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2013 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium最新文献

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IED dataset generation: Analysis across theaters IED数据集生成:跨影院分析
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549500
Stephanie J. Wangeman
Improvised Explosive Devices are the most dangerous threat to United States troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. Regardless of where troops deploy next, there is a strong likelihood of IED use in future conflicts. While great progress in analysis and exploitation of IED data has been made, the data is generally limited to historical attacks in current theaters of operation. The purpose of this analysis is to develop a tool that generates IED placement data based on statistically valid assumptions and distributions in any theater. These distributions can be used to train analysts prior to deployment to new environments. The research will generate data representing hypothetical IED attacks in a table structured like the CIDNE database. IED data from the CIDNE database will be used to develop distributions for each attack detailing IED location and type (type includes: command detonated, victim detonated, timer operated and radio controlled). Hypotheses will be tested using CIDNE data to determine some trends, including: seasonality, distance from road and location relative to terrain features. Results of these tests will shape the distributions used in the generation of synthetic datasets. The datasets will be generated based on road networks, terrain and population centers in Colorado, but shape files could be used from any region of the world. The results will generate various datasets that can be used for training analysts on IED attacks specific to any Operating Environment. This simulation will expose analysts to realistic data better preparing them for combat operations in their theater.
简易爆炸装置是对驻伊拉克和阿富汗美军最危险的威胁。无论接下来的部队部署在哪里,在未来的冲突中使用简易爆炸装置的可能性都很大。虽然在分析和利用简易爆炸装置数据方面取得了很大进展,但这些数据通常仅限于当前作战战区的历史攻击。本分析的目的是开发一种工具,根据统计上有效的假设和任何战区的分布,生成IED放置数据。这些发行版可用于在部署到新环境之前对分析人员进行培训。该研究将在一个类似CIDNE数据库结构的表中生成代表假想IED攻击的数据。来自CIDNE数据库的IED数据将用于为每次攻击制定详细的IED位置和类型(类型包括:命令引爆、受害者引爆、计时器操作和无线电控制)的分布。假设将使用CIDNE数据进行测试,以确定一些趋势,包括:季节性、与道路的距离以及相对于地形特征的位置。这些测试的结果将形成用于生成合成数据集的分布。这些数据集将基于科罗拉多州的道路网络、地形和人口中心生成,但形状文件可以从世界任何地区使用。结果将生成各种数据集,可用于培训分析师针对任何操作环境的IED攻击。这种模拟将使分析人员接触到真实的数据,更好地为他们在战区的作战行动做准备。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of changes to Tobyhanna Army Depot maintenance cycle 托比汉纳陆军仓库维修周期变化分析
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549490
C. Ezekannagha, T. Jasien, Sung-Hoon Kim, J. Springer
As part of a year-long study for the Department of Systems Engineering at West Point, our Capstone project seeks to provide Tobyhanna Army Depot with a decision support tool that will quantify how changes in Depot Maintenance programs, to include the exploration of reset and recap maintenance for the AN/TPQ 37 Firefinder will affect the readiness, time, cost, reliability, and support costs of the Firefinder. The AN/TPQ 37 Firefinder is a mobile radar system that provides detection of incoming artillery and rocket fire and tracks its movement in order to provide a location for counter-battery fire. This study is important because it incorporates an interdisciplinary approach to solving a complex problem using elements of industrial engineering, systems thinking, as well as modeling in producing a decision support tool that will allow Tobyhanna to make changes to their resources and service times in order to analyze these effects on turnaround times. The problem will be solved in two phases. The first phase will be to model the current operations at Tobyhanna Army Depot by using the AnyLogic simulation tool. This will be done by analyzing maintenance data and using the AnyLogic simulation tool in order to model their current system turnaround of 180 days. Once this is complete and approved by Tobyhanna Army Depot, inputs in AnyLogic will be altered in order to show how these changes will impact service turnaround times. So far, we have achieved an average turnaround time of 6 months with our current model. We have also succeeded in providing a decision support tool to Tobyhanna Army Depot that will allow them to alter their resource and labor constraints in order to accurately model what its impact on turnaround time will be.
