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Strifes of the frontier: an assessment of Acacia mearnsii related park-community conflicts in the Golden Gate Highlands National Park, South Africa 边界的冲突:南非金门高地国家公园中与金门高地国家公园的金合欢相关的公园-社区冲突的评估
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1130062
G. Mukwada, W. Chingombe, P. Taru
Abstract This study coins the “reality-worldview” framework to examine park-community conflicts arising from the expediency to protect the environmental integrity of a South African national park from bio-invasion. The study used remote sensing data to investigate the state of vegetation cover along the northern fringes of the park and an adjacent communal grazing area to determine differences in plant based resource endowments between the two areas. The study also involved the discriminant analysis of survey responses from park officials and local communities regarding perceptions about the environmental impacts of Acacia mearnsii invasion, as well as how the species spreads and how the species can be controlled. The objective of the study was to assess park-community conflicts arising from initiatives to limit community access to park resources on the justification of the need to prevent the invasion of the park by A. mearnsii. The study concludes that even though uncontrolled movement of people and livestock creates the obvious danger of invasion of the park by the species, the extent to which the species is viewed as an environmental threat depends on the “worldviews” of the stakeholders, the bridging of which can only be achieved through negotiation, environmental awareness and education campaigns and provision of training in conflict resolution to the belligerents.
摘要本研究以“现实-世界观”为框架,考察了南非国家公园为保护环境完整性免受生物入侵而产生的公园-社区冲突。该研究利用遥感数据调查了公园北部边缘和邻近的公共牧区的植被覆盖状况,以确定两个地区之间植物资源禀赋的差异。该研究还包括对公园官员和当地社区关于金合欢入侵对环境影响的看法的调查反应进行歧视性分析,以及该物种如何传播以及如何控制该物种。本研究的目的是评估限制社区获取公园资源的举措所引起的公园与社区之间的冲突,以证明有必要防止黑毛猴入侵公园。研究得出的结论是,尽管人类和牲畜的不受控制的移动造成了物种入侵公园的明显危险,但物种被视为环境威胁的程度取决于利益相关者的“世界观”,只有通过谈判、环境意识和教育活动以及向交战各方提供解决冲突的培训,才能实现这一桥梁。
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引用次数: 8
Challenging economic development: the case study of teaching alternative cultural values in business education 挑战经济发展:在商业教育中教授另类文化价值观的个案研究
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2016.1150300
H. Kopnina
Abstract Environmental educators distinguish between normative, instrumental and liberal approaches. This article offers anthropological insights into environmental education (EE) involving all three perspectives based on the discussion of indigenous culture within sustainable business course in The Netherlands. The case study described here uses ethnographic insights to illustrate the evolution of thought when western students are presented with philosophies and information that allow them to reflect upon their own cultural positions and ideologies. A combination of normative and instrumental instructional approaches, as well as open and reflexive pedagogical engagement has helped students to learn to appreciate the value of cultural and natural diversity beyond the writing assignments’ requirements and socially acceptable or lecturer-desired views.
环境教育者区分规范、工具和自由的方法。本文通过对荷兰可持续商业课程中土著文化的讨论,提供了对环境教育(EE)的人类学见解,涉及所有三个视角。这里描述的案例研究使用民族志的见解来说明当西方学生被呈现给哲学和信息时,思想的演变,使他们能够反思自己的文化立场和意识形态。规范性和工具性教学方法的结合,以及开放和反思性的教学参与,帮助学生学会欣赏文化和自然多样性的价值,而不仅仅是写作作业的要求和社会可接受的或讲师期望的观点。
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引用次数: 6
Farmers' perceptions of climate change and the proposed agriculture adaptation strategies in a semi arid region of south India 印度南部半干旱地区农民对气候变化的看法和拟议的农业适应策略
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1062031
D. P, Ramachandran A
Climate change is recognised as one of the leading challenges affecting the performance of agriculture and the livelihood of people. Farmers are the hardest hit as they have to continuously respond to climatic variations. In order to understand farmers' perceptions of climate change and its impacts, and to identify adaptation needs, focus group discussions and semi-structured questionnaire surveys were carried out at the end of the south-west monsoon season in 2012 (Kharif cropping season in India). This helped to gather their immediate responses soon after the poor performance of south-west monsoon 2012. Khariff cultivation is locally known as ‘Kuruvai’ and is always under the influence of the south-west monsoon rainfall. Farmers' have perceived climate variability, and identified increasing temperature, delayed onset, intermittent dry spells and decreasing soil moisture as the critical factors affecting their cultivation. Some of them have started to adapt to these changes by cultivating only short-duration crops such as pulses, vegetables and flowers especially jasmine, but there is also a trend to put more land under fallow and abandoning the major cereal production. This study reveals that the farmers' perceptions are in accordance with the real trends analysis done on meteorological variables using Mann–Kendall test and Sens's slope estimator test, but not exactly matches with rainfall. Farmers have indicated their specific adaptation needs, a number of which could be incorporated into site-specific adaption strategies and policies.
