large diffuse groundwater discharge into the stream between the events. When only investigating events with high temporal resolution sampling, the results suggest that EHS provided average new water fractions during peak flows (0.46 ± 0.04 for δ18O, 0.47 ± 0.03 for δ2H) that were close to the averages obtained by IHS (0.47 for δ18O, 0.50 for δ2H). New water fractions tended to be higher for larger rainfall intensities. High peak flow new water fractions could be explained by the agricultural land use and soils with low permeability promoting overland flow generation and by some of the tile drainage systems contributing to the delivery of water. In conclusion, a weekly sampling frequency was not sufficient in the HOAL but instead high-resolution sampling during events was necessary to estimate the average new water contributions during events. While EHS may be a more robust approach compared to IHS, as it relaxes some of the assumptions of IHS, IHS can provide information on the variability of new water contributions of individual events.

在农业集水区降水过程中,探索新水和老水对径流的贡献对于了解径流的产生、溶质迁移和土壤侵蚀至关重要。本研究的目的是在水文露天实验室(HOAL)研究奥地利 66 公顷农业集水区降水和径流同位素组成的变异性,以比较两种同位素水文图分离方法。使用 δ18O 和 δ2H 对 2013-2018 年 5-10 月的多个大型事件应用了经典双分量(IHS)和集合水文图分离(EHS)方法。将 IHS 得出的峰值流量新水贡献与 EHS 得出的平均新水分量进行了比较。根据每周定期取样,用 EHS 计算出的平均新水分量接近零,这可以解释为在事件之间有大量弥散地下水排入溪流。如果只调查时间分辨率较高的取样事件,结果表明,EHS 在高峰流量期间提供的平均新水分数(δ18O 为 0.46 ± 0.04,δ2H 为 0.47 ± 0.03)接近 IHS 得出的平均值(δ18O 为 0.47,δ2H 为 0.50)。降雨强度越大,新水分馏率越高。峰值流量新水分量高的原因可能是农业用地和渗透性低的土壤促进了陆地流的产生,以及一些瓦片排水系统有助于水的输送。总之,HOAL 的采样频率仅为每周一次是不够的,还需要在事件发生时进行高分辨率采样,以估算事件发生时的平均新水贡献率。与 IHS 相比,EHS 可能是一种更稳健的方法,因为它放宽了 IHS 的一些假设条件,但 IHS 可以提供有关单个事件的新水量变化的信息。
{"title":"Comparison of two isotopic hydrograph separation methods in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory, Austria","authors":"Borbala Szeles,&nbsp;Ladislav Holko,&nbsp;Juraj Parajka,&nbsp;Christine Stumpp,&nbsp;Michael Stockinger,&nbsp;Jürgen Komma,&nbsp;Gerhard Rab,&nbsp;Stefan Wyhlidal,&nbsp;Katharina Schott,&nbsp;Patrick Hogan,&nbsp;Lovrenc Pavlin,&nbsp;Peter Strauss,&nbsp;Elmar Schmaltz,&nbsp;Günter Blöschl","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15222","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15222","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Exploring the contributions of new and old water to runoff during precipitation events in agricultural catchments is essential for understanding runoff generation, solute transport, and soil erosion. The aim of this study was to investigate the variability in the isotopic composition of precipitation and runoff in the 66 ha agricultural catchment in Austria, in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory (HOAL), in order to compare two isotope hydrograph separation methods. The classical two-component (IHS) and the ensemble hydrograph separation (EHS) were applied to multiple large events in May–October of 2013–2018 using δ<sup>18</sup>O and δ<sup>2</sup>H. The peak flow new water contributions obtained by IHS were compared with the average new water fraction from EHS. The average new water fraction calculated with EHS based on regular weekly sampling was close to zero, which can be explained by the large diffuse groundwater discharge into the stream between the events. When only investigating events with high temporal resolution sampling, the results suggest that EHS provided average new water fractions during peak flows (0.46 ± 0.04 for δ<sup>18</sup>O, 0.47 ± 0.03 for δ<sup>2</sup>H) that were close to the averages obtained by IHS (0.47 for δ<sup>18</sup>O, 0.50 for δ<sup>2</sup>H). New water fractions tended to be higher for larger rainfall intensities. High peak flow new water fractions could be explained by the agricultural land use and soils with low permeability promoting overland flow generation and by some of the tile drainage systems contributing to the delivery of water. In conclusion, a weekly sampling frequency was not sufficient in the HOAL but instead high-resolution sampling during events was necessary to estimate the average new water contributions during events. While EHS may be a more robust approach compared to IHS, as it relaxes some of the assumptions of IHS, IHS can provide information on the variability of new water contributions of individual events.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15222","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sulfate runoff processes during rainfall events in a small forested catchment on the sea of Japan side recovering from acidification under climate change 气候变化下日本海一侧小型森林集水区从酸化中恢复的降雨过程中的硫酸盐径流过程
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15221
Hiroki Yotsuyanagi, Masayuki Morohashi, Masaaki Takahashi, Tsuyoshi Ohizumi, Yayoi Inomata, Shiho Yabusaki, Ichiro Tayasu, Hiroshi Okochi, Hiroyuki Sase

Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change may accelerate the runoff of sulfate (SO42−), which is anthropogenically emitted and deposited as an air pollutant, cycled in forest ecosystems, and partly accumulated in forest soils. A forested catchment on the Sea of Japan side in central Japan is significantly affected by transboundary air pollution from the Asian continent due to northwesterly seasonal winds in winter. In this study, intensive 24-h observations were conducted every hour eight times from 2019 to 2020 to clarify changes in stream water quality and runoff processes during rainfall events. The pH, electrical conductivity, and SO42− concentration in stream water decreased with increasing hourly average discharge rate (L sec−1). The SO42− concentration was negatively correlated with discharge rate. Hydrograph separations using the water isotopic parameter (deuterium excess, d-excess = δ2H – 8 × δ18O) showed that most of the stream flow during the rain events was derived from pre-storm water. A significant negative correlation between the d-excess and stream water discharge was found for all six events where the water isotope analysis was applied. However, the S isotope ratio (δ34S) in stream water was not correlated with discharge rate during rainfall events and was obviously different (>1.5‰) from rainwater δ34S in the same month. This suggests that rainwater SO42− during rainfall events did not directly flow to the stream but was retained in the forest ecosystem. The isotopically well homogenized internal SO42− appeared to be mainly released into the stream during rainfall events. Future climate change may further accelerate SO42− runoff from forest catchments and disrupt material cycles in the ecosystem if warming causes more intense rainfall.

气候变化导致的降雨模式变化可能会加速硫酸盐(SO42-)的径流,硫酸盐作为一种空气污染物人为排放和沉积,在森林生态系统中循环,并部分积聚在森林土壤中。由于冬季季节性西北风的影响,日本中部日本海一侧的森林集水区受到来自亚洲大陆的跨境空气污染的严重影响。本研究在 2019 年至 2020 年期间进行了八次每小时一次的 24 小时密集观测,以明确降雨事件期间溪流水质和径流过程的变化。溪水中的 pH 值、电导率和 SO42- 浓度随着每小时平均排水量(L sec-1)的增加而降低。SO42- 浓度与排水率呈负相关。利用水同位素参数(氘过量,d-excess = δ2H - 8 × δ18O)进行的水文图分离表明,降雨过程中的大部分溪流来自暴雨前的水。在应用水同位素分析的所有六次事件中,都发现 d-过量与溪水排放量之间存在明显的负相关关系。然而,在降雨事件中,溪水中的 S 同位素比值(δ34S)与排水量并不相关,而且与同月雨水中的δ34S 有明显差异(>1.5‰)。这表明降雨过程中的雨水 SO42- 并没有直接流入溪流,而是保留在森林生态系统中。同位素均匀化的内部 SO42- 似乎主要在降雨过程中释放到溪流中。如果气候变暖导致降雨强度增大,未来的气候变化可能会进一步加速森林集水区的 SO42- 径流,并破坏生态系统的物质循环。
{"title":"Sulfate runoff processes during rainfall events in a small forested catchment on the sea of Japan side recovering from acidification under climate change","authors":"Hiroki Yotsuyanagi,&nbsp;Masayuki Morohashi,&nbsp;Masaaki Takahashi,&nbsp;Tsuyoshi Ohizumi,&nbsp;Yayoi Inomata,&nbsp;Shiho Yabusaki,&nbsp;Ichiro Tayasu,&nbsp;Hiroshi Okochi,&nbsp;Hiroyuki Sase","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15221","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15221","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change may accelerate the runoff of sulfate (SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup>), which is anthropogenically emitted and deposited as an air pollutant, cycled in forest ecosystems, and partly accumulated in forest soils. A forested catchment on the Sea of Japan side in central Japan is significantly affected by transboundary air pollution from the Asian continent due to northwesterly seasonal winds in winter. In this study, intensive 24-h observations were conducted every hour eight times from 2019 to 2020 to clarify changes in stream water quality and runoff processes during rainfall events. The pH, electrical conductivity, and SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> concentration in stream water decreased with increasing hourly average discharge rate (L sec<sup>−1</sup>). The SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> concentration was negatively correlated with discharge rate. Hydrograph separations using the water isotopic parameter (deuterium excess, d-excess = δ<sup>2</sup>H – 8 × δ<sup>18</sup>O) showed that most of the stream flow during the rain events was derived from pre-storm water. A significant negative correlation between the d-excess and stream water discharge was found for all six events where the water isotope analysis was applied. However, the S isotope ratio (δ<sup>34</sup>S) in stream water was not correlated with discharge rate during rainfall events and was obviously different (&gt;1.5‰) from rainwater δ<sup>34</sup>S in the same month. This suggests that rainwater SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> during rainfall events did not directly flow to the stream but was retained in the forest ecosystem. The isotopically well homogenized internal SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> appeared to be mainly released into the stream during rainfall events. Future climate change may further accelerate SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> runoff from forest catchments and disrupt material cycles in the ecosystem if warming causes more intense rainfall.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141573188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of sediment sources and sinks based on the RUSLE model and sediment delivery ratio model 基于 RUSLE 模型和沉积物输送比模型的沉积物源和汇分析
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15218
Zan Xu, Shanghong Zhang, Chuansen Wu, Qi Jiang, Yang Zhou

