The hydrologic flows across the river–aquifer interface play an important role in groundwater dynamics and biogeochemical reactions within the subsurface; however, little is known about the effects of river–aquifer interactions on land surface processes. In this study, we developed a fully coupled three-dimensional (3D) land surface and subsurface model at a high resolution (~1 km) that accounts for high-frequency hydrologic exchange flow conditions to investigate how river–aquifer interactions modulate surface water budgets in the Upper Columbia-Priest Rapids watershed, a typical semiarid watershed located in the northwestern United States where river stage fluctuates in response to reservoir releases changing. Our results show that the spatiotemporal dynamics of river–aquifer interactions are highly heterogeneous, driven mainly by river-stage fluctuations. Adding 6.64 × 106 m3 year−1 of water over the watershed from the river to groundwater owing to the lateral flow, river–aquifer interactions led to an increase in soil evaporation and transpiration supplied by higher soil moisture content, particularly in deeper subsurface. In a hypothetic future scenarios where a 5-m rise in river stage was assumed, the hydrologic flow exchange rates were intensified, resulting in higher surface water over the entire watershed. Overall, lateral flow induced by river–aquifer exchanges leads to an increase in evapotranspiration of ~75% in the historical period and of ~83% in the hypothetical future scenario. Our study demonstrates the potential of coupled model as an effective tool for understanding river–aquifer–land surface interactions, and indicates that river–aquifer interactions fundamentally alter the water balance of the riparian zone for the semiarid watershed and will likely become more frequent and intense in the future under the effects of climate change.
{"title":"River–aquifer interactions enhancing evapotranspiration in a semiarid riparian zone: A modelling study","authors":"Bowen Zhu, Maoyi Huang, Xingyuan Chen, Gautam Bisht, Pin Shuai, Xianhong Xie","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15230","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15230","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The hydrologic flows across the river–aquifer interface play an important role in groundwater dynamics and biogeochemical reactions within the subsurface; however, little is known about the effects of river–aquifer interactions on land surface processes. In this study, we developed a fully coupled three-dimensional (3D) land surface and subsurface model at a high resolution (~1 km) that accounts for high-frequency hydrologic exchange flow conditions to investigate how river–aquifer interactions modulate surface water budgets in the Upper Columbia-Priest Rapids watershed, a typical semiarid watershed located in the northwestern United States where river stage fluctuates in response to reservoir releases changing. Our results show that the spatiotemporal dynamics of river–aquifer interactions are highly heterogeneous, driven mainly by river-stage fluctuations. Adding 6.64 × 10<sup>6</sup> m<sup>3</sup> year<sup>−1</sup> of water over the watershed from the river to groundwater owing to the lateral flow, river–aquifer interactions led to an increase in soil evaporation and transpiration supplied by higher soil moisture content, particularly in deeper subsurface. In a hypothetic future scenarios where a 5-m rise in river stage was assumed, the hydrologic flow exchange rates were intensified, resulting in higher surface water over the entire watershed. Overall, lateral flow induced by river–aquifer exchanges leads to an increase in evapotranspiration of ~75% in the historical period and of ~83% in the hypothetical future scenario. Our study demonstrates the potential of coupled model as an effective tool for understanding river–aquifer–land surface interactions, and indicates that river–aquifer interactions fundamentally alter the water balance of the riparian zone for the semiarid watershed and will likely become more frequent and intense in the future under the effects of climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a crucial tool for watershed analysis, offering valuable insights into landscape-scale hydrology. Traditional watershed delineations are derived by filling a DEM to force flow paths through topographic depressions, thus creating a continuous drainage network throughout the domain. However, this approach is challenged in landscapes with abundant real-world depression storage, intermittently flowing stream channels, and internally drained lake basin (endorheic basin) such as the Canadian Shield (CS). The CS landscape is characterized by “fill-and-spill” surface water hydrology, with runoff flow paths controlled by bedrock sills and rocky cascades that overtop when water levels are high but cease flowing when water levels are low. To better represent these intermittent drainage networks, we apply a non-traditional, less-aggressive DEM filling model (Fill-Spill-Merge or FSM) to a continental-scale DEM (MERIT) all of Canada. To ensure adequate filling of DEM noise while also preserving real-world topographic depressions, we propose a climatic method to initialize a key FSM parameter (“runoff depth”) that calibrates observed discharges from 1690 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) river gauges with climate model P-ET (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) data. Our application of FSM to all 1690 gauged watersheds identifies 916 significant topographical control points controlling >20% and/or 1000 km2 of their respective areas. The Geikie, Snare, Kazan, Tazin, and Seal rivers may be particularly affected, with impacted watershed areas ranging from 12% to 64%. Extending this approach to ungauged parts of the CS reveals an additional 635 significant topographical control points. Ensemble climate model projections suggest that around 10% of these control points are currently dry but will become active by 2100. This research explicitly determines how CS watersheds are affected by fill-and-spill hydrology, and demonstrates the importance of accurate terrain modelling for delineating surface water flow paths in depressional landscapes.
