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An Analysis of the Atlantic Ocean Wave Via Random Cosine and Sine Alternate Wavy ARIMA Functions 用随机余弦和正弦交替波ARIMA函数分析大西洋海浪
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.05.03
R. O. Olanrewaju, M. A. Jallow, S. A. Olanrewaju
In this research, alternate random wave sine and cosine for discrete time-varying processes via Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) in a deterministic manner were developed. The mean and variance of the cosine and sine periodical time-varying wavy functions were derived such that Maclaurin series via full Taylor series expansion was used to rewrite the mean and variance functions. Wavy buoys of sea temperature, significant wave height, and mean wave direction of Belmullet Inner (Berth B) and Belmullet Outer (Berth A) of the Atlantic Ocean based on the west coastal of Ireland were subjected to the random sine and cosine wave functions of ARIMA. Cosine-ARIMA (1, 1, 3) and cosine-ARIMA (0, 1, 1) were the sea temperature inner and outer oceanic climate wave buoys of Berth B and A with time-periods of 8437.5 and 8035.714 respectively. Cosine-ARIMA (5, 1, 0) gave minimum performance for peak direction of inner and outer oceanic climate wave buoys of both Berth B and A, but with different time-periods of 168750 and 56250 respectively. Lastly, cosine-ARIMA (2, 1, 2) and sine-ARIMA (0, 1, 5) put in the ideal generalization for wave height of Berth B and A with the same associated wave time-periods of 56250, that is, it takes 56250 seconds to complete one swaying cycle.
在本研究中,以确定性的方式,利用自回归积分移动平均(ARIMA)发展了离散时变过程的交替随机波正弦和余弦。导出了余弦和正弦周期时变波函数的均值和方差,并利用全泰勒级数展开的麦克劳林级数对均值和方差函数进行了改写。基于爱尔兰西海岸的大西洋Belmullet Inner(泊位B)和Belmullet Outer(泊位A)的波浪浮标的海温、有效波高和平均波向对ARIMA的随机正弦和余弦波函数进行了研究。cos - arima(1,1,3)和cos - arima(0,1,1)分别为B和A泊位的海温内外海洋气候波浮标,周期分别为8437.5和8035.714。cos - arima(5,1,0)对B泊位和A泊位内外洋气候波浮标的峰值方向表现最小,但时间段不同,分别为168750和56250。最后,cos - arima(2,1,2)和sin - arima(0,1,5)对泊位B和泊位A的波高进行了理想泛化,其关联波周期相同,均为56250秒,即完成一个摇摆周期需要56250秒。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Electricity Bill with the Reflection of CO2 Emissions and Methods of Implementing AMI for Smart Grid in Bangladesh 反映二氧化碳排放的孟加拉电费模型及智能电网AMI的实施方法
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.05.02
Md. Atik-Uz-Zaman Atik, Abu Osman Al Mahbub
Taking into consideration the lack of circumstantial alertness, automated fault analysis and labor-saving switches, the present-day electrical power grid system has been deteriorating day by day. The backbone technology of this grid system is too ill-fitted to the on-going demand for electricity. Despite the fact that the government of Bangladesh has set a new target of reaching the total power generation to be 40,000 MW by 2030. Hence the infrastructure and corresponding technology of the electrical power sector are required to be modernized to cope with this gigantic target within a short time. Another challenging fact is that the rapid expansion of population and power-intensive industrialization trigger off the carbon emissions that lead to global climate change. Also, the constraints of electricity generation capacity, unidirectional way of communication, failure of power equipment and dropping off conventional sources of energy impose burden on the existing electric power grid. This paper articulates the needfulness of reflection on CO2 emissions or reduction in the electricity bill of the consumer in developing countries by employing a mathematical model and by proposing some fruitful methods to implement AMI for smart grid.
