Pub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103589
This paper proposes two metrics to correctly measure under optimal capital structures the impact of corporate statutory tax rates (a) on the effective tax rate, and (b) on the operational risk of capital investment projects and their parent firm's project portfolio. For illustrative and explanatory purposes as well as for ensuring a realistic coverage of a wide spectrum of risky capital investment projects, both metrics are applied to a stationary in mean and variance stochastic model under the Canadian open-class corporate taxation system. The Marshallian partial equilibrium adjustment mechanism is brought into play to ensure through efficient financial markets that firms operating within any domestic economic sector are concomitantly subjected to financial equilibrium conditions, thereby enabling firms to converge in the very short run to an optimal after-tax leveraged net cost of capital. This paper concludes that current macroeconomic neo-classical rate-based marginal effective tax rate (METR) metrics systematically and significantly underestimate business organizations' microeconomic -based corporate effective tax rates. Furthermore, increasing both the corporate statutory tax rate and the cross-correlation coefficient between portfolio projects will markedly increase a parent firm's project portfolio operational risk while impeding its capacity to reduce it.
{"title":"Assessing the impact of taxation on the effective tax rate and operational risk of capital investment projects under optimal capital structures","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103589","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103589","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper proposes two metrics to correctly measure under optimal capital structures the impact of corporate statutory tax rates (a) on the effective tax rate, and (b) on the operational risk of capital investment projects and their parent firm's project portfolio. For illustrative and explanatory purposes as well as for ensuring a realistic coverage of a wide spectrum of risky capital investment projects, both metrics are applied to a stationary in mean and variance stochastic <span><math><mrow><mi>N</mi><mi>P</mi><msup><mi>V</mi><mi>τ</mi></msup></mrow></math></span> model under the Canadian open-class corporate taxation system. The Marshallian partial equilibrium adjustment mechanism is brought into play to ensure through efficient financial markets that firms operating within any domestic economic sector are concomitantly subjected to financial equilibrium conditions, thereby enabling firms to converge in the very short run to an optimal after-tax leveraged net cost of capital. This paper concludes that current macroeconomic neo-classical rate-based marginal effective tax rate (<em>METR</em>) metrics systematically and significantly underestimate business organizations' microeconomic <span><math><mrow><mi>N</mi><mi>P</mi><msup><mi>V</mi><mi>τ</mi></msup></mrow></math></span>-based corporate effective tax rates. Furthermore, increasing both the corporate statutory tax rate and the cross-correlation coefficient between portfolio projects will markedly increase a parent firm's project portfolio operational risk while impeding its capacity to reduce it.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142271386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103584
This article investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on household food waste management behavior. By utilizing 1.6 million dining transactions at 87 restaurants in 10 Chinese cities, we find that an average 8.4 percent reduction in plate waste in restaurants associated with new COVID-19 infections at the national level during the pandemic. Further evidence shows that this change in behavior is not permanent, as the level of plate waste tends to revert to pre-pandemic levels once the pandemic came under control. We test several explanations for the empirical findings and conclude that salience bias is the most plausible explanations. This insight into waste management behavior highlights the importance of utilizing salience-friendly policy instruments to effectively implement resource conservation and waste management policy goals.