{"title":"Fill-spill-merge terrain analysis reveals topographical controls on Canadian river runoff","authors":"Nimisha Wagle, Laurence C. Smith","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15238","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15238","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a crucial tool for watershed analysis, offering valuable insights into landscape-scale hydrology. Traditional watershed delineations are derived by filling a DEM to force flow paths through topographic depressions, thus creating a continuous drainage network throughout the domain. However, this approach is challenged in landscapes with abundant real-world depression storage, intermittently flowing stream channels, and internally drained lake basin (endorheic basin) such as the Canadian Shield (CS). The CS landscape is characterized by “fill-and-spill” surface water hydrology, with runoff flow paths controlled by bedrock sills and rocky cascades that overtop when water levels are high but cease flowing when water levels are low. To better represent these intermittent drainage networks, we apply a non-traditional, less-aggressive DEM filling model (Fill-Spill-Merge or FSM) to a continental-scale DEM (MERIT) all of Canada. To ensure adequate filling of DEM noise while also preserving real-world topographic depressions, we propose a climatic method to initialize a key FSM parameter (“runoff depth”) that calibrates observed discharges from 1690 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) river gauges with climate model P-ET (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) data. Our application of FSM to all 1690 gauged watersheds identifies 916 significant topographical control points controlling >20% and/or 1000 km<sup>2</sup> of their respective areas. The Geikie, Snare, Kazan, Tazin, and Seal rivers may be particularly affected, with impacted watershed areas ranging from 12% to 64%. Extending this approach to ungauged parts of the CS reveals an additional 635 significant topographical control points. Ensemble climate model projections suggest that around 10% of these control points are currently dry but will become active by 2100. This research explicitly determines how CS watersheds are affected by fill-and-spill hydrology, and demonstrates the importance of accurate terrain modelling for delineating surface water flow paths in depressional landscapes.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Borbala Szeles, Ladislav Holko, Juraj Parajka, Christine Stumpp, Michael Stockinger, Jürgen Komma, Gerhard Rab, Stefan Wyhlidal, Katharina Schott, Patrick Hogan, Lovrenc Pavlin, Peter Strauss, Elmar Schmaltz, Günter Blöschl
Exploring the contributions of new and old water to runoff during precipitation events in agricultural catchments is essential for understanding runoff generation, solute transport, and soil erosion. The aim of this study was to investigate the variability in the isotopic composition of precipitation and runoff in the 66 ha agricultural catchment in Austria, in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory (HOAL), in order to compare two isotope hydrograph separation methods. The classical two-component (IHS) and the ensemble hydrograph separation (EHS) were applied to multiple large events in May–October of 2013–2018 using δ18O and δ2H. The peak flow new water contributions obtained by IHS were compared with the average new water fraction from EHS. The average new water fraction calculated with EHS based on regular weekly sampling was close to zero, which can be explained by the large diffuse groundwater discharge into the stream between the events. When only investigating events with high temporal resolution sampling, the results suggest that EHS provided average new water fractions during peak flows (0.46 ± 0.04 for δ18O, 0.47 ± 0.03 for δ2H) that were close to the averages obtained by IHS (0.47 for δ18O, 0.50 for δ2H). New water fractions tended to be higher for larger rainfall intensities. High peak flow new water fractions could be explained by the agricultural land use and soils with low permeability promoting overland flow generation and by some of the tile drainage systems contributing to the delivery of water. In conclusion, a weekly sampling frequency was not sufficient in the HOAL but instead high-resolution sampling during events was necessary to estimate the average new water contributions during events. While EHS may be a more robust approach compared to IHS, as it relaxes some of the assumptions of IHS, IHS can provide information on the variability of new water contributions of individual events.
