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Economic policy uncertainty and the demand for labor: Evidence from the online job postings of Chinese firms 经济政策的不确定性与劳动力需求:来自中国企业网上招聘信息的证据
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103548

This paper examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on labor demand. Using data from a Chinese online job posting site, this study empirically investigates how EPU affects firms' hiring behavior. The results suggest that EPU has overall negative effects. Firms tend to reduce job postings in times of increasing policy uncertainty. More particularly, the demand for skills such as teamwork, personnel management, project management, and customer service declines, while individual qualities become more important to enterprises. The study also reveals that there is a positive relationship between EPU and the educational background required in firms' job ads. Further analysis indicates that non-state-owned enterprises, those with poor internal control quality, smaller scale, greater industry competitiveness, and those in non-high-tech industries are more significantly affected by EPU in hiring. This research provides empirical support and policy recommendations for the government to maintain employment stability and stimulate enterprise labor demand.

本文探讨了经济政策不确定性(EPU)对劳动力需求的影响。本研究利用中国一家在线招聘网站的数据,对经济政策不确定性如何影响企业的招聘行为进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,经济政策不确定性总体上具有负面影响。在政策不确定性增加时,企业倾向于减少职位发布。尤其是,企业对团队合作、人事管理、项目管理和客户服务等技能的需求下降,而个人素质变得更加重要。研究还发现,EPU 与企业招聘广告中要求的教育背景之间存在正相关关系。进一步的分析表明,非国有企业、内部控制质量较差、规模较小、行业竞争力较强以及非高科技行业的企业在招聘中受 EPU 的影响更为显著。这项研究为政府保持就业稳定、刺激企业劳动力需求提供了实证支持和政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Financial structure, development of small and medium banks, enterprise exports 金融结构、中小银行的发展、企业出口
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103543

The development of small and medium-sized banks has a profound impact on enterprise export trade. This study Based on a sample of 645 listed enterprises in China, to study the relationship between small and medium-sized banks and the export level of enterprises. Against the backdrop of the continuous development and growth of small and medium-sized banks, new ideas have been provided for seeking ways for Chinese enterprises to expand financing channels and improve export levels. The research results indicate that the development of small and medium-sized banks has significantly improved the export tendency and scale of enterprises. The heterogeneity test results show that the export expansion effect of the development of small and medium-sized banks is more significant for private enterprises, eastern enterprises, non-agricultural enterprises, and enterprises with high dependence on external financing. Based on these empirical research results and the actual situation in China, this article proposes policy recommendations such as building a long-term mechanism for the development of small and medium-sized banks, expanding their financial service coverage, and enhancing their financial service capabilities.

中小银行的发展对企业出口贸易有着深远的影响。本研究以我国 645 家上市企业为样本,研究中小银行与企业出口水平之间的关系。在中小银行不断发展壮大的背景下,为我国企业拓展融资渠道、提高出口水平提供了新的思路。研究结果表明,中小银行的发展显著提升了企业的出口倾向和规模。异质性检验结果表明,发展中小银行对民营企业、东部企业、非农业企业和对外融资依赖度高的企业的出口扩张效应更为显著。基于上述实证研究成果,结合我国实际情况,本文提出了构建中小银行发展长效机制、扩大中小银行金融服务覆盖面、提升中小银行金融服务能力等政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-corruption campaign and SOEs innovation: The role of the central inspection group in China 反腐败运动与国有企业创新:中央巡视组在中国的作用
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103544

Using central inspections of China aimed at SOEs as a quasi-natural experiment, we investigate the causal effect of anti-corruption campaigns on the innovation of state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Based on the sample of China's SOEs, we find that the central inspections lead to an uplift in the quantity of SOE innovation at the expense of innovation quality. Further analysis indicates that owing to the unique motivation of political promotion, SOE managers improve the operation indicators valued by the government when subjected to political intervention in the shape of anti-corruption, such as the innovation quantity, referred to as the political monitoring mechanism. Eventually, there will be a decline in the quality of innovation that will supplement the long-term value of SOEs since the central inspection does not contribute to corporate governance.