{"title":"Salience and food waste reduction: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103584","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103584","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on household food waste management behavior. By utilizing 1.6 million dining transactions at 87 restaurants in 10 Chinese cities, we find that an average 8.4 percent reduction in plate waste in restaurants associated with new COVID-19 infections at the national level during the pandemic. Further evidence shows that this change in behavior is not permanent, as the level of plate waste tends to revert to pre-pandemic levels once the pandemic came under control. We test several explanations for the empirical findings and conclude that salience bias is the most plausible explanations. This insight into waste management behavior highlights the importance of utilizing salience-friendly policy instruments to effectively implement resource conservation and waste management policy goals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142163517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103579
We examine the effects of the US-China trade dispute on price spillovers and interdependencies among the ten most liquid agricultural futures contracts traded on China's commodity exchanges by employing the time-varying connectedness framework modified by Antonakakis, Chatziantoniou, and Gabauer (2020). We find that the overall market frictions increase modestly due to the clustering of mixed informational disturbances caused by the trade dispute. This lowers the gross spillovers in the entire asset system by reducing the efficiency of general price signal transmission. Notably, subsidiary products of rapeseed and soybean contribute the most to the total and net directional spillovers in the whole market, acting as shock transmitters before the trade dispute. The RBD palm market gains a dominant role as a shock transmitter during the trade dispute and its role strengthens further after the trade agreement was reached. Additionally, the average intensity of pairwise spillovers declines considerably during the trade dispute, suggesting weakening asset interconnectedness. The responsiveness of shock transmission channels to the trade dispute impacts is found to vary across industrial chains and the presence of delayed economic effects is detected in the structural changes of market interdependences.
{"title":"Price spillovers and interdependences in China's agricultural commodity futures market: Evidence from the US-China trade dispute","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103579","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103579","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We examine the effects of the US-China trade dispute on price spillovers and interdependencies among the ten most liquid agricultural futures contracts traded on China's commodity exchanges by employing the time-varying connectedness framework modified by Antonakakis, Chatziantoniou, and Gabauer (2020). We find that the overall market frictions increase modestly due to the clustering of mixed informational disturbances caused by the trade dispute. This lowers the gross spillovers in the entire asset system by reducing the efficiency of general price signal transmission. Notably, subsidiary products of rapeseed and soybean contribute the most to the total and net directional spillovers in the whole market, acting as shock transmitters before the trade dispute. The RBD palm market gains a dominant role as a shock transmitter during the trade dispute and its role strengthens further after the trade agreement was reached. Additionally, the average intensity of pairwise spillovers declines considerably during the trade dispute, suggesting weakening asset interconnectedness. The responsiveness of shock transmission channels to the trade dispute impacts is found to vary across industrial chains and the presence of delayed economic effects is detected in the structural changes of market interdependences.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103578
Green public procurement (GPP) is regarded as a vital tool for achieving energy conservation and emission reduction. This policy aims to guide enterprises towards cleaner production by creating market demand for green products on the demand side. However, it remains unclear whether GPP can genuinely improve corporate environmental performance. This study reviews relevant policy documents and constructs a wordlist of “green procurement contract" using the Word2vec model. By employing text analysis, we identify public procurement contracts that meet green standards. Subsequently, we match these contracts with data from China's A-share-listed companies to empirically test the impact of GPP contracts on corporate environmental performance. The findings reveal that GPP significantly enhances corporate environmental performance, primarily through conceptual governance effects, source governance effects, terminal governance effects, and supervision governance effects. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that this environmental incentive effect is particularly significant among non-state-owned enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises. Additionally, the effect is more pronounced in regions with high government environmental awareness and moderate environmental enforcement intensity. Further analysis shows that GPP also improves corporate social responsibility performance and promotes corporate ESG performance, thereby fostering sustainable development. Moreover, the study points out that increasing the transparency of information disclosure, enhancing procurement efficiency, and maintaining the stability of procurement relationships all contribute to strengthening the environmental performance incentive effect of GPP. This article helps to deepen the understanding of the “proactive government” promoting the development of green economy and also provides theoretical reference for the breakthrough of corporate green transformation under the target of “dual carbon.”