{"title":"Comparison of two isotopic hydrograph separation methods in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory, Austria","authors":"Borbala Szeles, Ladislav Holko, Juraj Parajka, Christine Stumpp, Michael Stockinger, Jürgen Komma, Gerhard Rab, Stefan Wyhlidal, Katharina Schott, Patrick Hogan, Lovrenc Pavlin, Peter Strauss, Elmar Schmaltz, Günter Blöschl","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15222","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15222","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Exploring the contributions of new and old water to runoff during precipitation events in agricultural catchments is essential for understanding runoff generation, solute transport, and soil erosion. The aim of this study was to investigate the variability in the isotopic composition of precipitation and runoff in the 66 ha agricultural catchment in Austria, in the Hydrological Open Air Laboratory (HOAL), in order to compare two isotope hydrograph separation methods. The classical two-component (IHS) and the ensemble hydrograph separation (EHS) were applied to multiple large events in May–October of 2013–2018 using δ<sup>18</sup>O and δ<sup>2</sup>H. The peak flow new water contributions obtained by IHS were compared with the average new water fraction from EHS. The average new water fraction calculated with EHS based on regular weekly sampling was close to zero, which can be explained by the large diffuse groundwater discharge into the stream between the events. When only investigating events with high temporal resolution sampling, the results suggest that EHS provided average new water fractions during peak flows (0.46 ± 0.04 for δ<sup>18</sup>O, 0.47 ± 0.03 for δ<sup>2</sup>H) that were close to the averages obtained by IHS (0.47 for δ<sup>18</sup>O, 0.50 for δ<sup>2</sup>H). New water fractions tended to be higher for larger rainfall intensities. High peak flow new water fractions could be explained by the agricultural land use and soils with low permeability promoting overland flow generation and by some of the tile drainage systems contributing to the delivery of water. In conclusion, a weekly sampling frequency was not sufficient in the HOAL but instead high-resolution sampling during events was necessary to estimate the average new water contributions during events. While EHS may be a more robust approach compared to IHS, as it relaxes some of the assumptions of IHS, IHS can provide information on the variability of new water contributions of individual events.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15222","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141572959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change may accelerate the runoff of sulfate (SO42−), which is anthropogenically emitted and deposited as an air pollutant, cycled in forest ecosystems, and partly accumulated in forest soils. A forested catchment on the Sea of Japan side in central Japan is significantly affected by transboundary air pollution from the Asian continent due to northwesterly seasonal winds in winter. In this study, intensive 24-h observations were conducted every hour eight times from 2019 to 2020 to clarify changes in stream water quality and runoff processes during rainfall events. The pH, electrical conductivity, and SO42− concentration in stream water decreased with increasing hourly average discharge rate (L sec−1). The SO42− concentration was negatively correlated with discharge rate. Hydrograph separations using the water isotopic parameter (deuterium excess, d-excess = δ2H – 8 × δ18O) showed that most of the stream flow during the rain events was derived from pre-storm water. A significant negative correlation between the d-excess and stream water discharge was found for all six events where the water isotope analysis was applied. However, the S isotope ratio (δ34S) in stream water was not correlated with discharge rate during rainfall events and was obviously different (>1.5‰) from rainwater δ34S in the same month. This suggests that rainwater SO42− during rainfall events did not directly flow to the stream but was retained in the forest ecosystem. The isotopically well homogenized internal SO42− appeared to be mainly released into the stream during rainfall events. Future climate change may further accelerate SO42− runoff from forest catchments and disrupt material cycles in the ecosystem if warming causes more intense rainfall.
