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A Meta‐Analysis on Environmental Triggers of Spawning Migrations Reveals a New Classification of Thermal Guilds in European Freshwater Fishes 对产卵洄游环境触发因素的Meta分析揭示了欧洲淡水鱼热行会的新分类
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70063
Christian Schlautmann, Robert Arlinghaus, Daniel Hering, Armin W. Lorenz, Christian Wolter, Christian Schürings
Fish migration through river networks is essential for completing life cycles and accessing critical habitats, but fragmentation increasingly disrupts spawning movements. In Europe, over one million barriers limit connectivity and create trade‐offs between ecological integrity and human uses, such as hydropower, flood control, fisheries and water storage. Furthermore, climate change can decrease habitat suitability, reinforcing migration needs to escape local extinctions. Limited knowledge of environmental triggers constrains species‐specific migration predictions. Here, we quantified the influence of seven environmental triggers—water temperature, flow, turbidity, cloud cover, rain, air pressure and radiation—on spawning migration of European freshwater fishes. A meta‐analysis of 112 studies (685,333 individuals, 953 effect sizes, 50 species) showed that water temperature was the dominant migration trigger. Radiation, turbidity and cloud cover showed weaker, context‐dependent effects, while effects of flow, rain and air pressure were non‐significant. Species‐specific average spawning migration temperatures correlated with upper limits of species‐specific thermal tolerances, indicating that migration timing reflects physiological constraints. Following this argument, we derive a new classification of thermal sensitivity for European freshwater fishes, distinguishing three thermal spawning guilds: cold (< 11°C), cool (11°C–15°C) and warm (> 15°C), with positive migration responses to temperature most frequently in warm‐water, less in cool‐water and rarely in cold‐water species. Our synthesis identifies gaps for species and triggers beyond temperature and flow, providing a quantitative basis for predicting spawning migration timing to guide conservation and connectivity restoration in European rivers.
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引用次数: 0
Navigating Future Waters: The Resilience of the Atlantic Bluefin Tuna Under Climate Change 导航未来水域:气候变化下大西洋蓝鳍金枪鱼的恢复力
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70061
Maite Erauskin‐Extramiana, Mireia Valle, Leonardo Cruz, Barbara Muhling, Jose A. Fernandes‐Salvador, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Guillermo Ortuño Crespo, Stephanie Brodie, Elliott L. Hazen, Steven J. Bograd, Haritz Arrizabalaga, Gorka Merino, Nerea Lezama‐Ochoa
Atlantic bluefin tuna (ABFT) is an ecologically and economically valuable species. As global warming drives marine species toward cooler or deeper waters, ABFT distributions are expected to shift, potentially disrupting predator–prey dynamics and fisheries interactions. This study models future habitat suitability for ABFT, its primary prey (as a proxy for food availability), and the drifting longline fishery that targets adult ABFT under three climate scenarios (SSP1‐2.6, SSP3‐7.0, SSP5‐8.5). Results indicate a poleward shift in ABFT distribution, with habitat losses in tropical regions and gains in boreal zones. Prey species show similar trends, increasing spatial overlap with ABFT in higher latitudes while decreasing in tropical areas. These boreal regions may act as climate refugia and bright spots , with a projected 15% increase in prey overlap by century's end. However, ABFT key spawning grounds—the Mediterranean Sea and Gulf of Mexico—are projected to become significantly less suitable for adults, with habitat suitability declining by up to 27% and 73%, respectively, threatening reproductive success. Meanwhile, overlap with the drifting longline fishery may decline by 4%, unless fishing efforts also shift poleward. Regions such as Greenland and northern Europe may become increasingly important for ABFT persistence and expansion. These distributional changes could challenge current international agreements and quota systems, underscoring the need for adaptive, climate‐resilient management strategies.
