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High areal-capacitance based extremely stable flexible supercapacitors using binder-free exfoliated graphite paper electrode 使用无粘合剂剥离石墨纸电极的基于高等值电容的极其稳定的柔性超级电容器
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0184499
Jitendra Kumar Yadav, B. Rani, Ajay Tiwari, Ambesh Dixit
The highly porous and binder-free flexible paper electrodes can enhance the specific capacitance of symmetric supercapacitors (SCs) due to their large surface and effective ion diffusion pathways. We synthesized the exfoliated graphite (ExG) by the thermal exfoliation method of chemically treated graphite flakes and compressed it into a paper-like thin sheet (binder-free) of ∼0.15 mm thickness. The coin cell SCs with copper (Cu) and stainless steel (SS) as current collectors have been fabricated for the electrochemical measurement. The cyclic voltammetry and galvanostatic charge/discharge measurements are investigated at various scan rates and current densities. The SCs with Cu foil as a current collector perform better than SS-based SCs. The Cu current collector-based SCs showed a specific capacitance of 37.08 mF cm−2, whereas it was ∼29.98 mF cm−2 for SS-based SCs at a 0.01 V s−1 scan rate across a 0–0.6 V potential window. Approximately no degradation in charge storage capacity for more than 15 000 cycles at 0.1 V s−1 shows the ultra-stability of the flexible ExG-based binder-free electrodes. A digital watch is powered using the fabricated pouch cell supercapacitor with copper-based current collectors to show the potential of SCs.
高多孔、无粘结剂的柔性纸电极因其大表面和有效的离子扩散途径,可提高对称超级电容器(SC)的比电容。我们采用热剥离法合成了经过化学处理的剥离石墨(ExG)薄片,并将其压制成厚度为 0.15 毫米的纸状薄片(无粘结剂)。以铜(Cu)和不锈钢(SS)为集流体的纽扣电池 SC 已制作完成,用于电化学测量。在不同的扫描速率和电流密度下进行了循环伏安法和电静态充放电测量。以铜箔为集流器的 SC 性能优于以 SS 为集流器的 SC。以 0.01 V s-1 的扫描速率扫描 0-0.6 V 电位窗口时,基于铜电流收集器的 SC 的比电容为 37.08 mF cm-2,而基于 SS 的 SC 的比电容为 29.98 mF cm-2。在 0.1 V s-1 的条件下,电荷存储容量在超过 15000 个循环后几乎没有下降,这表明基于 ExG 的柔性无粘结剂电极具有超强稳定性。为了展示超级电容器的潜力,我们利用制作的袋式电池超级电容器和铜基集流器为一块电子手表供电。
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引用次数: 0
Case study of a bore wind-ramp event from lidar measurements and HRRR simulations over ARM Southern Great Plains 根据激光雷达测量结果和 ARM 大平原南部上空的 HRRR 模拟结果进行的钻孔风急流事件案例研究
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0161905
Y. Pichugina, R. Banta, E. J. Strobach, B. J. Carroll, W. A. Brewer, D. D. Turner, V. Wulfmeyer, E. James, T. R. Lee, S. Baidar, J. B. Olson, R. K. Newsom, H.-S. Bauer, R. Rai
The rapid change of wind speed and direction on 21 August 2017 is studied using Doppler lidar measurements at five sites of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) facility in north-central Oklahoma. The Doppler lidar data were investigated along with meteorological variables such as temperature, humidity, and turbulence available from the large suite of instrumentation deployed at the SGP Central Facility (C1) during the Land-Atmosphere Feedback Experiment in August 2017. Lidar measurements at five sites, separated by 55–70 km, allowed us to document the development and evolution of the wind flow over the SGP area, examine synoptic conditions to understand the mechanism that leads to the ramp event, and estimate the ability of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model to reproduce this event. The flow feature in question is an atmospheric bore, a small-scale phenomenon that is challenging to represent in models, that was generated by a thunderstorm outflow northwest of the ARM SGP area. The small-scale nature of bores, its impact on power generation, and the modeling challenges associated with representing bores are discussed in this paper. The results also provide information about model errors between sites of different surface and vegetation types.