{"title":"Sulfate runoff processes during rainfall events in a small forested catchment on the sea of Japan side recovering from acidification under climate change","authors":"Hiroki Yotsuyanagi, Masayuki Morohashi, Masaaki Takahashi, Tsuyoshi Ohizumi, Yayoi Inomata, Shiho Yabusaki, Ichiro Tayasu, Hiroshi Okochi, Hiroyuki Sase","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15221","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hyp.15221","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change may accelerate the runoff of sulfate (SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup>), which is anthropogenically emitted and deposited as an air pollutant, cycled in forest ecosystems, and partly accumulated in forest soils. A forested catchment on the Sea of Japan side in central Japan is significantly affected by transboundary air pollution from the Asian continent due to northwesterly seasonal winds in winter. In this study, intensive 24-h observations were conducted every hour eight times from 2019 to 2020 to clarify changes in stream water quality and runoff processes during rainfall events. The pH, electrical conductivity, and SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> concentration in stream water decreased with increasing hourly average discharge rate (L sec<sup>−1</sup>). The SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> concentration was negatively correlated with discharge rate. Hydrograph separations using the water isotopic parameter (deuterium excess, d-excess = δ<sup>2</sup>H – 8 × δ<sup>18</sup>O) showed that most of the stream flow during the rain events was derived from pre-storm water. A significant negative correlation between the d-excess and stream water discharge was found for all six events where the water isotope analysis was applied. However, the S isotope ratio (δ<sup>34</sup>S) in stream water was not correlated with discharge rate during rainfall events and was obviously different (>1.5‰) from rainwater δ<sup>34</sup>S in the same month. This suggests that rainwater SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> during rainfall events did not directly flow to the stream but was retained in the forest ecosystem. The isotopically well homogenized internal SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> appeared to be mainly released into the stream during rainfall events. Future climate change may further accelerate SO<sub>4</sub><sup>2−</sup> runoff from forest catchments and disrupt material cycles in the ecosystem if warming causes more intense rainfall.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141573188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zan Xu, Shanghong Zhang, Chuansen Wu, Qi Jiang, Yang Zhou
Sediment sources and sinks are an effective reflection of the comprehensive management of soil and water conservation in a watershed. However, human interference has made the sediment transport process in watersheds more complex. Research that distinguishes hillslopes and channels to reveal changes in sediment sources and sinks within a watershed and the relationships with key driving factors requires strengthening. In this study, the characteristics of sediment sources and sinks on hillslopes in the Mahuyu watershed, located on the Loess Plateau, were simulated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation model and hillslope sediment delivery ratio model. Furthermore, variations in channel scour and siltation at the event scale were analysed based on the simulated hillslope sediment yield and measured sediment yield at the outlet station. Additionally, the principal hydrological driving factors affecting the sediment yield at the outlet were explored. The results show that 66 sediment yield events occurred in the Mahuyu watershed during the period 2006–2018, and channel sediment yield has emerged as the leading contributor to the watershed sediment yield, accounting for a minimum of 69.8%. There is also a marked decoupling between hillslope sediment yield and watershed sediment yield in the Mahuyu watershed. Furthermore, the maximum daily average streamflow is identified as the critical driving factor responsible for determining the watershed sediment yield, indicated by a coefficient of determination of 0.850. Therefore, we recommend that the future focus of soil and water conservation measures should be shifted from hillslopes to channels.
