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An International System Under Stress? A Complexity Theory-Based View 面临压力的国际体系?基于复杂性理论的观点
N. Elhefnawy
This paper extends the author's prior use of Joseph Tainter's theorizing on complexity and diminishing returns to the upsurge in political and economic nationalism and international conflict seen since 2008.
本文将作者先前使用的约瑟夫·泰恩特关于复杂性和收益递减的理论扩展到2008年以来政治和经济民族主义和国际冲突的高涨。
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引用次数: 0
The World Bank's and UNDP's Changing Conceptions of Development 1950-2016 世界银行和联合国开发计划署的《1950-2016年不断变化的发展概念》
M. J. Peterson
This paper uses an keyword-in-context analysis of words and phrases used in the sections of World Bank and UNDP annual reports that discuss general approaches to development to show how the range of considerations deemed relevant to development have expanded over time to include a heavy emphasis on social dimensions and lesser emphases on political and environmental dimensions. It also reveals some differences in emphasis between the two organizations and over time.
本文对世界银行和开发计划署年度报告中讨论一般发展方法的部分中使用的单词和短语进行了关键字上下文分析,以显示被认为与发展有关的考虑范围如何随着时间的推移而扩大,包括对社会方面的重视和对政治和环境方面的较少重视。它还揭示了两个组织之间和不同时期在重点上的一些差异。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing Economic Development Through Soft Law: Governance by Indicators at the WTO 以软法推动经济发展:WTO的指标治理
M. Sánchez Miranda
This article argues that, similar to the World Bank and other global economic affairs institutions, the time has come for the World Trade Organization (WTO) to devise governance indicators to advance economic development across the full WTO spectrum. This would change the topography of global trade governance in such a way that it would shift the responsibility on Members to design trade policies that can enable them reap more benefits from trade, as well as to adopt truly inclusive trade policies. Not only could this help silence the serious criticism, particularly from the developed world, that has called into question the role of trade as a tool for advancing development, but it would also be consistent with the treaty-based development goals that are enshrined in the WTO treaty. In parallel, through the use of indicators, the WTO would be able to address the negative effects of automation and disruptive technologies, by providing a measurement of the extent to which such externalities are offsetting the benefits that should otherwise be attributed to trade liberalization. The WTO has already given signals of its openness to create indicators and that its Secretariat counts with the technical capacity to build complex soft law mechanisms even if the necessary data to build the same implies stepping out of the WTO system.
本文认为,与世界银行和其他全球经济事务机构类似,世界贸易组织(WTO)制定治理指标以促进整个WTO范围内的经济发展的时机已经到来。这将改变全球贸易治理的格局,使各成员有责任设计能够从贸易中获得更多利益的贸易政策,并采取真正的包容性贸易政策。这不仅有助于平息严重的批评,特别是来自发达国家的批评,这些批评质疑贸易作为促进发展的工具的作用,而且也符合世贸组织条约所载的以条约为基础的发展目标。与此同时,通过使用指标,世贸组织将能够解决自动化和破坏性技术的负面影响,提供一种衡量方法,衡量这些外部性在多大程度上抵消了本应归因于贸易自由化的好处。世贸组织已经发出信号,表明它愿意建立指标,并表明其秘书处具有建立复杂软法律机制的技术能力,即使建立这种机制所需的数据意味着退出世贸组织体系。
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引用次数: 0
Burden Sharing, Burden Shifting, and Strategy in the Nordic States 北欧国家的负担分担、负担转移和战略
Jordan Becker
Scholars and policy-makers continue to debate transatlantic burden-sharing. While economists have shed much light on cross-country variation in burden-sharing behavior, only qualitative work in the security studies field has addressed the nature of contributions to shared priorities, and neither field has adequately addressed sources of within-country variation, which is of primary interest to policy-makers aiming to mitigate burden-shifting tendencies in alliances. Using a mixed-methods approach, I find that among the Nordic states, NATO membership appears to mitigate such tendencies, and that supranational fiscal rules, as well as national strategies and political economies, shape burden-sharing choices.
