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Multi-layer dynamic network model of traffic flow in terminal area and complexity analysis 终端区交通流多层动态网络模型及复杂性分析
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102881
Peng Yating, Shen Di, Wen Xiangxi, Yu Fuping, Ji Yuren
Advanced modeling frameworks are required to examine multi-dimensional interactions among airspace structure, traffic flow, and safety threats due to the expanding complexity of terminal area (TMA) air traffic systems, which are fueled by increasing airspace congestion and operational inefficiencies. This paper proposes a novel three-layer dynamic network model to characterize TMA air traffic operations, integrating an air traffic situation evolution network (ATSEN) for spatiotemporal traffic distribution, an air traffic conflict network (ATCN) for safety-related conflict dynamics, and an integrated flow-driven dynamic network (IFDN) to map flow transmission patterns. To measure operational complexity and important risk indicators, an analytical framework that combines intricate network topology measurements and traffic flow dynamics is created. The model’s capacity to recognize crucial flight segments and assess operating conditions in real time is demonstrated by empirical validation using actual radar data from the Beijing TMA. Key findings show that network robustness and conflict intensities fluctuate under dynamic situations, with peak complexity occurring during periods of high traffic. In addition to providing useful insights for TMA design and operational decision-making, the framework gives air traffic controllers a multifaceted instrument to improve flow management, reduce congestion, and increase safety.
由于终端区域(TMA)空中交通系统的复杂性不断扩大,空域拥堵和运行效率低下加剧了空域结构、交通流和安全威胁之间的多维相互作用,因此需要先进的建模框架来检查。本文提出了一种新的三层动态网络模型来表征TMA空中交通运行,该模型集成了用于交通时空分布的空中交通态势演化网络(ATSEN)、用于安全相关冲突动态的空中交通冲突网络(ATCN)和用于绘制流量传输模式的综合流驱动动态网络(IFDN)。为了测量操作复杂性和重要的风险指标,创建了一个结合复杂网络拓扑测量和流量动态的分析框架。利用北京TMA的实际雷达数据进行了经验验证,证明了该模型识别关键飞行段和实时评估操作条件的能力。主要研究结果表明,网络鲁棒性和冲突强度在动态情况下波动,在高流量期间出现峰值复杂性。除了为TMA设计和运营决策提供有用的见解外,该框架还为空中交通管制员提供了一个多方面的工具,以改善流量管理,减少拥堵,提高安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Can low altitude economy development bring economic and environmental dividends? --evidence from Chinese cities 低空经济发展能否带来经济和环境红利?——来自中国城市的证据
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102919
Jun Tang
Despite the promising development of the low-altitude economy, its economic and environmental effects remain largely unexplored. This study investigates the effects of a low-altitude economy on economic growth and environmental protection and its mechanisms. Based on the panel data of 282 Chinese cities from 2012 to 2022, a synthetic difference-in-difference model and a causal mediator model are adopted to empirically test the effects of the low-altitude economy on total factor productivity and carbon emissions and its mechanisms. The findings indicate that (1) low-altitude economy enhances the city's total factor productivity while adding to the carbon emission intensity. (2) The low-altitude economy primarily drives economic growth through mechanisms such as technological innovation, resource allocation, and industrial upgrading. (3) The low-altitude economy influences carbon emissions by utilizing mechanisms related to energy efficiency and energy structure. Due to its reliance on fossil fuels, the low-altitude economy significantly offsets the contribution of energy efficiency enhancement to emission reduction. (4) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the low-altitude economy exerts a more significant effect on plain regions, while its effect is more pronounced in regions with both high and low road network density.