利用俄克拉荷马州中北部大气辐射测量(ARM)南部大平原(SGP)设施五个站点的多普勒激光雷达测量数据,对 2017 年 8 月 21 日风速和风向的快速变化进行了研究。多普勒激光雷达数据与 2017 年 8 月陆地-大气反馈实验期间部署在 SGP 中央设施(C1)的大型成套仪器提供的温度、湿度和湍流等气象变量一起进行了研究。在五个相距 55-70 公里的地点进行的激光雷达测量,使我们能够记录 SGP 地区风流的发展和演变,检查同步条件以了解导致斜坡事件的机制,并估计高分辨率快速刷新模型重现这一事件的能力。有关的流动特征是大气孔洞,这是一种小尺度现象,很难在模式中表现出来,它是由 ARM SGP 地区西北部的雷暴外流产生的。本文讨论了孔洞的小尺度性质、其对发电的影响以及与表示孔洞相关的建模挑战。研究结果还提供了不同地表和植被类型站点之间的模型误差信息。
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引用次数: 0
Tungstoborate heteropolyacid-catalyzed lignin liquefaction: Product yield and component distribution 钨硼酸杂多酸催化木质素液化:产品产量和组分分布
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0176615
Min Chen, Jing Lou, Yang Zhang, Lu Li, Yan Li, Xin-an Xie
Tungstoborate heteropolyacid catalysts have good catalytic degradation performance, especially for selective cleavage of C–C bonds in biomass. In this paper, the product yield and component distribution of tungstoborate heteropolyacid (BW12)-catalyzed lignin liquefaction were investigated at different parameters, including temperatures (120, 140, 160, 180, and 200 °C), catalyst amount (0, 2.5, 5, 10, and 20 wt. %), and reaction time (0, 30, 60, 90, and 120 min). It was found that a higher conversion (72.16 wt. %) and bio-oil yield (68.41 wt. %) could be obtained under suitable reaction conditions (180 °C, 60 min, 5 wt. %). Bio-oil analysis showed that the BW12 catalyst had a significant effect on the distribution of bio-oil fractions, in which mono-aromatic components increased from 32.96% to 47.56% compared to those without the catalyst. In particular, carbonyl substances in the mono-aromatic components increased from 18.66% to 26.97%. Spectroscopic analysis (FT-IR) found that the absorption peaks of C–O and C–C bonds in the liquefied residue catalyzed by BW12 decreased compared to the raw lignin. Moreover, the mechanism of BW12-catalyzed lignin depolymerization was investigated by DFT simulations. The simulation results demonstrated that the shortening of Cα–O bond, the breaking of Cβ–Cγ and Cα–Cβ bonds in lignin promoted the formation of vanillin and benzaldehyde, 3-hydroxy-4-methoxy. Finally, based on the experimental data and simulation results, a possible reaction pathway for the BW12-catalyzed liquefaction of lignin into mono-aromatic substances was proposed.
钨硼酸盐杂多酸催化剂具有良好的催化降解性能,尤其适用于生物质中 C-C 键的选择性裂解。本文研究了钨硼杂多酸(BW12)催化木质素液化在不同温度(120、140、160、180 和 200 ℃)、催化剂用量(0、2.5、5、10 和 20 wt.%)和反应时间(0、30、60、90 和 120 min)下的产物产率和组分分布。研究发现,在合适的反应条件下(180 °C、60 分钟、5 wt.%),可以获得较高的转化率(72.16 wt.%)和生物油产率(68.41 wt.%)。生物油分析表明,BW12 催化剂对生物油馏分的分布有显著影响,与未使用催化剂的生物油馏分相比,其中的单芳烃成分从 32.96% 增加到 47.56%。尤其是单芳烃成分中的羰基物质从 18.66% 增加到 26.97%。光谱分析(傅立叶变换红外光谱)发现,与未加工的木质素相比,BW12 催化的液化残渣中 C-O 和 C-C 键的吸收峰有所降低。此外,还通过 DFT 模拟研究了 BW12 催化木质素解聚的机理。模拟结果表明,木质素中 Cα-O 键的缩短、Cβ-Cγ 和 Cα-Cβ 键的断裂促进了香草醛和 3-羟基-4-甲氧基苯甲醛的形成。最后,根据实验数据和模拟结果,提出了 BW12 催化木质素液化成单芳香族物质的可能反应途径。
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引用次数: 0
Event-triggered data-driven load frequency control for multi-area power system with wind penetration under deregulation environment 在解除管制的环境下,针对有风力渗透的多区域电力系统的事件触发式数据驱动负载频率控制
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0168895
Xuhui Bu, Yiming Zeng, Y. Yin, Jiaqi Liang
In order to solve the problem of power exchange between areas of multi-area power systems under the power market, this paper designs a power trading contract based on the generation participation matrix, so as to simulate the specific process of power change in each area. With the integration of wind power into the large-scale power system, it is difficult to model the multi-area power system. For this situation, this paper designs a data-driven model-free adaptive load frequency control algorithm based on collecting input and output data, which gets rid of the dependence of the power system on the model. Along with the frequent transmission of input and output data in each area, the communication load of the power system also increases. Aiming at saving communication resources, this paper designs an event-triggered mechanism to reduce the communication bandwidth. The stability of the control algorithm is demonstrated theoretically. Finally, a three-area power system with wind penetration is used as an example to simulate and verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in this paper.
