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Enhancing airline multimarket competition analysis with a pairwise competitive intensity index based on weighted Jaccard index 基于加权Jaccard指数的两两竞争强度指数增强航空公司多市场竞争分析
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102931
Qian Liu
We advance the measurement of multimarket contact (MMC) in the airline competition literature by introducing a flight frequency weighted Jaccard index. Unlike conventional MMC measures that rely on binary market presence, our proposed index captures both market overlap and supply strategic similarity through flight frequency. Current airline competition research can be divided into market-based metrics (e.g., HHI, CR), which overlook relationships among firms, and airline-based metrics, of which MMC is the most prominent but only considers market overlap. Our index bridges this gap and describes the pairwise competitive intensity among airlines within a specific geographic region. We interpret the use of the index through three applications: unsupervised clustering of airline business models, detection of market shocks, and tracking changes in competitive relationships during disruptions. Our work will allow researchers to refine previous MMC related studies. This work provides policymakers with tools to monitor real-time market competition and may better inform competition regulation design. For airlines, they can leverage the index to identify rivals with the same or different business models, measure their competitive intensity, and choose their competition strategy accordingly.
本文通过引入航班频次加权Jaccard指数,在航空公司竞争文献中提出了多市场联系(MMC)的度量方法。与依赖二元市场占有率的传统MMC指标不同,我们提出的指数通过航班频率捕捉市场重叠和供应战略相似性。目前的航空公司竞争研究可以分为市场指标(如HHI、CR)和基于航空公司的指标(其中MMC最为突出,但只考虑市场重叠),前者忽略了公司之间的关系。我们的指数弥补了这一差距,并描述了特定地理区域内航空公司之间的成对竞争强度。我们通过三种应用来解释该指数的使用:航空公司商业模式的无监督聚类,市场冲击的检测,以及在中断期间跟踪竞争关系的变化。我们的工作将使研究人员能够完善以前的MMC相关研究。这项工作为政策制定者提供了监测实时市场竞争的工具,并可能更好地为竞争监管设计提供信息。对于航空公司来说,他们可以利用该指数来识别具有相同或不同商业模式的竞争对手,衡量其竞争强度,并相应地选择竞争策略。
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引用次数: 0
Leadership, safety climate, and neuroticism: Integrating organizational and individual factors into the prediction of air technicians’ safety behaviors 领导、安全气候与神经质:整合组织与个人因素对航空技术人员安全行为的预测
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102928
Chaocao Yang , Shuai Xu , Xudong Xie , Yuan Li , Ming Ji , Xuqun You
Air technicians' safety behavior is crucial to aviation safety, and thus it is important to identify factors that may enhance such behavior and explore its mechanisms. By incorporating Safety-Specific Transformational Leadership (SSTL), safety climate, and neuroticism, this study examines whether, how, and when SSTL predicts air technicians' safety behaviors from the perspective of both organizational and individual factors. Correlation, mediation, and moderation analyses were conducted on data from a sample of 995 air technicians from six aviation enterprises in China. The results indicate that SSTL was positively related to air technicians' safety behavior and that this relationship was partially mediated by safety climate. Moreover, neuroticism moderated this effect, such that the positive relationship between SSTL and safety behavior was stronger in air technicians with a higher level of neuroticism. Theoretically, this study combines leadership and personality in a unified framework, enriching understanding of their joint role in predicting safety behaviors. Practically, it guides aviation enterprises to strengthen SSTL and adopt personality-sensitive management to enhance technicians’ safety behaviors.