尽管低空经济发展前景广阔,但其经济和环境影响仍未得到充分开发。本文探讨了低海拔经济对经济增长和环境保护的影响及其机制。基于2012 - 2022年中国282个城市的面板数据,采用综合差中差模型和因果中介模型,实证检验了低空经济对全要素生产率和碳排放的影响及其机制。研究结果表明:(1)低空经济提高了城市全要素生产率,同时增加了碳排放强度。②低空经济主要通过技术创新、资源配置和产业升级等机制驱动经济增长。③低空经济利用能源效率和能源结构相关机制影响碳排放。由于对化石燃料的依赖,低空经济显著抵消了提高能效对减排的贡献。(4)异质性分析表明,低空经济对平原地区的影响更为显著,而在路网密度高低的地区,低空经济的影响更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Real-time disruption recovery method for apron vehicles based on stability 基于稳定性的停机坪车辆中断实时恢复方法
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102915
Danwen Bao , Zhuo Chen , Di Kang , Jiayi Zhou
This study investigates the problem of real-time recovery under disruptions such as apron vehicle failures and service delays. The first contribution is the introduction of the concept of spare vehicles, which enhances vehicle utilization and reduces depreciation costs. In addition, planning stability metrics based on service start-time deviation and vehicle routing deviation are designed to quantitatively evaluate the stability of recovery plans. The second contribution is the development of a Disruption Recovery–Dynamic Multi-Period Operational Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (DR-DMPOVRPTW) model. This model considers the delay cost of flight service requests, the total service cost of apron vehicles, and the overall deviation cost. Building on this, a stability-oriented real-time disruption recovery method is proposed. The method introduces a decision mechanism to determine the necessity of recovery actions and designs three real-time recovery strategies from both local and global perspectives, thereby enabling the recovery of operational vehicle scheduling under various disruption scenarios. Large-scale case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Compared with local adjustment strategies, global adjustments achieve a superior balance between solution quality and stability, reducing request response time by over 16 %, decreasing the total travel distance of apron vehicles by approximately 14 %, and lowering service start-time deviations by about 62 %. Furthermore, the stability metrics significantly mitigate disruptions to the original schedule, while the use of spare vehicles reduces their average travel distance by more than 40 %. Overall, the findings provide practical insights and empirical references for setting disruption recovery thresholds and determining the appropriate scale of spare vehicles in airport operations.
本研究探讨在停机坪车辆故障和服务延误等情况下的实时恢复问题。第一个贡献是引入了备用车辆的概念,提高了车辆利用率,降低了折旧成本。设计了基于服务启动时间偏差和车辆路径偏差的计划稳定性指标,定量评价了恢复计划的稳定性。第二个贡献是开发了一个具有时间窗的中断恢复-动态多周期作战车辆路线问题(DR-DMPOVRPTW)模型。该模型考虑了航班服务请求的延误成本、停机坪车辆的总服务成本和总偏差成本。在此基础上,提出了一种面向稳定的实时中断恢复方法。该方法引入了一种决策机制来确定恢复行动的必要性,并从局部和全局角度设计了三种实时恢复策略,从而实现了在各种中断情况下运营车辆调度的恢复。大规模的案例研究证明了该方法的有效性。与局部调整策略相比,全局调整在解决方案质量和稳定性之间取得了更好的平衡,将请求响应时间缩短了16%以上,将停机坪车辆的总行驶距离缩短了约14%,将服务启动时间偏差降低了约62%。此外,稳定性指标显著减少了对原计划的干扰,而备用车辆的使用将其平均行驶距离缩短了40%以上。总体而言,研究结果为机场运营中设置中断恢复阈值和确定适当的备用车辆规模提供了实践见解和经验参考。
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引用次数: 0
Electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft selection for ultra-short-haul routes: fuzzy AHP approach 超短程航线电动垂直起降飞机选择:模糊层次分析法
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102909
Slavica Dožić , Jovana Kuljanin , Danica Babić , Milica Kalić , Jordi Pons-Prats
The analysis and understanding of the environmental effects of air transport has been attracting the attention of academia and the industry for more than 20 years. It is also evident that this environmental concern has grown in recent years, with a special focus on ultra-short-haul flights. In light of a new restriction recently introduced in some EU countries related to ultra-short-haul flight bans, and the recent developments in electric propulsion technologies, the electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (eVTOL) offers a possibility for airlines to regain these routes. Considering the route requirements, together with the performance of electric new vehicles, the main objective of this paper is to select the new eVTOL aircraft, which could be exploited instead of conventional aircraft types. The proposed approach is based on the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) in combination with logarithmic fuzzy preference programming (LFPP) to derive priorities from expert judgments. The analysis considers operational and performance requirements for six eVTOLs candidate, evaluates their suitability through multi-criteria decision making, and examines how sensitive the results are to changes in the weighting of criteria. To illustrate the practical potential of eVTOL adoption, two banned European routes are analyzed. The findings highlight both the opportunities and limitations of integrating eVTOLs into short-haul networks and provide directions for future research in sustainable air transport. Additionally, the FAHP-derived solution, is consistently confirmed across all stakeholder groups as the most appropriate alternative.
