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Alteration zone mapping in tropical region: A comparison between data-driven and knowledge-driven techniques 热带地区的蚀变带绘图:数据驱动技术与知识驱动技术的比较
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02386-0
Pankajini Mahanta, Sabyasachi Maiti

Mapping alteration zones, a crucial step for mineral exploration, faces challenges in tropical areas. Dense vegetation hides important geological features, recent clay formation hides deeper alterations, and human activities like farming make it more complicated. However, alteration zones are crucial clues for specific ore deposits. We explore two approaches: one based on knowledge and the other on data. The knowledge-driven method involves experienced geologists analyzing GIS layers, including lineaments, drainage patterns, rock types, and topography. They use this data to identify key signs of ore-forming alterations. Translating this expert knowledge into spatial data helps us map alteration zones effectively. While this approach provides good approximations, it lacks direct evidence. The data-driven method involves advanced remote sensing tools like ASTER imagery. High-resolution data allows us to use image processing techniques to extract alteration information. However, conventional techniques face challenges in the tropics due to dense vegetation and human activity. To overcome this, we use machine learning algorithms trained on carefully selected samples. We found that among selected ASTER-derived products of conventional DIP techniques (reflectance, band ratio, PCA, DPCA), directed PCA alone is capable of demarcating alteration for the study area with a total accuracy of 81.41, 83.92, and 84.42% for LR, ANN, and RF, respectively. Besides, we used contextual geological evidence of alteration presence as another validation method. To validate results, we use the knowledge-driven approach again, employing Relative Alteration Indexes. All alteration indicative field and geological knowledge were weighted with the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and spatially integrated with three probability classes in the GIS platform. This combined strategy reveals that while Random Forest has the highest accuracy, Logistic Regression yields more geologically significant results. The high value of Relative Alteration Indexes representing highly altered zones indicates their successful mapping from both data and knowledge-driven techniques. This study shows the strengths of both approaches in understanding alteration zones in the tropics. By combining expert knowledge with advanced technology, we can pinpoint areas rich in valuable minerals, even in difficult-to-explore places. Our successful test in the South Purulia region suggests similar discoveries are possible in other unknown areas.

绘制蚀变带地图是矿产勘探的关键步骤,但在热带地区却面临着挑战。茂密的植被掩盖了重要的地质特征,新近形成的粘土掩盖了更深层的蚀变,而耕作等人类活动则使情况更加复杂。然而,蚀变带是特定矿藏的重要线索。我们探索了两种方法:一种基于知识,另一种基于数据。知识驱动法是由经验丰富的地质学家分析地理信息系统图层,包括线形、排水模式、岩石类型和地形。他们利用这些数据来识别成矿变化的关键迹象。将这些专家知识转化为空间数据,有助于我们有效地绘制蚀变区地图。虽然这种方法提供了很好的近似值,但缺乏直接证据。数据驱动法涉及先进的遥感工具,如 ASTER 图像。高分辨率数据使我们能够利用图像处理技术提取蚀变信息。然而,由于植被茂密和人类活动,传统技术在热带地区面临挑战。为了克服这一问题,我们使用了在精心挑选的样本上进行训练的机器学习算法。我们发现,在选定的 ASTER 导出传统 DIP 技术(反射率、波段比、PCA、DPCA)产品中,仅定向 PCA 就能划分研究区域的蚀变,LR、ANN 和 RF 的总准确率分别为 81.41%、83.92% 和 84.42%。此外,我们还将蚀变存在的背景地质证据作为另一种验证方法。为了验证结果,我们再次采用知识驱动法,使用相对蚀变指数。我们采用层次分析法(AHP)对所有指示性蚀变的实地和地质知识进行了加权,并在地理信息系统平台中将其与三个概率类别进行了空间整合。这一综合策略表明,虽然随机森林的准确性最高,但逻辑回归的结果更具地质意义。代表高蚀变区的相对蚀变指数值很高,这表明数据和知识驱动技术都能成功绘制高蚀变区地图。这项研究显示了这两种方法在了解热带地区蚀变区方面的优势。通过将专家知识与先进技术相结合,我们可以精确定位富含有价值矿物的区域,即使是在难以勘探的地方。我们在南普鲁利亚地区的成功试验表明,在其他未知地区也有可能发现类似的矿藏。
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引用次数: 0
Chemical hydrogeodynamics of the Kultuk groundwater reservoir vs. paragenetically related large earthquakes in the central Baikal Rift System, Siberia 库尔图克地下水库的化学水文地质动力学与西伯利亚贝加尔裂谷系统中部同源大地震的关系
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02392-2
S V Rasskazov, A M Ilyasova, S V Snopkov, I S Chuvashova, S A Bornyakov, E P Chebykin

