首页 > 最新文献

Journal of The Royal Society Interface最新文献

英文 中文
A time-dependent, brain-wide model of solute transport in the glymphatic system. 淋巴系统中溶质转运的时间依赖性全脑模型。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0822
Yiming Gan, Keelin Quirk, Kimberly A S Boster, John H Thomas, Douglas H Kelley

The flow of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) through the perivascular spaces (PVSs) and interstitial fluid (ISF) in the extracellular space (ECS) is important for brain waste removal and drug delivery. The circulation of this flow is often called the glymphatic system. We build on an existing hydraulic network model of steady flow in this system to enable the study of time-dependent flows, allowing the modelling of the processes of tracer injection and drug delivery in the glymphatic network. Using flow rates from the steady-state model and the method of Laplace transforms, we solve this time-dependent advection-diffusion equation for the network semi-analytically and show that the solution closely matches numerical simulations. We find that a particular value of the endfoot gap cavity fraction maximizes solute perfusion. Furthermore, we find that a smaller gap fraction around PVS segments at the brain surface and a larger gap fraction around deeper PVS segments produce more uniform perfusion, which is consistent with a previous study (Wang et al. 2021 Glia69, 715-728 (doi:10.1002/glia.23923)). We also observe that greater permeability of the ECS improves perfusion, and that tracers with lower diffusivity exhibit enhanced perfusion.

脑脊液(CSF)通过血管周围间隙(PVSs)和细胞外间隙(ECS)的间质液(ISF)的流动对于脑废物的清除和药物输送是重要的。这种流动的循环通常被称为淋巴系统。我们在该系统中建立了一个现有的稳定流动的水力网络模型,以研究随时间变化的流动,从而可以对类淋巴网络中的示踪剂注射和药物输送过程进行建模。利用稳态模型的流量和拉普拉斯变换的方法,对网络的随时间变化的平流扩散方程进行了半解析求解,结果表明该解与数值模拟结果吻合较好。我们发现一个特定值的端足间隙空腔分数使溶质灌注最大化。此外,我们发现脑表面PVS节段周围的间隙分数越小,更深层PVS节段周围的间隙分数越大,灌注越均匀,这与先前的研究一致(Wang et al. 2021 Glia69, 715-728 (doi:10.1002/glia.23923))。我们还观察到,更大的ECS渗透性改善了灌注,而低扩散率的示踪剂表现出增强的灌注。
{"title":"A time-dependent, brain-wide model of solute transport in the glymphatic system.","authors":"Yiming Gan, Keelin Quirk, Kimberly A S Boster, John H Thomas, Douglas H Kelley","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0822","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0822","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The flow of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) through the perivascular spaces (PVSs) and interstitial fluid (ISF) in the extracellular space (ECS) is important for brain waste removal and drug delivery. The circulation of this flow is often called the glymphatic system. We build on an existing hydraulic network model of steady flow in this system to enable the study of time-dependent flows, allowing the modelling of the processes of tracer injection and drug delivery in the glymphatic network. Using flow rates from the steady-state model and the method of Laplace transforms, we solve this time-dependent advection-diffusion equation for the network semi-analytically and show that the solution closely matches numerical simulations. We find that a particular value of the endfoot gap cavity fraction maximizes solute perfusion. Furthermore, we find that a smaller gap fraction around PVS segments at the brain surface and a larger gap fraction around deeper PVS segments produce more uniform perfusion, which is consistent with a previous study (Wang et al. 2021 Glia69, 715-728 (doi:10.1002/glia.23923)). We also observe that greater permeability of the ECS improves perfusion, and that tracers with lower diffusivity exhibit enhanced perfusion.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146157698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic mean and variance of microparasite load give key insights into population dynamics and underlying mechanisms. 微寄生虫负荷的动态平均值和方差提供了种群动态和潜在机制的关键见解。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0725
Jason Cosens Walsman, Sabrina H Streipert, Cheryl J Briggs, Mark Q Wilber

Individual heterogeneity, in number of parasites, size, etc., interacts critically with population dynamics. We tease this out in a model case study of microparasite load with empirically supported assumptions to investigate how variance in load interacts with population dynamics, We show how the mean and variance of load vary throughout an epidemic. Further, we show how mean and variance have mutual negative feedbacks on each other mediated by high death rates at high loads. Helpfully, we find that mean and variance provide information into underlying processes as well. Population trends in the mean and variance reveal underlying trends in within-host processes, e.g. differentiating host evolution of defence that manifests as tolerance, constitutive resistance, inducible resistance or acquired resistance. Our findings apply to many microparasites, including fungal pathogens which show large variance in infection load. As a case study, we consider endangered frog populations recovering from fungal epidemics and find that the mean and variance guide management actions. Lastly, we demonstrate the impact of load variance on host fitness, pathogen fitness and host population suppression. Our results demonstrate the importance of trait heterogeneity and the insights available from relatively simple models, both for microparasite load and possibly other traits.