{"title":"Analysis of sediment sources and sinks based on the RUSLE model and sediment delivery ratio model","authors":"Zan Xu, Shanghong Zhang, Chuansen Wu, Qi Jiang, Yang Zhou","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15218","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15218","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Sediment sources and sinks are an effective reflection of the comprehensive management of soil and water conservation in a watershed. However, human interference has made the sediment transport process in watersheds more complex. Research that distinguishes hillslopes and channels to reveal changes in sediment sources and sinks within a watershed and the relationships with key driving factors requires strengthening. In this study, the characteristics of sediment sources and sinks on hillslopes in the Mahuyu watershed, located on the Loess Plateau, were simulated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation model and hillslope sediment delivery ratio model. Furthermore, variations in channel scour and siltation at the event scale were analysed based on the simulated hillslope sediment yield and measured sediment yield at the outlet station. Additionally, the principal hydrological driving factors affecting the sediment yield at the outlet were explored. The results show that 66 sediment yield events occurred in the Mahuyu watershed during the period 2006–2018, and channel sediment yield has emerged as the leading contributor to the watershed sediment yield, accounting for a minimum of 69.8%. There is also a marked decoupling between hillslope sediment yield and watershed sediment yield in the Mahuyu watershed. Furthermore, the maximum daily average streamflow is identified as the critical driving factor responsible for determining the watershed sediment yield, indicated by a coefficient of determination of 0.850. Therefore, we recommend that the future focus of soil and water conservation measures should be shifted from hillslopes to channels.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The essay describes how a combination of scaling theory from percolation, that relates pore scale flow and transport through catchment scales to global scales (bottom-up), as well as water fluxes to soil formation and vegetation growth, can be used to support an accurate ecological optimization that (top-down): solves the central problem of hydrology, that is., “the water balance,” and generates critically important derived quantities, namely streamflow response to climate change, net primary productivity, and plant species richness. Moreover, the essay describes how this particular theoretical approach came to be designed and how it, in retrospect, fits in with the vision of the Committee on Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences which met 34 years ago to formulate a research, teaching, and infrastructure guide for the community, and “rebrand our science as a geoscience.” Finally, it demonstrates how the research satisfies the present desires of the community to unite Darwinian and Newtonian scientific methods in the solution of this central problem and how it relates to present research directions in the fields of hydrologic sciences and ecology.
{"title":"The physics and the biology of the water balance: A personal journey through the critical zone into the water balance","authors":"Allen G. Hunt","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15209","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The essay describes how a combination of scaling theory from percolation, that relates pore scale flow and transport through catchment scales to global scales (bottom-up), as well as water fluxes to soil formation and vegetation growth, can be used to support an accurate ecological optimization that (top-down): solves the central problem of hydrology, that is., “the water balance,” and generates critically important derived quantities, namely streamflow response to climate change, net primary productivity, and plant species richness. Moreover, the essay describes how this particular theoretical approach came to be designed and how it, in retrospect, fits in with the vision of the Committee on Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences which met 34 years ago to formulate a research, teaching, and infrastructure guide for the community, and “rebrand our science as a geoscience.” Finally, it demonstrates how the research satisfies the present desires of the community to unite Darwinian and Newtonian scientific methods in the solution of this central problem and how it relates to present research directions in the fields of hydrologic sciences and ecology.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15209","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488515","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sarah K. Newcomb, Robert W. Van Kirk, Sarah E. Godsey, Maggi Kraft
In the western United States, water supplies largely originate as snowmelt from forested land. Forests impact the water balance of these headwater streams, yet most predictive runoff models do not explicitly account for changing snow-vegetation dynamics. Here, we present a case study showing how warmer temperatures and changing forests in the Henrys Fork of the Snake River, a seasonally snow-covered headwater basin in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, have altered the relationship between April 1st snow water equivalent (SWE) and summer streamflow. Since the onset and recovery of severe drought in the early 2000s, predictive models based on pre-drought relationships over-predict summer runoff in all three headwater tributaries of the Henrys Fork, despite minimal changes in precipitation or snow accumulation. Compared with the pre-drought period, late springs and summers (May–September) are warmer and vegetation is greener with denser forests due to recovery from multiple historical disturbances. Shifts in the alignment of snowmelt and energy availability due to warmer temperatures may reduce runoff efficiency by changing the amount of precipitation that goes to evapotranspiration versus runoff and recharge. To quantify the alignment between snowmelt and energy on a timeframe needed for predictive models, we propose a new metric, the Vegetation-Water Alignment Index (VWA), to characterize the synchrony of vegetation greenness and snowmelt and rain inputs. New predictive models show that in addition to April 1st SWE, the previous year's VWA and summer reference evapotranspiration are the most significant predictors of runoff in each watershed and provide more predictive power than traditionally used metrics. These results suggest that the timing of snowmelt relative to the start of the growing season affects not only annual partitioning of streamflow, but can also determine the groundwater storage state that dictates runoff efficiency the following spring.
