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From polarization to reluctant acceptance–bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and the post-normalization of the climate debate 从两极分化到不情愿的接受——生物能源与碳捕获和储存(BECCS)以及气候辩论的后正常化
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1579740
Simon Haikola, A. Hansson, Jonas Anshelm
ABSTRACT The paper covers the public debate on BECCS (bioenergy with carbon capture and storage) between 2008 and 2018. Through a qualitative analysis of around 800 feature articles, editorials, and opinion pieces published in English, German, Swedish, Danish, and Norwegian in news media and debates sections of scientific media, we highlight conspicuous aspects of the debate and relate them to the theoretical concept of post-normal science. We find that the debate is characterized by an emphasis on values, scientific uncertainty and the integrity of science, premised on a pervading sense of urgency. To a significant extent, the debate can be understood as a “normal” view of science questioning what it perceives to be unscientific model-based climate scenarios, and the scenarios, in turn, can be seen as a response to post-normal circumstances. The urgency permeating the debate provides conditions for open debate about ethical and epistemological uncertainty. The debate goes through a period of polarization – corroborating findings from previous studies on the climate science debate after COP21 – between an intense critique of BECCS inclusion in climate scenarios and reluctant acceptance thereof. Towards the end of the studied period, emphasis shifts towards reluctant acceptance, indicating that post-normal debate may only occur as a temporary state always tending towards new consensus.
本文涵盖了2008年至2018年间关于BECCS(具有碳捕获和储存的生物能源)的公开辩论。通过对以英语、德语、瑞典语、丹麦语和挪威语在新闻媒体和科学媒体辩论部分发表的约800篇专题文章、社论和评论文章的定性分析,我们突出了辩论的显著方面,并将它们与后常态科学的理论概念联系起来。我们发现,这场辩论的特点是强调价值观、科学的不确定性和科学的完整性,其前提是一种普遍的紧迫感。在很大程度上,这场辩论可以被理解为一种“正常”的科学观点,质疑它所认为的不科学的基于模型的气候情景,而这些情景反过来又可以被视为对后正常情况的回应。辩论的紧迫性为关于伦理和认识论不确定性的公开辩论提供了条件。关于气候变化的辩论经历了一个两极分化的时期——这证实了此前关于COP21之后气候科学辩论的研究结果——在对BECCS纳入气候情景的强烈批评和不情愿接受之间。在研究结束时,重点转向不情愿的接受,表明后常态辩论可能只是作为一种临时状态发生,总是倾向于新的共识。
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引用次数: 28
Detecting the mechanisms of longitudinal salt transport during spring tides in Qiantang Estuary 钱塘江口大潮期间纵向盐输运机制研究
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1652190
Ruohua Li, Liang Gao, C. Pan, Y. Pang
ABSTRACT Saltwater intrusion has immediate influences on the water resources utilization, aquatic environment and ecological system. Hence, it is essential to detect the mechanisms of salt transport. This study adopted observations including instantaneous flow velocities, tide levels and salinity during 10 tide cycles at 2 stations in upstream and downstream of Qiantang Estuary in China. The variables of instantaneous flow velocity and salinity were decomposed into the time-average, time-varying and vertical-varying components using the flux decomposition model. Then, the salt flux components attributed to various physical processes were quantified. During spring tides, the longitudinal salt transport is controlled by advection transport and tidal pumping transport in the upper river reaches, while being mainly controlled by advection transport in the lower river reaches. The net water flow fluxes and salt fluxes are landward in the lower river reaches. However, the transport direction of the salt fluxes is inconsistent with that of the net water flow fluxes in the upper river reaches, where the net water flow fluxes are mainly seaward while the net salt fluxes are mainly landward. In general, there are significant positive correlations between the net landward salt flux and the tidal range. Thus, the tidal range can be used as an important indicator for determining the required amount of freshwater to be discharged from the reservoir in order to resist saltwater intrusion. The vertical distribution of salt in Qiantang Estuary is relatively uniform. The vertical shear force has limited influence on the salt transport. The research results are expected to supply a reference to future research on other macro-tide estuaries.