个体异质性,如寄生虫数量、大小等,与种群动态有重要的相互作用。我们在一个微寄生虫负荷的模型案例研究中梳理出这一点,该模型案例研究了经验支持的假设,以调查负荷的变化如何与种群动态相互作用,我们展示了在整个流行病期间负荷的平均值和方差是如何变化的。此外,我们展示了均值和方差如何在高负荷下由高死亡率介导的相互负反馈。有益的是,我们发现均值和方差也为潜在过程提供了信息。种群趋势的均值和方差揭示了宿主内部过程的潜在趋势,例如,区分宿主防御进化,表现为耐受性、组成性抗性、诱导性抗性或获得性抗性。我们的发现适用于许多微寄生虫,包括真菌病原体,它们在感染负荷上表现出很大的差异。作为一个案例研究,我们考虑从真菌流行中恢复的濒危青蛙种群,并发现均值和方差指导管理行动。最后,我们论证了负荷变化对宿主适应度、病原体适应度和宿主种群抑制的影响。我们的研究结果证明了性状异质性的重要性,以及从相对简单的模型中获得的见解,无论是对微寄生虫负荷还是其他可能的性状。
{"title":"Dynamic mean and variance of microparasite load give key insights into population dynamics and underlying mechanisms.","authors":"Jason Cosens Walsman, Sabrina H Streipert, Cheryl J Briggs, Mark Q Wilber","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0725","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0725","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Individual heterogeneity, in number of parasites, size, etc., interacts critically with population dynamics. We tease this out in a model case study of microparasite load with empirically supported assumptions to investigate how variance in load interacts with population dynamics, We show how the mean and variance of load vary throughout an epidemic. Further, we show how mean and variance have mutual negative feedbacks on each other mediated by high death rates at high loads. Helpfully, we find that mean and variance provide information into underlying processes as well. Population trends in the mean and variance reveal underlying trends in within-host processes, e.g. differentiating host evolution of defence that manifests as tolerance, constitutive resistance, inducible resistance or acquired resistance. Our findings apply to many microparasites, including fungal pathogens which show large variance in infection load. As a case study, we consider endangered frog populations recovering from fungal epidemics and find that the mean and variance guide management actions. Lastly, we demonstrate the impact of load variance on host fitness, pathogen fitness and host population suppression. Our results demonstrate the importance of trait heterogeneity and the insights available from relatively simple models, both for microparasite load and possibly other traits.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146157183","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Experimental demonstration of a three-dimensional bioinspired tonotopic metasensor. 一种三维生物启发的异位超感器的实验演示。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0771
Yuxuan Liu, Han Zhang, Emanuele Riva, Nicola M Pugno, Antonio S Gliozzi, Federico Bosia, Mauro Tortello

Spiral structures are widely recurrent in nature to serve different purposes, including the spatial mapping of acoustic frequencies in the mammalian cochlea-a feature referred to as tonotopy. Motivated by this fundamental characteristic, we explore the elastodynamics of a three-dimensional seashell-like structure with frequency-selective capabilities and, in addition, a polarization-dependent response, a feature rarely found in nature. We experimentally demonstrate how these properties can be exploited to discriminate between out-of-plane and in-plane waves, while producing a discrete spectrum that displays tonotopic behaviour. The polarization capabilities are a consequence of the realization of a tonotopic response in the spiral plane and perpendicular to it. Results can be of interest for the design of low-power, low-latency smart sensors for structural health monitoring and non-destructive testing, where discrimination between frequency and polarization is usually accomplished through digital signal processing.

