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The climate impact of land use change in the miombo region of south central Africa 非洲中南部miombo地区土地利用变化对气候的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-10-19 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2020.1825228
Sally A. Wilson, R. Scholes
ABSTRACT The African woodlands known as miombo are one of the world’s largest currently relatively unexploited, but potentially arable, land resources. Miombo landscapes one of the top contemporary locations of conversion of dry forests to crop agriculture. This study investigates the net effect on climate forcing that results from different types of land use change in miombo, taking into account the multiple mechanisms through which the land interacts with the climate system, locally and globally. It finds that when miombo is converted tointensively cultivated commercial crops, the landscape-averaged 30-year net greenhouse gas forcing relative to intact woodlands is 309gCO2e m-2 y-1, of which net emission of carbon dioxide amount to 66%, non-CO2 greenhouse gas effects to 33%, plus unquantified contributions from ozone precursors and aerosols. We find that net brightening of the land surface resulting from clearing the woodlands generates a cooling effect larger than the greenhouse gas forcing (-1139gCO2e m-2 y-1). Greenhouse gas forcings resulting from transformation to extensive subsistence agriculture that are 78% lower than those from the intensive commercial agriculture path, and 40% lower if a transformation which sets out to mimic ecological processes in the miombo landscape is undertaken. Once the effect of surface brightening is included, then the total forcing for extensive subsistence agriculture is -834gCO2e m-2 y-1 , about the same as intensive commercial, and eco-agriculture is -102gCO2e m-2 y-1 . Taking into account the account the larger areas required for to achieve the same production, intensive commercial agriculture is the more climate-protective option.Keywords: greenhouse gas, net radiation, deforestation.
被称为miombo的非洲林地是目前世界上最大的尚未开发但具有潜在可耕地的土地资源之一。Miombo景观是当代干旱森林转化为农作物农业的最佳地点之一。考虑到土地与气候系统在当地和全球范围内相互作用的多种机制,本研究调查了不同类型的土地利用变化对气候强迫的净效应。研究发现,当水稻转化为集约种植的商业作物时,相对于完整林地,景观平均30年净温室气体强迫为309gCO2e m-2 y-1,其中二氧化碳净排放量占66%,非二氧化碳温室气体效应占33%,再加上臭氧前体和气溶胶的未量化贡献。我们发现,清除林地导致的地表净增白产生的冷却效应大于温室气体强迫(-1139gCO2e m-2 y-1)。向粗放型自给农业转型所产生的温室气体强迫比从集约化商业农业转型所产生的温室气体强迫低78%,如果在miombo景观中进行模拟生态过程的转型,则会降低40%。如果考虑地表增白化的影响,则粗放自给农业的总强迫为-834gCO2e m-2 y-1,与集约化商业大致相同,生态农业的总强迫为-102gCO2e m-2 y-1。考虑到实现相同产量所需的面积更大,集约化商业农业是更保护气候的选择。关键词:温室气体,净辐射,森林砍伐。
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引用次数: 5
No effect of warming and watering on soil nitrous oxide fluxes in a temperate sitka spruce forest ecosystem 增温和浇水对温带锡特卡云杉林生态系统土壤氧化亚氮通量的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-10-08 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2020.1823421
Junliang Zou, B. Osborne
ABSTRACT Soil fluxes of nitrous oxide (N2O) play an important role in the global greenhouse gas budget. However, the response of soil N2O emissions to climate change in temperate forest plantations is not yet well understood. In this study, we assessed the responses of soil N2O fluxes to experimental warming with or without water addition, using a replicated in situ heating (~2°C above ambient) and water addition (170 mm) experiment in a temperate Sitka spruce plantation forest over the period 2014–2016. We found that seasonal fluxes of N2O during the year were highly variable, ranging from net uptake to net emissions. Seasonal variations in soil N2O fluxes were not correlated with either soil temperature or soil moisture. In addition, none of the individual warming/watering treatments, or their interactions, had significant effects on soil N2O fluxes and N-related soil properties. Overall, our results suggest that despite future increases in temperature, soil N2O emission may remain largely unchanged in many temperate forest ecosystems that are often N-limited.