气候变化被认为是影响农业绩效和人民生计的主要挑战之一。农民受到的打击最大,因为他们必须不断应对气候变化。为了了解农民对气候变化及其影响的看法,并确定适应需求,在2012年西南季风季节(印度的Kharif种植季节)结束时进行了焦点小组讨论和半结构化问卷调查。这有助于在2012年西南季风表现不佳后不久收集他们的即时反应。卡里夫种植在当地被称为“Kuruvai”,总是受到西南季风降雨的影响。农民已经意识到气候变化,并确定温度升高、延迟发作、间歇性干旱和土壤湿度下降是影响其种植的关键因素。他们中的一些人已经开始适应这些变化,只种植短周期作物,如豆类、蔬菜和花卉,尤其是茉莉花,但也有一种趋势,使更多的土地处于休耕状态,放弃了主要的谷物生产。研究表明,农民的感知与Mann-Kendall检验和Sens斜率估计检验对气象变量的真实趋势分析一致,但与降雨量不完全匹配。农民已经表明了他们的具体适应需求,其中一些需求可以纳入特定地点的适应战略和政策。
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引用次数: 90
Climate action in Indian cities: an emerging new research area 印度城市的气候行动:一个新兴的新研究领域
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1130723
J. Beermann, A. Damodaran, K. Joergensen, M. Schreurs
India is the fourth largest emitter of greenhouse gases globally, following China, the United States, and the European Union. Although India still has a low per capita carbon level, due to its large population and growing economy, its share of global greenhouse gas emissions is rising. India is, thus, a particularly important country to examine in relation to climate change. This article investigates one particular aspect of India’s climate policy: the role its cities play within its multi-tiered climate governance system. India is still a predominantly agricultural society with two-thirds of its population (about 850 million people) living in rural areas. Urbanization is, however, progressing; estimates are that India will add over 400 million urban dwellers between 2014 and 2050 bringing the urban population to over 800 million (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2014). This article aims to shed light on the challenges, capabilities and limitations of India’s urban areas to deal with mitigating climate change. It complements the other articles in this special issue which focus on subnational state and provincial level climate policy. It takes as its starting point the academic multi-level climate governance debate and also looks at the role the co-benefit concept plays at the urban level. The article highlights key actors, drivers, and institutions of city climate action and considers how local climate policy and programs are enabled and constrained by India’s federal political system. Finally, the role of international city partnerships in supporting climate activities is considered. To explore the conditions shaping climate action in India’s cities this article builds on a literature review and discussions held at an Indian-German expert meeting which took place in Bangalore in April 2015.