螺旋结构在自然界中广泛地重复出现,以服务于不同的目的,包括哺乳动物耳蜗中声学频率的空间映射-一种被称为张力异位的特征。受这一基本特性的启发,我们探索了具有频率选择能力的三维贝壳状结构的弹性动力学,此外,还有偏振依赖的响应,这是自然界中很少发现的特征。我们通过实验证明了如何利用这些特性来区分面外和面内波,同时产生显示同位行为的离散谱。极化能力是在螺旋平面和垂直于螺旋平面上实现同位响应的结果。研究结果可用于设计用于结构健康监测和无损检测的低功耗、低延迟智能传感器,其中频率和极化之间的区分通常通过数字信号处理来完成。
{"title":"Experimental demonstration of a three-dimensional bioinspired tonotopic metasensor.","authors":"Yuxuan Liu, Han Zhang, Emanuele Riva, Nicola M Pugno, Antonio S Gliozzi, Federico Bosia, Mauro Tortello","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0771","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0771","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Spiral structures are widely recurrent in nature to serve different purposes, including the spatial mapping of acoustic frequencies in the mammalian cochlea-a feature referred to as tonotopy. Motivated by this fundamental characteristic, we explore the elastodynamics of a three-dimensional seashell-like structure with frequency-selective capabilities and, in addition, a polarization-dependent response, a feature rarely found in nature. We experimentally demonstrate how these properties can be exploited to discriminate between out-of-plane and in-plane waves, while producing a discrete spectrum that displays tonotopic behaviour. The polarization capabilities are a consequence of the realization of a tonotopic response in the spiral plane and perpendicular to it. Results can be of interest for the design of low-power, low-latency smart sensors for structural health monitoring and non-destructive testing, where discrimination between frequency and polarization is usually accomplished through digital signal processing.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146157186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mitigating the environmental and ecological impacts of evolving city-scale streetlighting installations. 减轻不断发展的城市规模路灯装置对环境和生态的影响。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0453
Sam Morrell, Jennifer Hatchell, Freddy Wordingham, Jonathan Bennie, Maisy J Inston, John P Shannon, Charlie W Rayner, Kevin J Gaston

Artificial light at night (ALAN), from streetlights and other sources, is ubiquitous across modern towns and cities and has wide-ranging impacts upon the natural environment. The extent, spectra and timing of light influence the physiology, behaviour and fitness of individuals of many species, shape the structure of ecological communities and the functioning of ecosystems. To date, however, it has been challenging to characterize this lighting at sufficiently fine spatial resolutions across city-wide extents. Here, we apply a Monte Carlo radiative transfer model to simulate in three dimensions the light environment resulting from emission from streetlights using the city of Exeter, UK, as an exemplar. We show that this technique can model the evolving lighting landscape of modern cities at scales, and through observables, suitable for both ecological studies and lighting professionals. We estimate measures of melatonin suppression, induced photosynthesis and phytochrome photostationary state from our models, probing how the transition towards light-emitting diode street lighting impacts physiological processes in plants and animals throughout the city. Our simulations illustrate that although the area lit by ALAN is decreasing overall at metre scales, which is lit is becoming more hostile towards many organisms.

来自路灯和其他来源的夜间人造光(ALAN)在现代城镇和城市中无处不在,对自然环境产生了广泛的影响。光的范围、光谱和时间影响着许多物种个体的生理、行为和适应性,塑造了生态群落的结构和生态系统的功能。然而,迄今为止,在全市范围内以足够精细的空间分辨率描述这种照明一直具有挑战性。本文以英国埃克塞特市为例,应用蒙特卡罗辐射传输模型对街灯辐射产生的光环境进行三维模拟。我们的研究表明,这种技术可以在一定尺度上模拟现代城市不断变化的照明景观,并通过观察,适合生态研究和照明专业人士。我们从我们的模型中估计褪黑激素抑制、诱导光合作用和光敏色素光稳态的测量,探索向发光二极管街道照明的过渡如何影响整个城市动植物的生理过程。我们的模拟表明,尽管ALAN照亮的区域在米尺度上总体上在减少,但对许多生物来说,被照亮的区域正变得越来越不友好。
{"title":"Mitigating the environmental and ecological impacts of evolving city-scale streetlighting installations.","authors":"Sam Morrell, Jennifer Hatchell, Freddy Wordingham, Jonathan Bennie, Maisy J Inston, John P Shannon, Charlie W Rayner, Kevin J Gaston","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0453","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0453","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Artificial light at night (ALAN), from streetlights and other sources, is ubiquitous across modern towns and cities and has wide-ranging impacts upon the natural environment. The extent, spectra and timing of light influence the physiology, behaviour and fitness of individuals of many species, shape the structure of ecological communities and the functioning of ecosystems. To date, however, it has been challenging to characterize this lighting at sufficiently fine spatial resolutions across city-wide extents. Here, we apply a Monte Carlo radiative transfer model to simulate in three dimensions the light environment resulting from emission from streetlights using the city of Exeter, UK, as an exemplar. We show that this technique can model the evolving lighting landscape of modern cities at scales, and through observables, suitable for both ecological studies and lighting professionals. We estimate measures of melatonin suppression, induced photosynthesis and phytochrome photostationary state from our models, probing how the transition towards light-emitting diode street lighting impacts physiological processes in plants and animals throughout the city. Our simulations illustrate that although the area lit by ALAN is decreasing overall at metre scales, which is lit is becoming more hostile towards many organisms.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146157192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tuning regimes in ant foraging dynamics depend on the existence of bistability. 蚂蚁觅食动力学的调节机制依赖于双稳定性的存在。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0838
Colin M Lynch, Bryan C Daniels