Sediment sources and sinks are an effective reflection of the comprehensive management of soil and water conservation in a watershed. However, human interference has made the sediment transport process in watersheds more complex. Research that distinguishes hillslopes and channels to reveal changes in sediment sources and sinks within a watershed and the relationships with key driving factors requires strengthening. In this study, the characteristics of sediment sources and sinks on hillslopes in the Mahuyu watershed, located on the Loess Plateau, were simulated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation model and hillslope sediment delivery ratio model. Furthermore, variations in channel scour and siltation at the event scale were analysed based on the simulated hillslope sediment yield and measured sediment yield at the outlet station. Additionally, the principal hydrological driving factors affecting the sediment yield at the outlet were explored. The results show that 66 sediment yield events occurred in the Mahuyu watershed during the period 2006–2018, and channel sediment yield has emerged as the leading contributor to the watershed sediment yield, accounting for a minimum of 69.8%. There is also a marked decoupling between hillslope sediment yield and watershed sediment yield in the Mahuyu watershed. Furthermore, the maximum daily average streamflow is identified as the critical driving factor responsible for determining the watershed sediment yield, indicated by a coefficient of determination of 0.850. Therefore, we recommend that the future focus of soil and water conservation measures should be shifted from hillslopes to channels.

泥沙源和汇是流域水土保持综合治理的有效体现。然而,人为干扰使流域内的泥沙输移过程变得更加复杂。需要加强研究,区分山坡和河道,揭示流域内泥沙源和汇的变化以及与主要驱动因素的关系。本研究利用修订的通用土壤流失方程模型和山坡泥沙输移比模型模拟了黄土高原马湖峪流域山坡泥沙源和汇的特征。此外,根据模拟的山坡泥沙输沙量和出口站的实测泥沙输沙量,分析了事件尺度下河道冲刷和淤积的变化。此外,还探讨了影响出水口泥沙淤积量的主要水文驱动因素。结果表明,2006-2018 年期间,马湖峪流域共发生了 66 次泥沙淤积事件,河道泥沙淤积量成为流域泥沙淤积量的主要贡献者,最低占 69.8%。马湖峪流域的山坡泥沙产量与流域泥沙产量之间也存在明显的脱钩现象。此外,最大日平均溪流被认为是决定流域泥沙产量的关键驱动因素,其决定系数为 0.850。因此,我们建议今后水土保持措施的重点应从山坡转向河道。
{"title":"Analysis of sediment sources and sinks based on the RUSLE model and sediment delivery ratio model","authors":"Zan Xu,&nbsp;Shanghong Zhang,&nbsp;Chuansen Wu,&nbsp;Qi Jiang,&nbsp;Yang Zhou","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15218","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15218","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Sediment sources and sinks are an effective reflection of the comprehensive management of soil and water conservation in a watershed. However, human interference has made the sediment transport process in watersheds more complex. Research that distinguishes hillslopes and channels to reveal changes in sediment sources and sinks within a watershed and the relationships with key driving factors requires strengthening. In this study, the characteristics of sediment sources and sinks on hillslopes in the Mahuyu watershed, located on the Loess Plateau, were simulated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation model and hillslope sediment delivery ratio model. Furthermore, variations in channel scour and siltation at the event scale were analysed based on the simulated hillslope sediment yield and measured sediment yield at the outlet station. Additionally, the principal hydrological driving factors affecting the sediment yield at the outlet were explored. The results show that 66 sediment yield events occurred in the Mahuyu watershed during the period 2006–2018, and channel sediment yield has emerged as the leading contributor to the watershed sediment yield, accounting for a minimum of 69.8%. There is also a marked decoupling between hillslope sediment yield and watershed sediment yield in the Mahuyu watershed. Furthermore, the maximum daily average streamflow is identified as the critical driving factor responsible for determining the watershed sediment yield, indicated by a coefficient of determination of 0.850. Therefore, we recommend that the future focus of soil and water conservation measures should be shifted from hillslopes to channels.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The physics and the biology of the water balance: A personal journey through the critical zone into the water balance 水平衡的物理学和生物学:通过临界区进入水平衡的个人旅程
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15209
Allen G. Hunt

