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The Post-COVID-19 Recovery Bonds 2019冠状病毒病后复苏债券
Pub Date : 2021-03-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3806396
Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada
The idea to propose the Post-COVID-19 Recovery Bonds (P-C19-R-Bonds) is to find new financial sources to support the post-COVID-19 socio-economic reconstruction with local funds from any government. This type of bond avoids more external debts and generates macroeconomic financial stability and sustainability in the short and long run. The main objective is to collect financial resources from local citizens such as domestic savings, employer’s providence funds, and domestic firm investments. The Post-COVID-19 Recovery bonds are searching to keep safe the domestic savings and micro-macro financial stability to reduce the damage of COVID-19 and prevent a possible deep economic recession in the short run and an economic depression in the long run.
提出新冠肺炎后恢复债券(P-C19-R-Bonds)的想法是,利用各国政府的地方资金,寻找新的资金来源,支持新冠肺炎后的社会经济重建。这种类型的债券避免了更多的外债,并在短期和长期内产生宏观经济金融的稳定性和可持续性。主要目标是从当地居民那里收集财政资源,如国内储蓄、雇主的公积金和国内公司的投资。新冠肺炎疫情后恢复债券是为了减少新冠疫情带来的损失,确保国内储蓄和微观宏观金融的稳定,防止短期内出现严重的经济衰退和长期的经济萧条,正在寻找对策。
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引用次数: 0
Size-based Input Price Discrimination Under Endogenous Inside Options 内生内部期权下基于规模的投入价格歧视
Pub Date : 2021-03-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3797651
Charlotte B. Evensen, Øystein Foros, Atle Haugen, Hans Jarle Kind
Individual retailers may choose to invest in a substitute to a dominant supplier’s products (inside option) as a way of improving its position towards the supplier. Given that a large retailer has stronger investment incentives than a smaller rival, the large retailer may obtain a selective rebate (size-based price discrimination). Yet, we often observe that suppliers do not price discriminate between retailers that differ in size. Why is this so? We argue that the explanation may be related to the competitive pressure among the retailers. The more fiercely the retailers compete, the more each retailer cares about its relative input prices. Other things equal, this implies that the retailers will invest more in the substitute the greater the competitive pressure. We show that if the competitive pressure is sufficiently strong, the supplier can profitably incentivize the retailer to reduce its investments in substitutes by committing to charge a uniform input price. Furthermore, we show that under uniform input pricing, the large retailer may induce smaller rivals to exit the market by strategically underinvesting in inside options.
个体零售商可能会选择投资于主导供应商产品的替代品(内部选择),作为改善其对供应商地位的一种方式。假设大型零售商比小型竞争对手有更强的投资激励,大型零售商可能获得选择性回扣(基于尺寸的价格歧视)。然而,我们经常观察到供应商不会对规模不同的零售商进行价格歧视。为什么会这样呢?我们认为这可能与零售商之间的竞争压力有关。零售商的竞争越激烈,每个零售商就越关心其相对投入价格。在其他条件相同的情况下,这意味着竞争压力越大,零售商在替代品上的投资就越大。我们证明,如果竞争压力足够大,供应商可以通过承诺收取统一的投入价格来激励零售商减少对替代品的投资。此外,我们证明了在统一的投入定价下,大型零售商可能会通过战略性地投资内部期权来诱导较小的竞争对手退出市场。
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引用次数: 1
Globalisation and Labour Structures: A Dubious Deal 全球化与劳动力结构:一个可疑的交易
Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3871433
Juan Fernando Bucheli
This paper discusses some of the main transformations occurring in the labour market in recent years and will try to trace how globalization has influenced these changes. It argues that in the context of work, globalization can be understood as a cause and consequence process. As a consequence, the transformations of capital/labour relations have produced an economic and social paradigm, which has helped to feed and expand the tenets of the principles of globalization. As a cause, the globalization project reproduces market-oriented policies that undermine labour relations (labour standards), making them more volatile and less secure for workers around the world. In this dualistic dynamic, labour patterns are essential for understanding the motivations and future changes in the globalization process, but also for establishing more coordinated policies to enhance the quality and implementation of labour standards.