Characterizing how behaviour must be tuned to produce useful coordination is key to understanding the evolution and regulation of collective behaviour. While computational models can answer this for specific cases, recurring patterns in model dynamics suggest a more general means of classifying collective dynamics. Using ant foraging models as an example, we investigate mechanisms that produce symmetry-breaking transitions to bistability as a first basic classification. Collective transitions are functionally important: they lead to sudden changes in collective states, enhanced sensitivity to environmental inputs and hysteresis. We use bifurcation theory to argue that the point where discontinuous transitions merge at a continuous transition forms a codimension-2 bifurcation with universal properties, functionally equivalent to the critical point of a phase diagram. We show how analogous bistable transitions appear across ant foraging models with different mechanistic assumptions and explore biologically relevant effects near the transition. This framework clarifies the difficulty of tuning collective behaviour: locating a continuous transition typically requires tuning two parameters, while a discontinuous transition requires only one. Finally, we explore conditions that degrade or destroy bistability: heterogeneity blurs transitions, while recruitment without positive feedback produces no bistability.

描述行为必须如何调整以产生有用的协调是理解集体行为的进化和调节的关键。虽然计算模型可以在特定情况下回答这个问题,但模型动力学中反复出现的模式表明了对集体动力学进行分类的更一般的方法。以蚂蚁觅食模型为例,我们研究了产生对称性破坏过渡到双稳态的机制,作为第一个基本分类。集体过渡在功能上很重要:它们导致集体状态的突然变化,增强对环境输入和滞后的敏感性。我们利用分岔理论论证了不连续过渡在连续过渡处合并的点形成具有普适性质的余维2分岔,其功能等价于相图的临界点。我们展示了具有不同机制假设的蚂蚁觅食模型中如何出现类似的双稳态过渡,并探索了过渡附近的生物学相关效应。这个框架澄清了调整集体行为的困难:定位一个连续的转换通常需要调整两个参数,而一个不连续的转换只需要一个参数。最后,我们探讨了降低或破坏双稳性的条件:异质性模糊了过渡,而没有正反馈的招聘不会产生双稳性。
{"title":"Tuning regimes in ant foraging dynamics depend on the existence of bistability.","authors":"Colin M Lynch, Bryan C Daniels","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0838","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0838","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Characterizing how behaviour must be tuned to produce useful coordination is key to understanding the evolution and regulation of collective behaviour. While computational models can answer this for specific cases, recurring patterns in model dynamics suggest a more general means of classifying collective dynamics. Using ant foraging models as an example, we investigate mechanisms that produce symmetry-breaking transitions to bistability as a first basic classification. Collective transitions are functionally important: they lead to sudden changes in collective states, enhanced sensitivity to environmental inputs and hysteresis. We use bifurcation theory to argue that the point where discontinuous transitions merge at a continuous transition forms a codimension-2 bifurcation with universal properties, functionally equivalent to the critical point of a phase diagram. We show how analogous bistable transitions appear across ant foraging models with different mechanistic assumptions and explore biologically relevant effects near the transition. This framework clarifies the difficulty of tuning collective behaviour: locating a continuous transition typically requires tuning two parameters, while a discontinuous transition requires only one. Finally, we explore conditions that degrade or destroy bistability: heterogeneity blurs transitions, while recruitment without positive feedback produces no bistability.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146157374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sensitivity analysis of epidemic forecasting and spreading on networks with probability generating functions. 基于概率生成函数的网络流行病预测与传播敏感性分析。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0686
Mariah C Boudreau, William H W Thompson, Christopher M Danforth, Jean-Gabriel Young, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Epidemic forecasting tools embrace the stochasticity and heterogeneity of disease spread to predict the growth and size of outbreaks. Conceptually, stochasticity and heterogeneity are often modelled as branching processes or as percolation on contact networks. Mathematically, probability generating functions (PGFs) provide a flexible and efficient tool to describe these models and quickly produce forecasts. While their predictions are probabilistic-i.e. distributions of outcome-they depend deterministically on the input distribution of transmission statistics and/or contact structure. Since these inputs can be noisy data or models of high dimension, traditional sensitivity analyses are computationally prohibitive and are therefore rarely used. Here, we use statistical condition estimation to measure the sensitivity of stochastic polynomials representing noisy generating functions. In doing so, we can separate the stochasticity of their forecasts from potential noise in their input. For standard epidemic models, we find that predictions are most sensitive at the critical epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number R0 = 1) only if the transmission is sufficiently homogeneous (dispersion parameter k > 0.3). Surprisingly, in heterogeneous systems (k ≤ 0.3), sensitivity is highest for values of R0 > 1. We expect our methods will improve the transparency and applicability of PGFs as epidemic forecasting tools.