由于缺乏环境预警、故障自动分析和省力开关,目前的电网系统日益老化。这个电网系统的主干技术太不适合持续的电力需求。尽管孟加拉国政府已经设定了到2030年总发电量达到40000兆瓦的新目标。因此,电力部门的基础设施和相应的技术需要现代化,以在短时间内应对这一巨大的目标。另一个具有挑战性的事实是,人口的快速增长和能源密集型工业化引发了导致全球气候变化的碳排放。此外,发电能力的限制、通信方式的单向性、电力设备的故障和常规能源的减少,也给现有电网带来了负担。本文通过建立数学模型,阐述了对发展中国家消费者电费中二氧化碳排放或减少进行反思的必要性,并提出了一些卓有成效的方法来实现智能电网的AMI。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain Management and Federated Learning Adaptation on Healthcare Management System 医疗保健管理系统的区块链管理和联邦学习适应
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.05.01
S. Turgay
Recently, health management systems have some troubles such as insufficient sharing of medical data, security problems of shared information, tampering and leaking of private data with data modeling probes and developing technology. Local learning is performed together with federated learning and differential entropy method to prevent the leakage of medical confidential information, so blockchain-based learning is preferred to completely eliminate the possibility of leakage while in global learning. Qualitative and quantitative analysis of information can be made with information entropy technology for the effective and maximum use of medical data in the local learning process. The blockchain is used the distributed network structure and inherent security features, at the same time information is treated as a whole, not as islands of data. All the way through this work, data sharing between medical systems can be encouraged, access records tampered with, and better support medical research and definitive medical treatment. The M/M/1 queue for the memory pool and M/M/C queue to combine integrated blockchains with a unified learning structure. With the proposed model, the number of transactions per block, mining of each block, learning time, index operations per second, number of memory pools, waiting time in the memory pool, number of unconfirmed transactions in the whole system, total number of transactions were examined. Thanks to this study, the protection of the medical privacy information of the user during the service process and the autonomous management of the patient’s own medical data will benefit the protection of privacy within the scope of medical data sharing. Motivated by this, proposed a blockchain and federated learning-based data management system able to develop in next studies.
近年来,健康管理系统面临着医疗数据共享不足、共享信息安全问题、数据建模探针和开发技术对私有数据的篡改和泄露等问题。局部学习与联邦学习和微分熵方法相结合,防止医疗机密信息泄露,因此在全局学习中,基于区块链的学习可以完全消除泄漏的可能性。利用信息熵技术对信息进行定性和定量分析,在局部学习过程中有效、最大限度地利用医疗数据。区块链利用了分布式网络结构和固有的安全特性,同时将信息视为一个整体,而不是数据孤岛。通过这项工作,可以鼓励医疗系统之间的数据共享,访问记录可以被篡改,并更好地支持医学研究和最终医疗。内存池的M/M/1队列和M/M/C队列,将集成的区块链与统一的学习结构相结合。利用提出的模型,考察了每个区块的交易数、每个区块的挖掘量、学习时间、每秒索引操作数、内存池数量、内存池等待时间、整个系统中未确认的交易数、总交易数。通过本研究,在服务过程中对用户医疗隐私信息的保护,以及对患者自身医疗数据的自主管理,将有利于医疗数据共享范围内的隐私保护。在此基础上,提出了一个基于区块链和联邦学习的数据管理系统,可以在下一步的研究中开发。
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引用次数: 2
Detailed Study of Wine Dataset and its Optimization 葡萄酒数据集的详细研究及其优化
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.05.04
Parneeta Dhaliwal, Suyash Sharma, Lakshay Chauhan
The consumption of wine these days is becoming more common in social gatherings and to monitor the health of individuals it's very important to maintain the quality of the wine. For the assessment of wine quality many methods have been proposed. We have described a technique to pre-process the “Vinho Verde” wine dataset. The dataset consists of red and white wine samples. The wine dataset size has been reduced from a total of 13 attributes to 9 attributes without any loss of performance. This has been validated through various classification techniques like Random Forest Classifier, Decision tree Classifiers, K-Nearest Neighbor Classifier and Artificial Neural Network Classifier. These classifiers have been compared based on two performance metrics of accuracy and RMSE values. Among the three classifiers Random Forest tends to outperform the other two classifiers in various measures for predicting the quality of the wine.