{"title":"Green public procurement and corporate environmental performance: An empirical analysis based on data from green procurement contracts","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103578","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103578","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green public procurement (GPP) is regarded as a vital tool for achieving energy conservation and emission reduction. This policy aims to guide enterprises towards cleaner production by creating market demand for green products on the demand side. However, it remains unclear whether GPP can genuinely improve corporate environmental performance. This study reviews relevant policy documents and constructs a wordlist of “green procurement contract\" using the Word2vec model. By employing text analysis, we identify public procurement contracts that meet green standards. Subsequently, we match these contracts with data from China's A-share-listed companies to empirically test the impact of GPP contracts on corporate environmental performance. The findings reveal that GPP significantly enhances corporate environmental performance, primarily through conceptual governance effects, source governance effects, terminal governance effects, and supervision governance effects. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that this environmental incentive effect is particularly significant among non-state-owned enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises. Additionally, the effect is more pronounced in regions with high government environmental awareness and moderate environmental enforcement intensity. Further analysis shows that GPP also improves corporate social responsibility performance and promotes corporate ESG performance, thereby fostering sustainable development. Moreover, the study points out that increasing the transparency of information disclosure, enhancing procurement efficiency, and maintaining the stability of procurement relationships all contribute to strengthening the environmental performance incentive effect of GPP. This article helps to deepen the understanding of the “proactive government” promoting the development of green economy and also provides theoretical reference for the breakthrough of corporate green transformation under the target of “dual carbon.”</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142311012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103538
Green exports are key in propelling China's foreign trade toward high-quality development. Based on rigorous theoretical analysis, this article employs comprehensive data from the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) from 2006 to 2014, along with data from the China Customs and industrial enterprise databases, to evaluate the impact of industrial robot utilization on fostering the green transformation of exports. The results reveal that the application of industrial robots unequivocally contributes to advancing the eco-friendly transformation of exports. This conclusion withstands endogeneity and robustness tests. In particular, industrial robots directly promote the green transformation of exports and exert an indirect influence through technological and scale effects. Technological effects can be divided into technological progress and green production, while scale effects relate to enterprise size and industry competitiveness. In terms of heterogeneity, the promoting effect of industrial robot utilization on the green transformation of exports is more pronounced in foreign-funded enterprises, technology-intensive enterprises, and enterprises in the eastern region. To efficiently leverage policy effects and facilitate the green transformation of exports, this article suggests strengthening policy guidance, providing special funds, tax incentives, and rewards, enhancing enterprise research and development capabilities, and encouraging domestic and non-technology-intensive enterprises, and enterprises in the eastern region to utilize industrial robots.
{"title":"Does the application of industrial robots promote export green transformation? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing enterprises","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103538","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103538","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Green exports are key in propelling China's foreign trade toward high-quality development. Based on rigorous theoretical analysis, this article employs comprehensive data from the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) from 2006 to 2014, along with data from the China Customs and industrial enterprise databases, to evaluate the impact of industrial robot utilization on fostering the green transformation of exports. The results reveal that the application of industrial robots unequivocally contributes to advancing the eco-friendly transformation of exports. This conclusion withstands endogeneity and robustness tests. In particular, industrial robots directly promote the green transformation of exports and exert an indirect influence through technological and scale effects. Technological effects can be divided into technological progress and green production, while scale effects relate to enterprise size and industry competitiveness. In terms of heterogeneity, the promoting effect of industrial robot utilization on the green transformation of exports is more pronounced in foreign-funded enterprises, technology-intensive enterprises, and enterprises in the eastern region. To efficiently leverage policy effects and facilitate the green transformation of exports, this article suggests strengthening policy guidance, providing special funds, tax incentives, and rewards, enhancing enterprise research and development capabilities, and encouraging domestic and non-technology-intensive enterprises, and enterprises in the eastern region to utilize industrial robots.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142137053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103588
This paper explores the effect of inflation supply and demand shocks on government debt for a sample of 32 advanced economies and 24 emerging markets from 1970 to 2022. The shocks are identified using a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression model with quarterly data. Estimations of dynamic panel regressions and local projections suggest that supply shocks lead to persistent increases in government debt, while demand shocks result in long-lasting declines. Furthermore, high debt levels amplify the impacts of both supply and demand shocks by more than three times. Specifically, supply shocks contribute to an increase in debt through elevated borrowing costs and prolonged depreciation, whereas demand shocks erode debt through persistent improvements in the primary balance, driven by increased revenues.