Abstract

Groundwater monitoring has been performed in a well of the Kultuk area on the western shore of Lake Baikal since 2013. Compression and extension of the near-surface crust are defined through measurements of an AR4/8 (234U/238U activity ratio) and an A4 (234U activity) in groundwater from the Kultuk reservoir. Its thermal state is estimated by determining thermophilic macrocomponents Si, Na, and microcomponent Li. The recorded change in the groundwater reservoir and coeval seismogenic processes, which resulted in earthquakes of the central Baikal Rift System, are considered paragenetically related near-surface and deeper processes of the crust, respectively. It is inferred that compression of the Kultuk area, accompanied by the Goloustnoe earthquake in 2015, was changed by its extension during the strong Baikal–Khubsugul seismic reactivation in 2020–2023. Under compression of the crust, groundwater ascended from a shallow part of the reservoir of 0.5–0.9 km episodically heated up to 116°C by friction in a fault plane. Afterward, a deeper hydrogeodynamic center was generated with its final localization at a depth of about 1.2 km in 2019–2020; during the subsequent Baikal–Khubsugul seismic reactivation, groundwater mainly upraised from the hydrogeodynamic center with frictional heating in a fault plane up to 99°C. Episodic penetration of groundwater portions from depth up to 1.6 km accompanied a slight upward enlargement of an active part of the reservoir to 1 km. The further monitoring of chemical hydrogeodynamics of the Kultuk reservoir may provide a forecast of seismic hazards in the central Baikal Rift System.

Research highlights

  • 10-year groundwater monitoring in the Kultuk area of the western shore of Lake Baikal shows the temporal change of compression and extension of the near-surface crust through measurements of an AR4/8 (234U/238U activity ratio) and an A4 (234U activity). Compression was accompanied by the moderate Goloustnoe earthquake in 2015. Change to extension results in strong Baikal–Khubsugul seismic reactivation in 2020–2023.

  • The thermal state in the Kultuk water reservoir is estimated by determining thermophilic macrocomponents Si, Na, and microcomponent Li. Under compression of the crust, groundwater ascended from a shallow part of the reservoir of 0.5–0.9 km episodically heated up to 116°C by friction in a fault plane. During the Baikal–Khubsugul seismic reactivation, groundwater mainly upraised from the hydrogeodynamic center with frictional heating in a fault plane up to 99°C.

  • The further monitoring of chemical hydrogeodynamics of the Kultuk reservoir may provide a forecast of seismic hazards in the central Baikal Rift System.