20多年来,航空运输对环境影响的分析和认识一直受到学术界和工业界的关注。同样明显的是,近年来这种对环境的关注有所增长,尤其是超短途航班。鉴于一些欧盟国家最近出台了与超短程飞行禁令有关的新限制,以及电力推进技术的最新发展,电动垂直起降飞机(eVTOL)为航空公司重新获得这些航线提供了可能。考虑航线要求,结合电动新车的性能,本文的主要目标是选择新的eVTOL飞机,可以替代传统的飞机类型。该方法基于模糊层次分析法(FAHP)和对数模糊偏好规划(LFPP)相结合,从专家判断中确定优先级。分析考虑了六个候选evtol的操作和性能要求,通过多标准决策评估其适用性,并检查结果对标准权重变化的敏感性。为了说明eVTOL采用的实际潜力,分析了两条被禁止的欧洲航线。研究结果强调了将eVTOLs整合到短途网络中的机遇和局限性,并为未来可持续航空运输的研究提供了方向。此外,fahp衍生的解决方案在所有利益相关者群体中被一致确认为最合适的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating risk-based hazard corridors in air traffic controller decisions during space launch failures 航天发射失败时空中交通管制员决策中基于风险的危险走廊评估
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102904
Wei Zhou , Zhengyi Wang , Sameer Alam , Leo Julius Materne , Thorsten Mühlhausen , Daniel Delahaye
The increasing frequency and diversity of space launch activities challenge the safety and reliability of current air traffic management systems. In this study, we present a risk-based hazard corridor methodology for managing air traffic during space launch failures. Our method combines a debris propagation model with a hazard corridor construction approach that estimates the risk posed by debris to aircraft. We evaluated the constructed risk-based hazard corridors using high-fidelity human-in-the-loop simulations. In our experiments, air traffic controllers managed two strategies of hazard corridors. The dynamic hazard corridor updated the boundary in real-time while the static hazard corridor remained fixed by consolidating the dynamic boundaries over the entire activation period until the last piece of debris fell. The results show that controllers maintained safety separation across all scenarios, although their real-time workload increased significantly during hazard corridor activation. Overall, the controllers’ perceived workload and situation awareness remained stable, implying that the task demands were acceptable for all the experimental runs. Efficiency measure results indicate that the dynamic hazard corridor can reduce extra flight distance and delays, thus minimizing operational disruption caused by space launch failures. We also found that more experienced controllers tend to choose more cautious and conservative rerouting strategies. These findings offer practical guidance for improving resilience in air and space management integration. Furthermore, our study provides a basis for modeling air traffic controller behavior under emergency conditions in a way that is more in line with the real world patterns.
空间发射活动的日益频繁和多样化对当前空中交通管理系统的安全性和可靠性提出了挑战。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种基于风险的危险走廊方法,用于管理航天发射失败期间的空中交通。我们的方法结合了碎片传播模型和危险走廊构建方法,以估计碎片对飞机构成的风险。我们使用高保真人在环模拟来评估构建的基于风险的危险走廊。在我们的实验中,空中交通管制员管理两种危险走廊策略。动态危险走廊实时更新边界,而静态危险走廊在整个激活期间通过巩固动态边界保持固定,直到最后一块碎片落下。结果表明,控制员在所有场景中都保持了安全隔离,尽管他们的实时工作量在危险走廊激活期间显著增加。总体而言,控制者的感知工作量和态势感知保持稳定,这意味着任务需求在所有实验运行中都是可接受的。效率测量结果表明,动态危险走廊可以减少额外的飞行距离和延误,从而最大限度地减少因航天发射故障造成的运行中断。我们还发现,更有经验的控制员倾向于选择更谨慎和保守的改道策略。这些发现为提高航空航天管理一体化弹性提供了实践指导。此外,我们的研究为紧急情况下空中交通管制员行为的建模提供了一个更符合现实世界模式的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Decision support for airfare forecasting using an evolutionary approach: Evidence on search engine data from Touristic agency 基于进化方法的机票预测决策支持:基于旅行社搜索引擎数据的证据
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102917
Tsakonas Athanasios , C. Vasilakis , D. Charalampakis , E. Vasilakis , N. Thomaidis , G. Dounias
This study addresses the complex issue of airfare forecasting pricing that influences decisions in the Airline Industry. Our approach involves an evolutionary methodology, combining statistical analysis and symbolic regression through grammar-guided genetic programming models. This innovative method aids internet users/clients in determining optimal periods to purchase fixed-date flight tickets. Data analysis identifies key relations, guiding effective data pre-processing. Results, based on novel data from the search engine of a large European Travel Online agency, cover one and a half years and millions of airfare search cases for seven travel destinations. Benchmarking against last year's price variation, our forecasting accuracy ranges between 80 and 90 % for the tested travel destinations.
