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Community Perceptions on Environmental and Social Impacts of Mining in Limpopo South Africa and the Implications on Corporate Social Responsibility 社区对南非林波波省采矿的环境和社会影响的看法及其对企业社会责任的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2131827
Pl Seloa, Vm Ngole-Jeme
ABSTRACT Perceptions of communities about mining and its impacts influence their relationship with mining companies in their vicinity. This study investigated the perceptions of communities on environmental and social impacts of nearby mines in Limpopo South Africa. Data was collected using a questionnaire administered to male and females above 18 years living in five villages located around the mine, and key informant interviews. Scores for perceptions on environmental impacts (3.17–3.26) were lower than those for perceptions of social impacts (4.86–4.89) on a scale where 1 represented positive perceptions, and 5, negative perceptions. Factors affecting perceptions on environmental impacts and social impacts differed but length of stay in the village was a common denominator. These negative perceptions may affect the relationship between the mine and surrounding communities and stand as a hindrance to the accomplishments of the goals of corporate social responsibility which forms the principle of operations of mines in the country.
社区对矿业及其影响的看法影响着他们与附近矿业公司的关系。本研究调查了社区对南非林波波省附近矿山的环境和社会影响的看法。收集数据的方法是对居住在矿山周围5个村庄的18岁以上的男女进行问卷调查,并对关键信息提供者进行访谈。对环境影响的认知得分(3.17-3.26)低于对社会影响的认知得分(4.86-4.89),其中1代表积极认知,5代表消极认知。影响对环境影响和社会影响看法的因素各不相同,但在村庄停留的时间长短是一个共同点。这些消极的看法可能影响到矿山与周围社区之间的关系,并阻碍实现构成该国矿山业务原则的企业社会责任目标。
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引用次数: 3
Urban climate governance in Southeast Asian small and mid-sized cities: undermining resilience and distributing risks unevenly 东南亚中小城市的城市气候治理:削弱韧性和风险分配不均
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2127774
D. Marks, Gwenn Pulliat
ABSTRACT Secondary cities are home to most of the world’s urban populations vulnerable to climate change, yet researchers and policymakers have devoted less attention to them than large and megacities. To help address this gap, this paper explores the relationship between incomplete decentralized governance, climate change, and urban resilience. It does through the case studies of secondary cities of Cambodia, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam. Secondary cities are of importance because they are the fastest growing cities in the Global South but also because they have weaker capacity to address climate risks. Through these case studies, the paper draws comparisons between the different cases to look at the linkages between decentralization and urban resilience in secondary cities. Overall, it argues that climate governance, due to the retention of power and resources by central bureaucrats along with fragmented governance structures, and misaligned incentive structures which prioritize economic growth over climate protection have undermined resilience building and contributed to the uneven distribution of climate risks in these cities.
二级城市是世界上大多数易受气候变化影响的城市人口的家园,但研究人员和政策制定者对二级城市的关注却少于大城市和特大城市。为了帮助解决这一差距,本文探讨了不完全分散治理、气候变化和城市韧性之间的关系。本文通过对柬埔寨、缅甸、泰国和越南的二级城市进行案例研究。二线城市之所以重要,是因为它们是全球南方发展最快的城市,但也因为它们应对气候风险的能力较弱。通过这些案例研究,本文对不同案例进行了比较,以探讨二级城市权力下放与城市韧性之间的联系。总体而言,报告认为,由于中央官僚机构对权力和资源的保留,加上治理结构的碎片化,以及将经济增长置于气候保护之上的错位激励结构,气候治理破坏了韧性建设,并导致这些城市气候风险分布不均。
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引用次数: 2
Experiences with team-based learning in an introductory bachelor course on sustainability 在可持续发展入门学士课程中团队学习的经验
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2108460
M. Huijbregts, S. Hanssen, Nicole Derks, F. Collas, Ilse Erich, R. Leuven, A. Ragas, A. Schipper, Jacqueline A. Vos, Fanny J Huijbregts-Verheyden
ABSTRACT Team-based learning (TBL) is a structured form of collaborative learning that is particularly beneficial in courses where students are expected to understand a significant amount of information to answer complex questions. Here we evaluate the implementation of TBL in a second-year undergraduate sustainability course. The course introduces structured and quantitative approaches for analysing human impacts on the natural environment. It consists of four learning units each focusing on a specific environmental issue, such as climate change and habitat loss. Teams of 5–6 students are formed at the beginning of the course. Each learning unit starts with individual pre-class preparation followed by a readiness assurance process. The remainder of the learning unit consists of assignments that require students to apply what they learned to environmental problems. In the peer evaluation, the students assess team members on their contribution to the team activities. The exam pass rates have been consistently high (> 82%) since we implemented TBL in 2016. The students’ appreciation of TBL increased over time, with 90% of respondents rating the added educational value of TBL as satisfactory or better in 2019. Teachers value the active participation of the students. Students repeatedly mentioned that they highly appreciate the collaboration in a team, increased both engagement and motivation. TBL’s biggest challenge is the facilitation of the discussions during the application sessions and making sure that the discussions remain concise while maintaining sufficient depth. TBL is now also implemented in other courses with structural attention to the development of collaborative skills.