本文讨论了近年来劳动力市场发生的一些主要转变,并将试图追踪全球化是如何影响这些变化的。它认为,在工作的背景下,全球化可以被理解为一个因果过程。因此,资本/劳动关系的转变产生了一种经济和社会模式,这有助于促进和扩大全球化原则的原则。作为一个原因,全球化项目再现了以市场为导向的政策,这些政策破坏了劳工关系(劳工标准),使它们更加不稳定,对世界各地的工人来说更不安全。在这种二元动态中,劳工模式对于了解全球化进程的动机和未来的变化是必不可少的,而且对于制定更加协调的政策以提高劳工标准的质量和执行也是必不可少的。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship Between Unemployment and Macroeconomics Aggregates: Evidence from Bangladesh 失业与宏观经济总量的关系:来自孟加拉国的证据
Pub Date : 2021-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3775350
Mohammad Mushfiqul Haque Mukit, A. Abdel-Razzaq, M. Islam
This paper examines relationship of unemployment rates with other macroeconomic aggregates in Bangladesh over 1991-2019 using robust econometric analyses. It sheds a light on the fact that GDP growth rate, inflation, and foreign direct investment flows have statistically significant impacts on unemployment rate both in short-run and long-run. More specifically, the paper documents that unemployment rate, GDP growth rate, inflation rate and foreign direct investment flows are co-integrated in long-run at 5% significance level. Using Vector Error Correction analysis, the paper finds that co-integrated series converge it their long-run equilbruim at a speed of 17.24% per annum at 1% significance level. In case short-run, the study finds that a unit increase in GDP growth rate decreases unemployment by approximately 0.0159 units in short-run at 1% statistically significance level. Likewise, a unit increase in inflation rate will lead approximately 0.004 units drop in unemployment rate at 10% significance level. Plus, it also observes that a unit in Foreign Direct Investment flows causes 0.005 units decrease in unemployment rate in short-run at 5% significance level.
本文使用稳健的计量经济学分析,研究了1991-2019年孟加拉国失业率与其他宏观经济总量的关系。它揭示了GDP增长率、通货膨胀率和外国直接投资流量对失业率的短期和长期影响具有统计学意义的事实。更具体地说,本文证明失业率、GDP增长率、通货膨胀率和外国直接投资流量在长期内在5%的显著水平上协整。利用向量误差修正分析,本文发现协整序列在1%显著性水平下以每年17.24%的速度收敛于其长期均衡。在短期内,研究发现GDP增长率每提高一个单位,在1%的统计显著水平下,短期内减少失业约0.0159个单位。同样,在10%的显著水平上,通货膨胀率的单位增加将导致失业率下降约0.004个单位。此外,在5%的显著性水平下,1个单位的外国直接投资流量在短期内导致失业率下降0.005个单位。
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引用次数: 0
Adverse Selection into Competition: Evidence from a Large-scale Field Experiment in Tanzania 竞争中的逆向选择:来自坦桑尼亚大规模实地实验的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3696242
Ingvild Almås, Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge, K. Bjorvatn, Vincent Somville, Bertil Tungodden
An influential literature has shown that women are less willing to compete than men, and the gender gap in competition may contribute to explaining gender differences in educational choices and labor market outcomes. This study reports from a large-scale randomized controlled trial of a women empowerment program in Tanzania targeting young women at the end of secondary school. Combining the randomized controlled trial, a lab-in-the-field experiment and survey data, we provide evidence suggesting that the program caused adverse selection into competition: low performing women competed more, while there was no effect on the high performers. We provide a theoretical framework to illustrate an adverse selection mechanism that may contribute to explain why the program only affected the willingness to compete among low performers. Our results emphasize the importance of understanding sorting mechanisms and heterogeneous treatment effects in the design of policies and programs.
