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Is Temporary Employment a Stepping Stone for Unemployed School Leavers? 临时工作是失业中学毕业生的垫脚石吗?
Pub Date : 2008-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1314247
Christian Goebel, E. Verhofstadt
Many school-leavers enter the labour market via temporary employment. In this paper we investigate the impact of a temporary employment spell at the start of the career on the transition rate into permanent employment. We compare the case of temporary employment to the hypothetical case of a direct transition from unemployment to permanent employment. In order to control for selective participation in temporary employment we include a large set of explanatory variables which have been especially collected to study school-leavers. We apply the AIC-information criterion to select the appropriate specification for unobserved heterogeneity. Based on the information criteria we conclude that given our data, there is no support for a model with selection in unobserved characteristics. Simulation exercises provide insights into the development of the effect of temporary employment over time. For a sample of unemployed Flemish school-leavers we find that in the short run temporary employment delays the school leaver’s transition to permanent employment. However, in the long run temporary employment acts as a stepping stone and decreases the duration until permanent employment.
许多毕业生通过临时就业进入劳动力市场。在本文中,我们研究了职业生涯开始时临时就业对永久就业转换率的影响。我们将临时就业的情况与从失业直接过渡到永久就业的假设情况进行比较。为了控制临时就业的选择性参与,我们包括了一大批解释变量,这些变量是专门为研究离校生而收集的。我们应用aic信息标准来为未观察到的异质性选择合适的规格。基于信息标准,我们得出结论,给定我们的数据,没有支持在未观察到的特征中选择的模型。模拟练习提供了对临时就业影响随时间发展的见解。对于一个失业的佛兰德中学毕业生的样本,我们发现在短期内,临时就业延迟了中学毕业生向永久就业的过渡。然而,从长远来看,临时就业作为一个垫脚石,减少了到永久就业的持续时间。
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引用次数: 18
International Outsourcing and R&D: Long-Run Implications for Consumers 国际外包与研发:对消费者的长期影响
Pub Date : 2008-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2008.00764.x
S. Marjit, A. Mukherjee
We show that international outsourcing and R&D by the outsourced firm may be either substitutes or complements. Outsourcing increases the R&D investment in small markets and in highly competitive product markets, whereas it decreases the R&D investment in large markets. If the outsourced firm can be technologically very efficient under exporting, outsourcing can make the consumers worse off by reducing the R&D investment. If there is skill differential in the production process and outsourcing occurs only in the unskilled activities, R&D-reducing outsourcing occurs in a relatively low-skilled industry. If outsourcing of the unskilled jobs reduces the effective cost of the skilled workers by increasing the productivities of the skilled workers, outsourcing provides further disincentive for R&D compared to the situation where outsourcing of the unskilled jobs does not affect the effective cost of the skilled workers.
研究表明,国际外包与外包企业的研发可以互为替代,也可以互为补充。外包增加了小市场和竞争激烈的产品市场的研发投入,而减少了大市场的研发投入。如果外包企业在出口的情况下技术效率很高,那么外包可以通过减少研发投资而使消费者变得更糟。如果在生产过程中存在技能差异,并且外包只发生在非技能活动中,那么减少研发的外包发生在相对低技能的行业中。如果非技术工作的外包通过提高技术工人的生产率来降低技术工人的有效成本,那么与非技术工作的外包不影响技术工人的有效成本的情况相比,外包进一步抑制了研发的动力。
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引用次数: 37
Marking Time: An Analysis of Youth Hours of Work and Study in Urban Mexico 标记时间:墨西哥城市青年工作和学习时数分析
Pub Date : 2008-10-27 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2008.00444.x
D. Levison, K. Moe, F. Knaul
This paper argues that a more complex view of work and schooling is critical to poor countries as they implement policies to increase educational attainment. In this analysis of 12-17-year-old girls and boys in urban Mexico, we expand the traditional approach in two dimensions by (1) moving from an analysis of participation to one of hours of participation, and (2) broadening the definition of work to include youth's household responsibilities. Copyright © 2008 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2008 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
本文认为,在贫穷国家实施提高受教育程度的政策时,更复杂地看待工作和学校教育至关重要。在对墨西哥城市12-17岁的男孩和女孩的分析中,我们在两个维度上扩展了传统的方法:(1)从参与的分析转向参与时间的分析;(2)扩大工作的定义,包括青年的家庭责任。版权所有©2008作者。期刊编辑©2008 Blackwell Publishing Ltd。
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引用次数: 9
Motherhood Delay and the Human Capital of the Next Generation 母性延迟与下一代人力资本
Pub Date : 2008-10-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1079832
Amalia R. Miller
This paper exploits biological fertility shocks as instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect of motherhood delay on the cognitive ability of the next generation. Using detailed panel data on women in the NLSY79 and their first-born children aged 5 to 14, we find that a year of delay leads to significant increases in math and reading scores: a 7 year delay produces gains on par with the black-white score difference. These results reveal a potential weakness of pro-natalist policies that promote early motherhood. While such policies may succeed at increasing total period fertility rates, they will be less effective at increasing total human capital.