摘要 自2013年以来,对贝加尔湖西岸库尔图克地区的一口水井进行了地下水监测。通过测量库尔图克水库地下水中的AR4/8(234U/238U活度比)和A4(234U活度),确定了近地表地壳的压缩和延伸。通过测定嗜热宏观成分 Si、Na 和微观成分 Li,对其热状态进行了估算。记录的地下水储层变化和共生地震过程(导致贝加尔裂谷系统中部发生地震)被认为分别与地壳的近地表过程和深层过程具有同源关系。据推断,在 2020-2023 年贝加尔湖-库布苏古尔强震再活化期间,库尔图克地区因 2020-2023 年贝加尔湖-库布苏古尔强震再活化期间的延伸而发生了变化。在地壳压缩的作用下,地下水从 0.5-0.9 千米的浅层储层上升,在断层面的摩擦作用下,地下水偶然被加热至 116°C。之后,产生了一个较深的水文地质动力中心,其最终位置在 2019-2020 年期间位于约 1.2 千米深处;在随后的贝加尔湖-库布苏古尔地震重启期间,地下水主要从水文地质动力中心上升,在断层面上摩擦加热至 99°C。地下水部分从 1.6 千米深处间歇性渗入,同时储层的活跃部分略微向上扩大到 1 千米。对库尔图克储层化学水文地质动力学的进一步监测可为预测贝加尔湖中部裂谷系统的地震危害提供依据。研究重点通过对 AR4/8(234U/238U 放射性活度比)和 A4(234U 放射性活度)的测量,对贝加尔湖西岸库尔图克地区进行的 10 年地下水监测显示了近地表地壳压缩和延伸的时间变化。压缩伴随着 2015 年 Goloustnoe 中度地震的发生。通过测定嗜热宏观成分Si、Na和微观成分Li,估计了库尔图克水库的热状态。在地壳压缩的情况下,地下水从储层 0.5-0.9 千米的浅层部分上升,在断层面的摩擦作用下偶发加热至 116°C。在贝加尔湖-库布苏古尔地震重启期间,地下水主要从水文地质动力中心上升,在断层面的摩擦加热下,温度高达 99°C。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of a Proterozoic suture along the southern part of Eastern Ghats Mobile Belt: Implications for the Nuna supercontinent 东高止山脉移动带南部新生代缝合的证据:对努纳超大陆的影响
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02396-y
Yellalacheruvu Giri, M Radhakrishna, Peter Betts, T K Biswal, Robin Armit, Sumanta Kumar Sathapathy, P U Naveen

Abstract

The Mesoproterozoic rocks of the Krishna Province in the Eastern Ghats Mobile Belt are situated at the edge of the Indian interior cratons and the mobile belts along the edge. We use newly acquired high-resolution gravity and magnetic along with the regional geophysical data to delineate the faults, lineaments, and subsurface boundaries between the various domains of the Krishna Province. We use this data to forward model the crustal architecture below these terranes. Our analysis shows that the Ongole domain rocks are continuing further southwards up to the Nellore and below the K–G Basin on the north side at subsurface levels. The Vinjamur and Udayagiri domains of the Krishna Province are merged into a single narrow belt known as the Nellore–Khammam Schist Belt. The joint 2D modelling of the gravity and magnetic data across these domains reveals two easterly dipping parallel thrusts separating the Dharwar–Nellore–Khammam Schist Belt and Nellore–Khammam Schist Belt–Eastern Ghats Mobile Belt, respectively. The interpreted suture between the Nellore–Khammam Schist Belt and Ongole domain of EGMB is characterized by the ophiolite and alkaline complexes of Mesoproterozoic ages. We propose that the collision between the Krishna Province and Indian Cratons occurred during the Nuna amalgamation.

Research highlights

  • The detailed crustal structure across the Dharwar Craton and EGMB was analyzed using geophysical data.

  • Redefined the boundaries between the various domains of the Krishna Province.

  • A paleo suture was identified between the Eastern Ghats Mobile Belt and the Nellore–Khammam Schist Belt.