在美国西部,水源主要来自林地的融雪。森林会影响这些上游溪流的水量平衡,但大多数预测性径流模型并没有明确考虑到积雪-植被动态的变化。在这里,我们通过一个案例研究,展示了气温升高和森林变化如何改变了大黄石生态系统中季节性积雪覆盖的蛇河亨利岔流(Henrys Fork of the Snake River)上游流域 4 月 1 日的雪水当量(SWE)与夏季溪流之间的关系。自 2000 年代初严重干旱发生和恢复以来,尽管降水量或积雪量变化极小,但基于干旱前关系的预测模型对亨利斯岔道所有三条上游支流的夏季径流预测过高。与干旱前相比,春末和夏季(5 月至 9 月)更温暖,植被更绿,森林更茂密,这是从历史上的多次干扰中恢复过来的。由于气温升高,融雪与能量供应之间的关系发生了变化,这可能会改变用于蒸散的降水量与用于径流和补给的降水量,从而降低径流效率。为了在预测模型所需的时间范围内量化融雪和能量之间的一致性,我们提出了一个新的指标--植被-水一致性指数(VWA),以描述植被绿度与融雪和降雨输入的同步性。新的预测模型显示,除了 4 月 1 日的 SWE 外,上一年的 VWA 和夏季参考蒸散量是各流域径流最重要的预测指标,比传统使用的指标更具预测能力。这些结果表明,相对于生长季节开始的融雪时间不仅会影响每年的溪流分区,还会决定地下水的储存状态,从而决定第二年春季的径流效率。
{"title":"Alignment between water inputs and vegetation green-up reduces next year's runoff efficiency","authors":"Sarah K. Newcomb, Robert W. Van Kirk, Sarah E. Godsey, Maggi Kraft","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15211","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15211","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the western United States, water supplies largely originate as snowmelt from forested land. Forests impact the water balance of these headwater streams, yet most predictive runoff models do not explicitly account for changing snow-vegetation dynamics. Here, we present a case study showing how warmer temperatures and changing forests in the Henrys Fork of the Snake River, a seasonally snow-covered headwater basin in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, have altered the relationship between April 1st snow water equivalent (SWE) and summer streamflow. Since the onset and recovery of severe drought in the early 2000s, predictive models based on pre-drought relationships over-predict summer runoff in all three headwater tributaries of the Henrys Fork, despite minimal changes in precipitation or snow accumulation. Compared with the pre-drought period, late springs and summers (May–September) are warmer and vegetation is greener with denser forests due to recovery from multiple historical disturbances. Shifts in the alignment of snowmelt and energy availability due to warmer temperatures may reduce runoff efficiency by changing the amount of precipitation that goes to evapotranspiration versus runoff and recharge. To quantify the alignment between snowmelt and energy on a timeframe needed for predictive models, we propose a new metric, the Vegetation-Water Alignment Index (VWA), to characterize the synchrony of vegetation greenness and snowmelt and rain inputs. New predictive models show that in addition to April 1st SWE, the previous year's VWA and summer reference evapotranspiration are the most significant predictors of runoff in each watershed and provide more predictive power than traditionally used metrics. These results suggest that the timing of snowmelt relative to the start of the growing season affects not only annual partitioning of streamflow, but can also determine the groundwater storage state that dictates runoff efficiency the following spring.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Aline Meyer Oliveira, Ilja van Meerveld, Fernanda Moreira Gianasi, André Maciel Silva-Sene, Camila Laís Farrapo, Felipe de Carvalho Araújo, Fernanda Oliveira, Leony Aparecido Silva Ferreira, Lidiany Carolina Arantes da Silva, Miguel Gama Reis, Patricia Vieira Pompeu, Rubens Manoel dos Santos
Floodplains are one of the most threatened ecosystems. Even though the vegetation composition in floodplain forests is expected to reflect the variation in groundwater levels and flood duration and frequency, there is little field data on the inundation dynamics (e.g., the variability in flood duration and flood frequency), especially for the understudied seasonally dry tropics. This limits our understanding of these ecosystems and the mechanisms that cause the flooding. We, therefore, investigated six floodplain forests in the state of Minas Gerais in Brazil for 1.5 years (two wet seasons): Capivari, Jacaré, and Aiuruoca in the Rio Grande basin, and Jequitaí, Verde Grande, and Carinhanha in the São Francisco basin. These locations span a range of climates (humid subtropical to seasonal tropical) and biomes (Atlantic forest to Caatinga). At each location, we continuously measured water levels in five geomorphologically distinct eco-units: marginal levee, lower terrace, higher terrace, lower plain, and higher plain, providing a unique hydrological dataset for these understudied regions. The levees and terraces were flooded for longer periods than the plains. Inundation of the terraces lasted around 40 days per year. The levees in the Rio Grande basin were flooded for shorter durations. In the São Francisco basin, the flooding of the levees lasted longer and the water level regime of the levees was more similar to that of the terraces. In the Rio Grande basin, flooding was most likely caused by rising groundwater levels (i.e., “flow pulse”) and flood pulses that caused overbank flooding. In the São Francisco basin, inundation was most likely caused by overbank flooding (i.e., “flood pulse”). These findings highlight the large variation in inundation dynamics across floodplain forests and are relevant to predict the impacts of changes in the flood regime due to climate change and other anthropogenic changes on floodplain forest functioning.
