Michael J. Ford, Steven T. Lindley, Katie A. Barnas, Andrew O. Shelton, Brian C. Spence, Laurie A. Weitkamp, Damon M. Holzer, David A. Boughton, Elizabeth E. Holmes, James M. Myers, Chris E. Jordan, Heidi Fish, Martin Liermann, Michael R. O'Farrell, Nathan J. Mantua, Rachel C. Johnson, William H. Satterthwaite, Thomas H. Williams
Between 1989 and 2007, 28 Distinct Population Segments (DPS) of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) spawning in rivers in California and the Pacific Northwest (Oregon, Washington, Idaho) were listed (protected) under the US Endangered Species Act (ESA). In the roughly 25 years since then, considerable efforts have been made to recover these populations, but no DPS has increased sufficiently to be delisted. We evaluated abundance trends of ESA-listed Pacific salmon DPS, along with DPS that were not ESA-listed. Our goal was to evaluate whether protected DPS increased in abundance during the period of protection (nominally 1995–2020 in our study), either in absolute terms or relative to the unprotected DPS. A majority of the protected DPS had increasing abundance trends over this time period, and protected populations had higher median trends than non-protected populations of the same species. Geographically, populations in the Pacific Northwest had higher median trends than those in California. Among species of protected populations, Chinook salmon (O. tshawytscha), chum salmon (O. keta) and sockeye salmon (O. nerka) had higher median trends than coho salmon (O. kisutch) and steelhead (anadromous O. mykiss). For most DPS (listed and unlisted), trends in harvest rates and hatchery releases were relatively stable during the same time period, whereas trends in indicators related to freshwater and marine climate were generally negative for salmon. Our results suggest that salmon recovery actions may have helped to stabilise and increase protected DPS, but most remain far below their recovery goals.
{"title":"Abundance Trends of Pacific Salmon During a Quarter Century of ESA Protection","authors":"Michael J. Ford, Steven T. Lindley, Katie A. Barnas, Andrew O. Shelton, Brian C. Spence, Laurie A. Weitkamp, Damon M. Holzer, David A. Boughton, Elizabeth E. Holmes, James M. Myers, Chris E. Jordan, Heidi Fish, Martin Liermann, Michael R. O'Farrell, Nathan J. Mantua, Rachel C. Johnson, William H. Satterthwaite, Thomas H. Williams","doi":"10.1111/faf.70019","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70019","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Between 1989 and 2007, 28 Distinct Population Segments (DPS) of Pacific salmon (<i>Oncorhynchus</i> spp.) spawning in rivers in California and the Pacific Northwest (Oregon, Washington, Idaho) were listed (protected) under the US Endangered Species Act (ESA). In the roughly 25 years since then, considerable efforts have been made to recover these populations, but no DPS has increased sufficiently to be delisted. We evaluated abundance trends of ESA-listed Pacific salmon DPS, along with DPS that were not ESA-listed. Our goal was to evaluate whether protected DPS increased in abundance during the period of protection (nominally 1995–2020 in our study), either in absolute terms or relative to the unprotected DPS. A majority of the protected DPS had increasing abundance trends over this time period, and protected populations had higher median trends than non-protected populations of the same species. Geographically, populations in the Pacific Northwest had higher median trends than those in California. Among species of protected populations, Chinook salmon (<i>O. tshawytscha</i>), chum salmon (<i>O. keta</i>) and sockeye salmon (<i>O. nerka</i>) had higher median trends than coho salmon (<i>O. kisutch</i>) and steelhead (anadromous <i>O. mykiss</i>). For most DPS (listed and unlisted), trends in harvest rates and hatchery releases were relatively stable during the same time period, whereas trends in indicators related to freshwater and marine climate were generally negative for salmon. Our results suggest that salmon recovery actions may have helped to stabilise and increase protected DPS, but most remain far below their recovery goals.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"26 6","pages":"1087-1106"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70019","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
James T. Thorson, Kerim Y. Aydin, Matthew L. H. Cheng, Beatriz S. Dias, David G. Kimmel, Kasper Kristensen