一氧化二氮(N2O)的土壤通量在全球温室气体收支中起着重要作用。然而,温带人工林土壤N2O排放对气候变化的响应尚不清楚。在这项研究中,我们利用2014-2016年在温带锡特卡云杉人工林中重复的原地加热(比环境高~2°C)和加水(170 mm)实验,评估了土壤N2O通量对加水或不加水的实验增温的响应。我们发现,一年中N2O的季节通量变化很大,从净吸收到净排放不等。土壤N2O通量的季节变化与土壤温度和土壤湿度均无相关性。此外,各个增温/浇水处理及其相互作用对土壤N2O通量和n相关土壤性质均无显著影响。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,尽管未来温度升高,但在许多通常n有限的温带森林生态系统中,土壤N2O排放可能基本保持不变。
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引用次数: 1
Methane emissions from fossil fuels: exploring recent changes in greenhouse-gas reporting requirements for the State of New York 化石燃料产生的甲烷排放:探索纽约州温室气体报告要求的最新变化
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-08-25 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2020.1789666
R. Howarth
ABSTRACT In 2019, New York State passed aggressive new climate legislation to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and laid out major changes for how emissions are reported. One change is the inclusion of emissions from outside of the boundaries of the State if they are associated with energy use within NY; the traditional inventory considered emissions only within the State. The new legislation also mandated that methane emissions be compared with carbon dioxide over a 20-year time frame rather than the 100-year time frame previously used by NY and still used by virtually all other governments globally. This reflected the desire of NY's policymakers for a tool that evaluates emissions from the standpoint of energy consumption and that more heavily weighs the role of methane as an agent of warming over the next few decades. This paper compares emissions based on the new approach for GHG reporting with the traditional inventory. The traditional inventory is driven almost entirely by carbon dioxide emissions. As of 2015, these carbon dioxide emissions had declined by 15% since 1990 due to an 88% decrease in coal consumption and a 27% decrease in consumption of petroleum products, although consumption of natural gas had increased by 57%. Methane emissions increased by almost 30% between 1990 and 2015, largely due to the increased consumption of natural gas. According to the new GHG reporting rules, methane contributed 28% of all fossil-fuel emissions in 1990 and 37% in 2015. Total GHG emissions remained virtually unchanged from 1990 to 2015.
2019年,纽约州通过了积极的新气候立法,以减少温室气体(GHG)排放,并对排放报告方式进行了重大改革。一项变化是,如果与纽约州境内的能源使用有关,则将州外的排放纳入其中;传统的清单只考虑国家内部的排放。新的立法还要求将甲烷排放量与二氧化碳排放量进行20年时间框架的比较,而不是纽约州之前使用的100年时间框架,目前全球几乎所有其他政府都在使用这一框架。这反映了纽约州政策制定者希望有一种工具能够从能源消耗的角度来评估排放,并更重地衡量甲烷在未来几十年作为变暖因素的作用。本文将基于新方法的温室气体报告与传统清单的排放量进行了比较。传统的库存几乎完全由二氧化碳排放驱动。截至2015年,尽管天然气消费量增长了57%,但由于煤炭消费量下降了88%,石油产品消费量下降了27%,二氧化碳排放量自1990年以来下降了15%。1990年至2015年间,甲烷排放量增加了近30%,这主要是由于天然气消费量的增加。根据新的温室气体报告规则,1990年甲烷占所有化石燃料排放的28%,2015年为37%。从1990年到2015年,温室气体排放总量几乎没有变化。
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引用次数: 13
Land-use change and Biogeochemical controls of soil CO2, N2O and CH4 fluxes in Cameroonian forest landscapes 喀麦隆森林景观中土地利用变化和土壤CO2、N2O和CH4通量的生物地球化学控制
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2020.1779092
L. Verchot, M. Dannenmann, S. K. Kengdo, C. B. Njine-Bememba, M. Rufino, D. Sonwa, J. Tejedor
ABSTRACT Deforestation and land-use change are accelerating in the Congo Basin and elsewhere in the tropics affecting the soil-atmosphere exchange of greenhouse gases (GHG). There is a lack of data from Central Africa. We quantified fluxes of CO2, CH4, and N2O at the soil-atmosphere interface in a secondary forest, a cocoa agroforest, and an unfertilized cropland. Soil respiration was highest in the secondary forest (15.37 ± 3.42 Mg C ha−1 y−1), intermediate in the cacao agroforest (12.26 ± 2.91 Mg C ha−1 y−1) and the lowest in the unfertilized cropland (8.74 ± 2.62 Mg C ha−1 y−1). Likewise, N2O fluxes were highest in the