流行病预测工具采用疾病传播的随机性和异质性来预测疫情的增长和规模。从概念上讲,随机性和异质性通常被建模为分支过程或接触网络上的渗透。在数学上,概率生成函数(PGFs)提供了一种灵活有效的工具来描述这些模型并快速生成预测。虽然他们的预测是概率性的,即。结果的分布——它们确定性地依赖于传输统计和/或接触结构的输入分布。由于这些输入可能是有噪声的数据或高维模型,传统的敏感性分析在计算上是令人望而却步的,因此很少使用。在这里,我们使用统计条件估计来测量表示噪声产生函数的随机多项式的灵敏度。通过这样做,我们可以将其预测的随机性与输入中的潜在噪声分离开来。对于标准流行病模型,我们发现只有当传播足够均匀(弥散参数k > 0.3)时,在临界流行病阈值(基本繁殖数R0 = 1)处预测最敏感。令人惊讶的是,在非均相系统(k≤0.3)中,R0 > 1的灵敏度最高。我们期望我们的方法将提高PGFs作为流行病预测工具的透明度和适用性。
{"title":"Sensitivity analysis of epidemic forecasting and spreading on networks with probability generating functions.","authors":"Mariah C Boudreau, William H W Thompson, Christopher M Danforth, Jean-Gabriel Young, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0686","DOIUrl":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0686","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Epidemic forecasting tools embrace the stochasticity and heterogeneity of disease spread to predict the growth and size of outbreaks. Conceptually, stochasticity and heterogeneity are often modelled as branching processes or as percolation on contact networks. Mathematically, probability generating functions (PGFs) provide a flexible and efficient tool to describe these models and quickly produce forecasts. While their predictions are probabilistic-i.e. distributions of outcome-they depend deterministically on the input distribution of transmission statistics and/or contact structure. Since these inputs can be noisy data or models of high dimension, traditional sensitivity analyses are computationally prohibitive and are therefore rarely used. Here, we use statistical condition estimation to measure the sensitivity of stochastic polynomials representing noisy generating functions. In doing so, we can separate the stochasticity of their forecasts from potential noise in their input. For standard epidemic models, we find that predictions are most sensitive at the critical epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number R0 = 1) only if the transmission is sufficiently homogeneous (dispersion parameter k > 0.3). Surprisingly, in heterogeneous systems (k ≤ 0.3), sensitivity is highest for values of R0 > 1. We expect our methods will improve the transparency and applicability of PGFs as epidemic forecasting tools.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113287","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determination of dynamic physical properties of peat and bark-based alternative casing materials for mushroom cultivation using X-ray computed tomography. 用x射线计算机断层扫描测定蘑菇栽培用泥炭和树皮基替代套管材料的动态物理特性。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0668
Gabrielle Young, Lael Walsh, Michael T Gaffney, Olaf Schmidt, Saoirse R Tracy

Current mushroom (Agaricus bisporus) cultivation practices use peat, an environmentally costly resource. Peat functions as a water reservoir, supporting mycelial growth and mushroom formation. There is a knowledge gap in characterizing the physical attributes of alternative materials; conventional methods are destructive and often imprecise. This research aimed to determine, over time, the physical properties of peat and two bark-based alternative casing materials using X-ray computed tomography as a novel, high-resolution approach. A microcosm culturing technique was developed to facilitate scanning. A series of scans was taken at key growth stages to assess the dynamic changes that occur within the casing over the course of a mushroom production cycle. Measurements of porosity, pore surface area and pore size distribution revealed significant differences between peat and bark-based alternatives in addition to capturing the changes within each casing material over the mushroom production life cycle. Peat was found to have greater average pore size than bark-based treatments, and this divergence in pore size distribution increased significantly between treatments over the time frame of the experiment. A significant finding of the research is that relative increases in the air-filled porosity of different casing materials may be a useful predictor of casing media performance.