为了解决电力市场下多区域电力系统区域间的电力交换问题,本文设计了基于发电参与矩阵的电力交易合同,从而模拟各区域电力变化的具体过程。随着风电融入大规模电力系统,多区域电力系统的建模变得困难。针对这种情况,本文设计了一种基于采集输入输出数据的数据驱动型无模型自适应负荷频率控制算法,摆脱了电力系统对模型的依赖。随着各地区输入输出数据的频繁传输,电力系统的通信负荷也随之增加。为了节省通信资源,本文设计了一种事件触发机制,以减少通信带宽。控制算法的稳定性得到了理论验证。最后,以风力渗透的三区电力系统为例,模拟验证了本文所提算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers and variable spacing enhance convective cooling and increase power output in solar PV plants 屏障和可变间距可增强太阳能光伏发电厂的对流冷却并提高发电量
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0177420
B. Stanislawski, Todd Harman, R. B. Cal, M. Calaf
When the temperature of solar photovoltaic (PV) modules rises, efficiency drops and module degradation accelerates. Thus, it is beneficial to reduce module operating temperatures. Previous studies of solar power plants have illustrated that incoming flow characteristics, turbulent mixing, and array geometry can strongly impact convective cooling, as measured by the convective heat transfer coefficient h. In the fields of heat transfer and plant canopy flow, previous work has shown that system-scale arrangement modifications—e.g., variable spacing, barriers, or windbreaks—can passively alter the flow, enhance turbulent mixing, and influence convection. However, researchers have not yet explored how variable spacing or barriers might enhance convective cooling in solar power plants. Here, high-resolution large-eddy simulations model the air flow and heat transfer through solar power plant arrangements modified with missing modules and barrier walls. We then perform a control volume analysis to evaluate the net heat flux and compute h, which quantifies the influence of these spatial modifications on convective cooling and, thus, module temperature and power output. Installing barrier walls yields the greatest improvements, increasing h by 3.4%, reducing module temperature by an estimated 2.5 °C, and boosting power output by an estimated 1.4% on average. These findings indicate that incorporating variable spacing or barrier-type elements into PV plant designs can reduce module temperature and, thus, improve PV performance and service life.