The essay describes how a combination of scaling theory from percolation, that relates pore scale flow and transport through catchment scales to global scales (bottom-up), as well as water fluxes to soil formation and vegetation growth, can be used to support an accurate ecological optimization that (top-down): solves the central problem of hydrology, that is., “the water balance,” and generates critically important derived quantities, namely streamflow response to climate change, net primary productivity, and plant species richness. Moreover, the essay describes how this particular theoretical approach came to be designed and how it, in retrospect, fits in with the vision of the Committee on Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences which met 34 years ago to formulate a research, teaching, and infrastructure guide for the community, and “rebrand our science as a geoscience.” Finally, it demonstrates how the research satisfies the present desires of the community to unite Darwinian and Newtonian scientific methods in the solution of this central problem and how it relates to present research directions in the fields of hydrologic sciences and ecology.

文章介绍了如何结合渗流的比例理论(该理论将孔隙尺度的水流和传输通过集水区尺度与全球尺度联系起来(自下而上)),以及水通量与土壤形成和植被生长的关系,来支持精确的生态优化(自上而下):解决水文学的核心问题,即 "水平衡",并产生极其重要的衍生量,即对气候变化的溪流响应、净初级生产力和植物物种丰富度。此外,文章还介绍了这一特殊理论方法的设计过程,以及回过头来看,它是如何与水文科学机遇委员会的愿景相吻合的。34 年前,该委员会召开会议,为社会制定了研究、教学和基础设施指南,并 "将我们的科学重新打造为一门地球科学"。最后,它展示了这项研究如何满足了当前社会对达尔文和牛顿科学方法相结合解决这一核心问题的愿望,以及它与水文科学和生态学领域当前研究方向的关系。
{"title":"The physics and the biology of the water balance: A personal journey through the critical zone into the water balance","authors":"Allen G. Hunt","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15209","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The essay describes how a combination of scaling theory from percolation, that relates pore scale flow and transport through catchment scales to global scales (bottom-up), as well as water fluxes to soil formation and vegetation growth, can be used to support an accurate ecological optimization that (top-down): solves the central problem of hydrology, that is., “the water balance,” and generates critically important derived quantities, namely streamflow response to climate change, net primary productivity, and plant species richness. Moreover, the essay describes how this particular theoretical approach came to be designed and how it, in retrospect, fits in with the vision of the Committee on Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences which met 34 years ago to formulate a research, teaching, and infrastructure guide for the community, and “rebrand our science as a geoscience.” Finally, it demonstrates how the research satisfies the present desires of the community to unite Darwinian and Newtonian scientific methods in the solution of this central problem and how it relates to present research directions in the fields of hydrologic sciences and ecology.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15209","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488515","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alignment between water inputs and vegetation green-up reduces next year's runoff efficiency 水输入与植被绿化之间的协调可降低下一年的径流效率
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15211
Sarah K. Newcomb, Robert W. Van Kirk, Sarah E. Godsey, Maggi Kraft