摘要东高止山脉移动带克里希纳省的中新生代岩石位于印度内部陨石坑和移动带的边缘。我们利用新获得的高分辨率重力和磁力以及区域地球物理数据来划分克里希纳省各域之间的断层、线状构造和地下边界。我们利用这些数据对这些地层下方的地壳结构进行了前瞻性建模。我们的分析表明,翁戈尔(Ongole)岩域的岩石继续向南延伸,直至内洛尔(Nellore)和北侧 K-G 盆地之下的次表层。克里希纳省的 Vinjamur 域和 Udayagiri 域合并成了一个狭窄的带,即内洛尔-卡马姆片岩带。通过对这些岩域的重力和磁力数据进行联合二维建模,发现了两条向东倾斜的平行推力带,分别将达尔瓦-内洛尔-哈曼片岩带和内洛尔-哈曼片岩带-东高止山脉移动带分开。内洛尔-哈马姆片岩带和东高止山脉翁戈尔域之间的解释缝合线的特征是中新生代的蛇绿岩和碱性复合岩。我们认为克里希纳省和印度克拉通之间的碰撞发生在努纳混杂时期。研究重点利用地球物理数据分析了达尔瓦克拉通和东高止山脉的详细地壳结构,重新界定了克里希纳省各域之间的边界,确定了东高止山脉移动带和内洛尔-哈马姆片岩带之间的古缝合线。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of urban sprawl using proximity factors in Lucknow City, India 利用邻近因素评估印度勒克瑙市的城市无计划扩展情况
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02394-0
Gaurav Kumar Mishra, Amit M Deshmukh

Urban sprawl usually expands in regularized and natural forms, and the character of an urban sprawl is found complex and unclear. Therefore, it becomes necessary to distinguish the character of an urban sprawl for sustainability in all aspects. In this paper, we have identified the proximity factors by which we could distinguish between both forms, i.e., regularized and natural expansion. We performed buffer analysis to calculate the areas covered by each land-use land-cover class in each buffer separately. Then, Shannon’s entropy index was calculated for each buffer zone and dataset. Geomatics tools were used to analyze the historical datasets, which included land-use land-cover maps, population density maps, and proximity maps.

城市无序扩张通常以规则化和自然的形式扩展,而城市无序扩张的特征是复杂和不明确的。因此,有必要区分城市扩张的特征,以实现各方面的可持续发展。在本文中,我们确定了一些邻近因素,通过这些因素我们可以区分两种形式,即规则化扩张和自然扩张。我们进行了缓冲区分析,分别计算了每个缓冲区中每个土地利用土地覆被类别所覆盖的面积。然后,计算每个缓冲区和数据集的香农熵指数。我们使用地理信息工具分析了历史数据集,其中包括土地利用土地覆被图、人口密度图和邻近图。
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引用次数: 0
Integration of machine learning and remote sensing for assessing the change detection of mangrove forests along the Mumbai coast 整合机器学习和遥感技术,评估孟买沿岸红树林的变化探测情况
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02378-0
Suraj Sawant, Praneetha Bonala, Amit Joshi, Mahesh Shindikar, Abhilasha Patil, Swapnil Vyas, Deepti Deobagkar

Mangrove forests, being high-yielding ecosystems, often dominate the intertidal sites along equatorial and subtropical coasts. Despite the known significance of mangroves to the coastal ecology, especially fisheries, deforestation remains a severe danger due to coercion for forest products, ground transformation for aquaculture, and seaside urban growth. Remote sensing is integral in mapping and analysing changes in mangrove forests’ areal extent and spatial patterns due to natural disasters and anthropogenic causes over the last three decades. This work depicts remote sensing analysis for change detection in mangrove forest land use land cover from 2014 to 2019. Indian Remote-Sensing Satellite Resourcesat-2 LISS-IV datasets have been used for analysis. A comparison with the Sentinel-2A dataset and two machine learning models: Random Forest and Classification and Regression Tree, has been performed with 2019 data. This work identifies CART as a suitable choice for supervised landform classification utilising remotely sensed geophysical data that is used to decipher spatial changes concurred over time. An overall growth in the mangrove cover was observed from 2014 to 2019, from 86.26 to 89.63 ({hbox {km}^{2}}), along the Mumbai coastline. Spatial comparison over the years shows the growth and loss of land-use cover areas. The performance metrics such as overall accuracy, producer accuracy, Kappa coefficient, and Matthews correlation coefficient are computed. The experiments were conducted using the Google Earth Engine, a powerful cloud computing platform.