当太阳能光伏(PV)组件的温度升高时,效率就会下降,组件的老化速度也会加快。因此,降低组件的工作温度是有益的。在传热和植物冠层流领域,先前的研究表明,系统级布置修改(如可变间距、屏障或挡风板)可以被动地改变流向、增强湍流混合并影响对流。然而,研究人员尚未探索可变间距或屏障如何增强太阳能发电厂的对流冷却。在此,我们通过高分辨率大涡流模拟,模拟了太阳能发电厂中通过缺失模块和隔离墙的气流和热传递情况。然后,我们进行了控制体积分析,以评估净热流量并计算 h,从而量化这些空间改造对对流冷却的影响,进而影响组件温度和功率输出。安装隔离墙的改善效果最大,h 增加了 3.4%,模块温度降低了约 2.5 °C,功率输出平均提高了约 1.4%。这些研究结果表明,在光伏电站设计中加入可变间距或屏障型元件可以降低组件温度,从而提高光伏性能和使用寿命。
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引用次数: 0
Using the petiole of the miriti palm for the core of a small wind turbine blade 用米利提棕榈叶柄做小型风力涡轮机叶片的核心
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0185573
I. D. S. Gomes, J. R. P. Vaz, D. Wood
In many small wind turbine blades, the interior space between laminate skins is filled by a material core. The mechanical properties of the core are much less important than its density, which must be low to reduce the moment of inertia as high inertia increases both the starting time of the turbine and the gyroscopic loads on the blades. In this paper, we use, for the first time, the petiole of the miriti palm (PMP) as the core of four small blades, in order to analyze its effect on turbine starting performance. PMP is abundant in the Amazon region and harvesting it does not destroy the palm because the petiole regrows; therefore, harvesting is fully sustainable and may well have a major role in increasing the sustainability on wind turbine manufacturing. We consider the benefits of using the easily worked petiole for the core in terms of manufacturing, as demonstrated by the construction of a 0.598 m blade. PMP is less dense on average than alternative materials, such as expanded polystyrene and balsa wood. The starting performance is an important issue for small wind turbines. It is evaluated using a quasi-steady model, in which blade element momentum theory is coupled to Newton's Second Law. The low density of the small blade made using petiole of the miriti reduces the starting time by 10% when compared with expanded polystyrene and 42% when compared to balsa wood.
在许多小型风力涡轮机叶片中,层压蒙皮之间的内部空间由材料核心填充。核心材料的机械性能远不如其密度重要,因为高惯性会增加涡轮机的启动时间和叶片上的陀螺载荷,所以核心材料的密度必须较低,以降低惯性矩。在本文中,我们首次使用米里提棕榈(PMP)的叶柄作为四个小型叶片的核心,以分析其对涡轮机启动性能的影响。PMP 在亚马逊地区非常丰富,采收它不会破坏棕榈树,因为叶柄会重新生长;因此,采收是完全可持续的,而且很可能在提高风力涡轮机制造的可持续性方面发挥重要作用。我们从制造 0.598 米长的叶片的角度考虑了使用易于加工的叶柄作为核心的好处。与发泡聚苯乙烯和轻木等替代材料相比,PMP 的平均密度较低。起动性能是小型风力涡轮机的一个重要问题。我们使用准稳态模型对其进行了评估,在该模型中,叶片元素动量理论与牛顿第二定律相结合。与发泡聚苯乙烯相比,使用米里提叶柄制作的小型叶片密度低,启动时间缩短了 10%,与轻木相比缩短了 42%。
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引用次数: 0
Strategy of Chinese energy companies in the world market of oilfield services and logistics services: Regional aspects 中国能源公司在世界油田服务和物流服务市场中的战略:区域方面
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0178771
Mushfig Guliyev, Azer Agarzayev, Lamiya Huseynova, Orkhan Huseynli, Samira Rustamova
The aggravation of the problem of climate change, as well as the growth of carbon dioxide emissions, determines the increased interest of the scientific community in the development of effective methods to minimize the growing threats. The focus of scientists is China with its accelerated economic development, contributing to the growth of carbon dioxide emissions and other environmental problems. Global and regional trends are reflected in the strategies of China's largest energy companies, which confirm the relevance of the topic under study. The purpose of the article is to study the current performance of China's energy sector, their trends, and future forecasts, taking into account the strategies of the key players in the country's oilfield services market. The study used the following scientific methods: economic and statistical analysis, predictive methods, system-structural method, analysis, comparison method, observation, and description. As a result of the study, the key trends in the energy industry in China today were analyzed, and forecast values selected indicators by announced pledges scenario and stated policies scenario. The structure of supply and consumption by China of both energies from traditional sources and generated from renewable sources is studied. The regional structure of energy exports and imports by China is considered, and the country's main strategic partners are identified. The analysis of operating models and strategic directions of activity of the largest oilfield services companies in China—PetroChina and Sinopec—was carried out. Attention is paid to the problems of interaction between logistics and oilfield services companies, and ways to minimize such problems are proposed. The results of the study can be used by government representatives when planning further actions regarding the development of the energy industry.