如今,在社交聚会中,葡萄酒的消费变得越来越普遍,为了监测个人的健康状况,保持葡萄酒的质量非常重要。为了评价葡萄酒的品质,人们提出了许多方法。我们描述了一种预处理“verho Verde”葡萄酒数据集的技术。该数据集由红葡萄酒和白葡萄酒样本组成。葡萄酒数据集的大小已经从13个属性减少到9个属性,而没有任何性能损失。这已经通过各种分类技术得到验证,如随机森林分类器、决策树分类器、k近邻分类器和人工神经网络分类器。这些分类器基于精度和RMSE值的两个性能指标进行了比较。在三个分类器中,随机森林在预测葡萄酒质量的各种措施中往往优于其他两个分类器。
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引用次数: 2
Artificial Neural Networks for Earth-Space Link Applications: A Prediction Approach and Intercomparison of Rain-influenced Attenuation Models 人工神经网络在地球-空间链路上的应用:一种降雨影响衰减模型的预测方法和比较
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.05.05
J. Ojo, Chinedu K. Ijomah, S. B. Akinpelu
The impact of rain-influenced attenuation (RIA) has a more pronounced effect as frequency increases, especially in the tropical zones with heavier rainfall than the temperate zones. The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) has recommended a universal model which may not fit well in this tropical region due to the temperate data used to develop the model. It is therefore necessary to adopt locally measured data to develop a suitable model for each region, as also recommended by ITU recommendation 618-13. The experimental site for this study is at the Department of Physics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria (7.299° N, 5.147° E) in the tropical rainforest region of Nigeria. In the present work, the backpropagation neural network (BPNN) of the artificial neural network (ANN) is trained based on time-series rain rates data collected between 2015 and 2019 to predict time-series RIA. Based on four inputs (rain rate, rain heights, elevation angle, and polarization angle), the generated data was subjected to training, validation, and testing. The ANN was further trained using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm to fit the inputs and the targets to create a dynamic model for RIA forecasting. Further validation was tested using actual data of rain attenuation from a Ku-band beacon at the site. Subsequently, the RIA model created by the ANN was compared to those generated using the synthetic storm technique, ITU, and the actual rain attenuation obtained from a beacon measurement. The highest rain rate observed was about 225.8 mm/hr with a corresponding rain attenuation of about 61 dB as estimated by the SST model and about 68 dB by the ITU model, while the predicted attenuation by the ANN is 55 dB. This implies that an extra power of 6 dB and 13 dB is added by the SST model and ITU model, respectively, for the downlink signal, to compensate for the rain attenuation link. The results also reveal that during 0.01 percent of an average year that signal may be attenuated, a relatively tiny margin of error between anticipated rain attenuation using ANN and the SST model is exceeded. In general, the new ANN-generated RIA model had the lowest root mean square error, average relative error, and standard deviation at the selected time percentages, according to the model validation. Hence, the new ANN model can predict more effective RIA in the region when compared with the global ITU-R model.