secondary forest (2.17 ± 0.20 kg N ha−1 y−1), intermediate in the cacao agroforest (1.40 ± 0.08 kg N ha−1 y−1) and lowest in the unfertilized cropland (1.04 ± 0.15 kg N ha−1 y−1). Soils were a sink for atmospheric CH4 and sink strength was high in the secondary forest (−3.60 ± 1.83 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1) and cacao agroforest (−3.61 ± 2.09 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1) and low in the unfertilized cropland (−1.9 ± 1.59 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1). Variation in soil water content rather than temperature was the dominant driver of seasonal variations of the fluxes at all study sites and N availability affected both N2O and CH4 fluxes. Our results suggest that tropical land-use change is decreasing soil respiration, decreasing the strength of the soil CH4 sink and decreasing N2O emissions, in landscapes that do not practice agriculture with chemical fertilization.
在刚果盆地和其他热带地区,森林砍伐和土地利用变化正在加速,影响着温室气体(GHG)的土壤-大气交换。缺乏来自中非的数据。我们量化通量的二氧化碳、甲烷和一氧化二氮在土壤空气界面次生林,可可agroforest,土地不肥沃的农田。次生林土壤呼吸最高(15.37±3.42 Mg C ha−1 y−1),可可混交林中等(12.26±2.91 Mg C ha−1 y−1),未施肥农田最低(8.74±2.62 Mg C ha−1 y−1)。同样,N2O通量在次生林中最高(2.17±0.20 kg N ha−1 y−1),在可可混交林中居中(1.40±0.08 kg N ha−1 y−1),在未施肥的农田中最低(1.04±0.15 kg N ha−1 y−1)。土壤是大气CH4的汇,其汇强度在次生林(- 3.60±1.83 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1)和可可混交林(- 3.61±2.09 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1)中较高,在未施肥的农田中较低(- 1.9±1.59 kg CH4 ha−1 y−1)。土壤含水量的变化是影响N2O和CH4通量季节变化的主要因素,而不是温度的变化,氮有效性影响N2O和CH4通量。研究结果表明,在不施用化学肥料的热带土地利用变化会降低土壤呼吸、降低土壤CH4汇强度和减少N2O排放。
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引用次数: 8
Statistical analysis of factors driving surface ozone variability over continental South Africa 驱动南非大陆表面臭氧变率因素的统计分析
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2020.1768550
T. Laban, P. V. van Zyl, J. Beukes, S. Mikkonen, L. Santana, M. Josipovic, V. Vakkari, A. Thompson, M. Kulmala, L. Laakso
ABSTRACT Statistical relationships between surface ozone (O3) concentration, precursor species and meteorological conditions in continental South Africa were examined from data obtained from measurement stations in north-eastern South Africa. Three multivariate statistical methods were applied in the investigation, i.e. multiple linear regression (MLR), principal component analysis (PCA) and –regression (PCR), and generalised additive model (GAM) analysis. The daily maximum 8-h moving average O3 concentrations were considered in these statistical models (dependent variable). MLR models indicated that meteorology and precursor species concentrations are able to explain ~50% of the variability in daily maximum O3 levels. MLR analysis revealed that atmospheric carbon monoxide (CO), temperature and relative humidity were the strongest factors affecting the daily O3 variability. In summer, daily O3 variances were mostly associated with relative humidity, while winter O3 levels were mostly linked to temperature and CO. PCA indicated that CO, temperature and relative humidity were not strongly collinear. GAM also identified CO, temperature and relative humidity as the strongest factors affecting the daily variation of O3. Partial residual plots found that temperature, radiation and nitrogen oxides most likely have a non-linear relationship with O3,while the relationship with relative humidity and CO is probably linear. An inter-comparison between O3 levels modelled with the three statistical models compared to measured O3 concentrations showed that the GAM model offered a slight improvement over the MLR model. These findings emphasise the critical role of regional-scale O3 precursors coupled with meteorological conditions in daily variances of O3 levels in continental South Africa.
