Aaron M. Berger, Daniel R. Goethel, Simon D. Hoyle, Patrick Lynch, Caren Barceló, Alistar Dunn, Brian J. Langseth, Carolina Minte‐Vera, Jemery Day, Haikun Xu, Francisco Izquierdo, Dan Fu, Nicholas D. Ducharme‐Barth, Mathew Vincent, Arnaud Grüss, Jonathan J. Deroba, Giancarlo M. Correa, Jeremy McKenzie, Will Butler, Jie Cao, Craig Marsh, Teresa A'mar, Valerio Bartolino, Massimiliano Cardinale, Claudio Castillo‐Jordan, Bjarki Þór Elvarsson, John Hampton, Andrea Havron, Pamela Mace, Arni Magnusson, Mark Maunder, Richard Methot, Sophie Mormede, Maria Grazia Pennino, Alfonso Perez‐Rodriguez, Marta Cousido‐Rocha, Thomas Teears, Agurtzane Urtizberea
Despite their potential to inform sustainable regional harvest and climate‐resilient fisheries management, spatial stock assessment models remain underused for management advice. To identify barriers that inhibit broader use of these methods, we conducted a blinded international simulation experiment mimicking real‐world stock assessment development when confronting spatial complexity. Seven analyst teams built spatially aggregated and spatially explicit assessment models using data simulated from high‐resolution operating models based on Indian Ocean yellowfin tuna and Ross Sea Antarctic toothfish dynamics. Each team documented how assessment software platform, data analyses, model building approach, and diagnostics influenced model complexity and realism. A consensus emerged on key assessment building approaches: (1) conduct high‐resolution data analyses to identify appropriate spatial structure; (2) start with simplified models and incrementally add complexity; (3) iteratively evaluate diagnostics to determine necessary spatial complexity; and (4) maintain models with different spatial structures to aid interpretation. The experiment also revealed several valuable insights for parameterising assessments, including consideration of data pre‐processing with spatiotemporal models to better inform data‐sparse regions; regression trees to identify fleet and spatial structure; trade‐offs in complexity between productivity and movement dynamics to achieve tractable and stable model structures; and ensemble modelling approaches to address structural uncertainty. Our findings demonstrate that international collaborations and simulation experiments are crucial for addressing challenges in implementing spatial stock assessments and for evaluating whether their added complexity is justified given management objectives. Broader collaborations are encouraged to foster innovation in fisheries management and to help recognise the practical trade‐offs between model parsimony and complexity.
{"title":"‘Building the (Im)perfect Beast’: Strategies for Identifying Appropriate Spatial Stock Assessment Model Complexity From an International, Blinded High‐Resolution Simulation Experiment","authors":"Aaron M. Berger, Daniel R. Goethel, Simon D. Hoyle, Patrick Lynch, Caren Barceló, Alistar Dunn, Brian J. Langseth, Carolina Minte‐Vera, Jemery Day, Haikun Xu, Francisco Izquierdo, Dan Fu, Nicholas D. Ducharme‐Barth, Mathew Vincent, Arnaud Grüss, Jonathan J. Deroba, Giancarlo M. Correa, Jeremy McKenzie, Will Butler, Jie Cao, Craig Marsh, Teresa A'mar, Valerio Bartolino, Massimiliano Cardinale, Claudio Castillo‐Jordan, Bjarki Þór Elvarsson, John Hampton, Andrea Havron, Pamela Mace, Arni Magnusson, Mark Maunder, Richard Methot, Sophie Mormede, Maria Grazia Pennino, Alfonso Perez‐Rodriguez, Marta Cousido‐Rocha, Thomas Teears, Agurtzane Urtizberea","doi":"10.1111/faf.70048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70048","url":null,"abstract":"Despite their potential to inform sustainable regional harvest and climate‐resilient fisheries management, spatial stock assessment models remain underused for management advice. To identify barriers that inhibit broader use of these methods, we conducted a blinded international simulation experiment mimicking real‐world stock assessment development when confronting spatial complexity. Seven analyst teams built spatially aggregated and spatially explicit assessment models using data simulated from high‐resolution operating models based on Indian Ocean yellowfin tuna and Ross Sea Antarctic toothfish dynamics. Each team documented how assessment software platform, data analyses, model building approach, and diagnostics influenced model complexity and realism. A consensus emerged on key assessment building approaches: (1) conduct high‐resolution data analyses to identify appropriate spatial structure; (2) start with simplified models and incrementally add complexity; (3) iteratively evaluate diagnostics to determine necessary spatial complexity; and (4) maintain models with different spatial structures to aid interpretation. The experiment also revealed several valuable insights for parameterising assessments, including consideration of data pre‐processing with spatiotemporal models to better inform data‐sparse regions; regression trees to identify fleet and spatial structure; trade‐offs in complexity between productivity and movement dynamics to achieve tractable and stable model structures; and ensemble modelling approaches to address structural uncertainty. Our findings demonstrate that international collaborations and simulation experiments are crucial for addressing challenges in implementing spatial stock assessments and for evaluating whether their added complexity is justified given management objectives. Broader collaborations are encouraged to foster innovation in fisheries management and to help recognise the practical trade‐offs between model parsimony and complexity.","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145703835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Reverence for Rivers: Imagining an Ethic for Running Waters. By Kurt D.Fausch, Corvallis: Oregon State University Press, 2025. 278 pp. ISBN: 978‐1‐96‐264534‐8","authors":"Samuel Shephard","doi":"10.1111/faf.70040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70040","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145703834","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Georgina L. Hunt, Nicholas V. C. Polunin, Georg H. Engelhard, Ben D. Wigham, John K. Pinnegar