一篇有影响力的文献表明,女性比男性更不愿意竞争,而竞争中的性别差距可能有助于解释教育选择和劳动力市场结果中的性别差异。本研究报告来自坦桑尼亚一项妇女赋权项目的大规模随机对照试验,该项目以中学毕业的年轻女性为目标。结合随机对照试验、现场实验室实验和调查数据,我们提供证据表明,该计划导致逆向选择进入竞争:表现不佳的女性竞争更多,而对表现优异的女性没有影响。我们提供了一个理论框架来说明逆向选择机制,这可能有助于解释为什么该计划只影响低绩效者之间的竞争意愿。我们的研究结果强调了在政策和项目设计中理解分类机制和异质性治疗效果的重要性。
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引用次数: 14
Does Wealth Reduce Support for Redistribution? Evidence from an Ethiopian Housing Lottery 财富会减少对再分配的支持吗?来自埃塞俄比亚住房彩票的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3694901
Vincent Somville, A. Andersen, S. Franklin, T. Getahun, Andreas Kotsadam, Espen Villanger
We provide causal evidence of how an increase in wealth affects support for redistribution and beliefs about the causes of poverty. Exploiting the variation in wealth created by an Ethiopian housing lottery, we show that general attitudes toward redistribution and inequality acceptance are relatively insensitive to economic circumstances although winners are less favorable of taxing homeowners. Further, we find evidence of endogenous beliefs: relative to losers, the wealthier winners are more likely to attribute poverty to character traits and less likely to emphasize the role of luck. We interpret this as evidence of a self-serving bias.
我们提供了因果证据,说明财富的增加如何影响对再分配的支持和对贫困原因的信念。利用埃塞俄比亚住房彩票创造的财富差异,我们表明,尽管中奖者不太赞成向房主征税,但对再分配和不平等接受的普遍态度对经济环境相对不敏感。此外,我们还发现了内源性信念的证据:相对于失败者,更富有的赢家更有可能将贫穷归因于性格特征,而不太可能强调运气的作用。我们认为这是自私偏见的证据。
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引用次数: 23
Playing Easy or Playing Hard to Get: When and How to Attract FDI 玩容易还是玩难:何时以及如何吸引外国直接投资
Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3641378
Thomas A. Gresik, Dirk Schindler, Guttorm Schjelderup
We study the link between a country’s institutional quality in tax collection and its optimal corporate tax policies in a model of heterogeneous multinationals that can shift income using both debt and transfer prices. Countries with weak institutional quality can be made worse off adopting policies that attract FDI as the benefits from higher wages and production are more than offset by tax base erosion. Countries with moderate institutional quality can gain from under-utilizing their ability to collect taxes, since the benefit of attracting more FDI outstrips the benefit of increased tax revenue. Countries with very strong institutions benefit from FDI and should utilize their full ability to collect taxes.
我们在异质跨国公司模型中研究了一个国家税收制度质量与其最优公司税收政策之间的联系,这些跨国公司可以使用债务和转移价格转移收入。制度质量较弱的国家如果采取吸引外国直接投资的政策,情况可能会更糟,因为提高工资和生产的好处会被税基侵蚀所抵消。体制质量中等的国家可以从不充分利用其征税能力中获益,因为吸引更多外国直接投资的好处超过增加税收的好处。体制非常强大的国家受益于外国直接投资,应充分利用其收税能力。
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引用次数: 2
Assessing Maximal Dependence Within Extreme Co-Movements of Financial Instruments 评估金融工具极端协同运动中的最大依赖
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3631426
Ning Sun, Chen Yang, R. Zitikis
Assessing dependence within extreme co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices that we find in the literature underreport the strength due to equal treatment of the instruments in the tail of their loss distributions. When this becomes an issue, we advocate the use of a procedure designed to estimate the maximal strength of dependence that can possibly occur among the co-movements. We illustrate the performance of the procedure and its implementation using simulated and real data-sets. Detailed analyses of foreign currency exchange rates, stock market indices, and treasury notes are given.
在风险管理中,评估金融工具极端协同运动中的依赖性是一个非常有趣的问题。通常,尾部依赖指数用于量化这种依赖的强度,尽管我们在文献中发现的许多指数由于对损失分布尾部的工具进行了平等处理而低估了强度。当这成为一个问题时,我们提倡使用一个程序来估计在联合运动中可能发生的最大依赖强度。我们使用模拟和真实数据集来说明该程序的性能及其实现。详细分析了外汇汇率、股票市场指数和国库券。
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引用次数: 1
Can COVID-19 Generates Inflation and Unemployment Simultaneously? COVID-19会同时引发通货膨胀和失业吗?