印度是全球第四大温室气体排放国,仅次于中国、美国和欧盟。尽管印度的人均碳排放水平仍然较低,但由于其庞大的人口和不断增长的经济,其在全球温室气体排放中的份额正在上升。因此,在气候变化方面,印度是一个特别重要的研究对象。本文研究了印度气候政策的一个特殊方面:印度城市在其多层次气候治理体系中所扮演的角色。印度仍然是一个以农业为主的社会,三分之二的人口(约8.5亿人)生活在农村地区。然而,城市化正在推进;据估计,2014年至2050年间,印度将增加4亿多城市居民,使城市人口超过8亿(联合国,经济和社会事务部,2014年人口司)。本文旨在揭示印度城市地区在应对减缓气候变化方面面临的挑战、能力和局限性。它补充了本期特刊中关注次国家和省级气候政策的其他文章。它以学术上的多层次气候治理争论为出发点,并着眼于共同利益概念在城市层面上所起的作用。本文重点介绍了城市气候行动的关键参与者、驱动因素和机构,并考虑了印度联邦政治体制如何推动和制约地方气候政策和计划。最后,讨论了国际城市伙伴关系在支持气候活动中的作用。为了探讨影响印度城市气候行动的条件,本文以2015年4月在班加罗尔举行的印德专家会议上的文献综述和讨论为基础。
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引用次数: 20
Impact of climate change on food security in Malaysia: economic and policy adjustments for rice industry 气候变化对马来西亚粮食安全的影响:水稻产业的经济和政策调整
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1112292
N. Vaghefi, M. Shamsudin, Alias Radam, Khalid B Abdul Rahim
Abstract Rice paddies production in Malaysia, as in other parts of the world, is extremely vulnerable to weather changes and extreme conditions such as drought and flooding. Such situations forced Malaysia to maintain a protectionist regime with respect to its rice industry to better ensure food security for the country. In this study, a crop simulation model (DSSAT) and system dynamics approach were used to assess the impact of climate change on future rice production, self-sufficiency level of rice, and farmers’ gross income in Malaysia. Results from the DSSAT model show that during the main and off growing seasons, increase in temperature and changes rainfall pattern can be expected to reduce the rice yield by 12 and 31.3%, respectively, until the year 2030. Based on the system dynamics’ results, the reduction in rice yield was expected to reduce farmers’ gross income and the rice self-sufficiency level of the country. The study suggested two different policy scenarios to overcome these adverse effects. The overall policy implication is that the Malaysian rice industry cannot be sustained if government takes no action to change its current policies.
与世界其他地区一样,马来西亚的稻田生产极易受到天气变化和干旱、洪水等极端条件的影响。这种情况迫使马来西亚对其稻米工业维持保护主义制度,以更好地确保该国的粮食安全。本研究采用作物模拟模型(DSSAT)和系统动力学方法,评估了气候变化对马来西亚未来水稻生产、水稻自给水平和农民总收入的影响。DSSAT模型的结果显示,到2030年,在主要生长期和非生长期,温度升高和降雨模式的变化可使水稻产量分别下降12%和31.3%。根据系统动力学的结果,水稻产量的减少预计会降低农民的总收入和该国的大米自给水平。该研究提出了两种不同的政策方案来克服这些不利影响。总体政策的含义是,如果政府不采取行动改变其现行政策,马来西亚大米产业将无法持续下去。
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引用次数: 49
Effect of rice cultivars on yield-scaled methane emissions in a double rice field in South China 水稻品种对华南双季稻田甲烷排放量的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2015-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1118388
X. Qin, Yu’e Li, Hong Wang, Jianlin Li, Y. Wan, Qingzhu Gao, Y. Liao, Meirong Fan
Abstract Rice cultivar is the most influential factor affecting methane emissions from double rice fields. A two-year field experiment was conducted at Huizhou, Guangdong province, South China, to identify from among nine cultivars those cultivars with high-yield potential and lower yield-scaled methane emissions (YSMEs). Methane emissions were measured using the static chamber – gas chromatograph method. Results indicate that the cultivars Qihuazhan (QH), Yexianzhan 8 (YX8) and Yue’erzhan (YE) provide higher rice grain yield (8.69%) with lower YSME (30.27%) compared to the other six cultivars (Yexianzhan 6, Yuejingsimiao, Hefengzhan, Huangsizhan, Huangruanzhan and Huangxiuzhan) (p < 0.05). In particular, QH has the highest yield potential (6777 kg ha−1) and lowest methane emission intensity (0.36 kg kg−1 yield) capacity. Methane emissions from the double rice field was found to be significantly (p < 0.05) and positively correlated with tiller number, culm biomass and soil organic matter, dissolved soil organic carbon and total carbon content, but negatively correlated (p < 0.05) with rice harvest index (HI), and root and panicle biomass, suggesting that organic source strength provides the substrate of methane production while the oxidation potential in the rhizosphere and the methane transport capacity of rice roots and culm dominate the emissions of methane from soil to the atmosphere. Multivariate decision regression tree (DRT) analysis showed a significant class difference between QH, YX8 and YE with the other six cultivars. These three cultivars are suitable for promotion of low carbon agriculture in South China. DRT analysis also successfully illustrated a potential way to identify rice varieties for low YSME by decisive parameters of tiller number (<15), HI (>0.43) and nitrogen assimilation of leaves (<40). These findings suggest that optimization of rice cultivars may represent an effective way to address both food demand and climate change concerns by improving rice yields while simultaneously minimizing the impact of climate change per unit yield.