In the western United States, water supplies largely originate as snowmelt from forested land. Forests impact the water balance of these headwater streams, yet most predictive runoff models do not explicitly account for changing snow-vegetation dynamics. Here, we present a case study showing how warmer temperatures and changing forests in the Henrys Fork of the Snake River, a seasonally snow-covered headwater basin in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, have altered the relationship between April 1st snow water equivalent (SWE) and summer streamflow. Since the onset and recovery of severe drought in the early 2000s, predictive models based on pre-drought relationships over-predict summer runoff in all three headwater tributaries of the Henrys Fork, despite minimal changes in precipitation or snow accumulation. Compared with the pre-drought period, late springs and summers (May–September) are warmer and vegetation is greener with denser forests due to recovery from multiple historical disturbances. Shifts in the alignment of snowmelt and energy availability due to warmer temperatures may reduce runoff efficiency by changing the amount of precipitation that goes to evapotranspiration versus runoff and recharge. To quantify the alignment between snowmelt and energy on a timeframe needed for predictive models, we propose a new metric, the Vegetation-Water Alignment Index (VWA), to characterize the synchrony of vegetation greenness and snowmelt and rain inputs. New predictive models show that in addition to April 1st SWE, the previous year's VWA and summer reference evapotranspiration are the most significant predictors of runoff in each watershed and provide more predictive power than traditionally used metrics. These results suggest that the timing of snowmelt relative to the start of the growing season affects not only annual partitioning of streamflow, but can also determine the groundwater storage state that dictates runoff efficiency the following spring.

在美国西部,水源主要来自林地的融雪。森林会影响这些上游溪流的水量平衡,但大多数预测性径流模型并没有明确考虑到积雪-植被动态的变化。在这里,我们通过一个案例研究,展示了气温升高和森林变化如何改变了大黄石生态系统中季节性积雪覆盖的蛇河亨利岔流(Henrys Fork of the Snake River)上游流域 4 月 1 日的雪水当量(SWE)与夏季溪流之间的关系。自 2000 年代初严重干旱发生和恢复以来,尽管降水量或积雪量变化极小,但基于干旱前关系的预测模型对亨利斯岔道所有三条上游支流的夏季径流预测过高。与干旱前相比,春末和夏季(5 月至 9 月)更温暖,植被更绿,森林更茂密,这是从历史上的多次干扰中恢复过来的。由于气温升高,融雪与能量供应之间的关系发生了变化,这可能会改变用于蒸散的降水量与用于径流和补给的降水量,从而降低径流效率。为了在预测模型所需的时间范围内量化融雪和能量之间的一致性,我们提出了一个新的指标--植被-水一致性指数(VWA),以描述植被绿度与融雪和降雨输入的同步性。新的预测模型显示,除了 4 月 1 日的 SWE 外,上一年的 VWA 和夏季参考蒸散量是各流域径流最重要的预测指标,比传统使用的指标更具预测能力。这些结果表明,相对于生长季节开始的融雪时间不仅会影响每年的溪流分区,还会决定地下水的储存状态,从而决定第二年春季的径流效率。
{"title":"Alignment between water inputs and vegetation green-up reduces next year's runoff efficiency","authors":"Sarah K. Newcomb,&nbsp;Robert W. Van Kirk,&nbsp;Sarah E. Godsey,&nbsp;Maggi Kraft","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15211","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15211","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the western United States, water supplies largely originate as snowmelt from forested land. Forests impact the water balance of these headwater streams, yet most predictive runoff models do not explicitly account for changing snow-vegetation dynamics. Here, we present a case study showing how warmer temperatures and changing forests in the Henrys Fork of the Snake River, a seasonally snow-covered headwater basin in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, have altered the relationship between April 1st snow water equivalent (SWE) and summer streamflow. Since the onset and recovery of severe drought in the early 2000s, predictive models based on pre-drought relationships over-predict summer runoff in all three headwater tributaries of the Henrys Fork, despite minimal changes in precipitation or snow accumulation. Compared with the pre-drought period, late springs and summers (May–September) are warmer and vegetation is greener with denser forests due to recovery from multiple historical disturbances. Shifts in the alignment of snowmelt and energy availability due to warmer temperatures may reduce runoff efficiency by changing the amount of precipitation that goes to evapotranspiration versus runoff and recharge. To quantify the alignment between snowmelt and energy on a timeframe needed for predictive models, we propose a new metric, the Vegetation-Water Alignment Index (VWA), to characterize the synchrony of vegetation greenness and snowmelt and rain inputs. New predictive models show that in addition to April 1st SWE, the previous year's VWA and summer reference evapotranspiration are the most significant predictors of runoff in each watershed and provide more predictive power than traditionally used metrics. These results suggest that the timing of snowmelt relative to the start of the growing season affects not only annual partitioning of streamflow, but can also determine the groundwater storage state that dictates runoff efficiency the following spring.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inundation dynamics in seasonally dry floodplain forests in southeastern Brazil 巴西东南部季节性干旱洪泛平原森林的淹没动态
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15203
Aline Meyer Oliveira, Ilja van Meerveld, Fernanda Moreira Gianasi, André Maciel Silva-Sene, Camila Laís Farrapo, Felipe de Carvalho Araújo, Fernanda Oliveira, Leony Aparecido Silva Ferreira, Lidiany Carolina Arantes da Silva, Miguel Gama Reis, Patricia Vieira Pompeu, Rubens Manoel dos Santos