{"title":"Inundation dynamics in seasonally dry floodplain forests in southeastern Brazil","authors":"Aline Meyer Oliveira, Ilja van Meerveld, Fernanda Moreira Gianasi, André Maciel Silva-Sene, Camila Laís Farrapo, Felipe de Carvalho Araújo, Fernanda Oliveira, Leony Aparecido Silva Ferreira, Lidiany Carolina Arantes da Silva, Miguel Gama Reis, Patricia Vieira Pompeu, Rubens Manoel dos Santos","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15203","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15203","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Floodplains are one of the most threatened ecosystems. Even though the vegetation composition in floodplain forests is expected to reflect the variation in groundwater levels and flood duration and frequency, there is little field data on the inundation dynamics (e.g., the variability in flood duration and flood frequency), especially for the understudied seasonally dry tropics. This limits our understanding of these ecosystems and the mechanisms that cause the flooding. We, therefore, investigated six floodplain forests in the state of Minas Gerais in Brazil for 1.5 years (two wet seasons): Capivari, Jacaré, and Aiuruoca in the Rio Grande basin, and Jequitaí, Verde Grande, and Carinhanha in the São Francisco basin. These locations span a range of climates (humid subtropical to seasonal tropical) and biomes (Atlantic forest to Caatinga). At each location, we continuously measured water levels in five geomorphologically distinct eco-units: marginal levee, lower terrace, higher terrace, lower plain, and higher plain, providing a unique hydrological dataset for these understudied regions. The levees and terraces were flooded for longer periods than the plains. Inundation of the terraces lasted around 40 days per year. The levees in the Rio Grande basin were flooded for shorter durations. In the São Francisco basin, the flooding of the levees lasted longer and the water level regime of the levees was more similar to that of the terraces. In the Rio Grande basin, flooding was most likely caused by rising groundwater levels (i.e., “flow pulse”) and flood pulses that caused overbank flooding. In the São Francisco basin, inundation was most likely caused by overbank flooding (i.e., “flood pulse”). These findings highlight the large variation in inundation dynamics across floodplain forests and are relevant to predict the impacts of changes in the flood regime due to climate change and other anthropogenic changes on floodplain forest functioning.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15203","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Water is essential for humans as well as for all living organisms to sustain their lives. Therefore, any climate-driven change in available resources has significant impacts on the environment and life. Global climate models (GCMs) are one of the most practical methods to evaluate climate change. Based on this, this research evaluated the capability of GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) to reproduce the historical flow of climate prediction centre data for the Konya Closed basin and to project the climate of the basin using the selected GCMs. Global climate models based on the CMIP6 under the scenario of common socioeconomic pathways (SSP245 and SSP 585) were used to analyse the climate change effect on streamflow of the study area by Bias Correction of GCM Models using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, Regression Tree, and Random Forest methods. The coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) were used to assess the performance of the methods. Findings show that the Random Forest Model consistently outperformed other models in both the testing and training phases. A significant downward in the volume of water flowing through the region's rivers and streams in the next decades. It is critical to enhance climate-resilient water infrastructure financing, establish an early warning system for drought, introduce best management practices, implement integrated water resource management, public awareness, and support water research to alleviate the negative consequences of drought and increase resilience against the effects of climate change on Turkey's water resources.