作为西点军校系统工程部门为期一年的研究的一部分,我们的Capstone项目旨在为托比汉纳陆军仓库提供决策支持工具,该工具将量化仓库维护计划的变化,包括对AN/TPQ 37“火发现者”的重置和重装维护的探索,将影响“火发现者”的准备情况、时间、成本、可靠性和支持成本。AN/TPQ 37 Firefinder是一种移动雷达系统,提供来袭火炮和火箭弹的探测并跟踪其运动,以便为反炮台火力提供位置。这项研究很重要,因为它结合了跨学科的方法来解决一个复杂的问题,使用工业工程、系统思维的元素,以及在生产决策支持工具的建模,这将允许Tobyhanna改变他们的资源和服务时间,以分析这些对周转时间的影响。这个问题将分两个阶段解决。第一阶段将使用AnyLogic仿真工具对Tobyhanna陆军仓库的当前操作进行建模。这将通过分析维护数据和使用AnyLogic仿真工具来完成,以模拟他们当前180天的系统周转时间。一旦完成并得到Tobyhanna陆军仓库的批准,AnyLogic中的输入将被更改,以显示这些更改将如何影响服务周转时间。到目前为止,我们目前的模式平均周转时间为6个月。我们还成功地为Tobyhanna陆军仓库提供了一个决策支持工具,该工具将允许他们改变他们的资源和劳动力限制,以便准确地模拟其对周转时间的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Advertising.com mobile optimization Advertising.com手机优化
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549504
Kyle Brew, P. Brown, S. Cao, B. McElhinny, B. Patterson, W. Scherer
The number of mobile-connected devices has been growing at a tremendous rate in recent years. These increasingly powerful tablets and smartphones are portable and personal, giving advertisers the potential to reach consumers on a one-on-one basis with personalized advertisements based on location, recent behaviors, and much more. A substantial difference between mobile media usage and mobile advertising spending suggests a significant growth opportunity in the mobile advertising market. Our work involves improving the decision-making technology used by Advertising.com, a large online advertising network, as it attempts to increase its presence in the mobile advertising market. We examined the factors that differentiate mobile consumers in order to target them more effectively, and drive the direction of Advertising.com's future mobile optimization technology development. Data was available to us from Advertising.com's back-end database, as well as in its front-end campaign reporting system. To investigate this data and determine the most valuable mobile variables, we performed data analysis utilizing tools including Microsoft Excel, R, SQL, and Minitab. We also leveraged Advertising.com's existing decision algorithm, AdLearn, as well as looked to existing mobile advertising studies. Our analyses indicate several factors are influential in the effectiveness of mobile advertisements including hour of day, day of week and device type. We found that mobile campaigns perform best during the morning hours and late at night in terms of both impressions and conversions. Also, we found that weekends have statistically superior conversion rates.
近年来,移动连接设备的数量一直在以惊人的速度增长。这些功能日益强大的平板电脑和智能手机是便携式和个性化的,这使得广告商有可能根据消费者的位置、最近的行为等进行一对一的个性化广告。移动媒体使用和移动广告支出之间的巨大差异表明,移动广告市场存在巨大的增长机会。我们的工作包括改进advertising .com(一个大型在线广告网络)使用的决策技术,因为它试图增加其在移动广告市场的存在。我们研究了区分移动用户的因素,以便更有效地瞄准他们,并推动Advertising.com未来移动优化技术的发展方向。我们可以从Advertising.com的后端数据库以及前端活动报告系统中获得数据。为了调查这些数据并确定最有价值的移动变量,我们使用Microsoft Excel、R、SQL和Minitab等工具进行了数据分析。我们还利用了Advertising.com现有的决策算法AdLearn,以及现有的移动广告研究。我们的分析表明,有几个因素会影响移动广告的有效性,包括一天中的小时数、一周中的天数和设备类型。我们发现,从印象和转化率来看,手机广告在清晨和深夜表现最佳。此外,我们还发现周末的转化率更高。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative characterization of human performance during hip reduction 髋关节复位过程中人体表现的定量表征
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549522
I. Motivation, M. E. Baltrusaitis, A. M. Lora, L. M. Hickman, A. C. Rodrigue, M. E. Baltrusaitis, Lingtian Wan, A. M. Lora, A. C. Rodrigue, Irene Y Kwon, L. M. Hickman, Daniel Fischer, Mark R Sochor, Gregory J Gerling
Hip dislocations are rare events. As a consequence, medical residents have little opportunity to gain experience through repeated practice. In fact, little is known about the forces and displacements that experienced physicians employ during the procedure. This study seeks to quantify the strategic maneuvering and substantial force required to reposition the femoral head into the pelvis during a hip reduction, toward a long-term goal of building a high fidelity training simulator. In particular, the work herein describes the design, construction and evaluation of a custom-built, force and motion measurement system (FMMS). As a physician attempts to relocate the hip, the FMMS measures force about the patient's waist using a seatbelt and inline load cell (4448 N range) and displacement of the dislocated leg with four magnetic displacement sensors (each 6 DOF). Iterations of the system have been tested on cadavers and able-bodied participants, with the current system deployed for collection on hip reduction patients. The results preliminarily indicate that forces at the hip range from 56.8 to 110.8 N, the forces at the leg range from 254.5 to 496.6 N, and that maximum angular movements from the pelvis to the thigh, from the thigh to the knee, and from the knee to the ankle are 80.1, 31.5 and 20.7 degrees, respectively.