Understanding the extent and magnitude of change in marine food webs requires historical data that predates modern monitoring efforts. Such information can provide invaluable insights into the longer‐term impacts of altered trophic interactions, yet it is rarely incorporated into marine policy frameworks. Using multiple stomach records spanning over a century, we investigated long‐term changes in the diet composition of six demersal fish species in the western North Sea. Plaice, dab and haddock exhibited marked dietary shifts from larger, more sessile bivalves in the early 20th century to an increase in the prevalence of shorter‐lived, more opportunistic prey (polychaetes and echinoderms) in the latter part of the century. Cod, whiting, and grey gurnard exhibited variable diets, but some prey groups (amphipods and echinoderms) were consistently more important in particular decades. Compared to the 1900s, sandeels became an increasingly dominant dietary component for nearly all predators in later decades. These findings likely reflect ‘bottom‐up’ effects of altered benthic prey communities caused by the intensification of trawling, eutrophication and climatic changes, especially in the latter part of the 20th century. Our study highlights the value of using alternative historical data in detecting broad‐scale change over extended timescales, and provides additional evidence that can guide relevant policies aimed at restoring the functional integrity of marine food webs.
{"title":"Century‐Scale Changes in the Feeding Patterns of Demersal Fish Species in the Western North Sea","authors":"Georgina L. Hunt, Nicholas V. C. Polunin, Georg H. Engelhard, Ben D. Wigham, John K. Pinnegar","doi":"10.1111/faf.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70035","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding the extent and magnitude of change in marine food webs requires historical data that predates modern monitoring efforts. Such information can provide invaluable insights into the longer‐term impacts of altered trophic interactions, yet it is rarely incorporated into marine policy frameworks. Using multiple stomach records spanning over a century, we investigated long‐term changes in the diet composition of six demersal fish species in the western North Sea. Plaice, dab and haddock exhibited marked dietary shifts from larger, more sessile bivalves in the early 20th century to an increase in the prevalence of shorter‐lived, more opportunistic prey (polychaetes and echinoderms) in the latter part of the century. Cod, whiting, and grey gurnard exhibited variable diets, but some prey groups (amphipods and echinoderms) were consistently more important in particular decades. Compared to the 1900s, sandeels became an increasingly dominant dietary component for nearly all predators in later decades. These findings likely reflect ‘bottom‐up’ effects of altered benthic prey communities caused by the intensification of trawling, eutrophication and climatic changes, especially in the latter part of the 20th century. Our study highlights the value of using alternative historical data in detecting broad‐scale change over extended timescales, and provides additional evidence that can guide relevant policies aimed at restoring the functional integrity of marine food webs.","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145651181","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysing recreational anglers in marine waters presents several challenges. First, while there are well‐established approaches to estimate fishing effort, they are only as good as the coverage of the underlying data, which invariably has blind spots that can bias estimates. Additionally, tracking anglers' movements over time and their fishing locations in the open water is nearly impossible. This paper demonstrates the potential value of passively collected mobility data, GPS coordinates with timestamps from smartphones, for the analysis of marine recreational fishing. Using a classification process that includes supervised machine learning algorithms, we identify over 16,000 recreational fishing trips in the Gulf of Mexico from 2019 to 2022. We then categorise the identified trips into two groups: ‘station trips’, which are from places where creel surveys are conducted, and ‘non‐station trips’, which originate from locations not covered by creel data. We find that about 75% of all trips in the Gulf are station trips, though there is substantial variation across states. We examine differences in the on‐water behaviour of the two groups and study the spatial and temporal nature of these fishing trips. For validation of our proposed method, we compare the spatial and temporal variation of our identified trips based on mobility data with administrative data from Texas, Alabama, and Mississippi collected by government agencies. Correlations range from 0.63 to 0.94, providing strong evidence that our algorithm yields valid measures of recreational fishing effort, which can inform marine resource managers where such data are not available.