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引用次数: 0
Natural Analogues of Climate Change Can Reveal Fish Responses Across Multiple Levels of Biological Organisation 气候变化的自然类似物可以揭示鱼类在多个生物组织水平上的反应
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70051
Chloe Hayes, Angus Mitchell, Timothy Ravasi, Ivan Nagelkerken
Anthropogenic climate change is threatening ecosystem functionality and biodiversity globally. While significant research has been dedicated to understanding how organisms may respond to future climate change, most of these studies focus on individual levels of biological organisation in controlled laboratory settings, which often fail to capture the complexity of natural ecosystems. Organisms respond to climate stressors across various levels of biological organisation, which also involve complex interactions or feedback mechanisms among levels, making it difficult to generalise responses to climate change from laboratory experiments or single levels alone. Natural analogues provide a unique opportunity to observe complex ecological interactions in real‐world environments with long‐term exposure to climate change stressors. Here, we provide a systematic literature review to reveal how natural analogues of ocean warming and ocean acidification can be used to assess fish responses to climate change across multiple levels of biological organisation (from molecular to biogeographical scales) and to assess how cross‐level buffering and feedback mechanisms may shape fish species persistence in a future ocean. We identify key knowledge gaps and propose research frameworks that integrate natural analogues with laboratory experiments, mesocosms, and predictive models to better capture the complexity of fish responses to climate stressors in a more holistic way. Finally, we highlight the importance of coordinated, cross‐system research using multiple natural analogues to reveal adaptive mechanisms and strengthen predictions of fish community reorganisation under climate change.
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Progress of Stock Rebuilding in the Northeast Atlantic Against Levels That Can Produce Maximum Sustainable Yield 根据能够产生最大可持续产量的水平评估东北大西洋种群重建的进展
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70066
Henning Winker, Massimiliano Cardinale, Rishi Sharma, Laurence T. Kell, Iago Mosqueira, Christopher Griffiths
Rebuilding fish stocks to levels above which they produce Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) is a management aim for all European commercially exploited stocks. Progress is typically monitored against the fishing mortality that produces MSY in the long term ( F MSY ), however, the corresponding biomass target ( B MSY ) is rarely evaluated nor reported. Here, we analyse a unique database of 73 quantitative ICES stock assessments to provide estimates of B MSY across the Northeast Atlantic and apply a Bayesian state‐space model to estimate joint trajectories of F / F MSY and B / B MSY . Our results confirm that median fishing mortality has substantially decreased from its peak in 1999 to just below F MSY in 2020. Despite this, approximately half of the stocks remain fished above F MSY , with 36% exceeding 1.2 × F MSY . Biomass increased on average from below 0.5 B MSY in 2000 to 0.68 B MSY in 2020, but only 40% of stocks are currently above B MSY and only 35% have an age structure that is comparable with fishing at F MSY . Biomass relative to the ICES trigger point (MSY B trigger ) indicates that more than 70% of stocks are currently within safe biological limits. However, using MSY B trigger as a surrogate for B MSY results in an over‐optimistic classification of stock status, which conflicts with past levels of exploitation and may hinder stock rebuilding and the achievement of MSY objectives. Future projections from individual assessment forecasts predict further increases in B / B MSY under current F levels. However, to achieve B MSY by 2030, a ‘perfect’ implementation of the ICES Advice Rule would be required.