髋关节脱位是罕见的事件。因此,住院医生很少有机会通过重复实践来获得经验。事实上,对于经验丰富的医生在手术过程中使用的力量和位移,人们知之甚少。本研究旨在量化在髋关节复位过程中将股骨头重新定位到骨盆中所需的战略机动和实质性力量,以实现建立高保真度训练模拟器的长期目标。特别地,本文的工作描述了一个定制的力与运动测量系统(FMMS)的设计、构建和评估。当医生试图重新安置髋关节时,FMMS使用安全带和在线称重传感器(4448 N范围)测量患者腰部的力,并使用四个磁位移传感器(每个6 DOF)测量脱臼腿的位移。该系统的迭代已经在尸体和健全的参与者身上进行了测试,目前的系统用于收集髋关节复位患者。结果初步表明,髋部受力范围为56.8 ~ 110.8 N,腿部受力范围为254.5 ~ 496.6 N,骨盆到大腿、大腿到膝盖、膝盖到脚踝的最大角度运动分别为80.1度、31.5度和20.7度。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental surveillance modeling: A predictive respiratory alert model for the Shenandoah Valley, Virginia 环境监测模型:一个预测呼吸警报模型的谢南多厄山谷,弗吉尼亚州
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549513
Anne E. Hovland, Amanda M. Wagner, Katherine M. Pierce, John E. Drahos, Donald E. Brown
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a serious respiratory ailment that affects millions of Americans. Several studies have shown that weather conditions and pollution can increase the occurrence of respiratory distress. The goal of the work described in this paper was to determine if the relationships between environmental variables and admissions rates for COPD were strong enough to enable the development of a surveillance system that could alert the population of potentially hazardous conditions. To conduct this study we obtained data on COPD admissions in the Shenandoah Valley of Virginia, an area of approximately 33,705 km<;sup>2<;/sup>. The data were coded at the zip code level (approximately 250 km<;sup>2<;/sup>). We obtained data for weather variables from 6 monitoring stations and used Kriging to estimate their values at the zip code level. We controlled for the effects of influenza in admission rates, although this required smoothing methods to impute missing values. We also controlled for different types of land use. To predict COPD admissions we developed three types of models: generalized linear models (GLM), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and random forests. All models showed that temperature or season was a significant (p <; 0.05) predictor for COPD admissions. In terms of predictive accuracy the random forest model provided the best performance measured by the receiver operations characteristic (ROC) and can provide the basis for strategic planning rather than tactical alerting.
慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是一种严重的呼吸系统疾病,影响着数百万美国人。几项研究表明,天气状况和污染会增加呼吸窘迫的发生。本文所述工作的目标是确定环境变量与COPD入院率之间的关系是否足够强,从而能够开发一种监测系统,提醒人们注意潜在的危险状况。为了开展这项研究,我们获得了弗吉尼亚州谢南多厄山谷(面积约33,705平方公里)COPD入院数据。数据按邮政编码级别编码(约250平方公里)。我们从6个监测站获得了天气变量的数据,并使用克里格法在邮政编码水平上估计了它们的值。我们控制了流感对入院率的影响,尽管这需要平滑方法来计算缺失值。我们还控制了不同类型的土地利用。为了预测COPD住院,我们开发了三种类型的模型:广义线性模型(GLM)、多变量自适应回归样条(MARS)和随机森林。所有模型均表明,温度或季节显著(p <;0.05) COPD入院的预测因子。在预测精度方面,随机森林模型提供了由接收者操作特征(ROC)衡量的最佳性能,可以为战略规划而不是战术警报提供基础。
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引用次数: 2
Exploring the reusability of discrete-event simulation models: A case study of project challenges and issues of feasibility 探索离散事件模拟模型的可重用性:项目挑战和可行性问题的案例研究
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549485
K. Edwards
Simulation model reuse has the potential to consume vast amounts of time, resources & money, and, result in poorly-tuned instruments completely inadequate for their intended applications. To avoid major pitfalls, it is important to conduct analyses of feasibility and alternative solutions to simulation model reuse and, optimally, involve a team of experts possessing broad skill sets. Consequent investigative activities encompass the following: Gaining familiarity with model parameters and construction; Identifying difficulties in the validation of development methods and model inputs; and, Justifying the time and cost of modifying existing models to new applications. Competencies to address these challenges include the application of project management techniques; the comprehension of the intricacies inherent in simulation modeling, programming and scripting language; the ability to transform data and design appropriate statistical experiments; and when appropriate, the capacity to conduct literature research and communicate findings in the form of written technical reports and in-person presentations. Defining the elements of these wide-ranging proficiencies forms the basis of this paper which chronicles the possible reuse of four discrete-event simulation models designed to compare internal patient queueing methods in a Veterans Administration Health System specialty cardiac clinic. Replete with generalizable examples, this six month case study illustrates a number of challenges, issues of feasibility, and practicalities involved in exploring reusability of existing simulation models.
仿真模型重用有可能消耗大量的时间、资源和金钱,并且会导致调谐不良的仪器完全不适合其预期的应用程序。为了避免主要的陷阱,对模拟模型重用的可行性和替代解决方案进行分析是很重要的,最好是让拥有广泛技能集的专家团队参与进来。随后的调查活动包括以下内容:熟悉模型参数和构造;确定在验证开发方法和模型输入方面的困难;并且,证明修改现有模型到新应用程序的时间和成本。应对这些挑战的能力包括项目管理技术的应用;理解仿真建模、编程和脚本语言中固有的复杂性;转换数据和设计适当的统计实验的能力;在适当的情况下,进行文献研究并以书面技术报告和现场演示的形式交流发现的能力。定义这些广泛熟练程度的要素构成了本文的基础,本文记录了四个离散事件模拟模型的可能重用,这些模型旨在比较退伍军人管理局卫生系统专业心脏诊所的内部患者排队方法。这个为期六个月的案例研究充满了可概括的示例,说明了探索现有仿真模型的可重用性所涉及的许多挑战、可行性问题和实用性。
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引用次数: 3
Runway operational quality assurance 跑道运行质量保证
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549484
M. Baker, D. Megersa, A. Panlilio
Aviation is one of the most important industries in the United States and around the world, as it is a major driving force in maintaining a good economy. Every year it becomes an increasingly essential mode of transportation for people and various high-value, lightweight goods, and that increase is expected to continue. Runways are the “bottleneck” in the air transportation process and are a major source of flight delays. To meet the demand for more air traffic, especially for major airports, the capacity of runways needs to be increased while maintaining Target Levels of Safety. The focus of this work is the arrival and landing process of aircrafts onto runways because this is where aircrafts are closest and collision risk is highest. Since this process is inherently stochastic, proposed changes to flight separation standards and runway occupancy times to increase capacity, must be accompanied by a system that monitors the throughput and safety of runways for the approach and landing process. Analysis described in this paper shows that reducing the standard deviation of the runway occupancy time and the air-traffic control buffer both improved safety. These improvements in safety then allowed the reduction in the mean to improve capacity.