{"title":"Debt erosion: Asymmetric response to demand and supply shocks","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103588","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103588","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper explores the effect of inflation supply and demand shocks on government debt for a sample of 32 advanced economies and 24 emerging markets from 1970 to 2022. The shocks are identified using a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression model with quarterly data. Estimations of dynamic panel regressions and local projections suggest that supply shocks lead to persistent increases in government debt, while demand shocks result in long-lasting declines. Furthermore, high debt levels amplify the impacts of both supply and demand shocks by more than three times. Specifically, supply shocks contribute to an increase in debt through elevated borrowing costs and prolonged depreciation, whereas demand shocks erode debt through persistent improvements in the primary balance, driven by increased revenues.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142148517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103585
The high frequency and strong intensity of climate change pose a huge influence on the banking system. To clarify the correlation between climate change and banks' asset quality, this study evaluated the impact of temperature fluctuations on the non-performing loan (NPL) ratios of commercial banks and their heterogeneity and mechanisms using a dynamic panel data model with 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020. The empirical results showed that climate change had a significant positive impact on the NPL ratio, with the adverse effect being stronger in provinces with lower per capita income and environmental infrastructure investment. Moreover, there was an obvious transmission channel of “climate change—labor productivity—income—NPL ratio”. Climate change decreased incomes by lowering labor productivity, thereby weakening economic agents’ ability to repay loans. Furthermore, rising insurance levels and climate-related fiscal expenditure facilitated the diversification and transfer of climate-related default risk. This research supplements the empirical evidence on climate-related financial risks at the provincial level in China, and the findings provide useful insights for enhancing the quality management of climate-sensitive banking assets and maintaining financial stability.
{"title":"Is climate change fueling commercial banks’ non-performing loan ratio? Empirical evidence from 31 provinces in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103585","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103585","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The high frequency and strong intensity of climate change pose a huge influence on the banking system. To clarify the correlation between climate change and banks' asset quality, this study evaluated the impact of temperature fluctuations on the non-performing loan (NPL) ratios of commercial banks and their heterogeneity and mechanisms using a dynamic panel data model with 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020. The empirical results showed that climate change had a significant positive impact on the NPL ratio, with the adverse effect being stronger in provinces with lower per capita income and environmental infrastructure investment. Moreover, there was an obvious transmission channel of “climate change—labor productivity—income—NPL ratio”. Climate change decreased incomes by lowering labor productivity, thereby weakening economic agents’ ability to repay loans. Furthermore, rising insurance levels and climate-related fiscal expenditure facilitated the diversification and transfer of climate-related default risk. This research supplements the empirical evidence on climate-related financial risks at the provincial level in China, and the findings provide useful insights for enhancing the quality management of climate-sensitive banking assets and maintaining financial stability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142157698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103593
Using 891 venture capitalist- and 1777 deal-level samples of China, we find that venture capitalists with business experience significantly promote their portfolio-firm's corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance better than those without business experience. To explore the mechanisms, we perform DID test and heterogeneity analysis. First, we find venture capitalists with business experience increase the CSR performance of firms in hazardous industries following a shock that raised awareness of CSR, which indicates that the venture capitalists have more social consciousness. Second, the effects of business experience on CSR are stronger if venture capitalists invest in earlier stages of firms or have greater equity ownerships, in which cases the venture capitalists have more and better opportunities to display their abilities in CSR activities. Overall, our findings highlight the effects of venture capitalists' human capital on sustainable investments.
