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Does seasonal variation in the corticosterone response affect the nutritional ecology of a free-ranging lizard?
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14249
Avik Banerjee, K T Fahis, Mihir Joshi, David Raubenheimer, Maria Thaker

Challenging events in the environment that are both predictable (e.g. seasonal patterns in breeding activities) and unpredictable (e.g. predator encounter) are known to induce a glucocorticoid response that facilitates metabolic requirements during the challenge. Given its role in mobilizing energy, glucocorticoid levels can influence the nutritional ecology of an individual by shifting dietary intake or retention patterns, but this relationship has not been tested in free-ranging vertebrates. Using a tropical lizard species (Psammophilus dorsalis) as a model system, we tested whether the elemental composition of dietary intake and excretion (faecal samples) varies with stress-induced corticosterone levels in males and females across different seasons. From free-ranging lizards in the wild, we measured levels of stress-induced corticosterone and glucose in blood and determined diet composition from gut-flushing. Elemental composition of the diet was determined by analysing the carbon and nitrogen content of identified prey Orders caught from the wild. We also collected faecal samples and estimated their elemental composition. We found that stress-induced corticosterone levels varied across seasons, with the lowest levels during the breeding season for both males and females. Despite high variation in corticosterone responsiveness, lizards did not shift the elemental composition of their diets and maintained an intake carbon:nitrogen ratio of 4.56. We did, however, find a negative correlation between stress-induced corticosterone levels and faecal elemental composition, suggesting selective retention of both carbon and nitrogen in individuals that have higher corticosterone responsiveness. This study highlights the interplay between corticosterone responsiveness and nutritional ecology, challenging the existing links in literature and illustrating how free-ranging animals, such as lizards, adjust the elemental composition of excretion and not dietary intakes as a potential strategy to modulate natural physiological and ecological challenges.

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引用次数: 0
Habitat engineering by an apex predator generates spatial trophic dynamics across a temporal environmental stress gradient.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14248
Peter J Flood, Bradley A Strickland, Jeffrey L Kline, Joel C Trexler

Ecosystem engineering is a facilitative interaction that generates bottom-up extrinsic variability that may increase species coexistence, particularly along a stress/disturbance gradient. American alligators (Alligator mississippiensis) create and maintain 'alligator ponds' that serve as dry-season refuges for other animals. During seasonal water recession, these ponds present an opportunity to examine predictions of the stress-gradient (SGH) and intermediate disturbance hypotheses (IDH). To test the assumption that engineering would facilitate species coexistence in ponds along a stress gradient (seasonal drying), we modelled fish catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) in ponds and marshes using a long-term dataset (1997-2022). Stomach contents (n = 1677 from 46 species) and stable isotopes of carbon and nitrogen (n = 3978 representing 91 taxa) from 2018 to 2019 were used to evaluate effects of engineering on trophic dynamics. We quantified diets, trophic niche areas, trophic positions and basal-resource use among habitats and between seasons. As environmental stress increases, we used seasonal changes in trophic niche areas as a proxy for competition to examine SGH and IDH. Across long-term data, fish CPUE increased by a factor of 12 in alligator ponds as the marsh dried. This validates the assumption that ponds are an important dry-season refuge. We found that 73% of diet shifts occurred during the dry season but that diets differed among habitats in only 11% of comparisons. From wet season to dry season, both stomach contents and stable isotopes revealed changes in niche areas. Direction of change depended on trophic guild but was opposite between stable-isotope and stomach-content niches, except for detritivores. Stomach-content niches generally increased suggesting decreased competition in the dry season consistent with existing theory, but stable-isotope niches yielded the opposite. This may result from a temporal mismatch with stomach contents reflecting diets over hours, while stable isotopes integrate diet over weeks. Consumptive effects may have a stronger effect than competition on niche areas over longer time intervals. Overall, our results demonstrated that alligators ameliorated dry-season stress by engineering deep-water habitats and altering food-web dynamics. We propose that ecosystem engineers facilitate coexistence at intermediate values of stress/disturbance consistent with predictions of both the SGH and IDH.