水稻品种是影响双稻田甲烷排放的最主要因素。在广东惠州进行了为期2年的大田试验,从9个品种中筛选出高产潜力低产量规模甲烷排放(YSMEs)的品种。采用静室气相色谱仪法测定了甲烷排放量。结果表明:七花展(QH)、叶鲜展8号(YX8)和月二展(YE)的籽粒产量(8.69%)高于其他6个品种(叶鲜展6号、月粳四苗、合丰展、黄四展、黄柔展和黄绣展)(p < 0.05);特别是,QH具有最高的产量潜力(6777 kg ha−1)和最低的甲烷排放强度(0.36 kg kg kg−1)。双稻田甲烷排放量与分蘖数、茎生物量、土壤有机质、土壤溶解有机碳和全碳含量呈显著正相关(p < 0.05),与水稻收获指数、根穗生物量呈显著负相关(p < 0.05);表明有机源强度是甲烷产生的基础,而根际氧化电位和水稻根和茎的甲烷运输能力是甲烷从土壤向大气排放的主导因素。多变量决策回归树(DRT)分析显示,QH、YX8和YE与其他6个品种的分类差异显著。这三个品种适合在华南地区推广低碳农业。DRT分析还成功地通过分蘖数(0.43)和叶片氮同化(<40)这两个决定性参数来鉴定低YSME水稻品种。这些发现表明,优化水稻品种可能是解决粮食需求和气候变化问题的有效途径,既能提高水稻产量,又能最大限度地减少气候变化对单产的影响。
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引用次数: 16
Global mitigation potential and costs of reducing agricultural non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions through 2030 到2030年减少农业非二氧化碳温室气体排放的全球缓解潜力和成本
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2015-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1110183
R. Beach, Jared Creason, S. Ohrel, Shaun Ragnauth, S. Ogle, Changsheng Li, P. Ingraham, W. Salas
Abstract Agricultural emissions account for 53% of 2010 global non-CO2 emissions and are projected to increase substantially over the next 20 years, especially in Asia, Latin America and Africa. While agriculture is a substantial source of emissions, it is also generally considered to be a potential source of cost-effective non-CO2 GHG abatement. Previous “bottom-up” analyses provided marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves for use in modeling these options within economy-wide and global mitigation analyses. In this paper, we utilize updated economic and biophysical data and models developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to investigate regional mitigation potential for major sources of agricultural GHG emissions. In addition, we explore mitigation potential available at costs at or below the estimated benefits of mitigation, as represented by the social cost of carbon. Key enhancements over previous regional assessments include incorporation of additional mitigation options, updated baseline emissions projections, greater spatial disaggregation, and development of MAC curves through 2030. For croplands and rice cultivation, biophysical, process-based models (DAYCENT and DNDC) are used to simulate yields and net GHG emissions under baseline and mitigation scenarios while the livestock sector is modeled by applying key mitigation options to baselines compiled by EPA. MAC curves are generated accounting for net GHG reductions, yield effects, livestock productivity effects, commodity prices, labor requirements, and capital costs where appropriate. MAC curves are developed at the regional level and reveal large potential for non-CO2 GHG mitigation at low carbon prices, especially in Asia.