Age-structured models are used worldwide to regulate fisheries. These models typically ignore top-down interactions (predation affecting natural mortality) and bottom-up interactions (consumption affecting individual growth, reproduction, or survival), whereas multispecies catch-at-age models often incorporate top-down but not bottom-up interactions. While Ecopath-with-Ecosim (EwE) incorporates both top-down and bottom-up interactions along with age-structured dynamics, it is not typically fitted to age-composition data. We extend Ecostate (a state-space version of EwE) to incorporate age-structured dynamics while fitting to age-structured data and use this to illustrate how to add bottom-up interactions to age-structured models. Specifically, we add age-structured dynamics and likelihood components for age-composition and weight-at-age data while estimating residual variation in larval survival (recruitment deviations) and consumption (weight-at-age deviations). As a demonstration, we fit the model to biomass and age-composition data for two commercial species (Alaska pollock and sablefish) in the Gulf of Alaska, including population dynamics for their major prey, while not fitting weight-at-age data so that it can be used for out-of-sample evaluation of model performance. The model can be viewed as a multispecies age-structured model (e.g., estimating adult mortality rates, survey catchability and selectivity, and recruitment variation) and as a mass-balance ecosystem model (e.g., estimating trophic position and weight-at-age based on forage consumption). The predicted weight-at-age is weakly correlated with independent measurements for pollock and sablefish but was improved when we incorporated forage biomass indices. We recommend that age-structured models routinely explore the link between prey consumption and resulting size-at-age, whether using coupled predator–prey dynamics or simplifications that treat prey abundance as fixed data.
年龄结构模型在世界范围内用于管理渔业。这些模型通常忽略了自上而下的相互作用(捕食影响自然死亡率)和自下而上的相互作用(消耗影响个体生长、繁殖或生存),而多物种年龄捕获模型通常包含自上而下的相互作用,而不是自下而上的相互作用。虽然Ecopath - with - Ecosim (EwE)结合了自顶向下和自底向上的相互作用以及年龄结构动态,但它通常不适合年龄组成数据。我们扩展了Ecostate (EwE的状态空间版本),在适应年龄结构数据的同时,纳入了年龄结构动态,并用它来说明如何将自下而上的交互添加到年龄结构模型中。具体来说,我们在估算幼虫存活(招募偏差)和消耗(体重年龄偏差)的剩余变异时,为年龄组成和体重年龄数据添加了年龄结构动力学和可能性成分。作为演示,我们将模型拟合到阿拉斯加湾两种商业物种(阿拉斯加鳕鱼和貂鱼)的生物量和年龄组成数据中,包括其主要猎物的种群动态,而不拟合体重-年龄数据,以便它可以用于样本外评估模型性能。该模型可以看作是一个多物种年龄结构模型(例如,估计成年死亡率、调查可捕性和选择性以及招募变化)和一个质量平衡生态系统模型(例如,根据饲料消耗估计营养位置和年龄体重)。预测的年龄体重与鳕鱼和貂鱼的独立测量值相关性较弱,但当我们纳入饲料生物量指数时,预测的年龄体重得到了改善。我们建议年龄结构模型常规地探索猎物消耗和由此产生的年龄尺寸之间的联系,无论是使用耦合的捕食者-猎物动力学还是将猎物丰度视为固定数据的简化。
{"title":"Bottom-Up Interactions in State-Space Age-Structured Models Using Mass-Balance Dynamics","authors":"James T. Thorson, Kerim Y. Aydin, Matthew L. H. Cheng, Beatriz S. Dias, David G. Kimmel, Kasper Kristensen","doi":"10.1111/faf.70016","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70016","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Age-structured models are used worldwide to regulate fisheries. These models typically ignore top-down interactions (predation affecting natural mortality) and bottom-up interactions (consumption affecting individual growth, reproduction, or survival), whereas multispecies catch-at-age models often incorporate top-down but not bottom-up interactions. While Ecopath-with-Ecosim (EwE) incorporates both top-down and bottom-up interactions along with age-structured dynamics, it is not typically fitted to age-composition data. We extend Ecostate (a state-space version of EwE) to incorporate age-structured dynamics while fitting to age-structured data and use this to illustrate how to add bottom-up interactions to age-structured models. Specifically, we add age-structured dynamics and likelihood components for age-composition and weight-at-age data while estimating residual variation in larval survival (recruitment deviations) and consumption (weight-at-age deviations). As a demonstration, we fit the model to biomass and age-composition data for two commercial species (Alaska pollock and sablefish) in the Gulf of Alaska, including population dynamics for their major prey, while not fitting weight-at-age data so that it can be used for out-of-sample evaluation of model performance. The model can be viewed as a multispecies age-structured model (e.g., estimating adult mortality rates, survey catchability and selectivity, and recruitment variation) and as a mass-balance ecosystem model (e.g., estimating trophic position and weight-at-age based on forage consumption). The predicted weight-at-age is weakly correlated with independent measurements for pollock and sablefish but was improved when we incorporated forage biomass indices. We recommend that age-structured models routinely explore the link between prey consumption and resulting size-at-age, whether using coupled predator–prey dynamics or simplifications that treat prey abundance as fixed data.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"26 6","pages":"1048-1064"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70016","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144911012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Javier Menéndez-Blázquez, Mara Segovia, David March