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引用次数: 0
Shared community history strengthens plant diversity effects on below-ground multitrophic functioning.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14241
Angelos Amyntas, Benoit Gauzens, Marcel Ciobanu, Lara Warnke, Mark Maraun, Jörg-Alfred Salamon, Mona Merkle, Leonardo Bassi, Justus Hennecke, Markus Lange, Gerd Gleixner, Stefan Scheu, Nico Eisenhauer, Ulrich Brose

The relationship of plant diversity and several ecosystem functions strengthens over time. This suggests that the restructuring of biotic interactions in the process of a community's assembly and the associated changes in function differ between species-rich and species-poor communities. An important component of these changes is the feedback between plant and soil community history. In this study, we examined the interactive effects of plant richness and community history on the trophic functions of the soil fauna community. We hypothesized that experimental removal of either soil or plant community history would diminish the positive effects of plant richness on the multitrophic functions of the soil food web, compared to mature communities. We tested this hypothesis in a long-term grassland biodiversity experiment by comparing plots across three treatments (without plant history, without plant and soil history, controls with ~20 years of plot-specific community history). We found that the relationship between plant richness and below-ground multitrophic functionality is indeed stronger in communities with shared plant and soil community history. Our findings indicate that anthropogenic disturbance can impact the functioning of the soil community through the loss of plant species but also by preventing feedbacks that develop in the process of community assembly.

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引用次数: 0
Ecological and demographic drivers of kin-directed cooperation in a social bird: Insights from a long-term study.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14237
Jennifer Morinay, Beth K Woodward, Andrew F Russell, Stuart P Sharp, Ben J Hatchwell

The evolution of sociality is one of the major evolutionary transitions in the history of life and a key step in this transition is the occurrence of kin associations. Yet, the question of what demographic processes and environmental factors generate kin-structured populations and drive kin-directed cooperation remains open. In this review, we synthesise 30 years of studies of the long-tailed tit Aegithalos caudatus, which has a kin-selected cooperative breeding system with redirected help: failed breeders may help to raise offspring of conspecifics, typically relatives, breeding nearby. We describe the use of ecological, demographic, genetic and behavioural approaches to reveal: (a) how kin-structured populations (here 'kin neighbourhoods') arise; (b) why the prevalence of cooperation varies among populations and individuals; and (c) how variation in dispersal and opportunities for cooperation influence individual fitness. The kin neighbourhoods of long-tailed tits arise from three processes. First, natal dispersal is limited and sex-biased so many individuals, especially males, recruit as breeders close to their natal site. Second, neither dispersal nor migration necessarily disrupts kin associations because long-tailed tits often move with close relatives. Third, a small effective population size driven by high nest predation rates enhances within-population relatedness. Together, these processes set the scene for kin-directed helping behaviour by causing spatial clustering of relatives. The prevalence of cooperation within kin neighbourhoods depends on several factors, both at the population-level (annual nest predation rate and length of the breeding season) and individual-level (relatedness, familiarity, sex and condition). However, limited information on prior social association and the reliability of kin discrimination cues hampers our current understanding of individual helping decisions. Finally, variation in dispersal within and between sexes affects the probability of interacting with kin, the likelihood of cooperation, and accrual of the direct and indirect components of inclusive fitness. We use this comprehensive understanding of the factors driving cooperative behaviour in long-tailed tits to highlight gaps in knowledge and suggest future avenues for research in this system, and to make general inferences about the role of dispersal, demography and kinship in social evolution.

社会性的进化是生命进化史上的重大转变之一,而这一转变的关键步骤就是亲属关系的出现。然而,究竟是哪些人口学过程和环境因素产生了亲属结构种群并推动了亲属导向的合作,这个问题仍然悬而未决。在这篇综述中,我们总结了长尾山雀(Aegithalos caudatus)30年来的研究,长尾山雀具有亲缘选择的合作繁殖系统,并有再定向帮助:繁殖失败者可能会帮助抚养在附近繁殖的同种生物(通常是亲戚)的后代。我们介绍了利用生态学、人口学、遗传学和行为学方法揭示:(a)亲缘结构种群(此处为 "亲缘邻域")是如何产生的;(b)为什么合作的普遍性在种群和个体之间存在差异;以及(c)扩散和合作机会的变化如何影响个体的适应性。长尾山雀的亲缘关系产生于三个过程。首先,产地的散布是有限的,而且有性别偏见,因此许多个体,尤其是雄性个体,会在靠近产地的地方进行繁殖。其次,由于长尾山雀经常与近亲一起迁徙,因此无论是分散还是迁徙都不一定会破坏亲缘关系。第三,由于巢的捕食率较高,有效种群规模较小,这增强了种群内部的亲缘关系。这些过程共同导致了亲属的空间聚集,从而为亲属导向的帮助行为创造了条件。亲属邻域内合作的普遍性取决于多个因素,既有种群层面的因素(年巢捕食率和繁殖季节的长度),也有个体层面的因素(亲缘关系、熟悉程度、性别和条件)。然而,有关先前社会联系和亲属辨别线索可靠性的信息有限,妨碍了我们目前对个体帮助决策的理解。最后,性别内和性别间的散布差异会影响与亲属互动的概率、合作的可能性以及包容性适应的直接和间接成分的累积。通过对长尾山雀合作行为驱动因素的全面了解,我们强调了知识空白,提出了该系统未来的研究方向,并对散布、人口统计和亲属关系在社会进化中的作用做出了一般性推断。
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引用次数: 0
Selective disappearance based on navigational efficiency in a long-lived seabird.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14231
Joe Wynn, Nathalie Kürten, Maria Moiron, Sandra Bouwhuis