本文利用生物生育冲击作为工具变量来估计母性延迟对下一代认知能力的因果影响。通过对NLSY79中的女性和她们5至14岁的第一个孩子的详细小组数据,我们发现延迟一年导致数学和阅读分数的显著提高:延迟7年产生的收益与黑人和白人的分数差异相当。这些结果揭示了促进早孕的亲生育政策的潜在弱点。虽然这些政策在提高总时期生育率方面可能会成功,但在增加总人力资本方面就不那么有效了。
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引用次数: 53
Wages and Knowledge Transfer 工资与知识转移
Pub Date : 2008-10-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.417062
Ludwig B. Chincarini, Daehwan Kim
With the advancement of medical sciences, knowledge transfer will become easier and cheaper. It may alter the way we traditionally think about relative wages. In this paper, we formalize this process with a labor model in which the cost of knowledge transfer and preferences over occupation are parameters. We find that in the extreme of zero cost of knowledge transfer, "high skill" occupations might be paid less than "low skill" occupations in equilibrium.
随着医学科学的进步,知识转移将变得更加容易和便宜。这可能会改变我们传统上对相对工资的看法。在本文中,我们用一个以知识转移成本和职业偏好为参数的劳动模型形式化了这一过程。研究发现,在知识转移零成本的极端情况下,在均衡状态下,“高技能”职业的薪酬可能低于“低技能”职业。
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引用次数: 0
The Origins of Ethnolinguistic Diversity: Theory and Evidence 民族语言多样性的起源:理论与证据
Pub Date : 2008-10-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1286893
S. Michalopoulos
This research examines theoretically and empirically the economic origins of ethnolinguistic diversity. The empirical analysis constructs detailed data on the distribution of land qualtiy and elevation across contiguous regions, virtual and real countries, and shows that variation in elevation and land quality has contributed significantly to the emergence and persistence of ethnic fractionalization. The empirical and historical evidence support the theoretical analysis, according to which heterogenous land endowments generated region specific human capital, liminting population mobility and leading to the formation of localized ethnicities and languages. The research contributes to the understanding of the emergence of ethnicities and languages. The research contributes to the understanding of the emergence of ethnicities and their spatial distribution and offers a distinction between the natural, georgraphically driven, versus the artificial, man-made, components of contemporary ethnic diversity.
本研究从理论和实证两方面考察了民族语言多样性的经济根源。实证分析构建了相邻区域、虚拟国家和现实国家的土地质量和高程分布的详细数据,表明高程和土地质量的变化对民族分割化的出现和持续起着重要作用。实证和历史证据支持了理论分析,认为异质土地禀赋产生了区域特有的人力资本,限制了人口流动,导致了局部民族和语言的形成。这项研究有助于理解种族和语言的产生。这项研究有助于理解种族的出现及其空间分布,并对当代种族多样性的自然、地理驱动因素与人为因素进行了区分。
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引用次数: 67
If You Believe that Discrimination Exists, it Will 如果你相信歧视存在,它就会存在
Pub Date : 2008-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9957.2008.01085.x
Ali M. Ahmed
A model is presented where identical firms announce vacancies and wages and workers apply to the firm. Workers are of two types, b and g, but identical in productivity. Firms do not prefer a particular type of worker over another; however, a common belief among all workers is that type b workers are discriminated against. This causes type b workers to avoid applying for jobs that offer wages perceived to be too high. In equilibrium some firms announce high wages thereby attracting only type g workers, while others announce low wages thereby attracting only type b workers.