本研究解决了影响航空业决策的机票预测定价这一复杂问题。我们的方法包括一种进化方法,通过语法指导的遗传规划模型结合统计分析和符号回归。这种创新的方法帮助互联网用户/客户确定购买固定日期机票的最佳时间。数据分析识别关键关系,指导有效的数据预处理。该结果基于一家大型欧洲旅游在线机构的搜索引擎的新数据,涵盖了7个旅游目的地的一年半时间和数百万个机票搜索案例。以去年的价格变化为基准,我们对测试旅游目的地的预测准确率在80%到90%之间。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of passenger-baggage arrival correlation on reclaim performance 旅客-行李到达相关性对提取绩效的影响
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102926
John Beasley , Martin Kunc , Toni Martinez-Sykora , Chris N. Potts
Baggage reclaim processes have barely changed for decades, even though there have been many innovations in systems and processes for outbound baggage. Airport developers are increasingly asking if innovations in the baggage arrivals process are possible and whether they will deliver benefits in terms of either better utilisation of space or better passenger experience. Furthermore, the introduction of E-gates for immigration can lead to passengers reaching baggage reclaim more quickly which starts to expose limitations in the current arrivals baggage process. In this paper, analytical and discrete event simulation models of the arrivals process are developed. The analytical results offer useful “rules of thumb” when considering the sizing and performance of reclaim facilities and processes, while the discrete event model allows a wider range of scenarios to be modelled than can be handled analytically. The impact of the degree of correlation between the passenger and baggage arrival times at reclaim is investigated since this has a material effect on passenger waiting times. The impact of the degree of correlation on waiting times should therefore be considered when modelling the reclaim process. We find that a seat-order loading and unloading approach for bags can offer material reductions in passenger waiting times at reclaim, can be operationally plausible and does not require major changes to equipment or capital expenditure.
几十年来,行李回收流程几乎没有变化,尽管出境行李的系统和流程已经有了许多创新。机场开发商越来越多地询问,是否有可能在行李到达过程中进行创新,以及这些创新是否会在更好地利用空间或改善乘客体验方面带来好处。此外,引入移民电子门可以使乘客更快地到达行李提取处,这开始暴露出目前到达行李流程的局限性。本文建立了到达过程的解析和离散事件模拟模型。在考虑回收设施和流程的规模和性能时,分析结果提供了有用的“经验法则”,而离散事件模型允许对比分析处理更广泛的场景进行建模。由于这对乘客等待时间有重大影响,因此调查了乘客和行李到达时间之间的相关程度的影响。因此,在对回收过程建模时,应考虑相关程度对等待时间的影响。我们发现,按座位顺序装卸行李的方法可以大大减少乘客在回收处的等待时间,在操作上是可行的,并且不需要对设备或资本支出进行重大更改。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the determinants of domestic air travel across Africa 探索非洲国内航空旅行的决定因素
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102924
Tassew Dufera Tolcha , Eric Tchouamou Njoya , Panayotis Christidis
This study examines the determinants of domestic air travel demand within African countries, a region underrepresented in existing literature, which has predominantly focused on international routes or domestic travel in other continents. Using a gravity model, the study provides a comprehensive analysis that incorporates socio-economic variables and service-related factors. The findings indicate that domestic air travel demand is significantly influenced by socio-economic factors; specifically, larger educated populations and higher GDP per capita are positively associated with travel demand. The effect of government ownership of airlines on passenger demand is inconclusive: state ownership positively influences demand in Algeria, Ethiopia, and Morocco, but has a negative impact in Kenya, South Africa, and Nigeria. Service-related aspects also play a crucial role: higher flight frequencies, lower airfares, the presence of low-cost carriers (LCCs), and better connectivity positively influence domestic travel demand. These findings vary across countries, reflecting the diverse economic and infrastructural landscapes of Africa. The study highlights the importance of economic and infrastructural development in boosting domestic air travel across the continent. It suggests that policies aimed at supporting LCCs, enhancing airport connectivity, and promoting economic growth could effectively stimulate domestic air travel.