将鱼类种群恢复到最高可持续产量(MSY)以上的水平是所有欧洲商业捕捞鱼类的管理目标。通常是根据产生长期MSY的捕捞死亡率(fmsy)来监测进展情况,但是,很少评估或报告相应的生物量目标(bmsy)。在这里,我们分析了一个独特的数据库,其中包含73个定量的ICES种群评估,以提供东北大西洋B MSY的估计,并应用贝叶斯状态空间模型来估计F / F MSY和B / B MSY的联合轨迹。我们的研究结果证实,捕捞死亡率中位数已从1999年的峰值大幅下降到2020年略低于fmsy。尽管如此,仍有大约一半的鱼类种群的捕获量高于最高可捕捞量,其中36%超过1.2 ×最高可捕捞量。生物量从2000年的0.5亿立方米/年平均增加到2020年的0.68亿立方米/年,但目前只有40%的种群高于100亿立方米/年,只有35%的种群年龄结构与最高渔业年产量相当。相对于ICES触发点(MSY B触发点)的生物量表明,目前70%以上的种群处于安全的生物限度内。然而,使用MSY B触发器作为B MSY的替代品会导致过度乐观的种群状况分类,这与过去的开发水平相冲突,并可能阻碍种群重建和MSY目标的实现。根据个别评估预测的未来预测,在目前的F水平下,B / B最高产量将进一步增加。然而,要在2030年之前实现bmsy,就需要“完美”地实施ICES咨询规则。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Historical Populations and Evaluating Shifting Baselines of Traditionally Exploited Fisheries 预测历史种群和评估变化基线的传统渔业
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70065
Allegra Ervin, Robert M. Cerrato, Adrian Jordaan, Michael G. Frisk
Development of data‐intensive stock assessment and ecosystem‐based models has improved our understanding of shifting species abundance in response to fishing, ocean ecology, and species interactions. Along with this analytical progress is evidence that many stocks lack data required for complex models, resulting in data‐limited options for estimating abundance and reference points for some species. Additionally, for even traditionally exploited species, historical data before the mid‐1900s is scarce, further limiting our understanding of long‐term population trends. To address this paucity of data and historical time series, we used a Bayesian Stochastic Stock Reduction Analysis (BSSRA) model to estimate historical population biomasses utilising historical catch, a population growth rate ( r ) and values of carrying capacity ( K ). These BSSRA historical biomass estimates are developed using available landings records for three traditionally exploited species—Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ), Atlantic halibut ( Hippoglossus hippoglossus ), and Atlantic Menhaden ( Brevoortia tyrannus ). We compared the BSSRA‐derived historical biomass trends with contemporary estimates from more data‐intensive stock assessments to evaluate the performance of this data‐limited approach. To assess shifting baseline syndrome, two different baseline years were used to evaluate how perceptions of stock status change over time and what implications this has for fisheries management. BSSRA models captured similar biomass trends to those in formal stock assessments and suggest that modern reference points may underestimate historical biomass by an order of magnitude. Integrating historical data through models like BSSRA can help set more realistic and ecologically meaningful baselines, enhancing recovery goals to the benefit of ecosystem‐based fisheries management.
数据密集型种群评估和基于生态系统的模型的发展提高了我们对物种丰度变化的理解,这些变化是对渔业、海洋生态和物种相互作用的响应。随着这一分析进展,有证据表明,许多种群缺乏复杂模型所需的数据,导致估算某些物种的丰度和参考点的数据有限。此外,即使是传统上被开发的物种,20世纪中期之前的历史数据也很少,这进一步限制了我们对长期种群趋势的理解。为了解决这一数据和历史时间序列的缺乏问题,我们使用贝叶斯随机种群减少分析(BSSRA)模型,利用历史捕鱼量、种群增长率(r)和承载能力(K)值来估计历史种群生物量。这些BSSRA历史生物量估算是根据三种传统开发物种-大西洋鳕鱼(Gadus morhua),大西洋大比目鱼(Hippoglossus Hippoglossus)和大西洋鲱鱼(Brevoortia tyrannus)的现有登陆记录开发的。我们将BSSRA得出的历史生物量趋势与来自更多数据密集型种群评估的当代估计值进行了比较,以评估这种数据有限方法的性能。为了评估转移基线综合症,使用了两个不同的基线年来评估对种群状况的看法如何随时间变化以及这对渔业管理的影响。BSSRA模型捕获的生物量趋势与正式种群评估中捕获的趋势相似,并表明现代参考点可能低估了历史生物量的一个数量级。通过BSSRA等模型整合历史数据可以帮助设定更现实、更有生态意义的基线,提高恢复目标,从而有利于基于生态系统的渔业管理。
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引用次数: 0
A Global Review of Bycatch Reduction Technology Assessments: Revealing Gaps in Fisher‐Focused Metrics 减少副渔获物技术评估的全球综述:揭示以费舍尔为中心的指标的差距
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70068
Cindy Vargas, James P. Collins, Jesse F. Senko