以中国针对国有企业的中央巡视为准自然实验,我们研究了反腐运动对国有企业创新的因果效应。基于中国国有企业的样本,我们发现中央巡视导致了国有企业创新数量的提升,但却牺牲了创新质量。进一步的分析表明,由于独特的政治晋升动机,国企管理者在受到反腐形式的政治干预时,会提高政府所重视的经营指标,如创新数量,即政治监督机制。最终,由于中央巡视无助于公司治理,补充国有企业长期价值的创新质量将会下降。
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引用次数: 0
Reputation resources and debt maturity structure: Evidence from Chinese university-based listed companies 声誉资源与债务期限结构:来自中国高校上市公司的证据
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103547

This study focuses on the relationship between reputation resources and debt maturity structure and finds that enhancing reputation resources can optimize debt maturity structure, in which corporate credit ratings play a mediating role; moreover, there are differences in the impact of reputation resources on debt maturity structure for firms of different natures, in which the impact is more significant for non-state-owned firms. The findings of this study remain valid after the robustness and endogeneity tests.

本研究关注声誉资源与债务期限结构之间的关系,发现声誉资源的提升可以优化债务期限结构,其中企业信用评级起到中介作用;此外,声誉资源对不同性质企业债务期限结构的影响存在差异,其中对非国有企业的影响更为显著。经过稳健性检验和内生性检验后,本研究的结论仍然有效。
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引用次数: 0
Digital finance, financing constraints and supply chain resilience 数字金融、融资限制和供应链复原力
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103545

This paper selects the data of A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from 2011 to 2022 as samples, explores the relationship between digital finance, financing constraints, and supply chain toughness, and finds that digital finance strengthens the supply chain toughness of enterprises; financing constraints will weaken the supply chain toughness of enterprises; enterprise technological innovation plays an intermediary role in the relationship between digital finance and supply chain toughness of enterprises; there is a significant difference in the impact of digital finance on supply chain toughness of state-owned and non-state-owned enterprises; and there is a significant difference in the impact of financing constraints on supply chain toughness of state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises.

本文选取2011-2022年沪深两市A股上市公司数据为样本,探讨了数字金融、融资约束与供应链韧性之间的关系,发现数字金融会增强企业的供应链韧性;融资约束会削弱企业的供应链韧性;企业技术创新在数字金融与企业供应链韧性的关系中起中介作用;数字金融对国有企业和非国有企业供应链韧性的影响存在显著差异;融资约束对国有企业和非国有企业供应链韧性的影响存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Life-cycle planning with CEV model and time-inconsistent preferences 使用 CEV 模型和时间不一致偏好进行生命周期规划
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103517

In this paper, we investigate an optimization problem for a wage earner seeking to maximize expected utilities until retirement by choosing optimal consumption, investment, and life insurance purchase strategies. The constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model is adopted to describe the price process of the risky asset. Additionally, we assume that the wage earner has time-inconsistent preferences. This makes the wage earner discount her payoff by a non-constant discount rate. Applying the dynamic programming principle, we have derived the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation corresponding to the optimization problem. Furthermore, we present semi-analytical expressions for optimal strategies and value functions in three cases: the benchmark model with time-consistent preferences, the naive and sophisticated wage earners with time-inconsistent preferences. Finally, illustrations of the optimal solutions and some economic insights are provided in the numerical examples.