{"title":"Fishing for Anglers in a Sea of Data: Using Mobility Data to Identify and Track Marine Recreational Fishing","authors":"Mona Ahmadiani, Richard T. Woodward","doi":"10.1111/faf.70033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70033","url":null,"abstract":"Analysing recreational anglers in marine waters presents several challenges. First, while there are well‐established approaches to estimate fishing effort, they are only as good as the coverage of the underlying data, which invariably has blind spots that can bias estimates. Additionally, tracking anglers' movements over time and their fishing locations in the open water is nearly impossible. This paper demonstrates the potential value of passively collected mobility data, GPS coordinates with timestamps from smartphones, for the analysis of marine recreational fishing. Using a classification process that includes supervised machine learning algorithms, we identify over 16,000 recreational fishing trips in the Gulf of Mexico from 2019 to 2022. We then categorise the identified trips into two groups: ‘station trips’, which are from places where creel surveys are conducted, and ‘non‐station trips’, which originate from locations not covered by creel data. We find that about 75% of all trips in the Gulf are station trips, though there is substantial variation across states. We examine differences in the on‐water behaviour of the two groups and study the spatial and temporal nature of these fishing trips. For validation of our proposed method, we compare the spatial and temporal variation of our identified trips based on mobility data with administrative data from Texas, Alabama, and Mississippi collected by government agencies. Correlations range from 0.63 to 0.94, providing strong evidence that our algorithm yields valid measures of recreational fishing effort, which can inform marine resource managers where such data are not available.","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145651182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Democratic regression is occurring around the world at precisely the time when progress on sustainable development and biodiversity conservation has become essential. To understand the extent to which democratic regression overlaps with (and therefore might be an issue for) marine fisheries, we examine the democracy trends of (i) key fishing states and (ii) key intergovernmental institutions. To do so, we use landings statistics published by the FAO and democracy measurements published by the Economist Intelligence Unit. Our findings suggest that democratic regression is indeed occurring in many critical marine fisheries actors and institutions and therefore represents an important challenge requiring close attention from resource managers, resource users, environmental governance researchers, and stakeholder and rightsholder groups. We outline a series of research themes and questions whose answers could strengthen the understanding of the nature and implications of democratic regression for marine fisheries.