基于团队的学习(TBL)是一种结构化的协作学习形式,在学生需要理解大量信息以回答复杂问题的课程中特别有益。在此,我们评估了在本科二年级可持续发展课程中TBL的实施情况。本课程介绍结构化和定量的方法来分析人类对自然环境的影响。它由四个学习单元组成,每个单元侧重于一个特定的环境问题,例如气候变化和栖息地丧失。课程开始时,5-6名学生组成小组。每个学习单元从个人课前准备开始,然后是准备保证过程。学习单元的其余部分包括要求学生将所学知识应用于环境问题的作业。在同侪评估中,学生评估团队成员对团队活动的贡献。自2016年实施TBL以来,考试通过率一直很高(> 82%)。随着时间的推移,学生对TBL的欣赏程度不断提高,2019年有90%的受访者认为TBL的附加教育价值满意或更好。教师重视学生的积极参与。学生们反复提到,他们非常欣赏团队合作,增加了参与度和积极性。TBL最大的挑战是在应用会议期间促进讨论,并确保讨论在保持足够深度的同时保持简洁。TBL现在也在其他课程中实施,结构性地关注协作技能的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Addressing climate goals and the SDGs through a just energy transition? Empirical evidence from Germany and South Africa 通过公正的能源转型实现气候目标和可持续发展目标?来自德国和南非的经验证据
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2108459
R. Hägele, G. Iacobuţă, J. Tops
ABSTRACT In striving to achieve the Paris Agreement and the 2030 Agenda, governments have the opportunity to implement their climate and sustainability goals more coherently. Such coherence requires the coordination of interdependent policies across different policy fields, sectors and actors. This paper explores how governments design and implement synergic solutions to concomitantly achieve both international agendas. With the empirical cases of Germany and South Africa, we investigate two independent approaches to the synergic solution of a just energy transition, whereby countries aim to phase out coal as a means to tackle climate change while also ensuring that the achievement of other Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is not hindered. Methodologically, we apply a deductive qualitative approach consisting of literature review, semi-structured interviews, and content analysis. To that end, we examine relevant policies and institutional arrangements by applying a combined conceptual framework of energy justice and just transition in both countries. We find major challenges in overcoming environmental, economic and social burdens of the coal phase-out, especially related to jobs and inequality (SDGs 8, 10) and the Water-Energy-Food-Land nexus (SDGs 2, 6, 7, 15). Through the selection of Germany and South Africa, we illustrate how countries with different political, social and economic backgrounds strive to manage such a transition. Our developed framework and case-studies’ findings point towards important considerations when designing just energy transition pathways, such as ensuring inclusiveness in decision-making, thoroughly assessing social, economic and environmental impacts, and adequately coordinating across different actors and the local, provincial and national levels.