Global fisheries support livelihoods, food security and economies, but the incidental capture of non‐target species—termed bycatch—remains a key conservation challenge. We compiled peer‐reviewed published studies to assess metrics used to evaluate the effectiveness of bycatch reduction technologies and gear modifications (BRTs) for reducing air‐breathing marine megafauna bycatch in global passive fisheries. We assessed 196 studies, including assessments in operational fisheries and controlled experiments, from 114 published articles between 1997 and 2024. These studies tested 28 types of BRTs across five fishing gears. Changes in bycatch and target catch were assessed in 94.4% and 73% of all studies, respectively. By contrast, only 6.6% of studies assessed catch value. We identified and evaluated seven fisher‐focused metrics that were divided into quantitative and anecdotal evidence describing how the application of BRTs affects fishers. Relative to quantitative assessments, 9.2% of all studies quantified effects on fishing gear, 8.7% quantified BRT cost, 4.1% quantified economic impact, 3.1% quantified fisher safety, 3.1% quantified BRT ease of use, 2% quantified operational efficiency and 1% quantified fisher perceptions of BRT efficacy. Relative to anecdotal evidence, 10.7% of all studies reported on ease of use, 7.1% on BRT cost, 6.6% on fisher perceptions of efficacy, 3.1% on effects on fishing gear, 1.5% on effects on fisher safety and 0.5% on both operational efficiency and economic impact. Across diverse regions and timeframes, our analysis highlights a persistent lack of fisher‐focused metrics in BRT research, emphasising the need for more holistic evaluations that consider fisher wellbeing.
全球渔业支持生计、粮食安全和经济,但意外捕获非目标物种(称为副渔获)仍然是一个关键的保护挑战。我们汇编了同行评审的已发表研究,以评估用于评估减少副渔获物技术和齿轮改造(brt)在全球被动渔业中减少呼吸空气的海洋巨型动物副渔获物的有效性的指标。我们评估了196项研究,包括对经营性渔业和对照实验的评估,这些研究来自1997年至2024年间发表的114篇文章。这些研究在5个渔具上测试了28种brt。在所有研究中,分别有94.4%和73%的研究评估了副渔获物和目标渔获物的变化。相比之下,只有6.6%的研究评估了捕捞价值。我们确定并评估了七个以渔民为中心的指标,这些指标分为定量证据和轶事证据,描述了brt的应用如何影响渔民。相对于定量评估,9.2%的研究量化了对渔具的影响,8.7%量化了BRT成本,4.1%量化了经济影响,3.1%量化了渔民的安全,3.1%量化了BRT的易用性,2%量化了运营效率,1%量化了渔民对BRT效果的看法。与轶事证据相比,10.7%的研究报告了易用性,7.1%的研究报告了BRT成本,6.6%的研究报告了渔民对有效性的看法,3.1%的研究报告了对渔具的影响,1.5%的研究报告了对渔民安全的影响,0.5%的研究报告了运营效率和经济影响。在不同的地区和时间框架内,我们的分析强调了BRT研究中持续缺乏以渔民为中心的指标,强调需要考虑渔民福祉的更全面的评估。
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引用次数: 0
Global Patterns and Gaps in Research on Salinity Tolerance of Inland Fishes 内陆鱼类耐盐性研究的全球格局与空白
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70067
Carlos Cano‐Barbacil, Ignacio Doadrio, Julian D. Olden, Kirk. O. Winemiller, Emili García‐Berthou
Freshwater salinization is an emerging threat impacting approximately one‐third of the world's freshwater bodies. However, the salinity tolerance of many inland fishes remains understudied, despite being a crucial factor in determining species distributions and fitness. We updated and analysed a comprehensive global database of experimental salinity tolerance, compiled from 128 sources, to investigate geographical and taxonomic biases in research on the salinity tolerance of inland fishes. Additionally, we examined how salinity tolerance relates to fish traits and how experimental data align with field‐reported salinity levels. Experimental data on salinity tolerance was available for < 1% of the world's inland fishes, with data severely lacking from diverse tropical regions and species‐rich orders such as Characiformes and Siluriformes. Most salinity tolerance studies focused on relatively large and widely distributed species from North America, Europe and Oceania and certain orders such as Acipenseriformes, Centrarchiformes, Cyprinodontiformes or Lepisosteiformes. Our results showed that fish salinity tolerance was strongly associated with fish habitat type, taxonomy, aspects of morphology, migratory behaviour and the experimental approach used (direct vs. gradual). Our results also showed significant, though sometimes weak relationships between field‐reported salinity levels and experimental estimates. Improved understanding of fish salinity tolerance will be essential for assessing impacts of freshwater salinization and forecasting the invasion potential of non‐native species.