通过对中国 891 个风险投资人和 1777 个交易层面的样本进行分析,我们发现,与没有商业经验的风险投资人相比,有商业经验的风险投资人对其所投资企业的企业社会责任(CSR)绩效有明显的促进作用。为了探索其中的机制,我们进行了 DID 检验和异质性分析。首先,我们发现具有商业经验的风险投资人在受到提高企业社会责任意识的冲击后,会提高危险行业企业的企业社会责任绩效,这表明风险投资人具有更强的社会意识。其次,如果风险投资人投资于企业的早期阶段或拥有更多股权,那么商业经验对企业社会责任的影响会更大,在这种情况下,风险投资人有更多更好的机会在企业社会责任活动中展示自己的能力。总之,我们的研究结果凸显了风险资本家的人力资本对可持续投资的影响。
{"title":"Who are responsible venture capitalists? The effect of business experience","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103593","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103593","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using 891 venture capitalist- and 1777 deal-level samples of China, we find that venture capitalists with business experience significantly promote their portfolio-firm's corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance better than those without business experience. To explore the mechanisms, we perform DID test and heterogeneity analysis. First, we find venture capitalists with business experience increase the CSR performance of firms in hazardous industries following a shock that raised awareness of CSR, which indicates that the venture capitalists have more social consciousness. Second, the effects of business experience on CSR are stronger if venture capitalists invest in earlier stages of firms or have greater equity ownerships, in which cases the venture capitalists have more and better opportunities to display their abilities in CSR activities. Overall, our findings highlight the effects of venture capitalists' human capital on sustainable investments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103580
This study examines the higher-order moment co-movement and connectedness between China's stock and commodity markets across time and frequency domains. We propose wavelet decomposition to develop a multiscale time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach for measuring higher-order moment connectedness. Our empirical findings are as follows: First, the co-movement of stock-commodity varies over time and across different frequencies, exhibiting heterogeneity at different moments. Stocks demonstrate robust co-movement with commodities over the medium- and long-term periods. Second, higher-order moment connectedness is stronger than return connectedness, whereas weaker than volatility connectedness. Finally, higher-order moment connectedness is highly event-dependent, peaking at COVID-19 onset. And long-run factors have the greatest effect on dynamic moment connectedness.
{"title":"Time-frequency higher-order moment Co-movement and connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity markets","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103580","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103580","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the higher-order moment co-movement and connectedness between China's stock and commodity markets across time and frequency domains. We propose wavelet decomposition to develop a multiscale time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach for measuring higher-order moment connectedness. Our empirical findings are as follows: First, the co-movement of stock-commodity varies over time and across different frequencies, exhibiting heterogeneity at different moments. Stocks demonstrate robust co-movement with commodities over the medium- and long-term periods. <strong>Second</strong>, higher-order moment connectedness is stronger than return connectedness, whereas weaker than volatility connectedness. <strong>Finally</strong>, higher-order moment connectedness is highly event-dependent, peaking at COVID-19 onset. And long-run factors have the greatest effect on dynamic moment connectedness.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-09-04DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103590
Does digital finance (DIF) in the digital age mitigate the economic challenges stemming from the resource curse and facilitate low-carbon development? This paper extends the theoretical framework of endogenous economic growth to investigate the interactive relationship among economic growth, low-carbon development, and the resource curse. Furthermore, it explores the pivotal role of DIF within this context. Subsequently, this paper employs Chinese provincial data from 2011 to 2020 to empirically examine the theoretical assumptions through econometric methods. The findings are as follows. First, DIF has the potential to stimulate economic growth, whereas resource endowment can impede it. Second, DIF significantly reduces carbon emission intensity (CEI); however, a high degree of resource endowment does not foster low-carbon development. Third, in the mechanism by which resource endowment influences economic growth, DIF exhibits a single threshold effect. When the DIF level surpasses 361.46, the negative relationship between resource endowment and economic growth shifts to a significant positive correlation. Regarding the mechanisms by which resource endowment impacts CEI, DIF shows a double-threshold effect. When DIF surpasses the second threshold, the significant positive impact of resource endowment on CEI becomes significantly negative. Fourth, DIF and resource endowment indirectly influence CEI through economic development. Fifth, the impact of DIF on CEI and the influence of resource endowment on economic growth are marked by resource endowment heterogeneity. DIF exhibits a double-threshold effect on the influence of resource endowment on economic growth in non-resource endowment regions. In resource-rich areas, as the DIF level rises, the significant positive effect of resource endowment on CEI intensifies. Conversely, in non-resource endowment regions, as the DIF level increases, the significant positive effect of resource endowment on CEI transforms into a significant negative effect.