航空技术人员的安全行为对航空安全至关重要,因此,识别可能增强航空技术人员安全行为的因素并探索其机制具有重要意义。本研究将安全特定型转型领导(SSTL)、安全气候和神经质相结合,从组织和个人因素的角度考察SSTL是否、如何以及何时预测航空技术人员的安全行为。对来自中国6家航空企业的995名航空技术人员的数据进行了相关、中介和调节分析。结果表明,SSTL与航空技术人员的安全行为呈正相关,且安全气候在其中起部分中介作用。此外,神经质会调节这一效应,神经质程度越高的航空技师的安全行为与SSTL之间的正相关关系越强。理论上,本研究将领导力和人格结合在一个统一的框架中,丰富了对它们在预测安全行为中的共同作用的理解。在实践中,引导航空企业加强SSTL,采用个性敏感管理,提高技术人员的安全行为。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of passenger-baggage arrival correlation on reclaim performance 旅客-行李到达相关性对提取绩效的影响
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102926
John Beasley , Martin Kunc , Toni Martinez-Sykora , Chris N. Potts
Baggage reclaim processes have barely changed for decades, even though there have been many innovations in systems and processes for outbound baggage. Airport developers are increasingly asking if innovations in the baggage arrivals process are possible and whether they will deliver benefits in terms of either better utilisation of space or better passenger experience. Furthermore, the introduction of E-gates for immigration can lead to passengers reaching baggage reclaim more quickly which starts to expose limitations in the current arrivals baggage process. In this paper, analytical and discrete event simulation models of the arrivals process are developed. The analytical results offer useful “rules of thumb” when considering the sizing and performance of reclaim facilities and processes, while the discrete event model allows a wider range of scenarios to be modelled than can be handled analytically. The impact of the degree of correlation between the passenger and baggage arrival times at reclaim is investigated since this has a material effect on passenger waiting times. The impact of the degree of correlation on waiting times should therefore be considered when modelling the reclaim process. We find that a seat-order loading and unloading approach for bags can offer material reductions in passenger waiting times at reclaim, can be operationally plausible and does not require major changes to equipment or capital expenditure.
几十年来,行李回收流程几乎没有变化,尽管出境行李的系统和流程已经有了许多创新。机场开发商越来越多地询问,是否有可能在行李到达过程中进行创新,以及这些创新是否会在更好地利用空间或改善乘客体验方面带来好处。此外,引入移民电子门可以使乘客更快地到达行李提取处,这开始暴露出目前到达行李流程的局限性。本文建立了到达过程的解析和离散事件模拟模型。在考虑回收设施和流程的规模和性能时,分析结果提供了有用的“经验法则”,而离散事件模型允许对比分析处理更广泛的场景进行建模。由于这对乘客等待时间有重大影响,因此调查了乘客和行李到达时间之间的相关程度的影响。因此,在对回收过程建模时,应考虑相关程度对等待时间的影响。我们发现,按座位顺序装卸行李的方法可以大大减少乘客在回收处的等待时间,在操作上是可行的,并且不需要对设备或资本支出进行重大更改。
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引用次数: 0
Real-Time aircraft conflict detection and trajectory optimisation for emergency weather management in terminal manoeuvring areas 终端机动区域应急天气管理的实时飞机冲突探测和轨迹优化
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102933
Huijuan Yang , Daniel Delahaye , Ying Huo
This study presents a real-time framework for aircraft conflict detection and trajectory optimisation in Terminal Manoeuvring Areas (TMAs) during emergency weather events. The proposed approach integrates wake turbulence separation, node and link conflict evaluation, and dynamic operational constraints to ensure safe and efficient traffic flow under severe weather disruptions. Departing from conventional offline resolution methods, an enhanced Selective Simulated Annealing (SSA) algorithm is introduced to enable online conflict detection and mitigation in rapidly changing conditions. The framework is validated through a case study at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (CTU) TMA. A historical dataset of 451 arrival flights over an 8-hour period is duplicated to create a high-density scenario with 902 flights, allowing robust evaluation of scalability and responsiveness under significant traffic and weather stress. Results show that the SSA algorithm achieves minimal route extensions (0.11% on average) in thunderstorm conditions compared to clear weather, while maintaining delay reductions and operational stability. Sensitivity analyses on slot shift ranges and decision strategies confirm the framework’s resilience, and simulated runway blockages demonstrate the role of holding stacks in mitigating conflicts during single-runway closures. By integrating conflict detection with real-time trajectory optimisation, this research offers Air Traffic Control Officers (ATCOs) a practical decision-support tool to enhance safety, efficiency, and resilience in emergency weather operations within TMAs.