{"title":"Examining the Relevance of Democratic Decline for Marine Fisheries","authors":"Brian Pentz, Philip A. Loring","doi":"10.1111/faf.70034","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70034","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Democratic regression is occurring around the world at precisely the time when progress on sustainable development and biodiversity conservation has become essential. To understand the extent to which democratic regression overlaps with (and therefore might be an issue for) marine fisheries, we examine the democracy trends of (i) key fishing states and (ii) key intergovernmental institutions. To do so, we use landings statistics published by the FAO and democracy measurements published by the Economist Intelligence Unit. Our findings suggest that democratic regression is indeed occurring in many critical marine fisheries actors and institutions and therefore represents an important challenge requiring close attention from resource managers, resource users, environmental governance researchers, and stakeholder and rightsholder groups. We outline a series of research themes and questions whose answers could strengthen the understanding of the nature and implications of democratic regression for marine fisheries.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"27 1","pages":"68-80"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70034","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145599008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lindsay N. K. Davidson, Philina A. English, Jackie King, Paul B. C. Grant, Ian G. Taylor, Lewis A. K. Barnett, Vladlena Gertseva, Cindy A. Tribuzio, Sean C. Anderson
Quantifying broad-scale population trends and distribution change is critical for effective management and conservation of marine species, particularly under climate change. However, fragmented regional survey data often hinder such efforts for transboundary populations. A prime example is Pacific Spiny Dogfish (Squalus suckleyi, Squalidae), a small shark with a remarkably slow life history and wide-ranging distribution. Dogfish are now caught incidentally but were heavily fished along the Pacific US–Canada coast ≈80 years ago. Reports on local population trends have conflicted along the coast, suggesting that movement between regions may be responsible. We fit spatiotemporal models integrating data from 10 surveys to synthesise trends in biomass, abundance, distribution and thermal niche for dogfish across their entire eastern Pacific Ocean range. Prior to 2003, Alaskan biomass increased through the 1990s whereas California to British Columbia indices were variable and imprecise. However, during 2003–2023, we found a coastwide 51% (95% CI: 38%–61%) decline in dogfish biomass with mature females and immature dogfish showing the largest proportional declines. Regionally, declines were steepest for the US West Coast (71%–85%) and Canada (58%–82%), while Alaska showed less severe declines (13%–54%). Off the US West Coast, dogfish shifted into deeper waters as temperatures in their habitat increased, but these patterns do not explain the coastwide declines. Our results suggest population declines are primarily driven by reduced abundance rather than between-region movement, indicating elevated coastwide conservation concern and helping focus investigations of causal mechanisms.
{"title":"Mystery of the Disappearing Dogfish: Transboundary Analyses Reveal Steep Population Declines Across the Northeast Pacific With Little Evidence for Regional Redistribution","authors":"Lindsay N. K. Davidson, Philina A. English, Jackie King, Paul B. C. Grant, Ian G. Taylor, Lewis A. K. Barnett, Vladlena Gertseva, Cindy A. Tribuzio, Sean C. Anderson","doi":"10.1111/faf.70028","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70028","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Quantifying broad-scale population trends and distribution change is critical for effective management and conservation of marine species, particularly under climate change. However, fragmented regional survey data often hinder such efforts for transboundary populations. A prime example is Pacific Spiny Dogfish (<i>Squalus suckleyi</i>, Squalidae), a small shark with a remarkably slow life history and wide-ranging distribution. Dogfish are now caught incidentally but were heavily fished along the Pacific US–Canada coast ≈80 years ago. Reports on local population trends have conflicted along the coast, suggesting that movement between regions may be responsible. We fit spatiotemporal models integrating data from 10 surveys to synthesise trends in biomass, abundance, distribution and thermal niche for dogfish across their entire eastern Pacific Ocean range. Prior to 2003, Alaskan biomass increased through the 1990s whereas California to British Columbia indices were variable and imprecise. However, during 2003–2023, we found a coastwide 51% (95% CI: 38%–61%) decline in dogfish biomass with mature females and immature dogfish showing the largest proportional declines. Regionally, declines were steepest for the US West Coast (71%–85%) and Canada (58%–82%), while Alaska showed less severe declines (13%–54%). Off the US West Coast, dogfish shifted into deeper waters as temperatures in their habitat increased, but these patterns do not explain the coastwide declines. Our results suggest population declines are primarily driven by reduced abundance rather than between-region movement, indicating elevated coastwide conservation concern and helping focus investigations of causal mechanisms.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"27 1","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70028","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145545470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Aymar Orlandi Neto, Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas, Lidiane Franceschini, João Henrique Pinheiro Dias, Hugo Marques, Igor Paiva Ramos, Lilian Casatti, Éder André Gubiani, Jean Ricardo Simões Vitule
The spread and establishment of Amazonian species outside their native ranges through activities such as sport fishing, aquaculture, and the ornamental fish industry may lead to ecological changes in recipient ecosystems. We investigated the global distribution of Amazonian freshwater fish (AFF) and conducted a case study in the upper Paraná River Basin to assess potential impacts on fish fauna. We compiled a comprehensive dataset from multiple sources: global occurrence records from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility between 1980 and June 2024, and long-term fish fauna monitoring data collected from 1992 to 2015 across four reservoirs in the upper Paraná Basin. Global occurrences were aggregated into country-level distribution polygons to estimate species richness per nation, while records from the United States were analysed within freshwater ecoregion boundaries to highlight regions of high invasion risk. In the upper Paraná case, AFF presence was determined using a presence-absence matrix, and temporal trends in richness and proportion were analysed using linear and non-linear models. Our results, based on 76,796 records of 281 AFF species, reveal a marked increase in AFF occurrences outside the Amazon Basin, particularly in South America and the United States. In the upper Paraná River Basin, AFF richness increased until approximately 2005, while the proportion continued to rise throughout the study period. These findings support “Amazonization” as an emerging pattern with implications for native biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. This study underscores the need for targeted management strategies to mitigate the impacts of AFF introductions in freshwater environments worldwide.