学者和政策制定者仍在就跨大西洋负担分担问题进行辩论。虽然经济学家已经阐明了负担分担行为的跨国差异,但只有安全研究领域的定性工作解决了对共同优先事项的贡献的性质,而且这两个领域都没有充分解决国内差异的来源,这是旨在减轻联盟中负担转移趋势的政策制定者的主要兴趣。使用混合方法的方法,我发现在北欧国家中,北约成员国身份似乎缓解了这种趋势,超国家财政规则以及国家战略和政治经济决定了负担分担的选择。
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引用次数: 1
Global Governance, Institutions and the BRICS 全球治理、机制与金砖国家
V. Gundumella
Before one ventures into discussing whether BRICS can emerge as a powerful coalition to influence global governance, it is pertinent to understand and appreciate a comprehensive sense of global governance. Further, the various debates and discussions surrounding the question of global governance has led to new contestations. The growing influence of non-state actors and emergence of new powers like India and China have added new dimensions in influencing new outcomes in global governance. Against this backdrop, emergence of BRICS as a potent political coalition advocating for redesigning institutional outcomes reflecting new set of political values is noteworthy. However, current scholarship is divided on the role of BRICS in global governance. This article examines how the BRICS leadership at various for a like the G 20 in general and through its nine annual summits in particular has articulated its aspirations to engineer institutional mechanisms reflective of the current realities of the international system. A closer examination of the annual BRICS summits in the last nine years are ample proof of their urge to fashion a more just and equitable global governance in which they will be able to give ‘voice to their values’.
在讨论金砖国家能否成为影响全球治理的强大联盟之前,我们有必要了解和理解全面的全球治理。此外,围绕全球治理问题的各种辩论和讨论导致了新的争论。非国家行为体日益增长的影响力以及印度和中国等新兴大国的出现,为影响全球治理的新成果增添了新的维度。在此背景下,金砖国家作为一个强有力的政治联盟的出现值得注意,该联盟倡导重新设计反映新政治价值观的制度成果。然而,目前学术界对金砖国家在全球治理中的作用存在分歧。本文考察了金砖国家领导人如何在g20等不同场合,特别是通过其九次年度峰会,明确表达了其设计反映当前国际体系现实的体制机制的愿望。仔细研究金砖国家过去九年的年度峰会,就能充分证明他们迫切希望建立一个更加公正和公平的全球治理,在这个治理中,他们将能够“为自己的价值观发声”。
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引用次数: 2
Credit Controls as an Escape from the Trilemma. The Bretton Woods Experience 信贷控制是摆脱三难困境的一种方法。布雷顿森林体系的经验
E. Monnet
The macroeconomic policy "trilemma" is widely used as a framework to discuss the rationale for capital controls and monetary policy autonomy under the Bretton Woods system (1944-1971). Without denying its usefulness, I highlight two facts at odds with assumptions underlying the "trilemma" argument. First, conflicts between internal and external objectives were uncommon. Second, using quantitative credit controls allowed central banks to disconnect their interest rate from the domestic monetary policy stance. They assigned the interest rate to the external side while managing domestic credit expansion with direct quantitative controls. This paper documents that such mechanism was explicitly considered by contemporary economists and central bankers as a way to escape international financial constraints. In such an environment, capital controls were used to complement credit controls. Interest rate spreads were neither a good measure of capital controls nor of central bank autonomy.