红树林是高产生态系统,通常占据赤道和亚热带沿海潮间带的主要位置。尽管红树林对沿海生态,尤其是渔业的重要性众所周知,但由于林产品的胁迫、水产养殖的地面改造以及海滨城市的发展,毁林仍然是一个严重的危险。遥感技术是绘制和分析过去三十年中由于自然灾害和人为原因造成的红树林面积和空间格局变化不可或缺的一部分。本作品描绘了 2014 年至 2019 年红树林土地利用土地覆盖变化的遥感分析。印度遥感卫星资源卫星-2 LISS-IV 数据集被用于分析。与哨兵-2A 数据集和两种机器学习模型进行了比较:使用 2019 年的数据对随机森林和分类与回归树进行了比较。这项工作确定了 CART 是利用遥感地球物理数据进行监督地貌分类的合适选择,可用于解读随时间发生的空间变化。从 2014 年到 2019 年,孟买海岸线上的红树林覆盖率从 86.26 ({hbox{km}^{2}})增加到 89.63 ({hbox{km}^{2}})。多年来的空间对比显示了土地利用覆盖面积的增长和减少。计算了总体准确度、生产者准确度、卡帕系数和马修斯相关系数等性能指标。实验使用功能强大的云计算平台谷歌地球引擎进行。
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引用次数: 0
Impact assessment of precipitation and temperature trends on crop yield in water stress zone of Bundelkhand, India 降水和温度趋势对印度邦德尔坎德邦水资源紧张地区作物产量的影响评估
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02382-4
Rahul Dwivedi, Vivek Kumar, Deepak Khare

The study of the statistical trends on rainfall and temperature is much more efficient for hydrological design and planning for scarce water availability zones. In the present study, the sequential Mann–Kendall test (SqMKT) on the Mat-Lab platform is used to study the pattern of rainfall series and temperature series data of the Tikamgarh area of India, surrounded by five stations (nearby) from 2000 to 2020. The SqMKT is mainly used to perform non-linear trends on the rainfall and temperature series. In the SqMKT analysis on rainfall series projects, there was no significant trend in all months, except in the month of June. These months have intersecting points, and each point has Z values in the range of –0.5 < Z < 1.5. The SqMKT analysis on the temperature series shows a significant trend in the months of April, June, July and December, respectively, whereas the remaining months do not have any pattern or trend, similar to the rainfall series and temperature series have u values in the range of –0.5 < u < 1.5. The global climatic pattern is somewhat directly or indirectly connected to the Indian climate pattern, which results in variations in rainfall and temperature patterns from year to year. The indefinite variation in rainfall and temperature results in a direct impact on crop yield and crop water demand or total water availability.

研究降雨和气温的统计趋势对于缺水地区的水文设计和规划更为有效。本研究使用 Mat-Lab 平台上的序列 Mann-Kendall 检验(SqMKT)来研究 2000 年至 2020 年印度提坎加尔地区降雨序列和气温序列数据的模式,该地区周围有五个站点(附近)。SqMKT 主要用于对降雨量和温度序列进行非线性趋势分析。在降雨序列项目的 SqMKT 分析中,除 6 月份外,其他月份均无明显趋势。这些月份有相交点,每个点的 Z 值范围为 -0.5 < Z < 1.5。对气温序列的 SqMKT 分析表明,4 月、6 月、7 月和 12 月分别有明显的趋势,而其余月份没有任何模式或趋势,这与降雨量序列和气温序列的 u 值在 -0.5 < u < 1.5 范围内类似。全球气候模式在某种程度上直接或间接地与印度的气候模式相关联,从而导致每年降雨量和气温模式的变化。降雨量和温度的不定变化直接影响到作物产量和作物需水量或总供水量。
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引用次数: 0
Chrono-environmental dynamics of Yercaud Lake sediments (Eastern Ghats, South India) over the last 2500 years: Insights from AMS radiocarbon dating, particle size distribution, and stable isotope composition 耶尔考德湖沉积物(印度南部东高止山脉)过去 2500 年的年代环境动态:从 AMS 放射性碳年代测定、粒度分布和稳定同位素组成中获得的启示
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02371-7
Gopal Veeramalai, Hema Achyuthan, Christopher Eastoe