摘要:利用南非东北部监测站的数据,研究了南非大陆表面臭氧(O3)浓度、前体物质与气象条件之间的统计关系。研究采用多元统计方法,即多元线性回归(MLR)、主成分分析(PCA)和多元回归(PCR)、广义加性模型(GAM)分析。这些统计模型(因变量)考虑了O3的日最大8 h移动平均浓度。MLR模式表明,气象和前体物种浓度能够解释约50%的日最大O3水平变化。MLR分析表明,大气CO、温度和相对湿度是影响O3日变化的最强因子。夏季O3日变化主要与相对湿度有关,冬季O3日变化主要与温度和CO有关,CO、温度和相对湿度的共线性不强。GAM还发现CO、温度和相对湿度是影响O3日变化的最强因子。部分残差图发现,温度、辐射和氮氧化物与O3的关系很可能是非线性的,而与相对湿度和CO的关系很可能是线性的。用三种统计模型模拟的O3水平与实测O3浓度的相互比较表明,GAM模型比MLR模型略有改进。这些发现强调了区域尺度臭氧前体与气象条件在南非大陆臭氧水平日变化中的关键作用。
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引用次数: 6
The conceptual basis of water-energy-food nexus governance: systematic literature review using network and discourse analysis 水-能-食物关系治理的概念基础:运用网络与话语分析的系统文献回顾
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-04-15 DOI: 10.1080/1943815x.2020.1749086
Alberto Matenhauer Urbinatti, L. L. Benites-Lazaro, C. M. Carvalho, L. Giatti
ABSTRACT In the last decade, the debate on the governance of water, energy, and food (WEF) has intensified, spurring the emergence of the term “nexus governance.” In general, the reduction of trade-offs and construction of synergies between WEF have been placed on the scientific, political, and economic agenda. However, although increasingly used, it is difficult to find a clear meaning and definition of what the term represents. Based on a systematic literature review (SLR), using text-mining and machine learning algorithms, this article investigates what are the conceptual basis of the nexus governance debate, and attempts to clarify the main themes, networks, and gaps within this literature. The analysis is based on quantitative and qualitative methods, combining social network analysis (SNA) and discourse analysis (DA). The results highlighted that twenty-four governance-related concepts support this literature, breaking down into eight groups: water and basin governance; environmental and systems governance; risk and resource security governance; economic governance; global governance; urban governance; integrative and cooperative governance; and “epistemic” and transdisciplinary governance.