农业排放占2010年全球非二氧化碳排放的53%,预计未来20年将大幅增加,特别是在亚洲、拉丁美洲和非洲。虽然农业是一个重要的排放源,但它通常也被认为是具有成本效益的非二氧化碳温室气体减排的潜在来源。以前的"自下而上"分析提供了边际减排成本曲线,以便在全经济范围和全球减排分析中对这些备选方案进行建模。本文利用美国环境保护署(EPA)开发的最新经济和生物物理数据和模型,研究了主要农业温室气体排放源的区域减缓潜力。此外,我们还探讨了以碳的社会成本为代表的、等于或低于估计的缓解效益的成本所具有的缓解潜力。与以前的区域评估相比,主要的改进包括纳入了额外的缓解方案、更新的基线排放预测、更大的空间分类以及制定到2030年的MAC曲线。对于农田和水稻种植,使用基于生物物理过程的模型(DAYCENT和DNDC)来模拟基线和缓解情景下的产量和温室气体净排放量,而通过将关键缓解方案应用于EPA编制的基线来模拟畜牧业。MAC曲线的生成考虑了温室气体净减少量、产量影响、牲畜生产力影响、商品价格、劳动力需求和资本成本。MAC曲线是在区域一级发展起来的,显示出以低碳价格减缓非二氧化碳温室气体的巨大潜力,特别是在亚洲。
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引用次数: 70
Global mitigation of non-CO2 greenhouse gases: marginal abatement costs curves and abatement potential through 2030 非二氧化碳温室气体的全球减缓:到2030年的边际减排成本曲线和减排潜力
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2015-12-11 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1110182
Shaun Ragnauth, Jared Creason, Jameel Alsalam, S. Ohrel, Jeffrey E. Petrusa, R. Beach
Abstract Greenhouse gases (GHGs) other than carbon dioxide (CO2) play an important role in the effort to understand and address global climate change. Approximately 25% of Global warming potential-weighted GHG emissions in the year 2005 comprise the non-CO2 GHGs. The report, Global Mitigation of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases: 2010–2030 provides a comprehensive global analysis and resulting data-set of marginal abatement cost curves that illustrate the abatement potential of non-CO2 GHGs by sector and by region. The basic methodology – a bottom-up, engineering cost approach – builds on the baseline non-CO2 emissions projections published by EPA, applying abatement options to the emissions baseline in each sector. The results of the analysis are MAC curves that reflect aggregated breakeven prices for implementing abatement options in a given sector and region. Among the key findings of the report is that significant, cost-effective abatement exists from non-CO2 sources with abatement options that are available today. Without a price signal (i.e. at $0/tCO2e), the global abatement potential is greater than 1800 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent. Globally, the energy and agriculture sectors have the greatest potential for abatement. Among the non-CO2 GHGs, methane has the largest abatement potential. Despite the potential for project level cost savings and environmental benefits, barriers to mitigating non-CO2 emissions continue to exist. This paper will provide an overview of the methods and key findings of the report.