{"title":"Spread of Amazonian Freshwater Fishes Beyond Their Native Ranges","authors":"Aymar Orlandi Neto, Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas, Lidiane Franceschini, João Henrique Pinheiro Dias, Hugo Marques, Igor Paiva Ramos, Lilian Casatti, Éder André Gubiani, Jean Ricardo Simões Vitule","doi":"10.1111/faf.70032","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70032","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The spread and establishment of Amazonian species outside their native ranges through activities such as sport fishing, aquaculture, and the ornamental fish industry may lead to ecological changes in recipient ecosystems. We investigated the global distribution of Amazonian freshwater fish (AFF) and conducted a case study in the upper Paraná River Basin to assess potential impacts on fish fauna. We compiled a comprehensive dataset from multiple sources: global occurrence records from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility between 1980 and June 2024, and long-term fish fauna monitoring data collected from 1992 to 2015 across four reservoirs in the upper Paraná Basin. Global occurrences were aggregated into country-level distribution polygons to estimate species richness per nation, while records from the United States were analysed within freshwater ecoregion boundaries to highlight regions of high invasion risk. In the upper Paraná case, AFF presence was determined using a presence-absence matrix, and temporal trends in richness and proportion were analysed using linear and non-linear models. Our results, based on 76,796 records of 281 AFF species, reveal a marked increase in AFF occurrences outside the Amazon Basin, particularly in South America and the United States. In the upper Paraná River Basin, AFF richness increased until approximately 2005, while the proportion continued to rise throughout the study period. These findings support “Amazonization” as an emerging pattern with implications for native biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. This study underscores the need for targeted management strategies to mitigate the impacts of AFF introductions in freshwater environments worldwide.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"27 1","pages":"56-67"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70032","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145403942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Noémie Coulon, Eric Feunteun, Alexandre Carpentier, Anne Lizé
Climate change is increasingly recognised as a critical threat to global biodiversity, yet its impacts on reproductive processes remain poorly understood in many marine taxa. Elasmobranchs (sharks, skates and rays) represent a particularly vulnerable group due to their peculiar life histories, low fecundity, and diverse reproductive modes. In this review, we synthesise current knowledge on how rising ocean temperatures may affect elasmobranch fertility across key stages of the reproductive cycle, including gametogenesis, mate searching, sperm storage, fertilisation, embryonic development, and offspring production. Evidence from 88 species suggests that thermal stress could impair sperm and oocyte quality, disrupt reproductive timing, alter embryonic growth and survival, and potentially exacerbate sexual conflict. While some reproductive strategies such as embryonic diapause, sperm storage, or behavioural thermoregulation may provide short-term buffering capacity, their effectiveness under rapid and sustained warming remains uncertain. We further highlight the macroevolutionary significance of elasmobranch reproductive diversity, as well as the conservation implications of fertility constraints under global change. Addressing these knowledge gaps is essential to refining demographic models, improving extinction risk assessments, and guiding the design of climate-resilient management strategies, including fisheries regulations and marine protected areas. By explicitly linking reproductive biology with conservation policy, we argue that understanding thermal fertility limits is key to predicting elasmobranch population trajectories in a warming ocean.