提出了一个相同企业公布职位空缺和工资的模型,并提出了工人申请。工人分为b和g两类,但生产率相同。公司不会偏爱某种特定类型的工人;然而,所有工人普遍认为b类工人受到歧视。这导致b类工人避免申请工资过高的工作。在均衡中,一些公司宣布高工资,从而只吸引了g类工人,而另一些公司宣布低工资,从而只吸引了b类工人。
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引用次数: 7
Embracing Ambiguity: Creating Portals to Enactment and Inquiry 拥抱歧义:为制定和探究创造门户
Pub Date : 2008-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1018457
Kevin J. Davis, James E. Parco, D. Levy, Steve P. Fraser
In a modern era where military professionals, like their civilian counterparts, routinely find themselves facing significant ambiguity, we recognize a vital need to prepare junior officers for the challenges that await them. In our capacity as faculty members (past and present) in the Department of Management at the United States Air Force Academy, we have developed a course over the past twelve years aimed at fostering intellectual curiosity, critical thinking skill and the ability to frame and resolve ill-defined problems. This paper uses various aspects of the course's framework to demonstrate how students are taken on a journey which allows them to experience the dramatic differences made possible by changing one's perspective. Students are pushed into a realm of ambiguity, from which they generally realize that their prior models of a number of systems are fragile and inadequate; further, they come to see that answers, models, and frameworks are enactments which can always be improved upon. Results from the Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal indicate that the course improves students' critical thinking abilities. However, the course was not designed to teach students to think critically, but rather to lead them on a journey of self-discovery, forcing them to enact new realities.
在现代,军事专业人员和文职人员一样,经常发现自己面临着重大的不确定性,我们认识到,迫切需要为等待他们的挑战做好准备。作为美国空军学院(United States Air Force Academy)管理学院(Department of Management)过去和现在的教员,我们在过去12年里开设了一门课程,旨在培养学生的求知欲、批判性思维技能以及构建和解决不明确问题的能力。本文使用课程框架的各个方面来展示学生如何踏上一段旅程,使他们能够通过改变一个人的视角来体验可能产生的巨大差异。学生们被推入一个模棱两可的领域,从中他们通常意识到他们之前的一些系统模型是脆弱和不充分的;此外,他们会看到答案、模型和框架都是可以不断改进的制定。Watson-Glaser批判性思维评估结果表明,该课程提高了学生的批判性思维能力。然而,这门课程的目的不是教学生批判性地思考,而是引导他们踏上自我发现的旅程,迫使他们制定新的现实。
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引用次数: 0
Institutes of Higher Education, Safety Swords, and Privacy Shields: Reconciling FERPA and the Common Law 高等教育机构、安全之剑与隐私之盾:FERPA与普通法的调和
Pub Date : 2008-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1324432
Stephanie Humphries
In light of the Virginia Tech shootings, this Note argues that both FERPA and the common law contain internal tensions regarding safety and privacy that neither Congress nor the courts have adequately reconciled, and that important discrepancies regarding information sharing exist between IHEs' practices, the common law's demands, and FERPA's limitations. Part I provides background on FERPA and argues that FERPA's emergency exception is too narrow and confusing, so that IHEs default to the nondisclosure option rather than disclosing information to third parties, such as parents, when students threaten to harm themselves or others. At the same time, FERPA's tax dependent exception operates as an overly broad bright-line rule that, coupled with FERPA's lax enforcement mechanism, fails to adequately protect the privacy of students' education records. Thus, FERPA's emergency exception fails to ensure safety, while the tax dependent exception eviscerates the statute's privacy protection. Part II points out that, at the common law, courts have traditionally relied upon three competing strands of tort doctrines, each of which emphasizes either safety or privacy to the exclusion of the other. Thus, while the "duty" strand of premises liability uses safety as a sword and emphasizes foreseeability, the "no duty" strand of custodial relations and in loco parentis uses privacy as a liability shield. In the past, as the common law shifted from using safety as a sword to using privacy as a shield, FERPA responded. For example, as societal attitudes and the common law changed regarding alcohol use, Congress created a tailored exception allowing IHEs to notify parents when students violate laws or policies regarding the possession or use of controlled