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The Evolution of Work from Home 在家工作的演变
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.23
José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis
Full days worked at home account for 28 percent of paid workdays among Americans 20–64 years old, as of mid-2023. That’s about four times the 2019 rate and ten times the rate in the mid-1990s. We first explain why the big shift to work from home has endured rather than reverting to prepandemic levels. We then consider how work-from-home rates vary by worker age, sex, education, parental status, industry and local population density, and why it is higher in the United States than other countries. We also discuss some implications for pay, productivity, and the pace of innovation. Over the next five years, US business executives anticipate modest increases in work-from-home rates at their own companies. Other factors that portend an enduring shift to work from home include the ongoing adaptation of managerial practices and further advances in technologies, products, and tools that support remote work.
截至2023年中期,20-64岁的美国人在家工作的天数占带薪工作日的28%。这大约是2019年的4倍,是上世纪90年代中期的10倍。我们首先解释为什么在家工作的大转变持续了下来,而不是恢复到大流行前的水平。然后,我们考虑在家工作的比率如何随工人年龄、性别、教育程度、父母身份、行业和当地人口密度而变化,以及为什么美国的在家工作比率高于其他国家。我们还讨论了对薪酬、生产力和创新速度的一些影响。未来5年,美国企业高管预计,他们自己公司的在家办公费率将小幅上升。其他预示着长期在家工作的因素包括管理实践的不断适应以及支持远程工作的技术、产品和工具的进一步进步。
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引用次数: 0
Transmission Impossible? Prospects for Decarbonizing the US Grid 传输不可能吗?美国电网脱碳的前景
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.155
Lucas W. Davis, Catherine Hausman, Nancy L. Rose
Encouraged by the declining cost of grid-scale renewables, recent analyses conclude that the United States could reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 at relatively low cost using currently available technologies. While the cost of renewable generation has declined dramatically, integrating these renewables would require a large expansion in transmission to deliver that power. Already there is growing evidence that the United States has insufficient transmission capacity, and current levels of annual investment are well below what would be required for a renewables-dominated system. We describe a variety of challenges that make it difficult to build new transmission and potential policy responses to mitigate them, as well as possible substitutes for some new transmission capacity.
受电网规模可再生能源成本下降的鼓舞,最近的分析得出结论,美国可以在2050年之前以相对较低的成本利用现有技术实现二氧化碳净零排放。虽然可再生能源发电的成本急剧下降,但整合这些可再生能源将需要大规模扩展传输以提供电力。已经有越来越多的证据表明,美国的输电能力不足,目前的年度投资水平远低于可再生能源主导的系统所需的水平。我们描述了各种各样的挑战,这些挑战使得建立新的传输和潜在的政策应对措施变得困难,以及一些新的传输能力的可能替代品。
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引用次数: 0
Early Career Paths of Economists Inside and Outside of Academia 学术界内外经济学家的早期职业道路
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.231
Lucia Foster, Erika McEntarfer, Danielle H. Sandler
Economics job candidates face considerable professional and financial uncertainties when deciding between academic and nonacademic career paths. Using novel panel data, we provide a broad picture of PhD economists’ early career mobility and earnings growth–both in and outside of academia. We find that academic jobs have fallen to just over half of US placements, with growing shares in tech, consulting, and government. We document considerable early career job mobility and higher earnings growth among job changers, private-sector economists, and men. We also find an earnings premium for graduates of top-ranked PhD programs that grows over early career years in academia while shrinking in the private sector. These different earnings dynamics mean the opportunity cost (in terms of potential earnings) of remaining in academia is generally less for graduates of top-ranked programs, although there is significant dispersion in mid-career earnings among these academics.
经济学的求职者在选择学术和非学术的职业道路时,面临着相当大的专业和财务上的不确定性。使用新颖的面板数据,我们提供了博士经济学家早期职业流动性和收入增长的广泛图景-无论是在学术界还是在学术界之外。我们发现,在美国,学术职位的比例已降至略高于一半,科技、咨询和政府职位的比例不断上升。我们发现,在换工作的人、私营部门经济学家和男性中,职业早期的工作流动性相当大,收入增长也较高。我们还发现,顶级博士项目毕业生的收入溢价在学术界职业生涯的早期有所增长,而在私营部门则有所下降。这些不同的收入动态意味着,对于排名靠前的项目的毕业生来说,留在学术界的机会成本(就潜在收入而言)通常更低,尽管这些学术机构在职业生涯中期的收入存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
The Importance of Financial Literacy: Opening a New Field 金融知识的重要性:打开一个新的领域
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.137
Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia S. Mitchell
We undertake an assessment of our two decades of research on financial literacy, building on our empirical research and theoretical work casting financial knowledge as a form of investment in human capital. We also draw on recent data to determine who is the most—and least—financially savvy in the United States, and we highlight the similarity of our results in other countries. A number of convincing studies is now available, from which we draw conclusions about the effects and consequences of financial illiteracy, and what can be done to fill these gaps. We conclude by offering our thoughts on implications for teaching, policy, and future research.
我们在实证研究和理论工作的基础上,将金融知识视为一种人力资本投资形式,对我们20年来关于金融素养的研究进行了评估。我们还利用最近的数据来确定谁是美国最懂理财的人,谁是最不懂理财的人,我们还强调了我们的结果在其他国家的相似性。现在有许多令人信服的研究,从中我们可以得出关于金融文盲的影响和后果的结论,以及可以做些什么来填补这些空白。最后,我们提出了对教学、政策和未来研究的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Where Does Wealth Come From? Measuring Lifetime Resources in Norway 财富从何而来?测量挪威的终身资源
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.115
Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud, Kjell G. Salvanes
In this paper, we use comprehensive administrative data on the population of Norway to create a measure of lifetime resources, which generates several stylized facts. First, lifetime resources are highly correlated with net wealth, but net wealth is more unequally distributed. Second, labor income is the most important component of lifetime resources, except among the top 1 percent where capital income and capital gains on financial assets become important. Lastly, lifetime resources are a better predictor of child human capital outcomes than net wealth, suggesting that, in some cases, inequality in lifetime resources may be more relevant than inequality in wealth.