淡水盐碱化是一个新出现的威胁,影响着世界上大约三分之一的淡水水体。然而,许多内陆鱼类的耐盐性仍未得到充分研究,尽管它是决定物种分布和适应性的关键因素。我们更新并分析了来自128个来源的综合全球耐盐性实验数据库,以调查内陆鱼类耐盐性研究中的地理和分类偏差。此外,我们研究了耐盐性与鱼类性状的关系,以及实验数据如何与现场报告的盐度水平相一致。世界上有1%的内陆鱼类可获得耐盐性的实验数据,而热带地区和物种丰富的目(如特征目和志留形目)的数据严重缺乏。大多数耐盐性研究集中在来自北美、欧洲和大洋洲的相对较大和广泛分布的物种以及某些目,如acipenserformes、Centrarchiformes、Cyprinodontiformes或Lepisosteiformes。研究结果表明,鱼类的耐盐性与鱼类的栖息地类型、分类、形态、洄游行为和采用的实验方法(直接还是渐进)密切相关。我们的研究结果也显示了现场报告的盐度水平与实验估计值之间的显著关系,尽管有时关系较弱。提高对鱼类耐盐性的认识对于评估淡水盐渍化的影响和预测非本地物种的入侵潜力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
A Conceptual Framework and Methods for Studying the Connectivity of Fishes 鱼类连通性研究的概念框架与方法
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70058
Jordanna N. Bergman, Jessica A. Robichaud, Jasper McCutcheon, Michael T. Booth, Brendan Campbell, Grace A. Casselberry, Cienna R. Cooper, Bronwyn M. Gillanders, Lucas P. Griffin, Edward Hale, Luc LaRochelle, Karen J. Murchie, Mary Peacock, Reid G. Swanson, Simon D. Stewart, Ryan. J. Woodland, Daniel P. Zielinski, Steven J. Cooke, Morgan L. Piczak
Connectivity is a multifaceted concept that has important implications for the management and conservation of marine and freshwater fishes. We developed a conceptual framework that encompasses multiple, interrelated categories of connectedness, including landscape (e.g., structural, functional) connectivity and ecological (e.g., trophic, genetic, demographic) connectivity, that together shape the flow of organisms, energy and information across ecosystems. We also synthesised six key methods that can be used to study connectivity of fishes: (1) telemetry, including satellite, acoustic, radio and passive integrated transponders (PIT), (2) mark‐recapture, (3) environmental tracers, including stable isotopes and otolith‐microchemistry, (4) genetics, (5) community structure analysis and (6) emerging technologies and tools (e.g., remote sensing and artificial intelligence). For each method, we describe the categories of connectivity it can assess and provide real‐world examples where they have been effectively used. We also identify limitations of each method. This article highlights the diverse and evolving toolbox of methods used to assess fish connectivity, underscoring the need for continued collaboration, innovation and integration of new approaches to refine our understanding and address remaining challenges in this critical area of aquatic ecology and fisheries management.