A 40-cm core of lake-bottom silt from Yercaud Lake (Eastern Ghats, south India) dates from 2500 years ago to the present, as confirmed by AMS radiocarbon dating. The average deposition rate varied from 0.024 to 0.008 cm/yr. Sediment particle size distribution, stable isotopes (δ13C and δ15N), C/N, and total organic carbon (TOC) were investigated as indicators of environmental change. In the top 10 cm are the coarsest sediments, which range from silt to silty sand and have a TOC of up to 5%. Algal lacustrine organic matter is combined with terrestrial or wetland organic matter from vascular plants to form organic matter (OM) with a C/N ratio of 12–18. High C/N levels are associated with low 13C and high TOC contents, indicating periods of drier climate between 0–500 and 800–2000 years BP. Grain-size characteristics, which fluctuate independently of OM qualities, are likely to have changed because of intensive human use of the lake basin in the past 600 years. Climate changes observed in OM do not correspond to changes observed in other south Indian lakes where precipitation is primarily from the southwest monsoon.

经 AMS 放射性碳测年确认,耶尔考德湖(印度南部东高止山脉)40 厘米湖底淤泥岩芯的年代为 2500 年前至今。平均沉积速率从 0.024 厘米/年到 0.008 厘米/年不等。沉积物粒度分布、稳定同位素(δ13C 和 δ15N)、C/N 和总有机碳(TOC)是环境变化的指标。顶部 10 厘米处是最粗糙的沉积物,从淤泥到淤泥质沙不等,总有机碳含量高达 5%。藻类湖沼有机物与维管束植物产生的陆地或湿地有机物相结合,形成 C/N 比值为 12-18 的有机物(OM)。高 C/N 含量与低 13C 和高 TOC 含量有关,表明在公元前 0-500 年和 800-2000 年之间气候较为干燥。粒度特征的波动与 OM 质量无关,可能是由于过去 600 年人类对湖盆的大量使用而发生了变化。在 OM 中观察到的气候变化与在印度南部其他湖泊中观察到的变化不一致,这些湖泊的降水主要来自西南季风。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal changes in b-value associated with the 2023 Türkiye earthquake 与 2023 年图尔基耶地震相关的 b 值时空变化
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02398-w
Fahriye Akar

b-value analysis obtained using earthquake catalogues has been associated with stress accumulation for a very long time. In this study, the spatial and temporal distribution of the b-value, also known as the frequency magnitude distribution factor, was calculated and examined before and after the February 6, 2023, Kahramanmaraş earthquakes (Mw 7.7 and Mw 7.6). For this, all earthquakes that occurred between 1900 and the earthquakes of February 6, 2023, and all aftershocks that occurred until September 1, 2023, were used. A circular area with a radius of 300 km, including nearby active faults from the center of the first earthquake to the center of the second earthquake, was divided into grids of equal size. The b-value was calculated for each grid using the maximum likelihood method. Very low b values were detected in the area where the first earthquake occurred, and it was observed that the b-value decreased relatively in the area where the second earthquake occurred. From the change in b-value over time, it was determined that the b-value has decreased significantly in recent years. This situation is associated with stress accumulation in the area where both earthquakes occurred, especially the low b values of the region where the first earthquake occurred. The fact that b values obtained using aftershocks are still low suggests that stress in the region is not completely released, has not been completely relieved and aftershocks will continue for a long time.