在过去的十年中,关于水、能源和食物治理(WEF)的争论愈演愈烈,催生了“关系治理”这一术语。总的来说,减少权衡和构建世界经济论坛之间的协同效应已被列入科学、政治和经济议程。然而,尽管越来越多地使用,很难找到一个明确的含义和定义的术语代表什么。基于系统文献综述(SLR),使用文本挖掘和机器学习算法,本文调查了关系治理辩论的概念基础,并试图澄清这些文献中的主题、网络和差距。该分析以定量和定性相结合的方法为基础,将社会网络分析(SNA)和话语分析(DA)相结合。结果强调了24个与治理相关的概念支持这一文献,分为8组:水和流域治理;环境和系统治理;风险与资源安全治理;经济治理;全球治理;城市管理;一体化合作治理;以及“认识论”和跨学科的治理。
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引用次数: 35
Adaptive decision-making under conditions of uncertainty: the case of farming in the Volta delta, Ghana 不确定条件下的适应性决策:以加纳沃尔特三角洲的农业为例
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815x.2020.1729207
R. Sarku, A. Dewulf, Erik van Slobbe, K. Termeer, G. Kranjac-Berisavljevic
ABSTRACT Farming in Ghana’s Volta delta is increasingly affected by variability in rainfall conditions and changes in land-use patterns. Under such socio-ecological conditions, little is known about farmers’ decision-making in response to uncertainties in uncertain rainfall conditions. To fill this gap and add to the literature on adaptive decision-making, we addressed the central question: what are the existing patterns of farming decision-making under uncertain rainfall conditions, and which decision-making strategies are adaptive? We developed an adaptive decision-making framework to investigate the behavior of farmers under variable rainfall conditions in Ghana’s Volta delta in the Ada East District. We conducted 5 interviews with agricultural extension agents, 44 in-depth interviews and 4 focus group discussion with farmers. Subsequently, we interviewed a sub-selection of 32 farmers. Findings of the study shows that farmers carry out different decision-making patterns in response to the variable rainfall conditions. We distinguished six strategies: three based on flexibility and three based on robustness. Flexible adaptive decision-making strategies are switching dates for sowing seeds through wait-and-see or delay strategy, muddling through the farming season with the application of various options and alternative irrigation strategies. Robust adaptive decision-making strategies are portfolio strategy of transplanting seedlings in batches, selection of robust (hardy) crops, and intercropping or diversification. Based on how farmers select strategies in response to uncertainty in rainfall conditions, we argue that some decision-making strategies are more adaptive than others. Findings of this study are relevant for the design and implementation of climate related agricultural projects.
加纳沃尔塔三角洲的农业日益受到降雨条件变化和土地利用模式变化的影响。在这样的社会生态条件下,农民对不确定降雨条件下的不确定性做出的决策知之甚少。为了填补这一空白并增加适应性决策的文献,我们解决了核心问题:在不确定降雨条件下,现有的农业决策模式是什么,哪些决策策略是适应性的?我们开发了一个适应性决策框架,以调查加纳阿达东区沃尔特三角洲多变降雨条件下农民的行为。我们对农业推广人员进行了5次访谈,44次深度访谈和4次农民焦点小组讨论。随后,我们采访了32位农民。研究结果表明,农民在不同的降雨条件下采取了不同的决策模式。我们区分了六种策略:三种基于灵活性,三种基于鲁棒性。灵活的适应性决策策略是通过观望或延迟策略来改变播种日期,通过应用各种选择和替代灌溉策略来混过农业季节。鲁棒适应性决策策略包括分批移栽、选择健壮(耐寒)作物和间作或多样化的组合策略。基于农民如何选择应对降雨条件不确定性的策略,我们认为一些决策策略比其他决策策略更具适应性。本研究结果对气候相关农业项目的设计和实施具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 13
Studying residents’ flood risk perceptions and sense of place to inform public participation in a Dutch river restoration project 研究居民对洪水风险的感知和地方感,为荷兰河流修复项目的公众参与提供信息
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815x.2020.1799826
B. F. van Heel, R. V. D. van den Born
ABSTRACT Public participation is becoming increasingly important in integrative river restoration projects. However, studies show that flood risk awareness is generally low among residents of flood-prone areas, making it (more) difficult for project managers to involve the public. We contribute to understanding this generally low flood risk perception by carrying out a survey (N = 631) among residents in a Dutch floodplain and studying the connection between flood risk perception and sense of place. We found that expected damage is influenced by (collective) memory of near-floods and that residents with a high self- and group efficacy expect less damage. Against our hypothesis, we conclude that sense of place hardly influences flood risk perception, only nature bonding does. We recommend further research to study the complex relationships between flood risk perception, sense of place and self-efficacy from a theoretical need, but also because of the implications of these results for communication in flood risk management and motivations to engage in participation processes.