Pub Date : 2020-06-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3623081
Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada
This paper explores the final impact of COVID-19 on the worldwide inflation and unemployment through the construction of the Multidimensional Phillips Surface (MP-Surface). The creation of MP-Surface applies the uses of Multi-Level Disks Random Coordinate Space. The main objective of this paper is to probe if COVID-19 can generate inflation and unemployment simultaneously, then we can experience a prolonged economic depression (seven years approximately). In essence, this paper evaluates the Pre-COVID-19, COVID-19, and Post-COVID-19 impact on the worldwide inflation and unemployment between the 2019/2021.
本文通过构建多维菲利普斯曲面(MP-Surface)来探讨COVID-19对全球通货膨胀和失业的最终影响。MP-Surface的创建应用了多级磁盘随机坐标空间的使用。本文的主要目的是探讨COVID-19是否可以同时产生通货膨胀和失业,那么我们可以经历长期的经济萧条(大约七年)。从本质上讲,本文评估了2019 - 2021年期间COVID-19前、COVID-19和COVID-19后对全球通胀和失业的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of COVID-19 on Malta and its Economy and Sustainable Strategies COVID-19对马耳他的影响及其经济和可持续战略
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3644833
S. Grima, Rebecca Dalli Gonzi, E. Thalassinos
The preparedness for outbreaks of pandemics such as the COVID-19 is a major concern for health authorities and leaders as extensive studies in the past have been reported and well documented. However, engaging with the response to an outbreak demands many decisions with enormous implications on a population and its regions. A review of past response mechanisms sheds light on different scenarios to provide an understanding of the challenges that will emerge, depicting trends, changes to GDP and the impact on the economy and employment. With this article, we aim to identify and bring to light the challenges faced by Malta during the pandemic we are currently facing – COVID. This will help risk managers and leaders understand the devastating social and economic impact of such disruptions and act proactively to avoid repetition and embarrassments of being unprepared. Moreover, we aim to provide an understanding of the expected cascading economic domino effects, which may result from the workforce unavailability, during a pandemic and the mistakes in the estimation, if any, that could have been avoided. A desk research study technique was adopted whereby data was collected from existing sources, including government websites, online statistics, published reports, trends and internal data to the local Maltese markets. The COVID-19 phenomena led to new measures being taken worldwide as professionals, leaders, academics and businesses took unprecedented steps to change their business as usual strategies. This in turn brought about various questions and discussions on how islands like Malta controlled their situation.
为COVID-19等大流行病的爆发做好准备是卫生当局和领导人关注的主要问题,因为过去已有大量研究报告和充分记录。然而,参与疫情应对工作需要作出许多决定,对人口及其所在地区产生巨大影响。对过去应对机制的回顾揭示了不同的情况,以提供对将出现的挑战的理解,描绘趋势,对GDP的变化以及对经济和就业的影响。在这篇文章中,我们的目标是确定并揭示马耳他在我们目前面临的大流行COVID期间面临的挑战。这将有助于风险管理者和领导者了解此类中断的破坏性社会和经济影响,并积极采取行动,避免重复和毫无准备的尴尬。此外,我们的目标是提供对预期的连锁经济多米诺骨牌效应的理解,这种效应可能是在大流行期间由于劳动力缺乏而导致的,以及估计中的错误(如果有的话)是可以避免的。采用了案头研究方法,从现有来源收集数据,包括政府网站、在线统计数据、公布的报告、趋势和马耳他当地市场的内部数据。2019冠状病毒病现象导致世界各地采取了新的措施,专业人士、领导人、学者和企业采取了前所未有的措施,改变他们的“一切照旧”战略。这又引起了关于象马耳他这样的岛屿如何控制其局势的各种问题和讨论。
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引用次数: 93
期刊
Norwegian School of Economics
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