长期以来,利用地震目录获得的 b 值分析一直与应力累积有关。本研究计算并研究了 2023 年 2 月 6 日卡赫拉曼马拉什地震(震级 7.7 级和 7.6 级)前后 b 值(又称震级频率分布系数)的时空分布情况。为此,使用了 1900 年至 2023 年 2 月 6 日发生的所有地震以及 2023 年 9 月 1 日之前发生的所有余震。半径为 300 千米的圆形区域(包括从第一次地震中心到第二次地震中心的附近活动断层)被划分为大小相等的网格。采用最大似然法计算每个网格的 b 值。在第一次地震发生的区域检测到了非常低的 b 值,并且观察到在第二次地震发生的区域,b 值相对减小。根据 b 值随时间的变化,可以确定近年来 b 值明显下降。这种情况与两次地震发生地区的应力积累有关,尤其是第一次地震发生地区的 b 值较低。利用余震获得的 b 值仍然很低,这表明该地区的应力还没有完全释放,还没有完全缓解,余震还将持续很长时间。
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引用次数: 0
The water budget of the Mahadayi river and its implications for the inter-state dispute 马哈达伊河的水量预算及其对国家间争端的影响
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02389-x
K Anilkumar, D Shankar, K Suprit

We assess the water budget of the Mahadayi river, an inter-state basin on India’s west coast with a long-running dispute. We seek to answer the following question: What is the discharge at any given location along the Mahadayi river or its tributaries on any given day? After presenting the dispute and the decisions of the tribunal, we describe the modelling framework, which is able to simulate the high rainfall gradients in the neighbourhood of the ridge associated with the Sahyadris, the high discharge during the summer monsoon, the much weaker discharge following the monsoon, and the high abstraction during monsoon onset. The model is not designed to simulate the negligible dry-season discharge. The simulation yields the daily time series of discharge at any location along the Mahadayi or its tributaries. For the Kalasa nala, there is a significant impact of the permitted diversion in the northern part of the Mhadei Wildlife Sanctuary, but the impact on the Mahadayi discharge or the Mandovi estuary is less than the natural variability. The Bhandura diversion has a minor impact on the discharge at the Goa–Karnataka border. Based on the simulated water budget, we suggest possible solutions to resolve the dispute.