在河流综合修复项目中,公众参与变得越来越重要。然而,研究表明,洪水易发地区居民的洪水风险意识普遍较低,这使得项目经理很难让公众参与进来。我们对荷兰洪泛区居民进行了一项调查(N = 631),研究了洪水风险感知与地方感之间的联系,从而有助于理解这种普遍较低的洪水风险感知。我们发现预期损失受近洪记忆的影响,自我效能和群体效能高的居民预期损失较小。与我们的假设相反,我们得出结论,地方感几乎不影响洪水风险感知,只有自然联系才会影响。我们建议进一步研究洪水风险感知、地方感和自我效能感之间的复杂关系,从理论需求出发,同时也因为这些结果对洪水风险管理中的沟通和参与过程的动机具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 6
Urban nitrogen budgets: flows and stock changes of potentially polluting nitrogen compounds in cities and their surroundings – a review 城市氮预算:城市及其周边潜在污染氮化合物的流动和储量变化综述
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815x.2020.1841241
W. Winiwarter, B. Amon, Z. Bai, A. Greinert, K. Kaltenegger, Lin Ma, S. Myszograj, Markus Schneidergruber, Monika Suchowski-Kisielewicz, L. Wolf, Lin Zhang, F. Zhou
ABSTRACT Concepts of material flow and mass consistency of nitrogen compounds have been used to elucidate nitrogen’s fate in an urban environment. While reactive nitrogen commonly is associated to agriculture and hence to large areas, here we have compiled scientific literature on nitrogen budget approaches in cities, following the central role cities have in anthropogenic activities generally. This included studies that specifically dealt with individual sectors as well as budgets covering all inputs and outputs to and from a city across all sectors and media. In the available data set, a clear focus on Asian cities was noted, making full use of limited information and thus enable to quantitatively describe a local pollution situation. Time series comparisons helped to identify trends, but comparison between cities was hampered by a lack of harmonized methodologies. Some standardization, or at least improved reference to relevant standardized data collection along international norms was considered helpful. Analysis of results available pointed to the following aspects that would reveal additional benchmarks for urban nitrogen budgets: analysing the share of nitrogen that is recycled or reused, separating largely independent sets of nitrogen flows specifically between food nitrogen streams and fossil fuel combustion-related flows, and estimating the stock changes for the whole domain or within individual pools.