随着频率的增加,雨影响衰减(RIA)的影响更为明显,特别是在降雨量大于温带的热带地区。国际电信联盟(ITU)推荐了一种通用模式,但由于用于开发该模式的温带数据,该模式可能不太适合这一热带地区。因此,根据国际电联第618-13号建议,有必要采用当地测量的数据,为每个区域制定合适的模式。本研究的实验地点位于尼日利亚阿库尔(7.299°N, 5.147°E)的尼日利亚热带雨林地区联邦科技大学物理系。在本工作中,基于2015 - 2019年收集的时间序列降雨率数据,对人工神经网络(ANN)中的反向传播神经网络(BPNN)进行训练,以预测时间序列RIA。基于四个输入(降雨率、降雨高度、仰角和极化角),生成的数据进行训练、验证和测试。利用Levenberg-Marquardt算法对人工神经网络进行进一步训练,拟合输入和目标,建立RIA预测的动态模型。使用现场ku波段信标的实际降雨衰减数据进行进一步验证。随后,将人工神经网络创建的RIA模型与使用合成风暴技术、ITU生成的RIA模型以及从信标测量获得的实际降雨衰减进行比较。观测到的最高降雨率约为225.8 mm/hr,相应的降雨衰减约为61 dB(海温模式估计)和68 dB(国际电联模式估计),而ANN预测的衰减为55 dB。这意味着SST模型和ITU模型分别为下行信号增加了6 dB和13 dB的额外功率,以补偿雨衰减链路。结果还表明,在平均年份的0.01%的时间内,该信号可能会衰减,使用人工神经网络和海温模型预测降雨衰减之间的误差幅度相对较小。总的来说,根据模型验证,新的人工神经网络生成的RIA模型在选择的时间百分比下具有最低的均方根误差、平均相对误差和标准差。因此,与全球ITU-R模型相比,新的人工神经网络模型可以预测该地区更有效的RIA。
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引用次数: 1
Development of Crop-Weather Models Using Gaussian Process Regression for the Prediction of Paddy Yield in Sri Lanka 用高斯过程回归预测斯里兰卡水稻产量的作物-天气模型的建立
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.04.05
P. Ekanayake, L. Wickramasinghe, J. Jayasinghe
This research introduces machine learning models using the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) depicting the association between paddy yield and weather in Sri Lanka. All major regions in the island with most contribution to the total paddy production were considered in this research. The climatic factors of rainfall, relative humidity, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, average wind speed, evaporation, and sunshine hours were considered as input (independent) variables, while the paddy yield was the output (dependent) variable. The collinearity within each pair of independent and dependent variables was determined using Spearman’s and Pearson’s correlation coefficients. Data sets corresponding to the two main annual paddy cultivation seasons since 2009 were trained in MATLAB to develop crop-weather models. The most appropriate Kernel function was chosen from among four types of Kernels viz. Rational Quadratic, Exponential, Squared Exponential, and Matern 5/2 based on their degree of coherence in modeling. This approach exploits the full potential of GPR in developing highly accurate crop-weather models. The performance of the crop-weather models was measured by the Correlation Coefficient, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error Ratio, Nash Number and the BIAS. All the GPR-based models proposed in this paper are highly accurate in terms of the aforementioned evaluation metrics. Accordingly, when the climatic data are known or projected, the paddy yield and thereby the harvest of Sri Lanka can be predicted precisely by using the proposed crop-weather models.
本研究引入了使用高斯过程回归(GPR)的机器学习模型,描述了斯里兰卡水稻产量与天气之间的关系。本研究考虑了岛上所有对水稻总产量贡献最大的主要地区。以降雨量、相对湿度、最低气温、最高气温、平均风速、蒸发量、日照时数等气候因子为输入(自变量),以水稻产量为输出(因变量)。使用Spearman和Pearson相关系数确定每对自变量和因变量的共线性。在MATLAB中训练2009年以来两个主要水稻种植季节对应的数据集,开发作物-天气模型。根据建模的一致性,从有理二次型、指数型、平方指数型和Matern 5/2型四种核函数中选择最合适的核函数。这种方法充分利用了探地雷达在开发高精度作物天气模型方面的潜力。通过相关系数、平均绝对百分比误差、均方误差、均方根误差比、纳什数和BIAS来衡量作物-天气模型的性能。本文提出的基于gpr的模型在上述评价指标方面都具有较高的准确性。因此,当气候数据已知或预测时,可以使用所提出的作物天气模型精确地预测斯里兰卡的水稻产量和收成。
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引用次数: 0
Care4Student: An Embedded Warning System for Preventing Abuse of Primary School Students Care4Student:一个防止小学生被虐待的嵌入式预警系统
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.04.01
K. Akyol, Abdulkadir Karacı, M. Tiftikçi
Child abuse is a social and medical problem that has negative effects on the individual development of the child and can lead to mental disorders such as depression and post-traumatic stress disorder in both short and long-term mental health. Therefore, any abuse that the child may encounter should be immediately intervened. This paper presents the design of an integrated embedded warning system that includes an embedded system module, a server-based module, and a mobile-based module as a solution to concerns of ensuring the safety of students in places where there are fewer safety measures. Our solution aims to ensure that the school management team is quickly informed about the adverse situation that primary school students may encounter and able to respond to them. In this context, this system activates the warning status when it correctly detects the phrases 'help me' and 'give it up'. Thus, any negativity that may be encountered in a closed environment is prevented. The embedded warning system detected correctly the phrase "help me" with 80%, and the phrase "give it up" with 75%.