本研究提出了在紧急天气事件中终端机动区域(TMAs)的飞机冲突检测和轨迹优化的实时框架。该方法集成了尾流湍流分离、节点和链路冲突评估以及动态运行约束,以确保恶劣天气干扰下安全高效的交通流。与传统的离线解决方法不同,引入了一种增强的选择性模拟退火(SSA)算法,以实现快速变化条件下的在线冲突检测和缓解。该框架通过成都双流国际机场(CTU) TMA的案例研究进行了验证。复制了8小时内451个到达航班的历史数据集,以创建包含902个航班的高密度场景,允许在重大交通和天气压力下对可扩展性和响应性进行稳健评估。结果表明,与晴朗天气相比,该算法在雷暴条件下实现了最小的路线扩展(平均0.11%),同时保持了延误减少和运行稳定性。对狭缝移位范围和决策策略的敏感性分析证实了该框架的弹性,模拟跑道阻塞证明了等待堆在单跑道关闭期间缓解冲突的作用。通过将冲突检测与实时轨迹优化相结合,本研究为空中交通管制人员(atco)提供了一个实用的决策支持工具,以提高tma紧急天气行动的安全性、效率和复原力。
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引用次数: 0
How rainfall and air pollution influence flight delays and its associated economic losses: a case study based on Beijing-Shanghai flight in China? 降雨和空气污染如何影响航班延误及其相关的经济损失:基于中国京沪航班的案例研究?
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102929
Lai Gan , Shenglong Xie , Tianbao Zhang , Tanglu Li , Yi Zhou , Na Huang , Zhihua Pan , Fei Lun , Qiyuan Hu
Flight delays hinder travel efficiency, causing economic losses and posing huge challenges for the aviation industry. While rising flight delays signal the nexus among weather conditions, their specific impacts were still insufficiently understood, especially considering rainfall and air pollution. By integrating 117,218 Beijing-Shanghai flight records with meteorological dataset, this study quantifies how rainfall and air pollution at both departure and arrival cities influence flight delays at hourly, daily, and monthly scales. Rainfall intensity nonlinearly increases delays: from 36.3 min on clear days to 66.2 min in moderate and above rain. Compound rainfall scenarios led to 26–78 % greater delays compared to single-point rainfall condition. Extreme rainfall event resulted in higher cancellation risk and afternoon delay exceeding clear-day delay by over 150 min. Seasonal analysis identified summer accounting for 39.3 % of all delays, largely driven by monsoon rainfall. Winter delays, though lower in magnitude, were significantly influenced by air pollution, which contributed to 25 % of delay hours during this season. Economic losses due to flight delay reached RMB 254 million during study period, about 70 % attributable to rainfall. These multi-scale mechanisms highlight compound weather-pollution interactions, offering a scientific basis for aviation resilience strategies.
航班延误阻碍了旅行效率,造成了经济损失,给航空业带来了巨大挑战。虽然不断增加的航班延误表明了天气状况之间的联系,但它们的具体影响仍然没有得到充分的了解,特别是考虑到降雨和空气污染。通过将117,218个京沪航班记录与气象数据集相结合,本研究量化了出发和到达城市的降雨和空气污染如何在小时、日和月尺度上影响航班延误。降雨强度非线性增加延误:晴天时为36.3分钟,中雨及以上时为66.2分钟。与单点降雨情况相比,复合降雨情景导致的延误要多26 - 78%。极端降雨事件导致航班取消风险增加,下午延误时间比晴天延误时间多150多分钟。季节分析表明,夏季占所有延误的39.3%,主要是由季风降雨造成的。冬季延误的程度虽然较低,但受空气污染的影响很大,在冬季延误的时间中,空气污染占25%。在研究期间,航班延误造成的经济损失达2.54亿元,其中约70%归因于降雨。这些多尺度机制突出了天气与污染的复合相互作用,为航空弹性策略提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Addressing the systemic complexity of airline irregular operations: Toward integrated schedule recovery 解决航空公司不正常运营的系统复杂性:迈向综合时刻表恢复
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102925
Ahmed Abdelghany , Khaled Abdelghany
Irregular operations (IROPS) are among the most complex challenges in airline management. Drawing from both academic gaps and practitioner insight, this paper reframes IROPS as a system-level problem rooted in capacity–demand imbalances and characterized by deeply interdependent recovery decisions. We discuss main core recovery actions and maps the main directional interdependencies among them, highlighting how local actions propagate across the airline network. This reconceptualization shifts the focus from compartmentalized solutions toward integrated, operationally aligned recovery models. The contribution lies in redefining the problem itself to better reflect the realities of airline operations and decision-making. Our goal is to provide a foundation for future modeling, simulation, and optimization studies that more accurately represent the dynamics of large-scale disruption recovery.