Whilst efficient movement through space is thought to increase the fitness of long-distance migrants, evidence that selection acts upon such traits remains elusive. Here, using 228 migratory tracks collected from 102 adult breeding common terns (Sterna hirundo) aged 3-22 years, we find evidence that older terns navigate more efficiently than younger terns and that efficient navigation leads to a reduced migration duration and earlier arrival at the breeding and wintering grounds. We additionally find that the age-specificity of navigational efficiency in adult breeding birds cannot be explained by within-individual change with age (i.e. learning), suggesting the selective disappearance of less navigationally efficient individuals. This suggests that, at least in common terns, learning of navigational skills may be largely absent in adulthood, and limited to the pre-breeding phase of life where tracking is more difficult. We propose that selection might explain parts of the age-specificity of navigational performance observed in migratory taxa more generally; discuss the causes and evolutionary implications of variation in navigational traits and the selective agents acting upon them; and highlight the necessity of longitudinal studies when considering changes in behaviour with age.

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引用次数: 0
Spatial, environmental and trophic niche partitioning by seabirds in a climate change hotspot.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-26 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14245
Yuri Niella, Dustin O'Hara, Ian Jonsen, David Slip, Lachlan Phillips, Rob Harcourt, Gemma Carroll

For similar species to co-occur in places where resources are limited, they need to adopt strategies that partition resources to reduce competition. Our understanding of the mechanisms behind resource partitioning among sympatric marine predators is evolving, but we lack a clear understanding of how environmental change is impacting these dynamics. We investigated spatial and trophic resource partitioning among three sympatric seabirds with contrasting biological characteristics: greater crested terns Thalasseus bergii (efficient flyer, limited diver, and preference for high quality forage fish), little penguins Eudyptula minor (flightless, efficient diver, and preference for high quality forage fish) and silver gulls Chroicocephalus novaehollandiae (efficient flyer, limited diver and generalist diet). We investigated interannual variability in resource partitioning in relation to environmental variability in a climate change hotspot influenced by the warm and intensifying East Australian Current (EAC). Sampling was conducted from 2012 to 2014 during the austral summer breeding season of seabirds at Montague Island, Australia. Daily seabird movements were monitored using GPS trackers and feather tissues were collected and processed for stable isotope analysis (δ15N and δ13C). Generalised Linear Mixed Models were used to assess how changes in oceanographic conditions influenced space use for each species. Schoener's D and Bayesian mixing models were used to respectively investigate the levels of yearly inter-specific environmental and trophic niche overlaps. Crested terns and little penguins were less likely to be observed in warm, saline EAC waters and crested terns and silver gulls had smaller foraging areas on days when more than 30% of available habitat was classified as EAC origin. All species preferred areas with low variability in sea surface temperature (<0.5°C). Terns and penguins occupied similar marine trophic levels, with penguins having larger isotopic niche spaces in 2014 when the EAC was more dominant in the study area. Gulls occupied the lowest trophic level, with the widest niche and lowest interannual variability in niche area. As the EAC intensifies along the southeast coast of Australia under climate change, interspecific competition for resources may increase, with the greatest impacts on species like little penguins that have relatively restricted foraging ranges. This study suggests that species-specific biological traits and behavioural plasticity should be accounted for when predicting the effects of climate change on marine species.