物质流和氮化合物质量一致性的概念已经被用来阐明氮在城市环境中的命运。虽然活性氮通常与农业有关,因此与大面积有关,但在这里,我们根据城市在人类活动中普遍发挥的核心作用,汇编了关于城市氮预算方法的科学文献。这包括具体处理个别部门的研究,以及涵盖所有部门和媒介进出一个城市的所有投入和产出的预算。在现有的数据集中,注意到亚洲城市的明确重点,充分利用有限的资料,从而能够定量地描述当地的污染情况。时间序列比较有助于确定趋势,但由于缺乏统一的方法,城市之间的比较受到阻碍。一些标准化,或至少根据国际规范改进有关标准化数据收集的参考,被认为是有益的。对现有结果的分析指出了以下方面,这些方面将揭示城市氮预算的额外基准:分析回收或再利用的氮的份额,分离基本上独立的氮流,特别是在食物氮流和化石燃料燃烧相关的氮流之间,并估计整个领域或单个池内的储量变化。
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引用次数: 4
The implications of residential air conditioning refrigerant choice on future hydrofluorocarbon consumption in the United States. 美国住宅空调制冷剂选择对未来氢氟碳消耗的影响。
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815x.2020.1768551
David S Godwin, Rebecca Ferenchiak

As the primary alternative to ozone-depleting refrigerants, hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) have increased in use and emissions in the United States. A significant increase in this use and emissions, and a large portion of total U.S. HFC consumption, is expected due to the use of HFCs in residential air conditioning (RAC). The RAC market primarily relied upon chlorodifluoromethane, a hydrochlorofluorocarbon (HCFC) commonly referred to as HCFC-22, whose consumption is being phased out globally under the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer and under national regulations such as the Clean Air Act in the United States. The RAC market today relies on HFCs, most often R-410A (a blend of difluoromethane, known as HFC-32, and pentafluoroethane, known as HFC-125) for new equipment, but older units using HCFC-22 remain to be replaced. The RAC industry is investigating multiple alternatives with global warming potentials (GWPs) significantly below that of R-410A. Research has been conducted by chemical producers, air conditioner and component manufacturers, national government laboratories, academia, and consortium efforts such as the Low-GWP Alternative Refrigerants Evaluation Program administered by an industry trade organization. Various low-GWP alternatives have been suggested with GWPs of approximately 750 and below. This paper models HFC consumption in the United States and investigates industry-wide HFC reduction measures across sectors that have transitioned from ozone-depleting substances to HFCs. Under various scenarios of such measures, this paper shows that future RAC refrigerants will strongly influence industry efforts to reduce U.S. HFC consumption. RAC refrigerants with GWPs in the 150-750 range are investigated to estimate future HFC consumption levels in the United States. The transition to refrigerants with GWPs in the 150-750 range can provide significant reduction in HFC consumption in the United States. These reductions are not just reliant on manufacturers introducing new equipment with low-GWP alternatives. The service industries, responsible for repairing leaks and recovering refrigerant, play a vital role in reducing HFC consumption.

作为消耗臭氧层制冷剂的主要替代品,氢氟碳化合物(HFCs)在美国的使用和排放量都有所增加。由于在住宅空调(RAC)中使用氢氟碳化物,预计这种使用和排放将显著增加,并占美国氢氟碳化物总消费量的很大一部分。RAC市场主要依赖于氯二氟甲烷,这是一种通常称为HCFC-22的氢氯氟烃,根据《关于消耗臭氧层物质的蒙特利尔议定书》和美国《清洁空气法》等国家法规,其消费正在全球逐步淘汰。目前RAC市场的新设备主要依靠氢氟碳化物,最常见的是R-410A(一种二氟甲烷的混合物,称为HFC-32,和五氟乙烷,称为HFC-125),但使用HCFC-22的旧设备仍有待更换。RAC行业正在研究多种全球变暖潜能值(GWPs)显著低于R-410A的替代品。化学品生产商、空调和零部件制造商、国家政府实验室、学术界和由工业贸易组织管理的低全球变暖潜值替代制冷剂评估计划等联合努力进行了研究。人们提出了各种低gwp值的替代方案,gwp值约为750及以下。本文模拟了美国氢氟碳化物的消费情况,并调查了从消耗臭氧层物质向氢氟碳化物过渡的各个部门的全行业氢氟碳化物减排措施。在这些措施的各种情况下,本文表明,未来RAC制冷剂将强烈影响行业减少美国HFC消耗的努力。研究了全球变暖潜能值在150-750范围内的RAC制冷剂,以估计美国未来的HFC消费水平。在美国,向全球变暖潜能值在150-750范围内的制冷剂过渡可以显著减少氢氟碳化物的消耗。这些减排不仅仅依赖于制造商引进具有低gwp替代品的新设备。服务行业负责修复泄漏和回收制冷剂,在减少HFC消耗方面发挥着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 10
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Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
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