在本文中,我们研究了一个工薪族的最优化问题,即通过选择最优消费、投资和人寿保险购买策略,寻求退休前预期效用的最大化。本文采用恒定方差弹性(CEV)模型来描述风险资产的价格过程。此外,我们假定工薪阶层具有时间不一致偏好。这使得工薪族以非恒定贴现率对其收益进行贴现。应用动态编程原理,我们推导出了与优化问题相对应的汉密尔顿-雅各比-贝尔曼(HJB)方程。此外,我们还给出了三种情况下最优策略和价值函数的半解析表达式:具有时间一致性偏好的基准模型、具有时间不一致偏好的天真和复杂的工薪阶层。最后,我们通过数值示例说明了最优解和一些经济学见解。
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引用次数: 0
From ESG to holistic value addition: Rethinking sustainable investment from the lens of stakeholder theory 从环境、社会和公司治理到整体增值:从利益相关者理论的视角反思可持续投资
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103530

Stakeholder theory calls for effective stakeholder management in the interest of sustainable businesses. Whilst there is a need to redefine ‘stakeholders’, investors (i.e. shareholders) can play an essential role in bringing a paradigm shift in shaping current business practices. In recent times, the ‘Environment, Society and Governance’ (ESG) approach has emerged as an alternative form of investment for key investors seeking change. However, certain deficiencies have been identified when it comes to ESG strategies, which have led to disagreements among sustainable investors. To plug this gap and overcome this challenge, we propose an alternative framework based on sustainable business practices that holistically adds value that is inclusive of all stakeholders. To this end, we conducted semi-structured interviews with social entrepreneurs, academics, and experts from the financial services industry in an emerging country context, namely India. Based on our text analysis of interview data, we propose a ‘Holistic Value Addition’ (HVA) framework of sustainable investment that builds on value-addition by businesses towards its stakeholders. We envisage that adoption of this framework will help sustain the sustainable agenda.

利益相关者理论要求对利益相关者进行有效管理,以促进企业的可持续发展。虽然有必要重新定义 "利益相关者",但投资者(即股东)可以发挥重要作用,推动当前商业实践的模式转变。近来,"环境、社会和治理"(ESG)方法已成为主要投资者寻求变革的另一种投资方式。然而,在环境、社会和治理战略方面,我们发现了一些不足之处,这导致了可持续投资者之间的分歧。为了弥补这一不足并克服这一挑战,我们提出了一个基于可持续商业实践的替代框架,该框架可全面增加价值,并将所有利益相关者都包括在内。为此,我们对新兴国家(即印度)的社会企业家、学者和金融服务业专家进行了半结构化访谈。在对访谈数据进行文本分析的基础上,我们提出了可持续投资的 "整体增值"(HVA)框架,该框架建立在企业为利益相关者增值的基础之上。我们预计,采用这一框架将有助于维持可持续议程。
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引用次数: 0
“Green Companies” and Financial Performance: The Green Premium "绿色公司 "与财务业绩:绿色溢价
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103525

We examine the relationship between Corporate Environmental Responsibility and Corporate Financial Performance for the S&P500 firms over a period of fifteen years. We test the effect of Jensen's alpha, stock returns, return-on-asset, size, sales, and profit on Corporate Environmental Responsibility by building a CAPM model of risk-adjusted excess returns under efficient-market hypothesis and introduce the “Green Premium,” the cost in stock return stockholders have to incur for their company's “greenness”. Although, “green” practices are positively related to sales and profit, the results suggest that market value of the company is not increased and that a significant negative relationship exists between “greenness” and stock's performance.

我们研究了十五年来 S&P500 公司的企业环境责任与企业财务绩效之间的关系。我们通过建立有效市场假说下的风险调整超额收益 CAPM 模型,检验了詹森阿尔法、股票回报率、资产回报率、规模、销售额和利润对企业环境责任的影响,并引入了 "绿色溢价",即股东为公司的 "绿色性 "付出的股票回报成本。尽管 "绿色 "实践与销售额和利润呈正相关,但研究结果表明,公司的市场价值并未增加,"绿色 "与股票表现之间存在显著的负相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme dynamic connectedness and hedging strategy across commodity, bond, currency, and stock markets: Evidence from Asian Pacific, Canada, Mexico, and US countries 跨商品、债券、货币和股票市场的极端动态关联性与对冲策略:来自亚太地区、加拿大、墨西哥和美国的证据
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103533