不正常运营是航空公司管理中最复杂的挑战之一。根据学术差距和从业者的见解,本文将IROPS重新定义为植根于产能需求失衡的系统层面问题,并以高度相互依存的恢复决策为特征。我们讨论了主要的核心恢复行动,并绘制了它们之间的主要方向相互依赖关系,强调了本地行动如何在航空公司网络中传播。这种重新概念化将重点从分散的解决方案转移到集成的、操作一致的恢复模型上。其贡献在于重新定义问题本身,以更好地反映航空公司运营和决策的现实。我们的目标是为未来的建模、模拟和优化研究提供基础,以更准确地代表大规模中断恢复的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the determinants of domestic air travel across Africa 探索非洲国内航空旅行的决定因素
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102924
Tassew Dufera Tolcha , Eric Tchouamou Njoya , Panayotis Christidis
This study examines the determinants of domestic air travel demand within African countries, a region underrepresented in existing literature, which has predominantly focused on international routes or domestic travel in other continents. Using a gravity model, the study provides a comprehensive analysis that incorporates socio-economic variables and service-related factors. The findings indicate that domestic air travel demand is significantly influenced by socio-economic factors; specifically, larger educated populations and higher GDP per capita are positively associated with travel demand. The effect of government ownership of airlines on passenger demand is inconclusive: state ownership positively influences demand in Algeria, Ethiopia, and Morocco, but has a negative impact in Kenya, South Africa, and Nigeria. Service-related aspects also play a crucial role: higher flight frequencies, lower airfares, the presence of low-cost carriers (LCCs), and better connectivity positively influence domestic travel demand. These findings vary across countries, reflecting the diverse economic and infrastructural landscapes of Africa. The study highlights the importance of economic and infrastructural development in boosting domestic air travel across the continent. It suggests that policies aimed at supporting LCCs, enhancing airport connectivity, and promoting economic growth could effectively stimulate domestic air travel.