虐待儿童是一个社会和医疗问题,对儿童的个人发展产生负面影响,并可能导致短期和长期精神健康方面的精神障碍,如抑郁症和创伤后应激障碍。因此,孩子可能遇到的任何虐待都应该立即干预。本文设计了一种集成的嵌入式报警系统,该系统包括嵌入式系统模块、基于服务器的模块和基于移动的模块,以解决学生在安全措施较少的地方的安全问题。我们的解决方案旨在确保学校管理团队迅速了解小学生可能遇到的不利情况,并能够作出反应。在这种情况下,当系统正确检测到“help me”和“give it up”这两个短语时,就会激活警告状态。因此,可以防止在封闭环境中可能遇到的任何负面影响。嵌入式预警系统对短语“帮助我”的正确率为80%,对短语“放弃”的正确率为75%。
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引用次数: 0
BoPCOVIPIP: Capturing the Dynamics of Marketing Mix Among Bottom of Pyramid Consumers during COVID-19 BoPCOVIPIP:在COVID-19期间捕捉金字塔底层消费者的营销组合动态
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.04.04
Debadrita Panda, S. Mukhopadhyay, Rajarshi Saha, P. Panigrahi
The behaviour of consumers mostly follows the guidelines derived from marketing theories and models. But under some unavoidable circumstances, the consumers show a complete deviation compared to their existing consumption pattern, purchase behaviour, decision-making and so on. Under similar circumstances, this study aims to capture both urban and rural Bottom of the Pyramid (BoP) consumers’ perceptions of various marketing mixes during the COVID-19 pandemic situation. With a sample size of 378 and 282, the perception towards different marketing mixes has been captured for Pre-COVID and During-COVID periods, respectively. The adopted quantitative analysis indicates a difference in perception towards marketing mix During COVID compared to Pre-COVID. Moreover, the selection of West Bengal, India, as an area of research fulfills the BoP literature’s existing prominent research gap. This study also comes with the potential to assist marketers and the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry in framing strategies to target BoP consumers.
消费者的行为大多遵循市场营销理论和模型的指导原则。但在某些不可避免的情况下,消费者与现有的消费模式、购买行为、决策等都出现了完全的偏差。在类似的情况下,本研究旨在了解在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,城市和农村金字塔底部(BoP)消费者对各种营销组合的看法。样本量为378和282,分别捕获了covid前和covid期间对不同营销组合的看法。采用的定量分析表明,与COVID前相比,COVID期间对营销组合的看法存在差异。此外,选择印度西孟加拉邦作为研究区域,填补了防喷器文献中存在的突出研究空白。这项研究也有可能帮助营销人员和快速消费品(FMCG)行业制定针对防喷器消费者的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Using Rough Set Theory for Reasoning on Vague Ontologies 粗糙集理论在模糊本体推理中的应用
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.04.03
M. Bourahla
Web ontologies can contain vague concepts, which means the knowledge about them is imprecise and then query answering will not possible due to the open world assumption. A concept description can be very exact (crisp concept) or exact (fuzzy concept) if its knowledge is complete, otherwise it is inexact (vague concept) if its knowledge is incomplete. In this paper, we propose a method based on the rough set theory for reasoning on vague ontologies. With this method, the detection of vague concepts will insert into the original ontology new rough vague concepts where their description is defined on approximation spaces to be used by extended Tableau algorithm for automatic reasoning. A prototype of Tableau's extended algorithm is developed and tested on examples where encouraging results are given by this method to demonstrate that unlike other methods, it is possible to answer queries even in the presence of incomplete information.