宏观经济政策“三难困境”被广泛用作讨论布雷顿森林体系(1944-1971)下资本管制和货币政策自主的基本原理的框架。在不否认其有用性的前提下,我强调了与“三难困境”论点背后的假设不一致的两个事实。首先,内部和外部目标之间的冲突并不常见。其次,使用定量信贷控制使央行能够将利率与国内货币政策立场脱钩。他们将利率分配给外部,而通过直接的数量控制来管理国内信贷扩张。本文证明,这种机制被当代经济学家和央行行长明确认为是逃避国际金融约束的一种方式。在这种环境下,资本管制被用来补充信贷管制。利差既不是衡量资本管制的好指标,也不是衡量央行自主性的好指标。
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引用次数: 8
The Role of the State as Buyer Under UN Guiding Principle 6 根据联合国指导原则6,国家作为买方的作用
Claire O'brien, Claire O'brien, Claire O'brien, Olga Martín-Ortega
Public procurement is the purchase by the public sector of the goods and services it needs to carry out its functions. It has an essential role to play in facilitating States’ fulfilment of their duties to protect, respect, and fulfil human rights. Equally, government buying accounts for a significant proportion of the overall global economy. Worldwide, it has a value of approximately €1000 billion per year and it comprises, for instance, on average 12% GDP in OECD countries. As “mega-consumers,” governments have the purchasing power to set standards that can shift markets towards sustainable production, to exercise leverage over suppliers towards this goal – and to lead by example in introducing human rights into supply chain management by establishing arrangements for human rights due diligence. In the past, however, little consideration has been given to the human rights impacts of the central state and other public bodies in terms of their role as a consumer. This lack of policy coherence undermines fulfilment of the UN Framework and UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights. This submission addresses this gap by starting to clarify states’ human rights responsibilities regarding public procurement and identifying emerging good practices through which public buyers can fulfil these responsibilities. It defines public procurement and provides a brief account of its role, scale and relevance in the business and human rights context; outlines how public procurement is currently regulated under international and regional legal frameworks, with reference to instruments such as the WTO Agreement on Government Procurement (GPA), EU procurement rules and the UNCITRAL Model Law, as well as relevant policy frameworks, including those concerning “responsible global value chains”. It demonstrates how human rights can be integrated into the procurement cycle with reference to concrete examples. Measures promoting respect for human rights in public procurement emerging from National Action Plans on business and human rights (NAPs) are also considered. Finally, it presents recommendations for states and other procurement regulators, and other relevant stakeholders, including national human rights institutions (NHRIs), civil society organisations (CSOs), the UN system and business associations regarding the further development of public procurement as an element of the obligation to protect human rights in the context of business operations.
公共采购是指公共部门购买履行其职能所需的商品和服务。它在促进各国履行其保护、尊重和实现人权的义务方面可发挥重要作用。同样,政府购买在全球整体经济中占很大比例。在世界范围内,它每年的价值约为1万亿欧元,例如,它平均占经合组织国家GDP的12%。作为“超级消费者”,政府拥有购买力,可以制定标准,将市场转向可持续生产,对供应商施加影响,以实现这一目标,并通过建立人权尽职调查安排,以身作则,将人权引入供应链管理。然而,在过去,很少考虑到中央政府和其他公共机构作为消费者的角色对人权的影响。这种政策一致性的缺乏破坏了《联合国工商业与人权指导原则》和《联合国工商业与人权指导原则》的落实。本意见书通过开始澄清国家在公共采购方面的人权责任,并确定公共采购方可以履行这些责任的新兴良好做法,解决了这一差距。它定义了公共采购,并简要说明了其在商业和人权方面的作用、规模和相关性;参考《世界贸易组织政府采购协定》、欧盟采购规则和《贸易法委员会示范法》等文书,以及包括“负责任的全球价值链”在内的相关政策框架,概述了目前如何根据国际和区域法律框架对公共采购进行监管。它以具体实例说明如何将人权纳入采购周期。还审议了《国家商业与人权行动计划》中提出的在公共采购中促进尊重人权的措施。最后,报告向各国和其他采购监管机构以及其他相关利益攸关方(包括国家人权机构(NHRIs)、民间社会组织(cso)、联合国系统和商业协会)提出建议,进一步发展公共采购,将其作为在商业运营背景下保护人权义务的一个组成部分。
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引用次数: 4
Global Governance in a Multiplex World 多元化世界中的全球治理
Amitav Acharya
Despite paying attention to a growing number of actors and agents, the literature on global governance remain remarkably traditional and Western-centric. Much of it still revolves around the existing multilateral system created under U.S. hegemony after World War II. In this paper, I propose a new understanding of studying global governance that reflects recent and ongoing global economic and political shifts. To this end, in the place of the traditional conception of a liberal world order within which the mainstream literature on global governance has been anchored, this paper employs the idea of a “Multiplex World”. Unlike the former, the idea of a Multiplex World envisions a more pluralistic and diversified architecture of global governance shaped by a proliferation of transnational challenges, diffusion of new ideas, and expansion of actors and processes that lie at the center of global governance. A Multiplex World better captures the ongoing fragmentation of global governance, which in turn reflects a growing demand for new principles and approaches that cannot be accommodated by a simple extension of the existing but fading international order dominated by the US or the multilateral institutions it created. The concept of global governance, argues this paper, must come to terms with an emerging realities of the Multiplex World.