在努力实现《巴黎协定》和《2030年可持续发展议程》的过程中,各国政府有机会更加协调一致地实施其气候和可持续发展目标。这种一致性要求在不同政策领域、部门和行动者之间协调相互依存的政策。本文探讨了政府如何设计和实施协同解决方案,以同时实现这两个国际议程。通过德国和南非的经验案例,我们研究了两种独立的方法来实现能源转型的协同解决方案,即各国旨在逐步淘汰煤炭作为应对气候变化的手段,同时确保其他可持续发展目标(sdg)的实现不受阻碍。在方法上,我们采用演绎定性方法,包括文献综述、半结构化访谈和内容分析。为此,我们通过应用两国能源正义和公正过渡的综合概念框架来研究相关政策和制度安排。我们发现,在克服煤炭淘汰带来的环境、经济和社会负担方面存在重大挑战,特别是与就业和不平等(可持续发展目标8、10)以及水-能源-粮食-土地关系(可持续发展目标2、6、7、15)有关。通过选择德国和南非,我们说明具有不同政治、社会和经济背景的国家如何努力管理这种过渡。我们开发的框架和案例研究的结果指出了在设计能源转型路径时需要考虑的重要因素,例如确保决策的包容性,全面评估社会、经济和环境影响,以及在不同参与者和地方、省和国家层面进行充分协调。
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引用次数: 4
Social protection in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation: A bibliometric and thematic review 减少灾害风险和适应气候变化中的社会保护:文献计量学和专题审查
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2108458
I. Rana, Sifullah Khaled, A. Jamshed, Adnan Nawaz
ABSTRACT Social protection has emerged as a strategy to minimize climate change impacts by building the resilience of vulnerable communities. It is increasingly being used in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. This study reviews the role of social protection in the scientific literature through bibliometric and thematic analysis. Web of Science database was used to retrieve the articles using selected keywords. Historical growth, citations, keywords, and country analyses were used to perform the bibliometric review. Thematic analysis was used to identify themes pertaining to social protection, disaster risk reduction, and climate change adaptation. Publications have increased over the past decade, and 142 texts from various disciplines were retrieved. The co-occurrence of keywords revealed that resilience, adaptation, and vulnerability are used in the scientific literature. The shortlisted themes investigated the role of social protection and its interventions for supporting livelihoods, assisting in food security, and disaster recovery. Social protection is emphasized as a tool for vulnerability reduction and building resilience. Literature confirms the crosscutting and multidisciplinary implications of social protection in the domains of climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction.
社会保护已成为一种通过建立脆弱社区的恢复力来减少气候变化影响的战略。它越来越多地用于减少灾害风险和适应气候变化。本研究通过文献计量学和专题分析回顾了社会保护在科学文献中的作用。使用Web of Science数据库按照选定的关键词检索文章。使用历史增长、引文、关键词和国家分析来进行文献计量学回顾。专题分析用于确定与社会保护、减少灾害风险和适应气候变化有关的主题。出版物在过去十年中有所增加,检索了来自不同学科的142篇文章。关键词的共现表明,韧性、适应性和脆弱性在科学文献中被广泛使用。入围主题调查了社会保护及其干预措施在支持生计、协助粮食安全和灾后恢复方面的作用。强调社会保护是减少脆弱性和建立复原力的工具。文献证实了社会保护在适应气候变化和减少灾害风险领域的跨领域和多学科影响。
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引用次数: 4
Coffee supply chain planning under climate change 气候变化下的咖啡供应链规划
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-07-29 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2103570
R. Zhou, Yaoping Wang, Mingzhou Jin, J. Mao, Xu Zheng
ABSTRACT The growing demand but uncertain supply makes the sustainability of the coffee industry a shared concern for all participants along the coffee supply chain. This study proposed a decision-making model that comprises the cultivation management, including shade management and annual agriculture management, and the supply chain logistics. A two-stage stochastic program is presented and used within a rolling horizon scheme that periodically updates input data information to deal with uncertainty associated with future climate scenarios. The program minimizes the total expected cost of the entire supply chain of arabica coffee. The study applied the model to the real case study of arabica coffee bean supply to the U.S. market, trying to answer whether arabica coffee supply can meet the U.S. demand from 2022 to 2050 and how to best mitigate any shortage through corporate-farmer partnerships. The results show that the coffee supply will have a 3% shortage in the future; medium-level shade management and more irrigation and fertilization are possible mitigation strategies. These results demonstrate the need for all participants to adopt suitable technologies for the sustainability of global coffee supply chains together.