数字时代的数字金融(DIF)能否缓解资源诅咒带来的经济挑战并促进低碳发展?本文扩展了内生经济增长的理论框架,研究了经济增长、低碳发展和资源诅咒之间的互动关系。此外,本文还探讨了 DIF 在其中的关键作用。随后,本文利用 2011-2020 年中国省级数据,通过计量经济学方法对理论假设进行了实证检验。研究结果如下。首先,DIF 有可能刺激经济增长,而资源禀赋则可能阻碍经济增长。其次,DIF 能大幅降低碳排放强度(CEI);然而,高度的资源禀赋并不能促进低碳发展。第三,在资源禀赋影响经济增长的机制中,DIF 表现出单一的门槛效应。当 DIF 水平超过 361.46 时,资源禀赋与经济增长之间的负相关关系转变为显著的正相关关系。关于资源禀赋影响 CEI 的机制,DIF 显示出双重门槛效应。当 DIF 超过第二个阈值时,资源禀赋对 CEI 的显著正向影响变为显著负向影响。第四,DIF 和资源禀赋通过经济发展间接影响 CEI。第五,DIF 对 CEI 的影响和资源禀赋对经济增长的影响存在资源禀赋异质性。在非资源禀赋地区,DIF 对资源禀赋对经济增长的影响表现出双重阈值效应。在资源丰富的地区,随着 DIF 水平的上升,资源禀赋对 CEI 的显著正向影响会增强。反之,在非资源禀赋地区,随着 DIF 水平的提高,资源禀赋对 CEI 的显著正效应转化为显著负效应。
{"title":"China's economic growth and low-carbon development under the background of resource curse: A new perspective based on digital finance","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103590","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iref.2024.103590","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Does digital finance (DIF) in the digital age mitigate the economic challenges stemming from the resource curse and facilitate low-carbon development? This paper extends the theoretical framework of endogenous economic growth to investigate the interactive relationship among economic growth, low-carbon development, and the resource curse. Furthermore, it explores the pivotal role of DIF within this context. Subsequently, this paper employs Chinese provincial data from 2011 to 2020 to empirically examine the theoretical assumptions through econometric methods. The findings are as follows. First, DIF has the potential to stimulate economic growth, whereas resource endowment can impede it. Second, DIF significantly reduces carbon emission intensity (CEI); however, a high degree of resource endowment does not foster low-carbon development. Third, in the mechanism by which resource endowment influences economic growth, DIF exhibits a single threshold effect. When the DIF level surpasses 361.46, the negative relationship between resource endowment and economic growth shifts to a significant positive correlation. Regarding the mechanisms by which resource endowment impacts CEI, DIF shows a double-threshold effect. When DIF surpasses the second threshold, the significant positive impact of resource endowment on CEI becomes significantly negative. Fourth, DIF and resource endowment indirectly influence CEI through economic development. Fifth, the impact of DIF on CEI and the influence of resource endowment on economic growth are marked by resource endowment heterogeneity. DIF exhibits a double-threshold effect on the influence of resource endowment on economic growth in non-resource endowment regions. In resource-rich areas, as the DIF level rises, the significant positive effect of resource endowment on CEI intensifies. Conversely, in non-resource endowment regions, as the DIF level increases, the significant positive effect of resource endowment on CEI transforms into a significant negative effect.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142162855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}