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引用次数: 0
The clockwork of insect activity: Advancing ecological understanding through automation.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14246
Ameli Kirse, Manus Arian Wittenhorst, Christoph Scherber, Michel Posanski, Alice Scherges, Vera Zizka, David Ott, Niklas W Noll, Wolfgang J Wägele

Understanding insect behaviour and its underlying drivers is vital for interpreting changes in local biodiversity and predicting future trends. Conventional insect traps are typically limited to assess the composition of local insect communities over longer time periods and provide only limited insights into the effects of abiotic factors, such as light on species activity. Achieving finer temporal resolution is labour-intensive or only possible under laboratory conditions. Here, we demonstrate that time-controlled insect sampling using an automated Malaise trap in combination with metabarcoding allows for the observation and documentation of taxon-specific activity patterns. Furthermore, these recorded activity patterns can provide valuable insights into the underlying ecological processes. Insect activity curves, derived from predicted detection numbers using generalised linear latent variable models, reveal distinct differences in activity patterns at higher and lower taxonomic level. While our findings align with existing literature, they also reveal that the activity patterns of some species are more complex than previously known. Additionally, a comparison of the assessed activity patterns across taxa suggest potential, previously undescribed parasitoid-host relationships. Within taxonomic groups, we observe variations in both the timing and duration of activity patterns, which can be linked to differences in mating strategies among closely related species. By capturing circadian rhythms of insect activity through time-controlled bulk sampling, we can expand our knowledge on species behaviour, ecology and temporal interactions. This contributes significantly to the advancement of chronoecology, allowing for further exploration of the roles of species and benefits in natural and anthropogenic ecosystems, alongside their potentially significant threat.

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引用次数: 0
Marine heatwaves imperil emblematic reef fishes by altering the energetic landscape of coral reefs.
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14238
Robert F Semmler, Gabrielle Martineau, Nina M D Schiettekatte, Morgan S Pratchett, Michael L Berumen, Valeriano Parravicini, Jordan M Casey

Marine heatwaves are increasingly common due to human-induced climate change. Under prolonged thermal stress on coral reefs, corals can undergo bleaching, leading to mass coral mortality and large-scale changes in benthic community composition. While coral mortality has clear, negative impacts on the body condition and populations of coral-dependent fish species, the mechanisms that drive these changes remain poorly resolved. Specifically, little is known about the effects of coral bleaching on (1) the nutritional quality of corals, (2) nutrient acquisition in coral-feeding butterflyfishes and (3) fish dietary selectivity and potential supplementary consumption of non-coral prey. Here, we evaluate the response of obligate coral-feeding butterflyfishes to a mass coral bleaching event in French Polynesia, which resulted in high coral mortality and a 50% decline in obligate corallivore density. We examine benthic and butterflyfish community composition over two decades, including a mass bleaching event in 2019 and multiple prior disturbances. We couple these data with surveys of butterflyfish feeding selectivity, high-resolution molecular assays of gut contents and nutrient acquisition before, during and after the bleaching event. Contrary to previous studies, obligate corallivores did not strongly alter their feeding preferences for different coral genera in response to bleaching. They did not increase their consumption of non-corals in response to coral mortality, and hard corals continued to dominate their diets (>90%). Instead, butterflyfishes targeted partially bleached corals that were likely releasing nutrient-rich mucus, and they avoided fully bleached and dead corals that were likely nutrient-depleted. Moreover, after bleaching, butterflyfishes exhibit reduced nitrogen assimilation, indicating that coral stress may adversely impact butterflyfish nutrient acquisition. Coupled with the increasing frequency of recurrent bleaching events, severe, long-term nutritional impacts of coral bleaching on butterflyfish populations may jeopardize the persistence of coral-feeding fishes in the future.