{"title":"The Overlooked Threat of Global Warming on Elasmobranch Fertility","authors":"Noémie Coulon, Eric Feunteun, Alexandre Carpentier, Anne Lizé","doi":"10.1111/faf.70031","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70031","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate change is increasingly recognised as a critical threat to global biodiversity, yet its impacts on reproductive processes remain poorly understood in many marine taxa. Elasmobranchs (sharks, skates and rays) represent a particularly vulnerable group due to their peculiar life histories, low fecundity, and diverse reproductive modes. In this review, we synthesise current knowledge on how rising ocean temperatures may affect elasmobranch fertility across key stages of the reproductive cycle, including gametogenesis, mate searching, sperm storage, fertilisation, embryonic development, and offspring production. Evidence from 88 species suggests that thermal stress could impair sperm and oocyte quality, disrupt reproductive timing, alter embryonic growth and survival, and potentially exacerbate sexual conflict. While some reproductive strategies such as embryonic diapause, sperm storage, or behavioural thermoregulation may provide short-term buffering capacity, their effectiveness under rapid and sustained warming remains uncertain. We further highlight the macroevolutionary significance of elasmobranch reproductive diversity, as well as the conservation implications of fertility constraints under global change. Addressing these knowledge gaps is essential to refining demographic models, improving extinction risk assessments, and guiding the design of climate-resilient management strategies, including fisheries regulations and marine protected areas. By explicitly linking reproductive biology with conservation policy, we argue that understanding thermal fertility limits is key to predicting elasmobranch population trajectories in a warming ocean.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"27 1","pages":"41-55"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70031","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145382214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
With novel ocean conditions rapidly appearing as the result of climate change, basing decisions about fisheries and other ocean activities on historical conditions is no longer tenable. There is instead a widespread need for shifting ecological baselines to more effectively guide decisions into the future. What has not been as widely recognised is that the relevant timescales differ substantially across ocean-related decisions, from lead times of hours to decades depending on the decision being made, and that this range necessitates a matching range of ecological forecast products across similar timescales. At the moment, a predictability gap exists at intermediate timescales, from multi-annual to multi-decadal forecasts. Because most fisheries and many other ocean activities rely on biological conditions like fish abundance or distribution, the ecological inertia of organismal growth, generational turnover, movement, and food web dynamics can help push ecological forecasts further across this gap. To realise this potential for more effective and usable ecological forecasts, coordinated research and implementation at the intersection of biology, climate science, social science, and decision-making is needed. These efforts will be critical for forecasting shifting ecosystem baselines and sustaining fisheries, ocean ecosystems, and the ocean economy in the coming decades of rapid change.
{"title":"The Need for Shifting Baselines to Guide Fisheries and Ocean Activities From Days to Decades","authors":"Malin L. Pinsky, Sarah L. Smith","doi":"10.1111/faf.70029","DOIUrl":"10.1111/faf.70029","url":null,"abstract":"<p>With novel ocean conditions rapidly appearing as the result of climate change, basing decisions about fisheries and other ocean activities on historical conditions is no longer tenable. There is instead a widespread need for shifting ecological baselines to more effectively guide decisions into the future. What has not been as widely recognised is that the relevant timescales differ substantially across ocean-related decisions, from lead times of hours to decades depending on the decision being made, and that this range necessitates a matching range of ecological forecast products across similar timescales. At the moment, a predictability gap exists at intermediate timescales, from multi-annual to multi-decadal forecasts. Because most fisheries and many other ocean activities rely on biological conditions like fish abundance or distribution, the ecological inertia of organismal growth, generational turnover, movement, and food web dynamics can help push ecological forecasts further across this gap. To realise this potential for more effective and usable ecological forecasts, coordinated research and implementation at the intersection of biology, climate science, social science, and decision-making is needed. These efforts will be critical for forecasting shifting ecosystem baselines and sustaining fisheries, ocean ecosystems, and the ocean economy in the coming decades of rapid change.</p>","PeriodicalId":169,"journal":{"name":"Fish and Fisheries","volume":"27 1","pages":"13-23"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2025-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/faf.70029","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145306201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}