气候变化问题的加剧以及二氧化碳排放量的增加,决定了科学界对开发有效方法以尽量减少日益增长的威胁的兴趣与日俱增。科学家们关注的焦点是经济加速发展的中国,因为中国的经济发展加剧了二氧化碳排放量的增长和其他环境问题。全球和地区趋势反映在中国最大能源公司的战略中,这证实了所研究课题的相关性。文章的目的是结合中国油田服务市场主要企业的战略,研究中国能源行业的当前表现、发展趋势和未来预测。研究采用了以下科学方法:经济和统计分析法、预测法、系统结构法、分析法、比较法、观察法和描述法。研究结果分析了当前中国能源行业的主要趋势,并按已公布的承诺情景和已公布的政策情景对选定指标进行了预测值。研究了中国传统能源和可再生能源的供应和消费结构。考虑了中国能源进出口的区域结构,并确定了中国的主要战略伙伴。对中国最大的油田服务公司--中国石油天然气集团公司和中国石油化工集团公司的运营模式和战略方向进行了分析。研究关注了物流与油田服务公司之间的互动问题,并提出了尽量减少这些问题的方法。政府代表在规划有关能源行业发展的进一步行动时,可以利用研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinated frequency control study of variable speed variable pitch of DFIG load shedding unit based on VSG 基于 VSG 的双馈变流器变速变桨距甩负荷装置的协调频率控制研究
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0168998
Lei Liu, B. Yang Zhao, Juan Hu
The involvement of wind turbines operating at load shedding levels in primary frequency regulation serves as a crucial technical solution to provide high levels of inertial response capability and frequency regulation capability in power systems with significant proportions of renewable energy. Load-shedding units' frequency regulation capacity is constrained by the optimal operating speed, which prevents the utilization of the rotor's full kinetic energy and consequently limits the system's ability to provide strong inertia support. Additionally, the units are restricted by the maximum speed in the medium wind speed range, resulting in a reduced reserve capacity. The control mechanism of virtual synchronous generator (VSG) can ensure voltage stability at the machine end, and enable real-time tracking of the grid frequency, thereby imparting to wind turbines the on-grid operation characteristics of synchronous generator sets. To achieve this goal, this paper proposes a coordinated frequency control method for variable-speed variable-pitch doubly fed induction generator units based on VSG. Differentiated control strategies are employed for varying wind speed ranges, while an additional frequency control module is utilized to realize frequency regulation functionality. In conjunction with VSG, this approach enhances the inertial response of the units and strengthens their ability to support grid frequency. Simulation results indicate that the proposed control method mitigates the rate of decline in grid frequency and reduces frequency deviation, ultimately promoting grid stability. Additionally, a simulation system was designed based on the conventional four-machine two-area model to verify the effectiveness of this approach.
在一次频率调节中使用甩负荷运行的风力涡轮机是一种重要的技术解决方案,可为使用大量可再生能源的电力系统提供高水平的惯性响应能力和频率调节能力。甩负荷机组的频率调节能力受到最佳运行速度的限制,无法充分利用转子的动能,从而限制了系统提供强大惯性支持的能力。此外,机组还受到中等风速范围内最高转速的限制,导致储备能力下降。虚拟同步发电机(VSG)的控制机制可确保机端电压稳定,并实现对电网频率的实时跟踪,从而赋予风力发电机组同步发电机组的并网运行特性。为实现这一目标,本文提出了一种基于 VSG 的变速变桨距双馈异步发电机组协调频率控制方法。针对不同的风速范围采用不同的控制策略,同时利用额外的频率控制模块实现频率调节功能。这种方法与 VSG 相结合,提高了机组的惯性响应,增强了其支持电网频率的能力。仿真结果表明,所提出的控制方法可减轻电网频率的下降速度,减少频率偏差,最终促进电网稳定。此外,还根据传统的四机两区模型设计了一个仿真系统,以验证该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A study on financing mode selection of wind power enterprises based on prospect theory: A case study in China 基于前景理论的风电企业融资模式选择研究:中国案例研究
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0183269
Huixin Liu, Simeng Wang, Yuqian Zhang
As a kind of renewable energy enterprise, wind power enterprise plays an important role in the energy transformation. However, its financing problems are also widespread. The purpose of this paper is to study the financing mode selection in order to improve sustainable development and future benefits of wind power enterprises. First, an evaluation index system is constructed through literature research and expert interviews, and the weight of each index is determined comprehensively by G1 and information entropy methods. On this basis, a financing mode selection model of wind power enterprises is constructed by using the prospect theory and hesitant fuzzy set. Next, this framework is used for case study. Financing patterns are ranked according to the comprehensive prospect value. The results show that financial leasing is the most suitable financing mode. Finally, the applicability and optimization of the model are proved by sensitivity analysis and comparative analysis.