{"title":"Marine heatwaves imperil emblematic reef fishes by altering the energetic landscape of coral reefs.","authors":"Robert F Semmler, Gabrielle Martineau, Nina M D Schiettekatte, Morgan S Pratchett, Michael L Berumen, Valeriano Parravicini, Jordan M Casey","doi":"10.1111/1365-2656.14238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.14238","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Marine heatwaves are increasingly common due to human-induced climate change. Under prolonged thermal stress on coral reefs, corals can undergo bleaching, leading to mass coral mortality and large-scale changes in benthic community composition. While coral mortality has clear, negative impacts on the body condition and populations of coral-dependent fish species, the mechanisms that drive these changes remain poorly resolved. Specifically, little is known about the effects of coral bleaching on (1) the nutritional quality of corals, (2) nutrient acquisition in coral-feeding butterflyfishes and (3) fish dietary selectivity and potential supplementary consumption of non-coral prey. Here, we evaluate the response of obligate coral-feeding butterflyfishes to a mass coral bleaching event in French Polynesia, which resulted in high coral mortality and a 50% decline in obligate corallivore density. We examine benthic and butterflyfish community composition over two decades, including a mass bleaching event in 2019 and multiple prior disturbances. We couple these data with surveys of butterflyfish feeding selectivity, high-resolution molecular assays of gut contents and nutrient acquisition before, during and after the bleaching event. Contrary to previous studies, obligate corallivores did not strongly alter their feeding preferences for different coral genera in response to bleaching. They did not increase their consumption of non-corals in response to coral mortality, and hard corals continued to dominate their diets (>90%). Instead, butterflyfishes targeted partially bleached corals that were likely releasing nutrient-rich mucus, and they avoided fully bleached and dead corals that were likely nutrient-depleted. Moreover, after bleaching, butterflyfishes exhibit reduced nitrogen assimilation, indicating that coral stress may adversely impact butterflyfish nutrient acquisition. Coupled with the increasing frequency of recurrent bleaching events, severe, long-term nutritional impacts of coral bleaching on butterflyfish populations may jeopardize the persistence of coral-feeding fishes in the future.</p>","PeriodicalId":14934,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Animal Ecology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143023407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effects of warming on loggerhead turtle nesting counts. 变暖对红海龟筑巢数量的影响。
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14242
Diana Sousa-Guedes, João C Campos, Filipa Bessa, Jacob A Lasala, Adolfo Marco, Neftalí Sillero

Global trends in marine turtle nesting numbers vary by region, influenced by environmental or anthropogenic factors. Our study investigates the potential role of past temperature fluctuations on these trends, particularly whether warmer beaches are linked to increased nesting due to higher female production (since sea turtles have temperature-dependent sex determination). We selected the loggerhead turtle (Caretta caretta) due to its wide distribution, strong philopatry and vulnerability to environmental changes. We compiled nest counts per year on 35 globally significant rookeries, analysing trends at regional and individual beach levels. We compiled air (CHELSA) and land surface (MODIS) temperature data sets spanning the last four decades (1979-2023) for each location. To analyse temporal trends in nest counts and temperatures, we used generalised additive models and Mann-Kendall trend tests. Additionally, we correlated nest counts with lagged air temperature variables. We found significant warming at 33 nesting locations, 23 of which also showed significant increases in nest counts. Our results suggest that rising temperatures may be boosting nest numbers in regions of the Caribbean, Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean (sites in Cayman, Mexico, Brazil, Cyprus and Turkey). Furthermore, while some regions temporarily benefit, continued warming could precipitate long-term population declines. This regional variability helps predict species responses to climate change, with the general global increase in nest counts already indicating short-term warming effects. Nesting count trends might reflect a combination of natural ecological phenomena, conservation efforts, and warming effects. Long-term studies are needed to assess global trends in the sex ratio of hatchlings and the extent to which feminisation is driving nest numbers.