目前的蘑菇(双孢蘑菇)种植方法使用泥炭,这是一种环境昂贵的资源。泥炭的功能是蓄水池,支持菌丝生长和蘑菇形成。在表征替代材料的物理属性方面存在知识差距;传统的方法是破坏性的,而且往往不精确。该研究旨在利用x射线计算机断层扫描作为一种新颖的高分辨率方法,随着时间的推移,确定泥炭和两种树皮基替代套管材料的物理性质。为了便于扫描,开发了一种微型培养技术。在关键的生长阶段进行了一系列扫描,以评估在蘑菇生产周期过程中套管内发生的动态变化。除了捕获每种套管材料在蘑菇生产生命周期内的变化外,对孔隙度、孔隙表面积和孔径分布的测量还揭示了泥炭和树皮基套管材料之间的显著差异。泥炭比树皮处理具有更大的平均孔径,并且在实验的时间框架内,这种孔径分布的差异在处理之间显著增加。研究的一个重要发现是,不同套管材料的充气孔隙度的相对增加可能是套管介质性能的一个有用预测指标。
{"title":"Determination of dynamic physical properties of peat and bark-based alternative casing materials for mushroom cultivation using X-ray computed tomography.","authors":"Gabrielle Young, Lael Walsh, Michael T Gaffney, Olaf Schmidt, Saoirse R Tracy","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0668","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0668","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Current mushroom (Agaricus bisporus) cultivation practices use peat, an environmentally costly resource. Peat functions as a water reservoir, supporting mycelial growth and mushroom formation. There is a knowledge gap in characterizing the physical attributes of alternative materials; conventional methods are destructive and often imprecise. This research aimed to determine, over time, the physical properties of peat and two bark-based alternative casing materials using X-ray computed tomography as a novel, high-resolution approach. A microcosm culturing technique was developed to facilitate scanning. A series of scans was taken at key growth stages to assess the dynamic changes that occur within the casing over the course of a mushroom production cycle. Measurements of porosity, pore surface area and pore size distribution revealed significant differences between peat and bark-based alternatives in addition to capturing the changes within each casing material over the mushroom production life cycle. Peat was found to have greater average pore size than bark-based treatments, and this divergence in pore size distribution increased significantly between treatments over the time frame of the experiment. A significant finding of the research is that relative increases in the air-filled porosity of different casing materials may be a useful predictor of casing media performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113196","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cytoplasmic flow induced by a rotating wire in living cells: magnetic rotational spectroscopy and finite element simulations. 活细胞中由旋转导线引起的细胞质流动:磁旋转光谱和有限元模拟。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0558
Charles Paul Moore, Foad Ghasemi, Jean-Francois Berret

Recent studies have highlighted intracellular viscosity as a key biomechanical property with potential as a biomarker for cancer cell metastasis. In the context of cellular mechanobiology, magnetic rotational spectroscopy (MRS), which uses rotating magnetic wires of length L = 2-8 µm to probe cytoplasmic rheology, has emerged as an effective method for quantifying intracellular viscoelasticity. This study examines microrheology data from three breast epithelial cell lines, MCF-10A, MCF-7 and MDA-MB-231, along with new data from HeLa cervical cancer cells. Here, MRS is combined with finite element simulations to characterize the flow field induced by wire rotation in the cytoplasm. COMSOL simulations performed at low Reynolds numbers show that the flow velocity is localized around the wire and displays characteristic dumbbell-shaped profiles. For wires representative of MRS experiments in cells, the product of shear rate and cytoplasmic relaxation time (γ.τ with τ ~ 1 s) remains below unity, indicating that the flow occurs within the linear regime. This outcome confirms that MRS can reliably measure the zero-shear viscosity of the intracellular medium in living cells. This study also demonstrates that integrating MRS intracellular measurements with COMSOL simulations significantly improves the reliability of in vitro assessments of cytoplasmic mechanical properties.