Web本体可能包含模糊的概念,这意味着关于它们的知识是不精确的,并且由于开放世界的假设,查询回答将无法实现。一个概念描述可以是非常精确的(清晰的概念)或精确的(模糊的概念),如果它的知识是完整的,否则它是不精确的(模糊的概念),如果它的知识不完整。本文提出了一种基于粗糙集理论的模糊本体推理方法。该方法通过对模糊概念的检测,在原本体中插入新的粗糙的模糊概念,并将其描述定义在近似空间上,供扩展的Tableau算法用于自动推理。开发了Tableau扩展算法的原型,并在示例中进行了测试,该方法给出了令人鼓舞的结果,以证明与其他方法不同,即使在存在不完整信息的情况下,也可以回答查询。
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引用次数: 1
A Novel Hybrid Approach for Detection of Type-2 Diabetes in Women Using Lasso Regression and Artificial Neural Network 基于Lasso回归和人工神经网络的女性2型糖尿病检测新方法
Q3 Computer Science Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.5815/ijisa.2022.04.02
Y. Singh, Mahendra Tiwari
Diabetes is a life-threatening and long-lasting illness that produces high blood glucose levels. Diabetes may cause various diseases, including liver disease, blindness, amputation, urinary organ infections, etc. This research work aims to introduce a hybrid framework to enhance outcomes predictability and interoperability with reduced ill-posed problems, over-fitting problems, and class imbalance problems for diagnosing diabetes mellitus using data mining techniques. Diabetes may be recognized in many ways. One of these methods is data mining techniques. The use of data mining to medical data has yielded meaningful, significant, and effective results that may improve medical expertise and decision-making. This study suggests a hybrid technique for detecting DM that combines the lasso regression algorithm with the artificial neural network (ANN) classifier algorithm. The Lasso regression technique is used for variable selection and regularization. Because the dataset was shrunk, the computing time was considerably minimized. The ANN classifier received the Lasso regression output as an input and classified patients correctly as diabetic and non-diabetic, i.e., tested positives and negatives. The Pima Indians dataset was used in this experiment, consisting of 768 samples of female participants who are diabetic and non-diabetic. According to experimental observations, the proposed hybrid technique achieved 93% classification accuracy for predicting diabetes mellitus. The experimental results showed that our proposed method had a classification accuracy of 93% for determining whether a patient has diabetes or not. The experimental outcomes demonstrated that a hybrid data-mining approach might assist clinicians in making better diagnoses when identifying diabetes patients.
糖尿病是一种危及生命的长期疾病,会导致高血糖水平。糖尿病可引起多种疾病,包括肝病、失明、截肢、泌尿器官感染等。本研究旨在引入一个混合框架,以提高结果的可预测性和互操作性,减少不适定问题、过拟合问题和类不平衡问题,用于使用数据挖掘技术诊断糖尿病。糖尿病的诊断方法有很多。其中一种方法是数据挖掘技术。将数据挖掘用于医疗数据已经产生了有意义的、重要的和有效的结果,可以提高医疗专业知识和决策。本研究提出了一种将lasso回归算法与人工神经网络(ANN)分类器算法相结合的混合DM检测技术。Lasso回归技术用于变量选择和正则化。由于数据集缩小了,计算时间大大减少。ANN分类器将Lasso回归输出作为输入,并将患者正确分类为糖尿病和非糖尿病,即检测阳性和阴性。实验中使用了皮马印第安人的数据集,包括768名患有糖尿病和非糖尿病的女性参与者。实验结果表明,该方法对糖尿病的预测准确率达到93%。实验结果表明,我们提出的方法在判断患者是否患有糖尿病方面的分类准确率为93%。实验结果表明,混合数据挖掘方法可以帮助临床医生在识别糖尿病患者时做出更好的诊断。
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引用次数: 1
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International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering
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