本研究考察了非洲国家国内航空旅行需求的决定因素,这是一个在现有文献中代表性不足的区域,主要集中在国际航线或其他大陆的国内旅行。该研究采用重力模型,对社会经济变量和服务相关因素进行了综合分析。研究发现,国内航空旅行需求受社会经济因素影响显著;具体来说,更多的受教育人口和更高的人均国内生产总值与旅游需求呈正相关。航空公司的政府所有权对乘客需求的影响是不确定的:在阿尔及利亚、埃塞俄比亚和摩洛哥,国有所有权对需求有积极影响,但在肯尼亚、南非和尼日利亚,国有所有权对需求有消极影响。与服务相关的方面也发挥着至关重要的作用:更高的航班频率、更低的机票价格、低成本航空公司(lcc)的存在以及更好的连通性对国内旅行需求产生了积极影响。这些调查结果因国家而异,反映了非洲不同的经济和基础设施格局。该研究强调了经济和基础设施发展对促进非洲大陆国内航空旅行的重要性。研究表明,旨在支持低成本航空公司、加强机场互联互通和促进经济增长的政策可以有效刺激国内航空旅行。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring air-rail cooperation in China under asymmetric dependency: An evolutionary game approach 非对称依赖下的中国空铁合作:一种进化博弈方法
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102923
Wanting Wu , Xi Chen , Hongchang Li
Air-rail transport for passenger travel is gaining attention as a sustainable solution to urbanization, climate change, and the growing demand for seamless travel. Despite its potential, air-rail cooperation in China remains underdeveloped, primarily due to asymmetric dependency between airlines and China Railway Group (CR). This study aims to investigate the dynamics of this cooperation, focusing on resource sharing, revenue distribution, and collaborative service models. By applying the theory of asymmetric dependency and constructing an evolutionary game model, this research analyzes the strategic interactions between CR and airlines. Additionally, it explores the role of policy tools, including subsidies, tax incentives, and penalties, in fostering sustainable cooperation. To enhance empirical relevance, the study incorporates a case study of the Shanghai Hongqiao hub to calibrate model parameters and bridge theoretical assumptions with real-world operational data. It is found that (1) Asymmetric dependency significantly influences air-rail cooperation, with CR's dominant position in railway resources restricting deeper collaboration and fairer revenue distribution; (2) Resource sharing and fair revenue distribution are crucial for the success of new air-rail cooperation, while collaborative service, though equally important, depends on the successful implementation of these two factors; (3) Economic incentives, such as additional airline revenue from increased occupancy, play a critical role in motivating participation in air-rail cooperation; (4) Punitive measures and subsidy policies reduce cooperation costs, fostering early-stage cooperation, while tax incentives are crucial for optimizing long-term benefit distribution. This research contributes to the understanding of the mechanisms underlying air-rail cooperation and provides practical policy recommendations for enhancing the efficiency and sustainability of air-rail transport systems.
航空铁路客运作为城市化、气候变化和不断增长的无缝旅行需求的可持续解决方案,正受到人们的关注。尽管有潜力,但中国的空铁合作仍然不发达,主要是由于航空公司与中国中铁集团(CR)之间的不对称依赖。本研究旨在探讨这种合作的动态,重点关注资源共享、收益分配和协同服务模式。运用非对称依赖理论,构建演化博弈模型,分析了航空公司与航空公司之间的战略互动关系。此外,它还探讨了政策工具在促进可持续合作方面的作用,包括补贴、税收激励和处罚。为了增强实证相关性,本研究纳入了上海虹桥枢纽的案例研究,以校准模型参数,并将理论假设与实际运营数据联系起来。研究发现:(1)非对称依赖显著影响空铁合作,中铁在铁路资源中的主导地位制约了合作的深入和收益分配的公平;(2)资源共享和公平收入分配是新型空铁合作成功的关键,而协同服务虽然同样重要,但也取决于这两个因素的成功实施;(3)经济激励,如入住率增加带来的航空公司额外收入,在激励参与空铁合作方面发挥了关键作用;(4)惩罚性措施和补贴政策降低了合作成本,有利于早期合作,而税收优惠对于优化长期利益分配至关重要。本研究有助于理解空铁合作的机制,并为提高空铁运输系统的效率和可持续性提供切实可行的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
A sequential approach to airport efficiency evaluation: Integrating two-stage DEA and truncated regression 机场效率评价的序贯方法:两阶段DEA与截断回归的整合
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102922
Thuong-Truyet Ngo , Nguyen Tan Huynh , Ching-Chiao Yang
This study aims to evaluate the efficiency of Vietnamese airports using a two-stage SBM-DEA model that captures both infrastructure and environmental performance. In the first stage, infrastructure efficiency is assessed through inputs such as terminal area, apron area, and runway area in relation to aircraft movements and fuel burned. The second stage focuses on environmental efficiency, incorporating throughputs and undesirable outputs such as emissions. The results show that only 27.3 % of airports achieve overall efficiency, a proportion significantly lower than the number of airports efficient in individual stages. To investigate potential determinants of performance, a truncated regression model is applied, examining factors such as urban location, hub status, distance to the city center, and population density. The findings reveal that urban location and distance to the city center significantly influence efficiency, while hub status and population density have negligible impacts. This study contributes to the literature by integrating undesirable outputs into a network DEA framework and refining the regression approach to account for contextual variables, offering practical insights for optimizing infrastructure planning and environmental management in Vietnam's aviation sector.