不断增长的需求和不确定的供应使得咖啡行业的可持续性成为咖啡供应链上所有参与者共同关注的问题。本研究提出了一个由种植管理(包括遮荫管理和年度农业管理)和供应链物流组成的决策模型。提出了一个两阶段的随机程序,并在滚动水平方案中使用,该方案定期更新输入数据信息,以处理与未来气候情景相关的不确定性。该计划将整个阿拉比卡咖啡供应链的总预期成本降至最低。该研究将该模型应用于美国市场阿拉比卡咖啡豆供应的实际案例研究,试图回答阿拉比卡咖啡供应是否能满足美国2022年至2050年的需求,以及如何通过企业与农民的合作关系最好地缓解短缺。结果表明,未来咖啡供应将出现3%的短缺;中等水平的遮荫管理和更多的灌溉和施肥是可能的缓解策略。这些结果表明,所有参与者都需要采用合适的技术,共同实现全球咖啡供应链的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Digitalization for transformative urbanization, climate change adaptation, and sustainable farming in Africa: trend, opportunities, and challenges 数字化促进非洲转型城市化、气候变化适应和可持续农业:趋势、机遇和挑战
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2033791
A. Balogun, Naheem Adebisi, I. Abubakar, U. Dano, A. Tella
ABSTRACT In sub-Saharan Africa, mass rural-urban migration negatively affectthe agriculture sector that accounts for about 23% of the GDP and employs over 60% of the population. Together with a rapidly changing climate, unplanned urbanization poses serious threats to Africa’s agriculture sector with the risk of chronic food shortages in the future. To stem this tide, it is imperative to systematically assess the unplanned urbanization trend from a socio-economic perspective and distill the broader implication for sustainable urban farming within the context of climate change in the region. The potentials of digitalization as a tool for transformative adaptation to climate change and enabler of sustainable development in different domains, including agriculture, are beginning to emerge. However, most studies are based on data from Asia, Europe, North America, and Oceania. There is minimal documentation of current applications and prospects of digitalization for sustainable agricultural practices in Africa, particularly in an increasingly urbanized era. Thus, this study addresses this need by evaluating the potentials of digitalization to enable sustainable farming in the face of unprecedented climate change constraints in Africa and minimize the negative impacts of urbanization on agriculture. Through a desk research approach, the present study explores the challenges to digital farming in Africa despite its successful implementation in the global North. Drawing lessons from successful case-studies worldwide, we suggest possible pathways to overcome the challenges and implement localized digitalization approaches to strengthen preventive action against climate risks, enhance disaster preparedness, and aid effective planning and management of agriculture practices. Integrating agriculture into the city via digital urban farming is crucial for long-term food security and creating appealing clean-tech jobs for a large number of new immigrants, thereby supporting African cities’ resilience and sustainable development.
在撒哈拉以南非洲,大规模的城乡移民对农业部门产生了负面影响,而农业部门约占GDP的23%,就业人数占人口的60%以上。加上气候迅速变化,无计划的城市化对非洲农业部门构成严重威胁,未来有可能出现长期粮食短缺。为了遏制这一趋势,必须从社会经济角度系统地评估无计划的城市化趋势,并在该地区气候变化的背景下提炼出对可持续城市农业的更广泛影响。数字化作为变革性适应气候变化和促进包括农业在内的不同领域可持续发展的工具的潜力正在开始显现。然而,大多数研究都是基于来自亚洲、欧洲、北美和大洋洲的数据。关于数字化在非洲可持续农业实践中的当前应用和前景的文献很少,特别是在日益城市化的时代。因此,本研究通过评估数字化的潜力来解决这一需求,从而在非洲面临前所未有的气候变化限制的情况下实现可持续农业,并最大限度地减少城市化对农业的负面影响。通过桌面研究方法,本研究探讨了数字农业在非洲面临的挑战,尽管它在全球北方得到了成功的实施。借鉴全球成功案例研究的经验教训,我们提出了克服挑战和实施本地化数字化方法的可行途径,以加强针对气候风险的预防行动,加强灾害准备,并帮助有效规划和管理农业实践。通过数字城市农业将农业融入城市对于长期粮食安全至关重要,并为大量新移民创造有吸引力的清洁技术工作,从而支持非洲城市的弹性和可持续发展。
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引用次数: 12
Co-production of climate change vulnerability assessment : A case study of the Indian Lesser Himalayan region, Darjeeling 气候变化脆弱性评估的联合生产:以大吉岭印度小喜马拉雅地区为例
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-03-24 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2022.2033792
Parveen Kumar, C. Brewster