Recreational fishing is widespread in coastal zones and exerts significant ecological, fisheries-related and socio-economic pressures. Unlike commercial fishing, small-scale recreational fleets are challenging to monitor because they lack enforced use of vessel tracking systems such as the Automatic Identification System (AIS). Recently, remote sensing technologies have emerged as promising alternatives for monitoring marine activities. Here, we assess the potential of high spatio-temporal resolution satellite imagery to monitor daily changes in recreational fishing boats during a temporal fishing ban within a marine protected area. By comparing satellite-derived boat detections with AIS records, we demonstrate that satellite data can reliably capture daily changes in recreational fishing activity missed by AIS, including a marked increase immediately following the end of the ban. These findings confirm that satellite observations can consistently detect small fishing boats and reveal their fine-scale spatio-temporal patterns. When complemented with local knowledge, this approach enhances our capacity to contribute to the spatial planning and ecosystem-based management of recreational fisheries.
{"title":"Leveraging Earth Observation Data to Monitor Boat-Based Recreational Fishing","authors":"Javier Menéndez-Blázquez, Mara Segovia, David March","doi":"10.1111/faf.70017","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70017","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Recreational fishing is widespread in coastal zones and exerts significant ecological, fisheries-related and socio-economic pressures. Unlike commercial fishing, small-scale recreational fleets are challenging to monitor because they lack enforced use of vessel tracking systems such as the Automatic Identification System (AIS). Recently, remote sensing technologies have emerged as promising alternatives for monitoring marine activities. Here, we assess the potential of high spatio-temporal resolution satellite imagery to monitor daily changes in recreational fishing boats during a temporal fishing ban within a marine protected area. By comparing satellite-derived boat detections with AIS records, we demonstrate that satellite data can reliably capture daily changes in recreational fishing activity missed by AIS, including a marked increase immediately following the end of the ban. These findings confirm that satellite observations can consistently detect small fishing boats and reveal their fine-scale spatio-temporal patterns. When complemented with local knowledge, this approach enhances our capacity to contribute to the spatial planning and ecosystem-based management of recreational fisheries.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"26 6","pages":"1065-1074"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70017","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144911011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kamal Azmi, Graham Pilling, Johann Bell, Yi-Jay Chang, Adele Dutilloy, Timothy H. Frawley, Paul Hamer, John Hampton, Quentin Hanich, Tyla Hill-Moana, Jhen Hsu, Glenn Hurry, Leyla Knittweis, Hongyu Lin, Dongqi Lu, Philipp Neubauer, Simon Nicol, Robert Scott, Inna Senina, Yang Wang, Ashley J. Williams, Fan Zhang
Climate change is expected to have significant impacts on the biology, abundance and distribution of transboundary fish stocks, not only among neighbouring countries within the jurisdictions of regional fisheries management organisations (RFMOs) but also between adjacent RFMOs. Using South Pacific albacore tuna (Thunnus alalunga) as a case study, we highlight how RFMOs need to understand the impacts of climate change on transboundary stocks under their purview with greater certainty. We identify four areas of research that should assist RFMOs to adapt their scientific processes—strengthened understanding of changes in the biology of target stocks; enhanced collection of data to support modelling; improved modelling of catch-per-unit of effort (CPUE) to better reflect climate change impacts on stock abundance for assessments; and ensuring that scientific advice is adaptive and robust to climate change, including through implementation of tested harvest strategies. Investments in these research areas should enable RFMOs to improve the science underpinning management measures designed to sustain transboundary stocks and increase fishery performance during climate change.