本研究旨在利用两阶段SBM-DEA模型评估越南机场的效率,该模型同时捕捉基础设施和环境绩效。在第一阶段,通过与飞机运动和燃料消耗相关的终端面积、停机坪面积和跑道面积等输入来评估基础设施效率。第二阶段侧重于环境效率,包括吞吐量和排放等不良产出。结果表明,实现整体效率的机场仅占27.3%,这一比例明显低于各个阶段高效机场的数量。为了研究绩效的潜在决定因素,我们采用了截断回归模型,考察了城市位置、枢纽地位、到市中心的距离和人口密度等因素。研究发现,城市区位和距离对效率的影响显著,而枢纽地位和人口密度对效率的影响可以忽略不计。本研究通过将不良产出整合到网络DEA框架中,并改进回归方法以考虑上下文变量,为优化越南航空部门的基础设施规划和环境管理提供实用见解,从而为文献做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Flight wave identification and spatiotemporal connectivity analysis of air route networks in Chinese hub airports 中国枢纽机场航线网络飞行波识别与时空连通性分析
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102921
Jingcong Sun , Xiang Zhou , Ruiling Han
Air route network (ARN) connectivity is critical to the market coverage of civil aviation transport networks and the development quality of the civil aviation industry. However, existing studies have predominantly focused on its spatial connectivity characteristics. Based on this, this study first identifies 41 hub airports by analyzing the complexity of China's ARN and then analyzes their flight wave systems and characteristics. Further, using the seven air traffic control regions in China as spatial units, it examines the intra-regional and extra-regional route network connectivity characteristics of hub airports. The results indicate that (1) China's complex ARN is conducive to forming a clear hierarchical connectivity of nodes. (2) The number of hub airports with sawtooth flight waves is the highest. (3) Overall, China's hub airports possess strong potential for transfer connectivity. However, ARN connectivity and feeder capacity among the seven air traffic control regions differ in, for example, the high homogeneity of route connections between hub nodes, which increases competition in regional aviation markets; the feeder capacity and coverage of feeder routes from hub nodes are insufficient; and the rationality of route structure requires further improvement. This study fully explores flight schedule resources in addressing ARN connectivity issues. It identifies structural problems in China's ARN from the perspective of flight waves and, for the first time, uses a longer time series to analyze China's hub airport ARN connectivity. The findings provide theoretical support for optimizing aviation network layout and offer guidance for further enhancing airport transfer and feeder capacities.
航线网络互联互通关系到民航运输网络的市场覆盖和民航业的发展质量。然而,现有的研究主要集中在其空间连通性特征上。在此基础上,本研究首先通过分析中国ARN的复杂性来识别41个枢纽机场,然后分析其飞行波系统及其特征。以中国7个空中交通管制区域为空间单元,研究了枢纽机场区域内和区域外航线网络连通性特征。结果表明:(1)中国复杂的ARN有利于形成清晰的节点层次连通性。(2)出现锯齿状飞行波的枢纽机场数量最多。(3)总体而言,中国枢纽机场具有强大的中转互联互通潜力。然而,七个空中交通管制区域之间的ARN连通性和支线容量存在差异,例如,枢纽节点之间的航线连接高度同质化,这增加了区域航空市场的竞争;枢纽节点的支线容量和覆盖不足;航线结构的合理性有待进一步提高。本研究充分探索了航班时刻表资源在解决ARN连接问题中的应用。从飞行波的角度确定了中国ARN的结构性问题,并首次使用更长的时间序列来分析中国枢纽机场ARN的连通性。研究结果为优化航空网络布局提供了理论支持,并为进一步提高机场中转和支线能力提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Air Transport Management
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