我们评估了马哈达伊河的水量预算,这是印度西海岸的一个邦际流域,长期以来一直存在争端。我们试图回答以下问题:马哈达伊河或其支流沿岸任何地点在任何一天的排水量是多少?在介绍了争端和仲裁庭的裁决之后,我们介绍了建模框架,该框架能够模拟与萨哈德里斯山脉相关的山脊附近的高降雨梯度、夏季季风期间的高排水量、季风过后弱得多的排水量以及季风来临时的高取水量。该模型无法模拟可忽略不计的旱季排水量。模拟可得出马哈达伊河或其支流沿岸任何地点的日排泄量时间序列。就 Kalasa nala 而言,马代野生动物保护区北部允许的分流会产生重大影响,但对马哈达伊河或曼多维河口排水量的影响小于自然变化。班杜拉引水对果阿-卡纳塔克邦边界的排水量影响较小。根据模拟的水量预算,我们提出了解决争端的可行方案。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and detecting causes of changes in spatial patterns of extreme rainfall in southwestern Iran 确定和检测伊朗西南部极端降雨空间模式变化的原因
IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12040-024-02400-5
Esmaeil Abbasi, Hana Etemadi, Mohammad Hassan Mahoutchi, Morteza Khalaj, Ali Torabi Haghighi
<h3 data-test="abstract-sub-heading">Abstract</h3><p>Extreme rainfall in southwestern Iran annually leads to considerable financial and human losses. Reports over several years show different levels of damage caused by these events. This study aims to identify and investigate changes in the spatial patterns of systems that generate extreme rainfall in southwestern Iran. We utilized the maximum 24-hr precipitation from seven synoptic stations in southwestern Iran from 1971 to 2020. The principal component analysis technique was utilized on geopotential height data at 500 hpa to identify spatial patterns of precipitation. The data was collected from 5° to 60°N and 10° to 70°E that were received from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset. The study period was divided into two based on the identified change point by the Pettitt test, and according to the results, the first climatic period in southwestern Iran had nine sources or components of extreme rainfall. In comparison, in the second period, they had eight sources of extreme rainfall. The most important source of extreme rainfall for both periods and the first source of the second period are located at 15° north latitude over the Indian Ocean, the Arabian Sea, the southern Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, and certain areas in the eastern tropical regions of Africa.</p><h3 data-test="abstract-sub-heading">Research highlights</h3><p>As a result, the statistical period was divided into two periods of 21 and 29 years. The first period, which includes 82 extreme rainfall events, spans from 1971 to 1991, and the second period, which provides 96 extreme rainfall events, spans from 1992 to 2020. The most important source of extreme rainfall for both periods and the first source of the second period are located at 15º north latitude over the Indian Ocean, the Arabian Sea, the southern Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, and certain areas in the eastern tropical regions of Africa. This component accounts for 18.8 and 20.8% of the total variance in the data for the first and second climatic periods, respectively. It has the most significant impact on changes in the topography of the 500 hpa geopotential height. As a result, changes in the topography of the 500 hpa geopotential height in these regions have played a crucial role in forming systems that create extreme rainfall in southwestern Iran. This source facilitates the advection of moisture in the upper and middle levels of the atmosphere towards the studied area due to the circulation of high pressure at the 500 hpa level. In addition, the formation of low-pressure thermal centers and the displacement of their tongues towards the studied area are crucial in extreme rainfall in the study area. The location of sources that create extreme rainfall systems did not see significant changes between the two climatic periods, but their importance in forming these systems varied. Additionally, there were no significant spatial changes in the sources of extreme rainfall formation i
摘要 伊朗西南部的特大暴雨每年都会造成巨大的经济和人员损失。几年来的报告显示,这些事件造成了不同程度的损失。本研究旨在确定和调查伊朗西南部产生极端降雨的系统空间模式的变化。我们利用了 1971 年至 2020 年伊朗西南部七个同步站 24 小时的最大降水量。对 500 hpa 的位势高度数据采用了主成分分析技术,以确定降水的空间模式。数据收集范围为北纬 5°至 60°,东经 10°至 70°,数据来自 NCEP/NCAR 再分析数据集。根据佩蒂特检验确定的变化点,研究时段被分为两个,结果显示,伊朗西南部的第一个气候期有 9 个极端降雨源或降雨成分。相比之下,第二气候期有 8 个极端降雨源。这两个时期最重要的极端降雨源和第二个时期的第一个极端降雨源都位于北纬 15°的印度洋、阿拉伯海、红海南部、亚丁湾和非洲东部热带地区的某些地区。第一阶段从 1971 年到 1991 年,共发生了 82 次极端降雨事件;第二阶段从 1992 年到 2020 年,共发生了 96 次极端降雨事件。这两个时期最重要的极端降雨源和第二个时期的第一个极端降雨源都位于北纬 15 度的印度洋、阿拉伯海、红海南部、亚丁湾和非洲东部热带地区的某些地区。这一成分分别占第一和第二气候期数据总方差的 18.8%和 20.8%。它对 500 hpa 位势高度的地形变化影响最大。因此,这些地区 500 hpa 位势高度地形的变化在形成伊朗西南部极端降雨系统方面发挥了至关重要的作用。由于 500 hpa 气压层的高压环流,这一来源促进了大气中上层的水汽向研究地区的平流。此外,低压热力中心的形成及其向研究地区的舌状位移对研究地区的极端降雨至关重要。形成极端降雨系统的源头位置在两个气候期之间没有显著变化,但它们在形成这些系统中的重要性却各不相同。此外,在两个气候期间,伊朗西南部的极端降雨形成源在空间上没有明显变化,但其强度发生了变化。例如,第七个降雨源在第一个气候期(PC7)的影响较弱,但在第二个气候期(PC5)却有所增强。在这一来源中,俄罗斯上空出现的海脊加强了西伯利亚高压系统,使其向伊朗上空扩展。当这些高压脊扩大并经过阿曼海和波斯湾时,它们将水汽输送到研究区域。相反,第八个源在第一个气候期(PC8)的影响较大,而在第二个气候期(PC4)的影响较小。该地理区域 500 hpa 气压水平的变化主要与不同阻塞系统的形成以及罗斯比波的断裂有关。这些系统的南部分支影响了研究区域。
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Journal of Earth System Science
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