Floodplains are one of the most threatened ecosystems. Even though the vegetation composition in floodplain forests is expected to reflect the variation in groundwater levels and flood duration and frequency, there is little field data on the inundation dynamics (e.g., the variability in flood duration and flood frequency), especially for the understudied seasonally dry tropics. This limits our understanding of these ecosystems and the mechanisms that cause the flooding. We, therefore, investigated six floodplain forests in the state of Minas Gerais in Brazil for 1.5 years (two wet seasons): Capivari, Jacaré, and Aiuruoca in the Rio Grande basin, and Jequitaí, Verde Grande, and Carinhanha in the São Francisco basin. These locations span a range of climates (humid subtropical to seasonal tropical) and biomes (Atlantic forest to Caatinga). At each location, we continuously measured water levels in five geomorphologically distinct eco-units: marginal levee, lower terrace, higher terrace, lower plain, and higher plain, providing a unique hydrological dataset for these understudied regions. The levees and terraces were flooded for longer periods than the plains. Inundation of the terraces lasted around 40 days per year. The levees in the Rio Grande basin were flooded for shorter durations. In the São Francisco basin, the flooding of the levees lasted longer and the water level regime of the levees was more similar to that of the terraces. In the Rio Grande basin, flooding was most likely caused by rising groundwater levels (i.e., “flow pulse”) and flood pulses that caused overbank flooding. In the São Francisco basin, inundation was most likely caused by overbank flooding (i.e., “flood pulse”). These findings highlight the large variation in inundation dynamics across floodplain forests and are relevant to predict the impacts of changes in the flood regime due to climate change and other anthropogenic changes on floodplain forest functioning.

洪泛平原是最受威胁的生态系统之一。尽管洪泛平原森林的植被组成预计会反映地下水位以及洪水持续时间和频率的变化,但有关洪水动态(如洪水持续时间和洪水频率的变化)的实地数据却很少,尤其是在研究不足的季节性干旱热带地区。这限制了我们对这些生态系统和洪水成因机制的了解。因此,我们对巴西米纳斯吉拉斯州的六片洪泛平原森林进行了为期一年半(两个雨季)的调查:分别是格兰德河流域的卡皮瓦里、雅卡雷和艾乌鲁奥卡,以及圣弗朗西斯科流域的耶基塔伊、格兰德韦尔德和卡里纳哈。这些地点跨越了不同的气候(从亚热带湿润气候到热带季风气候)和生物群落(从大西洋森林到卡廷加)。在每个地点,我们都连续测量了五个地貌不同的生态单元的水位:边缘堤坝、较低的阶地、较高的阶地、较低的平原和较高的平原,为这些研究不足的地区提供了独特的水文数据集。与平原相比,堤坝和阶地被淹没的时间更长。阶地每年被淹没的时间约为 40 天。格兰德河流域的堤坝淹没时间较短。在圣弗朗西斯科盆地,堤坝的淹没持续时间较长,堤坝的水位变化与梯田的水位变化较为相似。在格兰德河流域,洪水最有可能是由地下水位上升(即 "流量脉冲")和洪峰脉冲造成的,洪峰脉冲造成了越堤洪水。在圣弗朗西斯科盆地,洪水最有可能是由过岸洪水(即 "洪峰脉冲")造成的。这些发现凸显了洪泛平原森林淹没动态的巨大差异,有助于预测气候变化和其他人为变化导致的洪水机制变化对洪泛平原森林功能的影响。
{"title":"Inundation dynamics in seasonally dry floodplain forests in southeastern Brazil","authors":"Aline Meyer Oliveira,&nbsp;Ilja van Meerveld,&nbsp;Fernanda Moreira Gianasi,&nbsp;André Maciel Silva-Sene,&nbsp;Camila Laís Farrapo,&nbsp;Felipe de Carvalho Araújo,&nbsp;Fernanda Oliveira,&nbsp;Leony Aparecido Silva Ferreira,&nbsp;Lidiany Carolina Arantes da Silva,&nbsp;Miguel Gama Reis,&nbsp;Patricia Vieira Pompeu,&nbsp;Rubens Manoel dos Santos","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15203","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15203","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Floodplains are one of the most threatened ecosystems. Even though the vegetation composition in floodplain forests is expected to reflect the variation in groundwater levels and flood duration and frequency, there is little field data on the inundation dynamics (e.g., the variability in flood duration and flood frequency), especially for the understudied seasonally dry tropics. This limits our understanding of these ecosystems and the mechanisms that cause the flooding. We, therefore, investigated six floodplain forests in the state of Minas Gerais in Brazil for 1.5 years (two wet seasons): Capivari, Jacaré, and Aiuruoca in the Rio Grande basin, and Jequitaí, Verde Grande, and Carinhanha in the São Francisco basin. These locations span a range of climates (humid subtropical to seasonal tropical) and biomes (Atlantic forest to Caatinga). At each location, we continuously measured water levels in five geomorphologically distinct eco-units: marginal levee, lower terrace, higher terrace, lower plain, and higher plain, providing a unique hydrological dataset for these understudied regions. The levees and terraces were flooded for longer periods than the plains. Inundation of the terraces lasted around 40 days per year. The levees in the Rio Grande basin were flooded for shorter durations. In the São Francisco basin, the flooding of the levees lasted longer and the water level regime of the levees was more similar to that of the terraces. In the Rio Grande basin, flooding was most likely caused by rising groundwater levels (i.e., “flow pulse”) and flood pulses that caused overbank flooding. In the São Francisco basin, inundation was most likely caused by overbank flooding (i.e., “flood pulse”). These findings highlight the large variation in inundation dynamics across floodplain forests and are relevant to predict the impacts of changes in the flood regime due to climate change and other anthropogenic changes on floodplain forest functioning.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15203","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting using CMIP6 scenarios: Assessing performance and improving hydrological projections and climate change 使用 CMIP6 情景进行基于机器学习的流量预测:评估性能并改进水文预测和气候变化
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15204
Veysi Kartal