This study investigates the interconnections among green bonds, non-green bonds, the US Dollar Index, precious metals (gold and silver), the Dow Jones Commodity Index (DJCI), and stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region (including Australia, China, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand), Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Additionally, the research delves into the costs and effectiveness of hedging in a diversified stock portfolio. The findings unveil a substantial presence of significant spillovers across these markets. Green bonds, the US Dollar Index, DJCI, gold, silver, and the stock markets of Canada, Mexico, and the US are identified as net contributors to spillovers, while Asia-Pacific stock markets are recognized as net receivers of shocks. The spillover magnitude exhibited a moderate level pre-pandemic, experienced an upward trend during the COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine conflict periods, and declined during the vaccine distribution phases. The impact of COVID-19 on spillover magnitude appears to be more pronounced than that during the Russia-Ukraine tension. Furthermore, the overall connectedness is observed to be dynamic over time, displaying sensitivity to crisis periods.

本研究调查了绿色债券、非绿色债券、美元指数、贵金属(黄金和白银)、道琼斯商品指数(DJCI)以及亚太地区(包括澳大利亚、中国、日本、马来西亚、菲律宾、俄罗斯、新加坡、韩国和泰国)、加拿大、墨西哥和美国股市之间的相互联系。此外,研究还深入探讨了多元化股票投资组合中套期保值的成本和有效性。研究结果表明,在这些市场中存在着显著的溢出效应。绿色债券、美元指数、道琼斯工业平均指数、黄金、白银以及加拿大、墨西哥和美国股市被认为是溢出效应的净贡献者,而亚太股市则被认为是冲击的净接受者。溢出效应的幅度在疫情流行前处于中等水平,在 COVID-19 和俄乌冲突期间呈上升趋势,在疫苗分发阶段则有所下降。COVID-19 对溢出幅度的影响似乎比俄乌紧张局势期间更为明显。此外,随着时间的推移,观察到整体关联性是动态的,显示出对危机时期的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
Can friend-shoring policies improve export resilience? A study based on the Belt and Road initiative 友城化政策能否提高出口弹性?基于 "一带一路 "倡议的研究
IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103535

This paper investigates the role of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in enhancing the export resilience of countries along its route. It calculates the export resilience for 145 products in 130 countries from 1990 to 2018, using the Economic Vulnerability Index released by the Committee for Development Policy of the United Nations. Employing a Difference-in-Differences analysis, the BRI’ impact on the export resilience of each product by country is examined. The findings reveal a significant positive effect of the BRI on the export resilience of countries along its route, indicating an improvement in their export performance and risk resistance. It has been proven that regional economic integration promotes the security and stability of industrial chains. This conclusion helps countries effectively respond to the rising risks of external shocks in the rapidly changing global economic landscape and expands current academic exploration on resilience. The results also show that the BRI's impact has a three-year lag, consistent with its gradual implementation characteristics and demonstrating its effectiveness. The heterogeneity analysis reveals a greater impact on low-income countries, highlighting the need for those countries to enhance regional economic cooperation. This paper also points out the necessity for China's less developed border regions to increase openness and strengthen international connections.

本文研究了 "一带一路 "倡议(BRI)在增强沿线国家出口韧性方面的作用。本文利用联合国发展政策委员会发布的经济脆弱指数,计算了 1990 年至 2018 年 130 个国家 145 种产品的出口韧性。通过差分分析,研究了 BRI 对各国各产品出口弹性的影响。研究结果表明,"金砖四国倡议 "对沿线国家的出口抵御能力有明显的积极影响,表明这些国家的出口绩效和抗风险能力有所提高。事实证明,区域经济一体化能促进产业链的安全与稳定。这一结论有助于各国有效应对外部冲击在快速变化的全球经济格局中不断上升的风险,并拓展了当前学术界对抵御风险能力的探索。研究结果还显示,金砖倡议的影响有三年的滞后期,这符合其逐步实施的特点,也证明了其有效性。异质性分析表明,金砖倡议对低收入国家的影响更大,这凸显了这些国家加强区域经济合作的必要性。本文还指出了中国欠发达边境地区扩大开放、加强国际联系的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
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International Review of Economics & Finance
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