航空业是美国和世界上最重要的产业之一,因为它是维持良好经济的主要动力。每年,它都日益成为人们和各种高价值、轻质货物的重要运输方式,而且预计这种增长将继续下去。跑道是航空运输过程中的“瓶颈”,也是航班延误的主要原因。为了满足更多空中交通的需求,特别是对主要机场来说,跑道的容量需要增加,同时保持目标安全水平。这项工作的重点是飞机在跑道上的到达和降落过程,因为这是飞机最接近和碰撞风险最高的地方。由于这一过程本质上是随机的,为了增加运力,对飞行间隔标准和跑道占用时间的拟议改变必须伴随着一个监测进近和着陆过程中跑道吞吐量和安全性的系统。本文的分析表明,减小跑道占用时间的标准差和空管缓冲区都能提高飞机的安全性。这些安全方面的改进使得平均水平的降低能够提高运力。
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引用次数: 0
Start with the discovery: Improving capacity factors analysis with the appreciative inquiry approach 从发现入手:用欣赏式探询法改进能力因素分析
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549518
Siddhartha Pailla, C. Pruitt
Several decision-aid frameworks attempt to provide an optimal solution to the complex, challenging problem of delivering water supply and sanitation services to communities in need. However, a failure in proper needs assessment or handoff causes systemic failure of an installed system. Capacity factors analysis (CFA) is one such framework that focuses on personalized technology-specific alternative recommendations; and it faces similar challenges. While helpful in many ways, designers using CFA still make critical assumptions with regards to community's expressed needs and only passively include the community members in the design process. Appreciative inquiry (AI) is introduced as a means to bridge this gap and increase community empowerment. The AI approach is a four-phase process: discovery, dream, design, and destiny. The process starts with asking community members about their strengths and capabilities, follows with their vision of the community, creates a space for collaborative design, and ends with implementation. A service-learning experience in Tshapasha is provided to demonstrate AI's benefits. The results are compared to a CFA-focused study of Tshapasha from 2011.
一些决策援助框架试图为向有需要的社区提供供水和卫生服务这一复杂而具有挑战性的问题提供最佳解决方案。然而,在适当的需求评估或移交方面的失败会导致已安装系统的系统性故障。容量因素分析(CFA)就是这样一个框架,侧重于个性化的特定于技术的替代建议;它也面临着类似的挑战。虽然CFA在很多方面都很有帮助,但设计师仍然会对社区表达的需求做出关键假设,并且只是被动地将社区成员纳入设计过程。引入赞赏式询问(AI)作为弥合这一差距和增加社区赋权的一种手段。人工智能方法是一个四阶段的过程:发现、梦想、设计和命运。这个过程从询问社区成员的优势和能力开始,接着是他们对社区的看法,为协作设计创造空间,最后以实现结束。在查帕夏提供了一个服务学习经验,以展示人工智能的好处。研究结果与2011年cfa针对查帕夏的一项研究进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Personalized Electronic Health Record System for Monitoring Patients with Chronic Disease 监测慢性病患者的个性化电子健康记录系统
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549505
I. A. Khan
The Personalized Electronic Health Record System for Monitoring Patients with Chronic Disease (PEHRS-MPCD) is designed to permit tracking and monitoring of the symptoms of patients with chronic disease and provide healthcare professionals with data on patients' lifestyle changes, medication (drug) changes, diet changes and symptom changes. The current method of assessing the symptoms of patients with chronic disease uses an episodic approach that includes phone calls to the patient, paper surveys of health status and on-site examinations. A preventative approach that can actively involve the patient, monitor multiple conditions and provide real time information about a patient's health condition is proven to be effective in chronic disease care. PEHRS-MPCD is designed to continually monitor patients. The goal of the application is to continuously gain and provide patients' information to themselves and healthcare professionals in-order to improve the efficiency of the diagnosis and timely intervention which would yield better quality of care and quality of life for the patient. This personalized electronic health record system (PEHRS-MPCD) will be objective in providing feedback about patient lifestyle changes and choices, and in channeling this information to healthcare providers. PEHRS-MPCD would (a) allow for relevant data to be entered by the patient, (b) make relevant data available to patient's care provider, at real-time and at doctor's visit, (c) generate reports and graphs for the data and (d) provide secure storage of the data. PEHRS-MPCD is a work in progress as a lot of its functionalities and user interface design are still being amended. This paper describes the purpose, need and design of the application.