ABSTRACT The intensity and extent of climate change impacts differ significantly with the geographical and ecological structure of the landscape. This is especially evident in mountain ecosystems where topographic, climatic and biological gradients make them extremely vulnerable to global environmental changes . Designing strategies to mitigate and adapt to global climate change on such local landscapes requires a context-specific vulnerabilities that take into account their particular characteristics. Presently, there are two main challenges in assessing climate change vulnerability in mountain ecosystems: 1) The models that are used for vulnerability assessments at global scales are being used at local scales with broad variables from few sectors that do not capture the range of characteristics of mountain ecosystems 2) indigenous knowledge about climate change are not considered in these models, which makes the implementation of mitigation/adaptation measures less successful. In this study, we highlight these issues drawing from our data collected in India’s Lesser Himalayan region (Darjeeling). We used a mixed research approach that combines a vulnerability assessment model with a participatory knowledge approach. We based climate change vulnerability around the socio-ecological system of the mountain landscape. The results from the interactive process showed that Darjeeling region is experiencing higher climate change vulnerability than the results produced by the model at the subregional level. We highlight critical variables that influence the socio-ecological system and need to be taken into account when assessing vulnerability and future adaptation scenarios. The study offers a decision support process for policymakers to plan climate mitigation/adaptation measures and future sustainability pathways.
气候变化影响的强度和程度因景观的地理和生态结构而异。这在山地生态系统中尤其明显,因为地形、气候和生物梯度使山地生态系统极易受到全球环境变化的影响。在这样的地方景观上设计缓解和适应全球气候变化的战略,需要考虑到其特定特征的特定环境脆弱性。目前,在评估山地生态系统的气候变化脆弱性方面存在两个主要挑战:1)用于全球尺度脆弱性评估的模型正在地方尺度上使用,这些模型具有来自少数部门的广泛变量,无法捕捉山地生态系统的一系列特征;2)这些模型没有考虑到有关气候变化的土著知识,这使得减缓/适应措施的实施不太成功。在这项研究中,我们从印度小喜马拉雅地区(大吉岭)收集的数据中强调了这些问题。我们使用了一种混合研究方法,将脆弱性评估模型与参与式知识方法相结合。我们将气候变化脆弱性建立在山地景观社会生态系统的基础上。交互过程结果表明,在次区域层面上,大吉岭地区的气候变化脆弱性高于模型结果。我们强调了影响社会生态系统的关键变量,在评估脆弱性和未来适应情景时需要考虑这些变量。该研究为决策者规划气候缓解/适应措施和未来可持续性途径提供了决策支持过程。
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引用次数: 2
Challenges and strategies for agricultural green development in the Yangtze River Basin 长江流域农业绿色发展面临的挑战与对策
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2021.1883674
Chaoyi Guo, Z. Bai, Xiaojun Shi, Xuanjing Chen, D. Chadwick, M. Strokal, Fusuo Zhang, Lin Ma, Xinping Chen
ABSTRACT The Yangtze River Basin (YRB) has been recognized as one of the key strategic development regions in China. Agriculture p52 roduction systems in the YRB have contributed considerably to China’s goal of food security. Realizing Agriculture Green Development (AGD) means agriculture production systems with high productivity, high resource use efficiency and low environmental costs. However, challenges and barriers still exist for realizing AGD in the YRB. Here, we summarize four main challenges for AGD in the YRB, and identify two approaches (top-down and bottom-up) including main strategies needed to achieve AGD. The four challenges include, but are not limited to, (1) low agricultural productivity and nutrient use efficiencies, (2) an uneven agricultural production structure, (3) rapid urbanization, and (4) uncoordinated targets for environmental protection and food production. We conclude that both top-down and bottom-up approaches are needed to deliver AGD in the YRB. Top-down approaches are mainly operated by government and underpinned by research, which uses spatial planning to promote the balance between agricultural production and the ecological environment, and to optimize the proportions of cereal and cash crop production with monogastric and ruminant animal production. The bottom-up approach needs strategies to close the yield gap of various cropping and livestock systems, improve resource use efficiencies to control environmental impacts. Furthermore, training and education are needed to increase awarenessand improve skills for farmers and advisers. Our review can serve as example for other global regions that are in transition from unsustainable agriculture production towards sustainable withclean environment and healthy economies.