在本文中,我们使用挪威人口的综合行政数据来创建一个终身资源的度量,它产生了几个程式化的事实。第一,终身资源与净财富高度相关,但净财富分布不均。其次,劳动收入是一生资源中最重要的组成部分,但在收入最高的1%人群中,资本收入和金融资产的资本收益变得重要起来。最后,终身资源比净财富更能预测儿童人力资本结果,这表明,在某些情况下,终身资源的不平等可能比财富的不平等更相关。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19, School Closures, and Outcomes COVID-19、学校关闭和结果
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.51
Rebecca Jack, Emily Oster
This article discusses the question of data and our perspective on the importance of public, accessible, and contemporaneous data in the face of public crisis. Then, we present data on the extent of school closures during the COVID-19 pandemic, both globally and within the United States. We describe the available data on the degree of these closures, which will provide a set of resources for studying longer-term consequences as they emerge. We also highlight what we know about the demographic patterns of school closures. We then discuss the emerging estimates of the short-term impacts of school closures. A central finding throughout our discussion is that school closures during the pandemic tended to increase inequality, both within and across countries, but that fully understanding the long-run impact of COVID-related school closures on students will take time and will surely be influenced by events and policies in the next few years.
本文讨论了数据的问题,以及我们对公共数据的重要性的看法,可访问的,以及面对公共危机时的同期数据。然后,我们提供了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间全球和美国境内学校关闭程度的数据。我们描述了这些封闭程度的现有数据,这将为研究它们出现的长期后果提供一套资源。我们还强调了我们对学校关闭的人口统计模式的了解。然后,我们讨论了对学校关闭的短期影响的新兴估计。我们在整个讨论过程中的一个中心发现是,大流行期间学校关闭往往会加剧国家内部和国家之间的不平等,但充分了解与covid相关的学校关闭对学生的长期影响需要时间,并且肯定会受到未来几年事件和政策的影响。
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引用次数: 2
The Economics Profession’s Socioeconomic Diversity Problem 经济学专业的社会经济多样性问题
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.207
Anna Stansbury, Robert Schultz
It is well-documented that women and racial and ethnic minorities are underrepresented in the economics profession, relative to both the general population and other academic disciplines. Less is known about the socioeconomic diversity of the economics profession. In this paper, we use data on parental education from the Survey of Earned Doctorates to examine the socioeconomic background of US economics PhD recipients, as compared to other disciplines. We find that economics PhD recipients are substantially more likely to have highly educated parents, and less likely to have parents without a college degree, than PhD recipients in other non-economics disciplines. This is true for both US-born PhD recipients and non-US-born PhD recipients, but is particularly stark for the US-born. The gap in socioeconomic diversity between economics and other PhD disciplines has increased over the last five decades, and particularly over the last two decades.
有充分的证据表明,与一般人群和其他学科相比,女性和少数族裔在经济学专业中的代表性不足。人们对经济学专业的社会经济多样性知之甚少。在本文中,我们使用来自获得博士学位调查的父母教育数据来检查美国经济学博士学位获得者的社会经济背景,与其他学科相比。我们发现,与其他非经济学科的博士相比,经济学博士更有可能拥有受过高等教育的父母,而父母没有大学学位的可能性更小。在美国出生和非美国出生的博士学位获得者都是如此,但在美国出生的博士学位获得者身上尤为明显。经济学和其他博士学科在社会经济多样性方面的差距在过去五十年中有所扩大,尤其是在过去二十年中。
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引用次数: 0
Why Did the Best Prepared Country in the World Fare So Poorly during COVID? 为什么世界上准备最充分的国家在COVID期间表现如此糟糕?
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.3
Jennifer B. Nuzzo, Jorge R. Ledesma
Though all countries struggled to respond to COVID-19, the United States’ poor performance during the pandemic was unexpected. Despite having more pandemic preparedness capacities than other countries, the United States experienced more than one million COVID-19 deaths, which has contributed to historic declines in national life expectancy. Though some have raised questions as to whether preparedness capacities matter, data that appropriately address cross-country differences in age structure and surveillance approaches show that higher levels of national preparedness was associated with reduced mortality during the pandemic. The United States, however, stands out as a clear outlier in COVID-19 mortality comparisons with other highly prepared countries. We subsequently discuss and summarize the specific gaps in US pandemic preparedness that may have hampered COVID-19 responses in the country. Additional data and research are urgently needed to more accurately understand why the US did not make better use of its prepandemic advantages.
虽然所有国家都在努力应对COVID-19,但美国在大流行期间的糟糕表现出乎意料。尽管美国的大流行防范能力比其他国家更强,但美国仍有100多万人死于COVID-19,这导致美国人的预期寿命出现历史性下降。虽然有些人提出了防范能力是否重要的问题,但适当处理年龄结构和监测方法的跨国差异的数据表明,国家防范水平的提高与大流行期间死亡率的降低有关。然而,与其他做好充分准备的国家相比,美国在COVID-19死亡率方面明显是一个异常值。随后,我们讨论并总结了美国在大流行防范方面可能阻碍该国应对COVID-19的具体差距。迫切需要更多的数据和研究,以更准确地理解为什么美国没有更好地利用其大流行前的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Front Matter 前页
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.1
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引用次数: 0
Recommendations for Further Reading 进一步阅读的建议
1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.4.265
Timothy Taylor
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic Perspectives
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