最近的研究表明,细胞内黏度是一种关键的生物力学特性,具有作为癌细胞转移的生物标志物的潜力。在细胞力学生物学的背景下,磁旋转光谱(MRS)已经成为一种量化细胞内粘弹性的有效方法,它使用长度为L = 2-8µm的旋转磁线来探测细胞质流变学。本研究检测了三种乳腺上皮细胞系MCF-10A、MCF-7和MDA-MB-231的微流变学数据,以及来自HeLa宫颈癌细胞的新数据。在这里,MRS与有限元模拟相结合来表征细胞质中导线旋转引起的流场。在低雷诺数下进行的COMSOL模拟表明,流动速度集中在导线周围,并呈现出典型的哑铃形状。对于细胞内具有代表性的MRS实验线,剪切速率与细胞质松弛时间(γ。τ (τ ~ 1 s)保持在1以下,表明流动发生在线性范围内。这一结果证实了MRS可以可靠地测量活细胞中细胞内介质的零剪切粘度。该研究还表明,将MRS细胞内测量与COMSOL模拟相结合,显著提高了细胞质力学性能体外评估的可靠性。
{"title":"Cytoplasmic flow induced by a rotating wire in living cells: magnetic rotational spectroscopy and finite element simulations.","authors":"Charles Paul Moore, Foad Ghasemi, Jean-Francois Berret","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0558","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0558","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Recent studies have highlighted intracellular viscosity as a key biomechanical property with potential as a biomarker for cancer cell metastasis. In the context of cellular mechanobiology, magnetic rotational spectroscopy (MRS), which uses rotating magnetic wires of length L = 2-8 µm to probe cytoplasmic rheology, has emerged as an effective method for quantifying intracellular viscoelasticity. This study examines microrheology data from three breast epithelial cell lines, MCF-10A, MCF-7 and MDA-MB-231, along with new data from HeLa cervical cancer cells. Here, MRS is combined with finite element simulations to characterize the flow field induced by wire rotation in the cytoplasm. COMSOL simulations performed at low Reynolds numbers show that the flow velocity is localized around the wire and displays characteristic dumbbell-shaped profiles. For wires representative of MRS experiments in cells, the product of shear rate and cytoplasmic relaxation time (γ.τ with τ ~ 1 s) remains below unity, indicating that the flow occurs within the linear regime. This outcome confirms that MRS can reliably measure the zero-shear viscosity of the intracellular medium in living cells. This study also demonstrates that integrating MRS intracellular measurements with COMSOL simulations significantly improves the reliability of in vitro assessments of cytoplasmic mechanical properties.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic metabolic modelling of ATP allocation during viral infection. 病毒感染过程中ATP分配的动态代谢模型。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0254
Alvin Lu, Liam Kelley, Ilija Dukovski, Daniel Segrè

Viral pathogens, like SARS-CoV-2, hijack the host's macromolecular production machinery, imposing an energetic burden that is distributed across cellular metabolism. To explore the dynamic metabolic tension between the host's survival and viral replication, we developed a computational framework that uses genome-scale models to perform dynamic flux balance analysis of human cell metabolism during virus infections. Relative to previous models, our framework addresses the physiology of viral infections of non-proliferating host cells through two new features. First, by incorporating the lipid content of SARS-CoV-2 biomass, we discovered activation of previously overlooked pathways giving rise to new predictions of possible drug targets. Furthermore, we introduce a dynamic model that simulates the partitioning of resources between the virus and the host cell, capturing the extent to which the competition depletes the human cells from essential ATP. By incorporating viral dynamics into our COMETS framework for spatio-temporal modelling of metabolism, we provide a mechanistic, dynamic and generalizable starting point for bridging systems biology modelling with viral pathogenesis. This framework could be extended to broadly incorporate phage dynamics in microbial systems and ecosystems.

病毒性病原体,如SARS-CoV-2,劫持了宿主的大分子生产机制,给细胞代谢带来了能量负担。为了探索宿主生存和病毒复制之间的动态代谢张力,我们开发了一个计算框架,该框架使用基因组尺度模型对病毒感染期间人类细胞代谢进行动态通量平衡分析。相对于以前的模型,我们的框架通过两个新特征解决了非增殖宿主细胞病毒感染的生理学问题。首先,通过结合SARS-CoV-2生物量的脂质含量,我们发现了以前被忽视的途径的激活,从而产生了对可能的药物靶点的新预测。此外,我们引入了一个动态模型,模拟病毒和宿主细胞之间的资源分配,捕捉竞争消耗人类细胞必需ATP的程度。通过将病毒动力学整合到我们的comet框架中进行代谢的时空建模,我们为连接系统生物学建模与病毒发病机制提供了一个机制的、动态的和可推广的起点。这个框架可以扩展到广泛地纳入微生物系统和生态系统中的噬菌体动力学。
{"title":"Dynamic metabolic modelling of ATP allocation during viral infection.","authors":"Alvin Lu, Liam Kelley, Ilija Dukovski, Daniel Segrè","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0254","DOIUrl":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0254","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Viral pathogens, like SARS-CoV-2, hijack the host's macromolecular production machinery, imposing an energetic burden that is distributed across cellular metabolism. To explore the dynamic metabolic tension between the host's survival and viral replication, we developed a computational framework that uses genome-scale models to perform dynamic flux balance analysis of human cell metabolism during virus infections. Relative to previous models, our framework addresses the physiology of viral infections of non-proliferating host cells through two new features. First, by incorporating the lipid content of SARS-CoV-2 biomass, we discovered activation of previously overlooked pathways giving rise to new predictions of possible drug targets. Furthermore, we introduce a dynamic model that simulates the partitioning of resources between the virus and the host cell, capturing the extent to which the competition depletes the human cells from essential ATP. By incorporating viral dynamics into our COMETS framework for spatio-temporal modelling of metabolism, we provide a mechanistic, dynamic and generalizable starting point for bridging systems biology modelling with viral pathogenesis. This framework could be extended to broadly incorporate phage dynamics in microbial systems and ecosystems.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing honeybee colony health using temperature time series. 利用温度时间序列评估蜂群健康状况。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0505
Karina Arias-Calluari, Théotime Colin, Tanya Latty, Mary Myerscough, Eduardo G Altmann

