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Intelligent Prediction Model for Run-of-River Flow Considering Electricity Extreme Conditions 考虑电力极端条件的径流量智能预测模型
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.484
Raju Rai, K. Nagasaka
 Abstract —The Artificial neural networks (ANNs) is becoming a common analysis of hydrology and water resources development, management, modeling and prediction systems. Nepal is a developing country with rich in water resources, the electricity demand is very high but generation is very low. The river flow rate plays an increasingly important role in electricity generation in Nepal. To reduce the power shortage in a local community, prediction of river flow is most necessary for the Run-of-River hydropower plants in Nepal. In this research, the river flow forecasting model based on the Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) was developed using the Neural Connection. The performance of the developed model based on the results of this research, prediction of river flow was observed. One week of flow prediction test was conducted and one week ahead of its hydropower generation potential was identified. Employing Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN) method for forecasting of river flow and observed less than 8% of error of test data for one week. It has been analyzed that river flow rate prediction helps to reduce the demand for electric power and generation of hydropower plants. The prediction method optimizes and plan for the future system. The paper analyzes the river flow prediction and technical potential of electricity generation of the hydropower
摘要-人工神经网络(ann)正在成为水文水资源开发、管理、建模和预测的常用分析系统。尼泊尔是一个水资源丰富的发展中国家,电力需求很高,但发电量很低。河水流量在尼泊尔的发电中起着越来越重要的作用。为了减少当地社区的电力短缺,河流流量预测对尼泊尔的河流水电站来说是最必要的。在本研究中,利用神经连接技术建立了基于人工神经网络(ann)的河流流量预测模型。在此基础上建立的模型对河流流量的预测效果进行了验证。进行了为期一周的流量预测试验,提前一周确定了其水力发电潜力。采用径向基函数网络(RBFN)方法对河流流量进行预测,一周内实测数据误差小于8%。分析表明,河流量预测有助于减少水电厂的电力需求和发电量。该预测方法对未来系统进行了优化和规划。分析了该水电站的河流量预测和发电技术潜力
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引用次数: 0
Ethanol Production of Biomass Rich in Sugar: Energy and Environmental Opportunity 富含糖的生物质生产乙醇:能源和环境机遇
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.482
N. Nedjah, N. Laskri, D. Daas, M. Baccouche
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引用次数: 1
Water Desalination by Solar Distillation in the Southwest of Algeria 阿尔及利亚西南部太阳能蒸馏法海水淡化
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/jocet.2018.6.4.476
N. Laskri, N. Nedjah, M. Baccouche
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引用次数: 0
Simulation of Counter-Current Imbibition in SRVs of Tight Oil Reservoir 致密油储层srv逆流渗吸模拟
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.485
Zhongyi Xu, Linsong Cheng, R. Cao, Sidong Fang
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引用次数: 0
Grid-Style Modular Network Self-Organization Map for Detail Projection of Unknown Off-Shore Wind Speed 未知海上风速详细投影的网格式模块化网络自组织图
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/jocet.2018.6.4.478
M. Hayashi, K. Nagasaka
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引用次数: 0
What Can the Philippines Learn from Thailand`s ENCON Fund in Overcoming the Barriers to Developing Renewable Energy Resources 菲律宾可以从泰国的ENCON基金中学到什么,以克服发展可再生能源的障碍
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.474
Phoebe Grace J. Saculsan, A. Mori
Energy security and climate strategy are the twin goals behind the aggressive promotion of Philippines and Thailand for developing renewable energy (RE) resources. Investment in the RE sector in the Philippines, however, has been weigh down by barriers including: (i) the difficulty in accessing finance; the (ii) tedious administrative procedures; and (iii) the lack of local acceptance, as identified from documentary reviews and in the survey interview done in the Philippines in 2016. The author explores in this paper the design and the mechanism of the Energy Conservation (ENCON) Fund, a well-acclaimed innovative financing scheme which is said to be a key that makes Thailand an investment hub for clean energy investment, from which the Philippines can learn from to similarly address these barriers to its own RE goals.
能源安全和气候战略是菲律宾和泰国积极推动可再生能源(RE)开发的双重目标。然而,菲律宾对可再生能源行业的投资一直受到各种障碍的拖累,包括:(i)难以获得融资;(二)行政手续繁琐;(iii)从文献审查和2016年在菲律宾进行的调查访谈中发现,缺乏当地的接受度。作者在本文中探讨了节能(ENCON)基金的设计和机制,这是一个广受好评的创新融资计划,据说是使泰国成为清洁能源投资中心的关键,菲律宾可以从中学习,以类似地解决这些障碍,实现自己的可再生能源目标。
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引用次数: 4
Renewable Energy Situation in Ghana and Future Prospect 加纳可再生能源现状及未来展望
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.475
Jinfeng Zhang, D. Adu, Yujian Fang, Eric O. Antwi, Solomon Oppong Kyekyeku
Renewable energies represent a foundation to steer the energy system in the direction of sustainability and supply security in Ghana. The country has a huge undeveloped potential in the field of renewable energy. While Ghana has committed itself to universal electricity access by 2020, the real challenge is the capacity to meet this goal and, most important, to ensure that supply is reliable and adequate. This paper outlines the state of current electricity demand, supply gap and CVVV V the major impediments to resolve the supply bottlenecks to meet demand. The paper again discusses current Renewable energy situation of Ghana and sustainable development strategy by the Year 2020. The current status and future prospects of Renewable Energy in Ghana are also addressed in the paper. Conclusion was drawn on the role of the Government and private investors on the Renewable Energy development in the Country.