substances. Currently, another such shift is occurring, and courts are beginning to develop a concept of "duty-based-on-the-facts" as part of the special relationship between IHEs and students. As IHEs adopt public health models to address mental health issues on campuses, courts are using the safety sword to impose a duty on IHEs to use reasonable care to prevent foreseeable acts of harm to and by students, including suicide. However, FERPA has yet to respond to these increasing demands that the common law places on IHEs to share and disclose information about students' mental health. Part III proposes ways to resolve the tensions within the common law and FERPA regarding safety and privacy, as well as ways to align the duties the common law imposes on IHEs with the limits on disclosure that FERPA requires of IHEs. In reference to the common law, this Note argues that courts should create a coherent foreseeability framework specific to the mental health and IHE context, acknowledging the limits of foreseeability-especially for college and university personnel who are not mental health professionals-while balancing safety and privacy concerns. Part III also argues that Congress should amend FERPA to appropriately b
鉴于弗吉尼亚理工大学枪击事件,本报告认为FERPA和普通法都包含了关于安全和隐私的内部紧张关系,国会和法院都没有充分协调,并且在信息共享方面存在着重要的差异,在IHEs的做法,普通法的要求和FERPA的限制之间。第一部分提供了FERPA的背景,并认为FERPA的紧急例外过于狭隘和令人困惑,因此当学生威胁要伤害自己或他人时,他默认采用不披露选项,而不是向第三方(如父母)披露信息。与此同时,FERPA的税收依赖例外作为一个过于宽泛的明确规则,加上FERPA宽松的执行机制,未能充分保护学生教育记录的隐私。因此,FERPA的紧急例外未能确保安全,而税收依赖例外则削弱了法规对隐私的保护。第二部分指出,在普通法中,法院传统上依赖于三种相互竞争的侵权理论,每一种都强调安全或隐私,而排斥另一种。因此,房屋责任的“义务”链以安全为剑,强调可预见性,而监护关系和代父母关系的“无义务”链则以隐私为责任盾牌。在过去,当普通法从以安全为剑转向以隐私为盾时,FERPA做出了回应。例如,随着社会对酒精使用的态度和普通法的改变,国会制定了一项专门的例外规定,允许高等教育机构在学生违反有关拥有或使用受管制物质的法律或政策时通知家长。目前,另一个这样的转变正在发生,法院开始发展一种“以事实为基础的责任”的概念,作为高等教育机构与学生之间特殊关系的一部分。随着高等学校采用公共健康模式来解决校园心理健康问题,法院正在使用安全之剑,要求高等学校有责任采取合理的谨慎措施,防止可预见的伤害学生的行为,包括自杀。然而,FERPA尚未回应普通法要求高等教育机构分享和披露学生心理健康信息的日益增长的要求。第三部分提出了解决英美法和FERPA在安全和隐私方面的紧张关系的方法,以及如何使英美法对医疗机构施加的义务与FERPA要求医疗机构披露的限制保持一致。就普通法而言,本说明认为,法院应针对精神卫生和精神卫生的情况,建立一个连贯的可预见性框架,承认可预见性的局限性——特别是对于非精神卫生专业人员的学院和大学人员——同时平衡安全和隐私问题。第三部分还认为,国会应修订FERPA以适当平衡安全和隐私,特别是通过扩大和澄清FERPA的紧急例外,同时取消税收依赖例外。同时,随着普通法和FERPA之间的紧张关系得到解决,美国教育部应该对其提供的指导方针做出一些改变。本报告不预测未来与弗吉尼亚理工大学枪击案有关的诉讼可能如何进行,不试图评估过失,也不认为此类悲惨事件是可以预防的。相反,它强调了教义和法律的发展可能会影响法院在弗吉尼亚理工大学枪击事件相关问题的背景下划定安全和隐私之间的界限。在探讨这些问题时,本说明建议如何协调安全和隐私,以及普通法和FERPA,从而为未来指明一条更清晰的道路。注:本文首次以基本相似的形式出现在35 J.C. & U.L. 145(2008)。
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引用次数: 4
A Likelihood-Based Analysis for Relaxing the Exclusion Restriction in Randomized Experiments with Imperfect Compliance 不完全依从性随机实验中放宽排除限制的似然分析
Pub Date : 2008-09-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1290514
Andrea Mercatanti
This paper examines the problem of relaxing the exclusion restriction for the evaluation of causal effects in randomized experiments with imperfect compliance. Exclusion restriction is a relevant assumption for identifying causal effects by the nonparametric instrumental variables technique, in which the template of a randomized experiment with imperfect compliance represents a natural parametric extension. However, the full relaxation of the exclusion restriction yields likelihood functions characterized by the presence of mixtures of distributions. This complicates a likelihood-based analysis because it implies partially identified models and more than one maximum likelihood point. We consider the model identifiability when the outcome distributions of various compliance states are in the same parametric class. A two-step estimation procedure based on detecting the root closest to the method of moments estimate of the parameter vector is proposed and analyzed in detail under normally distributed outcomes. An economic example with real data on return to schooling concludes the paper.
本文探讨了在不完全顺应性随机实验中放松排除限制评价因果效应的问题。排除限制是利用非参数工具变量技术识别因果效应的一个相关假设,其中具有不完全顺应性的随机实验模板代表了自然的参数扩展。然而,排除限制的完全放松产生的似然函数的特征是存在混合分布。这使基于似然的分析变得复杂,因为它意味着部分确定的模型和多个最大似然点。当各种柔性状态的结果分布在同一参数类中时,我们考虑了模型的可辨识性。提出了一种基于检测最接近矩估计方法的两步估计方法,并对正态分布结果进行了详细分析。最后,本文给出了一个关于重返学校的真实数据的经济例子。
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引用次数: 166
期刊
Labor: Human Capital
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