盐水入侵对水资源利用、水生环境和生态系统有着直接的影响。因此,研究盐的转运机制是十分必要的。本研究采用钱塘江口上游和下游2个站点10个潮汐周期的瞬时流速、潮位和盐度观测数据。利用通量分解模型将瞬时流速和盐度变量分解为时均、时变和垂变分量。然后,量化了各种物理过程的盐通量分量。春潮期间,上游纵向盐输运受平流输运和潮汐泵输运控制,下游主要受平流输运控制。净水流通量和盐通量在下游向陆地方向移动。但在上游,盐通量的输运方向与净水流通量的输运方向不一致,净水流通量以向海方向为主,净盐通量以向陆方向为主。总体而言,净向陆盐通量与潮差之间存在显著的正相关关系。因此,潮汐差可以作为一个重要的指标,用于确定水库所需的淡水排水量,以抵御盐水的入侵。钱塘江口盐的垂直分布较为均匀。垂直剪切力对盐运移的影响有限。研究结果有望为今后其他宏观潮口的研究提供参考。
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引用次数: 2
The influence of climate change on tsunami-like solitary wave inundation over fringing reefs 气候变化对海啸样孤立波淹没边缘珊瑚礁的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1614071
Ke-qi Shao, Weijie Liu, Yangyang Gao, Yue Ning
ABSTRACT The protective capability of fringing reefs against tsunami hazards has been reported in numerous post-disaster surveys. It is believed that global warming is changing the water level over the reef flat and reef surface roughness by sea-level rise and coral bleaching. For a better understanding of the influence of climate change on tsunami hazards over fringing reefs, this study utilized a shock-capturing Boussinesq wave model, FUNWAVE-TVD, to simulate the tsunami-like solitary wave propagation and run-up over fringing reefs. Calibrated and validated by the newly obtained experimental data, the present model with shock-capturing scheme, in which only the ratio of wave height to water depth is used to trigger wave breaking, shows reasonable prediction of solitary wave transformation and run-up height over sharply varying reef bathymetry. Numerical experiments were then carried out to investigate the effects of sea-level rise and degrading of the reef surface roughness on the solitary wave inundation distance and fluid force distribution in the inundation zone. Numerical results clearly demonstrate how tsunami hazards change within the inundation zone in response to higher water levels and lower reef roughness and suggest climate change, especially sea-level rise, will significantly increase tsunami hazards in the low-lying areas of the reef-lined coasts. Presented results are discussed for the effects of sea-level rise and coral bleaching on the solitary wave process and implications to further improve the resilience under the threat of climate change.
在许多灾后调查中,已经报道了边缘珊瑚礁对海啸灾害的保护能力。人们认为,全球变暖导致海平面上升和珊瑚白化,改变了礁滩的水位和礁面粗糙度。为了更好地了解气候变化对海啸对珊瑚礁危害的影响,本研究利用冲击波捕获Boussinesq波模型FUNWAVE-TVD模拟海啸样孤立波在珊瑚礁上的传播和上升。通过对新获得的实验数据进行校正和验证,该模型中仅使用波高与水深的比值来触发破波,可以合理地预测急剧变化的礁体水深下的孤立波变换和爬升高度。通过数值实验研究了海平面上升和礁面粗糙度的降低对淹没区内孤立波淹没距离和流体力分布的影响。数值结果清楚地表明,随着水位的升高和珊瑚礁粗糙度的降低,淹没区内的海啸灾害是如何变化的,并表明气候变化,特别是海平面上升,将显著增加礁滨海岸低洼地区的海啸灾害。讨论了海平面上升和珊瑚白化对孤立波过程的影响,以及进一步提高气候变化威胁下的适应能力的意义。
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引用次数: 17
From sustainable drinking water to tsunami hazards: modelling water science for impact 从可持续饮用水到海啸灾害:模拟水科学的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1707371
Xiaogang He, Jillian Student, C. Kroeze
Humanities are facing unprecedented water-related challenges towards future sustainable development. These challenges range from droughts, to floods, tsunami, water crises, and extreme precipitatio...