Water is essential for humans as well as for all living organisms to sustain their lives. Therefore, any climate-driven change in available resources has significant impacts on the environment and life. Global climate models (GCMs) are one of the most practical methods to evaluate climate change. Based on this, this research evaluated the capability of GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) to reproduce the historical flow of climate prediction centre data for the Konya Closed basin and to project the climate of the basin using the selected GCMs. Global climate models based on the CMIP6 under the scenario of common socioeconomic pathways (SSP245 and SSP 585) were used to analyse the climate change effect on streamflow of the study area by Bias Correction of GCM Models using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, Regression Tree, and Random Forest methods. The coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) were used to assess the performance of the methods. Findings show that the Random Forest Model consistently outperformed other models in both the testing and training phases. A significant downward in the volume of water flowing through the region's rivers and streams in the next decades. It is critical to enhance climate-resilient water infrastructure financing, establish an early warning system for drought, introduce best management practices, implement integrated water resource management, public awareness, and support water research to alleviate the negative consequences of drought and increase resilience against the effects of climate change on Turkey's water resources.

水是人类和所有生物维持生命的必需品。因此,由气候引起的可用资源的任何变化都会对环境和生命产生重大影响。全球气候模型(GCM)是评估气候变化最实用的方法之一。在此基础上,本研究评估了耦合模式相互比较项目 6(CMIP6)中的全球气候模式再现科尼亚闭合盆地气候预测中心数据历史流的能力,并利用选定的全球气候模式预测该盆地的气候。在共同社会经济路径(SSP245 和 SSP585)情景下,使用基于 CMIP6 的全球气候模型,通过使用长短期记忆(LSTM)、双向 LSTM(BiLSTM)、AdaBoost、梯度提升、回归树和随机森林方法对 GCM 模型进行偏差校正,分析气候变化对研究区域河水流量的影响。评估这些方法的性能时使用了判定系数 (R2)、均方误差 (MSE)、平均绝对误差 (MAE) 和均方根误差 (RMSE)。结果表明,随机森林模型在测试和训练阶段的表现始终优于其他模型。未来几十年,流经该地区河流和溪流的水量将大幅减少。为减轻干旱带来的负面影响,提高抵御气候变化对土耳其水资源的影响的能力,加强气候适应性水利基础设施融资、建立干旱预警系统、引入最佳管理实践、实施水资源综合管理、提高公众意识以及支持水利研究至关重要。
{"title":"Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting using CMIP6 scenarios: Assessing performance and improving hydrological projections and climate change","authors":"Veysi Kartal","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15204","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Water is essential for humans as well as for all living organisms to sustain their lives. Therefore, any climate-driven change in available resources has significant impacts on the environment and life. Global climate models (GCMs) are one of the most practical methods to evaluate climate change. Based on this, this research evaluated the capability of GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) to reproduce the historical flow of climate prediction centre data for the Konya Closed basin and to project the climate of the basin using the selected GCMs. Global climate models based on the CMIP6 under the scenario of common socioeconomic pathways (SSP245 and SSP 585) were used to analyse the climate change effect on streamflow of the study area by Bias Correction of GCM Models using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, Regression Tree, and Random Forest methods. The coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) were used to assess the performance of the methods. Findings show that the Random Forest Model consistently outperformed other models in both the testing and training phases. A significant downward in the volume of water flowing through the region's rivers and streams in the next decades. It is critical to enhance climate-resilient water infrastructure financing, establish an early warning system for drought, introduce best management practices, implement integrated water resource management, public awareness, and support water research to alleviate the negative consequences of drought and increase resilience against the effects of climate change on Turkey's water resources.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15204","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Runoff from an extensive green roof during extreme events: Insights from 15 years of observations 极端事件期间大面积绿色屋顶的径流:15 年观测的启示
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15220
Kim H. Paus, Bent C. Braskerud