连通性是一个多方面的概念,对海洋和淡水鱼类的管理和养护具有重要意义。我们开发了一个概念框架,涵盖了多个相互关联的连通性类别,包括景观(如结构、功能)连通性和生态(如营养、遗传、人口)连通性,它们共同塑造了生物、能量和信息在生态系统中的流动。我们还综合了六种可用于研究鱼类连通性的关键方法:(1)遥测,包括卫星,声学,无线电和无源集成应答器(PIT),(2)标记重捕获,(3)环境示踪剂,包括稳定同位素和耳石微化学,(4)遗传学,(5)群落结构分析和(6)新兴技术和工具(如遥感和人工智能)。对于每种方法,我们都描述了它可以评估的连接类别,并提供了它们被有效使用的真实世界示例。我们还指出了每种方法的局限性。本文强调了用于评估鱼类连通性的各种不断发展的方法工具箱,强调了继续合作、创新和整合新方法的必要性,以完善我们的理解,并解决在水生生态和渔业管理这一关键领域存在的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Towards Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence for Marine Research, Fisheries and Environmental Management 迈向可信赖的人工智能海洋研究,渔业和环境管理
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70052
Jose A. Fernandes‐Salvador, Angel Borja, Asier Anabitarte, Igor Granado, Xabier Lekunberri, Yolanda Sagarminaga, Oriol Canals, Anders Lanzen, Mihailo Azhar, Jonne Kotta, Henn Ojaveer, Anna Spinosa, Ari‐Pekka Jokinen, Lumi Haraguchi, Sanjina Upadhyay Stæhr, Aritz Pérez, Iñaki Inza, Sebastian Villasante, Gabriela A. Oanta, Catarina N. S. Silva, Rachel Tiller, Julian Lilkendey
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is advancing at an unprecedented pace, offering transformative opportunities for marine research, fisheries management, environmental governance and policy development. Particularly in the context of the interconnected data needs of ecosystem management and biodiversity conservation, these technologies can enhance data acquisition, processing and decision support, enabling more integrated approaches to ecosystem management and biodiversity conservation. Yet their adoption in these domains remains limited by the absence of coherent frameworks that ensure transparency, validation and ethical alignment with ecological and socio‐economic sustainability goals. This work proposes a comprehensive framework built on three critical pillars for trustworthy AI: socio‐economic and legal viability, data governance and technical and scientific robustness. On the one hand it aims to be a guideline for developer teams. On the other hand, it aims to be a guideline for final users (e.g., industry and managers) for designing the requirements and evaluating such systems. The first pillar underscores the need for AI systems that are cost‐effective, scalable, environmentally sustainable and legally supported, balancing short‐term costs with long‐term social and ecological benefits. The second stresses adherence to fair, reliable and ethical access to digital resources, recognising that without strong governance data and algorithms risk becoming fragmented or misused. The third pillar addresses the necessity of rigorous validation across entire AI pipelines, including preprocessing, model evaluation and benchmarking against alternative ground truths, to ensure reliability in real‐world applications. Together, these pillars provide a blueprint for developing ethical, reliable and policy‐relevant AI systems that can strengthen trust, improve sustainability and guide decision‐making across marine science, fisheries, environmental management and European legislation.