{"title":"Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting using CMIP6 scenarios: Assessing performance and improving hydrological projections and climate change","authors":"Veysi Kartal","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15204","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Water is essential for humans as well as for all living organisms to sustain their lives. Therefore, any climate-driven change in available resources has significant impacts on the environment and life. Global climate models (GCMs) are one of the most practical methods to evaluate climate change. Based on this, this research evaluated the capability of GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) to reproduce the historical flow of climate prediction centre data for the Konya Closed basin and to project the climate of the basin using the selected GCMs. Global climate models based on the CMIP6 under the scenario of common socioeconomic pathways (SSP245 and SSP 585) were used to analyse the climate change effect on streamflow of the study area by Bias Correction of GCM Models using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, Regression Tree, and Random Forest methods. The coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) were used to assess the performance of the methods. Findings show that the Random Forest Model consistently outperformed other models in both the testing and training phases. A significant downward in the volume of water flowing through the region's rivers and streams in the next decades. It is critical to enhance climate-resilient water infrastructure financing, establish an early warning system for drought, introduce best management practices, implement integrated water resource management, public awareness, and support water research to alleviate the negative consequences of drought and increase resilience against the effects of climate change on Turkey's water resources.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15204","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
While green roofs have gained widespread popularity as a measure to detain and retain runoff in urban areas, their performance during extreme events is not well studied. In this study 15 years of runoff and precipitation observations from a small extensive green roof in Norway are analysed. GEV-distributions were fitted to the annual max values for precipitation and runoff in order to develop intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) and runoff-duration-frequency (RDF) data. Using the IDF and RDF data a total of 31 extreme events were identified (containing precipitation or runoff values with return period greater than 2 years for one or more durations). While nearly all extreme runoff events were caused by extreme precipitation, only 69% of the extreme precipitation events resulted in extreme runoff. The assumption of 1:1 equivalency of return periods did not hold true, and deviations were mainly explained by variations in substrate water content prior to the extreme event. Moreover, in 50% of the events, the runoff duration with the greatest return period was shorter than the precipitation duration with the greatest return period. Hence, the results indicate that the use of design storms to predict runoff from green roofs may be inappropriate. The potential of having IDF and RDF data available was demonstrated by the development of simple empirical equations, which ensure conservations of both return period and duration. To generate reliable green roof RDF data, future research should prioritize evaluating various continuous models with the aim of accurately describing extreme events.
{"title":"Runoff from an extensive green roof during extreme events: Insights from 15 years of observations","authors":"Kim H. Paus, Bent C. Braskerud","doi":"10.1002/hyp.15220","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.15220","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While green roofs have gained widespread popularity as a measure to detain and retain runoff in urban areas, their performance during extreme events is not well studied. In this study 15 years of runoff and precipitation observations from a small extensive green roof in Norway are analysed. GEV-distributions were fitted to the annual max values for precipitation and runoff in order to develop intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) and runoff-duration-frequency (RDF) data. Using the IDF and RDF data a total of 31 extreme events were identified (containing precipitation or runoff values with return period greater than 2 years for one or more durations). While nearly all extreme runoff events were caused by extreme precipitation, only 69% of the extreme precipitation events resulted in extreme runoff. The assumption of 1:1 equivalency of return periods did not hold true, and deviations were mainly explained by variations in substrate water content prior to the extreme event. Moreover, in 50% of the events, the runoff duration with the greatest return period was shorter than the precipitation duration with the greatest return period. Hence, the results indicate that the use of design storms to predict runoff from green roofs may be inappropriate. The potential of having IDF and RDF data available was demonstrated by the development of simple empirical equations, which ensure conservations of both return period and duration. To generate reliable green roof RDF data, future research should prioritize evaluating various continuous models with the aim of accurately describing extreme events.</p>","PeriodicalId":13189,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hyp.15220","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}