{"title":"Putting Regional Fisheries Management Organisations' Climate Change House in Order","authors":"Kamal Azmi, Graham Pilling, Johann Bell, Yi-Jay Chang, Adele Dutilloy, Timothy H. Frawley, Paul Hamer, John Hampton, Quentin Hanich, Tyla Hill-Moana, Jhen Hsu, Glenn Hurry, Leyla Knittweis, Hongyu Lin, Dongqi Lu, Philipp Neubauer, Simon Nicol, Robert Scott, Inna Senina, Yang Wang, Ashley J. Williams, Fan Zhang","doi":"10.1111/faf.70015","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70015","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate change is expected to have significant impacts on the biology, abundance and distribution of transboundary fish stocks, not only among neighbouring countries within the jurisdictions of regional fisheries management organisations (RFMOs) but also between adjacent RFMOs. Using South Pacific albacore tuna (<i>Thunnus alalunga</i>) as a case study, we highlight how RFMOs need to understand the impacts of climate change on transboundary stocks under their purview with greater certainty. We identify four areas of research that should assist RFMOs to adapt their scientific processes—strengthened understanding of changes in the biology of target stocks; enhanced collection of data to support modelling; improved modelling of catch-per-unit of effort (CPUE) to better reflect climate change impacts on stock abundance for assessments; and ensuring that scientific advice is adaptive and robust to climate change, including through implementation of tested harvest strategies. Investments in these research areas should enable RFMOs to improve the science underpinning management measures designed to sustain transboundary stocks and increase fishery performance during climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"26 6","pages":"1040-1047"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70015","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144900389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Catherine Mary Dichmont, Natalie Anne Dowling, André Eric Punt, Sean Pascoe, Roy Aijun Deng, Ingrid van Putten, Jason Marc Cope
Fisheries stock assessment capacity faces resource constraints in many countries, including limited personnel, high workloads, and restricted funding. Stock assessment scientists often operate under short timelines, with outcomes that can influence livelihoods and receive public scrutiny. Scientists frequently manage multiple assessments each year, making time management a challenge. Consequently, finding opportunities to invest in professional development remains difficult within existing operational demands. We developed a series of approaches to invest in Australia's employed stock assessment capacity, and present these as a case study for other similar marine science fields and countries. The approaches led to critical insights to a way forward to develop a ‘Community of Practice’. We used network analyses to evaluate collaboration based on published Australian stock assessments and related papers. We then used surveys and interviews to understand the factors that have constrained stock assessment scientists in investing in their own development. Tools and opportunities were then made available: (a) a web site providing a central repository on freely available stock assessment packages and Australian stock assessment reports; (b) training courses on the use of assessment packages that were open to participants across organisations; and (c) a simulation game to learn in a ‘consequence free’ environment. This paper highlights what has been learnt and generalises these findings beyond the Australian stock assessment community's well-being.
{"title":"Helping to Build Stock Assessment Capacity in Australia: A Case Study","authors":"Catherine Mary Dichmont, Natalie Anne Dowling, André Eric Punt, Sean Pascoe, Roy Aijun Deng, Ingrid van Putten, Jason Marc Cope","doi":"10.1111/faf.70018","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70018","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Fisheries stock assessment capacity faces resource constraints in many countries, including limited personnel, high workloads, and restricted funding. Stock assessment scientists often operate under short timelines, with outcomes that can influence livelihoods and receive public scrutiny. Scientists frequently manage multiple assessments each year, making time management a challenge. Consequently, finding opportunities to invest in professional development remains difficult within existing operational demands. We developed a series of approaches to invest in Australia's employed stock assessment capacity, and present these as a case study for other similar marine science fields and countries. The approaches led to critical insights to a way forward to develop a ‘Community of Practice’. We used network analyses to evaluate collaboration based on published Australian stock assessments and related papers. We then used surveys and interviews to understand the factors that have constrained stock assessment scientists in investing in their own development. Tools and opportunities were then made available: (a) a web site providing a central repository on freely available stock assessment packages and Australian stock assessment reports; (b) training courses on the use of assessment packages that were open to participants across organisations; and (c) a simulation game to learn in a ‘consequence free’ environment. This paper highlights what has been learnt and generalises these findings beyond the Australian stock assessment community's well-being.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"26 6","pages":"1075-1086"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144900390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}