可再生能源是加纳能源系统朝着可持续发展和供应安全方向发展的基础。该国在可再生能源领域有巨大的未开发潜力。虽然加纳已承诺到2020年实现普遍供电,但真正的挑战是实现这一目标的能力,最重要的是确保供应可靠和充足。本文概述了当前电力需求的现状、供给缺口和CVVV的主要障碍,解决了CVVV的供给瓶颈,满足了需求。本文再次讨论了加纳可再生能源现状和到2020年的可持续发展战略。本文还讨论了加纳可再生能源的现状和未来前景。总结了政府和私人投资者在该国可再生能源发展方面的作用。
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引用次数: 3
Energy Consumption Model for Open-Space Geometry Building: A Study Case in Jakarta 开放空间几何建筑的能耗模型:以雅加达为例
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.486
Arum Kusuma Wardhany, I. Garniwa, Rima Kurnia Putri, Raja Dweyndo Hasintongan Gurning
 Abstract —Occupant behaviour and their activity contribute to entire building energy consumption. This study proposes energy consumption prediction model which integrates appliances category, occupancy rates and occupant activity. Site measurement method is used in collecting all appliances along with their operating characteristics. Occupant activity and working behaviour are obtained through questionnaire survey. Simulation results show that energy consumption from base appliances is stable during the working day whereas energy consumption of occupant activity and personal appliances is more fluctuate due to occupancy rates of office building. Validation process with actual energy consumption shows that simulation energy consumption using the proposed model has an average accuracy rate 94%. This model is applicable to predict the energy consumption in open-space office building by knowing occupant behaviour and appliances
摘要-居住者的行为和他们的活动有助于整个建筑的能源消耗。本研究提出综合家电类别、占用率和占用者活动的能源消耗预测模型。采用现场测量法收集所有器具及其工作特性。通过问卷调查获得居住者的活动和工作行为。仿真结果表明,基础电器的能耗在工作日内是稳定的,而人员活动和个人电器的能耗由于办公楼的入住率而波动较大。实际能耗验证过程表明,采用所提模型的仿真能耗平均准确率为94%。该模型适用于通过了解使用人的行为和电器来预测开放式办公建筑的能耗
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引用次数: 0
Comparing Energy Demand Estimation Using Artificial Algae Algorithm: The Case of Turkey 用人工藻类算法比较能源需求估算:以土耳其为例
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/jocet.2018.6.4.487
A. Beşkirli, M. Beşkirli, Huseyin Hakli, Harun Uguz
Energy demand estimation is an important issue in terms of the economy and resources of a country. In this study, an Artificial Algae Algorithm (AAA) was used to estimate Turkey’s long-term energy demand. The AAA is a fast, powerful and effective evolutionary optimization technique used to solve continuous optimization problems. Two different equations (linear and exponential) were used for the energy demand estimation by considering the relationship between the increase in economic indicators and the increase in energy consumption in Turkey. Turkey’s long-term energy demand was estimated from 2006 to 2025 with the AAA method by using gross national product (GNP) and information about imports, exports and population. The AAA method was compared to other methods in published literature to show its success when applied to the energy demand problem. It was found that the results obtained by the proposed method were more robust and successful than those of the other methods.
能源需求估算是一个关系到国家经济和资源的重要问题。在本研究中,使用人工藻类算法(AAA)来估计土耳其的长期能源需求。AAA是一种快速、强大、有效的进化优化技术,用于解决连续优化问题。考虑到土耳其经济指标的增加与能源消耗增加之间的关系,使用了两个不同的方程(线性和指数)来估计能源需求。土耳其从2006年到2025年的长期能源需求,采用AAA方法,使用国民生产总值(GNP)和有关进口、出口和人口的信息。将AAA方法与已发表文献中的其他方法进行了比较,以显示其在解决能源需求问题时的成功。结果表明,与其他方法相比,该方法具有更好的鲁棒性和有效性。
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引用次数: 10
Public Readiness to Adopt Solar Energy – Responses of Some Finnish Citizens 公众准备采用太阳能-一些芬兰公民的反应
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.4.473
Md Abdul Hai, S. Mekhilef, K. Hossain
 Abstract —Although most of the Finns are positive toward solar energy, they have long been stumbled to adopt and hesitated to rely on it due to its traditional weak images and mostly unfavourable weather conditions. However, in solar energy, Finland is already credited to award-winning innovation, demonstration projects, business models, and so on. Additionally, decreased price and the availability of some incentives have got the public attraction. In such contexts, the prospects of solar energy in the country in terms of public readiness to invest and adopt, have induced this study to undertake. Results driven by this qualitative study through some semi-structured interviews have shown a trend of escalating social acceptance rate of solar energy among Finns. However, they were seemed to be still entangled with some misconceptions, lack of well-exposed information, good numbers of visible success stories, etc. This study has also included some recommendations and future research
摘要-尽管大多数芬兰人对太阳能持积极态度,但由于其传统的弱图像和大多不利的天气条件,他们长期以来一直在采用和犹豫是否依赖太阳能。然而,在太阳能领域,芬兰已经因屡获殊荣的创新、示范项目、商业模式等而受到赞誉。此外,降低的价格和一些激励措施的可用性也得到了公众的吸引力。在这种情况下,就公众投资和采用太阳能的意愿而言,该国太阳能的前景促使进行这项研究。通过一些半结构化访谈的定性研究结果显示,芬兰人对太阳能的社会接受率呈上升趋势。然而,他们似乎仍然纠缠于一些误解,缺乏充分暴露的信息,大量可见的成功故事等。本研究还包括了一些建议和未来的研究
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Clean Energy Technologies
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