除二氧化碳(CO2)外,温室气体(ghg)在认识和应对全球气候变化方面发挥着重要作用。2005年,约25%的全球变暖潜势加权温室气体排放是非二氧化碳温室气体。《全球非二氧化碳温室气体减排:2010-2030年》报告提供了一份全面的全球分析和边际减排成本曲线数据集,说明了按部门和区域分列的非二氧化碳温室气体减排潜力。其基本方法是一种自下而上的工程成本方法,以环境保护署公布的非二氧化碳排放基线预测为基础,将减排方案应用于每个部门的排放基线。分析的结果是MAC曲线,它反映了在给定部门和地区实施减排方案的总盈亏平衡价格。该报告的主要结论之一是,非二氧化碳源存在着重大的、具有成本效益的减排措施,而且目前有可用的减排方案。如果没有价格信号(即每吨二氧化碳当量为0美元),全球减排潜力将大于18亿吨二氧化碳当量。在全球范围内,能源和农业部门具有最大的减排潜力。在非co2温室气体中,甲烷具有最大的减排潜力。尽管有可能节省项目一级的成本和环境效益,但减少非二氧化碳排放的障碍仍然存在。本文将概述该报告的方法和主要发现。
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引用次数: 30
The importance of non-CO2 greenhouse gases 非二氧化碳温室气体的重要性
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2015-12-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1118131
C. Kroeze, T. Pulles
The importance of non-CO2 greenhouse gases The IPCC Synthesis Report states that reducing emissions of non-CO2 agents can be an important element of global mitigation strategies. The non-CO2 greenhouse gas symposium (NCCG7) shows how this could be possible. Global warming is caused by several greenhouse gases. The focus of science and policy is mostly on carbon dioxide (CO2). But there are more greenhouse gases. Non-CO2 greenhouse gases are important contributors to radiative forcing of the atmosphere and include methane (CH4), fluorocarbons and SF6 and nitrous oxide (N2O). The effects of black carbon (BC) and the so-called indirect gases, contributing to tropospheric ozone formation and aerosols add to this list. The latest IPCC Synthesis Report states that the human influence on the climate system is clear and growing (IPCC 2014). It also states that implementing stringent mitigations activities can ensure that the impacts of climate change remain within a manageable range, creating a brighter and more sustainable future. To keep a good chance of staying below 2 °C our emissions should drop by 40–70% globally between 2010 and 2050, falling to zero or below by 2100. The chair of IPCC (RK Pachauri) added to this that “we have that opportunity, and the choice is in our hand” (press release, 2 November 2014). Ambitious emission reduction is possible, but the window for action is rapidly closing. Leo Meyer (PBL, The Netherlands and IPCC Technical Support Unit) indicates that 65% of our carbon budget compatible with a 2° warming goal is already used (Figure 1). This implies that if we want to limit global warming to 2°, some fossil fuels will have to stay underground (Pulles 2015). The economic consequences of such measure moderate. Business as usual scenarios typically assume an economic growth of a few percent per year. In scenarios consistent with a 2° warming this economic growth is hardly affected (Meyer 2014). Reducing emissions of non-CO2 agents can be an important element of mitigation strategies. However, the IPCC Synthesis report is not very explicit about how to achieve this. Emissions of non-CO2 gases (methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gases) contributed by about 27% to the anthropogenic global emissions of Kyoto gases in 2010. The week following the publication of the IPCC Synthesis Report, the 7th non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Symposium (NCGG7) was organized. More than 200 scientists from all over the world presented their work. Following are some highlights from the conference. Several illustrative 2° scenarios exist according to Niklas Höhne (New Climate Institute; 2014). These typically assume that fossil CO2 emissions are reduced to zero and that CO2 from forestry is becoming negative (indicating a carbon sink). Non-CO2 greenhouse gases are typically stabilizing or slightly reducing, assuming that it will be difficult to reduce emissions of CH4 and N2O from food production. Nevertheless, about half of the avoided warming in a recently