在未来的可持续发展中,人文学科正面临着前所未有的与水有关的挑战。这些挑战包括干旱、洪水、海啸、水危机和极端降水……
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic drivers of pig production and their effects on achieving sustainable development goals in China 中国生猪生产的社会经济驱动因素及其对实现可持续发展目标的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1671463
Z. Bai, Jun Zhao, Zhibiao Wei, X. Jin, Lin Ma
ABSTRACT Understanding changes in livestock production and their relationship with socio-economic and environmental impacts is important for exploring the pathways towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) of food systems. We used pig production in China as a case study to evaluate how socio-economic indicators influence pig production and nutrient losses using the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) and Gini index. The recent acceleration in pig production is driven by an increase in average consumption of pig products per capita and government policies that support new pig production systems. The relationship between the rapid growth of worldwide pig production and its environmental impacts can be described using the EKC. The turning point in the EKC, i.e. the average income at which environmental degradation starts to decrease, is estimated to be USD 15–35 000 per capita when the pig production density is greater than 5.0 head per hectare of arable land. China’s pig production has not yet reached the EKC turning point; however, given the uneven distribution of pig production systems and supply chains (feed and water) and the limited land availability for utilizing manure nutrients, the continued increasing demand for pork in China will inevitably result in continued environmental degradation. The EKC turning point should be reached earlier than the global average level, especially as environmental regulation has been reinforced since 2014. Future government policies and regulations that optimize geographical locations for sustainable pig production (i.e. better spatial planning) and support improved manure nutrient management at both regional and farm levels are required.
了解畜牧业生产的变化及其与社会经济和环境影响的关系,对于探索实现粮食系统可持续发展目标(sdg)的途径至关重要。本研究以中国生猪生产为例,利用环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)和基尼指数评估社会经济指标对生猪生产和养分损失的影响。最近生猪生产的加速是由人均生猪产品平均消费量的增加和政府支持新生猪生产系统的政策推动的。全球生猪产量的快速增长及其对环境的影响之间的关系可以用EKC来描述。EKC的转折点,即环境退化开始减少的平均收入,当生猪生产密度大于每公顷耕地5.0头时,估计为人均15 - 3.5万美元。中国生猪产量尚未达到EKC拐点;然而,鉴于生猪生产系统和供应链(饲料和水)分布不均,以及可用于利用粪肥养分的土地有限,中国对猪肉需求的持续增长将不可避免地导致环境的持续恶化。EKC拐点应该早于全球平均水平,特别是在2014年以来环境监管加强的情况下。未来的政府政策和法规需要优化可持续生猪生产的地理位置(即更好的空间规划),并支持改进区域和农场层面的粪肥养分管理。
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引用次数: 17
A dynamic impact assessment method for rainstorm waterlogging using land-use data 基于土地利用数据的暴雨内涝动态影响评价方法
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1707232
Xiaochen Zhu, Bo Zhou, Xinfa Qiu, Yan Zeng, W. Ren, Shoubo Li, Yong Wang, Xinming Wang, Youjie Jin
ABSTRACT As a result of rapid urbanization and climate change, many large- and medium-sized cities in China frequently undergo urban disasters with severe impacts that result in many casualties, induce significant economic losses, and restrict sustainable social and economic development. Providing timely and accurate early warnings is the most effective measure for disaster prevention and mitigation before such disasters can impose severe impacts. In this study, we propose a dynamic impact assessment method for rainstorm waterlogging using land-use data. First, based on a detailed collection of disaster prevention and mitigation data, we construct an impact assessment index based on the assessment objects of this study. Then, a waterlogging simulation is performed, and the simulation results are found to meet the assessment requirements. Finally, we conduct an impact assessment every half hour during a heavy rainfall event and evaluate the performance of the proposed method by assessing the socioeconomic impact, object impact, industry impact, regional impact, and comprehensive impact of the event. These assessments produce valuable information for providing diverse and timely services in the event of urban waterlogging.