尽管关注了越来越多的行动者和代理人,但关于全球治理的文献仍然非常传统,以西方为中心。在很大程度上,它仍然围绕着二战后美国霸权下建立的现有多边体系。在本文中,我提出了一种研究全球治理的新理解,它反映了最近和正在进行的全球经济和政治变化。为此,本文采用了“多元世界”的概念,取代了关于全球治理的主流文献所依赖的自由世界秩序的传统概念。与前者不同的是,“多元世界”设想了一个更加多元和多样化的全球治理架构,这是由跨国挑战的激增、新思想的传播以及全球治理中心的行动者和进程的扩大所形成的。《多元世界》更好地反映了全球治理的持续分裂,这反过来反映了对新原则和新方法的日益增长的需求,而简单地扩大现有的、但正在衰落的、由美国或美国创建的多边机构主导的国际秩序,是无法满足这种需求的。本文认为,全球治理的概念必须适应多元世界的新现实。
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引用次数: 13
Remittances and the Informal Economy 汇款与非正规经济
S. Chatterjee, S. Turnovsky
Many developing countries are characterized by a large informal sector, and are also often heavily dependent on remittance inflows from abroad. We develop a general equilibrium framework to understand better the dynamic absorption of remittances in a two-sector small open economy, by incorporating many of the stylized features of the informal sector. Calibrating the model to yield a long-run equilibrium consistent with sample averages for 56 developing countries for the period 1990–2014, we show that the effect of remittances depends critically on how they impinge on the recipient economy, i.e., whether these inflows are (i) permanent or temporary, (ii) associated with a collateral effect to securitize borrowing, and (iii) exogenous or countercyclical. We also identify the conditions under which remittances are associated with an expansion of the informal sector, as well as the Dutch Disease effect.
许多发展中国家的特点是非正规部门很大,而且往往严重依赖国外的汇款流入。我们制定了一个一般均衡框架,通过纳入非正规部门的许多风格化特征,更好地理解两部门小型开放经济中对汇款的动态吸收。通过对模型进行校准,得出与56个发展中国家1990-2014年的样本平均值一致的长期均衡,我们发现汇款的影响主要取决于它们对接受国经济的影响,即这些流入是(i)永久的还是暂时的,(ii)与证券化借款的附带效应有关,以及(iii)外生的还是逆周期的。我们还确定了汇款与非正规部门扩大以及荷兰病效应相关联的条件。
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引用次数: 46
Global Governance in All Its Discrete Forms: The Game, FIFA, and the Third World 各种离散形式的全球治理:游戏、国际足联和第三世界
Basil E. Ugochukwu
This paper uses the governance praxis of the Federation of International Football Associations [FIFA] to illustrate the impact of several intensive, discrete, and rarely-studied global governance actors whose internal processes and procedures mirror the core concerns of Third World Approaches to International Law [TWAIL] scholars regarding the legitimation of a hegemonic category and the marginalization of Third World and subaltern interests. It is argued that FIFA has become an important international organization and global governance actor whose transnational rule-making characteristics should be studied in light of the incipient migration from “international law” to “global governance”. It will be shown that not only are FIFA’s rules impinging on sovereign imagination but that the tendencies of inequality, unfairness and domination afflicting the practices of traditional or state-centric international organizations are as prevalent in the procedures of such less-studied global governance actors regardless that their rule-making activities exert significant impact on governments, especially those in Africa and other parts of the Third World. More significantly, the essay looks at possible domestic political and socio-legal implications of discrete globalization of the kind exemplified by FIFA on Africa and