监测慢性病患者的个性化电子健康记录系统(PEHRS-MPCD)旨在跟踪和监测慢性病患者的症状,并向保健专业人员提供有关患者生活方式变化、药物(药物)变化、饮食变化和症状变化的数据。目前评估慢性疾病患者症状的方法采用偶发方法,包括给患者打电话、对健康状况进行书面调查和现场检查。一种能够让患者积极参与、监测多种情况并提供有关患者健康状况的实时信息的预防方法已被证明在慢性病护理中是有效的。PEHRS-MPCD旨在持续监测患者。该应用程序的目标是不断获取和提供患者的信息给自己和医疗保健专业人员,以提高诊断和及时干预的效率,从而提高患者的护理质量和生活质量。这种个性化电子健康记录系统(PEHRS-MPCD)将客观地提供有关患者生活方式改变和选择的反馈,并将这些信息传递给医疗保健提供者。PEHRS-MPCD将(a)允许患者输入相关数据,(b)使患者的护理提供者可以实时和在医生就诊时获得相关数据,(c)为数据生成报告和图表,(d)提供数据的安全存储。由于PEHRS-MPCD的许多功能和用户界面设计仍在修改中,因此其工作仍在进行中。本文介绍了应用程序的目的、需求和设计。
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引用次数: 8
Campus shuttle: Design of a college campus parking and transportation system 校园班车:大学校园停车和交通系统的设计
Pub Date : 2013-04-26 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2013.6549502
J. Elliott, H. Jayachandran, P. Kumar, K. Metzer
George Mason University is a commuter campus in Fairfax, VA. To meet forecast growth, parking lots are being removed to make space for classroom buildings. The loss of parking slots requires either additional parking garages or mass-transit shuttles to make up for the loss in parking spaces. There are also concerns about traffic congestion and emissions caused by the college's commuters. The Fairfax campus population is predominantly made up of commuters, with 77% of the population living off campus, a vast majority of which drive single occupant vehicles (SOV) to campus due to poor access to mass transit. At present, the GMU Fairfax campus has a parking utilization of 86%, leaving a surplus of approximately 900 parking spaces. Fairfax campus is predicted to start having a parking deficit sometime between 2014 and 2015. Projections out to 2020 show a deficit of 3,800 spaces. To counter that deficit, more than 10,600 current commuters would need to switch from SOV transportation to alternate forms of transit. A reduction of SOV commuters would also lead to lower CO2 emissions from the Fairfax campus. This paper describes the design of a system for addressing transportation and parking demand. This has 3 major parts: (1) identifying surrounding areas of significant Fairfax commuter populations; (2) the ability to predict ridership if a shuttle stop were to be placed in any of those areas by using a decision support tool (DST); and (3) a utility analysis (CO2, parking, and cost) of creating shuttle routes or garages to meet parking needs. In order for GMU to continue growing, both commuter shuttles and parking garages will be needed. If four additional routes are added, GMU can continue to grow through 2016 with a parking utilization of 96%. To continue growth beyond that point will require additional parking garages or bus routes.
乔治梅森大学是弗吉尼亚州费尔法克斯的一个通勤校园。为了满足预期的增长,停车场被拆除,为教学楼腾出空间。停车位的减少要么需要额外的停车库,要么需要公共交通穿梭车来弥补停车位的减少。此外,学院的通勤者还担心交通拥堵和排放问题。费尔法克斯的校园人口主要由通勤者组成,77%的人口住在校外,由于公共交通不便,其中绝大多数人驾驶单人车辆(SOV)前往校园。目前,GMU费尔法克斯校区的停车利用率为86%,剩余停车位约为900个。费尔法克斯校区预计将在2014年至2015年间出现停车短缺。预计到2020年将出现3800个空缺。为了弥补这一赤字,超过10,600名目前的通勤者需要从SOV交通转向其他交通方式。减少SOV通勤者也将降低费尔法克斯校区的二氧化碳排放量。本文介绍了一个解决交通和停车需求的系统的设计。这包括三个主要部分:(1)确定费尔法克斯通勤人口较多的周边地区;(2)如果使用决策支持工具(DST)在这些区域设置班车站点,预测客流量的能力;(3)建立班车路线或车库以满足停车需求的效用分析(二氧化碳、停车和成本)。为了使GMU继续发展,通勤班车和停车场都是需要的。如果增加四条额外的路线,GMU将在2016年继续增长,停车利用率将达到96%。要想在这之后继续增长,就需要增加停车库或公交线路。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
2013 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium
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