本研究考察了非洲国家国内航空旅行需求的决定因素,这是一个在现有文献中代表性不足的区域,主要集中在国际航线或其他大陆的国内旅行。该研究采用重力模型,对社会经济变量和服务相关因素进行了综合分析。研究发现,国内航空旅行需求受社会经济因素影响显著;具体来说,更多的受教育人口和更高的人均国内生产总值与旅游需求呈正相关。航空公司的政府所有权对乘客需求的影响是不确定的:在阿尔及利亚、埃塞俄比亚和摩洛哥,国有所有权对需求有积极影响,但在肯尼亚、南非和尼日利亚,国有所有权对需求有消极影响。与服务相关的方面也发挥着至关重要的作用:更高的航班频率、更低的机票价格、低成本航空公司(lcc)的存在以及更好的连通性对国内旅行需求产生了积极影响。这些调查结果因国家而异,反映了非洲不同的经济和基础设施格局。该研究强调了经济和基础设施发展对促进非洲大陆国内航空旅行的重要性。研究表明,旨在支持低成本航空公司、加强机场互联互通和促进经济增长的政策可以有效刺激国内航空旅行。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the psychological drivers of home-country Bias: Implications for passengers' behaviours toward national and foreign airlines 揭示母国偏见的心理驱动因素:对乘客对国内和外国航空公司行为的影响
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102891
Hany Ragab , Ana I. Polo-Peña , Abeer A. Mahrous
Despite strong field evidence highlighting the significant role of home-country bias in airline travel markets, academic and empirical research into its underlying psychological drivers remains limited. In light of ongoing geopolitical and economic disruptions, this study seeks to examine key psychological antecedents of home-country bias—specifically, passengers' national identity and ethnocentrism—and their influence on passengers' behaviours toward national versus foreign airlines. Additionally, the study investigates how passengers' perceptions of price fairness can moderate the potential effects of these constructs on passengers' actual purchase behaviour. Data were collected from 411 international passengers and analyzed using CFA and SEM via AMOS software. The findings indicate that national identity and ethnocentrism exert distinct and significant influences on passengers' behaviours toward both national and foreign airlines. Moreover, passengers' perceptions of price fairness were found to moderate the impact of these psychological factors on actual purchase decisions. The study concludes with outlining its theoretical contributions to the travel and hospitality literature and implications for airline service marketers.
尽管强有力的实地证据强调了母国偏见在航空旅行市场中的重要作用,但对其潜在心理驱动因素的学术和实证研究仍然有限。鉴于持续的地缘政治和经济混乱,本研究试图检查母国偏见的关键心理因素-特别是乘客的民族认同和种族中心主义-以及它们对乘客对国内航空公司和外国航空公司的行为的影响。此外,本研究还探讨了乘客对价格公平的感知如何调节这些概念对乘客实际购买行为的潜在影响。从411名国际乘客中收集数据,并通过AMOS软件使用CFA和SEM进行分析。研究结果表明,国家认同和民族中心主义对国内航空公司和外国航空公司的乘客行为都有显著的影响。此外,乘客对价格公平的认知可以调节这些心理因素对实际购买决策的影响。该研究总结了其对旅游和酒店文献的理论贡献以及对航空服务营销人员的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated optimization of airport slot allocation and boarding gate assignment 机场机位分配与登机门分配的集成优化
IF 3.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102930
Ning Wang, Manyu Li, Annan Zhao, Maolin Chen
Addressing the challenge of increasing air travel demand within the context of limited resources requires a coordinated optimization of essential airport operations. Airport Slot Allocation (ASA) and Boarding Gate Assignment (GA) are two critical levers for enhancing airport operational efficiency. ASA deals with the strategic distribution of limited departure and arrival time slots among flights while considering the preferences of airlines. GA involves the practical assignment of aircraft to specific gates. Conventionally, both problems are studied in isolation, which overlooks their inherent interdependencies.
This paper investigates the integrated optimization of Airport Slot Allocation and Gate Assignment (ASA-GA), whose objectives are minimizing the total displacement of requested slots and the number of aircraft assigned to remote gates. A MIP model is established and an Adaptive Large-Scale Neighborhood Search (ALNS) algorithm is designed. Experimental based on real-world flight data demonstrate the performance of the proposed model and algorithm. The results show that the integrated optimization approach dramatically improves solution quality compared to handling the ASA and GA problems separately.
在资源有限的情况下应对不断增长的航空旅行需求的挑战,需要协调优化基本机场运营。机位分配(ASA)和登机门分配(GA)是提高机场运行效率的两个关键杠杆。ASA在考虑航空公司偏好的情况下,处理航班之间有限的出发和到达时间段的战略分配。GA涉及到实际分配飞机到特定的登机口。传统上,这两个问题都是孤立地研究的,忽视了它们内在的相互依赖性。本文研究了机场机位分配和登机口分配(ASA-GA)的集成优化问题,其目标是最小化请求机位的总位移和分配到远程登机口的飞机数量。建立了MIP模型,设计了自适应大规模邻域搜索算法。基于实际飞行数据的实验验证了该模型和算法的有效性。结果表明,与单独处理ASA和GA问题相比,集成优化方法显著提高了解的质量。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Air Transport Management
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