the Third World and how important it is to integrate this concern into TWAIL scholarship going forward. Dans cet article, l’auteur cite les activites de gouvernance de la Federation Internationale de Football Association [FIFA] pour illustrer l’impact de plusieurs acteurs de la gouvernance mondiale tres actifs, discrets et faisant rarement l’objet d’etudes, dont les mecanismes et procedures internes rappellent les principales preoccupations des universitaires des Third World Approaches to International Law [TWAIL] en ce qui touche la legitimation d’une categorie hegemonique et la marginalisation du tiers monde et des interets subalternes. L’auteur soutient que la FIFA est devenue une organisation internationale importante et un acteur de la gouvernance mondiale dont les caracteristiques en matiere d’etablissement de regles transnationales devraient etre etudiees dans le cadre du passage du « droit international » a la « gouvernance mondiale » qui s’amorce. L’auteur demontre non seulement que les regles de la FIFA ont un effet sur l’imagination souveraine, mais aussi que les tendances d’inegalite, d’iniquite et de domination affligeant les pratiques des organisations internationales traditionnelles ou statocentriques prevalent tout autant dans les procedures des acteurs de la gouvernance mondiale peu etudies, malgre le fait que leurs activites d’etablissement de regles ont des repercussions non negligeables sur les gouvernements, surtout ceux d’Afrique et d’autres regions du tiers monde. Mais surtout, dans cet essai, l’auteur se penche sur les possibles incidences politiques et sociojuridiques nationales, en Afrique et dans le tiers monde, de
本文利用国际足球协会联合会(FIFA)的治理实践来说明几个密集的、离散的、很少被研究的全球治理行为体的影响,这些行为体的内部过程和程序反映了第三世界国际法方法(TWAIL)学者关于霸权类别合法化和第三世界边缘化的核心问题。文章认为,国际足联已经成为重要的国际组织和全球治理行为体,其跨国规则制定特征应从“国际法”向“全球治理”的初期迁移来研究。它将表明,国际足联的规则不仅侵犯主权想象力,而且不平等、不公平和统治的倾向也困扰着传统的或以国家为中心的国际组织的做法,在这些研究较少的全球治理行为者的程序中同样普遍,无论他们的规则制定活动对政府产生重大影响,特别是在非洲和第三世界的其他地区。更重要的是,这篇文章着眼于国际足联对非洲和第三世界的那种离散全球化可能带来的国内政治和社会法律影响,以及将这种关注融入TWAIL奖学金的重要性。在这篇文章中,l 'auteur引用了国际足联(FIFA)的治理活动,并举例说明了l 'auteur对国际足联治理活动的影响,对国际足联活动的影响,对国际足联活动的影响,以及对国际足联活动的影响。《第三世界的国际法研究方法》(TWAIL)是《国际法的正当性》、《范畴霸权主义》和《边缘化》、《世界的层次和利益的次选择》。国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际组织,国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际组织,国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际治理机构,国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际治理机构,国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际治理机构,国际足联(FIFA)是一个重要的国际治理机构。国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为不符合规则,国际足联的行为,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统,国际足联的传统。非洲和世界其他地区都是如此。Mais surtout, dans et essai, l 'auteur se penche sur les les possible事件,政治事件,社会司法事件,国家事件,en africque, dandle tiers monde, de la mondialisation离散,不la FIFA, un示例,et sur 'importance, de integration, de ceteoccupation, de mission universitaire, de TWAIL。
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引用次数: 1
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International Institutions: Politics of International Institutions & Global Governance eJournal
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