While green roofs have gained widespread popularity as a measure to detain and retain runoff in urban areas, their performance during extreme events is not well studied. In this study 15 years of runoff and precipitation observations from a small extensive green roof in Norway are analysed. GEV-distributions were fitted to the annual max values for precipitation and runoff in order to develop intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) and runoff-duration-frequency (RDF) data. Using the IDF and RDF data a total of 31 extreme events were identified (containing precipitation or runoff values with return period greater than 2 years for one or more durations). While nearly all extreme runoff events were caused by extreme precipitation, only 69% of the extreme precipitation events resulted in extreme runoff. The assumption of 1:1 equivalency of return periods did not hold true, and deviations were mainly explained by variations in substrate water content prior to the extreme event. Moreover, in 50% of the events, the runoff duration with the greatest return period was shorter than the precipitation duration with the greatest return period. Hence, the results indicate that the use of design storms to predict runoff from green roofs may be inappropriate. The potential of having IDF and RDF data available was demonstrated by the development of simple empirical equations, which ensure conservations of both return period and duration. To generate reliable green roof RDF data, future research should prioritize evaluating various continuous models with the aim of accurately describing extreme events.

虽然屋顶绿化作为城市地区截留和保留径流的一种措施受到广泛欢迎,但对其在极端事件中的表现却没有进行深入研究。本研究分析了挪威一个小型大型绿色屋顶 15 年来的径流和降水观测数据。对降水量和径流量的年最大值进行了 GEV 分布拟合,以生成强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)和径流-持续时间-频率(RDF)数据。利用 IDF 和 RDF 数据,共确定了 31 个极端事件(包含一个或多个持续时间的回归期超过 2 年的降水或径流值)。虽然几乎所有的极端径流事件都是由极端降水引起的,但只有 69% 的极端降水事件导致了极端径流。回归期 1:1 等效的假设并不成立,偏差主要是由极端事件发生前底质含水量的变化造成的。此外,在 50%的事件中,重现期最长的径流持续时间短于重现期最长的降水持续时间。因此,结果表明,使用设计暴雨来预测绿色屋顶的径流可能并不合适。通过开发简单的经验方程,确保了对回归期和持续时间的保护,从而证明了拥有 IDF 和 RDF 数据的潜力。为了生成可靠的绿色屋顶 RDF 数据,未来的研究应优先评估各种连续模型,以准确描述极端事件。
{"title":"Runoff from an extensive green roof during extreme events: Insights from 15 years of observations","authors":"Kim H. Paus,&nbsp;Bent C. Braskerud","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15220","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15220","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While green roofs have gained widespread popularity as a measure to detain and retain runoff in urban areas, their performance during extreme events is not well studied. In this study 15 years of runoff and precipitation observations from a small extensive green roof in Norway are analysed. GEV-distributions were fitted to the annual max values for precipitation and runoff in order to develop intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) and runoff-duration-frequency (RDF) data. Using the IDF and RDF data a total of 31 extreme events were identified (containing precipitation or runoff values with return period greater than 2 years for one or more durations). While nearly all extreme runoff events were caused by extreme precipitation, only 69% of the extreme precipitation events resulted in extreme runoff. The assumption of 1:1 equivalency of return periods did not hold true, and deviations were mainly explained by variations in substrate water content prior to the extreme event. Moreover, in 50% of the events, the runoff duration with the greatest return period was shorter than the precipitation duration with the greatest return period. Hence, the results indicate that the use of design storms to predict runoff from green roofs may be inappropriate. The potential of having IDF and RDF data available was demonstrated by the development of simple empirical equations, which ensure conservations of both return period and duration. To generate reliable green roof RDF data, future research should prioritize evaluating various continuous models with the aim of accurately describing extreme events.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15220","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Hydrological Processes
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1