长江流域被公认为中国的重点战略发展区域之一。长江三角洲地区的农业生产系统为中国实现粮食安全目标作出了重大贡献。实现农业绿色发展,就是建立高生产率、高资源利用效率、低环境成本的农业生产体系。然而,在长江三角洲地区实现农业可持续发展仍然存在挑战和障碍。在此,我们总结了YRB中AGD面临的四个主要挑战,并确定了两种方法(自上而下和自下而上),包括实现AGD所需的主要战略。这四大挑战包括但不限于:(1)农业生产力和养分利用效率低下;(2)农业生产结构不平衡;(3)城市化快速发展;(4)环境保护与粮食生产目标不协调。我们的结论是,在YRB中实现AGD需要自上而下和自下而上的方法。自上而下的方法主要是政府主导,以研究为支撑,通过空间规划促进农业生产与生态环境的平衡,优化谷物和经济作物生产与单粮和反刍动物生产的比例。自下而上的方法需要缩小各种种植和畜牧系统的产量差距,提高资源利用效率以控制环境影响的战略。此外,还需要进行培训和教育,以提高农民和顾问的认识和技能。我们的审查可以为全球其他地区从不可持续的农业生产向环境清洁和经济健康的可持续发展过渡提供借鉴。
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引用次数: 13
Risk assessment of mortality from acute exposure to ambient fine particles based on the different toxicities of chemical compositions in China 基于中国不同化学成分毒性的环境细颗粒物急性暴露死亡率风险评估
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2021.1912106
Xin Li, T. Xue, B. Zheng, Yuxuan Zhang
ABSTRACT Health risks, including mortalities and morbidities, attributed to chronic or acute exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5), have been assessed based on the increments in ambient concentrations. Different toxicities of the various chemical compositions in PM2.5 mixtures have been confirmed by epidemiological evidence but have rarely been considered. We proposed an approach to calculate the disease burden of both the chemical components and concentrations of PM2.5 by combining their pre-established dose–response relationships with a multivariate Gaussian model. We estimated that PM2.5 mixtures account for 0.43 (95% CI: 0.29 ~ 0.56) million premature deaths in China in 2013, consistent with estimates based on single-pollutant models in quantifying the total risk but with differing risk distributions. The residential, an elemental carbon-rich emission sector, accounted for approximately a quarter of PM2.5 emissions, but for half of the premature deaths attributable to air pollution, due to the stronger toxicity of carbonaceous particles than other PM2.5 compositions. Conventional risk assessments based on PM2.5 mass assume equality in the toxicity of PM2.5 compositions and may therefore fundamentally underestimate the skewness of the risk distribution and the adverse health effects of particles from the residential emissions. The different toxicities of the of PM2.5 compositions modify the risk estimates and thus should be included in emission reduction plans.
慢性或急性暴露于环境细颗粒物(PM2.5)导致的健康风险,包括死亡率和发病率,已经根据环境浓度的增量进行了评估。流行病学证据证实了PM2.5混合物中各种化学成分的不同毒性,但很少考虑到这一点。我们提出了一种方法,通过将PM2.5的化学成分和浓度预先建立的剂量-反应关系与多变量高斯模型相结合,来计算PM2.5的疾病负担。我们估计,2013年PM2.5混合物在中国造成0.43万人(95% CI: 0.29 ~ 0.56)过早死亡,这与基于单一污染物模型的估计在量化总风险方面一致,但风险分布不同。住宅是一个富含元素碳的排放部门,约占PM2.5排放量的四分之一,但由于含碳颗粒比其他PM2.5成分的毒性更强,导致空气污染导致的过早死亡人数占一半。基于PM2.5质量的传统风险评估假设PM2.5成分的毒性相等,因此可能从根本上低估了风险分布的不均匀性和住宅排放颗粒物对健康的不利影响。两种PM2.5成分的不同毒性改变了风险估计,因此应纳入减排计划。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
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