作为一种可再生能源企业,风电企业在能源转型中发挥着重要作用。然而,其融资问题也普遍存在。本文旨在研究融资模式选择,以提高风电企业的可持续发展和未来效益。首先,通过文献研究和专家访谈构建了评价指标体系,并利用 G1 法和信息熵法综合确定了各指标的权重。在此基础上,利用前景理论和犹豫模糊集构建了风电企业融资模式选择模型。接下来,利用这一框架进行案例研究。根据综合前景值对融资模式进行排序。结果表明,融资租赁是最合适的融资模式。最后,通过敏感性分析和比较分析证明了该模型的适用性和优化性。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term multi-step forecasting of rooftop solar power generation using a combined data decomposition and deep learning model of EEMD-GRU 使用 EEMD-GRU 的数据分解和深度学习组合模型对屋顶太阳能发电量进行短期多步骤预测
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1063/5.0176951
N. Nhat, D. N. Huu, Thu Thi Hoai Nguyen
In this study, an integrated forecasting model was developed by combining the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) model and gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network to accurately predict the rooftop solar power output at a specific power unit located in Tay Ninh province, Vietnam. The EEMD method was employed to decompose the solar power signals into multiple frequencies, allowing for a more comprehensive analysis. Subsequently, the GRU network, known for its ability to capture long-term dependencies, was utilized to forecast future values for each decomposition series. By merging the forecasted values obtained from the decomposition series, the final prediction for the solar power output was generated. To evaluate the efficacy of our proposed approach, a comparative analysis was undertaken against other forecasting models, including a single artificial neural network, long short-term memory network, and GRU, all of which solely considered the solar power series as input features. The experimental results provided compelling evidence of the superior performance of the EEMD-GRU model, especially when incorporating weather variables into the forecasting process, achieving the best results in all three forecasting scenarios (1-step, 2-step, and 3-step). For both forecasting targets, Inverter 155 and 156, the n-RMSE indices were 1.35%, 3.5%, and 4.8%, respectively, significantly lower than the compared single models. This integration of weather variables enhances the model's accuracy and reliability in predicting rooftop solar power output, establishing it as a valuable tool for efficient energy management in the region.
本研究结合集合经验模式分解(EEMD)模型和门控递归单元(GRU)神经网络,开发了一种综合预测模型,用于准确预测位于越南西宁省的一个特定发电单元的屋顶太阳能发电量。EEMD 方法可将太阳能信号分解为多个频率,从而进行更全面的分析。随后,利用以捕捉长期依赖性而著称的 GRU 网络来预测每个分解序列的未来值。通过合并从分解序列中获得的预测值,产生了太阳能输出的最终预测值。为了评估我们提出的方法的有效性,我们与其他预测模型进行了比较分析,包括单一人工神经网络、长期短期记忆网络和 GRU,所有这些模型都只将太阳能序列作为输入特征。实验结果有力地证明了 EEMD-GRU 模型的卓越性能,尤其是在将天气变量纳入预测过程时,在所有三种预测方案(1 步、2 步和 3 步)中都取得了最佳结果。对于逆变器 155 和 156 这两个预报目标,n-RMSE 指数分别为 1.35%、3.5% 和 4.8%,明显低于相比之下的单一模型。天气变量的整合提高了模型预测屋顶太阳能发电量的准确性和可靠性,使其成为该地区高效能源管理的重要工具。
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引用次数: 0
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