由于快速城市化和气候变化,中国许多大中城市频繁发生城市灾害,灾害影响严重,人员伤亡惨重,经济损失巨大,制约了社会经济的可持续发展。提供及时和准确的预警是在灾害造成严重影响之前预防和减轻灾害的最有效措施。本文提出了一种基于土地利用数据的暴雨内涝动态影响评价方法。首先,在详细收集防灾减灾数据的基础上,构建了基于本研究评估对象的影响评价指标。然后进行了内涝模拟,模拟结果满足评价要求。最后,我们在强降雨事件中每半小时进行一次影响评估,并通过评估事件的社会经济影响、对象影响、行业影响、区域影响和综合影响来评估所提出方法的性能。这些评估为在城市内涝事件中提供多样化和及时的服务提供了宝贵的信息。
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引用次数: 6
Evaluation of satellite-based products for extreme rainfall estimations in the eastern coastal areas of China 中国东部沿海地区极端降雨卫星产品评估
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1707233
Qin Jiang, Weiyue Li, J. Wen, Zedong Fan, Yunnan Chen, M. Scaioni, Jun Wang
ABSTRACT Remotely sensed rainfall plays an important role in providing efficient approaches for global or regional rainfall analysis. However, the accuracy of satellite-based products is mainly affected by the errors in sensor observation and retrieval algorithms, particularly with respect to extreme rainfall estimates. The objective of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of satellite-based products in capturing rainfall extremes. The eastern coastal areas of China were chosen as the case study area to compare the accuracy of three mainstream satellite-based products with respect to extreme rainfall estimates during 2003–2015 period. This included the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) rainfall product 3B42V7, the Climate Prediction Centre Morphing technique RAW (CMORPH-RAW), and the CMORPH bias-corrected product (CMORPH-CRT). In general, all satellite-based products demonstrated numerous errors in extreme rainfall estimates. Based on three different indices of extreme rainfall, it was observed that the satellite-based products underestimated the amounts of rainfall extremes and their respective average values. It was noted that CMORPH-RAW demonstrated the largest relative bias (RB) and underestimated the average extreme rainfall by −31% to −35%. Additionally, all satellite-based products exhibited poor capabilities in capturing the variations in hourly extreme rainfall processes. Finally, a simple potential flood index was developed to simulate the potential flood areas in the eastern coastal areas of China. We found that the potential flood areas can be simulated by combining the potential flood index with the amounts of rainfall derived by satellite-based products.
遥感降雨在为全球或区域降雨分析提供有效方法方面发挥着重要作用。然而,卫星产品的精度主要受到传感器观测和检索算法误差的影响,特别是在极端降雨估计方面。本研究的目的是评估基于卫星的产品在捕获极端降雨方面的准确性。以中国东部沿海地区为例,比较了3种主流卫星产品在2003-2015年期间极端降水估算的精度。这包括热带降雨测量任务(TRMM)的降雨产品3B42V7,气候预测中心变形技术RAW (cmorf -RAW)和CMORPH偏差校正产品(cmorf - crt)。总的来说,所有基于卫星的产品在极端降雨估计中都显示出许多错误。基于三个不同的极端降水指数,卫星产品低估了极端降水的数量及其平均值。cmorpho - raw表现出最大的相对偏差(RB),低估了平均极端降雨量- 31%至- 35%。此外,所有基于卫星的产品在捕捉每小时极端降雨过程的变化方面表现出较差的能力。最后,建立了一个简单的潜在洪水指数来模拟中国东部沿海地区的潜在洪水面积。我们发现,将潜在洪水指数与基于卫星产品的降雨量相结合,可以模拟潜在洪水区域。
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引用次数: 9
Towards sustainable drinking water abstraction: an integrated sustainability assessment framework to support local adaptation planning 迈向可持续饮用水抽取:支持地方适应规划的综合可持续性评估框架
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2019.1636284
Jolijn van Engelenburg, Erik van Slobbe, P. Hellegers
ABSTRACT Globally, groundwater is the major drinking water resource. Improving the sustainability of groundwater abstraction for drinking water calls for adaptation on a local scale. The aim of this research is to develop a locally oriented, integrated sustainability assessment framework to support the adaptation planning process for local drinking water abstractions. The framework uses 45 socio-economic, physical and technical sustainability criteria. Future developments that affect the sustainability of local drinking water abstractions are the increasing water demand, land use change, climate change and soil energy transition. Based on the sustainability challenges of local drinking water abstractions, water saving, protection and restoration of raw water quality, mitigation or reduction of impact of abstraction and improvement of supply security are identified as adaptation strategies. To illustrate the proposed approach the sustainability assessment framework was applied to two local drinking water abstractions in the Netherlands. The paper concludes that the proposed framework provides decision- makers with a transparent understanding of trade-offs that decisions have, and the information generated by the framework supports a careful balancing of relevant aspects playing a role in a decision on adapting local drinking water abstractions. Further development and upscaling of the proposed framework to a drinking water company’s level will contribute to sustainable development of drinking water abstraction on a strategic level.