受环境或人为因素的影响,海龟筑巢数量的全球趋势因地区而异。我们的研究调查了过去温度波动对这些趋势的潜在作用,特别是温暖的海滩是否与由于雌性产量增加而增加的筑巢有关(因为海龟具有依赖温度的性别决定)。我们选择红海龟(Caretta Caretta)是因为它分布广泛,具有很强的可塑性和易受环境变化的影响。我们每年对35个全球重要的繁殖地进行统计,分析区域和个别海滩的趋势。我们编制了过去40年(1979-2023)每个地点的空气(CHELSA)和陆地表面(MODIS)温度数据集。为了分析巢数和温度的时间趋势,我们使用了广义加性模型和Mann-Kendall趋势检验。此外,我们将巢数与滞后的气温变量相关联。我们在33个筑巢地点发现了明显的变暖,其中23个筑巢地点也显示了筑巢数量的显著增加。我们的研究结果表明,气温上升可能会增加加勒比海、大西洋和地中海地区(开曼群岛、墨西哥、巴西、塞浦路斯和土耳其)的巢穴数量。此外,虽然某些地区暂时受益,但持续变暖可能导致长期人口减少。这种区域差异有助于预测物种对气候变化的反应,全球范围内巢穴数量的普遍增加已经表明了短期的变暖效应。筑巢数量的趋势可能反映了自然生态现象、保护努力和变暖效应的综合影响。需要进行长期研究,以评估雏鸟性别比例的全球趋势,以及雌性化在多大程度上推动了雏鸟数量的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Frankenstein matrices: Among-population life history variation affects the reliability and predictions of demographic models. 弗兰肯斯坦矩阵:人口生活史变异影响人口模型的可靠性和预测。
IF 3.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14243
Giacomo Rosa, Benedikt R Schmidt, Jean-Paul Léna, Benjamin Monod-Broca, Leonardo Vignoli, Emilie Tournier, Eric Bonnaire, Holger Buschmann, Thierry Kinet, Arnaud Laudelout, Remi Fonters, Carlo Biancardi, Anna R Di Cerbo, Dominique Langlois, Jean-Marc Thirion, Lucy Morin, Julian Pichenot, Julien Moquet, Hugo Cayuela, Stefano Canessa

Population matrix models are routinely used to study the demography of wild populations and to guide management choices. When vital rates are unknown for a specific population or life history stage, researchers often replace them with estimates from other populations of the same species. Such 'hybrid' matrices might ignore among-population life history variation and lead to incorrect inferences. In this study, we examined the real-world effect of using hybrid matrices on demographic inference and management decisions, using a large dataset on yellow-bellied toad (Bombina variegata) populations, an amphibian species whose life history depends on human land use. We estimated stage-specific survival and recruitment for 18 populations across different habitat types. We then assessed how estimated population growth rates and elasticities changed when population-specific vital rates were replaced by estimates from other populations, chosen randomly or based on habitat, demographic or geographic proximity. The use of hybrid matrices mixing demographic estimates from different populations and habitats biased predictions. The mean bias was relatively minor even when sampling randomly across all populations, because our large dataset represented the whole range of life histories and errors cancelled out on average. However, borrowing estimates from geographically close or demographically similar populations substantially reduced the risk of extreme errors. Borrowing from populations from similar habitat types could also reduce bias, but results varied depending on the exact habitat types concerned. Our study illustrates how habitat-specific among-population variation in life history affects the reliability of population matrices commonly used in evolutionary demography, ecology and conservation. When the use of hybrid population matrices cannot be avoided, their creation can be informed by additional information about ecological or demographic patterns, helping reduce bias. When such information is not available, we recommend that studies should consider the whole space of parameter estimates (the complete range of estimates available), thus transparently describing the true uncertainty surrounding demographic estimates.

种群矩阵模型通常用于研究野生种群的人口统计和指导管理选择。当特定种群或生活史阶段的生命率未知时,研究人员通常用同一物种的其他种群的估计值来代替它们。这种“混合”矩阵可能会忽略种群间的生活史变化,从而导致不正确的推断。在这项研究中,我们使用黄腹蟾蜍(bomina variegata)种群的大型数据集,研究了使用混合矩阵对人口统计推断和管理决策的实际影响。黄腹蟾蜍是一种两栖动物物种,其生活史取决于人类的土地利用。我们估计了不同生境类型的18个种群的阶段特异性生存和招募。然后,我们评估了当随机选择或基于栖息地、人口统计学或地理邻近性的其他人口的估计值取代特定人口的生命率时,估计的人口增长率和弹性是如何变化的。使用混合矩阵混合来自不同种群和栖息地的人口统计估计有偏见的预测。即使在所有人群中随机抽样,平均偏差也相对较小,因为我们的大数据集代表了整个生活史范围,平均误差被抵消了。然而,从地理上接近或人口统计学上相似的人群中借用估计数大大减少了极端错误的风险。借鉴类似生境类型的种群也可以减少偏差,但结果因所涉及的确切生境类型而异。我们的研究说明了生活史中种群的栖息地特异性变化如何影响进化人口学、生态学和保护中常用的种群矩阵的可靠性。当无法避免使用混合种群矩阵时,可以根据有关生态或人口模式的额外信息来创建它们,从而有助于减少偏见。当没有这样的信息时,我们建议研究应该考虑参数估计的整个空间(可用估计的完整范围),从而透明地描述围绕人口估计的真实不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Animal Ecology
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