人工智能(AI)正以前所未有的速度发展,为海洋研究、渔业管理、环境治理和政策制定提供了变革性机遇。特别是在生态系统管理和生物多样性保护相互关联的数据需求的背景下,这些技术可以加强数据采集、处理和决策支持,使生态系统管理和生物多样性保护的方法更加综合。然而,由于缺乏连贯的框架来确保透明度、有效性和符合生态和社会经济可持续性目标的道德一致性,它们在这些领域的采用仍然受到限制。这项工作提出了一个全面的框架,建立在值得信赖的人工智能的三个关键支柱上:社会经济和法律可行性、数据治理以及技术和科学稳健性。一方面,它旨在成为开发团队的指导方针。另一方面,它旨在成为最终用户(例如,行业和管理人员)设计需求和评估此类系统的指南。第一个支柱强调人工智能系统需要具有成本效益、可扩展、环境可持续和法律支持,平衡短期成本与长期社会和生态效益。第二点强调坚持公平、可靠和合乎道德地获取数字资源,认识到如果没有强有力的治理,数据和算法可能会变得支离破碎或被滥用。第三个支柱解决了在整个人工智能管道中进行严格验证的必要性,包括预处理、模型评估和针对替代基础事实的基准测试,以确保在现实世界应用中的可靠性。这些支柱共同为开发合乎道德、可靠且与政策相关的人工智能系统提供了蓝图,这些系统可以加强信任,提高可持续性,并指导海洋科学、渔业、环境管理和欧洲立法领域的决策。
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引用次数: 0
A Prospectus on Generative Artificial Intelligence in Marine Ecosystem Modelling 生成式人工智能在海洋生态系统建模中的应用
IF 6.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1111/faf.70037
Scott Spillias
Marine ecosystem modelling faces increasing demands for rapid development and deployment to address urgent environmental challenges, yet technical complexity and time‐intensive processes often constrain timely insights for management decisions. This prospectus synthesises current applications and outlines future research directions for integrating Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) into marine ecosystem modelling while maintaining scientific rigour. I present a structured framework for integrating GenAI across eight interconnected components of the modelling cycle: model scoping, data gathering, conceptual framework development, model development, model execution, validation and calibration, reporting and stakeholder engagement. Through analysis of current applications and emerging research, I demonstrate how GenAI can automate routine tasks, democratise access to sophisticated modelling approaches, and improve model quality. Achieving success will require overcoming persistent challenges, including data limitations, institutional barriers and ethical concerns. I propose a research agenda addressing three streams: capability assessment to systematically evaluate GenAI's potential in marine ecosystem modelling; avenues for ensuring scientific integrity and reliability; and socio‐technical integration to address ethical and institutional challenges. While GenAI offers the potential to enhance modelling, a human‐centered approach is essential, where GenAI augments, rather than replaces, human expertise in model validation, interpretation of results and ensuring sustainable management outcomes. To support readers new to this space, a primer in the supporting information outlines practical considerations for accessing GenAI tools, from cloud‐based services to locally‐run models and their implications for privacy, reproducibility and computational requirements.
海洋生态系统建模面临着快速开发和部署以应对紧迫环境挑战的日益增长的需求,但技术复杂性和时间密集型过程往往限制了管理决策的及时见解。本招股说明书综合了当前的应用,并概述了将生成式人工智能(GenAI)集成到海洋生态系统建模中同时保持科学严谨性的未来研究方向。我提出了一个结构化框架,用于在建模周期的八个相互关联的组件中集成GenAI:模型范围确定、数据收集、概念框架开发、模型开发、模型执行、验证和校准、报告和利益相关者参与。通过对当前应用和新兴研究的分析,我展示了GenAI如何自动化日常任务,使复杂建模方法的访问民主化,并提高模型质量。要取得成功,就需要克服持续存在的挑战,包括数据限制、体制障碍和伦理问题。我提出了一个研究议程,涉及三个方面:能力评估,以系统地评估GenAI在海洋生态系统建模方面的潜力;确保科学完整性和可靠性的途径;通过社会技术整合来解决伦理和制度方面的挑战。虽然GenAI提供了增强建模的潜力,但以人为中心的方法是必不可少的,其中GenAI在模型验证,结果解释和确保可持续管理成果方面增强而不是取代了人类的专业知识。为了支持这个领域的新读者,支持信息的入门概述了访问GenAI工具的实际考虑因素,从基于云的服务到本地运行的模型及其对隐私、可再现性和计算要求的影响。
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Fish and Fisheries
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