《政府间气候变化专门委员会综合报告》指出,减少非二氧化碳排放物可成为全球缓解战略的一个重要内容。非二氧化碳温室气体研讨会(NCCG7)展示了这是如何可能的。全球变暖是由几种温室气体引起的。科学和政策的焦点主要集中在二氧化碳上。但是有更多的温室气体。非二氧化碳温室气体是大气辐射强迫的重要贡献者,包括甲烷(CH4)、氟碳化合物、SF6和一氧化二氮(N2O)。黑碳(BC)和所谓的间接气体的影响,有助于对流层臭氧的形成和气溶胶的产生。最新的IPCC综合报告指出,人类对气候系统的影响是明确的,而且越来越大(IPCC 2014)。它还指出,实施严格的缓解活动可以确保气候变化的影响保持在可管理的范围内,创造一个更光明和更可持续的未来。为了保持在2°C以下的良好机会,我们的排放量应该在2010年至2050年间在全球范围内下降40-70%,到2100年降至零或以下。IPCC主席帕乔里(RK Pachauri)补充说,“我们有机会,选择权在我们手中”(新闻稿,2014年11月2日)。雄心勃勃的减排是可能的,但行动的窗口正在迅速关闭。Leo Meyer (PBL,荷兰和IPCC技术支持部门)指出,我们与2°变暖目标相一致的碳预算的65%已经被使用(图1)。这意味着,如果我们想将全球变暖限制在2°,一些化石燃料将不得不留在地下(Pulles 2015)。这种措施的经济后果是温和的。一切照旧的情景通常假定经济增长率为每年几个百分点。在与升温2°一致的情况下,这种经济增长几乎没有受到影响(Meyer 2014)。减少非二氧化碳剂的排放可成为缓解战略的一个重要组成部分。然而,IPCC的综合报告并没有非常明确地说明如何实现这一目标。2010年,非二氧化碳气体(甲烷、氧化亚氮和氟化气体)的排放量约占《京都议定书》气体全球人为排放量的27%。IPCC综合报告发表后的一周,组织了第七届非二氧化碳温室气体研讨会(NCGG7)。来自世界各地的200多名科学家展示了他们的研究成果。以下是会议的一些亮点。根据尼克拉斯Höhne(新气候研究所;2014)。这些通常假设化石二氧化碳排放量减少到零,而来自林业的二氧化碳正在变为负值(表明碳汇)。假设从粮食生产中很难减少CH4和N2O的排放,非co2温室气体通常会趋于稳定或略有减少。然而,在最近公布的2°情景中,避免的变暖中约有一半是避免非二氧化碳温室气体排放的结果(Rogelj et al. 2014)。根据Höhne,有可能实现与升温2°一致的减排情景(Blok et al. 2012)。如果将非二氧化碳温室气体减排举措视为机遇,并与减少二氧化碳排放一起,可以做出重大贡献。旨在减少短期气候强迫物(如黑碳、甲烷和氟化气体)的措施应被视为早期和严格的二氧化碳减缓的补充,而不是替代(Rogelj et al. 2014)。一切照旧的情景通常假设温室气体排放持续增加。然而,NCGG7的发言者表明,存在大量减少排放的技术。他们认为这是政策和意愿的问题。自底向上的计划可能会填补
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引用次数: 3
Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions from palm oil production in Thailand 泰国棕榈油生产产生的非二氧化碳温室气体排放
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2015-12-02 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2015.1110184
Kanokwan Saswattecha, Melissa Cuevas Romero, L. Hein, W. Jawjit, C. Kroeze
Abstract The global demand for palm oil has been increasing during the past two decades. As a result, there has been an expansion of oil palm plantations and palm oil production, in particular in South East Asia. This contributes to a number of environmental problems. In this study, we focus on non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions from palm oil production in Thailand, the third largest palm oil producing country in the world. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is typically emitted during fuel combustion in production processes. In addition, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) are emitted during palm oil production. We quantified current and future emissions of CH4 and N2O based on future projections for palm oil production in Thailand. Our analysis distinguishes between emissions from oil palm plantations and palm oil processing mills. Our study shows that nitrogen fertilizers are the main source of N2O emissions, while CH4 is emitted mainly from inappropriate management of empty fruit bunches and wastewater management. We also analysed the effect of possible options to reduce emissions of CH4 and N2O, illustrating the potential for emission reduction in the future.
在过去的二十年里,全球对棕榈油的需求一直在增加。因此,油棕种植园和棕榈油生产不断扩大,尤其是在东南亚。这导致了许多环境问题。在本研究中,我们关注世界第三大棕榈油生产国泰国棕榈油生产的非二氧化碳温室气体排放。在生产过程中,燃料燃烧通常会排放二氧化碳(CO2)。此外,棕榈油生产过程中还会排放甲烷(CH4)和一氧化二氮(N2O)。根据对泰国棕榈油生产的未来预测,我们量化了当前和未来的甲烷和氧化亚氮排放量。我们的分析区分了油棕种植园和棕榈油加工厂的排放。研究表明,氮肥是N2O排放的主要来源,而CH4的排放主要来自空果束管理不当和废水管理。我们还分析了减少CH4和N2O排放的可能方案的影响,说明了未来减排的潜力。
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引用次数: 10
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Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
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