Honeybees face an increasing number of stressors that disrupt the natural behaviour of colonies and, in extreme cases, can lead to their collapse. Quantifying the status and resilience of colonies is essential to measure the impact of stressors and to identify colonies at risk. In this article, we present and apply a methodology to efficiently diagnose the status of a honeybee colony based on a metric of its thermoregulatory capacity. This metric is derived from data-informed analysis of time series, specifically the hive's core temperature in relation to environmental temperature. Healthy honeybee colonies have a remarkable ability to control temperature near the brood area. Our method exploits this fact and quantifies the status of a hive by measuring how resilient they are to extreme environmental temperatures, which act as natural stressors. After analysing 22 hives during different times of the year, including three hives that collapsed, we find the statistical signatures of stress that reveal whether honeybee colonies are stable or are at risk of failure. Based on these analyses, we propose a simple scale of hive status (stable, warning and collapse) that, once calibrated, can be used to diagnose hive status from a few temperature measurements. Our approach offers a lower cost and practical bee-monitoring solution, providing a non-invasive way to track hive conditions and trigger interventions to save colonies from collapse.

蜜蜂面临着越来越多的压力源,这些压力源破坏了蜂群的自然行为,在极端情况下,可能导致蜂群崩溃。量化蜂群的状态和恢复能力对于衡量压力源的影响和识别处于危险中的蜂群至关重要。在这篇文章中,我们提出并应用一种方法来有效地诊断一个蜂群的状态基于其体温调节能力的度量。这一指标来源于对时间序列的数据分析,特别是蜂巢的核心温度与环境温度的关系。健康的蜂群具有控制产卵区附近温度的非凡能力。我们的方法利用了这一事实,并通过测量它们对极端环境温度(作为自然压力源)的适应能力来量化蜂巢的状态。在分析了一年中不同时期的22个蜂箱后,包括三个崩溃的蜂箱,我们发现了压力的统计特征,揭示了蜂群是稳定的还是有失败的风险。基于这些分析,我们提出了一个简单的蜂群状态量表(稳定,警告和崩溃),一旦校准,可以用来从一些温度测量来诊断蜂群状态。我们的方法提供了一种成本较低且实用的蜜蜂监测解决方案,提供了一种非侵入性的方法来跟踪蜂巢状况并触发干预措施以拯救蜂群免于崩溃。
{"title":"Assessing honeybee colony health using temperature time series.","authors":"Karina Arias-Calluari, Théotime Colin, Tanya Latty, Mary Myerscough, Eduardo G Altmann","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2025.0505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2025.0505","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Honeybees face an increasing number of stressors that disrupt the natural behaviour of colonies and, in extreme cases, can lead to their collapse. Quantifying the status and resilience of colonies is essential to measure the impact of stressors and to identify colonies at risk. In this article, we present and apply a methodology to efficiently diagnose the status of a honeybee colony based on a metric of its thermoregulatory capacity. This metric is derived from data-informed analysis of time series, specifically the hive's core temperature in relation to environmental temperature. Healthy honeybee colonies have a remarkable ability to control temperature near the brood area. Our method exploits this fact and quantifies the status of a hive by measuring how resilient they are to extreme environmental temperatures, which act as natural stressors. After analysing 22 hives during different times of the year, including three hives that collapsed, we find the statistical signatures of stress that reveal whether honeybee colonies are stable or are at risk of failure. Based on these analyses, we propose a simple scale of hive status (stable, warning and collapse) that, once calibrated, can be used to diagnose hive status from a few temperature measurements. Our approach offers a lower cost and practical bee-monitoring solution, providing a non-invasive way to track hive conditions and trigger interventions to save colonies from collapse.</p>","PeriodicalId":17488,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","volume":"23 235","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of The Royal Society Interface
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1