在全球范围内,地下水是主要的饮用水资源。提高抽取地下水作为饮用水的可持续性需要在地方范围内进行适应。本研究的目的是建立一个面向当地的综合可持续性评估框架,以支持当地饮用水提取的适应规划过程。该框架使用45个社会经济、物质和技术可持续性标准。影响当地饮用水提取可持续性的未来发展是不断增加的水需求、土地利用变化、气候变化和土壤能源转型。根据地方饮用水抽取的可持续性挑战,将节水、保护和恢复原水质量、减轻或减少抽取的影响以及改善供应安全确定为适应战略。为了说明拟议的方法,可持续性评估框架应用于荷兰的两个地方饮用水抽取。本文的结论是,拟议的框架为决策者提供了对决策所具有的权衡的透明理解,框架产生的信息支持在适应当地饮用水抽象的决策中发挥作用的相关方面的仔细平衡。进一步发展拟议的框架并将其提升到饮用水公司的水平,将有助于在战略层面上实现饮用水抽取的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 11
Implications of environmental sanitation management for sustainable livelihoods in the catchment area of Benya Lagoon in Ghana 加纳本雅泻湖集水区环境卫生管理对可持续生计的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2018-12-20 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2018.1554591
Justice Mensah, F. Enu-kwesi
ABSTRACT The study explored the implications of environmental sanitation for three coastal livelihood activities, namely fishing, tourism and salt production. Qualitative data were collected from purposively selected respondents through key informant interviews and focus group discussions, and analysed using thematic and most significant stories approaches. The study found that sanitation affected livelihoods associated with tourism, fishing and salt production through its implications for health, productivity, income, job security and sustainability of the physical environment. However, while virtually all respondents acknowledged the effect of sanitation on human capital through the health implications, a substantial part of the people who eked their living from the stated livelihood activities did not appreciate the link between sanitation and these livelihood avenues. Sanitation behavioural change communication messaging by the responsible actors should, therefore, stress the relevance of sanitation not only for human health but also the linkage between sanitation and sustainable livelihood in its entirety.
摘要本研究探讨了环境卫生对三种沿海生计活动的影响,即渔业、旅游业和盐业。通过关键信息提供者访谈和焦点小组讨论,从有目的地选择的受访者中收集定性数据,并使用主题和最重要故事方法进行分析。研究发现,卫生设施通过对健康、生产力、收入、工作保障和自然环境可持续性的影响,影响与旅游、渔业和盐业生产相关的生计。然而,虽然几乎所有答复者都承认环境卫生通过对健康的影响而对人力资本产生影响,但大部分依靠所述生计活动维持生计的人并不了解环境卫生与这些生计途径之间的联系。因此,负责任行为者的环境卫生行为改变宣传信息应强调环境卫生不仅与人类健康有关,而且与整个可持续生计之间的联系有关。
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引用次数: 24
An overview of sustainable business models for innovation in Swedish agri-food production 瑞典农业食品生产创新的可持续商业模式概述
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2018-12-12 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2018.1554590
Per-ola Ulvenblad, Pia Ulvenblad, J. Tell
ABSTRACT Companies in the agri-food sector are under increasing pressure to adopt sustainable business models that consider not only economic but also both social and environmental aspects. This paper examines how Swedish food producers use sustainable business models to innovate their businesses. The empirical data comes from a telephone survey with 204 companies and from case studies of 4 companies. A conceptual framework regarding sustainability-oriented innovation (SOI) and a eight sustainable business model archetypes are used to map and analyse the sustainability innovation practices and the sustainable business models. The results show a surprisingly sustainable business focus taken by many companies, which is not only on optimization, but also on organizational transformation and on systems building. The results show the companies vary as far as which archetypes they match. The most common archetype matches are ‘Maximise material and energy efficiency’ and ‘Adopt a stewardship role’. Only 10% measure success solely in financial terms, while 80% measure success in financial terms as well as social and environmental terms. Another conclusion is that companies in the agri-food sector have unique characteristics and the value intention of the entrepreneurs is an important building block in sustainable business model innovation.
农业食品行业的公司面临越来越大的压力,他们需要采用可持续的商业模式,不仅要考虑经济方面,还要考虑社会和环境方面。本文考察了瑞典食品生产商如何使用可持续的商业模式来创新他们的业务。实证数据来自204家公司的电话调查和4家公司的案例研究。采用可持续创新的概念框架和八个可持续商业模式原型,对可持续创新实践和可持续商业模式进行了映射和分析。结果显示,令人惊讶的是,许多公司都关注可持续的业务,不仅关注优化,还关注组织转型和系统建设。结果显示,这些公司在匹配原型方面存在差异。最常见的原型匹配是“最大化材料和能源效率”和“采取管理角色”。只有10%的人仅仅从财务角度来衡量成功,而80%的人同时从财务角度以及社会和环境角度来衡量成功。另一个结论是,农业食品领域的公司具有独特的特征,企业家的价值意图是可持续商业模式创新的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 35
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